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Increasing Global Expansion Speeds of Marine Invaders 海洋入侵者全球扩张速度加快
IF 4.2 2区 环境科学与生态学 Q1 BIODIVERSITY CONSERVATION Pub Date : 2025-12-03 DOI: 10.1111/ddi.70111
Emily L. Richardson, James M. Pringle, James E. Byers

Aim

Quantifying the speed of invasive species range expansion and the mechanisms behind it is a key management goal that also informs ecological theories of spread. Byers et al. found that time since first global introduction (TSI) was the strongest predictor of non-native range size of coastal marine invertebrates relative to environmental and species traits, and species were predicted to expand on average 400 km/decade along coastlines. Here, one decade later using the same 138 marine invertebrates, we repeat that analysis and test the prediction that the average invader expansion speed was 400 km from 2014 to 2024.

Methods

Using the Global Biodiversity Information Facility (GBIF), we downloaded species occurrences to estimate the non-native range size of each invader along coastlines in the northern and southern hemispheres. We calculated expansion speed as the difference between each species' 2024 range size and its 2014 range size estimated by Byers et al. We tested (Hypothesis 1) TSI is still the most important variable for explaining global invasive range size; (Hypothesis 2) Mean expansion speed is 400 km/decade; (Hypothesis 3) Expansion speed is best predicted by distributional characteristics of a species' non-native range (i.e., initial range size, initial number of coastlines occupied); and (Hypothesis 4) Expansion speeds vary across taxonomic groups.

Results

TSI was still the best predictor of non-native range size (RVI = 1, β: 0.39–0.42). However, average range expansion speed since 2014 was 3000 km/decade, ~8× the previous prediction. Species that started with large ranges and distributions across multiple coastlines exhibited the fastest expansion speeds (R2 = 0.4), but there were no taxonomic patterns in expansion.

Main Conclusions

Ranges of non-native species are not at equilibrium and are still spreading rapidly, posing a challenge for coastal ecosystem management.

目的量化入侵物种范围扩张的速度及其背后的机制是一个关键的管理目标,也为传播的生态学理论提供了信息。Byers等人发现,自首次全球引进(TSI)以来的时间是沿海海洋无脊椎动物相对于环境和物种特征的非本地范围大小的最强预测因子,物种预计将沿着海岸线平均扩展400公里/十年。在这里,十年后,我们使用同样的138只海洋无脊椎动物,重复了这一分析并验证了2014年至2024年平均入侵者扩张速度为400公里的预测。方法利用全球生物多样性信息设施(GBIF)下载物种发生情况,估计南北半球海岸线上每种入侵物种的非本地范围大小。我们将扩张速度计算为每个物种2024年的范围大小与Byers等人估计的2014年范围大小之间的差异。我们检验了(假设1)TSI仍然是解释全球侵入范围大小的最重要变量;(假设2)平均膨胀速度为400 km/decade;(假设3)通过物种的非本地范围分布特征(即初始范围大小、初始海岸线数量)最能预测物种的扩张速度;(假设4)不同分类类群的扩展速度不同。结果TSI仍然是非原生范围大小的最佳预测因子(RVI = 1, β: 0.39-0.42)。然而,自2014年以来,平均范围扩张速度为3000 km/ 10年,约为先前预测的8倍。分布范围大、分布于多个海岸线的物种扩张速度最快(R2 = 0.4),但扩张没有分类学规律。非本地物种的分布范围不处于平衡状态,并仍在迅速扩大,给沿海生态系统管理带来了挑战。
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引用次数: 0
Genomic Insights Into Diversity, Phylogeny, Hybridization and Evolutionary History of Palearctic Fish Genus Rutilus (Leuciscidae) 古北方鱼属贻贝的多样性、系统发育、杂交和进化史的基因组学研究
IF 4.2 2区 环境科学与生态学 Q1 BIODIVERSITY CONSERVATION Pub Date : 2025-12-02 DOI: 10.1111/ddi.70124
Boris Levin, Evgeniy Simonov, Radek Šanda, Jasna Vukić, Stamatis Zogaris, Aleksey Bolotovskiy, Marina Levina, Nikolai Mugue, Namiq Mustafayev, Juha Merilä

Aim

Using a widely distributed and frequently hybridising fish (genus Rutilus) in the Palearctic as a model system, we re-evaluated a series of hypotheses on phylogeny, taxonomy, phylogeography and the role of hybridization in evolutionary history based on the first large-scale analyses of nuclear SNPs together with mtDNA data obtained from all Rutilus species.

Location

Water systems in Northern Eurasia.

Methods

Based on nuclear (ddRADseq) data, we applied phylogenomic, population genomic and introgression analyses to assess the diversity of lineages, their distribution and hybridization in the context of the hypotheses tested.

Results

We identified 22 lineages in three major clades—Rutilus s. str., Leucos and Pararutilus. High diversity of lineages was discovered, with three revived species and three novel lineages of undescribed species in Europe. Evidence for extensive mito-nuclear discordance and ongoing and past inter- and intrageneric introgressive hybridization was found in many lineages. A Caucasian relic lineage and the endangered narrow endemic species ‘Rutilusatropatenus were found to represent an independent lineage (Orthroleucos) with a high level of past introgression with Rutilus.

Main Conclusions

The genetic structure of Rutilus revealed by nuclear SNPs contrasts markedly with that supported by mtDNA. Numerous mito-nuclear discordances are evidence of the past secondary contacts and highlight the weakness of taxonomy based on mtDNA alone. A super-lineage of mtDNA covering the range of many European, Siberian, Caucasian, and Central Asian Rutilus species (5000 km long) is a result of introgression of mtDNA from a widespread Ponto-Caspian lineage whose distribution likely pulsed with Pleistocene glaciation cycles. Anadromous life histories may have evolved in parallel in different clades and been facilitated by hybridization. The high plasticity, adaptiveness and species diversity of the genus Rutilus may be underlined by their heterogeneous genomes resulting from extensive interspecific hybridization. However, narrow-range endemic species may be threatened by introgressive hybridization.

目的以古北区分布广泛、杂交频繁的鹦鹉螺属(Rutilus属)为模型系统,基于首次大规模核单核苷酸多态性分析和所有鹦鹉螺物种的mtDNA数据,重新评估了一系列关于系统发育、分类、系统地理学和杂交在进化史中的作用的假设。欧亚大陆北部的水系统。方法基于核(ddRADseq)数据,应用系统基因组学、群体基因组学和基因渗入分析来评估世系的多样性、分布和杂交情况。结果鉴定出rutilus s. str.、Leucos .和Pararutilus 3大支系22个支系。发现了高度多样性的谱系,在欧洲有三个复活的物种和三个未被描述的物种的新谱系。在许多谱系中发现了广泛的核分裂不一致和正在进行和过去的基因间和基因内渐进杂交的证据。发现高加索遗迹谱系和濒临灭绝的狭窄地方性物种“Rutilus”atropatenus代表了一个独立的谱系(Orthroleucos),过去与Rutilus有高度的渗入。主要结论核snp揭示的贻贝遗传结构与mtDNA支持的遗传结构有显著差异。许多核分裂不一致是过去二次接触的证据,并突出了单独基于mtDNA的分类的弱点。一个覆盖了许多欧洲、西伯利亚、高加索和中亚贻贝物种(5000公里长)的mtDNA超谱系是广泛的本-里海谱系的mtDNA渗入的结果,该谱系的分布可能与更新世冰川旋回有关。雌雄同体的生活史可能是在不同的分支中平行进化的,并通过杂交得到促进。由于广泛的种间杂交而产生的异质基因组,可能突出了Rutilus属的高可塑性、适应性和物种多样性。然而,窄域特有种可能受到渐进杂交的威胁。
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引用次数: 0
Seasonal and Multidecadal Changes in the Distribution of Small Cetaceans Inhabiting the Western North Pacific Under a Changing Ocean Environment, Inferred From Species Distribution Models 海洋环境变化下北太平洋西部小型鲸类分布的季节和多年代际变化——基于物种分布模型的推断
IF 4.2 2区 环境科学与生态学 Q1 BIODIVERSITY CONSERVATION Pub Date : 2025-11-29 DOI: 10.1111/ddi.70113
Yu Kanaji, Shiho Furumaki, Hiroko Sasaki

Aim

For several decades, substantial efforts have monitored cetacean distribution and abundance in the western North Pacific. Large-scale visual-based line transect surveys have been conducted since the early 1980s, covering almost the entire western North Pacific. However, information on distribution patterns of cetacean species is concentrated in summer months when sighting conditions are preferred, while dolphin fisheries, one of the main threats to cetacean populations, are conducted mainly during winter months.

Location

The western North Pacific.

Methods

To fill information gaps between these seasons and improve conservation and management measures, we compiled long-term sighting data. We constructed a simple species distribution model (SDM) to estimate the seasonal patterns for 14 delphinid and phocoenid species. Although the sighting data remained limited outside summer, the distribution probability was intra- and extrapolated to respective seasons using the constructed SDMs.

Results

Model fitting tended to be better for the species inhabiting higher latitudes than for those in lower latitudes. In addition, seasonal patterns observed in our habitat prediction maps roughly corresponded to those patterns previously reported from coastal fishers' logbooks and satellite-tracking records. The model also estimated that some species distribution changes in response to long-term warming in water temperature over the past 30 years.

Main Conclusions

The study addresses the seasonal gaps in conservation and management measures and improves understanding of population structures of the species targeted by dolphin fisheries. Our approach to predicting distribution patterns spatiotemporally is widely applicable to conservation systems for marine animals inhabiting dynamic ocean environments.

几十年来,人们一直在努力监测北太平洋西部鲸类动物的分布和数量。自20世纪80年代初以来,已经进行了大规模的基于视觉的线样带调查,覆盖了几乎整个北太平洋西部。然而,有关鲸类物种分布模式的资料主要集中在夏季,因为夏季是观赏鲸类的最佳季节,而鲸类种群的主要威胁之一——海豚渔业则主要在冬季进行。地理位置:北太平洋西部。方法为填补季节间的信息空白,完善保护管理措施,编制长期观测资料。建立了一个简单的物种分布模型(SDM),对14种飞燕类和光子类的季节分布格局进行了估计。尽管在夏季之外的观测数据仍然有限,但利用所构建的sdm可以将分布概率内推和外推到各自的季节。结果高纬度物种的模型拟合效果优于低纬度物种。此外,在我们的栖息地预测图中观察到的季节模式大致与以前沿海渔民的日志和卫星跟踪记录中报告的模式相对应。该模型还估计,在过去30年里,一些物种的分布随着水温的长期变暖而发生了变化。本研究解决了保护和管理措施的季节性空白,提高了对海豚渔业目标物种种群结构的认识。该方法可广泛应用于动态海洋环境下的海洋动物保护系统。
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引用次数: 0
Invasive Alien Plants With Broader Niches Possess Higher Invasive Potential in China as a Result of Niche Conservatism and Effective Niche Filling 由于生态位保守性和有效的生态位填充,生态位更广的外来入侵植物在中国具有更高的入侵潜力
IF 4.2 2区 环境科学与生态学 Q1 BIODIVERSITY CONSERVATION Pub Date : 2025-11-29 DOI: 10.1111/ddi.70119
Jia Wang, Yu Chen, Chunling Zhang, Xingjiang Song, Yingying Sun, Jiabin Zou, Gang Liu

Aim

Niche conservatism and niche shift, as two opposing ecological processes influencing invasive species spread, pose challenges for developing management strategies in China. However, how these mechanisms interact during invasion remains unclear. We propose that this uncertainty stems from species traits and invasion histories. Specifically, compared to weak invasive and non-invasive alien plants, we hypothesize that vigorous invasive plants in China are more likely to exhibit niche shifts.

Location

China.

Methods

We quantified the niche dynamics of three categories of alien plant species in China using PCA and their driving factors, while simultaneously predicting their potential distributions with the MaxEnt model.

Results

Annual mean temperature (Bio1), maximum temperature of the warmest month (Bio5), and precipitation of the driest month (Bio14) were identified as key environmental variables. Most alien plant species exhibited strong niche conservatism. Vigorous and weak invaders showed higher niche stability, lower unfilling, and lower pioneering, whereas non-invaders displayed higher niche expansion, unfilling, and pioneering. The niche centroids of most species shifted toward warmer, drier, and lower-elevation areas with more intensive human activity. Longer residence time was associated with lower niche unfilling across all three species categories. Propagule pressure promoted niche filling in vigorous and weak invaders. Species with broader native ranges exhibited higher niche stability. MaxEnt models indicated that vigorous and weak invaders had extensive potential distributions, while non-invaders were more restricted.

Main Conclusion

The invasion success of alien plants in China mainly depends on niche conservatism and effective niche filling rather than extensive niche expansion. Long-term residence and strong propagule pressure promote the occupation of potential habitats. Native niche breadth has a positive effect on niche conservatism. These findings provide a scientific basis for the monitoring, risk assessment, and management of alien plants.

目的生态位稳稳性和生态位转移是影响入侵物种传播的两个对立的生态过程,对中国入侵物种管理策略的制定提出了挑战。然而,这些机制在入侵过程中如何相互作用仍不清楚。我们认为这种不确定性源于物种特征和入侵历史。具体而言,与弱入侵植物和非入侵植物相比,我们假设中国的强壮入侵植物更有可能发生生态位转移。位置 中国。方法利用主成分分析(PCA)对中国3类外来植物的生态位动态及其驱动因子进行量化,同时利用MaxEnt模型对其潜在分布进行预测。结果确定了年平均温度(Bio1)、最暖月份最高温度(Bio5)和最干旱月份降水(Bio14)为主要环境变量。大多数外来植物物种表现出较强的生态位保守性。强入侵者和弱入侵者表现出较高的生态位稳定性、较低的未填充性和较低的开拓性,而非入侵者表现出较高的生态位扩展性、未填充性和开拓性。大多数物种的生态位质心向温暖、干燥、低海拔、人类活动更密集的地区转移。停留时间越长,生态位空缺率越低。繁殖体压力促进了强入侵者和弱入侵者的生态位填充。原生地越广的物种生态位稳定性越高。MaxEnt模型表明,强、弱入侵植物具有广泛的潜在分布,而非入侵植物的潜在分布较为有限。结论外来植物在中国的成功入侵主要取决于生态位的保守性和有效的生态位填充,而不是广泛的生态位扩张。长期居住和强大的繁殖压力促进了潜在栖息地的占领。生态位宽度对生态位保守性有正向影响。这些发现为外来植物的监测、风险评估和管理提供了科学依据。
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引用次数: 0
Impact of Climate Change on the Multiple Facets of Forest Bird Diversity in a Biodiversity Hotspot Within the Atlantic Forest 气候变化对大西洋森林生物多样性热点地区森林鸟类多样性的影响
IF 4.2 2区 环境科学与生态学 Q1 BIODIVERSITY CONSERVATION Pub Date : 2025-11-28 DOI: 10.1111/ddi.70129
Flávio Mariano Machado Mota, José Carlos Morante-Filho, Richard G. Davies, Çağan H. Şekercioğlu, Neander Marcel Heming, Daniela Custódio Talora

Aim

Climate change is driving species to either shift their ranges or face extinction. While its effects on taxonomic diversity (TD) are relatively well understood, the impacts on functional diversity (FD) and phylogenetic diversity (PD) remain less explored. Among the biological metrics considered in protected area (PA) selection, TD is the most common, yet its effectiveness in also capturing high FD and PD under future climate scenarios is uncertain. Here, we assess the implications of future climate scenarios for the conservation of TD, FD and PD of forest birds.

Location

Central Corridor of the Atlantic Forest (CCAF), Brazil.

Methods

We used ecological niche models to project the species distributions of 292 forest birds for baseline and future (2050 and 2070) scenarios. We generated binary maps of suitable areas for each species and calculated alpha and beta diversities for TD, FD and PD. We also evaluated spatial overlaps between highly diverse areas and the current PA network.

Results

Most species are projected to experience range contractions, leading to declines in TD, FD, and PD. The western CCAF, a subregion with low diversity, is expected to face the greatest losses, while coastal areas show greater resilience with fewer declines. FD and PD exhibit distinct spatial patterns, including functional type replacements in the northwestern CCAF and variations in phylogenetic lineages in the central-eastern subregion. Northeastern PAs may retain higher diversity in the future, while the southern CCAF remains underrepresented in the current PA network. The eastern CCAF is identified as a subregion of community stability across TD, FD and PD.

Main Conclusions

Incorporating multiple facets of diversity offers a comprehensive framework for conservation strategies. Beta diversity highlights critical stable areas connecting highly diverse subregions of the CCAF. Therefore, a better understanding of these patterns can guide the preservation of species, their ecological roles and evolutionary heritage in a changing world.

气候变化正在迫使物种要么改变生存范围,要么面临灭绝。虽然其对分类多样性(TD)的影响已经比较清楚,但对功能多样性(FD)和系统发育多样性(PD)的影响尚不清楚。在保护区(PA)选择中考虑的生物指标中,TD是最常见的,但其在未来气候情景下捕获高FD和PD的有效性尚不确定。在此,我们评估了未来气候情景对森林鸟类TD、FD和PD保护的影响。地点:巴西大西洋森林中央走廊(CCAF)。方法利用生态位模型预测了292种森林鸟类在基线和未来(2050年和2070年)情景下的物种分布。我们绘制了各物种适宜面积的二值图,并计算了TD、FD和PD的α和β多样性。我们还评估了高度多样化地区与当前PA网络之间的空间重叠。结果大多数物种预计会经历范围收缩,导致TD、FD和PD下降。西部CCAF是一个多样性较低的分区域,预计将面临最大的损失,而沿海地区则表现出更强的恢复能力,下降较少。FD和PD表现出明显的空间格局,包括西北地区功能类型的替换和中东部次区域系统发育谱系的变化。东北部保护区在未来可能保持较高的多样性,而南部的CCAF在目前的保护区网络中仍然代表性不足。东部CCAF被确定为横跨TD、FD和PD的社区稳定分区域。结合多样性的多个方面为保护策略提供了一个全面的框架。Beta多样性突出了连接CCAF高度多样化子区域的关键稳定区域。因此,更好地了解这些模式可以指导物种的保护,它们的生态作用和进化遗产在不断变化的世界中。
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引用次数: 0
Hierarchical Habitat Selection for Reconstructing Past and Present Niches and Distributions of Data-Limited Species Under Climate Change 气候变化下数据有限物种过去和现在生态位重建的分层生境选择
IF 4.2 2区 环境科学与生态学 Q1 BIODIVERSITY CONSERVATION Pub Date : 2025-11-26 DOI: 10.1111/ddi.70128
Reza Goljani Amirkhiz, Timothy M. Brown, Katharina Leitner, Gabriel Hong, Kristen Ruegg, Mevin B. Hooten, Erika S. Zavaleta
<div> <section> <h3> Aim</h3> <p>Understanding ecological niche shifts is crucial for predicting future changes under climate change. Modelling past niche dynamics provides a baseline for gauging the severity and direction of ongoing shifts. However, reconstructing historical habitats for data-limited, range-restricted species is challenging, as sparse species records hinder robust inference. We introduce and apply a hierarchical modelling framework to reconstruct historical habitats, assess niche shifts over time, and estimate prediction uncertainty for data-limited species. We applied this framework to the Sierra Nevada Grey-crowned Rosy-Finch (<i>Leucosticte tephrocotis dawsoni</i>) to evaluate changes in breeding habitat suitability under climate change.</p> </section> <section> <h3> Location</h3> <p>Alpine regions of California, USA.</p> </section> <section> <h3> Methods</h3> <p>We applied a hierarchical habitat selection approach based on three orders. Available habitats of finer orders were selected based on insights from broader orders. For each covariate we defined a range of nested scales of effects and employed indicator variable selection and spike-and-slab priors for variable selection. Historical niche relationships (1954–1980) were used as priors alongside current survey and bioclimatic data to characterise present-day suitable habitats (2018–2022), estimate niche shifts, validate models and assess conservation implications.</p> </section> <section> <h3> Results</h3> <p>We found substantial habitat declines, with suitability contracting by 40%–64% across habitat selection orders and suitable breeding areas shifting upslope by approximately 280 m. Historically, suitable habitats were characterised by rugged, high-elevation terrain with persistent snow. Contemporary distributions show reduced topographic constraints but increased reliance on diminishing snow resources, suggesting potential niche expansion.</p> </section> <section> <h3> Main Conclusions</h3> <p>Our approach effectively identified key variables across habitat selection orders, revealing both niche contraction and expansion driven by reduced snow persistence, processes likely affecting many alpine species globally. This framework offers a robust tool for characterising habitat changes for data-limited species, with broad applicability for conservation planning. It also highlights the dynamic role of scale in species niches across space and time.</p> </secti
目的了解生态位变化对预测未来气候变化具有重要意义。对过去生态位动态的建模为衡量正在发生的变化的严重程度和方向提供了一个基线。然而,重建数据有限,范围有限的物种的历史栖息地是具有挑战性的,因为稀疏的物种记录阻碍了稳健的推断。我们引入并应用分层建模框架来重建历史栖息地,评估生态位随时间的变化,并估计数据有限物种的预测不确定性。我们将此框架应用于内华达灰冠雀(Leucosticte tephrocotis dawsoni),以评估气候变化下其繁殖栖息地适宜性的变化。地理位置:美国加州的高山地区。方法采用基于三阶的分层生境选择方法。精细目的可用栖息地是根据更广泛目的见解来选择的。对于每个协变量,我们定义了一系列嵌套的效应尺度,并采用指标变量选择和尖峰-板先验进行变量选择。历史生态位关系(1954-1980)与当前的调查和生物气候数据一起被用作先验,以表征当前的适宜栖息地(2018-2022),估计生态位变化,验证模型并评估保护意义。结果生境适宜性显著下降,生境适宜性在生境选择顺序上收缩40% ~ 64%,适宜繁殖区域上移约280 m。从历史上看,适合的栖息地的特点是崎岖不平的高海拔地形和持续的积雪。当代分布显示地形限制减少,但增加了对减少的雪资源的依赖,表明潜在的生态位扩展。我们的方法有效地识别了生境选择顺序中的关键变量,揭示了由积雪持久性降低驱动的生态位收缩和扩张,这一过程可能影响全球许多高山物种。该框架为描述数据有限的物种的栖息地变化提供了一个强有力的工具,对保护规划具有广泛的适用性。它还强调了尺度在物种生态位中跨时空的动态作用。
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引用次数: 0
Spatial Occupancy Patterns of the Endangered Northern Long-Eared Bat in New England 新英格兰濒危北方长耳蝠的空间占用模式
IF 4.2 2区 环境科学与生态学 Q1 BIODIVERSITY CONSERVATION Pub Date : 2025-11-25 DOI: 10.1111/ddi.70122
Jesse L. De La Cruz, Sabrina M. Deeley, Elizabeth A. Hunter, W. Mark Ford
<div> <section> <h3> Aim</h3> <p>White-nose syndrome has caused severe declines in eastern North American cave bats, leading to the federal listing of the northern long-eared bat (<i>Myotis septentrionalis</i>) as endangered in the United States and Canada. This has heightened the importance of long-term monitoring to inform species status assessments. We employed a combination of long-term repeated and single-season acoustic survey data to assess the regional presence, spatial distribution, occupancy, and detection probability of northern long-eared bats.</p> </section> <section> <h3> Location</h3> <p>New England, United States.</p> </section> <section> <h3> Methods</h3> <p>We analysed acoustic data from 2357 detector sites, aggregated by year, using Bayesian single-species occupancy models. We investigated the influence of habitat characteristics, climatic variables, and year (2015–2022) on occupancy and the effects of weather conditions and survey month (May to August) on detection probability. Spatial random effects were included to address residual spatial autocorrelation, with a 1-km resolution chosen based on significant positive autocorrelation observed in a non-spatial model.</p> </section> <section> <h3> Results</h3> <p>Occupancy was highest on steep, forested hillsides with minimal anthropogenic development, higher in warmer regions, particularly along coastlines and on offshore islands, and declined across survey years. Including a 1-km spatial random effect reduced residual autocorrelation and suggests northern long-eared bats utilise resources at small to medium landscape scales. Detection probability was highest earlier in the maternity season, but declined when monthly precipitation or temperature exceeded average conditions.</p> </section> <section> <h3> Conclusions</h3> <p>Conservation efforts that focus on steep, forested hillsides in warmer regions with low anthropogenic development could be beneficial. Our analysis supports the use of spatial random effects at a 1-km<sup>2</sup> scale, highlighting the importance of survey designs that capture ecological variation at species-specific resolutions. Additionally, early-season acoustic surveys conducted during favourable weather conditions may improve monitoring effectiveness. Acoustic sampling and spatial occupancy modelling offer powerful tools for monitoring remnant populations of northern long-eared bats and guiding conservation practices.</p> </section>
白鼻综合症导致北美东部洞穴蝙蝠数量严重下降,导致美国和加拿大将北部长耳蝙蝠(Myotis septentrionalis)列为濒危物种。这提高了长期监测的重要性,为物种状况评估提供信息。采用长期重复和单季节声学调查相结合的方法,评估了北方长耳蝙蝠的区域存在、空间分布、占用率和探测概率。地理位置:美国新英格兰。方法采用贝叶斯单物种占用模型,对2357个监测点按年汇总的声学数据进行分析。研究了生境特征、气候变量和年份(2015-2022年)对入住率的影响,以及天气条件和调查月份(5 - 8月)对检测概率的影响。考虑空间随机效应来处理剩余空间自相关,并根据非空间模型中观察到的显著正自相关选择1公里分辨率。结果占用率在人为开发最少的陡峭、森林覆盖的山坡上最高,在温暖地区(特别是沿海和近海岛屿)较高,并且在调查期间呈下降趋势。1 km的空间随机效应降低了残差自相关,表明北方长耳蝙蝠在中小景观尺度上利用资源。当月降水或气温超过平均水平时,检测概率下降,在孕季早期检测概率最高。结论:在低人为开发的温暖地区,将保护重点放在陡峭、森林覆盖的山坡上可能是有益的。我们的分析支持在1平方公里尺度上使用空间随机效应,强调了以特定物种分辨率捕捉生态变化的调查设计的重要性。此外,在有利天气条件下进行的早期声学调查可以提高监测效率。声学采样和空间占用模型为监测北方长耳蝙蝠残余种群和指导保护实践提供了有力的工具。
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引用次数: 0
Identifying Ecological Knowledge and Research Gaps via the African Database of Savanna Protected Areas (ADSPA) 通过非洲热带稀树草原保护区数据库(ADSPA)识别生态知识和研究差距
IF 4.2 2区 环境科学与生态学 Q1 BIODIVERSITY CONSERVATION Pub Date : 2025-11-23 DOI: 10.1111/ddi.70123
T. Michael Anderson, Gareth P. Hempson, Jason E. Donaldson, Colin M. Beale, Mariska te Beest, Colin Courtney-Mustaphi, Joris P. G. M. Cromsigt, Colleen Foy, Richard Fynn, Niall P. Hanan, Catherine L. Parr, James Probert, Liza le Roux, Keoikantse Sianga, Izak P. J. Smit, A. Carla Staver, Sally Archibald

Aim

Despite their extent (40° of latitude and 50° of longitude), research in African savannas is dominated by a few heavily studied areas. We gathered data from African savanna protected areas to (i) evaluate their contributions to the primary literature, (ii) identify environmental groupings with respect to climate, soils, and landscape variables, and (iii) analyze the determinants of tree cover and fire within groupings.

Location

Africa.

Methods

We extracted climate, soil, topography, hydrology, elephant, fire, and tree cover data from polygon boundaries for 244 African savanna protected areas. The polygon layers and data were assembled into a novel geodatabase: African Database of Savanna Protected Areas (ADSPA). Cluster analysis identified natural bioclimatic groupings and structural equation modelling was used to analyse and compare the drivers of fire and tree cover within and across clusters.

Results

Previous literature disproportionately focused on a few savannas: 46% of savanna publications came from 2% of protected areas. Cluster analysis identified five bioclimatic groups: (1) African hot mesic savannas, (2) African cool mesic fertile savannas, (3) West African hot semi-arid savannas, (4) Southern African semi-arid savannas, and (5) Kalahari arid savannas. Current savanna science in protected areas is biased toward the Southern African semi-arid and African cool mesic fertile savannas, while hot mesic, hot semi-arid, and arid savannas are underrepresented. Climate and soils were strongly associated with tree cover and fire across protected areas, but no significant biome-wide effects of fire on tree cover emerged. However, tree cover was negatively related to fire in the hot mesic savanna cluster.

Main Conclusions

Significant biogeographic and ecological variation within African savannas highlights the need for research across the entire breadth of the biome, especially West Africa. We stress the need for spatially explicit, Africa-wide, data on mammalian herbivore biomass to better assess the importance of this variable for savanna functioning.

尽管非洲稀树大草原的范围很广(纬度40°,经度50°),但对非洲稀树大草原的研究主要集中在少数几个研究领域。我们收集了来自非洲热带稀树草原保护区的数据,以(i)评估它们对原始文献的贡献,(ii)根据气候、土壤和景观变量确定环境分组,以及(iii)分析分组内树木覆盖和火灾的决定因素。位置 非洲。方法提取244个非洲热带稀树草原保护区多边形边界上的气候、土壤、地形、水文、大象、火灾和树木覆盖数据。多边形层和数据被组装成一个新的地理数据库:非洲热带草原保护区数据库(ADSPA)。聚类分析确定了自然生物气候分组,并使用结构方程模型分析和比较了聚类内部和跨聚类的火灾和树木覆盖驱动因素。先前的文献不成比例地集中在少数稀树草原上:46%的稀树草原出版物来自2%的保护区。聚类分析确定了5个生物气候类群:(1)非洲热系结稀树草原,(2)非洲冷系结肥沃稀树草原,(3)西非热半干旱稀树草原,(4)南部非洲半干旱稀树草原,(5)喀拉哈里干旱稀树草原。目前保护区的热带稀树草原科学偏向于南部非洲半干旱和非洲凉爽的mesic肥沃稀树草原,而热mesic、热半干旱和干旱稀树草原的代表性不足。气候和土壤与森林覆盖和火灾密切相关,但火灾对森林覆盖的影响不显著。然而,在炎热的介系热带稀树草原集群中,树木盖度与火灾呈负相关。非洲稀树草原内显著的生物地理和生态变异突出了对整个生物群系进行研究的必要性,特别是西非。我们强调需要在空间上明确,全非洲范围内的哺乳动物草食动物生物量数据,以更好地评估这一变量对稀树草原功能的重要性。
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引用次数: 0
Many Plant Species in Europe Have Limited Capacity to Track Climate Change 欧洲许多植物物种追踪气候变化的能力有限
IF 4.2 2区 环境科学与生态学 Q1 BIODIVERSITY CONSERVATION Pub Date : 2025-11-21 DOI: 10.1111/ddi.70115
Marjon Hellegers, Duco H. Krist, Aafke M. Schipper

Aim

No or unlimited dispersal capacities of species are commonly assumed in species distribution models (SDMs) used to assess potential impacts of climate change on biodiversity. However, these assumptions may lead to overly pessimistic or optimistic predictions. We aim to assess how outputs of broad-scale SDMs of plants based on species-specific dispersal estimates compare to outputs based on no and unlimited dispersal assumptions under climate change.

Location

Europe.

Method

We developed SDMs using occurrence records of 1318 vascular plant species in Europe and predictor variables representative of climate, soil and topographic conditions. We used the SDMs to project species to 2071–2100 for two climate scenarios (mild and severe climate change) combined with three dispersal assumptions: species-specific, no dispersal, and unlimited dispersal. We then calculated the range sizes, species richness, and changes in both for each combination.

Results

Range size changes and species richness changes based on species-specific dispersal estimates generally approximated those under the no dispersal assumption in both climate scenarios. This reflects that the majority of the species in our sample have a limited capacity to disperse. Only for the minority of species dispersed by wind or animals did the incorporation of species-specific dispersal estimates result in clearly smaller projected range losses compared to the no dispersal assumption. However, also for these species the assumption of unlimited dispersal was generally too optimistic.

Main Conclusions

We found that many plant species considered in our study have a limited capacity to disperse beyond their current range under climate change. We recommend incorporating species-specific dispersal estimates in broad-scale SDMs of plants, to reduce uncertainties in species distributions projected under climate change. In the absence of this information, we recommend assuming no dispersal capacity for species with low dispersal rates, because the assumption of unlimited dispersal leads to considerably overestimated future range sizes and species richness.

目的在评估气候变化对生物多样性潜在影响的物种分布模型(SDMs)中,通常假设物种的扩散能力为零或无限。然而,这些假设可能导致过于悲观或乐观的预测。我们的目的是评估在气候变化下,基于物种特定扩散估计的植物大尺度sdm的产出与基于无扩散和无限扩散假设的产出如何比较。位置 欧洲。方法利用欧洲1318种维管植物的发生记录和代表气候、土壤和地形条件的预测变量,建立SDMs模型。我们利用SDMs预测了2071-2100年两种气候情景(温和和严重气候变化)下的物种分布,并结合了三种扩散假设:物种特有、无扩散和无限扩散。然后,我们计算了每种组合的范围大小、物种丰富度以及两者的变化。结果两种气候情景下,基于物种特异性扩散估算的范围大小变化和物种丰富度变化基本接近无扩散假设。这反映了我们样本中的大多数物种具有有限的分散能力。与没有扩散的假设相比,只有对被风或动物传播的少数物种,结合特定物种的扩散估计才导致明显较小的预测范围损失。然而,对于这些物种来说,无限扩散的假设通常过于乐观。我们发现,在气候变化的影响下,我们研究的许多植物物种在其现有范围之外的分散能力有限。我们建议在大尺度植物sdm中纳入物种特异性扩散估算,以减少气候变化下物种分布预测的不确定性。在缺乏这些信息的情况下,我们建议对低扩散率的物种假设没有扩散能力,因为无限扩散的假设导致对未来范围大小和物种丰富度的估计过高。
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引用次数: 0
Cover page 封面页
IF 4.2 2区 环境科学与生态学 Q1 BIODIVERSITY CONSERVATION Pub Date : 2025-11-21 DOI: 10.1111/ddi.70125

The cover image relates to the Research Article https://doi.org/10.1111/ddi.70072 “Historical Impacts of Invasive Species May Not Always Be What They Seem: A Genetic Perspective From an Endangered Native Species” by Jense et al. Natural habitat for the endemic fish Galaxias johnstoni in the Central Highlands of Tasmania. Photo credit: Charlotte Jense.

封面图片与Jense等人的研究文章https://doi.org/10.1111/ddi.70072“入侵物种的历史影响可能并不总是他们看起来的那样:来自濒危本地物种的遗传视角”有关。塔斯马尼亚中部高地特有鱼类约翰斯顿星系的自然栖息地。图片来源:Charlotte Jense
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引用次数: 0
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Diversity and Distributions
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