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Climate change in Europe and international portfolio allocation: Micro-level evidence from global funds 欧洲气候变化与国际投资组合分配:来自全球基金的微观证据
IF 5.9 2区 经济学 Q1 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2024-06-21 DOI: 10.1111/joes.12649
Xiao Li, Xingyu Lu, Wenjing Xie

This paper investigates the impact of climate change on international portfolio allocations of global funds. We select the heat wave disasters in Europe in 2018 as a quasi-natural experiment and employ the DID framework. Our findings indicate that global funds would reduce their holdings in the affected country after heat wave disasters. The congestion of inland waterways and electricity shortages during the heatwave have resulted in production delays, thereby transmit risks to the financial sector. Countries with higher foreign exposure experience a larger scale of capital outflow after heat waves; while countries with great institutional quality and resilience demonstrate greater capacity to withstand heat wave disasters. The funds with lower risk tolerance are more sensitive to climate change. Additionally, domestic funds will remain in their home countries post-heatwave when foreign capitals flow away. These findings have important policy implications, and countries with high climate risks should carefully monitor the capital flows. In order to reduce the impact of climate risks, it is crucial to improve the quality of institution and efficiency of government as well as to implement effective disaster prevention and mitigation measures.

本文研究气候变化对全球基金国际投资组合配置的影响。我们选取 2018 年欧洲的热浪灾害作为准自然实验,并采用 DID 框架。我们的研究结果表明,热浪灾害发生后,全球基金会减持受灾国的股票。热浪期间内河航道拥堵和电力短缺导致生产延误,从而将风险传递给金融部门。对外风险较高的国家在热浪后会出现更大规模的资本外流;而机构素质高、抗灾能力强的国家则表现出更强的抵御热浪灾害的能力。风险承受能力较低的资金对气候变化更为敏感。此外,热浪过后,当外国资本流走时,国内资金会留在本国。这些发现具有重要的政策意义,气候风险高的国家应仔细监控资本流动。为了降低气候风险的影响,关键是要提高政府机构的质量和效率,并实施有效的防灾减灾措施。
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引用次数: 0
Within- and across-province agglomeration of LEED certifications in China 中国 LEED 认证的省内和跨省集聚效应
IF 5.9 2区 经济学 Q1 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2024-06-07 DOI: 10.1111/joes.12648
Guanzu Ding, Wei Lin, Yanfei Wang

This paper investigates the adoption patterns of Leadership in Energy and Environmental Design (LEED) certification in China, analyzing data from 2010 to 2021. We find that builders' choices of certification levels are positively correlated within each province. However, for commercial buildings, builders differentiate from each other in the choice of certification levels. The study also identifies spatial spillovers of LEED certification across nearby provinces. We propose potential explanations for these findings and discuss their policy implications. The results suggest that the design of certification schemes should account for the strategic behavior of firms. Additionally, regional policies promoting green building certifications may have spillover effects, encouraging adoption in neighboring regions.

本文通过分析 2010 年至 2021 年的数据,研究了中国采用能源与环境设计先锋认证(LEED)的模式。我们发现,各省建筑商对认证级别的选择呈正相关。然而,对于商业建筑而言,建筑商在认证等级的选择上存在差异。研究还发现了 LEED 认证在邻近省份之间的空间溢出效应。我们提出了这些发现的潜在解释,并讨论了其政策含义。研究结果表明,认证计划的设计应考虑企业的战略行为。此外,促进绿色建筑认证的地区政策可能会产生溢出效应,鼓励邻近地区采用绿色建筑认证。
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引用次数: 0
Does global warming worsen poverty and inequality? An updated review 全球变暖会加剧贫困和不平等吗?最新评论
IF 5.9 2区 经济学 Q1 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2024-06-03 DOI: 10.1111/joes.12636
Hai-Anh H. Dang, Stephane Hallegatte, Trong-Anh Trinh

We offer an updated and comprehensive review of recent studies on the impacts of climate change, particularly global warming, on poverty and inequality, paying special attention to data sources as well as empirical methods. While studies consistently find negative impacts of higher temperatures on poverty across different geographical regions, with higher vulnerability especially in poorer Sub-Saharan Africa, there is inconclusive evidence on climate change impacts on inequality. Further analyzing a recently constructed global database at the subnational unit level derived from official national household income and consumption surveys, we find that temperature change has larger impacts in the short term and more impacts on chronic poverty than transient poverty. The results are robust to different model specifications and measures of chronic poverty and are more pronounced for poorer countries. Our findings offer relevant inputs into current efforts to fight climate change.

我们对近期有关气候变化,尤其是全球变暖对贫困和不平等的影响的研究进行了最新的全面回顾,特别关注数据来源和实证方法。研究一致发现,气温升高对不同地理区域的贫困现象有负面影响,尤其是在较贫困的撒哈拉以南非洲地区,脆弱性更高,但关于气候变化对不平等现象的影响,尚无定论。通过进一步分析最近从官方国家家庭收入和消费调查中得出的国家以下单位层面的全球数据库,我们发现气温变化的短期影响更大,对长期贫困的影响大于对短暂贫困的影响。这些结果对不同的模型规格和慢性贫困的衡量标准都是稳健的,而且对较贫困国家的影响更为明显。我们的研究结果为当前应对气候变化的努力提供了相关信息。
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引用次数: 0
Carbon market integration, productivity, and welfare: A quantitative analysis 碳市场一体化、生产力和福利:定量分析
IF 5.9 2区 经济学 Q1 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2024-05-30 DOI: 10.1111/joes.12637
Yuying Liu, Yongjin Wang, Xiaofan Li

China's carbon market is far from being integrated. This paper studies how carbon emissions reduction and carbon market integration affect China's aggregate productivity and welfare via a quantitative spatial general equilibrium model with CO2${rm CO}_2$ as a by-product of production. We find that (1) were carbon emission rights to be allowed to be traded across regions, (i) if there is no technological growth, China's overall productivity and real GDP would increase by 10.26%, and 27.19% respectively, and welfare would decline slightly by 0.92%; (ii) if the technology grows at the present growth rate, China's total output, real GDP and welfare would increase by 9.97, 38.57, and 7.79%, respectively; (2) were nine regional carbon trading markets integrated, China's overall productivity, real GDP and welfare would increase by 4.35, 29.17, and 7.75%, respectively.  Carbon market integration enables China to achieve economic development at a lower CO2${rm CO}_2$ cost.

中国的碳市场远未实现一体化。本文通过一个定量空间一般均衡模型,以二氧化碳 ${rm CO}_2$ 为生产副产品,研究碳减排和碳市场一体化如何影响中国的总体生产率和福利。我们发现:(1) 如果允许碳排放权跨地区交易,(i) 如果没有技术增长,中国的总体生产率和实际 GDP 将分别提高 10.26% 和 27.19%,福利将略微下降 0.92%;(ii) 如果允许碳排放权跨地区交易,如果没有技术增长,中国的总体生产率和实际 GDP 将分别提高 10.26% 和 27.19%,福利将略微下降 0.92%。92%;②如果技术以目前的增长率增长,中国的总产出、实际 GDP 和福利将分别增长 9.97%、38.57%和 7.79%;②如果 9 个区域碳交易市场实现一体化,中国的总体生产率、实际 GDP 和福利将分别增长 4.35%、29.17%和 7.75%。 碳市场一体化使中国能够以较低的二氧化碳排放成本实现经济发展。
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引用次数: 0
Water rights trading and corporate productivity: Evidence from a quasi-natural experiment of China's pilot policy 水权交易与企业生产力:来自中国试点政策准自然实验的证据
IF 5.9 2区 经济学 Q1 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2024-05-30 DOI: 10.1111/joes.12646
Duan Liu, Nizhou Yu, Hong Wan, Jinghua Ou, Shujie Yao, Qiuhong Wang

The economic consequences of water efficiency that results from water policies remains controversial. Studies on how water rights trading (WRT), which allocates water resources in and across industries, influences corporate efficiency can reveal the behavioral response of market participants to increase water efficiency. Considering the WRT pilot implemented in 2014 as a quasi-natural experiment, we adopt the difference-in-difference-in-differences method to evaluate its impact on corporate total factor productivity (TFP). Our findings show that WRT significantly stimulates the TFP of firms with high water costs. This effect is achieved by promoting water-related green innovation and optimizing resource allocation instead of alleviating corporate risks. Furthermore, the impact of WRT is more pronounced in areas with lower levels of water endowment and market development. The research findings have strikingly important policy implications regarding water management in China through WRT.

水政策所带来的用水效率的经济后果仍存在争议。研究水权交易(WRT)如何在行业内和行业间分配水资源,从而影响企业效率,可以揭示市场参与者提高用水效率的行为反应。将 2014 年实施的水权交易试点视为一个准自然实验,我们采用差分法来评估其对企业全要素生产率(TFP)的影响。我们的研究结果表明,水资源税极大地刺激了高用水成本企业的全要素生产率。这种效果是通过促进与水有关的绿色创新和优化资源配置而实现的,而不是减轻企业风险。此外,在水资源禀赋和市场发展水平较低的地区,水资源循环技术的影响更为明显。研究结果对中国通过水资源循环技术进行水资源管理具有重要的政策意义。
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引用次数: 0
The behavioral, economic, and political impact of the Internet and social media: Empirical challenges and approaches 互联网和社交媒体对行为、经济和政治的影响:实证挑战与方法
IF 5.3 2区 经济学 Q1 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2024-05-21 DOI: 10.1111/joes.12629
Fabio Sabatini
This paper presents a review of empirical methods used to assess the behavioral, economic, and political outcomes of Internet and social media usage. Instead of merely surveying the various impacts of the Internet, we examine the methods adopted to identify these impacts. We describe two main approaches for establishing causal effects, each with strengths and limitations. The first approach involves searching for exogenous sources of variation in the access to fast Internet or specific content. The second approach takes the form of field or laboratory experiments. In this paper, we focus on the first approach, delving into the methodological threats, empirical design, and main findings of the most prominent studies that exploit natural or quasi‐experiments for identifying the causal impact of high‐speed Internet or specific social media. This undertaking allows us to highlight the key empirical challenges in the field of Internet and social media economics while summarizing the causal relationships that the literature has uncovered so far.
本文回顾了用于评估互联网和社交媒体使用的行为、经济和政治结果的实证方法。我们不只是调查互联网的各种影响,而是研究确定这些影响所采用的方法。我们介绍了确定因果效应的两种主要方法,每种方法都有其优势和局限性。第一种方法是寻找访问快速互联网或特定内容的外生变化源。第二种方法采用实地或实验室实验的形式。在本文中,我们将重点讨论第一种方法,深入探讨利用自然实验或准实验来确定高速互联网或特定社交媒体的因果影响的最著名研究的方法论威胁、实证设计和主要发现。这项工作使我们能够突出互联网和社交媒体经济学领域的主要实证挑战,同时总结迄今为止文献所揭示的因果关系。
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引用次数: 0
Determinants of stock market participation 参与股市的决定因素
IF 5.3 2区 经济学 Q1 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2024-05-11 DOI: 10.1111/joes.12634
Lukas Menkhoff, Jannis Westermann
The low degree of stock market participation (SMP) is one of the big puzzles in finance. Numerous determinants have been proposed. We put these determinants into a structure that is derived from a standard static portfolio model. Then we discuss arguments put forward regarding specific SMP determinants and the empirical evidence that has been provided. The focus of our survey is on the identification of a causal impact of determinants on SMP via shocks. We summarize the evidence by suggesting established and likely SMP determinants and providing an outlook for future research and policy.
股票市场参与度低(SMP)是金融领域的一大难题。人们提出了许多决定因素。我们将这些决定因素纳入一个由标准静态投资组合模型推导出的结构中。然后,我们将讨论就具体的 SMP 决定因素提出的论点以及所提供的经验证据。我们调查的重点是确定决定因素通过冲击对 SMP 的因果影响。我们对证据进行了总结,提出了既定的和可能的 SMP 决定因素,并对未来的研究和政策进行了展望。
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引用次数: 0
The effect of bubbles on production: The state of the literature 泡沫对生产的影响:文献现状
IF 5.3 2区 经济学 Q1 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2024-05-07 DOI: 10.1111/joes.12635
Cristhian Fernández‐González, Luis A. Hierro, Helena Domínguez‐Torres
In this paper, a comprehensive review is carried out on the strand of the literature related to the effects of bubbles on production, which includes the scarce empirical literature. The content is structured according to the bubble phase, since a major part of the literature considers that during the boom, there can be a crowding‐in effect that can even offset the crowding‐out effect derived from the bursting of the bubble. This possibility is due to the influence of two opposing mechanisms: a substitution effect derived from the possible diversion of resources previously allocated to productive investments, and an income effect derived from the fact that investors have more resources obtained from the sale of the bubble assets and from the role of these assets as collateral in loan operations. Studies also show the negative effect derived from the involvement of banks in bubbles. In this paper, both the results of the research and the main methodological framework are reviewed, thereby identifying as a gap in the literature to be considered for future research: the scarcity of empirical research, of studies that include demand factors, of papers that address bubbles in nonfinancial and nonhousing markets, and in undeveloped and emerging countries.
本文全面回顾了与泡沫对生产的影响有关的文献,其中包括稀缺的实证文献。由于大部分文献认为,在经济繁荣时期,可能会出现挤入效应,甚至可以抵消泡沫破灭时产生的挤出效应,因此本文根据泡沫阶段对内容进行了编排。这种可能性是由两种相反机制的影响造成的:一种是替代效应,因为以前分配给生产性投资的资源可能被转移;另一种是收入效应,因为投资者从出售泡沫资产和这些资产在贷款业务中的抵押作用中获得了更多的资源。研究还显示了银行参与泡沫所带来的负面影响。本文对研究成果和主要方法框架进行了回顾,从而确定了未来研究应考虑的文献空白:实证研究、包含需求因素的研究、针对非金融和非住房市场泡沫以及不发达国家和新兴国家泡沫的论文都很少。
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引用次数: 0
The economics of copyright in the digital age 数字时代的版权经济学
IF 5.3 2区 经济学 Q1 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2024-05-07 DOI: 10.1111/joes.12632
Christian Peukert, Margaritha Windisch
Intellectual property rights are fundamental to how economies organize innovation and steer the diffusion of knowledge. Copyright law, in particular, has developed constantly to keep up with emerging technologies and the interests of creators, consumers, and intermediaries of the different creative industries. We provide a synthesis of the literature on the law and economics of copyright in the digital age, with a particular focus on the available empirical evidence. First, we discuss the legal foundations of the copyright system and developments of length and scope throughout the era of digitization. Second, we review the literature on technological change with its opportunities and challenges for the stakeholders involved. We give special attention to empirical evidence on online copyright enforcement, changes in the supply of works due to digital technology, and the importance of creative re‐use and new licensing and business models. We then set out avenues for further research identifying critical gaps in the literature regarding the scope of empirical copyright research, the effects of technology that enables algorithmic licensing, and copyright issues related to software, data and artificial intelligence.
知识产权是经济组织创新和引导知识传播的基础。尤其是版权法,它的发展与新兴技术以及不同创意产业的创作者、消费者和中间商的利益息息相关。我们对数字时代版权法和经济学方面的文献进行了综述,尤其关注现有的经验证据。首先,我们讨论了版权制度的法律基础以及整个数字化时代版权长度和范围的发展。其次,我们回顾了有关技术变革及其给相关利益方带来的机遇和挑战的文献。我们特别关注网络版权实施的经验证据、数字技术带来的作品供应变化、创意再利用的重要性以及新的许可和商业模式。然后,我们提出了进一步研究的途径,确定了文献中关于实证版权研究范围、支持算法许可的技术的影响以及与软件、数据和人工智能相关的版权问题的关键空白。
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引用次数: 0
Accounting for sample overlap in economics meta‐analyses: The generalized‐weights method in practice 经济学荟萃分析中的样本重叠问题:广义加权法的实践
IF 5.3 2区 经济学 Q1 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2024-05-07 DOI: 10.1111/joes.12633
Pedro R. D. Bom, Heiko Rachinger
Meta‐analyses in economics frequently exhibit considerable overlap among primary samples. If not addressed, sample overlap leads to efficiency losses and inflated rates of false positives at the meta‐analytical level. In previous work, we proposed a generalized‐weights (GW) approach to handle sample overlap. This approach effectively approximates the correlation structure between primary estimates using information on sample sizes and overlap degrees in the primary studies. This paper demonstrates the application of the GW method to economics meta‐analyses, addressing practical challenges that are likely to be encountered. We account for variations in data aggregation levels, estimation methods, and effect size metrics, among other issues. We derive explicit covariance formulas for different scenarios, evaluate the accuracy of the approximations, and employ Monte Carlo simulations to demonstrate how the method enhances efficiency and restores the false positive rate to its nominal level.
经济学中的元分析经常出现主要样本之间的大量重叠。如果不加以解决,样本重叠会导致元分析层面的效率损失和假阳性率上升。在之前的工作中,我们提出了一种处理样本重叠的广义权重(GW)方法。这种方法利用样本大小和主要研究中重叠程度的信息,有效地近似了主要估计值之间的相关结构。本文展示了 GW 方法在经济学荟萃分析中的应用,解决了可能遇到的实际难题。我们考虑了数据汇总水平、估计方法和效应大小度量等方面的差异。我们推导出了不同情况下的显式协方差公式,评估了近似值的准确性,并采用蒙特卡罗模拟来证明该方法如何提高效率并将假阳性率恢复到其名义水平。
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引用次数: 0
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Journal of Economic Surveys
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