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A framework for evaluating reproducibility and replicability in economics 评估经济学再现性和可复制性的框架
IF 1.8 4区 经济学 Q2 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2024-07-01 DOI: 10.1111/ecin.13244
Anna Dreber, Magnus Johannesson
We propose a framework for evaluating reproducibility and replicability in economics. Reproducibility is defined as testing if the results of an original study can be reproduced using the same data and replicability is defined as testing if the results of an original study hold in new data. We further divide reproducibility and replicability studies into five types: computational reproducibility, recreate reproducibility, robustness reproducibility, direct replicability and conceptual replicability. In addition to this typology we propose indicators to measure the degree of reproducibility and replicability in both individual studies and for a group of studies.
我们提出了一个评估经济学可重复性和可复制性的框架。可重复性的定义是检验原始研究的结果是否可以用相同的数据重现,可复制性的定义是检验原始研究的结果是否在新数据中成立。我们进一步将可重复性和可复制性研究分为五种类型:计算可重复性、再现可重复性、稳健性可重复性、直接可复制性和概念可复制性。除此类型外,我们还提出了衡量单项研究和一组研究的再现性和可复制性程度的指标。
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引用次数: 0
Evidence on quality spillovers from speed enhancing policies in the workplace 工作场所速度提升政策的质量溢出效应证据
IF 1.7 4区 经济学 Q2 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2024-07-01 DOI: 10.1111/ecin.13239
Alexandra E. Hill, Timothy K. M. Beatty

Empirical researchers often consider a single determinant of labor productivity: speed. This paper asks whether they are neglecting spillovers on output quality. Using high-frequency data on the speed and quality of strawberry harvesters' work, we offer novel evidence that two distinct workplace policies associated with increases in worker speed lead to similar decreases in the quality of their work. We find that both peer speed and wage changes boost worker speed and lower output quality; 10 percent increases in speed are associated with reductions in quality on the order of 1.5–1.7 percent.

实证研究人员通常只考虑劳动生产率的一个决定因素:速度。本文提出的问题是,他们是否忽视了产出质量的溢出效应。利用草莓采摘者工作速度和质量的高频数据,我们提供了新的证据,证明与工人速度提高相关的两种不同的工作场所政策会导致工人工作质量的类似下降。我们发现,同行速度和工资变化都会提高工人速度,降低产出质量;速度提高 10%,质量下降 1.5-1.7% 左右。
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引用次数: 0
Misinformation, consumer risk perceptions, and markets: The impact of an information shock on vaping and smoking cessation 错误信息、消费者风险认知和市场:信息冲击对吸烟和戒烟的影响
IF 1.7 4区 经济学 Q2 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2024-06-28 DOI: 10.1111/ecin.13238
Lawrence Jin, Don Kenkel PhD, Michael Lovenheim PhD, Alan Mathios PhD, Hua Wang PhD

We study the impact of an information shock created by an outbreak of lung injuries apparently related to e-cigarettes. We use data from multiple sources: surveys of risk perceptions conducted before, during, and after the outbreak; an in-depth survey on risk perceptions and vaping and smoking behavior; and national aggregate time-series sales data. We find that after the outbreak, consumer perceptions of the riskiness of e-cigarettes sharply increased. From our estimated e-cigarette demand models, we conclude that the information shock reduced e-cigarette demand and the use of e-cigarettes for smoking cessation by about 30 percent.

我们研究了显然与电子烟有关的肺部伤害爆发所造成的信息冲击的影响。我们使用了多种来源的数据:在疫情爆发前、爆发期间和爆发后进行的风险认知调查;关于风险认知、电子烟和吸烟行为的深入调查;以及全国综合时序销售数据。我们发现,疫情爆发后,消费者对电子烟风险性的认知急剧上升。根据我们估计的电子烟需求模型,我们得出结论,信息冲击使电子烟需求和用于戒烟的电子烟减少了约 30%。
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引用次数: 0
Purchases over the SNAP benefit cycle: Evidence from supermarket panel data 在 SNAP 福利周期内的购买情况:超市面板数据提供的证据
IF 1.7 4区 经济学 Q2 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2024-06-27 DOI: 10.1111/ecin.13241
Katherine Harris-Lagoudakis, Hannah Wich

This paper investigates the effect of Supplemental Nutrition Assistance Program (SNAP) benefit disbursement on intramonthly household level purchases made from a supermarket retailer. We find that spending, the likelihood of shopping, the bulk expenditure share and the national brand expenditure share increase by $2, 1.5, 2, and 0.6% points, respectively, on the day that SNAP benefits are disbursed. We also compare and contrast estimates that use variation in the indicator for benefit receipt to estimates that utilize variation in the probability of SNAP benefit receipt. We find substantial differences between the two approaches for the outcome of spending.

本文研究了 "补充营养援助计划"(SNAP)福利发放对超市零售商月内家庭消费的影响。我们发现,在发放 SNAP 福利的当天,消费额、购物可能性、大宗支出份额和全国品牌支出份额分别增加了 2 美元、1.5、2 和 0.6 个百分点。我们还对比了利用福利领取指标变化进行的估算和利用 SNAP 福利领取概率变化进行的估算。我们发现这两种方法在支出结果上存在很大差异。
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引用次数: 0
Unhealthy food, regulations, and consumer welfare: The US microwaveable popcorn market 不健康食品、法规和消费者福利:美国微波炉爆米花市场
IF 1.7 4区 经济学 Q2 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2024-06-24 DOI: 10.1111/ecin.13240
Christoph Bauner, Debi Prasad Mohapatra, Nadia Streletskaya, Emily Wang

Due to significant health concerns, governments across the world have taken measures to regulate dietary trans fat, for example, through bans and ad-valorem taxes. We assess the effectiveness of these two strategies and measure their ensuing welfare implications. We estimate a structural demand and supply model for the microwavable popcorn market using NielsenIQ Homescan data. Applying the recovered consumer preferences and marginal costs, we find a ban and a 35% tax result in similar levels of welfare loss and trans fat reduction. A 10% tax can still significantly reduce trans fat consumption (around 48%), while the associated consumer welfare loss is substantially smaller.

出于对健康的高度关注,世界各国政府纷纷采取措施对膳食中的反式脂肪进行监管,例如通过禁令和从价税。我们对这两种策略的有效性进行了评估,并衡量了其对福利的影响。我们利用 NielsenIQ Homescan 数据对微波炉爆米花市场的供需结构模型进行了估算。应用恢复后的消费者偏好和边际成本,我们发现禁令和 35% 的税收会导致相似程度的福利损失和反式脂肪减少。征收 10%的税仍能大幅减少反式脂肪的消费(约 48%),而相关的消费者福利损失则要小得多。
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引用次数: 0
An experimental comparison of contributions in collective prevention games and public goods games 集体预防博弈和公共物品博弈中贡献的实验比较
IF 1.7 4区 经济学 Q2 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2024-06-24 DOI: 10.1111/ecin.13236
Véronique Flambard, Fabrice Le Lec, Rustam Romaniuc

In many collective action problems individuals' contributions increase the probability of a collectively favorable event rather than affect the quantity of public goods provided. Such problems, that we refer to as collective prevention games, remain largely unexplored in the literature. We fill this gap by setting up an experiment where subjects' contributions increase the probability of a fixed collective benefit or reduce the probability of a fixed negative externality. Our main result is a substantial increase in cooperation in the probabilistic loss environment compared to the deterministic one. We explore some behavioral mechanisms that could drive this result.

在许多集体行动问题中,个人的贡献会增加集体有利事件发生的概率,而不是影响所提供公共产品的数量。我们将这类问题称为集体预防博弈,但文献中对这类问题的研究在很大程度上仍然空白。我们通过实验填补了这一空白,在实验中,受试者的贡献会增加固定集体利益的概率,或减少固定负外部性的概率。我们的主要结果是,与确定性环境相比,概率损失环境中的合作大幅增加。我们探讨了一些可能导致这一结果的行为机制。
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引用次数: 0
Lockdown drinking: The sobering effect of price controls in a pandemic 禁酒:大流行病中价格控制的警示作用
IF 1.7 4区 经济学 Q2 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2024-06-05 DOI: 10.1111/ecin.13237
Farasat A. S. Bokhari, Ratula Chakraborty, Paul W. Dobson, Marcello Morciano

Lockdown restrictions reduce the spread of COVID-19 but disrupt livelihoods and lifestyles that can induce harmful behavior changes, including problematic lockdown drinking fueled by cheap alcohol. Exploiting differences amongst the four constituent countries of the United Kingdom, we use triple difference analysis on alcohol retail sales to examine the efficacy of minimum unit pricing as a price control device to help curb excessive consumption in a pandemic setting. We find the policy is remarkably effective and well-targeted in reducing demand for cheap alcohol, with minimal spillover effects, and consumers overall buying and spending less.

封锁限制措施可减少 COVID-19 的传播,但会扰乱生计和生活方式,从而诱发有害的行为改变,包括由廉价酒精助长的问题性封锁饮酒。利用英国四个成员国之间的差异,我们使用酒类零售额的三重差异分析法,研究了最低单位定价作为一种价格控制手段在大流行环境下抑制过度消费的有效性。我们发现,该政策在减少廉价酒需求方面效果显著,针对性强,溢出效应极小,消费者总体购买和消费水平较低。
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引用次数: 0
Replication of “How much does immigration boost innovation?” 复制 "移民对创新的促进作用有多大?
IF 1.8 4区 经济学 Q2 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2024-05-29 DOI: 10.1111/ecin.13230
Taylor J. Wright
Identifying the causal impact of immigration on outcomes commonly involves using a “shift‐share” or Bartik instrument, exploiting country‐specific immigration inflows (shifts) and location specific prior shares for the same countries. New findings suggest that identifying variation may come not from the shifts, as previously believed, but rather from the shares. In this paper, I first replicate Hunt and Gauthier‐Loiselle (HGL) who find skilled immigration increases innovation, and second employ new tests from the shift‐share literature. I find that the results of HGL replicate and hold up well to these new tests.
要确定移民对结果的因果影响,通常需要使用 "转移份额 "或 Bartik 工具,利用特定国家的移民流入量(转移)和相同国家特定地点的先前份额。新的研究结果表明,识别变量可能并不像以前认为的那样来自转移,而是来自份额。在本文中,我首先复制了 Hunt 和 Gauthier-Loiselle(HGL)的研究成果,他们发现技术移民增加了创新,其次我采用了转移份额文献中的新测试方法。我发现,HGL 的结果在这些新的检验中得到了很好的重复和维持。
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引用次数: 0
From high school to higher education: Is recreational marijuana a consumption amenity for US college students? 从高中到高等教育:娱乐性大麻对美国大学生来说是一种消费便利吗?
IF 1.7 4区 经济学 Q2 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2024-05-29 DOI: 10.1111/ecin.13225
Ahmed El Fatmaoui

This paper examines how recreational marijuana legalization (RML) affects first-time college enrollment in the US using a unique college-level dataset and various estimation methods such as difference-in-differences and event study. I find that RML increases enrollments by approximately up to 9%, without compromising degree completion or graduation rate, and it boosts college competitiveness by offering a positive amenity, as evidenced by the rise in out-of-state enrollments relative to neighboring states. In addition, I find no evidence that RML affects college prices, quality, or in-state enrollment. This effect is stronger for non-selective public colleges in early-adopting RML states.

本文使用独特的大学数据集和各种估计方法(如差分法和事件研究法),研究了娱乐性大麻合法化(RML)如何影响美国大学的首次入学率。我发现,在不影响学位完成率或毕业率的情况下,大麻合法化使入学率提高了约 9%,而且大麻合法化提供了一种积极的便利,从而提高了大学的竞争力,相对于邻近州而言,外州入学率的上升就证明了这一点。此外,我没有发现任何证据表明 RML 会影响大学的价格、质量或州内入学率。对于较早采用 RML 的州的非选择性公立学院而言,这种影响更为强烈。
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引用次数: 0
Revisiting the novelty effect from new stadiums: An event study approach 重新审视新体育场馆的新奇效应:事件研究法
IF 1.7 4区 经济学 Q2 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2024-05-18 DOI: 10.1111/ecin.13231
John Charles Bradbury

This analysis examines the impact of new stadiums on consumer demand for sports spectatorship in the four major US-based professional sports leagues. Estimates from difference-in-differences event studies identify a transitory attendance shock from new venues that diminishes to pre-stadium-treatment levels within a decade. The updated estimates confirm the existence of the novelty effect in modern facilities and identify subtle differences in magnitude, certainty, and duration across leagues. Revenue estimates indicate that the substantial financial returns from constructing new stadiums likely incentivize the premature replacement of host venues when combined with typical public subsidy levels.

本文分析了新建体育场馆对美国四大职业体育联盟的消费者体育观赛需求的影响。差异事件研究的估算结果表明,新场馆会对观众人数产生短暂的冲击,这种冲击会在十年内减弱到场馆处理前的水平。更新后的估算结果证实了现代设施中新奇效应的存在,并确定了不同联赛在规模、确定性和持续时间上的细微差别。收入估算结果表明,在典型的公共补贴水平下,建造新体育场馆所带来的巨大经济回报很可能会刺激过早更换主场馆。
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Economic Inquiry
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