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When social assistance meets market power: A mixed duopoly view of health insurance in the United States 当社会援助遇到市场力量:美国医疗保险的混合双寡头观点
IF 1.8 4区 经济学 Q2 Economics, Econometrics and Finance Pub Date : 2023-06-08 DOI: 10.1111/ecin.13158
Ashantha Ranasinghe, Xuejuan Su

We develop a mixed duopoly model with quality-differentiated products. The public firm offers its product for free to eligible individuals, while the private firm chooses its product quality and price to maximize profit. We calibrate the model to health insurance for the U.S. working-age population, with Medicaid being the public firm. We examine distributional implications of policies that expand Medicaid to various degrees. Despite potentially significant inefficiency of Medicaid, its expansion is welfare improving. Central to these findings is the significant market power of the private firm when left unchecked, which is increasingly disciplined as more individuals become Medicaid eligible.

我们开发了一个具有质量差异化产品的混合双寡头模型。上市公司向符合条件的个人免费提供产品,而私营公司选择产品质量和价格以实现利润最大化。我们将模型校准为美国工作年龄人口的健康保险,其中医疗补助是上市公司。我们研究了在不同程度上扩大医疗补助的政策对分配的影响。尽管医疗补助计划可能存在严重的效率低下,但它的扩张正在改善福利。这些发现的核心是私营企业在不受约束的情况下的重要市场力量,随着越来越多的人符合医疗补助资格,这种力量越来越受到约束。
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引用次数: 0
Adams and Eves: High school math and the gender gap in Economics majors 亚当斯和伊夫斯:高中数学和经济学专业的性别差距
IF 1.8 4区 经济学 Q2 Economics, Econometrics and Finance Pub Date : 2023-05-26 DOI: 10.1111/ecin.13152
Graziella Bertocchi, Luca Bonacini, Marina Murat

Why so few women graduate in Economics? We investigate the gender gap among Italian university graduates in Economics between 2010 and 2019. With women's probability of graduating in Economics being 27% lower than men's, the gap is larger than in Business and even STEM. The association between the gender gap and the mathematical content of high school curricula is especially strong in Economics. A triple difference analysis shows that a reform raising the mathematical content of traditionally low math curricula caused an increase in the gender gap, with women's probability of graduating in Economics decreasing by 12 percentage points.

为什么经济学专业毕业的女性如此之少?我们调查了2010年至2019年意大利大学经济学毕业生的性别差距。女性从经济学专业毕业的概率比男性低27%,这一差距比商业甚至STEM专业都要大。性别差距和高中课程数学内容之间的联系在经济学中尤为明显。一项三重差异分析显示,一项提高传统低数学课程数学内容的改革导致性别差距扩大,女性在经济学专业毕业的概率下降了12个百分点。
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引用次数: 0
Trade agreements and subnational income of border regions 贸易协定和边境地区的国家以下收入
IF 1.8 4区 经济学 Q2 Economics, Econometrics and Finance Pub Date : 2023-05-24 DOI: 10.1111/ecin.13151
Hanna L. Adam, Mario Larch, David Stadelmann

This paper analyses the differential effect of trade agreements on income per capita of subnational regions with international borders. We construct an extensive panel dataset covering 1350 regions in 86 countries worldwide between 1950 and 2017. Our results show that trade agreements are positively associated with income per capita of regions sharing contiguous borders with trading partners, relative to regions sharing borders with countries with whom no trade agreements exist. For border regions, the positive relationship of trade agreements and regional income roughly compensates potential income disadvantages of having international borders. These insights help in explaining and mitigating regional inequalities.

本文分析了贸易协定对具有国际边界的次国家级地区人均收入的差异效应。我们构建了一个广泛的面板数据集,涵盖1950年至2017年间全球86个国家的1350个地区。我们的研究结果表明,相对于与没有贸易协定的国家接壤的地区,与贸易伙伴接壤的地区,贸易协定与人均收入呈正相关。对于边境地区来说,贸易协定与地区收入的正相关关系大致补偿了拥有国际边界的潜在收入劣势。这些见解有助于解释和减轻地区不平等。
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引用次数: 0
On the ambiguity of job search 论求职的模糊性
IF 1.8 4区 经济学 Q2 Economics, Econometrics and Finance Pub Date : 2023-05-22 DOI: 10.1111/ecin.13150
Ying Tung Chan, Chi Man Yip

Who knows the underlying productivity distribution function? Interestingly, this ambiguous function is often referenced to make decisions including job creations, wage determinations, contract formulations, etc. To investigate how ambiguity shapes labor markets, we integrate ambiguity preferences into the Diamond-Mortensen-Pissarides (DMP) model. We find that ambiguity-averse job- and talent-hunters are conservative. Our quantitative analysis indicates that but for the ambiguity, the American unemployment rate would have increased in the postwar era. This paper generalizes the DMP model, enhances our understanding of the labor market, and calls for policies concerning labor market information.

失业工人和空缺职位面临着匹配特定生产力分布的不确定性,他们反对这种模糊性。然而,先前的搜索和匹配模型假设分布上的完整信息或模糊中立性。本文利用Hansen和Sargent(2008)的递归规范构建了一个具有模糊厌恶特征的搜索和匹配模型。该模型预测,一个稳健的失业工人往往认为,更高的匹配特定生产率不太可能实现,这会导致他/她的外部选择价值下降,从而导致保留工资下降。因此,在工人厌恶模糊程度较高的情况下,失业率较低。我们提出了一个计算“模糊”失业率的程序。我们的校准结果表明,模糊失业率可能占美国长期平均失业率的63.6%。此外,我们的结果表明,歧义厌恶放大了市场紧缩的波动性,有可能解决Shimer难题。此外,失业救济金对其他劳动力市场结果的影响,如市场紧缩,在歧义厌恶的情况下更大。这意味着需要重新审视稳健的失业保险计划。我们的分析结果表明,在Hosios(1990)条件下,一个有效的分散均衡不再是有保证的。
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引用次数: 1
Acquisitions, product variety, and distribution in the U.S. craft beer industry 美国精酿啤酒行业的收购、产品种类和分销
IF 1.8 4区 经济学 Q2 Economics, Econometrics and Finance Pub Date : 2023-05-19 DOI: 10.1111/ecin.13153
Wesley Blundell, Kyle Wilson

Though antitrust authorities have historically focused on prices in merger analyses, there is now growing interest in the impact of mergers on non-price outcomes. In this paper, we examine the effect of horizontal mergers on product variety in the U.S. beer industry. Our difference-in-differences analyses provide evidence that acquired firms increase variety available to consumers by expanding into new markets, while reducing the variety of products sold in their existing markets. Back of the envelope calculations suggest that in aggregate, these acquisitions have a net positive effect on product variety.

尽管反垄断机构历来在合并分析中关注价格,但现在人们对合并对非价格结果的影响越来越感兴趣。在本文中,我们考察了美国啤酒行业横向合并对产品品种的影响。我们的差异分析提供了证据,证明被收购的公司通过向新市场扩张来增加消费者可获得的产品种类,同时减少在现有市场销售的产品种类。粗略计算表明,总的来说,这些收购对产品种类产生了净的积极影响。
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引用次数: 0
Anticipating the honeymoon: Event study estimation of new stadium effects in Major League Baseball using the imputation method 期待蜜月:美国职业棒球大联盟新球场效应的事件研究估算
IF 1.8 4区 经济学 Q2 Economics, Econometrics and Finance Pub Date : 2023-05-09 DOI: 10.1111/ecin.13149
Stefan Szymanski

This paper estimates the impact of new stadiums on attendance and revenues of Major League Baseball teams between 1970 and 2019. Recent studies reveal that two-way fixed effects (TWFE) models may produce biased estimates, proposing an “imputation” method instead. This paper uses the imputation method to generate a counterfactual estimate, based on untreated observations: the average treatment effect on the treated (ATT) equals the difference between actual and counterfactual estimates. The analysis shows that there were significant anticipation effects associated with new stadiums, up to three seasons before opening. It suggests previous estimates may significantly understate new stadium revenue gains.

本文估计了1970年至2019年间,新体育场对美国职业棒球大联盟球队上座率和收入的影响。最近的研究表明,双向固定效应(TWFE)模型可能会产生有偏差的估计,因此提出了一种“插补”方法。本文使用插补方法,根据未经治疗的观察结果生成反事实估计:治疗后的平均治疗效果(ATT)等于实际估计值和反事实估计值之间的差。分析表明,新体育场在开幕前三个赛季都会产生显著的预期效应。这表明,之前的估计可能大大低估了新体育场的收入增长。
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引用次数: 0
To follow the market or the parent system: Evidence from health IT adoption by hospital chains 遵循市场或母系统:连锁医院采用健康IT的证据
IF 1.8 4区 经济学 Q2 Economics, Econometrics and Finance Pub Date : 2023-04-21 DOI: 10.1111/ecin.13147
Jianjing Lin

I study how hospital chains consider the tradeoff between internal and external network benefits in technology adoption. I estimate a discrete-choice model that characterizes adoption decisions using a national sample of U.S. hospitals from 2005 to 2014. After instrumenting a vendor's market and system shares, I find affiliated hospitals tend to choose the internally preferred vendor, but experienced adopters also welcome external popular options. Factors affecting the tradeoff include chain size and the need for internal coordination. The stronger incentives for internal integration in health IT adoption among chains might create frictions to sharing information externally.

我研究了连锁医院在技术采用中如何考虑内部和外部网络利益之间的权衡。我估计了一个离散选择模型,该模型使用2005年至2014年美国医院的全国样本来表征采用决策。在测量了供应商的市场和系统份额之后,我发现附属医院倾向于选择内部首选的供应商,但经验丰富的采用者也欢迎外部流行的选择。影响权衡的因素包括链的大小和内部协调的需要。连锁企业采用医疗信息技术的内部整合动机更强,可能会对外部共享信息产生摩擦。
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引用次数: 0
On financial frictions and firm's market power 论金融摩擦与企业市场力量
IF 1.8 4区 经济学 Q2 Economics, Econometrics and Finance Pub Date : 2023-04-21 DOI: 10.1111/ecin.13146
Miguel Casares, Luca G. Deidda, Jose E. Galdon-Sanchez

There are two opposing welfare effects of market power in a model with monopolistic competition, loan defaults and moral hazard. The loss of output produced if firms set a higher mark-up over marginal costs confronts with some gain due to higher expected profits and the reduction of defaults. Such tradeoff results in an optimal level of market power that decreases with the efficiency of liquidation following default on a loan. If moral hazard is pervasive, credit rationing cuts down the default rates and mitigates the welfare cost of financial frictions.

在垄断竞争模型中,市场力量有两种相反的福利效应:贷款违约和道德风险。如果企业在边际成本上设定较高的加价,那么其产出的损失将面临由于预期利润提高和违约减少而带来的一些收益。这种权衡导致市场力量的最优水平,随着贷款违约后的清算效率而降低。如果道德风险普遍存在,信贷配给会降低违约率,减轻金融摩擦带来的福利成本。
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引用次数: 0
The physical and mental health returns of Head Start 25 years after participation: Evidence from income eligibility cutoffs 参加启智计划25年后的身心健康回报:来自收入资格截止点的证据
IF 1.8 4区 经济学 Q2 Economics, Econometrics and Finance Pub Date : 2023-04-14 DOI: 10.1111/ecin.13148
Lindsey Lacey

Most studies that look at long-term effects of Head Start, the largest early childhood intervention in the US, exploit its rollout in the 1960s, missing the effects of many changes to the program in the 1980s and 1990s. I study the effects of Head Start on long-term physical and mental health for children who attend Head Start in the 1980s–1990s and are new labor market entrants. I find large improvements in health, resulting in a 0.15 standard deviation decrease in the incidence of poor health. Ultimately, Head Start improves health outcomes up to 25 years after participation in the program.

美国最大的儿童早期干预项目“启智计划”(Head Start)在20世纪60年代首次推出,大多数着眼于其长期影响的研究都忽略了该项目在20世纪80年代和90年代的许多变化所产生的影响。我研究了在20世纪80年代至90年代参加了“先发计划”的儿童,以及新进入劳动力市场的儿童,对他们长期身心健康的影响。我发现在健康方面有了很大的改善,导致健康状况不佳的发生率降低了0.15个标准差。最终,“领先计划”改善了参与该计划后长达25年的健康状况。
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引用次数: 0
Aggregate and individual effects of information in a coordination (traffic) game 协调(交通)游戏中信息的聚合效应和个体效应
IF 1.8 4区 经济学 Q2 Economics, Econometrics and Finance Pub Date : 2023-04-08 DOI: 10.1111/ecin.13143
Sruthi Ashraf, Alexander L. Brown, Mark W. Burris, Valon Vitaku

Using an existing coordination (traffic) experiment, we investigate information's effect on traffic congestion when subjects already have a history of past play. In contrast to previous studies, our interventions neither alter aggregate nor individual payoffs. A second study isolates individual-subject response to information using a fixed distribution of past subjects. We find information alters subject play: subjects switch roads more often and receive higher payoffs conditional on switching roads. Because switching reduces payoffs unconditionally, information does not generally improve payoffs overall. Only subjects that receive information upon starting the game appear to increase their payoffs due to the information treatment.

利用已有的协调(交通)实验,我们研究了当被试已经有过去的游戏历史时,信息对交通拥堵的影响。与之前的研究相比,我们的干预既没有改变总体回报,也没有改变个体回报。第二项研究使用过去受试者的固定分布来分离个体-受试者对信息的反应。我们发现信息改变了受试者的行为:受试者更频繁地切换道路,并在切换道路的条件下获得更高的回报。因为转换会无条件地减少收益,所以信息通常不会提高总体收益。只有在游戏开始时接收到信息的受试者才会因为信息处理而增加他们的收益。
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引用次数: 0
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Economic Inquiry
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