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THE IMPLEMENTATION OF THE REGIONAL DEVELOPMENT INDEX IN THE NEW GEO-POLITICAL CONTEXT 区域发展指数在新地缘政治背景下的实施
IF 5.9 2区 经济学 Q1 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2023-08-25 DOI: 10.3846/tede.2023.19261
Romeo-Victo Ionescu, M. Zlati, V. Antohi, V. Cornea, M. Socoliuc
The opportunity of this research topic lies in the current extremely challenging geopolitical context that has led to the outbreak of multiple crises: energy, economic, social, financial, food, etc. The European Union has thus positioned itself in the face of these phenomena by creating several instruments to manage crises and increase resilience: civil protection mechanism, integrated mechanism for political response to crises, cross-border cooperation and solidarity mechanisms, food security crisis plans, resilience measures against physical and digital risks.The paper aims to analyse the necessity of changing the regional approach across the EU under the impact of the pandemic. Specific regional socio-economic indicators for EU NUTS2 regions are analysed during 2010–2021. The main objective of this research is to quantify the regional socioeconomic and to realise comparative analysis related to three moments in time: the latest EU enlargement, the economic crisis and the pandemic. The novelty of the study was the building of a new dynamic multi-criteria model assessing the strategic perspective, which was built to offer pertinent solutions for the regional decision makers in order to ensure cohesion and sustainable development on short and medium term.
本研究课题的机会在于当前极具挑战性的地缘政治背景,导致能源、经济、社会、金融、粮食等多重危机的爆发。因此,欧盟通过创建若干工具来管理危机和提高复原力,从而将自己定位于面对这些现象:公民保护机制、危机政治反应综合机制、跨境合作和团结机制、粮食安全危机计划、针对物理和数字风险的复原力措施。本文旨在分析在大流行的影响下改变整个欧盟区域方法的必要性。本报告分析了2010-2021年期间欧盟NUTS2区域的具体区域社会经济指标。本研究的主要目的是量化区域社会经济,并实现与三个时刻相关的比较分析:最近的欧盟扩大,经济危机和流行病。本研究的新颖之处在于建立了一个新的动态多标准战略视角评估模型,该模型旨在为区域决策者提供针对性的解决方案,以确保短期和中期的凝聚力和可持续发展。
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引用次数: 0
SYSTEM DYNAMICS: AN APPROACH TO MODELING SUPPLY CHAIN PERFORMANCE MEASUREMENT 系统动力学:一种建模供应链绩效测量的方法
IF 5.9 2区 经济学 Q1 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2023-08-24 DOI: 10.3846/tede.2023.19211
Pei-Yi Liu, Morteza Atifeh, Mohsen Khorshidnia, Seyed Ghiasuddin Taheri
The complexity of goods and services in the current world has caused individual companies that do not have the help and cooperation of other organizations to face many problems for their survival. In this paper, a system dynamics model was proposed by creating a cause-effect curve to increase supply chain (SC) performance with an emphasis on agility and flexibility (AAF) indicators. The proposed model aimed to reduce cost and delivery time and increase customer satisfaction by considering AAF indicators. To this end, the concepts used were first introduced. Afterward, the important goals were identified by reviewing the existing literatures and interviewing experts in the field of AAF indicators in the studied SC. In the next step, the model was constructed by determining the cause-and-effect (CAE) relationships between the variables. Finally, by developing and simulating different scenarios, the results showed that AAF alone and absolutely cannot enhance profitability. By implication, to increase profitability, AAF do not need to be enhanced to the highest level, but an optimal point must be found. Finally, an optimal level of AAF was estimated. by using this system and considering that this system supports the production line, the ability to respond to sudden demands is increased and as a result, the speed of covering these demands increases.
当今世界商品和服务的复杂性已经导致没有其他组织的帮助和合作的个体公司面临许多生存问题。本文提出了一个系统动力学模型,通过建立因果曲线来提高供应链绩效,重点关注敏捷性和灵活性指标。该模型旨在通过考虑AAF指标来降低成本和交货时间,提高客户满意度。为此,首先介绍了所使用的概念。然后,通过查阅现有文献和访谈所研究的供应链中AAF指标领域的专家来确定重要目标。下一步,通过确定变量之间的因果关系(CAE)来构建模型。最后,通过开发和模拟不同的情景,结果表明单独的AAF绝对不能提高盈利能力。言下之意,为了提高盈利能力,AAF不需要提高到最高水平,但必须找到一个最优点。最后,对AAF的最佳水平进行了估计。通过使用该系统,考虑到该系统支持生产线,提高了对突发需求的响应能力,从而提高了覆盖这些需求的速度。
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引用次数: 0
INTERNATIONALIZATION OF THE CONSTRUCTION INDUSTRY IN THE GLOBAL VALUE CHAIN 建筑业在全球价值链中的国际化
IF 5.9 2区 经济学 Q1 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2023-08-24 DOI: 10.3846/tede.2023.19426
Wentao Niu, Zhenzhen Xu, Bin Liu, Chunlu Liu
The construction sector plays a significant role in national economic development and accounts for a dominant portion of national economic growth. The international construction industry’s development has been explored from the perspective of the economy. Internationalization improves awareness about participation in international trade activities. This paper aims to quantify the internationalization of the construction industry in the global value chain. The sectoral participation index and interaction index are conducted to evaluate the internationalized degree of the construction industries. In the results, the distribution of the backward participation indices shows nearly all countries’ internationalization processes were still at the stage of benefiting from primary resources. The forward support index is easily influenced by the scale effect. The backward independence index accounts for a small percentage of national imports measured by value added. The main source of value-added supply was the local construction sector. This study proposes a comprehensive indicator to quantify the internationalization of the construction industries in the sight of national and global points. The references have a positive value for policymakers in the management of value-added flows in the international market and adjustment of the foreign trade environment.
建筑业在国民经济发展中占有重要地位,在国民经济增长中占主导地位。从经济的角度探讨了国际建筑业的发展。国际化提高了参与国际贸易活动的意识。本文旨在量化建筑业在全球价值链中的国际化程度。运用行业参与指数和互动指数来评价建筑业的国际化程度。从落后参与指数的分布来看,几乎所有国家的国际化进程仍处于受益于初级资源的阶段。远期支撑指标容易受到规模效应的影响。落后独立指数在以增加值衡量的国家进口中只占很小的比例。增值供应的主要来源是本地建筑业。本研究提出了一个综合指标来量化国家和全球视野下的建筑业国际化。这些参考文献对决策者管理国际市场的增值流动和调整对外贸易环境具有积极的价值。
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引用次数: 0
HOW DO HOUSING PRICES AFFECT A CITY'S INNOVATION CAPACITY? THE CASE OF CHINA 房价如何影响一个城市的创新能力?以中国为例
IF 5.9 2区 经济学 Q1 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2023-08-24 DOI: 10.3846/tede.2023.18899
Yemin Ding, Lee Chin, Fangyan Li, Peidong Deng, Shufeng Cong
Using panel data from 269 Chinese cities, this study examined the impact of housing prices (HP) on cities’ innovation capacity (IC) in China. Firstly, a fixed effect model was used to analyze the effect of HP on cities’ IC in China, revealing that HP positively impacts cities’ IC. Next, several robustness tests were conducted to verify the finding’s reliability. Thirdly, the analysis empirically tested mediating mechanisms between HP and cities’ IC in China. The results show that, on the one hand, higher HP can improve cities’ IC by attracting talents and stimulating the growth of local fiscal revenue. On the other, increasing HP can inhibit cities’ IC in China by attracting funds into the real estate market and impeding residents’ consumption ability. Finally, the heterogeneous nature of the HP–IC link in China was further explored. This study’s results provide recommendations for the government of China on how to promote cities’ innovation performance.
本研究利用269个中国城市的面板数据,考察了房价对中国城市创新能力的影响。首先,采用固定效应模型分析了惠普对中国城市集成电路的影响,发现惠普对城市集成电路具有正向影响。其次,通过若干稳健性检验验证了研究结果的可靠性。第三,实证检验了企业绩效与城市创新绩效之间的中介机制。研究结果表明,一方面,较高的HP可以通过吸引人才和刺激地方财政收入的增长来提高城市的IC;另一方面,提高HP会吸引资金进入房地产市场,阻碍居民的消费能力,从而抑制中国城市的IC。最后,进一步探讨了中国HP-IC链路的异质性。研究结果为中国政府如何提升城市创新绩效提供了建议。
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引用次数: 1
QUANTITATIVE INVESTMENT DECISIONS BASED ON MACHINE LEARNING AND INVESTOR ATTENTION ANALYSIS 基于机器学习和投资者注意力分析的定量投资决策
IF 5.9 2区 经济学 Q1 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2023-08-24 DOI: 10.3846/tede.2023.18672
Jie Ying Gao, Yunshu Mao, Zeshui Xu, Qianlin Luo
According to the trading rules and financial data structure of the stock index futures market, and considering the impact of major emergencies, we intend to build a quantitative investment decision-making model based on machine learning. We first adopt the Complete Ensemble Empirical Mode Decomposition with Adaptive Noise (CEEMDAN) signal decomposition technology to separate the short-term noise, cycle transformation and long-term trend from the original series, and use the CSI 500 Baidu index series to reflect the investors’ attention, which provides data support for establishing a more effective forecasting model. Then, the CEEMDANBP neural network model is designed based on the obtained effective information of low-frequency trend series, investor attention index and CSI 500 stock index futures market transaction data. Finally, an Attention-based Dual Thrust quantitative trading strategy is proposed and optimized. The optimized Attention-based Dual Thrust strategy solves the core problem of breakout interval determination, effectively avoids the risk of subjective selection, and can meet investors’ different risk preferences. The quantitative investment decision-making model based on CEEMDAN-BP neural network utilizes the advantages of different algorithms, avoids some defects of a single algorithm, and can make corresponding adjustments according to changes in investors’ attention and the occurrence of emergencies. The results show that considering investor attention can not only improve the predictive ability of the model, but also reduce the cognitive bias of the market, effectively control risks and obtain higher returns.
根据股指期货市场的交易规律和金融数据结构,考虑重大突发事件的影响,拟构建基于机器学习的量化投资决策模型。我们首先采用CEEMDAN (Complete Ensemble Empirical Mode Decomposition with Adaptive Noise)信号分解技术,从原始序列中分离出短期噪声、周期变换和长期趋势,并利用沪深500百度指数序列反映投资者关注程度,为建立更有效的预测模型提供数据支持。然后,基于获得的低频趋势序列、投资者关注指数和沪深500股指期货市场交易数据的有效信息,设计CEEMDANBP神经网络模型。最后,提出并优化了基于注意力的双推力定量交易策略。优化后的基于关注的双推力策略解决了突破区间确定的核心问题,有效避免了主观选择的风险,能够满足投资者不同的风险偏好。基于CEEMDAN-BP神经网络的定量投资决策模型利用了不同算法的优点,避免了单一算法的一些缺陷,并能根据投资者注意力的变化和突发事件的发生做出相应的调整。结果表明,考虑投资者关注不仅可以提高模型的预测能力,还可以减少市场的认知偏差,有效控制风险,获得更高的收益。
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引用次数: 0
ECONOMIC IMPLICATIONS OF EMOTIONAL MARKETING BASED ON CONSUMER LOYALTY OF MOBILE PHONE BRANDS: THE SEQUENTIAL MEDIATING ROLES OF BRAND IDENTITY AND BRAND TRUST 基于手机品牌消费者忠诚的情感营销的经济意义:品牌认同和品牌信任的序贯中介作用
IF 5.9 2区 经济学 Q1 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2023-08-24 DOI: 10.3846/tede.2023.19278
Yaping Jiang, Yanyan Sun, Shibo Tu
With the advent of digital technology and social media, mobile phone companies are increasingly turning to emotional marketing to appeal to consumers’ inner preferences. The purpose of this study is to examine the economic consequences of emotional marketing on customer loyalty, while taking into account the mediating variables of brand identity and brand trust. By surveying 647 digitally-savvy consumers in China, the proposed model was empirically validated. The results suggest that emotional marketing plays a crucial role in fostering consumer loyalty towards mobile phone brands, and that brand identity and brand trust play sequential mediating roles in the impact of emotional marketing on consumer loyalty. This research enhances our understanding of emotional marketing and consumer loyalty, and offers valuable insights for mobile phone brands seeking to implement effective emotional marketing strategies.
随着数字技术和社交媒体的出现,手机公司越来越多地转向情感营销,以吸引消费者的内心偏好。本研究的目的是考察情感营销对顾客忠诚的经济后果,同时考虑到品牌认同和品牌信任的中介变量。通过对中国647名精通数字技术的消费者进行调查,对所提出的模型进行了实证验证。研究结果表明,情感营销在促进消费者对手机品牌的忠诚中起着至关重要的作用,品牌认同和品牌信任在情感营销对消费者忠诚的影响中起着序贯中介作用。本研究增强了我们对情感营销和消费者忠诚度的理解,并为手机品牌寻求实施有效的情感营销策略提供了有价值的见解。
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引用次数: 0
DOES INCOME INEQUALITY AFFECT GREEN INNOVATION? A NON-LINEAR EVIDENCE 收入不平等会影响绿色创新吗?非线性证据
IF 5.9 2区 经济学 Q1 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2023-08-24 DOI: 10.3846/tede.2023.19271
Xing-yun Zou, Xinman Peng, Xinxin Zhao, Jie Ma, Chun-ping Chang
It is crucial for the advancement of political economics and innovation economics to examine the relationship between income inequality and green innovation (GI). Using the panel fixed effect model, this study investigates the influence of income inequality on GI across 97 countries from 1991 to 2018 and demonstrates a significant non-linear association between the two. The empirical data exhibit an inverted U-shape relationship, suggesting that there is an optimal degree of income inequality that optimizes GI output, and the inflection point of our overall sample is at a Gini coefficient of 0.366. Additionally, we choose a set of robustness tests to validate the results by substituting explained variables, adding omitted variables, and employing the difference and system generalized method of moments (GMM) estimations. Moreover, heterogeneity analysis reveals that the non-linear patterns vary among samples, with the U-shape relationship being more significant in countries with lower income, higher corruption, and weaker government effectiveness. Our findings provide government decision-makers with a crucial reference for maximizing the importance of income distribution in fostering GI and achieving sustainable development.
研究收入不平等与绿色创新之间的关系对政治经济学和创新经济学的发展至关重要。本研究采用面板固定效应模型,考察了1991 - 2018年97个国家收入不平等对GI的影响,发现两者之间存在显著的非线性关联。实证数据呈倒u型关系,表明存在一个最优的收入不平等程度来优化GI产出,我们整体样本的拐点在基尼系数0.366处。此外,我们选择了一组鲁棒性检验,通过替换解释变量,添加省略变量,并采用差分和系统广义矩法(GMM)估计来验证结果。此外,异质性分析表明,不同样本之间的非线性模式存在差异,在收入较低、腐败程度较高、政府效率较弱的国家,u型关系更为显著。我们的研究结果为政府决策者提供了重要的参考,以最大限度地发挥收入分配在促进地理标志和实现可持续发展中的重要性。
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引用次数: 4
RESEARCH ON THE IMPACT OF DIGITAL ECONOMY ON RURAL CONSUMPTION UPGRADING: EVIDENCE FROM CHINA FAMILY PANEL STUDIES 数字经济对农村消费升级的影响研究:来自中国家庭面板研究的证据
IF 5.9 2区 经济学 Q1 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2023-08-23 DOI: 10.3846/tede.2023.19511
Qiuyang Zhou
This paper examines the digital economy’s impact on rural household consumption upgrading. Existing studies remain mainly at the level of rural consumption scale and rarely address the consumption structure. The specific impact of the development of the digital economy on rural consumption upgrading and its mechanisms of action deserves in-depth study and consideration. We analyzed the related content using the fixed-effect model, the instrumental variable method (IV), the mediation effect model, and three-year panel data from the China Family Panel Studies (CFPS). This study found that, at the scale level, the digital economy contributes to expanding rural household consumption. At the structural level, the digital economy significantly increases the share of enjoyment-oriented household consumption but has no significant effect on development-oriented consumption. Income is an important transmission mechanism for the digital economy to improve rural household consumption. Besides, the impact of the digital economy on the upgrading of rural consumption varies according to income level and age.
本文考察了数字经济对农村居民消费升级的影响。现有的研究主要停留在农村消费规模层面,很少涉及消费结构。数字经济发展对农村消费升级的具体影响及其作用机制值得深入研究和思考。我们使用固定效应模型、工具变量法(IV)、中介效应模型和中国家庭面板研究(CFPS)的三年面板数据来分析相关内容。研究发现,在规模层面上,数字经济有助于扩大农村家庭消费。在结构层面上,数字经济显著提高了享受型家庭消费份额,但对发展型家庭消费没有显著影响。收入是数字经济改善农村居民消费的重要传导机制。此外,数字经济对农村消费升级的影响因收入水平和年龄而异。
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引用次数: 0
THE IMPACT OF DISRUPTIVE TECHNOLOGY ON BANKING UNDER SWITCHING VOLATILITY REGIMES 在波动率制度转换下,颠覆性技术对银行业的影响
IF 5.9 2区 经济学 Q1 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2023-08-23 DOI: 10.3846/tede.2023.18976
Laura Arenas, A. M. Gil-Lafuente, Josefa Boria Reverter
This paper uses the case of Spain to investigate whether and how disruptive technology impacts banking stock returns under a high volatility regime and a low volatility regime. For this purpose, a two-factor model with heteroscedastic Markov switching regimes has been applied. The results indicate that disruptive technologies have an impact on Spanish banking stock returns and that the effects are volatility regime dependent, having a relevant positive impact in high volatility regimes and a less relevant negative impact in low volatility regimes. These findings suggest that investors are informed about and acknowledge the advantages of disruptive technologies and will use their adoption as a business strategy to offset adverse market circumstances. During stable market conditions, on the other hand, Spanish banking seems to have less expectations about disruptive technology as a business strategy. To summarise, this paper provides insights into the role of the pricing of banking-related assets and has other relevant implications for investors that include disruptive technology or banking exposed investments in their portfolios.
本文以西班牙为例,探讨了颠覆性技术在高波动性制度和低波动性制度下是否以及如何影响银行股回报。为此,采用了一种具有异方差马尔可夫切换机制的双因素模型。结果表明,颠覆性技术对西班牙银行股回报有影响,并且影响是波动率制度依赖的,在高波动率制度中具有相关的积极影响,在低波动率制度中具有不太相关的负面影响。这些发现表明,投资者了解并承认颠覆性技术的优势,并将采用它们作为一种商业策略来抵消不利的市场环境。另一方面,在稳定的市场条件下,西班牙银行业似乎对颠覆性技术作为商业战略的期望较低。总而言之,本文提供了对银行相关资产定价作用的见解,并对投资者有其他相关影响,包括其投资组合中的颠覆性技术或银行敞口投资。
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引用次数: 0
DOES CAPITAL MARKET OPENING PROMOTE ENTERPRISE GREEN INNOVATION? EVIDENCE FROM SHANGHAI-HONG KONG STOCK CONNECT AND SHENZHEN-HONG KONG STOCK CONNECT 资本市场开放促进企业绿色创新吗?证据来自沪港通和深港通
IF 5.9 2区 经济学 Q1 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2023-07-21 DOI: 10.3846/tede.2023.19424
Yanwei Lyu, Zuoan Wang, Jinning Zhang
This study selects Chinese A-share listed enterprises from 2010 to 2020 as the research sample, constructs a Difference-in-differences model to analyze the Shanghai-Hong Kong stock connect and Shenzhen-Hong Kong stock connect policy on enterprise green innovation. The transmission channels are tested, and the heterogeneity of this impact is further explored. It is found that the Shanghai-Hong Kong stock connect and Shenzhen-Hong Kong stock connect policy has significantly improved the total level, quality and quantity of enterprise green innovation, and the effect on the total level and quality is greater than the quantity. The Shanghai-Hong Kong stock connect and Shenzhen-Hong Kong stock connect policy can effectively alleviate the financing constraints faced by enterprises, improve the information environment of enterprises, and thus improve their green innovation. There is heterogeneity in the nature of property rights, corporate social responsibility, industry monopoly and regional marketization in the promotion of enterprise green innovation by the Shanghai-Hong Kong stock connect and Shenzhen-Hong Kong stock connect policy.
本研究选取2010 - 2020年中国a股上市企业作为研究样本,构建异中异模型,分析沪港通和深港通政策对企业绿色创新的影响。对传输通道进行了测试,并进一步探讨了这种影响的异质性。研究发现,沪港通和深港通政策显著提高了企业绿色创新的总水平、质量和数量,且对总水平和质量的影响大于对数量的影响。沪港通和深港通政策可以有效缓解企业面临的融资约束,改善企业的信息环境,从而提高企业的绿色创新能力。沪港通和深港通政策在促进企业绿色创新方面存在产权性质、企业社会责任性质、行业垄断性质和区域市场化性质的异质性。
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引用次数: 1
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Technological and Economic Development of Economy
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