首页 > 最新文献

Economic Inquiry最新文献

英文 中文
Revisiting the novelty effect from new stadiums: An event study approach 重新审视新体育场馆的新奇效应:事件研究法
IF 1.7 4区 经济学 Q2 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2024-05-18 DOI: 10.1111/ecin.13231
John Charles Bradbury

This analysis examines the impact of new stadiums on consumer demand for sports spectatorship in the four major US-based professional sports leagues. Estimates from difference-in-differences event studies identify a transitory attendance shock from new venues that diminishes to pre-stadium-treatment levels within a decade. The updated estimates confirm the existence of the novelty effect in modern facilities and identify subtle differences in magnitude, certainty, and duration across leagues. Revenue estimates indicate that the substantial financial returns from constructing new stadiums likely incentivize the premature replacement of host venues when combined with typical public subsidy levels.

本文分析了新建体育场馆对美国四大职业体育联盟的消费者体育观赛需求的影响。差异事件研究的估算结果表明,新场馆会对观众人数产生短暂的冲击,这种冲击会在十年内减弱到场馆处理前的水平。更新后的估算结果证实了现代设施中新奇效应的存在,并确定了不同联赛在规模、确定性和持续时间上的细微差别。收入估算结果表明,在典型的公共补贴水平下,建造新体育场馆所带来的巨大经济回报很可能会刺激过早更换主场馆。
{"title":"Revisiting the novelty effect from new stadiums: An event study approach","authors":"John Charles Bradbury","doi":"10.1111/ecin.13231","DOIUrl":"10.1111/ecin.13231","url":null,"abstract":"<p>This analysis examines the impact of new stadiums on consumer demand for sports spectatorship in the four major US-based professional sports leagues. Estimates from difference-in-differences event studies identify a transitory attendance shock from new venues that diminishes to pre-stadium-treatment levels within a decade. The updated estimates confirm the existence of the novelty effect in modern facilities and identify subtle differences in magnitude, certainty, and duration across leagues. Revenue estimates indicate that the substantial financial returns from constructing new stadiums likely incentivize the premature replacement of host venues when combined with typical public subsidy levels.</p>","PeriodicalId":51380,"journal":{"name":"Economic Inquiry","volume":"62 4","pages":"1722-1747"},"PeriodicalIF":1.7,"publicationDate":"2024-05-18","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"141062312","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":4,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Education, crowding-out, and Black-White employment in youth labor markets: Evidence from No Pass, No Drive policies 青年劳动力市场中的教育、排挤和黑白就业:无证驾驶政策的证据
IF 1.7 4区 经济学 Q2 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2024-05-14 DOI: 10.1111/ecin.13228
Kendall J. Kennedy, Danqing Shen

We study how education affects Black and White youth employment in the context of No Pass, No Drive (NPND) policies, which require that teens attend school to hold drivers' licenses. Using difference-in-differences estimation, we find that NPND policies increase Black teen employment by 6.7 p.p. without affecting labor force participation (LFP), while reducing White teen employment and LFP by 8.3 p.p. and 5.9 p.p., respectively. We find similar, but smaller effects for Black and White adults ages 18–25. By increasing school enrollment, NPND policies cause White youths to exit the labor force, increasing labor market tightness and improving job finding for Black youths.

我们研究了在 "无证不开车"(NPND)政策背景下,教育如何影响黑人和白人青少年的就业,该政策要求青少年必须上学才能持有驾照。通过差分估算,我们发现 NPND 政策在不影响劳动力参与(LFP)的情况下将黑人青少年就业率提高了 6.7 个百分点,而将白人青少年就业率和劳动力参与率分别降低了 8.3 个百分点和 5.9 个百分点。对于 18-25 岁的黑人和白人成年人,我们发现了类似但较小的影响。通过提高入学率,NPND 政策导致白人青少年退出劳动力市场,增加了劳动力市场的紧张程度,并改善了黑人青少年的求职状况。
{"title":"Education, crowding-out, and Black-White employment in youth labor markets: Evidence from No Pass, No Drive policies","authors":"Kendall J. Kennedy,&nbsp;Danqing Shen","doi":"10.1111/ecin.13228","DOIUrl":"10.1111/ecin.13228","url":null,"abstract":"<p>We study how education affects Black and White youth employment in the context of No Pass, No Drive (NPND) policies, which require that teens attend school to hold drivers' licenses. Using difference-in-differences estimation, we find that NPND policies increase Black teen employment by 6.7 p.p. without affecting labor force participation (LFP), while reducing White teen employment and LFP by 8.3 p.p. and 5.9 p.p., respectively. We find similar, but smaller effects for Black and White adults ages 18–25. By increasing school enrollment, NPND policies cause White youths to exit the labor force, increasing labor market tightness and improving job finding for Black youths.</p>","PeriodicalId":51380,"journal":{"name":"Economic Inquiry","volume":"62 4","pages":"1579-1597"},"PeriodicalIF":1.7,"publicationDate":"2024-05-14","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"140978266","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":4,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
On the impact of institutional change: Rights reassignment and career length 机构变革的影响:权利调整与职业生涯长度
IF 1.7 4区 经济学 Q2 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2024-05-14 DOI: 10.1111/ecin.13229
Martin B. Schmidt

Rottenberg argued that the reassignment of negotiating rights from owners to players, that would accompany free agency in professional sports, would have little impact on locational or market outcomes. Empirical investigations into such reassignment have produced mixed results. The present paper examines the impact such reassignment had on professional sports athletes' career length. By examining the univariate time series and panel data behavior of Major League Baseball players' average tenure and retention rates, we find that the increased negotiating power associated with the advent of free agency had the impact of shortening average player career length.

罗滕伯格认为,伴随着职业体育自由代理权的产生,谈判权从所有者向球员的重新分配,不会对地点或市场结果产生什么影响。对这种重新分配的实证调查得出的结果喜忧参半。本文研究了这种重新分配对职业体育运动员职业生涯长度的影响。通过研究美国职业棒球大联盟球员的平均任期和留队率的单变量时间序列和面板数据行为,我们发现自由球员制度的出现所带来的谈判能力的增强会缩短球员的平均职业生涯长度。
{"title":"On the impact of institutional change: Rights reassignment and career length","authors":"Martin B. Schmidt","doi":"10.1111/ecin.13229","DOIUrl":"10.1111/ecin.13229","url":null,"abstract":"<p>Rottenberg argued that the reassignment of negotiating rights from owners to players, that would accompany free agency in professional sports, would have little impact on locational or market outcomes. Empirical investigations into such reassignment have produced mixed results. The present paper examines the impact such reassignment had on professional sports athletes' career length. By examining the univariate time series and panel data behavior of Major League Baseball players' average tenure and retention rates, we find that the increased negotiating power associated with the advent of free agency had the impact of shortening average player career length.</p>","PeriodicalId":51380,"journal":{"name":"Economic Inquiry","volume":"62 4","pages":"1702-1721"},"PeriodicalIF":1.7,"publicationDate":"2024-05-14","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"140981318","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":4,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
How much can hospital-level interventions improve maternal health? Evidence from state Perinatal Quality Collaboratives 医院层面的干预措施能在多大程度上改善孕产妇健康?来自州围产期质量合作组织的证据
IF 1.7 4区 经济学 Q2 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2024-05-09 DOI: 10.1111/ecin.13226
Jessica Kiser

Over the last 20 years, nearly all states have adopted Perinatal Quality Collaboratives (PQCs), which set guidelines for hospitals to provide higher standards of prenatal care. In this paper, I use individual-level natality data from 1989 to 2019 and a stacked difference in differences design comparing maternal and infant health outcomes in US states that have recently established a PQC to those that have not yet established one. Estimates indicate that PQCs decrease eclampsia, with the effect driven by Black mothers. Evidence also shows that PQCs reduce intensive care unit admissions for mothers.

在过去的 20 年中,几乎所有的州都采用了围产期质量合作组织(Perinatal Quality Collaboratives,PQCs),该组织为医院提供更高标准的产前护理制定了指导方针。在本文中,我使用了 1989 年至 2019 年的个人水平出生数据,并采用了堆叠差异设计,比较了美国最近建立了 PQC 的州与尚未建立 PQC 的州的母婴健康结果。估计结果表明,PQC 降低了子痫的发病率,黑人母亲的发病率较高。证据还显示,PQC 减少了母亲入住重症监护室的人数。
{"title":"How much can hospital-level interventions improve maternal health? Evidence from state Perinatal Quality Collaboratives","authors":"Jessica Kiser","doi":"10.1111/ecin.13226","DOIUrl":"10.1111/ecin.13226","url":null,"abstract":"<p>Over the last 20 years, nearly all states have adopted Perinatal Quality Collaboratives (PQCs), which set guidelines for hospitals to provide higher standards of prenatal care. In this paper, I use individual-level natality data from 1989 to 2019 and a stacked difference in differences design comparing maternal and infant health outcomes in US states that have recently established a PQC to those that have not yet established one. Estimates indicate that PQCs decrease eclampsia, with the effect driven by Black mothers. Evidence also shows that PQCs reduce intensive care unit admissions for mothers.</p>","PeriodicalId":51380,"journal":{"name":"Economic Inquiry","volume":"62 3","pages":"984-1008"},"PeriodicalIF":1.7,"publicationDate":"2024-05-09","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/epdf/10.1111/ecin.13226","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"140994564","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":4,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Tariffs, product standards, and national treatment at the WTO 世贸组织的关税、产品标准和国民待遇
IF 1.7 4区 经济学 Q2 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2024-05-08 DOI: 10.1111/ecin.13227
Difei Geng

This paper develops an oligopolistic model with consumption externalities to study (i) the policy interaction between tariffs and product standards; (ii) how such interaction may affect the welfare justification of national treatment (NT) in product standards. Absent NT, tariff reductions can lead to more discriminatory standards against foreign firms. Imposing NT eliminates discrimination but can induce higher tariffs which tend to undermine efficiency. As a result, the welfare justification of NT is stronger when tariffs are constrained. These findings suggest that the World Trade Organization's success in tariff liberalization can strengthen the case for its NT-based approach to product standards.

本文建立了一个具有消费外部性的寡头垄断模型,以研究:(i) 关税与产品标准之间的政策互动;(ii) 这种互动如何影响产品标准中国民待遇(NT)的福利合理性。在没有国民待遇的情况下,降低关税会导致对外国企业的标准更具歧视性。实行国民待遇可以消除歧视,但会导致关税提高,而关税提高往往会损害效率。因此,当关税受到限制时,实行非关税壁垒的福利理由更充分。这些研究结果表明,世界贸易组织在关税自由化方面的成功可以加强其基于非关税的产品标准方法。
{"title":"Tariffs, product standards, and national treatment at the WTO","authors":"Difei Geng","doi":"10.1111/ecin.13227","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1111/ecin.13227","url":null,"abstract":"<p>This paper develops an oligopolistic model with consumption externalities to study (i) the policy interaction between tariffs and product standards; (ii) how such interaction may affect the welfare justification of national treatment (NT) in product standards. Absent NT, tariff reductions can lead to more discriminatory standards against foreign firms. Imposing NT eliminates discrimination but can induce higher tariffs which tend to undermine efficiency. As a result, the welfare justification of NT is stronger when tariffs are constrained. These findings suggest that the World Trade Organization's success in tariff liberalization can strengthen the case for its NT-based approach to product standards.</p>","PeriodicalId":51380,"journal":{"name":"Economic Inquiry","volume":"62 3","pages":"1105-1133"},"PeriodicalIF":1.7,"publicationDate":"2024-05-08","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"141488436","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":4,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Conditions for extrapolating differences in consumption to differences in welfare 将消费差异推断为福利差异的条件
IF 1.7 4区 经济学 Q2 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2024-05-03 DOI: 10.1111/ecin.13224
Wei Zhao, David M. Kaplan

We characterize conditions under which a better consumption distribution implies higher welfare. Specifically, here “better consumption” means first-order stochastic dominance, and “higher welfare” means higher expected utility for every subpopulation of individuals with the same utility function. Although this implication seems natural, we first provide a counterexample wherein better consumption risk allocation outweighs lower consumption. We then show that higher expected utility results from higher consumption in different settings, including fixed dependence (fixed copula) between consumption and individual risk preferences, or alternatively using the rank invariance assumption from the treatment effects literature. These are discussed in several real-world examples.

我们描述了更好的消费分布意味着更高福利的条件。具体来说,这里的 "更好的消费 "指的是一阶随机支配,而 "更高的福利 "指的是具有相同效用函数的每个子群体的预期效用更高。虽然这一含义似乎很自然,但我们首先提供了一个反例,即更好的消费风险分配大于较低的消费。然后,我们证明了在不同的情况下,较高的预期效用来自较高的消费,包括消费和个人风险偏好之间的固定依赖性(固定协约),或者使用治疗效果文献中的等级不变性假设。我们将在几个实际案例中讨论这些问题。
{"title":"Conditions for extrapolating differences in consumption to differences in welfare","authors":"Wei Zhao,&nbsp;David M. Kaplan","doi":"10.1111/ecin.13224","DOIUrl":"10.1111/ecin.13224","url":null,"abstract":"<p>We characterize conditions under which a better consumption distribution implies higher welfare. Specifically, here “better consumption” means first-order stochastic dominance, and “higher welfare” means higher expected utility for every subpopulation of individuals with the same utility function. Although this implication seems natural, we first provide a counterexample wherein better consumption risk allocation outweighs lower consumption. We then show that higher expected utility results from higher consumption in different settings, including fixed dependence (fixed copula) between consumption and individual risk preferences, or alternatively using the rank invariance assumption from the treatment effects literature. These are discussed in several real-world examples.</p>","PeriodicalId":51380,"journal":{"name":"Economic Inquiry","volume":"62 3","pages":"1090-1104"},"PeriodicalIF":1.7,"publicationDate":"2024-05-03","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"140827472","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":4,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Crime over the welfare payment cycle 福利支付周期内的犯罪
IF 1.7 4区 经济学 Q2 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2024-04-25 DOI: 10.1111/ecin.13223
Marco T. C. Stam, Marike G. Knoef, Anke A. T. Ramakers

This study examines criminal behavior over the welfare payment cycle. Using unique individual-level administrative data on welfare recipients, we exploit exogenous variation in payment dates over time and across Dutch municipalities. The results suggest that financially motivated crime increases by 12% over the payment cycle, indicating serious financial constraints toward the end of the month. Non-financially motivated offenses, particularly sex and violent offenses and driving under the influence offenses (DUIs), peak directly after benefits receipt and decrease over the payment cycle, suggesting an underlying spike in consumption conducive to crime. Public order offenses and DUIs also increase with weekend disbursement.

本研究探讨了福利金支付周期内的犯罪行为。我们使用独特的福利金领取者个人层面的行政数据,利用支付日期随时间和荷兰各市的外生变化。研究结果表明,以经济为动机的犯罪在支付周期内增加了 12%,这表明临近月底时经济拮据的情况十分严重。非经济动机犯罪,尤其是性犯罪和暴力犯罪以及酒后驾车犯罪(DUIs),在领取福利金后直接达到峰值,并在付款周期内下降,这表明潜在的消费激增有利于犯罪。公共秩序犯罪和酒后驾车也会随着周末的发放而增加。
{"title":"Crime over the welfare payment cycle","authors":"Marco T. C. Stam,&nbsp;Marike G. Knoef,&nbsp;Anke A. T. Ramakers","doi":"10.1111/ecin.13223","DOIUrl":"10.1111/ecin.13223","url":null,"abstract":"<p>This study examines criminal behavior over the welfare payment cycle. Using unique individual-level administrative data on welfare recipients, we exploit exogenous variation in payment dates over time and across Dutch municipalities. The results suggest that financially motivated crime increases by 12% over the payment cycle, indicating serious financial constraints toward the end of the month. Non-financially motivated offenses, particularly sex and violent offenses and driving under the influence offenses (DUIs), peak directly after benefits receipt and decrease over the payment cycle, suggesting an underlying spike in consumption conducive to crime. Public order offenses and DUIs also increase with weekend disbursement.</p>","PeriodicalId":51380,"journal":{"name":"Economic Inquiry","volume":"62 3","pages":"1309-1334"},"PeriodicalIF":1.7,"publicationDate":"2024-04-25","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/epdf/10.1111/ecin.13223","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"140654531","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":4,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Is economics self‐correcting? Replications in the American Economic Review 经济学是自我修正的吗?美国经济评论》中的复制品
IF 1.8 4区 经济学 Q2 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2024-04-13 DOI: 10.1111/ecin.13222
Jörg Ankel‐Peters, Nathan Fiala, Florian Neubauer
This paper reviews the impact of replications published as comments in the American Economic Review between 2010 and 2020. We examine their citations and influence on the original papers' (OPs) subsequent citations. Our results show that comments are barely cited, and they do not affect the OP's citations—even if the comment diagnoses substantive problems. Furthermore, we conduct an opinion survey among replicators and authors and find that there often is no consensus on whether the OP's contribution sustains. We conclude that the economics literature does not self‐correct, and that robustness and replicability are hard to define in economics.
本文回顾了 2010 年至 2020 年间《美国经济评论》上以评论形式发表的复制论文的影响。我们研究了它们的引用情况以及对原版论文(OPs)后续引用的影响。结果表明,评论几乎没有被引用,也不会影响原论文的引用--即使评论诊断出了实质性问题。此外,我们还对复制者和作者进行了一项意见调查,发现他们往往对 OP 的贡献是否能持续下去没有共识。我们的结论是,经济学文献不会自我纠正,经济学中的稳健性和可复制性很难界定。
{"title":"Is economics self‐correcting? Replications in the American Economic Review","authors":"Jörg Ankel‐Peters, Nathan Fiala, Florian Neubauer","doi":"10.1111/ecin.13222","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1111/ecin.13222","url":null,"abstract":"This paper reviews the impact of replications published as comments in the <jats:italic>American Economic Review</jats:italic> between 2010 and 2020. We examine their citations and influence on the original papers' (OPs) subsequent citations. Our results show that comments are barely cited, and they do not affect the OP's citations—even if the comment diagnoses substantive problems. Furthermore, we conduct an opinion survey among replicators and authors and find that there often is no consensus on whether the OP's contribution sustains. We conclude that the economics literature does not self‐correct, and that robustness and replicability are hard to define in economics.","PeriodicalId":51380,"journal":{"name":"Economic Inquiry","volume":"13 1","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":1.8,"publicationDate":"2024-04-13","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"140587940","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":4,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
A (dynamic) investigation of stereotypes, belief-updating, and behavior 对定型观念、信念更新和行为的(动态)调查
IF 1.7 4区 经济学 Q2 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2024-04-10 DOI: 10.1111/ecin.13219
Katherine Coffman, Maria Paola Ugalde Araya, Basit Zafar

Using a controlled experiment, we study the dynamic effects of feedback on decision-making across verbal skills and math. Before feedback, men are more optimistic about their performance and more willing to compete than women, especially in math. While feedback shifts individuals' beliefs and behavior, we see substantial persistence of gender gaps 1 week later. This is particularly true among individuals who receive negative feedback. Our results are not well-explained by motivated reasoning; in fact, negative feedback is more likely to be recalled than positive feedback. Overall, our results highlight the challenges involved in overcoming gender gaps in dynamic settings.

通过对照实验,我们研究了反馈对语言技能和数学决策的动态影响。在反馈之前,男性比女性对自己的表现更乐观,也更愿意参与竞争,尤其是在数学方面。虽然反馈改变了个人的信念和行为,但我们发现一周后性别差距依然存在。这在收到负面反馈的个体中尤为明显。动机推理并不能很好地解释我们的结果;事实上,负面反馈比正面反馈更容易被回忆起来。总之,我们的结果凸显了在动态环境中克服性别差距所面临的挑战。
{"title":"A (dynamic) investigation of stereotypes, belief-updating, and behavior","authors":"Katherine Coffman,&nbsp;Maria Paola Ugalde Araya,&nbsp;Basit Zafar","doi":"10.1111/ecin.13219","DOIUrl":"10.1111/ecin.13219","url":null,"abstract":"<p>Using a controlled experiment, we study the dynamic effects of feedback on decision-making across verbal skills and math. Before feedback, men are more optimistic about their performance and more willing to compete than women, especially in math. While feedback shifts individuals' beliefs and behavior, we see substantial persistence of gender gaps 1 week later. This is particularly true among individuals who receive negative feedback. Our results are not well-explained by motivated reasoning; in fact, negative feedback is more likely to be recalled than positive feedback. Overall, our results highlight the challenges involved in overcoming gender gaps in dynamic settings.</p>","PeriodicalId":51380,"journal":{"name":"Economic Inquiry","volume":"62 3","pages":"957-983"},"PeriodicalIF":1.7,"publicationDate":"2024-04-10","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"140602396","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":4,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Fertility and long-term economic growth 生育率与长期经济增长
IF 1.7 4区 经济学 Q2 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2024-04-07 DOI: 10.1111/ecin.13216
Kaixing Huang

Empirical studies have generally found that higher fertility has a negative or insignificant effect on economic growth. This article argues that this is because existing studies have failed to capture the long-term lagged effects of fertility. By estimating a long-term lagged panel model using data from 137 countries, I find that higher fertility first reduces and then increases economic growth, and the long-term average effect is significantly positive. This finding is robust when focusing on countries at different development levels, exploiting exogenous fertility shocks from global family planning campaigns, and capitalizing on within-country fertility variation resulting from China's one-child policy.

实证研究普遍发现,较高的生育率对经济增长有负面影响或影响不大。本文认为,这是因为现有研究未能捕捉到生育率的长期滞后效应。通过使用 137 个国家的数据对长期滞后面板模型进行估计,我发现较高的生育率首先降低然后提高经济增长,长期平均效应显著为正。当关注处于不同发展水平的国家、利用全球计划生育运动带来的外生生育率冲击以及利用中国独生子女政策导致的国内生育率变化时,这一发现是稳健的。
{"title":"Fertility and long-term economic growth","authors":"Kaixing Huang","doi":"10.1111/ecin.13216","DOIUrl":"10.1111/ecin.13216","url":null,"abstract":"<p>Empirical studies have generally found that higher fertility has a negative or insignificant effect on economic growth. This article argues that this is because existing studies have failed to capture the long-term lagged effects of fertility. By estimating a long-term lagged panel model using data from 137 countries, I find that higher fertility first reduces and then increases economic growth, and the long-term average effect is significantly positive. This finding is robust when focusing on countries at different development levels, exploiting exogenous fertility shocks from global family planning campaigns, and capitalizing on within-country fertility variation resulting from China's one-child policy.</p>","PeriodicalId":51380,"journal":{"name":"Economic Inquiry","volume":"62 3","pages":"1152-1171"},"PeriodicalIF":1.7,"publicationDate":"2024-04-07","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"140734062","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":4,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
期刊
Economic Inquiry
全部 Acc. Chem. Res. ACS Applied Bio Materials ACS Appl. Electron. Mater. ACS Appl. Energy Mater. ACS Appl. Mater. Interfaces ACS Appl. Nano Mater. ACS Appl. Polym. Mater. ACS BIOMATER-SCI ENG ACS Catal. ACS Cent. Sci. ACS Chem. Biol. ACS Chemical Health & Safety ACS Chem. Neurosci. ACS Comb. Sci. ACS Earth Space Chem. ACS Energy Lett. ACS Infect. Dis. ACS Macro Lett. ACS Mater. Lett. ACS Med. Chem. Lett. ACS Nano ACS Omega ACS Photonics ACS Sens. ACS Sustainable Chem. Eng. ACS Synth. Biol. Anal. Chem. BIOCHEMISTRY-US Bioconjugate Chem. BIOMACROMOLECULES Chem. Res. Toxicol. Chem. Rev. Chem. Mater. CRYST GROWTH DES ENERG FUEL Environ. Sci. Technol. Environ. Sci. Technol. Lett. Eur. J. Inorg. Chem. IND ENG CHEM RES Inorg. Chem. J. Agric. Food. Chem. J. Chem. Eng. Data J. Chem. Educ. J. Chem. Inf. Model. J. Chem. Theory Comput. J. Med. Chem. J. Nat. Prod. J PROTEOME RES J. Am. Chem. Soc. LANGMUIR MACROMOLECULES Mol. Pharmaceutics Nano Lett. Org. Lett. ORG PROCESS RES DEV ORGANOMETALLICS J. Org. Chem. J. Phys. Chem. J. Phys. Chem. A J. Phys. Chem. B J. Phys. Chem. C J. Phys. Chem. Lett. Analyst Anal. Methods Biomater. Sci. Catal. Sci. Technol. Chem. Commun. Chem. Soc. Rev. CHEM EDUC RES PRACT CRYSTENGCOMM Dalton Trans. Energy Environ. Sci. ENVIRON SCI-NANO ENVIRON SCI-PROC IMP ENVIRON SCI-WAT RES Faraday Discuss. Food Funct. Green Chem. Inorg. Chem. Front. Integr. Biol. J. Anal. At. Spectrom. J. Mater. Chem. A J. Mater. Chem. B J. Mater. Chem. C Lab Chip Mater. Chem. Front. Mater. Horiz. MEDCHEMCOMM Metallomics Mol. Biosyst. Mol. Syst. Des. Eng. Nanoscale Nanoscale Horiz. Nat. Prod. Rep. New J. Chem. Org. Biomol. Chem. Org. Chem. Front. PHOTOCH PHOTOBIO SCI PCCP Polym. Chem.
×
引用
GB/T 7714-2015
复制
MLA
复制
APA
复制
导出至
BibTeX EndNote RefMan NoteFirst NoteExpress
×
0
微信
客服QQ
Book学术公众号 扫码关注我们
反馈
×
意见反馈
请填写您的意见或建议
请填写您的手机或邮箱
×
提示
您的信息不完整,为了账户安全,请先补充。
现在去补充
×
提示
您因"违规操作"
具体请查看互助需知
我知道了
×
提示
现在去查看 取消
×
提示
确定
Book学术官方微信
Book学术文献互助
Book学术文献互助群
群 号:481959085
Book学术
文献互助 智能选刊 最新文献 互助须知 联系我们:info@booksci.cn
Book学术提供免费学术资源搜索服务,方便国内外学者检索中英文文献。致力于提供最便捷和优质的服务体验。
Copyright © 2023 Book学术 All rights reserved.
ghs 京公网安备 11010802042870号 京ICP备2023020795号-1