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Islamic Financial Institutions and Stability: An Empirical Analysis 伊斯兰金融机构与稳定性:实证分析
Pub Date : 2024-05-25 DOI: 10.5539/ijef.v16n7p1
Ahmed Sameer El Khatib, José Roberto Ferreira Savoia
Using econometric data, this study investigates the internal and external factors influencing the financial stability of Islamic banks from 2011 to 2022. We identify the critical elements that impact the capital adequacy ratio, liquidity, size, governance, and degree of concentration of Islamic banks in order to determine their financial stability. The study concludes that while size, governance, and degree of concentration have a detrimental effect on Islamic banks’ financial stability, the capital adequacy ratio and liquidity have a beneficial effect. The report suggests that Islamic banks increase their capital and liquidity in order to support their financial stability. This is in line with other studies, such as an empirical analysis of Islamic banks and financial stability conducted by the IMF, which discovered that, on average, small Islamic banks have stronger finances than small commercial banks, and large commercial banks have stronger finances than large Islamic banks.
本研究利用计量经济学数据,调查了 2011 年至 2022 年影响伊斯兰银行金融稳定性的内部和外部因素。我们确定了影响伊斯兰银行资本充足率、流动性、规模、治理和集中程度的关键因素,以确定其金融稳定性。研究得出结论,虽然规模、治理和集中程度对伊斯兰银行的金融稳定性有不利影响,但资本充足率和流动性却有有利影响。报告建议伊斯兰银行增加资本和流动性,以支持其金融稳定性。这与其他研究相一致,如国际货币基金组织对伊斯兰银行和金融稳定性进行的实证分析发现,平均而言,小型伊斯兰银行的财务状况强于小型商业银行,而大型商业银行的财务状况强于大型伊斯兰银行。
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引用次数: 0
Export Intensity and Total Factor Productivity in Kenya’s Manufacturing Sector 肯尼亚制造业的出口强度和全要素生产率
Pub Date : 2024-05-25 DOI: 10.5539/ijef.v16n7p13
Dorothy Kimolo, Jennifer Njaramba, Laban Chesang
Kenya has adopted an export-led manufacturing industrialization strategy as envisaged by many policy documents including the Kenya Vision 2030 which aimed at increasing the manufacturing share in Gross Domestic Product to 15 per cent by 2022. The share of manufactured exports in all exports was targeted at 60 per cent by 2022 as per the National Exports Development and Promotion Strategy. However, manufacturing sector’s productivity has been declining as demonstrated by its economic contribution which has averaged around 10 per cent from 2007 to 2022 and has persistently declined from 12.79 per cent in 2007 to 7.83 per cent in 2022 pointing towards premature deindustrialization. Besides, from 2007 to 2022, the share of total exports made up of manufactured goods averaged 33 per cent. The study aimed to estimate firms’ total factor productivity (TFP) and examine the impact of export activity on firms’ TFP in Kenya’s manufacturing industry. Firm TFP was computed utilizing the Levinsohn and Petrin (2003) technique. The study employed Propensity Score Matching and a dynamic panel model estimated using the generalized methods of moments technique, to analyze the effect of exporting on firms TFP. Export intensity, labor productivity and management experience had positive effects on firm’s TFP. However, firm size and capital intensity had negative effects on TFP. Based on the study findings, the government should emphasize on export promotion policies as well as adoption of labor intensive technologies in Kenya’s manufacturing sector.
肯尼亚按照许多政策文件的设想,采取了出口导向型制造业工业化战略,其中包括《肯尼亚 2030 年远景规划》,该规划旨在到 2022 年将制造业在国内生产总值中所占份额提高到 15%。根据《国家出口发展和促进战略》,到 2022 年,制成品出口在所有出口中所占份额将达到 60%。然而,制造业的生产率一直在下降,其经济贡献率从 2007 年到 2022 年平均约为 10%,并从 2007 年的 12.79%持续下降到 2022 年的 7.83%,这表明去工业化的时机尚不成熟。此外,从 2007 年到 2022 年,制成品在总出口中所占份额平均为 33%。本研究旨在估算企业的全要素生产率(TFP),并考察出口活动对肯尼亚制造业企业全要素生产率的影响。企业全要素生产率是利用 Levinsohn 和 Petrin(2003 年)技术计算得出的。研究采用了倾向得分匹配和动态面板模型,并使用广义矩方法进行估计,以分析出口对企业全要素生产率的影响。出口强度、劳动生产率和管理经验对企业全要素生产率有积极影响。然而,企业规模和资本密集度对全要素生产率有负面影响。根据研究结果,政府应重视出口促进政策以及在肯尼亚制造业中采用劳动密集型技术。
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引用次数: 0
Inequality and the Equalization Fund in Brazil: Redefining Strategies 巴西的不平等与均衡基金:重新定义战略
Pub Date : 2024-04-22 DOI: 10.5539/ijef.v16n6p31
Ricardo da Costa Nunes, André Nunes, Celso Vila Nova de Souza Junior, Alexandre Nascimento de Almeida
This article examines Brazilian states’ per capita income convergence from 1990 to 2020. A reduction in state inequalities was observed, attributed to the redistribution of resources through the State Participation Fund (FPE) and Constitutional Funds and the Municipal Participation Fund and transfers for health and education, benefiting federative entities with lower per capita incomes. However, a significant volume of resources aimed at income redistribution was characterized by overlapping actions, whose results were not evaluated in isolation. Moreover, while historically, less economically advantaged states strive to reach the national average, more economically advantaged states tend to maintain or enhance their relative positions. Barro’s analysis (2001) suggests that equalization funds, by benefiting entities with lower GDP per capita, discourage governors from promoting the state’s economic development, as this would imply a loss of FPE resources. This situation would be a government failure commonly pointed out by authors of the Public Choice School. In light of this, this study proposes a revision of the FPE distribution criteria, reducing the emphasis on the inverse of per capita income and including variables such as population, collection effort, and state size, aiming to promote a more effective and equitable convergence of per capita income in the Brazilian federation.
本文研究了 1990 年至 2020 年巴西各州的人均收入趋同情况。各州的不平等现象有所减少,这要归功于通过州参与基金(FPE)、宪法基金、市政参与基金以及卫生和教育转移支付进行的资源再分配,使人均收入较低的联邦实体受益。然而,用于收入再分配的大量资源都是重叠行动,其结果没有得到单独评估。此外,从历史上看,经济条件较差的州努力达到全国平均水平,而经济条件较好的州则倾向于保持或提高其相对地位。巴罗(2001 年)的分析表明,均衡基金通过惠及人均国内生产总值较低的实体,阻碍了州长促进本州经济发展的积极性,因为这意味着联邦公共财政资源的流失。这种情况是公共选择学派作者通常指出的政府失灵。有鉴于此,本研究建议修订联邦公共财政预算分配标准,减少对人均收入倒数的强调,并纳入人口、征收力度和州大小等变量,旨在促进巴西联邦人均收入更有效、更公平地趋同。
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引用次数: 0
Prospects of Post-Conflict Foreign Direct Investments in Ukraine Through the Lens of Dunning’s Eclectic Paradigm 从邓宁的折衷范式看冲突后外国直接投资在乌克兰的前景
Pub Date : 2024-04-22 DOI: 10.5539/ijef.v16n6p43
Vivian Nasrulddin
This research aims to highlight post-conflict prospects for Ukraine in the domain of FDIs by taking the OLI framework of Dunning. This research explores the role of the FDI as the most important economic pillar for economic consolidation in a globalized world. The case studies of war-torn countries and the role of the FDIs in their post-war recovery have been evaluated. It has been analyzed that through fundamental economic reforms and restricting to win the investors’ confidence, Ukraine can strategize its ownership, location, and internalization advantage as the country possesses relatively higher significance for global food security, logistics, and international trade. Most importantly prospects are higher for international investors to invest their capital in one of the largest European markets in banking. The NATO membership and EU membership will be the most significant driver of the FDIs for Ukraine.
本研究旨在利用邓宁(Dunning)的 OLI 框架,突出冲突后乌克兰在外国直接投资领域的前景。本研究探讨了外国直接投资作为全球化世界中巩固经济的最重要经济支柱的作用。对战患国家的案例研究以及外国直接投资在战后恢复中的作用进行了评估。分析认为,通过根本性的经济改革和限制措施来赢得投资者的信心,乌克兰可以将其所有权、区位和内部化优势战略化,因为该国对全球粮食安全、物流和国际贸易具有相对较高的重要性。最重要的是,国际投资者在欧洲最大的银行业市场之一进行投资的前景更为广阔。加入北约和欧盟将是乌克兰外国直接投资最重要的驱动力。
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引用次数: 0
Research on Asset Inheritance of High Net Worth Family Trust in Recent Years 近年来高净值家族信托的资产传承研究
Pub Date : 2024-04-18 DOI: 10.5539/ijef.v16n6p24
Ya Yujia
In recent years, with the rapid development of social economy and the acceleration of wealth accumulation, family trust has gradually attracted widespread attention and application as an asset inheritance tool. As a special wealth management tool, family trust aims to help families maintain wealth and achieve long-term wealth inheritance goals. In the research of predecessors, it mainly expounds the unique advantages of family trust on the basis of the huge demand for wealth inheritance in the Chinese market. The obstacles encountered by family trust in China’s localisation and the innovation model proposed in response to the obstacles. In these studies, a series of problems arising from different policies and stages of development of the country have been ignored. With the economic development, the market demand for China’s wealth inheritance continues to expand, and the Chinese government and related institutions are also gradually reforming. On this basis, this article uses the literature analysis method to understand the new policies proposed in family trusts in China and the practical problems faced by high-net-worth families in the post-epidemic era by consulting a large number of materials. Then use the comparative analysis method to summarise the development of family trusts in China through the research and comparison of family trusts in different countries, put forward constructive opinions on the inheritance of family assets with high net worth in China, discuss the research progress of family trust in the field of asset inheritance in recent years with a thinking method, and analyse it in different cultures. And the application and impact in the legal context.
近年来,随着社会经济的快速发展和财富积累的加速,家族信托作为一种资产传承工具逐渐受到广泛关注和应用。作为一种特殊的财富管理工具,家族信托旨在帮助家族维护财富,实现长期财富传承目标。在前人的研究中,主要是基于中国市场巨大的财富传承需求,阐述家族信托的独特优势。家族信托在中国本土化过程中遇到的障碍,以及针对障碍提出的创新模式。在这些研究中,忽视了国家不同政策、不同发展阶段所产生的一系列问题。随着经济的发展,中国财富传承的市场需求不断扩大,中国政府及相关机构也在逐步改革。在此基础上,本文运用文献分析法,通过查阅大量资料,了解我国在家族信托方面提出的新政策,以及后疫情时代高净值家族面临的实际问题。然后运用比较分析法,通过对不同国家家族信托的研究和比较,总结我国家族信托的发展历程,对我国高净值家族资产传承提出建设性意见,用思考的方法探讨近年来家族信托在资产传承领域的研究进展,并在不同文化背景下进行分析。以及在法律方面的应用和影响。
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引用次数: 0
China’s Greenfield Investment and African Countries’ Green Growth Under the Belt and Road Initiative 中国的绿地投资与非洲国家在 "一带一路 "倡议下的绿色增长
Pub Date : 2024-04-15 DOI: 10.5539/ijef.v16n6p1
Zhaoke Zhang
Though in recent years African countries have experienced rapid economic growth, there is a growing need for them to accelerate the process of green growth to address challenges like climate change and depletion of natural resources. Under the framework of Belt and Road Initiative, this paper empirically examines the impact of China’s greenfield investment on green growth of African countries based on the STIRPAT model, using panel data of 37 African countries from 2003 to 2020. The results show that China’s greenfield investment can significantly contribute to green growth of African countries, including the improvement of energy productivity, CO2 productivity and non-energy material productivity, which confirms the validity of the “Pollution Halo Hypothesis” in the African region, and improvements in institutional quality can increase the contribution of greenfield investments. Compared with global greenfield investment, China is playing an important role in the green growth of African countries. The research in this paper expands the existing literature on investment and green growth, helps to grasp the reality of the environmental effects of China’s greenfield investment in Africa, and provides empirical evidence and policy support for Sino-African economic and trade cooperation and the high-quality green development of the “Belt and Road”.
尽管近年来非洲国家经济快速增长,但它们越来越需要加快绿色增长进程,以应对气候变化和自然资源枯竭等挑战。在 "一带一路 "倡议框架下,本文基于 STIRPAT 模型,利用 2003-2020 年 37 个非洲国家的面板数据,实证检验了中国绿地投资对非洲国家绿色增长的影响。结果表明,中国绿地投资能够显著促进非洲国家的绿色增长,包括提高能源生产率、二氧化碳生产率和非能源物质生产率,这印证了 "污染晕假说 "在非洲地区的有效性,而制度质量的改善能够提高绿地投资的贡献率。与全球绿地投资相比,中国在非洲国家的绿色增长中发挥着重要作用。本文的研究拓展了现有关于投资与绿色增长的文献,有助于把握中国对非洲绿地投资的现实环境效应,为中非经贸合作和 "一带一路 "的高质量绿色发展提供实证依据和政策支持。
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引用次数: 0
Nonlinear Dynamic Impact of Electricity Consumption on Economic Growth in Odisha: A Disaggregated Causality Analysis 奥迪沙邦电力消费对经济增长的非线性动态影响:分类因果关系分析
Pub Date : 2024-04-15 DOI: 10.5539/ijef.v16n6p13
Upendra Nath Behera, A. Mohanty
The paper examines the causal link between electricity consumption and Odisha’s economic growth using linear and nonlinear causality tests in annual data from 1981 to 2020. The study uses both linear and non-linear causality on aggregate and sectoral data. Based on the empirical analysis, the study finds that electricity consumption strongly granger causes state’s economic growth. Further, sectoral-level analysis shows that electricity consumption exhibits a strong causal relationship with the primary, secondary, and tertiary sectors. This finding is consistent for both linear and non-linear granger causality tests. Moreover, the estimation of long-run elasticity reveals that both secondary and tertiary sectors have greater than unity elasticity whereas the primary sector has less than unity elasticity. The rolling elasticity shows that elasticity is increasing over time and across the sectors, barring the tertiary sector. More mechanized activities in the primary sector will increase the consumption of electricity and more value addition to the economic growth of the state. The policy intervention would be to reduce electricity losses (leakages) as well as increase the production of electricity to increase economic growth. Considering the greater role of electricity in the state’s economic progress, intervention from both the state government and the Odisha Electricity Regulatory Commission, the regulatory body of the state, is very much essential.
本文通过对 1981 年至 2020 年的年度数据进行线性和非线性因果检验,研究了电力消费与奥迪沙经济增长之间的因果关系。研究对总体和部门数据使用了线性和非线性因果关系。根据实证分析,研究发现,电力消费对邦的经济增长具有很强的格兰杰因果关系。此外,部门层面的分析表明,电力消费与第一产业、第二产业和第三产业都有很强的因果关系。这一结论在线性和非线性格兰杰因果检验中都是一致的。此外,对长期弹性的估计显示,第二产业和第三产业的弹性均大于 1,而第一产业的弹性小于 1。滚动弹性表明,除第三产业外,各产业的弹性随着时间的推移都在增加。第一产业中更多的机械化活动将增加电力消耗,并为该州的经济增长带来更多附加值。政策干预措施将是减少电力损失(泄漏)和增加电力生产,以提高经济增长。考虑到电力在该州经济发展中的重要作用,州政府和奥迪沙电力监管委员会(该州的监管机构)的干预是非常必要的。
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引用次数: 0
Assessing the Viability of the East African Community as a Monetary Union 评估东非共同体作为货币联盟的可行性
Pub Date : 2024-04-05 DOI: 10.5539/ijef.v16n5p54
Aberra Senbeta, Subhadra Ganguli
The objective of this paper is to evaluate the feasibility of the East African Community (EAC) in establishing a successful monetary union. Despite its strong interest and progress, the East African Community (EAC) faces substantial challenges in pursuing a single-currency monetary union. A careful examination of trade data and evaluation of the convergence criteria supports a cautious move toward forming a monetary union rather than its formation for political expediency. The compliance of EAC countries in achieving the target levels of the convergence criteria is, at best, mixed. Mainly, achieving low inflation rates, maintaining lower budget deficit-to-GDP and debt-to-GDP ratios, and building robust foreign reserves were weak. Despite the divergence among member countries in attaining a low and stable inflation rate, overall strong co-movement in inflation rates and the ability to maintain an average inflation rate near the target of eight percent is encouraging. External factors, such as rising financing costs, de-globalization efforts, and geopolitical tensions, complicate the establishment of a monetary union and create uncertainty about its potential benefits. In addition to these new developments, weak trade complementarity, inadequate cross-border infrastructure, expansive non-tariff barriers, and different degrees of compliance with convergence make a speedy move towards monetary union risky. Addressing these observed potential problems before monetary union via harmonization of investment and economic policies, creating robust institutions that foster trust and regional cooperation will mitigate economic and political rivalry and aid in forming an effective monetary union.
本文旨在评估东非共同体(EAC)成功建立货币联盟的可行性。尽管东非共同体(EAC)对建立单一货币联盟抱有浓厚的兴趣并取得了进展,但它仍面临着巨大的挑战。对贸易数据的仔细研究和对趋同标准的评估都支持谨慎地建立货币联盟,而不是出于政治上的权宜之计。东非共同体国家在实现趋同标准目标水平方面的合规情况充其量是好坏参半。主要是在实现低通胀率、维持较低的预算赤字与国内生产总值(GDP)比率和债务与国内生产总值(GDP)比率以及建立稳健的外汇储备方面表现不佳。尽管成员国在实现低通胀率和稳定通胀率方面存在分歧,但总体而言,通胀率的共同走势强劲,并有能力将平均通胀率维持在 8%的目标附近,这一点令人鼓舞。外部因素,如融资成本上升、去全球化努力和地缘政治紧张局势,使货币联盟的建立变得更加复杂,并对其潜在益处造成了不确定性。除这些新情况外,贸易互补性不强、跨境基础设施不足、非关税壁垒过多以及对趋同的遵守程度不同,都使迅速迈向货币联盟存在风险。在建立货币联盟之前,通过协调投资和经济政策、建立促进信任和区域合作的强大机构来解决这些潜在问题,将缓解经济和政治竞争,有助于形成有效的货币联盟。
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引用次数: 0
Significance of Synergetic Strategy of Factors, Infrastructure Development, and Trade in Regional Integration—A Case Study of the Yangtze River Delta Region 要素、基础设施建设和贸易协同战略在区域一体化中的意义--以长江三角洲地区为例
Pub Date : 2024-03-27 DOI: 10.5539/ijef.v16n4p103
Chuanjie Li, Yuhan Liu, Hao Chen
The Yangtze River Delta (YRD) is one of the regions with the most dynamic economy, the highest degree of openness, and the strongest innovation capability in China, possessing crucial factor markets, infrastructure development, and population resources. With the progress of China’s reform and opening-up policies and economic development, the YRD has achieved remarkable economic growth and social progress over the past few decades. Research on the economic and social integration of the YRD aims to deeply understand the development status of factors, infrastructure development, and trade within the region, and to explore how to address issues of inter-regional cooperation, coordination, and integration in the corresponding direction. Comprehensive research methods, including desk research, quantitative analysis, and qualitative analysis, are need to adopted in this research. This paper primarily proves through data collection that the research on regional factors, infrastructure development, and trade integration in the YRD is of great significance for promoting regional synergetic development, optimizing resource allocation, and enhancing overall competitiveness.
长三角是中国经济最具活力、开放程度最高、创新能力最强的地区之一,拥有重要的要素市场、基础设施建设和人口资源。随着中国改革开放政策的推进和经济的发展,长三角地区在过去几十年中取得了显著的经济增长和社会进步。对长三角经济社会一体化的研究,旨在深入了解区域内要素、基础设施建设、贸易等方面的发展状况,探讨如何解决相应方向的区域间合作、协调和一体化问题。本研究需要采用综合研究方法,包括案头研究、定量分析和定性分析。本文主要通过数据收集证明,长三角地区的区域要素、基础设施建设、贸易一体化研究对于促进区域协同发展、优化资源配置、提升整体竞争力具有重要意义。
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引用次数: 0
A Note on the Nonlinearities of Brazilian Monetary Policy 关于巴西货币政策非线性的说明
Pub Date : 2024-03-25 DOI: 10.5539/ijef.v16n5p20
F. Mansilla, Elano Ferreira Arruda, Roberto Tatiwa Ferreira
This note analyzes the occurrence of asymmetry in Brazilian monetary policy considering distinct inflation levels. For this purpose, we use data with monthly frequency between 2003 and 2021 and a nonlinear Taylor rule. The results indicate that under the low inflation scenario, the impact of the deviation of inflation expectations to the target is statistically insignificant, revealing a preference by the monetary authority for price stability. Besides, there is a smoothing process in the conduction of Brazilian monetary policy, and the economic activity and the exchange rate are not statistically significant in the central bank reaction function during the period studied.
本说明分析了巴西货币政策在考虑不同通胀水平时出现的不对称现象。为此,我们使用了 2003 年至 2021 年的月度数据和非线性泰勒规则。结果表明,在低通胀情况下,通胀预期偏离目标的影响在统计上并不显著,这揭示了货币当局对价格稳定的偏好。此外,巴西货币政策的传导存在一个平滑过程,在研究期间,经济活动和汇率在中央银行反应函数中没有统计意义。
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引用次数: 0
期刊
International Journal of Economics and Finance
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