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Growth models in Europe’s Eastern and Southern peripheries: between national and EU politics 欧洲东部和南部边缘地区的增长模式:国家和欧盟政治之间
IF 4.2 2区 经济学 Q1 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2023-03-22 DOI: 10.1080/13563467.2023.2189695
Visnja Vukov
ABSTRACT This paper analyses the political origins of diverse peripheral growth models in Europe, focusing on debt-based consumption-led growth model in Southern Europe and FDI-based export-led growth model in Central and Eastern Europe. Contrary to existing approaches that attribute this East-South divergence to their geographic position and systemic features of European monetary integration, the paper argues that these growth models stem from different national and EU-level policy responses to the challenge of core-periphery market integration. While the Southern states sought to protect domestic firms, allowing for, or even directly contributing to deindustrialisation in the face of competition with the European core economies, Central and East European states aimed to preserve their industrial legacy even at the expense of FDI-dependency. These policy responses were, in turn, shaped by distinct patterns of interaction and accommodation between segments of state elites and domestic economic groups, as well as by dramatically different EU strategies of governing integration. In contrast with society-centred perspectives on the politics of growth models, the paper highlights the autonomous role of the state as a key actor balancing between the demands and accommodation of domestic economic groups, and the constraints and opportunities created by regional institutions governing market integration.
摘要本文分析了欧洲各种外围增长模式的政治根源,重点分析了南欧基于债务的消费导向增长模式和中欧和东欧基于外国直接投资的出口导向增长模式。与将这种东-南差异归因于其地理位置和欧洲货币一体化的系统特征的现有方法相反,本文认为,这些增长模式源于国家和欧盟层面对核心-外围市场一体化挑战的不同政策反应。尽管面对与欧洲核心经济体的竞争,南方国家寻求保护国内企业,允许甚至直接促进去工业化,但中欧和东欧国家旨在保护其工业遗产,甚至不惜牺牲对外国直接投资的依赖。反过来,这些政策回应是由国家精英阶层和国内经济团体之间不同的互动和包容模式,以及截然不同的欧盟治理一体化战略形成的。与以社会为中心的增长模式政治观点不同,本文强调了国家作为平衡国内经济群体需求和适应以及管理市场一体化的区域机构所创造的制约和机会的关键行为者的自主作用。
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引用次数: 1
South-South monetary regionalism: a case of productive incoherence? 南南货币地区主义:一个生产不一致的案例?
IF 4.2 2区 经济学 Q1 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2023-03-20 DOI: 10.1080/13563467.2023.2184471
B. Fritz, Annina Kaltenbrunner, Laurissa Mühlich, Bianca Orsi
ABSTRACT The variety of monetary and regional cooperation institutions often is characterised as uneven, fragmented, and partially contested. In contrast to this narrative, Grabel (2018) applies a Hirschmanian mindset to monetary and regional cooperation that highlights the experimental nature of recent innovations as a ‘productive incoherence’. This paper presents a case study of such productive incoherence. We examine the institutional set up of the Local Currency Payments System (SML) between the Mercosur countries based on interviews with Central Bank staff and statistical analysis. We assess the factors that explain the emergence, limitations and institutional linkages of the SML. The results suggest that, despite its small scale, the mechanism expanded and provided to be remarkably robust in midst of a generally agonising Mercosur, representing the first cooperation between the Mercosur central banks after decades of absence of coordination of exchange rate policy and foreign exchange regulation. Our findings confirm and further refine Grabel’s approach: assessing incremental changes in terms of highly specific and contingent policies is key to understanding the role institutions play for development. We conclude that even very small-scale initiatives such as the SML can contribute to developmental monetary and financial governance as a building block of reform and change.
摘要货币和区域合作机构的多样性往往表现为不均衡、分散和部分竞争。与这种说法相反,Grabel(2018)将赫希曼心态应用于货币和区域合作,强调了最近创新的实验性质,即“生产性不连贯”。本文对这种富有成效的不连贯现象进行了个案研究。我们根据对中央银行工作人员的采访和统计分析,研究了南方共同市场国家之间的本币支付系统(SML)的机构设置。我们评估了解释SML的出现、局限性和体制联系的因素。结果表明,尽管规模很小,但在普遍令人痛苦的南方共同市场中,该机制得到了扩展,并变得非常强大,这是南方共同市场各国央行在数十年来缺乏汇率政策和外汇监管协调后的首次合作。我们的研究结果证实并进一步完善了Grabel的方法:从高度具体和偶然的政策角度评估增量变化是理解机构在发展中发挥作用的关键。我们的结论是,即使是像SML这样的非常小规模的举措,也可以作为改革和变革的基石,为发展性货币和金融治理做出贡献。
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引用次数: 1
The muddled governance of state-imposed forced labour: multinational corporations, states, and cotton from China and Uzbekistan 国家强制劳动的混乱治理:跨国公司、国家和来自中国和乌兹别克斯坦的棉花
IF 4.2 2区 经济学 Q1 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2023-03-13 DOI: 10.1080/13563467.2023.2184470
Sonja Schaefer, J. Hauge
ABSTRACT Forced labour persists in our global economy despite dedicated attention and eradication efforts from both the public and private sectors. Given the bounded reach and lack of enforcement by states and international organisations, the private sector has been the linchpin for eradication of forced labour globally. Utilising the brand-to-state boomerang model, this paper examines state-imposed forced labour in cotton production in China and Uzbekistan, and grapples with how interests – those of the states and the multinational corporations involved in forced labour – shape private governance outcomes. By investigating state-imposed forced labour in China (specifically, the Xinjiang Uyghur Autonomous Region) and Uzbekistan, we find that multinational corporations are reluctant to work towards eradicating forced labour when their net sales and profit are threatened by doing so. Building on the stream of international political economy research regarding how interests complicate governance effectiveness, we expose a gap in the literature on the impact of state-imposed forced labour on governance outcomes and illuminate global ramifications.
尽管公共和私营部门都致力于关注和消除强迫劳动,但强迫劳动在全球经济中仍然存在。鉴于国家和国际组织的范围有限,执法不力,私营部门一直是全球消除强迫劳动的关键。利用品牌到国家的回旋镖模型,本文考察了中国和乌兹别克斯坦的棉花生产中国家强加的强迫劳动,并探讨了涉及强迫劳动的国家和跨国公司的利益如何影响私人治理结果。通过调查中国(特别是新疆维吾尔自治区)和乌兹别克斯坦的国家强制强迫劳动,我们发现,当跨国公司的净销售额和利润受到威胁时,它们不愿努力消除强迫劳动。在有关利益如何使治理有效性复杂化的国际政治经济学研究流的基础上,我们揭示了国家强制劳动对治理结果影响的文献空白,并阐明了全球后果。
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引用次数: 0
Shareholder payouts across time and space: an internationally comparative and cross-sectoral analysis of corporate financialisation 跨时间和空间的股东支出:对企业金融化的国际比较和跨部门分析
IF 4.2 2区 经济学 Q1 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2023-03-04 DOI: 10.1080/13563467.2022.2084522
D. Valeeva, Tobias J. Klinge, M. Aalbers
ABSTRACT Shareholder value orientation has commonly been considered a hallmark of corporate financialisation. Today, firms increasingly share their profits with shareholders in the form of cash dividends and share buybacks. Yet how the shareholder payouts are distributed by firms from various sectors, sizes and countries remain unexplored. To complement existing accumulation- and asset-centred approaches that focus, respectively, on how resources enter the firm and change its structure, we present a payouts-centred approach to corporate financialisation that focuses on how resources leave the firm. This paper analyses firm-level trends in shareholder payouts in OECD member countries for the period 2000–2019, differentiating between types of distributed payouts. We show that shareholder payouts are high across various sectors and geographical locations, and not limited to a small subset of large, US-American financial corporations, but include ‘big pharma’ and ‘big tech’ as well as Latin American and Israeli firms. The paper sheds light on the nature of the contemporary corporations and contributes to discussions on the increasing financialisation of non-financial firms and their rising shareholder value orientation.
摘要股东价值取向通常被认为是企业金融化的标志。如今,公司越来越多地以现金分红和股票回购的形式与股东分享利润。然而,来自不同行业、规模和国家的公司如何分配股东薪酬仍有待探索。为了补充现有的以积累和资产为中心的方法,这些方法分别关注资源如何进入公司并改变其结构,我们提出了一种以支付为中心的公司融资方法,重点关注资源如何离开公司。本文分析了2000-2009年期间经合组织成员国股东支出的公司层面趋势,区分了不同类型的分布式支出。我们发现,不同行业和地理位置的股东支出都很高,不仅限于美国大型金融公司的一小部分,还包括“大型制药公司”和“大型科技公司”以及拉丁美洲和以色列公司。本文揭示了当代企业的本质,并有助于讨论非金融企业日益金融化及其股东价值取向的上升。
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引用次数: 4
UK pension funds’ patience and liquidity in the age of market-based finance 英国养老基金在市场金融时代的耐心和流动性
IF 4.2 2区 经济学 Q1 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2023-03-02 DOI: 10.1080/13563467.2023.2184469
Bruno Bonizzi, J. Churchill, Annina Kaltenbrunner
ABSTRACT Pension funds have often failed to meet expectations in terms of providing ‘patient capital’. Explanations for this lapse have ranged over regulatory and ideational factors. We argue that a new ‘impatient’ phenomenon is emerging that requires further explanation: pension funds are becoming more mindful of their liquidity and collateral management, and engage in pro-cyclical investment behaviour. We show how UK pension funds have adapted their investment strategies, investing significantly in collective funds, including in foreign and in ‘alternative assets’, and setting aside protection assets as collateral for their derivatives and repo transactions. This behaviour has increased pension funds’ exposure to and participation in liquidity spirals, forcing them to dispose of assets during crises and contributing to the overall pro-cyclicality of the contemporary market-based financial system. This was most recently highlighted by the instability of UK government bond markets in September 2022. Drawing from Minsky and the emerging literature on Critical Macro-Finance, we argue that this new pension fund behaviour is in response to structural changes in the financial markets in which they operate.
养老基金在提供“耐心资本”方面经常不能达到预期。对这一失误的解释包括监管和观念方面的因素。我们认为,一种新的“不耐烦”现象正在出现,需要进一步解释:养老基金正变得更加注意其流动性和抵押品管理,并参与顺周期投资行为。我们展示了英国养老基金如何调整其投资策略,大量投资于集体基金,包括外国和“另类资产”,并留出保护资产作为其衍生品和回购交易的抵押品。这种行为增加了养老基金对流动性螺旋式上升的敞口和参与,迫使它们在危机期间处置资产,并促进了当代以市场为基础的金融体系的整体顺周期性。这一点最近在2022年9月英国政府债券市场的不稳定中得到了突出体现。根据明斯基和新兴的关键宏观金融文献,我们认为,这种新的养老基金行为是对其所在金融市场结构性变化的回应。
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引用次数: 0
Institutional supercycles: an evolutionary macro-finance approach 制度超级周期:一种进化的宏观金融方法
IF 4.2 2区 经济学 Q1 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2023-02-18 DOI: 10.1080/13563467.2022.2161497
Yannis Dafermos, Daniela Gabor, J. Michell
ABSTRACT We build upon the Minskyan concepts of ‘thwarting mechanisms’ and ‘supercycles’ to develop a framework for analysing the dynamic evolutionary interactions between macrofinancial, institutional and political processes. Thwarting mechanisms are institutional structures that aim to stabilise the macrofinancial system. The effectiveness of these structures changes over time as a result of profit-seeking innovations and long-run destabilising processes. New institutional structures emerge in response, influenced by political and ideological conflicts. This generates a secular cyclical pattern in capitalism, the ‘supercycle’, with a longer duration than standard business and financial cycles. To illustrate this, we develop a macrofinancial stability index which we use to identify two supercycles in the G7 countries in the post-war period. We label these the industrial capitalism supercycle and the financial globalisation supercycle. For each, we apply a four-phase classification system, based on the effectiveness of institutions, customs and political structures for stabilising the macrofinancial system. The supercycles framework can be used to explain and anticipate macro financial and thus political developments, and moves beyond approaches in which these developments are treated as exogenous shocks.
摘要:我们基于明斯基的“阻挠机制”和“超级周期”概念,建立了一个分析宏观金融、制度和政治过程之间动态进化相互作用的框架。预警机制是旨在稳定宏观金融体系的制度结构。这些结构的有效性随着时间的推移而变化,这是追求利润的创新和长期不稳定过程的结果。受政治和意识形态冲突的影响,新的体制结构应运而生。这在资本主义中产生了一种长期的周期模式,即“超级周期”,其持续时间比标准的商业和金融周期更长。为了说明这一点,我们开发了一个宏观金融稳定指数,用于识别战后七国集团国家的两个超级周期。我们称之为工业资本主义超级周期和金融全球化超级周期。对于每一种情况,我们都根据稳定宏观金融体系的机构、习俗和政治结构的有效性,采用四阶段分类体系。超级周期框架可用于解释和预测宏观金融和政治发展,并超越将这些发展视为外生冲击的方法。
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引用次数: 13
The emergence of the ‘rentocrat’ “租房者”的出现
IF 4.2 2区 经济学 Q1 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2023-02-01 DOI: 10.1080/13563467.2023.2172148
S. Rogers
ABSTRACT Scholarship on rents and rentierism abounds. Commonly absent is analysis of the actors who perform rentierism: how they do it, when they do it, what outcomes result. To address this lacuna, I advance a three-tier typology of actors I term ‘rentocrats’. I then investigate the role of rentocrats in performing what has been labelled ‘infrastructure rentierism’ across infrastructure projects’ lifecycles: a scenario where surplus capital and labour are utilised by rentiers (rentocrats). This article contributes to an expanding literature on ‘assetisation’ by showing how rentocrats accrue rent across such lifecycles typically helped by local legal frameworks and a cross-coalition of politico-economic stakeholders, which together transform the good into an asset. As such, this article helps overcome a recognised blind spot in the assetisation scholarship: its empiricism. Through Case Study Analysis, I use the rentocrat conceptualisation and theorisation to highlight the variegated practice of infrastructure rentierism across the lifecycles of largescale (>USD100mn) Chinese-sourced capital-financed infrastructure projects in the United Kingdom, Germany, and Hungary. I intend the ‘rentocrat’ concept to be applied to and critiqued against other forms of rentierism not limited to Chinese-sourced capital, European sites, or its infrastructure variant.
关于租金和租佃主义的学者比比皆是。通常缺乏对实施寻租的行为者的分析:他们是如何做到的,何时做到的,结果如何。为了解决这一缺陷,我提出了一种三层类型的行动者,我称之为“租房者”。然后,我调查了在基础设施项目的整个生命周期中,租房者在执行所谓的“基础设施租房主义”中的作用:租房者利用剩余资本和劳动力的情况(租房者)。这篇文章通过展示租房者如何在这样的生命周期中积累租金,为“资产化”的不断扩展的文献做出了贡献,这通常是在当地法律框架和政治经济利益相关者的交叉联盟的帮助下进行的,它们共同将商品转化为资产。因此,本文有助于克服资产化学术中公认的盲点:经验主义。通过案例分析,我使用租金概念化和理论化来强调英国、德国和匈牙利大规模(>1亿美元)中资基础设施项目生命周期中基础设施租金主义的多样化实践。我打算将“租房者”概念应用于其他形式的租房主义,并对其进行批评,这些形式不仅限于中国来源的资本、欧洲网站或其基础设施变体。
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引用次数: 1
The ‘strange non-death’ of economic models: how modelling contributed to neoliberal resilience in Denmark 经济模型的“奇怪的不死”:模型如何促进丹麦的新自由主义弹性
IF 4.2 2区 经济学 Q1 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2023-02-01 DOI: 10.1080/13563467.2023.2172147
N. Fuglsang
ABSTRACT Scholars have attributed the resilience of the neoliberal policy paradigm to external pressure on governments by giant corporations and to features of the neoliberal idea itself. This article proposes a different explanation based on the political influence of the economic models that governments use for policy planning. I develop a theoretical perspective to capture how economic models, rather than being mere analytical tools, are policy tools with an overt objective function and a covert political function. To illustrate the value of the theory, I use a qualitative case-study approach to analyse how politicians in the aftermath of the 2008 financial crisis used economic models before and during the 2011–2015 Social Democratic Thorning-Schmidt government in Denmark. I show how the Danish Finance Ministry’s model worked as a weapon, a game board and a shield to discredit certain policies while promoting other policies, and in the process contributing to neoliberal resilience.
摘要学者们将新自由主义政策范式的弹性归因于大公司对政府的外部压力以及新自由主义思想本身的特点。基于政府用于政策规划的经济模型的政治影响,本文提出了不同的解释。我发展了一种理论视角,以捕捉经济模型如何成为具有公开目标功能和隐蔽政治功能的政策工具,而不仅仅是分析工具。为了说明该理论的价值,我使用了一种定性的案例研究方法来分析2008年金融危机后的政治家们在2011-2015年丹麦社会民主党Thorning Schmidt政府之前和期间如何使用经济模型。我展示了丹麦财政部的模式如何作为武器、游戏板和盾牌,在推广其他政策的同时诋毁某些政策,并在这个过程中为新自由主义的韧性做出贡献。
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引用次数: 0
The de-globalisation of capital? The political economy of community wealth building 资本的去全球化?社区财富建设的政治经济学
IF 4.2 2区 经济学 Q1 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2023-01-05 DOI: 10.1080/13563467.2022.2159353
Jamie Dennis, L. Stanley
ABSTRACT Community wealth building (CWB) is a strategy for local economic development that aims to (re-)circulate wealth within the places that produce it – a kind of de-globalisation of capital. CWB has come to prominence in the UK due to its implementation in Preston and endorsements from the Corbyn-led Labour Party. However, CWB has come under criticism for promoting protectionism. As a way into the political economy of CWB, this article analyses this criticism. We do so by bringing the policy debate in the UK into dialogue with political economy literature on protectionism and nationalism. We show that protectionism is as much a political weapon or slur used to discredit interventionist development strategies as it is an analytical concept at home in technical economic discourse. On this basis, we argue that CWB is not protectionist neither in its policy proposal nor in its wider worldview. However, CWB does limit itself to the local without a clear redistributive mechanism between municipalities and so risks siloing local areas from one another.
摘要社区财富建设(CWB)是一种地方经济发展战略,旨在使财富在产生财富的地方(再)流通,这是一种资本的去全球化。由于CWB在普雷斯顿的实施以及科尔宾领导的工党的支持,CWB在英国崭露头角。然而,CWB因宣扬保护主义而受到批评。作为对CWB政治经济学的一种探索,本文对这种批评进行了分析。我们通过将英国的政策辩论与关于保护主义和民族主义的政治经济学文献进行对话来做到这一点。我们表明,保护主义既是一种政治武器或诋毁干预主义发展战略的手段,也是国内技术经济话语中的一个分析概念。在此基础上,我们认为《禁止化学武器公约》在其政策建议和更广泛的世界观中都不是保护主义者。然而,CWB确实将自己局限于地方,而市政当局之间没有明确的再分配机制,因此有可能将地方相互孤立。
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引用次数: 1
‘Making financial sense of the future’: actuaries and the management of climate-related financial risk “为未来创造财务意义”:精算师和气候相关金融风险的管理
IF 4.2 2区 经济学 Q1 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2023-01-02 DOI: 10.1080/13563467.2022.2067838
N. Taylor
ABSTRACT This paper seeks to explore how professionals in the financial sector understand the challenge that climate change presents to economy and society. It is a case study into how ‘climate-related financial risk’ is understood in a particular area of expertise – within the actuarial profession. There is an increasingly prominent claim among financial regulators that climate change should be considered as an issue of financial risk and stability; it is argued that this will drive capital towards green ends, and an orderly low carbon transition. Responding to this, actuaries are seeking to establish climate-related risk as part of their professional jurisdiction. Yet they are struggling to do so because of their relationship to the investment chain and because the tools they employ for risk management, mostly drawn from financial economics, are fundamentally failing to consider, quantify and financialise climate risks. Instead, the profession is moving toward scenario-based tools for managing climate-related uncertainty that incorporate narratives about policy interventions and market reaction. The paper draws on interviews and ethnographic research conducted with members of the UK-based Institute and Faculty of Actuaries (IFoA) to explore these established and emerging risk management tools and perspectives.
摘要本文旨在探讨金融行业的专业人士如何理解气候变化给经济和社会带来的挑战。这是一个案例研究,探讨如何在精算专业的特定专业领域理解“气候相关金融风险”。金融监管机构越来越突出地主张,气候变化应被视为一个金融风险和稳定问题;有人认为,这将推动资本转向绿色目的和有序的低碳转型。对此,精算师正寻求将气候相关风险确定为其专业管辖权的一部分。然而,他们之所以难以做到这一点,是因为他们与投资链的关系,以及他们用于风险管理的工具(主要来自金融经济学)从根本上没有考虑、量化和金融化气候风险。相反,该行业正在转向基于情景的工具,以管理与气候相关的不确定性,其中包含有关政策干预和市场反应的叙述。本文借鉴了对英国精算师协会和学院(IFoA)成员的采访和民族志研究,探讨了这些成熟和新兴的风险管理工具和观点。
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引用次数: 6
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New Political Economy
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