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Behavioral finance: Evolution from the classical theory and remarks 行为金融学:从经典理论和评论的演变
IF 5.3 2区 经济学 Q1 Economics, Econometrics and Finance Pub Date : 2023-11-16 DOI: 10.1111/joes.12593
Roberto Arturo Agudelo Aguirre, Alberto Antonio Agudelo Aguirre
Behavioral finance has emerged from the divergences observed to explain and address the traditional theories of finance and serves as supplement to classical finance by introducing behavioral aspects to decision-making. This study provides academics with a comprehensible and complete synopsis of the evolution of behavioral finance, as well as critical insight is provided. The synopsis was based on the search for publications in Web of Science (WoS) and Scopus and the use of R, Gephi and Tree of Science -ToS- software, using citation analysis, graphos and classification analysis. The results showed psychological aspects, investment in stocks and cognitive biases with the highest visibility. A tree-like structure of hierarchization was developed by ToS. The clusters of publications with the greatest literary contribution were analyzed and the publications with the greatest visibility in each cluster identified. This study provides insights into the current trend in finance towards better understanding of the essential factors in the investor´s decision making.
行为金融学从观察到的分歧中出现,以解释和解决传统的金融理论,并通过将行为方面引入决策,作为经典金融学的补充。本研究为学术界提供了一个可理解和完整的行为金融学发展概况,并提供了批判性的见解。摘要是基于在Web of Science (WoS)和Scopus中检索出版物,并使用R, Gephi和Tree of Science - tos -软件,使用引文分析,图表和分类分析。结果显示,心理因素、股票投资和认知偏差的可见性最高。ToS开发了一种树形分层结构。分析了具有最大文学贡献的出版物集群,并确定了每个集群中知名度最高的出版物。这项研究提供了对当前金融趋势的见解,以更好地理解投资者决策中的基本因素。
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引用次数: 0
The long‐run evolution of global real wages 全球实际工资的长期演变
2区 经济学 Q1 Economics, Econometrics and Finance Pub Date : 2023-11-13 DOI: 10.1111/joes.12592
Pim de Zwart
Abstract This article reviews the literature on comparative real wages in history that has emerged over the past two decades. Research has shown that unskilled men's real wages were higher in England and the Low Countries than in other parts of Europe and Asia from about 1720. Yet 18th‐ and 19th‐century real wages were even higher in the northern American colonies than they were in the European leaders, while those in Latin America were somewhere in the middle of the global wage ladder. This comparative picture is drawn on the basis of unskilled male day wages and various recent contributions focused on specific countries and time periods noting the variation in wage levels and trends for different groups of workers across urban and rural areas and labor contracts, varying days of labor per year, and the crucial and changing contributions of other family members. The latest research also highlights new ways to compute comparative cost‐of‐living indices. Building new datasets to take these issues into account in a new global comparative picture of long‐run real wages is a major area for future research.
摘要本文回顾了过去二十年来历史上出现的关于比较实际工资的文献。研究表明,大约从1720年开始,英格兰和低地国家非技术工人的实际工资就高于欧洲和亚洲其他地区。然而,18世纪和19世纪,北美殖民地的实际工资甚至高于欧洲领导人,而拉丁美洲的实际工资则处于全球工资阶梯的中间位置。这张比较图是根据非熟练男性日工资和最近针对特定国家和时期的各种贡献绘制的,这些贡献指出了城市和农村地区不同工人群体的工资水平和趋势的变化、劳动合同、每年不同的劳动天数以及其他家庭成员的重要和不断变化的贡献。最新的研究还强调了计算比较生活成本指数的新方法。建立新的数据集,在新的全球长期实际工资比较图中考虑到这些问题,是未来研究的一个主要领域。
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引用次数: 0
Non-Fungible Tokens (NFTs): A Review of Pricing Determinants, Applications and Opportunities 不可兑换代币(NFT):定价决定因素、应用和机遇综述
IF 5.3 2区 经济学 Q1 Economics, Econometrics and Finance Pub Date : 2023-11-08 DOI: 10.1111/joes.12597
Roman Kräussl, Alessandro Tugnetti

This paper provides a review of the development of the non-fungible tokens (NFTs) market, with a particular focus on its pricing determinants, its current applications, and its future opportunities. We investigate the current state of the NFT markets and highlight the perception and expectations of investors toward these products. We summarize and compare the financial and econometric models that have been used in the literature for the pricing of non-fungible tokens with a special focus on their predictive performance. We design a framework that can help to understand the price formation of NFTs. We further aim to shed light on the value-creating determinants of NFTs in order to better understand investors’ behavior on the blockchain.

本文回顾了不可兑换代币(NFTs)市场的发展,尤其关注其定价决定因素、当前应用及其未来机遇。我们调查了 NFT 市场的现状,并强调了投资者对这些产品的看法和期望。我们总结并比较了文献中用于不可兑换代币定价的金融和计量经济学模型,并特别关注这些模型的预测性能。我们设计了一个有助于理解非风化代币价格形成的框架。我们进一步旨在阐明 NFT 价值创造的决定因素,以便更好地理解投资者在区块链上的行为。
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引用次数: 0
Subsidizing housing with deductions 用扣除额补贴住房
IF 5.9 2区 经济学 Q1 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2023-11-07 DOI: 10.1111/joes.12596
Maxence Valentin

Many governments subsidize owner-occupied housing by allowing households to deduct housing expenses from their taxable incomes. While these deductions provide considerable financial benefits to homeowners, they also have significant downstream consequences. This article synthesizes a large body of literature that assesses these implications on various aspects of the housing market, including mortgage demand, interest rates, tenure decisions, homeownership rates, housing prices, and welfare. The findings in the literature collectively emphasize the distortive impact of these fiscal deductions on housing consumption and investment, with a growing consensus regarding the deductions' regressivity and negative effects on homeownership rates and welfare.

许多国家的政府通过允许家庭从应税收入中扣除住房开支来补贴自住住房。虽然这些扣除给房主带来了可观的经济利益,但也产生了重大的下游影响。本文综述了大量文献,这些文献评估了这些影响对住房市场各个方面的影响,包括抵押贷款需求、利率、保有权决定、住房拥有率、住房价格和福利。这些文献的研究结果共同强调了这些财政减免对住房消费和投资的扭曲性影响,并就减免的倒退性以及对住房拥有率和福利的负面影响达成了越来越多的共识。
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引用次数: 0
Human capital in Europe, 1830s–1930s: A general survey 19世纪30年代至30年代欧洲人力资本概况
2区 经济学 Q1 Economics, Econometrics and Finance Pub Date : 2023-10-30 DOI: 10.1111/joes.12589
Gabriele Cappelli, Leonardo Ridolfi, Michelangelo Vasta, Johannes Westberg
Abstract Human capital is now widely acknowledged as one of the key determinants of economic growth. Research on how human skills accumulate and evolve through time has grown rapidly in recent years. This paper surveys it with a specific focus on Europe in the period 1830s–1930s. Our contribution is threefold: First, we find that the lack of fine‐grain spatial and (at the same time) harmonized data is preventing research on some important aspects of rising education. Second, we provide a preliminary taxonomy of European school acts and reforms in the 19th and early‐20th century. Finally, we present the first version of a dataset under construction, which aims at providing spatial data covering gross enrollment rates and literacy across European regions from c. 1830 to 1930. Our preliminary results show that, in c. 1850, educational clusters appear to have often crossed national borders. By contrast, the effect of national institutions and regulations seems to have become an important determinant of schooling (and literacy) rates on the eve of the 20th century.
人力资本已被广泛认为是经济增长的关键决定因素之一。近年来,关于人类技能如何随时间积累和进化的研究发展迅速。本文以19世纪30年代至30年代的欧洲为研究对象。我们的贡献有三个方面:首先,我们发现缺乏细粒度空间和(同时)协调的数据阻碍了对上升教育的一些重要方面的研究。其次,我们提供了19世纪和20世纪初欧洲学校法案和改革的初步分类。最后,我们提出了一个正在构建的数据集的第一个版本,旨在提供涵盖大约1830年至1930年欧洲地区毛入学率和识字率的空间数据。我们的初步结果表明,大约在1850年,教育集群似乎经常跨越国界。相比之下,在20世纪前夕,国家制度和法规的影响似乎已成为学校教育(和识字率)的重要决定因素。
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引用次数: 0
Consumers' macroeconomic expectations 消费者的宏观经济预期
IF 5.3 2区 经济学 Q1 Economics, Econometrics and Finance Pub Date : 2023-10-25 DOI: 10.1111/joes.12590
Lena Dräger, Michael J. Lamla

After the financial crisis of 2008, central banks around the world have increased their communication efforts to reach consumers, with the aim of both guiding and anchoring their inflation expectations. For the expectations channel of monetary policy to work as intended, central banks need a thorough understanding of the formation process of expectations by the general public and of the relationship between expectations and economic choices. This warrants reliable and detailed data on consumers' expectations of macroeconomic variables such as inflation or interest rates. We, thus, survey the available survey data and issues regarding the measurement of macroeconomic expectations. Furthermore, we discuss the research frontier on important aspects of the expectations channel: We evaluate the evidence on whether expectations are formed consistently with standard macroeconomic relationships, discuss the insights with respect to the anchoring of inflation expectations, explore the role of narratives and preferences and lastly, we survey the research on causal effects of central bank communication on expectations and economic choices.

2008 年金融危机之后,全球央行加大了与消费者的沟通力度,目的是引导和锚定消费者的通胀预期。为使货币政策的预期渠道发挥预期作用,中央银行需要全面了解公众预期的形成过程以及预期与经济选择之间的关系。这就需要可靠而详细的数据来说明消费者对通货膨胀或利率等宏观经济变量的预期。因此,我们调查了现有的调查数据以及有关宏观经济预期测量的问题。此外,我们还讨论了有关预期渠道重要方面的研究前沿:我们评估了有关预期的形成是否符合标准宏观经济关系的证据,讨论了有关通胀预期锚定的见解,探讨了叙述和偏好的作用,最后,我们调查了有关中央银行沟通对预期和经济选择的因果效应的研究。
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引用次数: 0
The determinants of child stunting and shifts in the growth pattern of children: A long‐run, global review 儿童发育迟缓的决定因素和儿童生长模式的转变:一项长期的全球回顾
2区 经济学 Q1 Economics, Econometrics and Finance Pub Date : 2023-10-19 DOI: 10.1111/joes.12591
Eric B. Schneider
Abstract This article explores how child growth has changed over the past 150 years and links changes in child growth to the recent decline in child stunting in low‐ and middle‐income countries (LMICs). The article begins by defining the four characteristics of the growth pattern in height: size at birth, size at adulthood, the timing of the pubertal growth spurt, and the speed of maturation. It then shows how these characteristics have changed over time and links these characteristics to child stunting. Stunted children are too short for their age relative to healthy standards, and their share in the population is used as an indicator of malnutrition in LMICs today. The article then surveys the literature on the causes of changes in the growth pattern and reductions in child stunting, comparing research on current LMICs with historical research on current high‐income countries (HICs) in the past. To limit the scope of the contemporary literature, I focus on explanations of the so‐called “Indian enigma:” why Indian children are shorter than sub‐Saharan African children despite India's lead in many indicators of economic development. The article closes with ideas for what historical and contemporary researchers can learn from one another.
本文探讨了过去150年来儿童生长的变化,并将儿童生长的变化与低收入和中等收入国家(LMICs)最近儿童发育迟缓的下降联系起来。文章首先定义了身高增长模式的四个特征:出生时的身高、成年时的身高、青春期生长突增的时间和成熟的速度。然后,它显示了这些特征是如何随着时间的推移而变化的,并将这些特征与儿童发育迟缓联系起来。与健康标准相比,发育迟缓儿童的身高相对于他们的年龄来说太矮了,其在人口中的比例目前被用作中低收入国家营养不良的一项指标。然后,本文调查了有关增长模式变化和儿童发育迟缓减少的原因的文献,并比较了当前中低收入国家的研究与过去对当前高收入国家(HICs)的历史研究。为了限制当代文献的范围,我将重点放在对所谓的“印度之谜”的解释上:尽管印度在许多经济发展指标上领先,但为什么印度儿童比撒哈拉以南非洲儿童矮。文章最后提出了历史和当代研究人员可以相互学习的观点。
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引用次数: 0
The interrelationship between the COVID-19 pandemic and conflict behavior: A survey COVID-19 大流行与冲突行为之间的相互关系:一项调查
IF 5.9 2区 经济学 Q1 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2023-09-26 DOI: 10.1111/joes.12587
Subhasish M. Chowdhury, Senjuti Karmakar

We review the literature in economics and related fields on the relationship between the COVID-19 pandemic and conflict behavior. Our survey covers the effects of the pandemic on individual-level conflict, group-level conflict, and the impact of existing conflict on the spread of the pandemic. We found an increase in intimate partner violence and a spillover between work-family conflict and domestic violence. Additionally, there was a spike in anti-East-Asian hate crimes. While the group-level conflict counts initially dropped, those eventually returned to pre-pandemic levels. The deteriorating economy and food insecurity associated with the pandemic were major drivers of conflict in developing countries, but appropriate state stimulus reduced such conflicts. The existing history of conflict had a heterogeneous effect on the spread of the pandemic in different societies. We conclude by highlighting future research avenues.

我们回顾了经济学及相关领域关于 COVID-19 大流行病与冲突行为之间关系的文献。我们的调查涵盖了大流行病对个人层面冲突、群体层面冲突的影响,以及现有冲突对大流行病传播的影响。我们发现,亲密伴侣间的暴力行为有所增加,工作与家庭间的冲突和家庭暴力之间存在溢出效应。此外,反东亚人仇恨犯罪激增。虽然群体层面的冲突数量最初有所下降,但最终又恢复到了疫情发生前的水平。与大流行病相关的经济恶化和粮食不安全是发展中国家冲突的主要驱动因素,但适当的国家刺激措施减少了此类冲突。现有的冲突历史对大流行病在不同社会的传播有着不同的影响。最后,我们强调了未来的研究方向。
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引用次数: 0
Unemployment and health: A meta-analysis 失业与健康:荟萃分析
IF 5.9 2区 经济学 Q1 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2023-09-22 DOI: 10.1111/joes.12588
Matteo Picchio, Michele Ubaldi

This paper reports a meta-analysis of the relationship between unemployment and health. Our meta-dataset consisted of 327 study results taken from 65 articles published in peer-reviewed journals between 1990 and 2021. We found that publication bias is important, but only for those study results obtained by means of difference-in-differences or instrumental variables estimators. On average, the effect of unemployment on health is negative, but quite small in terms of partial correlation coefficients. We investigated whether the findings were heterogeneous across several research dimensions. We found that unemployment has the strongest impact on the psychological domains of health and long-term unemployment spells are more detrimental than short-term ones. Furthermore, women are less affected, studies dealing with endogeneity issues find smaller effects and the health penalty is increasing with unemployment rate.

本文对失业与健康之间的关系进行了荟萃分析。我们的元数据集包括 327 项研究结果,摘自 1990 年至 2021 年间发表在同行评审期刊上的 65 篇文章。我们发现,发表偏差很重要,但仅适用于通过差分或工具变量估计法获得的研究结果。平均而言,失业对健康的影响是负面的,但就偏相关系数而言,影响却相当小。我们调查了几个研究维度的结果是否存在差异。我们发现,失业对健康心理领域的影响最大,长期失业比短期失业更有害。此外,女性受到的影响较小,处理内生性问题的研究发现影响较小,而且健康惩罚随失业率上升而增加。
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引用次数: 0
How much capital should be taxed? A review of the quantitative and empirical literature 应该对多少资本征税?定量和实证文献综述
IF 5.9 2区 经济学 Q1 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2023-09-08 DOI: 10.1111/joes.12586
Luca Spataro, Tommaso Crescioli

This paper reviews the literature providing quantitative and empirical results on capital taxation. In doing this, we differentiate between individual and corporate taxes, respectively. From existing literature, it emerges that capital income taxes for individuals increase with the degree of heterogeneity within the population, market competition, and the economy's maturity, being negative (i.e., subsidy) in the presence of monopolistic competition or developing countries, no higher than 15% in Mirrleesian economies and as high as 45% when coupled with incomplete insurance markets and labor income taxes in competitive-closed economies. Excessively high wealth tax rates for redistributive purposes, however, are prevented by the larger tax elasticity of rich (−1.15) with respect to poor (−0.09) individuals. Negative tax elasticities concerning employment (from −0.5 to −0.2), innovation (from −2.8 to −1.3), and investments (−4.7) suggest low corporate taxes, whose magnitude should be negatively related to the degree of the economy's openness, given also the possibility for firms to relocate abroad. Finally, although still inconclusive, the main conclusions concerning dividend taxes suggest that tax rates increase with the firm's size and, thus, be set at low levels for start-ups.

本文回顾了关于资本税的定量和实证结果的文献。在此过程中,我们分别对个人税和公司税进行了区分。从现有文献中可以看出,个人资本所得税随着人口异质性、市场竞争和经济成熟度的增加而增加,在存在垄断竞争或发展中国家,个人资本所得税为负数(即补贴),在米尔雷斯经济中不高于 15%,而在竞争性封闭经济中,如果加上不完全的保险市场和劳动所得税,个人资本所得税高达 45%。然而,由于富人的税收弹性(-1.15)大于穷人(-0.09),因此,出于再分配目的而过高的财富税率是无法实现的。与就业(从-0.5 到-0.2)、创新(从-2.8 到-1.3)和投资(-4.7)有关的负税收弹性表明公司税率较低,鉴于公司有可能迁往国外,其幅度应与经济的开放程度呈负相关。最后,关于股息税的主要结论虽然仍无定论,但表明税率随着公司规模的扩大而增加,因此,对初创公司而言,税率应定在较低水平。
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引用次数: 0
期刊
Journal of Economic Surveys
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