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Drought driving mechanism and risk situation prediction based on machine learning models in the Yellow River Basin, China 基于机器学习模型的黄河流域干旱驱动机制及风险态势预测
3区 地球科学 Q1 GEOSCIENCES, MULTIDISCIPLINARY Pub Date : 2023-11-10 DOI: 10.1080/19475705.2023.2279493
Ling Kang, Yunliang Wen, Liwei Zhou, Hao Chen, Jinwang Ye
Under global warming, the acceleration of the water cycle has increased the risk of drought in the Yellow River Basin. Revealing the drought driving mechanisms in the basin and understanding the risk situation of drought have become particularly important. This paper uses wavelet analysis and transfer entropy to analyze the drought driving mechanisms. In addition, an Improved Particle Swarm Optimization (IPSO) coupled with Long Short-Term Memory (LSTM) is used for drought risk prediction. The results are as follows: (1) Hydrological drought lags behind meteorological drought by 2–3 months, and they show two main periods on different time scales, which are 5–6 months and 8–14 months, respectively. (2) Rainfall, runoff, temperature, humidity, and vapor pressure are the main drought driving factors, with rainfall and humidity having the most significant impact. (3) The IPSO-LSTM model has improved the process of selecting model parameters based on empirical experiences in the LSTM model, improving the prediction accuracy by an average of 3.1%. This paper provides a scientific basis for water resource management and drought risk assessment in the basin, to better cope with future climate challenges.
在全球变暖的背景下,水循环的加速增加了黄河流域干旱的风险。揭示流域干旱驱动机制,认识干旱风险状况显得尤为重要。利用小波分析和传递熵分析了干旱的驱动机制。此外,将改进的粒子群优化(IPSO)与长短期记忆(LSTM)相结合,用于干旱风险预测。结果表明:①水文干旱滞后于气象干旱2 ~ 3个月,在不同时间尺度上表现为5 ~ 6个月和8 ~ 14个月两个主要周期;(2)降雨、径流、温度、湿度和水汽压是干旱的主要驱动因子,其中降雨和湿度的影响最为显著。(3) IPSO-LSTM模型改进了LSTM模型中基于经验经验选择模型参数的过程,预测精度平均提高3.1%。为流域水资源管理和干旱风险评估提供科学依据,更好地应对未来气候挑战。
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引用次数: 0
Dynamic association of slope movements in the Uttarakhand Himalaya: a critical review on the landslide susceptibility assessment 北阿坎德邦喜马拉雅地区斜坡运动的动态关联:滑坡易感性评估的重要回顾
3区 地球科学 Q1 GEOSCIENCES, MULTIDISCIPLINARY Pub Date : 2023-11-09 DOI: 10.1080/19475705.2023.2273214
Harish Khali, Kishan Singh Rawat, Rajat Subhra Chatterjee
Slope movement, the surface expressions as seated scars are the variety of surface deformation mechanisms on the earth’s outer crust. These slow-deformation mechanisms can be visualized easily, if in-situ geotechnical observations, GNSS synopticity (regional), and space-borne (Microwave) spatio-temporal data structured and interpreted accordingly. Globally, several techniques are adapted for the slope failure analysis and their zonation. Thus, the most directed with geospatial technologies. Wide area assessment, mapping, and monitoring are some complex tasks only possible and could be addressed with the space borne datasets. Their outcomes help users to implement area strategies viz. in susceptibility and vulnerability. Landslide Susceptibility mapping (LSM) quantify the problem very effectively. In LSM, soft computing analytical skills among various participatory and triggering factors for the application of complex models are required for ground simulation. In this article critical review of LSM over Uttarakhand Himalaya was primarily focussed which analyze various sections including- participatory/triggering factors, datasets, different models, and validation practices. The study exhibits multiple avenues and future pathways for various research windows, such as LSM-SAR refinement, orographic climatic and changing factor relationship, high-quality data coupling with drone/Unmanned Aerial Vehicle (UAV) data, etc. Such analysis implicates the cost-effectiveness of strategies in effective planning and management.
斜坡运动,其表面表现形式为座痕,是地球外地壳表面形变机制的多种表现形式。如果对现场岩土观测、GNSS天气(区域)和星载(微波)时空数据进行相应的结构化和解释,这些缓慢变形机制就可以很容易地可视化。在全球范围内,几种技术适用于边坡破坏分析及其分区。因此,最直接的是地理空间技术。广域评估、制图和监测是一些复杂的任务,只有通过空间载数据集才能解决。其结果有助于用户实施区域战略,即易感性和脆弱性。滑坡敏感性制图(LSM)非常有效地量化了这一问题。在LSM中,对复杂模型应用的各种参与因子和触发因子的软计算分析能力是进行地面模拟的必要条件。在这篇文章中,对北阿坎德邦喜马拉雅地区的LSM进行了批判性的回顾,主要集中在分析各个部分,包括参与/触发因素、数据集、不同的模型和验证实践。该研究为不同的研究窗口展示了多种途径和未来路径,如LSM-SAR细化、地形气候和变化因子关系、高质量数据与无人机/无人机(UAV)数据的耦合等。这种分析涉及战略在有效规划和管理方面的成本效益。
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引用次数: 0
Co-seismic characterization analysis in PWV and land-atmospheric observations associated with Luding Ms 6.8 earthquake occurrence in China on September 5, 2022 2022年9月5日中国泸定6.8级地震的PWV和陆-气观测同震特征分析
3区 地球科学 Q1 GEOSCIENCES, MULTIDISCIPLINARY Pub Date : 2023-11-09 DOI: 10.1080/19475705.2023.2279494
Ao Guo, Nan Jiang, Yan Xu, Tianhe Xu, Yuhao Wu, Song Li, Zhaorui Gao
The Sichuan Luding earthquake that struck on September 5, 2022 is one of the strongest earthquakes in China in recent years. The analysis of precipitable water vapor (PWV) retrieved from the ground-based global navigation satellite system (GNSS), surface pressure (SP), surface latent heat flux (SLHF), and land surface temperature (LST) from the reanalysis dataset was carried out in the epicenter and the nearby areas. The results show that PWV decreases distinctly and reaches the trough at the outburst with significant minimums of 43.21 mm and 37.84 mm over the nearest SCSM and SCTQ station from the epicenter. SLHF also has the same trend, and SP increased. Additionally, the LST analysis from two-temporal series was conducted to reveal that the Luding event accompanies by a low-temperature anomaly. Based on the background field established from the same period of the last ten years, LST at the epicenter on the day of occurrence was 5.68 °C lower than in previous years. Furthermore, the strongest low-temperature anomalies were observed from September 4 to 6, with the anomaly index of −1.95, −1.71, and −1.60, respectively. It is plain that the parameters from the land and atmosphere perform the anomalies at the minimum during the Luding earthquake.
2022年9月5日发生的四川泸定地震是中国近年来最强烈的地震之一。利用地面卫星导航系统(GNSS)反演的可降水量(PWV)、再分析数据集的地表压力(SP)、地表潜热通量(SLHF)和地表温度(LST)对震中及附近地区进行了分析。结果表明:距震中最近的SCSM站和SCTQ站的PWV明显减小,并在突出处达到波谷,最小值分别为43.21 mm和37.84 mm;SLHF也有相同的趋势,SP升高。此外,对两个时间序列的LST分析表明,泸定事件伴随着一个低温异常。根据近10年同期建立的背景场,震中发生当天的地表温度比往年低5.68℃。9月4 ~ 6日低温异常最强,异常指数分别为- 1.95、- 1.71和- 1.60。陆、大气参数在泸定地震中表现出最小的异常。
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引用次数: 0
Application research on digital twins of urban earthquake disasters 城市地震灾害数字孪生应用研究
3区 地球科学 Q1 GEOSCIENCES, MULTIDISCIPLINARY Pub Date : 2023-11-08 DOI: 10.1080/19475705.2023.2278274
Sihan Yu, Qiyun Lei, Chao Liu, Nan Zhang, Shuaishuai Shan, Xiaoming Zeng
The digital twin of an earthquake disaster city constructed using digital twin technology can reflect the data of different stages of the earthquake disaster in the virtual space and can ensure high synchronisation and simulation of the two to effectively improve the safety of emergency rescue personnel and the scientific decision-making ability of decision makers. Oblique photogrammetry matched the Light Detection and Ranging (LiDAR) data to complete a high-precision three-dimensional real-scene model. The urban digital twin model was established as a module with the three-dimensional white model generated by the two-dimensional frame data with a fast update speed. Based on the shortest-fault-distance intensity-attenuation model, the seismic intensity was calculated using a known active fault and aftershock sequence, and the applicability of this method was verified. The elastic-plastic time history analysis method was used to calculate the seismic response of the building, and the seismic damage level was visualised using a three-dimensional model. The dynamic changes of earthquake disasters are monitored by sensors in real time and analysed in a digital twin model to provide an optimal scheme for earthquake emergency rescue and accurate evaluation results of earthquake disasters.
利用数字孪生技术构建的地震灾害城市数字孪生,可以在虚拟空间中反映地震灾害不同阶段的数据,保证两者的高度同步性和模拟性,有效提高应急救援人员的安全性和决策者的科学决策能力。斜向摄影测量与光探测和测距(LiDAR)数据相匹配,完成高精度三维实景模型。以更新速度快的二维框架数据生成的三维白色模型为模块,建立城市数字孪生模型。基于最短断层距离强度衰减模型,利用已知的活动断层和余震序列计算地震烈度,并验证了该方法的适用性。采用弹塑性时程分析方法计算建筑物的地震反应,并采用三维模型可视化震害等级。利用传感器实时监测地震灾害的动态变化,并采用数字孪生模型进行分析,为地震应急救援提供最优方案和准确的地震灾害评估结果。
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引用次数: 0
Numerical simulation and safety distance analysis of slope instability of ionic rare earth tailings in different rainy seasons 不同雨季离子型稀土尾矿边坡失稳数值模拟及安全距离分析
3区 地球科学 Q1 GEOSCIENCES, MULTIDISCIPLINARY Pub Date : 2023-11-07 DOI: 10.1080/19475705.2023.2277127
Jiabo Geng, Zhisong Wang, Xiang Lan, Xiaoshuang Li, Dongming Zhang
A significant number of ionic rare earth tailings slopes were generated during the process of rare earth mining and the factor of safety of these slopes continued to decrease under the action of rainfall. This study focussed on a specific tailings slope located in Dayu County, Ganzhou City. Through the utilization of MatDEM numerical simulation software, the variations in infiltration distribution and destabilization evolution of the tailings slope between different seasons were comparatively examined. The results indicated that during the rainy season (May to June), increased rainfall led to increased rate of water infiltration, consequently reducing the stability of the slope and exacerbating landslide damage. Furthermore, the study provided analyses of safety distances under different seasons of rainfall, taking into account the geographical location of the tailings slope in Dayu County, Ganzhou City, and the results of the analyses provided theoretical foundation into ensuring the safety of buildings and residents downstream of the slope.
稀土开采过程中产生了大量离子型稀土尾矿边坡,在降雨作用下,离子型稀土尾矿边坡的安全系数持续降低。本研究以赣州市大余县某尾矿坡为研究对象。利用MatDEM数值模拟软件,对比考察了不同季节尾矿库边坡入渗分布及失稳演化的变化规律。结果表明:在雨季(5 ~ 6月),降雨增加导致入渗速率增加,从而降低了边坡的稳定性,加剧了滑坡破坏;考虑赣州市大余县尾矿库边坡的地理位置,对不同降雨季节下的安全距离进行了分析,分析结果为保障尾矿库边坡下游建筑和居民的安全提供了理论依据。
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引用次数: 0
Extraction of landslide morphology based on Topographic Profile along the Direction of Slope Movement using UAV images 基于地形轮廓线的无人机影像坡面运动方向滑坡形态提取
3区 地球科学 Q1 GEOSCIENCES, MULTIDISCIPLINARY Pub Date : 2023-11-07 DOI: 10.1080/19475705.2023.2278276
Yujie Zhang, Jia Li, Jiajia Liu, Wenbin Xie, Ping Duan
The landslide morphology is quickly and accurately extracted from Unmanned Air Vehicle (UAV) images. It is of great significance for emergency rescue and quantitative evaluation of landslide disasters. However, due to the complexity of landslide morphology, choosing the reasonable extraction thresholds is a challenging issue. A threshold selection method of Topographic Profile along the Direction of Slope Movement (TP-DSM) was proposed. Firstly, a hierarchical extraction rule sets for landslide morphology was constructed by integrating multi-feature information such as spectral, texture, geometry, topography and space of UAV images. Second, TP-DSM was proposed to select the optimal elevation thresholds for classifying different landslide morphology. Finally, the thresholds were introduced into the rule sets to achieve effective extraction of landslide morphology. This study uses Digital Orthophoto Map (DOM) and Digital Elevation Model (DEM) generated by UAV images as data sources, and the landslide in Luquan County, Yunnan Province, China as the Study area, the results show that the overall accuracy (OA) of landslide morphology extraction was 89.58%, and the Kappa coefficient was 0.88, which is effective and more consistent with the reality. The proposed method can also be applied to other potential locations.
从无人机(UAV)图像中快速准确地提取滑坡形态。对滑坡灾害的应急救援和定量评价具有重要意义。然而,由于滑坡形态的复杂性,选择合理的提取阈值是一个具有挑战性的问题。提出了一种沿坡移方向地形剖面的阈值选择方法。首先,综合无人机影像的光谱、纹理、几何、地形、空间等多特征信息,构建滑坡形态分层提取规则集;其次,提出了TP-DSM方法,选取最优高程阈值对不同滑坡形态进行分类;最后,在规则集中引入阈值,实现对滑坡形态的有效提取。本研究以无人机影像生成的数字正射影像图(DOM)和数字高程模型(DEM)为数据源,以中国云南省禄泉县滑坡为研究区,结果表明,滑坡形态提取的总体精度(OA)为89.58%,Kappa系数为0.88,有效且更符合实际。所提出的方法也可以应用于其他潜在的地点。
{"title":"Extraction of landslide morphology based on Topographic Profile along the Direction of Slope Movement using UAV images","authors":"Yujie Zhang, Jia Li, Jiajia Liu, Wenbin Xie, Ping Duan","doi":"10.1080/19475705.2023.2278276","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1080/19475705.2023.2278276","url":null,"abstract":"The landslide morphology is quickly and accurately extracted from Unmanned Air Vehicle (UAV) images. It is of great significance for emergency rescue and quantitative evaluation of landslide disasters. However, due to the complexity of landslide morphology, choosing the reasonable extraction thresholds is a challenging issue. A threshold selection method of Topographic Profile along the Direction of Slope Movement (TP-DSM) was proposed. Firstly, a hierarchical extraction rule sets for landslide morphology was constructed by integrating multi-feature information such as spectral, texture, geometry, topography and space of UAV images. Second, TP-DSM was proposed to select the optimal elevation thresholds for classifying different landslide morphology. Finally, the thresholds were introduced into the rule sets to achieve effective extraction of landslide morphology. This study uses Digital Orthophoto Map (DOM) and Digital Elevation Model (DEM) generated by UAV images as data sources, and the landslide in Luquan County, Yunnan Province, China as the Study area, the results show that the overall accuracy (OA) of landslide morphology extraction was 89.58%, and the Kappa coefficient was 0.88, which is effective and more consistent with the reality. The proposed method can also be applied to other potential locations.","PeriodicalId":51283,"journal":{"name":"Geomatics Natural Hazards & Risk","volume":"142 2","pages":"0"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2023-11-07","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"135475985","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":3,"RegionCategory":"地球科学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
A novel model for multi-risk ranking of buildings at city level based on open data: the test site of Rome, Italy 基于开放数据的城市级建筑多风险排序新模型:意大利罗马试验场
3区 地球科学 Q1 GEOSCIENCES, MULTIDISCIPLINARY Pub Date : 2023-11-03 DOI: 10.1080/19475705.2023.2275541
Giandomenico Mastrantoni, Claudia Masciulli, Roberta Marini, Carlo Esposito, Gabriele Scarascia Mugnozza, Paolo Mazzanti
In the context of population concentration in large cities, assessing the risks posed by geological hazards to enhance urban resilience is becoming increasingly important. This study introduces a robust and replicable procedure for assessing ground instability hazards and associated physical risks. Specifically, our comprehensive model integrates spatial hazard assessments, multi-satellite InSAR data, and physical features of the built environment to rank and prioritize assets facing multiple risks, with a focus on ground instabilities. The model generates risk scores based on hazard probability, potential damage, and displacement rates, aiding decision-makers in identifying high-risk buildings and implementing appropriate mitigation measures to reduce economic losses. The procedure was tested in Rome, Italy, where the analysis revealed that 60% of the examined buildings (90 × 103) are at risk of ground instability. Specifically, 33%, 22%, and 5% exhibit the highest multi-risk score for sinkholes, landslides, and subsidence, respectively. Landslide risk prevails among residential structures, while retail and office buildings face a higher risk of subsidence and sinkholes. Notably, our study identified a positive correlation between mitigation expenses and the multi-risk scores of nearby buildings, highlighting the practical implications of our findings for urban planning and risk management strategies.
在大城市人口集中的背景下,评估地质灾害带来的风险以增强城市抵御能力变得越来越重要。本研究介绍了一种可靠且可复制的程序,用于评估地面不稳定危害和相关的物理风险。具体来说,我们的综合模型集成了空间危害评估、多卫星InSAR数据和建筑环境的物理特征,对面临多种风险的资产进行排名和优先排序,重点是地面不稳定性。该模型根据危害概率、潜在损害和流离失所率生成风险评分,帮助决策者识别高风险建筑物并实施适当的缓解措施,以减少经济损失。该程序在意大利罗马进行了测试,分析显示,60%的被检查建筑物(90 × 103)有地面不稳定的风险。具体来说,33%、22%和5%的人分别在天坑、滑坡和下沉方面表现出最高的多重风险评分。滑坡风险在住宅建筑中普遍存在,而零售和办公建筑面临更高的下沉和天坑风险。值得注意的是,我们的研究确定了缓解费用与附近建筑物的多重风险评分之间的正相关关系,突出了我们的研究结果对城市规划和风险管理策略的实际意义。
{"title":"A novel model for multi-risk ranking of buildings at city level based on open data: the test site of Rome, Italy","authors":"Giandomenico Mastrantoni, Claudia Masciulli, Roberta Marini, Carlo Esposito, Gabriele Scarascia Mugnozza, Paolo Mazzanti","doi":"10.1080/19475705.2023.2275541","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1080/19475705.2023.2275541","url":null,"abstract":"In the context of population concentration in large cities, assessing the risks posed by geological hazards to enhance urban resilience is becoming increasingly important. This study introduces a robust and replicable procedure for assessing ground instability hazards and associated physical risks. Specifically, our comprehensive model integrates spatial hazard assessments, multi-satellite InSAR data, and physical features of the built environment to rank and prioritize assets facing multiple risks, with a focus on ground instabilities. The model generates risk scores based on hazard probability, potential damage, and displacement rates, aiding decision-makers in identifying high-risk buildings and implementing appropriate mitigation measures to reduce economic losses. The procedure was tested in Rome, Italy, where the analysis revealed that 60% of the examined buildings (90 × 103) are at risk of ground instability. Specifically, 33%, 22%, and 5% exhibit the highest multi-risk score for sinkholes, landslides, and subsidence, respectively. Landslide risk prevails among residential structures, while retail and office buildings face a higher risk of subsidence and sinkholes. Notably, our study identified a positive correlation between mitigation expenses and the multi-risk scores of nearby buildings, highlighting the practical implications of our findings for urban planning and risk management strategies.","PeriodicalId":51283,"journal":{"name":"Geomatics Natural Hazards & Risk","volume":"82 11","pages":"0"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2023-11-03","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"135868830","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":3,"RegionCategory":"地球科学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Coupling coordination analysis of industrial mining land, landscape pattern and carbon storage in a mining city: a case study of Ordos, China 矿业城市工矿用地、景观格局与碳储量耦合协调分析——以鄂尔多斯市为例
3区 地球科学 Q1 GEOSCIENCES, MULTIDISCIPLINARY Pub Date : 2023-11-02 DOI: 10.1080/19475705.2023.2275539
Junjie Dong, Ziqi Guo, Yindi Zhao, Mengfan Hu, Jiaxing Li
Analyzing and optimizing the spatio-temporal characteristics of terrestrial ecosystem carbon storage, as well as examining their coupling and coordination relationships with industrial mining land and landscape pattern, can become a reference in the pursuit of carbon peaking and carbon neutrality for mining cities. This research takes the typical mining city of Ordos as the study target. Based on the LULC, the Multi-objective Planning (MOP) and Patch-generating Land Use Simulation (PLUS) model are used to predict the LULC under the natural development (Q1), ecological protection (Q2) and economic development (Q3) scenarios of 2030, and the Integrated Valuation of Ecosystem Services and Trade-offs (InVEST) model is used to analyze the dynamics of carbon storage, finally a coupling coordination of industrial mining land, landscape pattern and carbon storage is constructed to investigate the interrelationship between them. The results show: (1) From 2000 to 2020, carbon storage shows an inverted ‘V’ shape of rising and then falling; (2) Compared to carbon storage in 2020, the Q1 demonstrates a decrease, while the Q2 and Q3 demonstrate increases; (3) From 2000 to 2020, the coupling coordination degree decreases, and in the future, Q2 and Q3 show an increase in it relative to the Q1.
分析和优化陆地生态系统碳储量的时空特征,考察其与工业矿业用地和景观格局的耦合协调关系,可为矿业城市追求碳峰值和碳中和提供参考。本研究以鄂尔多斯典型矿业城市为研究对象。在此基础上,采用多目标规划(MOP)和斑块生成土地利用模拟(PLUS)模型对2030年自然开发(Q1)、生态保护(Q2)和经济发展(Q3)情景下的土地利用变化进行了预测,采用生态系统服务与权衡综合评估(InVEST)模型对碳储量动态进行了分析,最终得出了工矿用地的耦合协调。构建景观格局与碳储量的关系,探讨景观格局与碳储量的相互关系。结果表明:①2000 ~ 2020年,我国碳储量呈先上升后下降的倒“V”型变化;(2)与2020年相比,第一季度碳储量呈下降趋势,第二季度和第三季度呈上升趋势;(3)从2000年到2020年,耦合协调度呈下降趋势,未来Q2和Q3相对Q1呈上升趋势。
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引用次数: 0
Multimodal Asynchronous Kalman Filter for monitoring unstable rock slopes 多模态异步卡尔曼滤波监测不稳定岩质边坡
3区 地球科学 Q1 GEOSCIENCES, MULTIDISCIPLINARY Pub Date : 2023-11-02 DOI: 10.1080/19475705.2023.2272575
Lukas Schild, Thomas Scheiber, Paula Snook, Reza Arghandeh, Stig Frode Samnøy, Alexander Maschler, Lene Kristensen
Unstable rock slopes pose a hazard to inhabitants and infrastructure in their vicinity, necessitating advanced monitoring methodologies for timely risk assessment and mitigation. Recent geotechnical monitoring techniques often rely on sensor data fusion to enhance forecasting for imminent failures. Our investigation extends beyond a single sensor type to data fusion for heterogeneous sensor networks using a Multimodal Asynchronous Kalman Filter. We illustrate the application of the proposed method on a case study data set consisting of data from an on-site sensor network enriched by remote sensing data. Employing a Multimodal Asynchronous Kalman Filter, we capitalise on the distinct resolutions inherent in each sensor input. The outcome was a combined dataset with a high spatiotemporal resolution. Our approach facilitates the estimation of essential physical attributes for monitored objects, encompassing translation, rotation, velocities and accelerations. The case study site was an unstable rock section of ca. 50.000 m3 in Aurland, Norway, which collapsed as a multi-stage failure in July 2023. Our method can be transposed to various sites with distinct sensor networks, enhancing state estimations for objects on unstable rock slopes. These estimations can significantly improve applications such as risk assessment and robust early-warning systems, enhancing predictions of critical failure points.
不稳定的岩石斜坡对附近的居民和基础设施构成危险,因此需要采用先进的监测方法,以便及时评估和减轻风险。最近的岩土监测技术通常依赖于传感器数据融合来增强对即将发生的故障的预测。我们的研究超越了单一传感器类型,扩展到使用多模态异步卡尔曼滤波器的异构传感器网络的数据融合。我们举例说明了该方法在一个案例研究数据集上的应用,该数据集由来自遥感数据丰富的现场传感器网络的数据组成。采用多模态异步卡尔曼滤波器,我们利用每个传感器输入中固有的不同分辨率。结果是一个具有高时空分辨率的组合数据集。我们的方法有助于估计监测对象的基本物理属性,包括平移,旋转,速度和加速度。案例研究地点是挪威Aurland的一个约50,000立方米的不稳定岩石断面,该断面于2023年7月发生多阶段破坏。我们的方法可以转置到具有不同传感器网络的各种地点,增强了对不稳定岩石边坡上物体的状态估计。这些评估可以显著改进应用程序,如风险评估和健壮的早期预警系统,增强对关键故障点的预测。
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引用次数: 0
Theoretical unloading fracture mechanism and stability analysis of the slope rock masses in open-pit mines 露天矿边坡岩体卸荷破裂机理及稳定性分析
3区 地球科学 Q1 GEOSCIENCES, MULTIDISCIPLINARY Pub Date : 2023-11-01 DOI: 10.1080/19475705.2023.2274810
Jianming Wang, Zihan Zhou, Wei Dou, Zhonghui Chen
Instability of the rock slopes in open pit mines during the excavation unloading is an increasingly serious problem in the field of slope engineering. To explain the mechanical mechanism of slope unloading damage from a theoretical point of view, a simplified mechanical model of slope excavation based on the theory of fracture mechanics and the rock strength damage criterion is established. The damage process of the slope under excavation disturbance is dynamically analyzed by combining the interstructural characteristics of the slope. The solution equations for the extent of the plastic zone at the end of the crack of the excavated slope and its propagation length are derived. Calculation method of unloaded slope stability coefficient is proposed based on the mechanical model of crack propagation. The results show that (1) the stress intensity factor (SIF) at crack end in the slope under the action of unloading was larger than that under the original condition. (2) The range of the plastic zone at crack end in the slope rock mass can be attributed to the slope height, inverse logarithmic function to the slope angle, positive proportional function to the crack length, and the periodic fluctuation function of the crack angle. (3) The slope safety factor (SF) was found to be negatively related with the slope angle, slope height, crack angle, and the crack length unloading factor and positively related with the friction factor. Finally, the reasonableness of the theoretical derivation is verified by an engineering case study.
露天矿山岩质边坡在开挖卸载过程中的失稳问题是边坡工程领域日益严重的问题。为了从理论角度解释边坡卸荷损伤的力学机理,基于断裂力学理论和岩石强度损伤准则,建立了边坡开挖的简化力学模型。结合边坡的结构间特性,对边坡在开挖扰动作用下的破坏过程进行了动态分析。导出了开挖边坡裂缝末端塑性区范围及其扩展长度的求解方程。基于裂缝扩展的力学模型,提出了卸载边坡稳定系数的计算方法。结果表明:(1)卸荷作用下边坡裂缝端应力强度因子(SIF)大于原状;(2)边坡岩体裂缝端塑性区范围与边坡高度、边坡角度成反对数函数、裂缝长度成正比例函数、裂缝角度周期波动函数有关。(3)边坡安全系数(SF)与坡角、坡高、裂缝角、裂缝长度卸荷系数呈负相关,与摩擦系数呈正相关。最后,通过工程实例验证了理论推导的合理性。
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引用次数: 0
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