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What meta-research has taught us about research and changes to research practices 元研究让我们了解了研究和研究实践的变化
IF 5 2区 经济学 Q1 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2024-10-16 DOI: 10.1111/joes.12666
John P. A. Ioannidis

Meta-research has become increasingly popular and has provided interesting insights on what can go well and what can go wrong with research practices and scientific studies. Many stakeholders are taking actions to try to solve problems and biases identified through meta-research. However, very often there is little or no evidence that specific recommendations and actions may actually lead to improvements and a favorable benefit-harm ratio. The current commentary offers an eclectic overview of what we have learned from meta-research efforts (mostly observational, but also some quasi-experimental and experimental work) and what the implications of this evidence may be for changing research practices. Areas discussed include the study (and differentiation) of genuine effects and biases, fraud (including the impact of new technologies), peer review, replication and reproducibility checks, transparency indicators, and the interface of research practices with reward systems. Meta-research has offered on all of these fronts empirical evidence that sometimes pertains even to large effects of extreme biases. Continued surveys of research practices and results may offer timely updates of the status of research and its biases, as these may change markedly over time. Meta-research should be seen as part of research, not separate from it, in their concurrent evolution.

元研究已经变得越来越流行,并提供了一些有趣的见解,告诉我们在研究实践和科学研究中什么是好的,什么是错误的。许多利益相关者正在采取行动,试图解决通过元研究发现的问题和偏见。然而,通常很少或根本没有证据表明具体的建议和行动实际上可能导致改善和有利的益害比。当前的评论对我们从元研究努力(主要是观察性的,但也有一些准实验性和实验性的工作)中学到的东西提供了一个折衷的概述,以及这些证据可能对改变研究实践产生的影响。讨论的领域包括对真实效果和偏见的研究(和区分)、欺诈(包括新技术的影响)、同行评议、复制和可重复性检查、透明度指标以及研究实践与奖励系统的接口。元研究提供了所有这些方面的经验证据,这些证据有时甚至与极端偏见的巨大影响有关。对研究实践和结果的持续调查可能会及时更新研究现状及其偏见,因为这些可能会随着时间的推移而发生显著变化。元研究应该被视为研究的一部分,而不是与之分离,在它们的同步发展中。
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引用次数: 0
Exploring the link between risk management and performance of MSMEs: A bibliometric review 探索风险管理与中小微企业绩效之间的联系:文献计量学综述
IF 5 2区 经济学 Q1 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2024-10-03 DOI: 10.1111/joes.12664
Carmen Nadia Ciocoiu, Cătălina Radu, Sofia Elena Colesca, Adina Prioteasa

Micro, small, and medium-sized enterprises (MSMEs), one the pillars of any economy, comprise the majority of enterprises, while their performance remains modest comparatively with large companies. The dynamic nature of the business landscape, coupled with insufficient resources, increases the vulnerability to risks and threatens the long-term sustainability of MSMEs. A large body of literature emphasizes the positive impacts on business performance from implementing a comprehensive risk management framework. However, in the case of MSMEs, the relationship is still unclear due to the substantial investments required and the lack of skills and knowledge these companies encounter. This study analyses the bibliometric data of 531 articles indexed in Scopus and Web of Science databases to identify the literature trends concerning the connection between risk management and performance in MSMEs. Results show a growing interest in the subject starting from 2010, but the different ways of understanding the performance lead to a disparity of conclusions.

中小微企业(MSMEs)是经济的支柱之一,占企业的大多数,但与大公司相比,它们的表现仍然不高。商业环境的动态性质,加上资源不足,增加了对风险的脆弱性,并威胁到中小微企业的长期可持续性。大量文献强调实施全面的风险管理框架对企业绩效的积极影响。然而,在中小微企业的情况下,由于需要大量投资以及这些公司缺乏技能和知识,这种关系仍然不清楚。本研究分析了被Scopus和Web of Science数据库收录的531篇文献计量数据,以确定有关中小微企业风险管理与绩效关系的文献趋势。结果显示,从2010年开始,人们对这一主题的兴趣越来越大,但对绩效的不同理解导致了结论的差异。
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引用次数: 0
Beyond fads and magic bullets: The promise of behavioral approaches in development economics 超越时尚和灵丹妙药:行为方法在发展经济学中的前景
IF 5 2区 经济学 Q1 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2024-09-11 DOI: 10.1111/joes.12663
Svenja Flechtner

The history of development economics has been portrayed as a succession of fads and magic bullets. This study inquires whether behavioral approaches to economic development are destined to become such a fad or whether they have long-lasting contributions to offer. I first show that behavioral development economics is not a cohesive field with a consensual definition and propose to distinguish three different views of behavioral development economics: the scarcity view, the non-optimal behavior view, and the psycho-social-cultural view. I provide a systematic review of publications in the field of behavioral development economics from 2000 to 2021, distinguishing these three fields. The nonoptimal view has been, by far, the dominant view, and risk and time preferences stand out as the single-most studied behavioral mechanisms. Finally, I argue that the sub-field's ability to advance the understanding of behavior relevant to the persistence or alleviation of poverty depends crucially on the inclusion of the psycho-social-cultural view. This view has important contributions to offer in terms of (1) the understanding of seemingly nonrational behavior, (2) the identification and measurement of behavioral mechanisms, and (3) the understanding of conditions of external validity, and should be embraced more enthusiastically.

发展经济学的历史被描绘成一连串的时尚和灵丹妙药。本研究探究了经济发展的行为方法是否注定会成为这样一种时尚,或者它们是否能做出长久的贡献。我首先指出,行为发展经济学并不是一个具有一致定义的凝聚性领域,并建议区分行为发展经济学的三种不同观点:稀缺性观点、非最优行为观点和心理-社会-文化观点。我对 2000 年至 2021 年行为发展经济学领域的出版物进行了系统回顾,对这三个领域进行了区分。到目前为止,非最优观点一直是主流观点,而风险和时间偏好则是研究最多的行为机制。最后,我认为,该子领域能否推进对与贫困的持续或缓解相关的行为的理解,关键取决于是否纳入了社会心理-文化观点。这种观点在以下方面具有重要贡献:(1) 理解看似非理性的行为;(2) 识别和测量行为机制;(3) 理解外部有效性的条件。
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引用次数: 0
Climate change, institution, and the economy 气候变化、机构和经济
IF 5.9 2区 经济学 Q1 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2024-09-05 DOI: 10.1111/joes.12659
Haichao Fan, Guanghuan Wan, Huanhuan Wang
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引用次数: 0
Measuring multinational production with foreign direct investment statistics: A survey of challenges and recent developments 用外国直接投资统计数据衡量跨国生产:对挑战和最新发展的调查
IF 5 2区 经济学 Q1 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2024-09-03 DOI: 10.1111/joes.12662
Konstantin M. Wacker, Bruno Casella, Maria Borga

Foreign direct investment (FDI) statistics are frequently used to proxy multinational production and activities of multinational enterprises (MNEs). Yet, FDI statistics have been subject to critique because FDI is also driven by financial motives that are barely related to real production activities. In this paper, we survey recent advancements in the compilation of international FDI statistics that address those challenges. We discuss how those improved FDI statistics help to tighten the relation between FDI data and multinational production and provide guidance to applied researchers how to implement this in practice.

外国直接投资(FDI)统计数据经常被用来代表跨国生产和跨国企业(MNEs)的活动。然而,由于外国直接投资也受金融动机驱动,与实际生产活动几乎无关,因此外国直接投资统计数据一直受到批评。在本文中,我们将探讨最近在编制国际外国直接投资统计数据方面取得的进展,以应对这些挑战。我们讨论了这些改进后的外国直接投资统计数据如何有助于加强外国直接投资数据与跨国生产之间的关系,并为应用研究人员如何在实践中落实这一点提供了指导。
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引用次数: 0
Why do famines still occur in the 21st Century? A review on the causes of extreme food insecurity 为什么 21 世纪仍会发生饥荒?极端粮食不安全的原因综述
IF 5 2区 经济学 Q1 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2024-08-28 DOI: 10.1111/joes.12661
Sergio Tezanos-Vázquez

Why do famines persist in the 21st century, despite significant advances in agricultural productivity? Throughout human history, famines have been – and continue to be – among the harshest manifestations of destitution. They result from the exacerbation of human vulnerabilities caused by the synergistic interaction of multiple anthropogenic and natural determinants. Famines are humanitarian emergencies that sharply increase mortality and/or morbidity among destitute families. This article reviews the academic debate on the causes of famines. The literature is organized into six main “families” of theories: (i) classical economic explanations (Smith's and Malthus’ theses); (ii) food availability decline approach; (iii) entitlement approach; (iv) political perspectives (political regime and political accountability approaches); (v) new variant famine hypothesis; and (vi) systemic explanations. The article identifies the main gaps and limitations in this literature and highlights relevant development policy implications for reducing extreme food insecurity. The conclusion drawn is that the persistence of famines is attributable to ongoing mismanagement of significant triggers of extreme human vulnerability, both at the national and international levels. Extreme poverty, violent conflicts, economic shocks, climate change, governmental negligence, famine crimes, and pandemics contribute to the complexity of famine and require a comprehensive development strategy.

尽管农业生产力取得了巨大进步,为什么 21 世纪饥荒依然存在?纵观人类历史,饥荒一直是--并将继续是--最严酷的贫困表现形式之一。饥荒是多种人为和自然决定因素协同作用导致人类脆弱性加剧的结果。饥荒是人道主义紧急情况,它使赤贫家庭的死亡率和/或发病率急剧上升。本文回顾了关于饥荒原因的学术辩论。文献分为六大理论 "家族":(i) 经典经济学解释(斯密和马尔萨斯的论断);(ii) 粮食供应下降方法;(iii) 应享权利方法;(iv) 政治视角(政治制度和政治问责方法);(v) 新的变异饥荒假说;(vi) 系统性解释。文章指出了这些文献中的主要差距和局限性,并强调了减少极端粮食不安全的相关发展政策影响。文章得出的结论是,饥荒的持续发生可归因于国家和国际层面对人类极端脆弱性的重要诱因的持续管理不善。极端贫困、暴力冲突、经济冲击、气候变化、政府失职、饥荒犯罪和大流行病导致了饥荒的复杂性,需要制定全面的发展战略。
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引用次数: 0
Social capital and economic growth: A meta-analysis 社会资本与经济增长:荟萃分析
IF 5 2区 经济学 Q1 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2024-08-26 DOI: 10.1111/joes.12660
Xindong Xue, W. Robert Reed, Robbie C. M. van Aert

This research provides a comprehensive, quantitative synthesis of the empirical literature on social capital and economic growth. It assesses 957 estimates from 83 studies. While our preferred estimate of the overall mean effect is close to zero and statistically insignificant, the main finding of our analysis is the substantial degree of effect heterogeneity. We find that social capital effects can range from large negative to large positive, suggesting that its impact on economic growth varies substantially depending on the context. However, our investigation was unable to trace the sources of this heterogeneity to any observable data, estimation, and study characteristics. This suggests that other factors, not included in our study, are responsible. Our analysis did uncover significant publication bias, indicating that the estimates of social capital's effects in the empirical literature are overstated. A further finding from our analysis is that we found no evidence that different types of social capital have different effects on economic growth.

本研究对有关社会资本和经济增长的实证文献进行了全面的定量综述。它评估了来自 83 项研究的 957 个估计值。虽然我们对总体平均效应的首选估计值接近于零,且在统计上并不显著,但我们分析的主要发现是效应的异质性程度很高。我们发现,社会资本效应的范围可以是巨大的负效应,也可以是巨大的正效应,这表明社会资本对经济增长的影响因背景不同而有很大差异。然而,我们的调查无法将这种异质性的来源追溯到任何可观察到的数据、估计和研究特征。这表明,我们的研究未包括的其他因素也是造成这种现象的原因。我们的分析确实发现了明显的出版偏差,表明实证文献中对社会资本效应的估计被夸大了。我们的分析还发现,没有证据表明不同类型的社会资本对经济增长有不同的影响。
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引用次数: 0
Preference changes and index number theory 偏好变化和指数理论
IF 5 2区 经济学 Q1 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2024-08-14 DOI: 10.1111/joes.12658
Thu Huyen Le, Kam Yu

The economic approach to the cost of living index assumes that consumer preferences remain constant over time. This assumption poses little risk in calculating a short-run intertemporal bilateral price index. The assumption, however, breaks down in the case of a fixed-based time series index spanning a long period and in the context of international comparison. The economic analysis of preference changes, however, is not well-established. In this paper, we review the economic approach in index numbers under preference changes. Suggestions are made on how to approach the problem and their implications for the measurement of price and quantity indices.

生活费用指数的经济方法假定消费者的偏好随着时间的推移保持不变。这一假设在计算短期跨时双边价格指数时几乎没有风险。但是,在计算跨度长的固定时间序列指数和进行国际比较时,这一假设就不成立了。然而,对偏好变化的经济分析并不完善。在本文中,我们回顾了偏好变化下指数的经济分析方法。本文就如何处理这一问题及其对价格和数量指数测量的影响提出了建议。
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引用次数: 0
Performance benchmarking for regulating electricity distribution: Insights from empirical academic research 配电监管的绩效基准:实证学术研究的启示
IF 5.9 2区 经济学 Q1 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2024-08-14 DOI: 10.1111/joes.12656
Pablo Arocena, Subal C. Kumbhakar, Gudbrand Lien

Given its technological characteristics, the electricity distribution is managed by regional monopolies worldwide. Effective regulation of these monopolies requires rigorous performance benchmarking analysis across comparable peers in the industry. This article provides a comprehensive review of empirical studies examining efficiency and productivity change within the electricity distribution over the past three decades. We provide an overview of the main methodological frontier approaches employed, alongside an analysis of the findings from previous empirical studies. We identify methodological and data-related issues while highlighting challenges to be addressed in future research on benchmarking analysis for regulation.

鉴于配电行业的技术特点,全世界的配电行业都是由地区性垄断企业管理的。要对这些垄断企业进行有效监管,就必须对行业内的可比同行进行严格的绩效基准分析。本文全面回顾了过去三十年来有关配电行业效率和生产率变化的实证研究。我们概述了所采用的主要前沿方法,并分析了以往实证研究的结果。我们指出了方法和数据方面的问题,同时强调了未来监管基准分析研究中需要应对的挑战。
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引用次数: 0
Quality of care and patient satisfaction: Future trends and economic implications for the healthcare system 医疗质量和患者满意度:医疗保健系统的未来趋势和经济影响
IF 5 2区 经济学 Q1 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2024-08-14 DOI: 10.1111/joes.12657
Paula Ortega Perals, Salvador Cruz Rambaud, Javier Sánchez García

The healthcare system is a fundamental pillar for the economy of any country. One of its main goals is to reach an adequate effectiveness of medical care so that certain levels of well-being are achieved. In recent years, healthcare has experienced important changes to take into account quality of care and patient satisfaction as the drivers of effectiveness and financial performance. In this sense, it is specifically important to bring together in a single document all aspects that participate in the quality of care and patient satisfaction relationship. The purpose of this paper is to analyze, organize, and synthesize all the theories, methodologies, factors, and variables that conform to this relationship. To achieve that, a systematic literature review of 90 articles is performed. The main contributions of this paper are to reveal all factors and aspects relevant for the quality of care and patient satisfaction binomial, and the classification of impactful articles, methodological and theoretical approaches, leading journals, and variables of interest that exist in quality of care and patient satisfaction research. Eventually, important research gaps and further research lines are highlighted.

医疗保健系统是任何国家经济的基本支柱。其主要目标之一是实现医疗保健的充分有效性,从而达到一定的福利水平。近年来,医疗保健经历了重大变革,将医疗质量和患者满意度作为提高效率和财务业绩的驱动因素。从这个意义上讲,将参与医疗质量和患者满意度关系的所有方面汇集到一份文件中尤为重要。本文旨在分析、整理和归纳符合这种关系的所有理论、方法、因素和变量。为此,本文对 90 篇文章进行了系统的文献综述。本文的主要贡献在于揭示了与护理质量和患者满意度二项式相关的所有因素和方面,并对护理质量和患者满意度研究中存在的有影响力的文章、方法论和理论方法、主要期刊和相关变量进行了分类。最后,还强调了重要的研究空白和进一步的研究方向。
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引用次数: 0
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Journal of Economic Surveys
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