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Financial crimes in Africa and economic growth: Implications for achieving sustainable development goals (SDGs) 非洲的金融犯罪与经济增长:对实现可持续发展目标(SDGs)的影响
IF 5.9 2区 经济学 Q1 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2024-07-16 DOI: 10.1111/joes.12652
K. K. Arthur, Simplice A. Asongu, Peter Darko, Marvin O. Ansah, Sampson Adom, Omega Hlortu
The current review systematically synthesizes existing literature to provide a comprehensive overview of the nature of financial crimes in Africa and their impact on economic growth. We adopted the PRISMA protocol to identify 128 papers from the Scopus database, which were analyzed using MS Excel, VOSviewer, and R‐packages (Bibliometrix). The survey reveals that financial crimes are on the rise in Africa and have gained increasing concern over the years on the part of scholars, governments, and NGOs. The survey also demonstrates that most of the financial crime in Africa emanates from illicit activities such as credit card fraud, cybercrime, mobile money fraud, financial statement fraud, Ponzi scheme, bribery and corruption, public fund mismanagement, terror financing, piracy, identity fraud, tax invasion, drug trafficking, product based‐fraud, burglary, trade‐based money laundering, sex marketing, and gambling; with the majority occurring in specific regions like Western Africa, Southern Africa, and Eastern Africa. Sociopolitical marginalization, poverty, and unemployment, weak institutional and financial regulatory systems and individual selfish interests were the major causes. Overall, the content analysis of the studies indicates that financial crimes have significant negative impacts on the economic growth of the African continent. Implications for future research and practices have been discussed.
本综述系统地综合了现有文献,全面概述了非洲金融犯罪的性质及其对经济增长的影响。我们采用 PRISMA 协议从 Scopus 数据库中识别了 128 篇论文,并使用 MS Excel、VOSviewer 和 R-packages (Bibliometrix) 对其进行了分析。调查显示,金融犯罪在非洲呈上升趋势,多年来越来越受到学者、政府和非政府组织的关注。调查还显示,非洲的大部分金融犯罪来自非法活动,如信用卡欺诈、网络犯罪、移动支付欺诈、财务报表欺诈、庞氏骗局、贿赂和腐败、公共资金管理不善、恐怖融资、盗版、身份欺诈、侵税、贩毒、产品欺诈、盗窃、贸易洗钱、性营销和赌博;其中大部分发生在西非、南部非洲和东部非洲等特定地区。社会政治边缘化、贫困和失业、薄弱的机构和金融监管体系以及个人私利是主要原因。总体而言,对研究内容的分析表明,金融犯罪对非洲大陆的经济增长产生了重大的负面影响。研究还讨论了对未来研究和实践的影响。
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引用次数: 0
Parametric and non‐parametric measurement of efficiency in hotel industry: A systematic literature review 酒店业效率的参数和非参数测量:系统文献综述
IF 5.9 2区 经济学 Q1 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2024-07-14 DOI: 10.1111/joes.12653
Mara E. Vidali, A. Menegaki, Nisar Ahmad
This paper conducts an extensive systematic literature review on the measurement of efficiency in the hotel sector, which is the cornerstone of tourism. Thus, scrutinizing its performance measurement is vital for the advancement and strategic development of the sector. Exploiting the Scopus database, the paper offers a unique methodology for documenting sample transparency and selection objectivity and can constitute an example for future literature reviews. A range of articles is assessed to discern prevailing trends, key authors, and influential journals. A division of parametric and non‐parametric nature, various efficiency measurement methodologies, the input and output variables, geographical covering as well as various other metrics and benchmarks have been included. The study reveals a predominant focus on technical efficiency and commonly employed input variables such as the number of hotel rooms and employees. The paper suggests future research directions, advocating for a broader exploration of efficiency dimensions, including profit and cost aspects, the integration of emerging variables like digitalization and environmental factors and the use of larger samples. This study provides a comprehensive overview beneficial for academics, industry practitioners, and policymakers, synthesizing a clear orientation in the subject and indicating critical research routes for advancing the field's understanding and practical applications.
酒店业是旅游业的基石,本文对酒店业的效率衡量进行了广泛系统的文献综述。因此,仔细研究其绩效衡量对该行业的进步和战略发展至关重要。本文利用 Scopus 数据库,提供了一种独特的方法来记录样本的透明度和选择的客观性,可作为未来文献综述的范例。本文对一系列文章进行了评估,以发现流行趋势、主要作者和有影响力的期刊。研究内容包括参数和非参数性质的划分、各种效率衡量方法、投入和产出变量、地理覆盖范围以及其他各种指标和基准。研究表明,技术效率和常用的投入变量(如酒店客房和员工数量)是研究的重点。论文提出了未来的研究方向,主张对效率维度进行更广泛的探索,包括利润和成本方面,整合数字化和环境因素等新兴变量,以及使用更大的样本。本研究为学术界、行业从业者和政策制定者提供了有益的全面概述,综合了该主题的明确方向,并指出了推进该领域的理解和实际应用的关键研究路线。
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引用次数: 0
Feeling the heat: Extreme temperatures and housing prices in China 感受高温:中国的极端气温与房价
IF 5.9 2区 经济学 Q1 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2024-07-10 DOI: 10.1111/joes.12651
Yankun Kang, Dongxiao Niu, Jie Song, Weizeng Sun
Climate change‐driven extreme heat events pose a major threat to urban expansion globally. This study evaluates the relationship between extreme heat and housing prices utilizing panel data from Chinese cities between 2009 and 2019. Our findings indicate a significant negative correlation between housing prices and extreme temperatures. Specifically, we observe a 0.1% reduction in housing prices for each additional day per year with temperatures surpassing 35°C. This research evaluates two primary mechanisms underpinning this finding. Firstly, our analysis demonstrates a decline in labor inflows to cities experiencing extreme heat, with a particularly significant effect on the influx of high‐skilled workers. In addition, existing residents in these hotter urban environments exhibit reduced home‐buying intentions and reduced proclivity for long‐term residency, coupled with higher living costs. Secondly, our findings indicate that extreme heat acts as a deterrent to firm entry, thereby further suppressing housing demand. This study contributes valuable empirical insights into the capitalization of climate risk in housing markets, with a specific emphasis on the effect of extreme heat. Moreover, it highlights the urgent necessity for the development and implementation of sustainable adaptation strategies to reduce the negative effects of evolving climatic conditions.
气候变化导致的极端高温事件对全球城市扩张构成了重大威胁。本研究利用 2009 年至 2019 年期间中国城市的面板数据,评估了极端高温与房价之间的关系。研究结果表明,房价与极端气温之间存在明显的负相关关系。具体而言,我们观察到,每年气温超过 35°C 的天数每增加一天,房价就会下降 0.1%。这项研究评估了支撑这一结论的两个主要机制。首先,我们的分析表明,流入极端高温城市的劳动力减少,这对高技能工人的流入影响尤为显著。此外,在这些更炎热的城市环境中,现有居民的购房意愿下降,长期居住的倾向降低,同时生活成本上升。其次,我们的研究结果表明,极端高温阻碍了企业的进入,从而进一步抑制了住房需求。这项研究为住房市场气候风险资本化提供了宝贵的经验见解,特别强调了极端高温的影响。此外,它还强调了制定和实施可持续适应战略的紧迫性,以减少不断变化的气候条件的负面影响。
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引用次数: 0
Climate change in Europe and international portfolio allocation: Micro‐level evidence from global funds 欧洲气候变化与国际投资组合分配:来自全球基金的微观证据
IF 5.3 2区 经济学 Q1 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2024-06-22 DOI: 10.1111/joes.12649
Xiao Li, Xingyu Lu, Wenjing Xie
This paper investigates the impact of climate change on international portfolio allocations of global funds. We select the heat wave disasters in Europe in 2018 as a quasi‐natural experiment and employ the DID framework. Our findings indicate that global funds would reduce their holdings in the affected country after heat wave disasters. The congestion of inland waterways and electricity shortages during the heatwave have resulted in production delays, thereby transmit risks to the financial sector. Countries with higher foreign exposure experience a larger scale of capital outflow after heat waves; while countries with great institutional quality and resilience demonstrate greater capacity to withstand heat wave disasters. The funds with lower risk tolerance are more sensitive to climate change. Additionally, domestic funds will remain in their home countries post‐heatwave when foreign capitals flow away. These findings have important policy implications, and countries with high climate risks should carefully monitor the capital flows. In order to reduce the impact of climate risks, it is crucial to improve the quality of institution and efficiency of government as well as to implement effective disaster prevention and mitigation measures.
本文研究气候变化对全球基金国际投资组合配置的影响。我们选取 2018 年欧洲的热浪灾害作为准自然实验,并采用 DID 框架。我们的研究结果表明,热浪灾害发生后,全球基金会减持受灾国的股票。热浪期间内河航道拥堵和电力短缺导致生产延误,从而将风险传递给金融部门。对外风险较高的国家在热浪后会出现更大规模的资本外流;而机构素质高、抗灾能力强的国家则表现出更强的抵御热浪灾害的能力。风险承受能力较低的资金对气候变化更为敏感。此外,热浪过后,当外国资本流走时,国内资金会留在本国。这些发现具有重要的政策意义,气候风险高的国家应仔细监控资本流动。为了降低气候风险的影响,关键是要提高政府机构的质量和效率,并实施有效的防灾减灾措施。
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引用次数: 0
Within‐ and across‐province agglomeration of LEED certifications in China 中国 LEED 认证的省内和跨省集聚效应
IF 5.3 2区 经济学 Q1 Economics, Econometrics and Finance Pub Date : 2024-06-07 DOI: 10.1111/joes.12648
Guanzu Ding, Wei Lin, Yanfei Wang
This paper investigates the adoption patterns of Leadership in Energy and Environmental Design (LEED) certification in China, analyzing data from 2010 to 2021. We find that builders' choices of certification levels are positively correlated within each province. However, for commercial buildings, builders differentiate from each other in the choice of certification levels. The study also identifies spatial spillovers of LEED certification across nearby provinces. We propose potential explanations for these findings and discuss their policy implications. The results suggest that the design of certification schemes should account for the strategic behavior of firms. Additionally, regional policies promoting green building certifications may have spillover effects, encouraging adoption in neighboring regions.
本文通过分析 2010 年至 2021 年的数据,研究了中国采用能源与环境设计先锋认证(LEED)的模式。我们发现,各省建筑商对认证级别的选择呈正相关。然而,对于商业建筑而言,建筑商在认证等级的选择上存在差异。研究还发现了 LEED 认证在邻近省份之间的空间溢出效应。我们提出了这些发现的潜在解释,并讨论了其政策含义。研究结果表明,认证计划的设计应考虑企业的战略行为。此外,促进绿色建筑认证的地区政策可能会产生溢出效应,鼓励邻近地区采用绿色建筑认证。
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引用次数: 0
Global poverty: A Review of Measurement, Levels, and Trends in a Historical Perspective 全球贫困:从历史角度回顾贫困的衡量、水平和趋势
IF 5.3 2区 经济学 Q1 Economics, Econometrics and Finance Pub Date : 2024-06-07 DOI: 10.1111/joes.12644
M. Moatsos
Global poverty both in terms of conceptualization and measurement has been the point of a long‐standing debate for at least the last 20 years. The debate mostly evolves around the appropriateness of the dominant dollar‐a‐day approach—conceptualized and popularized by the World Bank since the early 1990s—and the quest for (better) alternatives. The most prominent alternatives are the cost of basic needs method and the capabilities/multidimensional. However, the later lacks medium and long run global reach due to data limitations. In addition, global poverty estimates across the literature resist meaningful direct comparison due to the substantial methodological differences between each attempt, even using the same broad methodological framework. More welfare demanding definitions of cost of basic needs implementation, building upon the EAT‐Lancet healthy reference diet, indicate that global poverty has reduced at a much lower rate, and its estimates diverge at an increasing rate from the dollar‐a‐day definition of extreme poverty. This review compares the two main approaches on the definition and measurement of global poverty and contrasts available results with a focus in the long run implementations.
至少在过去的 20 年里,全球贫困的概念和衡量标准一直是长期争论的焦点。争论的焦点主要是世界银行自 20 世纪 90 年代初提出并推广的 "每日一美元 "方法是否合适,以及寻求(更好的)替代方法。最突出的替代方法是基本需求成本法和能力/多维法。然而,由于数据的限制,后一种方法缺乏中长期的全球影响力。此外,由于每种方法之间存在巨大差异,即使使用相同的广泛方法框架,文献中的全球贫困估算也无法进行有意义的直接比较。以 EAT-Lancet 健康参考膳食为基础,对基本需求实施成本的福利要求更高的定义表明,全球贫困人口减少的速度要低得多,而且其估算值与每天一美元的极端贫困定义的偏差越来越大。本综述对全球贫困定义和衡量的两种主要方法进行了比较,并以长期实施为重点,对现有结果进行了对比。
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引用次数: 0
The exchange rate pass‐through to domestic prices: A meta‐analysis 汇率对国内价格的传递:元分析
IF 5.3 2区 经济学 Q1 Economics, Econometrics and Finance Pub Date : 2024-06-05 DOI: 10.1111/joes.12647
T. Iorngurum
Estimates of the exchange rate pass‐through vary significantly across studies. Therefore, I conduct a meta‐analysis to understand why estimates differ and provide consensus for the conflicting results. The dataset includes 72 primary studies containing 1219 estimates of the pass‐through from nominal effective exchange rates to consumer prices for 111 countries. Because there are many potential causes of heterogeneity, I use Bayesian model averaging to identify the important ones. I find that results vary mainly due to a combination of country‐specific and methodological characteristics, even though factors such as asymmetry and product‐specific characteristics also play a role. The country‐specific characteristics include trade openness, exchange rate flexibility, economic development status, exchange rate persistence, and commodity dependence. On the other hand, the methodological factors include estimation methods, data characteristics, endogeneity bias, and the researcher's choice of control variables. Finally, I model the exchange rate pass‐through, taking into account asymmetry and the best practices in the literature. I find that a 1% increase in the exchange rate leads to a 0.09% decrease in the consumer price level, whereas a 1% decrease leads to a 0.19% increase.
不同研究对汇率传递的估计差异很大。因此,我进行了一项荟萃分析,以了解估计值不同的原因,并就相互矛盾的结果达成共识。数据集包括 72 项主要研究,其中包含 111 个国家的 1219 个名义有效汇率向消费价格传递的估计值。由于异质性的潜在原因很多,我使用贝叶斯模型平均法来识别重要的原因。我发现,尽管不对称和特定产品特征等因素也发挥了作用,但结果的差异主要是由特定国家特征和方法特征共同造成的。国别特征包括贸易开放度、汇率灵活性、经济发展状况、汇率持久性和商品依赖性。另一方面,方法因素包括估计方法、数据特征、内生性偏差以及研究者对控制变量的选择。最后,考虑到非对称性和文献中的最佳实践,我建立了汇率传递模型。我发现,汇率上升 1%会导致消费价格水平下降 0.09%,而下降 1%则会导致消费价格水平上升 0.19%。
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引用次数: 0
The behavioral, economic, and political impact of the Internet and social media: Empirical challenges and approaches 互联网和社交媒体对行为、经济和政治的影响:实证挑战与方法
IF 5.3 2区 经济学 Q1 Economics, Econometrics and Finance Pub Date : 2024-05-21 DOI: 10.1111/joes.12629
Fabio Sabatini
This paper presents a review of empirical methods used to assess the behavioral, economic, and political outcomes of Internet and social media usage. Instead of merely surveying the various impacts of the Internet, we examine the methods adopted to identify these impacts. We describe two main approaches for establishing causal effects, each with strengths and limitations. The first approach involves searching for exogenous sources of variation in the access to fast Internet or specific content. The second approach takes the form of field or laboratory experiments. In this paper, we focus on the first approach, delving into the methodological threats, empirical design, and main findings of the most prominent studies that exploit natural or quasi‐experiments for identifying the causal impact of high‐speed Internet or specific social media. This undertaking allows us to highlight the key empirical challenges in the field of Internet and social media economics while summarizing the causal relationships that the literature has uncovered so far.
本文回顾了用于评估互联网和社交媒体使用的行为、经济和政治结果的实证方法。我们不只是调查互联网的各种影响,而是研究确定这些影响所采用的方法。我们介绍了确定因果效应的两种主要方法,每种方法都有其优势和局限性。第一种方法是寻找访问快速互联网或特定内容的外生变化源。第二种方法采用实地或实验室实验的形式。在本文中,我们将重点讨论第一种方法,深入探讨利用自然实验或准实验来确定高速互联网或特定社交媒体的因果影响的最著名研究的方法论威胁、实证设计和主要发现。这项工作使我们能够突出互联网和社交媒体经济学领域的主要实证挑战,同时总结迄今为止文献所揭示的因果关系。
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引用次数: 0
Conventional wisdom, meta‐analysis, and research revision in economics 经济学中的传统智慧、元分析和研究修正
IF 5.3 2区 经济学 Q1 Economics, Econometrics and Finance Pub Date : 2024-05-20 DOI: 10.1111/joes.12630
S. Gechert, Bianka Mey, Matej Opatrny, Tomas Havranek, T. D. Stanley, Pedro R. D. Bom, Hristos Doucouliagos, Philipp Heimberger, Zuzana Irsova, Heiko J. Rachinger
Over the past several decades, meta‐analysis has emerged as a widely accepted tool to understand economics research. Meta‐analyses often challenge the established conventional wisdom of their respective fields. We systematically review a wide range of influential meta‐analyses in economics and compare them to “conventional wisdom.” After correcting for observable biases, the empirical economic effects are typically much closer to zero and sometimes switch signs. Typically, the relative reduction in effect sizes is 45%–60%.
过去几十年来,元分析已成为一种广为接受的了解经济学研究的工具。荟萃分析通常会挑战各自领域的既定传统智慧。我们系统地回顾了经济学中一系列有影响力的荟萃分析,并将其与 "传统智慧 "进行比较。在对可观察到的偏差进行校正后,实证经济效应通常更接近于零,有时还会出现符号转换。通常情况下,效应大小的相对缩减幅度为 45%-60%。
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引用次数: 0
Determinants of stock market participation 参与股市的决定因素
IF 5.3 2区 经济学 Q1 Economics, Econometrics and Finance Pub Date : 2024-05-11 DOI: 10.1111/joes.12634
Lukas Menkhoff, Jannis Westermann
The low degree of stock market participation (SMP) is one of the big puzzles in finance. Numerous determinants have been proposed. We put these determinants into a structure that is derived from a standard static portfolio model. Then we discuss arguments put forward regarding specific SMP determinants and the empirical evidence that has been provided. The focus of our survey is on the identification of a causal impact of determinants on SMP via shocks. We summarize the evidence by suggesting established and likely SMP determinants and providing an outlook for future research and policy.
股票市场参与度低(SMP)是金融领域的一大难题。人们提出了许多决定因素。我们将这些决定因素纳入一个由标准静态投资组合模型推导出的结构中。然后,我们将讨论就具体的 SMP 决定因素提出的论点以及所提供的经验证据。我们调查的重点是确定决定因素通过冲击对 SMP 的因果影响。我们对证据进行了总结,提出了既定的和可能的 SMP 决定因素,并对未来的研究和政策进行了展望。
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引用次数: 0
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Journal of Economic Surveys
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