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Mini-publics and policy impact analysis: filtration in the citizens’ assembly on social care 微公众与政策影响分析:公民大会对社会关怀的过滤
IF 5.3 3区 管理学 Q1 PUBLIC ADMINISTRATION Pub Date : 2025-03-12 DOI: 10.1007/s11077-025-09567-8
Lynne Poole, Stephen Elstub

The use of mini-publics to enable some citizens to feed policy recommendations into public policy processes is gaining popularity. However, assessing whether and to what extent mini-publics have policy impact is extremely challenging due to the complexity of policy processes. We make the case for a new approach to analysing mini-public policy impact with respect to an analysis of the journeys made by each mini-public recommendation, with a view to developing a better understanding of their influence within the specific policy context in which they operate. We propose that employing a ‘filtration’ lens enables a consideration of not only which recommendations are accepted, rejected or ignored by public authorities, but whether they are reconceptualised. We develop a framework that enables the classification of the recommendations and their policy journeys and apply it to the Citizens’ Assembly on Social Care, commissioned by select committees in the House of Commons. Through analysis of the grey literature around the case we were able to establish the type of journey each recommendation had undergone. This provided us with nuanced analysis of what was filtered out, where, how, by whom, and why. We therefore believe the framework is a significant addition to the toolkit of those researching mini-publics.

利用微型公众使一些公民能够向公共政策过程提供政策建议的做法越来越受欢迎。然而,由于政策过程的复杂性,评估微型公众是否具有政策影响以及在多大程度上具有政策影响极具挑战性。我们通过分析每项小型公共建议的实施过程,提出了一种分析小型公共政策影响的新方法,以期更好地了解它们在具体政策背景下的影响。我们建议使用“过滤”镜头,不仅可以考虑哪些建议被公共当局接受、拒绝或忽略,还可以考虑它们是否被重新概念化。我们开发了一个框架,可以对建议及其政策旅程进行分类,并将其应用于下议院特别委员会委托的社会关怀公民大会。通过对案例周围灰色文献的分析,我们能够确定每个推荐经历的旅程类型。这为我们提供了细致入微的分析,包括哪些内容被过滤掉了,在哪里,如何,由谁以及为什么被过滤掉了。因此,我们认为该框架是对那些研究迷你公众的工具包的重要补充。
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引用次数: 0
Understanding EU forest policy governance through a cultural theory lens 从文化理论角度理解欧盟森林政策治理
IF 5.3 3区 管理学 Q1 PUBLIC ADMINISTRATION Pub Date : 2025-03-06 DOI: 10.1007/s11077-025-09566-9
Jeanne-Lazya Roux, Helga Pülzl, Metodi Sotirov, Georg Winkel

This study employs Cultural Theory to study perceptions and conflicting worldviews of key actor groups in EU forest policy. Forests are central to different human demands for ecosystem services such as biomass, biodiversity, and climate mitigation. Tradeoffs occur between these ecosystem services, involving the necessity to set priorities. Related to increasing uncertainties inter alia caused by climate change, polarized perspectives prevail in the multi-level EU policy system regarding which evidence, whose attribution, and what optimal governance and management strategies are to be chosen for forests. At the core of these perspectives lie conflicting worldviews related to cultural biases of what is real and right. Through qualitative analysis of semi-structured interviews with a diverse set of forest policy actors from the EU and member state level, the research delves into their perceptions of EU forest policy, including perceived problems, preferred solutions, and assigned responsibilities, using a Cultural Theory lens. Our analysis distinguishes three groups of actors aligned with distinct elements of Cultural Theory worldviews while acknowledging the nuanced nature of these divisions. Our analysis invites readers to navigate the complexities of EU forest policy, unraveling worldviews and actor perspectives in pursuing informed policy decisions, and may eventually facilitate improved dialogue among actors considering these heterogeneous worldviews.

本研究运用文化理论研究欧盟森林政策中关键行为体群体的认知和相互冲突的世界观。森林对于人类对生物量、生物多样性和减缓气候变化等生态系统服务的不同需求至关重要。这些生态系统服务之间存在权衡,包括确定优先事项的必要性。与气候变化等因素引起的不确定性增加有关,在欧盟多层次政策体系中,关于为森林选择何种证据、证据的归属以及何种最佳治理和管理战略,存在两极分化的观点。这些观点的核心是与真实和正确的文化偏见有关的相互冲突的世界观。通过对来自欧盟和成员国层面的不同森林政策参与者的半结构化访谈进行定性分析,本研究使用文化理论的视角,深入研究了他们对欧盟森林政策的看法,包括感知到的问题、首选的解决方案和分配的责任。我们的分析区分了三组与文化理论世界观的不同元素相一致的行动者,同时承认这些划分的微妙本质。我们的分析邀请读者了解欧盟森林政策的复杂性,在寻求明智的政策决策时揭示世界观和行为者的观点,并最终促进考虑这些不同世界观的行为者之间的对话。
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引用次数: 0
Environmental taxation triggers persistent psychological resistance to climate policy 环境税引发了对气候政策持续的心理抵制
IF 5.3 3区 管理学 Q1 PUBLIC ADMINISTRATION Pub Date : 2025-02-15 DOI: 10.1007/s11077-025-09565-w
Nechumi Malovicki- Yaffe, Boaz Hamairi, Leah Bloy, Ram Fishmen

Environmental taxation is often lauded as an effective tool for changing consumer behavior, but it can also trigger substantial psychological resistance, especially among disproportionately affected groups, such as the Jewish ultra-Orthodox (Haredi) community, potentially creating a broad anti-environmental backlash. In the current study we provide novel empirical evidence for the psychological mechanisms that can drive such reactance and its potential long-term persistence. In 2021, Israel introduced a tax on single-use plastics, only to swiftly retract it amidst vehement political opposition and a change in government. We conducted six rounds of surveys within the Haredi population, known for its heavy use of single-use plastics. Immediately after the tax’s enactment, we found a substantial decrease in “pro-climate” positions. Regression analysis showed this change to be primarily driven by a sense of victimization—being unfairly singled out by the tax for political, rather than environmental, reasons. The economic burden of the tax played a lesser role. Two years after the tax was repealed, however, the decrease in “pro-climate” positions persisted, despite a decrease in sense of victimhood. These findings shed light on the potential negative and enduring psychological and political consequences of environmental taxation. They underscore the importance of addressing underlying grievances to foster genuine engagement with climate-related issues.

环境税经常被称赞为改变消费者行为的有效工具,但它也会引发巨大的心理阻力,尤其是在受影响较大的群体中,比如犹太极端正统派(Haredi)社区,这可能会引发广泛的反环境反弹。在目前的研究中,我们提供了新的经验证据的心理机制,可以驱动这种抗拒及其潜在的长期持久性。2021年,以色列对一次性塑料征税,但在激烈的政治反对和政府更迭中迅速撤回。我们对以大量使用一次性塑料而闻名的哈瑞迪人进行了六轮调查。在税收法案颁布后,我们发现“支持气候变化”的立场立即大幅减少。回归分析显示,这种变化主要是由一种受害感驱动的——由于政治原因,而不是环境原因,税收不公平地挑选出来。税收的经济负担起了较小的作用。然而,在税收被废除两年后,“支持气候变化”的立场持续下降,尽管受害者意识有所减少。这些发现揭示了环境税潜在的负面和持久的心理和政治后果。他们强调了解决潜在不满以促进真正参与气候相关问题的重要性。
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引用次数: 0
Making the eyes of the state: algorithmic alienation and mundane creativity in Peruvian street-level bureaucrats 制造国家的眼睛:秘鲁基层官僚的算法异化和世俗创造力
IF 5.3 3区 管理学 Q1 PUBLIC ADMINISTRATION Pub Date : 2025-02-15 DOI: 10.1007/s11077-025-09570-z
Diego Cerna-Aragon, Luis García

The production of state legibility has been a prolific subject of study. However, most works have not paid much attention to the quotidian labor of the street-level bureaucrats that implement legibility projects at a local level. The aim of this article is to explore the implementation of a social registry system at a local level to understand how frontline workers make the population legible. Instead of taking legibility as an object of evaluation or critique, we pay close attention to the inner workings of bureaucracies at the instances in which the sociomaterial conditions of the population are translated into data. Drawing from qualitative research in Peruvian municipalities, we describe the operations of an algorithmic system that classifies the population for the distribution of welfare. We observed how under-resourced bureaucrats were constrained by regulations and technologies of the system. Paradoxically, to make the system work for their local realities, the bureaucrats had to bend the rules and find workarounds. From this perspective, the making of legibility looks less like a top-down exercise of bureaucratic compliance or a story of domination over the population. Instead, we find actors attempting to maintain a delicate balance between inadequate legal rules, scarce resources, and sociopolitical demands.

国家易读性的产生一直是一个多产的研究课题。然而,大多数作品并没有关注那些在地方层面实施易读项目的街头官僚们的日常劳动。本文的目的是探讨在地方一级实施社会登记制度,以了解一线工作者如何使人口易读。我们不把易读性作为评价或批评的对象,而是密切关注官僚机构在将人口的社会物质条件转化为数据的情况下的内部运作。根据秘鲁各市的定性研究,我们描述了一个算法系统的运作,该系统将人口分类以分配福利。我们观察到资源不足的官僚是如何受到制度的法规和技术的约束的。矛盾的是,为了使这个系统适合当地的实际情况,官僚们不得不变通规则,寻找变通办法。从这个角度来看,易读性的制作看起来不太像自上而下的官僚服从或统治人口的故事。相反,我们发现参与者试图在不充分的法律规则、稀缺的资源和社会政治需求之间保持微妙的平衡。
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引用次数: 0
Assessing evidence based on scale can be a useful predictor of policy outcomes 基于规模评估证据可以有效地预测政策结果
IF 5.3 3区 管理学 Q1 PUBLIC ADMINISTRATION Pub Date : 2025-02-09 DOI: 10.1007/s11077-024-09564-3
Kai Ruggeri

With growing interest in more formalized applications of scientific evidence to policy, there are concerns about what evidence is selected and applied, and for what purpose. We present an initial argument that scale of evidence could be used in policy decisions in ways that can usefully predict effectiveness of policy interventions. This is valuable given that, as we show using a survey of of 251 policymakers, there is no single type of evidence (e.g., RCTs, systematic reviews, surveys) that is "best" to all policymakers or all policy domains. By simply rating the "level" of studies' size and scope used to inform policies, we show how high levels of evidence were more strongly associated with better (i.e., intended) outcomes across 82 policies. The rate of policies achieving intended outcomes ranged from 38%, when no evidence was available prior to the policy, to 78%, when large-scale evidence existed prior to implementation. Though these findings are encouraging, this piece is largely meant to argue for, not universally validate, a simple approach to assess evidence appropriately when making policy decisions. Instead, we argue that using this approach in combination with other ratings may better serve applications of evidence to achieve better outcomes for populations.

随着人们对将科学证据更正式地应用于政策的兴趣日益浓厚,人们对选择和应用什么证据以及出于什么目的感到担忧。我们提出了一个初步的论点,即证据的规模可以在政策决策中使用,可以有效地预测政策干预的有效性。这是有价值的,因为正如我们通过对251名政策制定者的调查所显示的那样,没有单一类型的证据(例如,随机对照试验、系统评价、调查)对所有政策制定者或所有政策领域都是“最佳”的。通过简单地对研究的规模和范围的“水平”进行评级,我们展示了在82项政策中,高水平的证据与更好的(即预期的)结果有多么紧密的联系。政策实现预期结果的比率从政策出台前没有证据时的38%到实施前有大量证据时的78%不等。尽管这些发现令人鼓舞,但这篇文章主要是为了论证,而不是普遍证实,在制定政策决策时,一种简单的方法可以适当地评估证据。相反,我们认为,将这种方法与其他评级相结合,可能更好地服务于证据的应用,从而为人群取得更好的结果。
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引用次数: 0
The politics of experimental policymaking: the influence of blame avoidance and credit claiming 实验性政策制定的政治:责任回避和信用要求的影响
IF 5.3 3区 管理学 Q1 PUBLIC ADMINISTRATION Pub Date : 2025-02-09 DOI: 10.1007/s11077-025-09568-7
Ringa Raudla, Külli Sarapuu, Johanna Vallistu, Kerli Onno, Nastassia Harbuzova

Policy experimentation has been proposed as a key strategy for coping with increasingly complex policy challenges. Despite considerable academic discussion on public policy experiments, there is a lack of systematic analyses of the political dimensions of policy experimentation. In this paper, we advance the understanding of politics of experimentation by analysing how policy actors’ perceptions of blame avoidance and credit claiming influence experimental policymaking. As a theoretical contribution, we outline expectations about how the mechanisms of blame avoidance and credit claiming can influence policymakers’ attitudes towards experiments and which contextual factors are likely to shape these dynamics. In the empirical part, we probe the plausibility of the theoretical propositions by using a comparative case study of Estonia and Finland. We draw upon policy documents and semi-structured interviews conducted with 66 public officials in Estonia and Finland in 2022–2023. Our empirical analysis demonstrates that the mechanisms of blame avoidance and credit claiming play a significant role in politicians’ decisions to launch large-scale policy experiments. Our study also shows that these impacts are mediated by contextual factors like the urgency of policy problems, expected media reactions, public trust, and cumulative experience with policy experimentation.

政策实验被认为是应对日益复杂的政策挑战的关键策略。尽管学术界对公共政策实验进行了大量讨论,但缺乏对政策实验的政治维度的系统分析。在本文中,我们通过分析政策参与者对责任回避和信用要求的看法如何影响实验政策制定来推进对实验政治的理解。作为一项理论贡献,我们概述了关于指责回避和信用索赔机制如何影响政策制定者对实验的态度以及哪些背景因素可能塑造这些动态的期望。在实证部分,我们通过爱沙尼亚和芬兰的比较案例研究来探讨理论命题的合理性。我们借鉴了2022-2023年在爱沙尼亚和芬兰对66名公职人员进行的政策文件和半结构化访谈。实证分析表明,责任回避机制和信用要求机制在政治家开展大规模政策实验的决策中起着重要作用。我们的研究还表明,这些影响是由政策问题的紧迫性、预期的媒体反应、公众信任和政策实验的累积经验等背景因素介导的。
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引用次数: 0
Theorizing the functions and patterns of agency in the policymaking process 理论化决策过程中机构的功能和模式
IF 5.3 3区 管理学 Q1 PUBLIC ADMINISTRATION Pub Date : 2025-01-11 DOI: 10.1007/s11077-024-09563-4
Giliberto Capano, Maria Tullia Galanti, Karin Ingold, Evangelia Petridou, Christopher M. Weible

Theories of the policy process understand the dynamics of policymaking as the result of the interaction of structural and agency variables. While these theories tend to conceptualize structural variables in a careful manner, agency (i.e. the actions of individual agents, like policy entrepreneurs, policy leaders, policy brokers, and policy experts) is left as a residual piece in the puzzle of the causality of change and stability. This treatment of agency leaves room for conceptual overlaps, analytical confusion and empirical shortcomings that can complicate the life of the empirical researcher and, most importantly, hinder the ability of theories of the policy process to fully address the drivers of variation in policy dynamics. Drawing on Merton’s concept of function, this article presents a novel theorization of agency in the policy process. We start from the assumption that agency functions are a necessary component through which policy dynamics evolve. We then theorise that agency can fulfil four main functions – steering, innovation, intermediation and intelligence – that need to be performed, by individual agents, in any policy process through four patterns of action – leadership, entrepreneurship, brokerage and knowledge accumulation – and we provide a roadmap for operationalising and measuring these concepts. We then demonstrate what can be achieved in terms of analytical clarity and potential theoretical leverage by applying this novel conceptualisation to two major policy process theories: the Multiple Streams Framework (MSF) and the Advocacy Coalition Framework (ACF).

政策过程理论将政策制定的动态理解为结构变量和代理变量相互作用的结果。虽然这些理论倾向于以谨慎的方式将结构性变量概念化,但代理(即个体代理人的行为,如政策企业家、政策领导人、政策经纪人和政策专家)在变化和稳定的因果关系的谜题中被留下作为残余部分。这种对机构的处理为概念上的重叠、分析上的混乱和经验上的缺陷留下了空间,这可能使经验研究者的生活复杂化,最重要的是,阻碍了政策过程理论充分解决政策动态变化驱动因素的能力。本文借鉴默顿的功能概念,提出了一种新的政策过程代理理论。我们从假设机构职能是政策动态演变的必要组成部分开始。然后,我们从理论上推断,代理可以履行四项主要职能——指导、创新、中介和情报——在任何政策过程中,这些职能都需要由个体代理通过四种行动模式——领导、创业、中介和知识积累——来履行。我们为这些概念的运作和衡量提供了路线图。然后,我们通过将这一新颖的概念应用于两个主要的政策过程理论:多流框架(MSF)和倡导联盟框架(ACF),展示了在分析清晰度和潜在理论杠杆方面可以实现的目标。
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引用次数: 0
Policy integration in urban policies as multi-level policy mixes 作为多层次政策混合的城市政策整合
IF 5.3 3区 管理学 Q1 PUBLIC ADMINISTRATION Pub Date : 2025-01-06 DOI: 10.1007/s11077-024-09562-5
María José Dorado-Rubín, María José Guerrero-Mayo, Clemente Jesús Navarro-Yáñez

This paper analyses policy integration in the field of urban policies. Specifically, the policy framework on sustainable urban development promoted by various international organisations is analysed as an exemplar combining multi-sectoriality in its substantive dimension (policy goals in different policy subsystems) and integration in its procedural dimension (integration between policy actions across policy subsystems involved). It is assumed that urban policies often take the form of multi-level policy mixes, and that integration involves a process of collective action between different policy subsystems. Based on the literature on policy integration and actor-centred institutionalism frameworks, it is postulated that in the absence of clear indications about the integrated strategy and policy integration capacities in the policy frame, the collective action dilemmas that this strategy entails in local projects will prevail, reducing the possibility of policy integration. The implementation of the urban dimension of the European Union's cohesion policy in Spain between 1994 and 2013 is analysed a total of 82 urban projects, where the integrated strategy is a central element but understood as multi-sectorial objectives rather than a complementarity between policy subsystems. Empirical results show a high level of diversity of objectives across policy sectors and a very low level of integration; specifically, a curvilinear pattern in the relationship between these two aspects. The results highlight the need to include policy instruments and capacities in the policy frame to address the collective action dilemmas that policy integration implies, especially if the policy frame calls for a broad multi-sectorial agenda across different policy subsystems.

本文对城市政策领域的政策整合进行了分析。具体而言,各国际组织推动的可持续城市发展政策框架作为一个范例进行了分析,该框架结合了实质性方面的多部门性(不同政策子系统的政策目标)和程序方面的一体化(涉及政策子系统的政策行动之间的一体化)。假设城市政策往往采取多层次政策混合的形式,一体化涉及不同政策子系统之间的集体行动过程。根据有关政策整合和以行为者为中心的制度主义框架的文献,假设在政策框架中缺乏关于综合战略和政策整合能力的明确指示的情况下,该战略在地方项目中所带来的集体行动困境将占优,从而降低了政策整合的可能性。本文分析了1994年至2013年间欧盟凝聚力政策在西班牙城市层面的实施情况,共分析了82个城市项目,其中综合战略是核心要素,但被理解为多部门目标,而不是政策子系统之间的互补。实证结果表明,各政策部门的目标高度多样化,一体化程度很低;具体来说,这两个方面的关系呈曲线模式。研究结果突出表明,需要将政策工具和能力纳入政策框架,以解决政策一体化所带来的集体行动困境,特别是如果政策框架要求跨不同政策子系统制定广泛的多部门议程。
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引用次数: 0
(Not) just policy success: Incorporating justice in policy evaluation. (不)仅仅是政策成功:将公正纳入政策评估。
IF 3.7 3区 管理学 Q1 PUBLIC ADMINISTRATION Pub Date : 2025-01-01 Epub Date: 2025-09-18 DOI: 10.1007/s11077-025-09588-3
Nynke van Uffelen, Nihit Goyal, Amanda Martinez-Reyes

Despite the recognition that policy evaluations are inherently normative as they are shaped by political and social values, justice is rarely addressed systematically in policy evaluation practice or research. By overlooking structural inequities and failing to scrutinize power dynamics, this omission risks hindering accountability, legitimizing injustice, and inhibiting policy learning. To help bridge this gap, we build on the policy success heuristic, which is a multidimensional approach for assessing programmatic, process, and political outcomes of public policy. Drawing on the philosophical literature on justice, we link three prominent categories-distributive, procedural, and recognition justice-with the dimensions of policy success. Based on this linkage, we propose a reflective framework that uniquely integrates justice principles into each dimension of the policy success heuristic. The framework can be applied ex-ante or ex-post to assess whether a policy is, or is likely to be, not only successful but also just, contributing to navigating the is/ought distinction at the heart of policy evaluation.

尽管人们认识到政策评估本质上是规范性的,因为它们受到政治和社会价值观的影响,但在政策评估实践或研究中很少系统地解决正义问题。由于忽视结构性不平等,未能仔细审查权力动态,这种疏忽可能会阻碍问责,使不公正合法化,并阻碍政策学习。为了帮助弥合这一差距,我们以政策成功启发法为基础,这是一种多维度的方法,用于评估公共政策的规划、过程和政治结果。根据关于正义的哲学文献,我们将三个突出的类别——分配正义、程序正义和承认正义——与政策成功的维度联系起来。基于这种联系,我们提出了一个反思框架,将正义原则独特地整合到政策成功启发式的每个维度中。该框架可以在事前或事后应用,以评估一项政策是否成功,或者是否可能成功,不仅是成功的,而且是公正的,有助于在政策评估的核心定位是/应该的区别。
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引用次数: 0
Reactions to policy action: socio-political conditions of backlash to climate change policy. 对政策行动的反应:反对气候变化政策的社会政治条件。
IF 3.8 3区 管理学 Q1 PUBLIC ADMINISTRATION Pub Date : 2025-01-01 Epub Date: 2025-05-29 DOI: 10.1007/s11077-025-09578-5
James Patterson, Ksenia Anisimova, Jasmin Logg-Scarvell, Cille Kaiser

Public policymaking on issues requiring ambitious yet socially and economically costly action can face backlash from target groups and wider audiences, threatening policy adoption and durability. As an abrupt negative reaction to policy action, backlash is challenging to study and requires distinctive analytical approaches. This is especially pressing for climate change mitigation policy, which faces growing yet dispersed empirical experiences of backlash. We develop a framework to study the socio-political conditions (economic, cultural, practical) under which backlash to climate policy occurs to enable comparative empirical analysis. We posit that backlash arises from significant incongruence between policy action and its socio-political context across one or more of these dimensions. We illustrate this approach using three cases of backlash to carbon pricing policy in Canada, France, and Mexico, revealing different ways in which incongruence can arise. Our analysis highlights the need for configurational explanations and a policy-in-context perspective when studying contentious reactions to policy action.

在需要采取雄心勃勃但在社会和经济上代价高昂的行动的问题上,公共政策的制定可能面临目标群体和更广泛受众的强烈反对,从而威胁到政策的采纳和持久性。作为对政策行动的突然负面反应,反弹的研究具有挑战性,需要独特的分析方法。这对于减缓气候变化的政策来说尤其紧迫,因为它面临着越来越多但分散的反对经验。我们开发了一个框架来研究社会政治条件(经济、文化、实践),在这些条件下,对气候政策的反弹发生,从而能够进行比较实证分析。我们认为,反弹是由政策行动与其社会政治背景在一个或多个维度之间的显著不一致引起的。我们用加拿大、法国和墨西哥对碳定价政策的反弹三个案例来说明这种方法,揭示了产生不一致的不同方式。我们的分析强调,在研究对政策行动的有争议的反应时,需要配置解释和政策上下文视角。
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引用次数: 0
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