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Biodiversity offset conditions contributing to net loss of koala Phascolarctos cinereus habitat 生物多样性抵消导致考拉栖息地净损失的条件
IF 2.8 2区 环境科学与生态学 Q1 BIODIVERSITY CONSERVATION Pub Date : 2024-11-24 DOI: 10.1111/csp2.13271
Hao Nguyen Tran, Martine Maron

Australia's offset framework requires that permitted development impacts on nationally threatened species should be fully counterbalanced using biodiversity offsets. The current offsets framework was established in 2012, the same year that the iconic koala Phascolarctos cinereus was listed as threatened. We examined every development impact on koala habitat that was permitted under national biodiversity laws (the EPBC Act 1999) from 2012 until the end of 2021, shortly after which the koala was uplisted from vulnerable to endangered (n = 98). We analyzed the application of the national environmental offset framework in each case. In this period, more than 25,000 hectares of koala habitat were approved for removal, most in the state of Queensland (96%) and for mining (76%). Although most clearing of koala habitat is attributable to agricultural activity and ostensibly requires approval under the EPBC Act, we found zero referrals for agricultural clearing. A total of 62 projects included offset requirements for koalas, but for only 14 projects could we find details used in the offset calculation. All but one appeared to include implausibly optimistic assumptions or logical errors that inflated the estimated benefit from the offset. After modifying the calculations to align with best practice guidance, we found only two of the 14 projects were likely to fully offset their impacts on koalas (average 55% of impact offset). The most common issues were overestimated benefits from averted losses and double-counting of benefits. We conclude transparency around offset requirements is generally poor, and most biodiversity offsets for koalas are unlikely to fully counterbalance losses. Despite sound, long-established policy, poor implementation means that even offsets for impacts on a highly valued species, for which offsets are ecologically plausible, are prone to failure.

澳大利亚的补偿框架要求,应利用生物多样性补偿充分抵消允许的发展对国家受威胁物种的影响。目前的补偿框架建立于2012年,同年,标志性的考拉Phascolarctos cinereus被列为受威胁物种。我们检查了从2012年到2021年底国家生物多样性法(1999年EPBC法案)允许的对考拉栖息地的每一次开发影响,之后不久考拉从易危上升到濒危(n = 98)。我们分析了国家环境补偿框架在每种情况下的应用。在此期间,超过25,000公顷的考拉栖息地被批准移除,其中大部分在昆士兰州(96%)和采矿(76%)。尽管大多数考拉栖息地的清理是由于农业活动,表面上需要根据EPBC法案获得批准,但我们没有发现任何农业清理的推荐。共有62个项目包括对考拉的补偿要求,但只有14个项目可以找到用于补偿计算的细节。除了一项之外,所有的研究似乎都包含了令人难以置信的乐观假设或逻辑错误,这些假设或逻辑错误夸大了对抵消收益的估计。在修改计算以与最佳实践指导保持一致之后,我们发现14个项目中只有两个可能完全抵消它们对考拉的影响(平均抵消55%的影响)。最常见的问题是高估避免损失带来的收益,以及重复计算收益。我们的结论是,有关补偿要求的透明度普遍较差,而且大多数对考拉的生物多样性补偿不太可能完全抵消损失。尽管有健全的、长期建立的政策,但执行不力意味着,即使是对一种高价值物种的影响的抵消,在生态上是合理的,也容易失败。
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引用次数: 0
Variation in space use between sites, years and individuals for an endangered migratory shorebird has implications for coastal planning 濒危候鸟在不同地点、不同年份和不同个体之间的空间利用差异对海岸规划的影响
IF 2.8 2区 环境科学与生态学 Q1 BIODIVERSITY CONSERVATION Pub Date : 2024-11-23 DOI: 10.1111/csp2.13261
Amanda Lilleyman, Amélie Corriveau, Stephen T. Garnett, Robert Bush, Jon Coleman, Richard Fuller, Roz Jessop, Ian Leiper, Grace Maglio, Gavin O'Brien, Damien Stanioch, Micha V. Jackson

Much of the annual cycle of threatened migratory shorebirds is spent in non-breeding areas, but there have been few studies on how that habitat is used at fine-scale. Tracking data from 13 endangered far eastern curlews at three Australian non-breeding locations revealed that home range size and maximum daily displacement varied substantially among study areas and between years. Home range overlap also varied with tidal cycle, generally being lower at low than high tide, though there was considerable variability across time and between sites. Variation in site fidelity may indicate behavioral flexibility but may also suggest that resources critical to survival vary between years. If the latter is the case, protection of what appears to be critical habitat in 1 year may not be adequate in subsequent years, necessitating a precautionary approach to the conservation of habitat extent over the long term. For species like the far eastern curlew, which are exceptionally hard to capture and highly threatened, tracking data should be analyzed from as many perspectives as possible to justify the cost to both researchers and birds. In this study, use of tracking data previously analyzed to reveal migration routes has yielded important insights into their ecology and optimal management.

受威胁的候鸟每年的大部分周期都是在非繁殖区度过的,但很少有关于如何在精细尺度上利用这些栖息地的研究。对澳大利亚三个非繁殖地13只濒临灭绝的远东鸻的跟踪数据显示,在不同的研究区域和年份之间,它们的栖息地大小和最大日迁移量存在很大差异。家园范围重叠也随着潮汐周期的变化而变化,虽然在不同的时间和地点之间存在相当大的差异,但通常在低潮时比高潮时低。地点保真度的变化可能表明行为的灵活性,但也可能表明对生存至关重要的资源在不同年份之间有所不同。如果是后一种情况,在一年内似乎是关键生境的保护在随后的年份可能不够,因此需要采取预防措施来长期保护生境范围。对于像远东杓鹬这样的物种,它们特别难以捕捉,而且受到高度威胁,跟踪数据应该从尽可能多的角度进行分析,以证明研究人员和鸟类的成本是合理的。在这项研究中,利用先前分析的跟踪数据来揭示迁徙路线,已经对它们的生态和最佳管理产生了重要的见解。
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引用次数: 0
Rewilding through inappropriate species introduction: The case of European bison in Spain 通过不适当的物种引进重新野生化:西班牙欧洲野牛的案例
IF 2.8 2区 环境科学与生态学 Q1 BIODIVERSITY CONSERVATION Pub Date : 2024-11-20 DOI: 10.1111/csp2.13221
Carlos Nores, Diego Álvarez-Laó, Alberto Navarro, Francisco Javier Pérez-Barbería, Pedro María Castaños, Jone Castaños de la Fuente, Arturo Morales Muñiz, Concepción Azorit, Joaquín Muñoz-Cobo, Carlos Fernández Delgado, Carlos Granado Lorencio, Paul Palmqvist, Ramón Soriguer, Miguel Delibes, Montserrat Vilà, Miguel Simón, Baltasar Cabezudo, Carmen Galán, Emili García-Berthou, Ana Almodóvar, Benigno Elvira, Pedro Brufao Curiel, Adriá Casinos, Juan Herrero, Juan Carlos Blanco, Ricardo García-González, David Nogués-Bravo, Antoni Margalida, Brendan Fisher, Raphaël Arlettaz, Iain J. Gordon, Arne Ludwig, Sandro Lovari, Brian D. Cook, Juan Carranza, Sándor Csányi, Marco Apollonio, Rafał Kowalczyk, Steve Demarais, José Vicente López-Bao

Most European rewilding initiatives are based on the recovery of large herbivores, particularly European bison Bison bonasus, aiming at restoring ecosystem processes and increase trophic complexity. The growing support for the release of bison as a wild species, and change its legal status, in Spain, as an ecological analogue of the extinct steppe bison Bison priscus, makes it an excellent example to reflect the limits of a rewilding biogeographically advisable. We discuss if this initiative could be justified from ecological, biogeographical, ethical, and legal reasons. Besides remarkable taxonomic and functional differences between both bison species, the Mediterranean environment, under the present and future climatic scenarios, does not suit the European bison. Furthermore, there is no evidence to support the presumption that the European bison was ever present in the Iberian Peninsula, with legal implications. We expect that our approach will be inspirational for similar assessments on rewilding initiatives globally.

欧洲的大多数野化倡议都以恢复大型食草动物(尤其是欧洲野牛)为基础,旨在恢复生态系统过程并增加营养复杂性。在西班牙,越来越多的人支持将野牛作为野生物种放归,并改变其法律地位,将其作为已灭绝的草原野牛(Bison priscus)的生态类似物,这使其成为一个极好的例子,反映了野化在生物地理学上的局限性。我们将从生态学、生物地理学、伦理和法律等方面讨论这一举措是否合理。除了两种野牛在分类学和功能上的显著差异外,在目前和未来的气候条件下,地中海环境并不适合欧洲野牛。此外,没有证据支持欧洲野牛曾经出现在伊比利亚半岛的推测,这也会产生法律影响。我们希望我们的方法能够对全球类似的野化计划评估有所启发。
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引用次数: 0
Current and future climate suitability for the hazel dormouse in the UK and the impact on reintroduced populations 英国榛睡鼠当前和未来的气候适宜性以及对重新引入种群的影响
IF 2.8 2区 环境科学与生态学 Q1 BIODIVERSITY CONSERVATION Pub Date : 2024-11-17 DOI: 10.1111/csp2.13254
Emma L. Cartledge, Joe Bellis, Ian White, Jane L. Hurst, Paula Stockley, Sarah Dalrymple

Reintroductions are increasingly being used as a conservation tool to restore species to areas where they once existed. Unfortunately, many reintroduction projects fail to establish viable populations. Climate suitability at release sites is thought to be important in determining reintroduction outcomes, and future climate change is an essential consideration for effective reintroduction planning. Climate change threatens species in a variety of ways, such as by impacting life history traits or causing spatial and temporal distribution mismatches of interdependent species. Hibernating species, such as the hazel dormouse (Muscardinus avellanarius), may be particularly susceptible to changes in climate. For example, milder winters may increase the number of interbout arousals during hibernation, which are energetically costly. Timing of food availability may also be impacted by changing climates, potentially causing mismatches between activity and feeding opportunities. Here, we use species distribution models (SDMs) to map climate suitability for dormice in the UK. We also investigate the impact of climate suitability on a long-running dormouse reintroduction programme, providing the first such investigation for a reintroduced mammal. We find that higher levels of current climate suitability increase the probability of reintroduction success. We find no effect of climate suitability on adult dormouse counts at reintroduction sites, but dormouse counts decline with time since reintroduction. Future projections predict that climate change may lead to more widespread climate suitability for dormice in the UK, reflecting predicted changes in seasonality, winter temperature and precipitation. Our work demonstrates the importance of understanding changing climate suitability for reintroduction planning, with potential widespread applications of SDMs for conservation projects of low-dispersing mammals.

重新引进越来越多地被用作一种保护工具,以使物种恢复到它们曾经存在的地区。不幸的是,许多放归项目未能建立可生存的种群。放生地点的气候适宜性被认为是决定放生结果的重要因素,未来的气候变化是有效的放生规划的重要考虑因素。气候变化以多种方式威胁物种,例如通过影响生活史特征或导致相互依赖的物种的时空分布不匹配。冬眠的物种,如榛睡鼠(Muscardinus avellanarius),可能特别容易受到气候变化的影响。例如,温暖的冬天可能会增加冬眠期间的回合间觉醒次数,这需要消耗大量的能量。食物供应的时间也可能受到气候变化的影响,可能导致活动和进食机会之间的不匹配。在这里,我们使用物种分布模型(SDMs)来绘制英国睡鼠的气候适应性。我们还研究了气候适宜性对长期的睡鼠再引入计划的影响,首次对再引入的哺乳动物进行了此类调查。我们发现,较高水平的当前气候适宜性增加了重新引入成功的可能性。我们发现气候适宜性对回归点的成年睡鼠数量没有影响,但随着时间的推移,睡鼠数量呈下降趋势。未来的预测预测,气候变化可能会导致英国更广泛的适合睡鼠的气候,反映出季节性、冬季温度和降水的预测变化。我们的工作表明,了解气候变化对重新引入规划的重要性,以及sdm在低分散哺乳动物保护项目中的潜在广泛应用。
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引用次数: 0
Cost–benefit analysis as a decision tool for effective conservation planning—The case of the Nyerere Selous-Udzungwa wildlife corridor in Tanzania 成本效益分析作为有效保护规划的决策工具——以坦桑尼亚尼雷尔·塞卢斯-乌祖格瓦野生动物走廊为例
IF 2.8 2区 环境科学与生态学 Q1 BIODIVERSITY CONSERVATION Pub Date : 2024-11-15 DOI: 10.1111/csp2.13273
Tom Hilton, Josephine B. Smit, Trevor Jones, Joseph Mwalugelo, Kim Lim, Andrew Seidl, Kelly W. Jones, Brett Bruyere, Jonathan Salerno

Cost benefit analysis (CBA) is used in many fields to ensure efficient allocation of scarce resources but is rarely applied in conservation. By using a common metric to evaluate projects in complex social-ecological systems, CBA can help to maximize the impact of conservation funding. It can also help to interrogate issues of distributional equity, plan for effective community-based conservation, and inform future research and strategic priorities. We demonstrate this using the example of the Nyerere Selous-Udzungwa Wildlife Corridor in Tanzania, a wildlife corridor aiming to restore connectivity between two protected areas to enhance African elephant (Loxodonta africana) conservation outcomes and mitigate human–elephant conflict. We combine novel data on elephant crop depredation with crop price and productivity data, elephant valuation methods, and ecosystem service values to analyze corridor costs and benefits from contrasting global and local community perspectives. From the global perspective, we find benefits to outweigh costs by at least 4.6:1. From the communities' perspective, we find that while substantial benefits should secure buy-in to the project, continued subsidy will be required to cover the costs. Our findings support generalized recommendations for application of CBA across diverse systems and conservation priorities.

成本效益分析 (CBA) 用于许多领域,以确保稀缺资源的有效分配,但很少应用于保护领域。成本效益分析通过使用通用指标来评估复杂社会生态系统中的项目,有助于最大限度地发挥保护资金的作用。它还可以帮助分析分配公平问题,规划有效的社区保护,并为未来的研究和战略重点提供信息。我们以坦桑尼亚的尼雷尔-塞卢斯-乌宗瓦野生动物走廊(Nyerere Selous-Udzungwa Wildlife Corridor)为例说明了这一点,该野生动物走廊旨在恢复两个保护区之间的连通性,以加强非洲象(Loxodonta africana)的保护成果并缓解人象冲突。我们将大象破坏农作物的新数据与农作物价格和生产力数据、大象估值方法和生态系统服务价值相结合,从全球和当地社区的不同视角分析走廊的成本和效益。从全球视角来看,我们发现收益与成本的比例至少为 4.6:1。从社区的角度来看,我们发现虽然巨大的收益应能确保项目获得支持,但仍需要持续的补贴来支付成本。我们的研究结果支持在不同系统和保护优先事项中应用成本效益分析的通用建议。
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引用次数: 0
One ring does not fit all: Evaluation of banding-related injuries in tricolored bats 一个环不适合所有:三色蝙蝠绑带相关损伤的评估
IF 2.8 2区 环境科学与生态学 Q1 BIODIVERSITY CONSERVATION Pub Date : 2024-11-15 DOI: 10.1111/csp2.13269
Santiago Perea, Emily A. Ferrall, Katrina M. Morris, Pete E. Pattavina, Steven B. Castleberry

The potential harm inflicted by forearm bands on bats has been debated for decades. To aid in decision-making regarding bat marking, we conducted a comprehensive assessment of banding injuries using recapture data from a long-term overwintering study in Georgia, USA, involving 776 banded tricolored bats (Perimyotis subflavus) with 284 recaptures. Most recaptured bats showed no visible injuries (77.8%); however, 22.2% of bats presented varying degrees of band-related injuries. Although <25% of tricolored bats exhibited banding-related injuries, sublethal effects of injuries are unknown and could add additional stressors to bat populations already facing multiple threats, including mortality from white-nose syndrome. Thus, we recommend that banding bats, especially species that have experienced white-nose syndrome-related population declines, be appropriately justified and their use carefully considered. Our study contributes valuable knowledge to aid in informed decision-making on the use of capture-mark-recapture methods in the research and management of bat communities.

几十年来,人们一直在争论前臂带对蝙蝠造成的潜在伤害。为了帮助制定有关蝙蝠标记的决策,我们利用在美国乔治亚州进行的一项长期越冬研究的再捕获数据对带伤进行了全面评估,该研究涉及776只带伤三色蝙蝠,其中284只被再捕获。大多数被捕获的蝙蝠没有明显的损伤(77.8%);然而,22.2%的蝙蝠表现出不同程度的带相关损伤。虽然25%的三色蝙蝠表现出与绑带有关的伤害,但伤害的亚致命性影响尚不清楚,可能会给已经面临多种威胁的蝙蝠种群增加额外的压力,包括白鼻综合征的死亡。因此,我们建议对绑带蝙蝠,特别是那些经历过白鼻综合征相关种群数量下降的物种,进行适当的论证,并仔细考虑绑带的使用。我们的研究为帮助在蝙蝠群落研究和管理中使用捕获-标记-再捕获方法的明智决策提供了宝贵的知识。
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引用次数: 0
Characteristics of animal movement and environmental data for dynamic ocean management: Insights and guidance 动态海洋管理的动物运动特征和环境数据:见解和指导
IF 2.8 2区 环境科学与生态学 Q1 BIODIVERSITY CONSERVATION Pub Date : 2024-11-15 DOI: 10.1111/csp2.13268
Laura H. McDonnell, Elliott L. Hazen, Katharine J. Mach

Dynamic ocean management (DOM) is a critical approach for protecting highly migratory species amid environmental variability and change. We conducted an adapted systematic review to assess how animal movement and environmental data are used in DOM applications, identifying key data traits, barriers, and research priorities. Animal tag data inform initial assessments of species distributions, development of habitat models, near real-time model inputs, and iterative model evaluation for dynamic management. In documented examples, effective translation of scientific insights into dynamic management products has resulted from early communication between researchers and stakeholders, integration of environmental and fisheries-dependent data into advanced habitat modeling approaches, and reformatting of outputs for interdisciplinary needs. However, challenges persist around data gaps, science-policy translation, and technical capacity limitations. Our findings highlight the importance of intentional, collaborative data collection, translation, and sharing to enable dynamic, climate-resilient management of migratory species. We demonstrate DOM's adaptability and provide guidance for researchers and practitioners to contribute and use impactful data that informs responsive management decision-making.

动态海洋管理(DOM)是在环境变异性和变化中保护高度洄游物种的重要手段。我们进行了一项适应性的系统综述,以评估如何在DOM应用中使用动物运动和环境数据,确定关键数据特征、障碍和研究重点。动物标签数据为物种分布的初步评估、栖息地模型的开发、近实时模型输入和动态管理的迭代模型评估提供了信息。在有记录的例子中,将科学见解有效地转化为动态管理产品是由于研究人员与利益攸关方之间的早期沟通,将环境和渔业相关数据纳入先进的生境建模方法,以及根据跨学科需求重新编排产出。然而,在数据缺口、科学政策转化和技术能力限制方面的挑战依然存在。我们的研究结果强调了有意的、协作的数据收集、翻译和共享对于实现迁徙物种的动态、气候适应性管理的重要性。我们展示了DOM的适应性,并为研究人员和实践者提供指导,以贡献和使用有影响力的数据,为响应性管理决策提供信息。
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引用次数: 0
Are local species prioritization lists sufficient for protecting endangered plants? Israeli red list as a test case 本地物种优先排序列表是否足以保护濒危植物?以色列红色名单作为试验案例
IF 2.8 2区 环境科学与生态学 Q1 BIODIVERSITY CONSERVATION Pub Date : 2024-11-15 DOI: 10.1111/csp2.13265
Merav Lebel Vine, Margareta Walczak, Gal Lebel Vine, Ori Fragman-Sapir, Hagar Leschner, Yair Ur, Mimi Ron, Dar Ben-Natan, Bar Shemesh, Alon Singer, Yuval Sapir

Conserving species from extinction requires risk assessment and ranking for conservation priorities. The IUCN criteria of extinction risk are currently accepted globally, but only a small fraction of species were evaluated. When assessing species' extinction risk, sufficient information, in particular rate of population decline, is often partial or missing. Here we utilized the red list of Israeli endangered plant species, which prioritizes them for conservation, and evaluated their local extinction risk using IUCN criteria for local assessment. We found a relatively high similarity between the Israeli red number value and the IUCN assessments. Most pronouncedly, the habitat vulnerability index, used in the Israeli method, is correlated with the IUCN parameter of extinction rate in the last decade. We conclude that in the case of Israel, prioritization ranking of endangered species based on locally available information is a powerful tool for conservation even when some species information is lacking, facilitating local decision-making. This finding may apply also to other countries using a local assessment system.

保护物种免于灭绝需要进行风险评估,并对保护重点进行排序。目前,世界自然保护联盟(IUCN)的物种灭绝风险标准已在全球范围内得到认可,但只有一小部分物种接受了评估。在评估物种灭绝风险时,往往缺乏足够的信息,尤其是种群数量下降的速度。在此,我们利用以色列濒危植物物种红色名录,将其列为优先保护对象,并采用世界自然保护联盟的地方评估标准对其地方灭绝风险进行评估。我们发现,以色列的红色编号值与世界自然保护联盟的评估结果具有较高的相似性。最明显的是,以色列方法中使用的栖息地脆弱性指数与世界自然保护联盟关于过去十年灭绝率的参数相关。我们的结论是,在以色列,根据当地可用信息对濒危物种进行优先排序是一种强有力的保护工具,即使在缺乏某些物种信息的情况下,也能促进当地的决策。这一发现可能也适用于使用当地评估系统的其他国家。
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引用次数: 0
The risk of inbreeding versus outbreeding depression in managing an endangered and locally adapted population of a sedentary bird 在管理濒临灭绝且适应当地环境的定居鸟类种群时,近亲繁殖与近亲繁殖抑制的风险比较
IF 2.8 2区 环境科学与生态学 Q1 BIODIVERSITY CONSERVATION Pub Date : 2024-11-13 DOI: 10.1111/csp2.13262
Grace Walsh, Barry J. McMahon, Filip Thörn, Patrik Rödin-Mörch, Martin Irestedt, Jacob Höglund

A debate in conservation genomics centers on whether to conserve small, fragmented populations independently or blend them through translocations from larger populations. Translocations of red grouse (Lagopus scotica) from Great Britain to supplement the Irish population have been suggested. We incorporate a variety of genetic datasets to address this. We used genome wide data from 23 contemporary and historic red grouse from Great Britain and Ireland. We also investigate microsatellite data, sequence candidate pigmentation genes, and assess phenotypic color variation. Genomic data indicate higher inbreeding in Irish grouse relative to an English population and significant divergence for genomic (FST = 0.095) and microsatellite (FST= 0.03) markers. Contemporary Ne was seven times smaller in the Irish population compared to the English. We identified divergent regions linked to pigmentation, immune response, and food intake. We show phenotypic differences in plumage color and sequence divergence among coding regions in the melanin pathway including MC1R (FST from genomic data of 0.3). The two populations thus appear locally adapted and this divergence between the source and target population when used for conservation translocations can swamp locally adapted alleles and/or introduce maladapted genotypes, leading to outbreeding depression. While it is important to avoid inbreeding by sustaining larger populations, our research emphasizes the need for practitioners to consider population divergence and local adaptation. We advocate against translocations between Ireland and Britain as a conservation strategy in this particular case and underscore the importance of prioritizing local populations where possible.

保护基因组学的一个争论集中在是单独保护小的、碎片化的种群,还是通过大种群的易位将它们混合在一起。有人建议将英国的红松鸡(Lagopus scotica)转移到爱尔兰,以补充爱尔兰的种群。我们整合了各种遗传数据集来解决这个问题。我们使用了来自英国和爱尔兰的23只当代和历史红松鸡的全基因组数据。我们还研究了微卫星数据,对候选色素沉着基因进行了测序,并评估了表型颜色变化。基因组数据表明,爱尔兰松鸡的近亲繁殖率高于英国种群,基因组标记(FST = 0.095)和微卫星标记(FST = 0.03)差异显著。当代爱尔兰人口中的Ne比英国人口少7倍。我们确定了与色素沉着、免疫反应和食物摄入相关的不同区域。我们展示了包括MC1R在内的黑色素通路编码区域的羽毛颜色和序列差异的表型差异(基因组数据的FST为0.3)。因此,这两个种群表现为局部适应,当用于保护易位时,源种群和目标种群之间的这种差异可能会淹没局部适应的等位基因和/或引入不适应的基因型,导致远交萧条。虽然通过维持更大的种群来避免近亲繁殖很重要,但我们的研究强调从业者需要考虑种群差异和局部适应。在这种特殊情况下,我们主张反对爱尔兰和英国之间的易位作为一种保护策略,并强调尽可能优先考虑当地人口的重要性。
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引用次数: 0
Long-term data reveals increase in vehicle collisions of endangered birds in Hokkaido, Japan 长期数据显示,在日本北海道,车辆碰撞濒危鸟类的事件有所增加
IF 2.8 2区 环境科学与生态学 Q1 BIODIVERSITY CONSERVATION Pub Date : 2024-11-11 DOI: 10.1111/csp2.13250
Kazuya Kobayashi, Annegret Moto Naito-Liederbach, Toshio Sadakuni, Yuta Morii

Wildlife-vehicle collisions have significant consequences for both humans and animals, including injuries, deaths, and vehicle damage. Therefore, analysis of accident data is important for planning countermeasures and appropriate wildlife management. In this research field, roadkill incidents have been extensively studied in many taxa, while railway accidents have received less attention despite their obvious impact on wildlife. Here we applied a Bayesian state-space model to 31 years of collision data, both on railways and on roads, collected by the Ministry of the Environment in Hokkaido prefecture, Japan, to reveal the spatiotemporal dynamics of accidents for white-tailed eagles, Steller's sea eagles, and red-crowned cranes, for which over hundred accidents were reported in the data. Our analysis suggested that the mean annual number of individuals collected per collision site across Hokkaido increased 47,377-fold in the white-tailed eagle, 40,277-fold in the Steller's sea eagle, and 50,584-fold in the red-crowned crane between 1991 and 2021. There have been concerns about the impact of traffic accidents on the population dynamics of these endangered birds, but no formal analyses have been conducted. Our analysis showed numerically that the negative impact has been increasing annually. These results suggest that long-term data accumulation over large spatial scales allows us to understand the dynamics of accidents and predict potential factors underlying collision risks.

野生动物与车辆的碰撞对人类和动物都有严重的后果,包括伤害、死亡和车辆损坏。因此,分析事故数据对于制定对策和适当的野生动物管理具有重要意义。在这一研究领域,道路死亡事件在许多分类群中得到了广泛的研究,而铁路事故虽然对野生动物的影响明显,但受到的关注较少。在这里,我们将贝叶斯状态空间模型应用于日本北海道省环境省收集的31年铁路和公路碰撞数据,以揭示白尾鹰、虎头海雕和丹顶鹤事故的时空动态,这些数据中报告了100多起事故。我们的分析表明,在1991年至2021年期间,北海道每个碰撞地点收集的个体平均年数量在白尾鹰中增加了47377倍,在斯特勒海鹰中增加了40277倍,在丹顶鹤中增加了50584倍。人们一直担心交通事故对这些濒危鸟类种群动态的影响,但没有进行正式的分析。我们的分析数字表明,负面影响每年都在增加。这些结果表明,在大空间尺度上的长期数据积累使我们能够了解事故的动态,并预测潜在的碰撞风险因素。
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Conservation Science and Practice
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