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ARE THERE DIGITAL TECH BUBBLES IN CHINA? 中国是否存在数字科技泡沫?
2区 经济学 Q1 Economics, Econometrics and Finance Pub Date : 2023-10-11 DOI: 10.3846/tede.2023.19417
Meng Qin, Chi-Wei Su, Lianhong Qiu, Oana-Ramona Lobonţ
This exploration employs the generalized supremum augmented Dickey-Fuller (GSADF) approach to explore whether there are digital tech bubbles in China. The empirical results suggest the existence of multiple digital tech bubbles, which are mostly accompanied by an excessive rise. However, the appearance of digital tech bubbles is curbed since 2016, mainly due to the increasing mature regulations in relevant fields. Besides, bubbles in different digital technologies are similar during the same period, which could be attributed to the close relationships among them. Additionally, we further investigate the factors influencing the explosive behaviours, and find that the Chinese stock market positively affects digital tech bubbles, while economic policy uncertainties and situations negatively influence such explosive behaviors. In the context of the new round of scientific and technological revolution and industrial transformation, these conclusions provide valuable implications to achieve the target of constructing a “Digital China” by becoming moderately cautious about potential bubbles in the digital tech industry.
本文采用广义最优增广Dickey-Fuller (GSADF)方法来探讨中国是否存在数字科技泡沫。实证结果表明,数字科技存在多重泡沫,且大多伴随着过度上涨。然而,自2016年以来,数字科技泡沫的出现得到了遏制,主要原因是相关领域的监管日益成熟。此外,不同数字技术在同一时期的泡沫相似,这可以归因于它们之间的密切关系。此外,我们进一步研究了影响爆炸行为的因素,发现中国股市对数字科技泡沫有积极影响,而经济政策的不确定性和情况对这种爆炸行为有消极影响。在新一轮科技革命和产业转型背景下,对数字科技产业潜在泡沫持适度谨慎态度,为实现“数字中国”建设目标提供了有价值的启示。
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引用次数: 0
ENERGY EFFICIENCY AND COVID-19: A SYSTEMATIC LITERATURE REVIEW AND BIBLIOMETRIC ANALYSIS ON ECONOMIC EFFECTS 能源效率与covid-19:经济效应的系统文献综述和文献计量学分析
2区 经济学 Q1 Economics, Econometrics and Finance Pub Date : 2023-10-06 DOI: 10.3846/tede.2023.18726
Xuan Yao, Zeshui Xu, Xinxin Wang, Lina Wang, Marinko Škare
The Corona Virus Disease 2019 (COVID-19) epidemic has deferred global progress in energy efficiency to a decade-long low, posing a threat to the achievement of international climate goals, and also profoundly affected the development of economics. To gain insight into the research frontiers and hotspots in energy efficiency and COVID-19, a systematic literature review and bibliometric analysis on economic effects are performed with the help of the bibliometric tools VOSviewer and Bibliometrix. This paper selects all the publications retrieved based on the subject terms in the Web of Science core collection. Firstly, this article performs a performance analysis of related publications to present the development and distribution of energy efficiency and COVID-19 from research areas, relevant sources, and influential articles. Afterward, a visual analysis of the literature called science mapping analysis is implemented to display the structural and dynamic organization of knowledge in energy efficiency and COVID-19 research. In the end, detailed discussions of two research hotspots and some theoretical and practical implications are concluded in the systematic literature review and bibliometric analysis findings, which may contribute to further development for researchers in the field of energy efficiency and eventually propel the progress of society and economy in an all-round way.
2019冠状病毒病(COVID-19)疫情使全球能效进展降至10年来最低水平,对国际气候目标的实现构成威胁,也深刻影响了经济发展。为了深入了解能效与新冠肺炎的研究前沿和热点,本文借助文献计量工具VOSviewer和Bibliometrix对能效与新冠肺炎的经济效应进行了系统的文献综述和文献计量分析。本文选取了Web of Science核心馆藏中基于主题词检索到的所有出版物。首先,本文对相关出版物进行了绩效分析,从研究领域、相关来源和有影响力的文章中展示了能效和COVID-19的发展和分布。随后,对文献进行可视化分析,称为科学映射分析,以显示能效和COVID-19研究中知识的结构性和动态组织。最后,通过系统的文献综述和文献计量分析结果,对两个研究热点进行了详细的讨论,并总结了一些理论和实践意义,以期为能效领域的研究人员进一步发展做出贡献,最终推动社会经济的全面进步。
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引用次数: 0
EFFECT OF CSR IMPLEMENTATION AND CRISIS EVENTS IN BUSINESS ON THE FINANCIAL MANAGEMENT OF SMES 企业社会责任实施与企业危机事件对中小企业财务管理的影响
2区 经济学 Q1 Economics, Econometrics and Finance Pub Date : 2023-09-19 DOI: 10.3846/tede.2023.19821
Ján Dvorský, Ilona Švihlíková, Ľudmila Kozubíková, Katarína Frajtova Michalíková, Adam P. Balcerzak
The financial management of a business is an integral part of strategic management. Small and medium-sized enterprises (SMEs) are vulnerable to the presence of crisis events in the business environment. In this context, senior managers and owners need to react promptly to emerging changes in a given business segment. The aim of the article is to quantify the effect of crisis events in business and firm’s CSR implementation in business on the financial performance in the SMEs. The empirical research incorporated 1,090 SMEs in the business environment of four Central European countries. The research hypotheses were evaluated using structural equation modelling. The empirical findings confirmed the positive impact of CSR implementation in the enterprise on its financial management. The research results did not confirm the negative effects of crisis events in business on the financial management. Crisis phenomena have direct effects on the sustainability of the enterprise; the organizational activities of the enterprise; the functioning of the enterprise in the market and the management of the enterprise. The findings are used as a basis for the preparation of strategic projects of national and international policies helping to cope with crisis phenomena in the business environment of the SME segment.
企业的财务管理是战略管理的一个组成部分。中小企业在经营环境中容易受到危机事件的影响。在这种情况下,高级管理人员和所有者需要对给定业务部门中出现的变化迅速作出反应。本文的目的是量化企业危机事件和企业社会责任实施对中小企业财务绩效的影响。实证研究纳入了中欧四国商业环境中的1090家中小企业。采用结构方程模型对研究假设进行了评估。实证结果证实了企业实施社会责任对财务管理的正向影响。研究结果并没有证实企业危机事件对财务管理的负面影响。危机现象直接影响到企业的可持续性;企业的组织活动;企业在市场中的作用和企业的管理。研究结果被用作制定国家和国际政策战略项目的基础,以帮助应对中小企业部门商业环境中的危机现象。
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引用次数: 4
THE IMPACT OF ENVIRONMENTAL TAXES ON TRANSPORTATION AND STORAGE ENTERPRISES’ DEVELOPMENT – THE CASE OF BALKAN COUNTRIES 环境税对运输和储存企业发展的影响- -以巴尔干国家为例
2区 经济学 Q1 Economics, Econometrics and Finance Pub Date : 2023-09-19 DOI: 10.3846/tede.2023.19531
Adam Sadowski, Anna Misztal, Magdalena Kowalska, Ryszard Jędrzejczak, Per Engelseth, Andrzej Bujak, Beata Skowron-Grabowska
Sustainable development counteracts climate change and strives for a good quality of life. It is a development based on economic, social and environmental goals which should be evaluated. Environmental taxes have to ensure enterprises’ development follows sustainability principles. The basis of environmental taxes is a physical unit of harmful substance emissions with a proven negative impact on the environment. The article’s main objective is to assess the impact of environmental taxes (Envtax) on the sustainable development of the transportation and storage enterprises (Susd) (NACE Rev. 2: H) from 2008 to 2018. We created integrated indicators of sustainable development and its components, single-equation and multi-equation models (the OLS estimation) and Model Autoregressive Moving Average with eXogenous (ARMAX) to verify the research hypothesis. The research results indicate that energy (Entax t), transport (Trtax) and pollution taxes (Poltax) from current and previous period significantly affect the development of transportation and storage enterprises within sustainability principles (economic: Ed, social: Sd, and environmental: Envd). There is a strong variation in the strength and direction of the impact of environmental taxes on the development of the transportation and storage enterprises following sustainability principles in Bulgaria, Croatia, Romania, and Slovenia from 2008 to 2018. The results indicate that taxes are not effectively used and that implementing reforms in the European Union in this area is the right direction.
可持续发展应对气候变化,争取高质量的生活。这是一种基于经济、社会和环境目标的发展,应该加以评价。环境税必须确保企业的发展遵循可持续性原则。环境税的基础是对环境产生负面影响的有害物质排放的物理单位。本文的主要目的是评估2008年至2018年环境税(envitax)对运输和仓储企业(Susd) (NACE Rev. 2: H)可持续发展的影响。我们建立了可持续发展综合指标及其组成部分,单方程和多方程模型(OLS估计)和模型自回归带外生移动平均(ARMAX)来验证研究假设。研究结果表明,当前和前期的能源税(Entax)、交通税(Trtax)和污染税(Poltax)在可持续发展原则(经济:Ed,社会:Sd,环境:Envd)下显著影响运输和仓储企业的发展。2008年至2018年,在保加利亚、克罗地亚、罗马尼亚和斯洛文尼亚,环境税对遵循可持续性原则的运输和仓储企业发展的影响在强度和方向上存在很大差异。结果表明,税收没有得到有效利用,欧盟在这一领域实施改革是正确的方向。
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引用次数: 0
INSTITUTIONAL QUALITY, INCOME LEVEL, AND DEBT SUSTAINABILITY: NEW EVIDENCE USING DYNAMIC PANEL THRESHOLD REGRESSION 制度质量、收入水平和债务可持续性:使用动态面板阈值回归的新证据
2区 经济学 Q1 Economics, Econometrics and Finance Pub Date : 2023-09-19 DOI: 10.3846/tede.2023.19247
Chee Loong Lee, Riayati Ahmad, Zulkefly Abdul Karim, Norlin Khalid
Most countries have suffered from prolonged budget deficits over the past two decades. This situation has made researchers and policymakers aware of the challenges to debt sustainability. This study investigates the threshold effect of institutional quality on debt sustainability in a panel of 82 countries, focussing on various threshold effects at different income levels. All the countries selected for this study fell under the categories of high income (HI), upper middle income (UMI), and lower-middle and low income (LMLI) based on the World Bank classifications. The dynamic threshold panel regression results indicate the presence of a threshold effect of institutional quality on the fiscal reaction function (including debt sustainability and cyclical fiscal policy) in all the countries with different income levels. In HI countries, fiscal adjustment weakens if institutional quality surpasses the threshold value of institutional quality. The fiscal adjustment in UMI countries is similar to that in HI countries but statistically insignificant. By contrast, governments in LMLI countries can promote sustainable debt if their institutional quality exceeds the threshold value. Thus, policymakers in LMLI countries need to prioritise their efforts to raise the level of institutional quality to promote debt sustainability.
在过去20年里,大多数国家都遭受了长期预算赤字的困扰。这种情况使研究人员和政策制定者意识到债务可持续性面临的挑战。本研究调查了82个国家的机构质量对债务可持续性的阈值效应,重点关注不同收入水平下的各种阈值效应。根据世界银行的分类,本研究选择的所有国家都属于高收入(HI)、中高收入(UMI)和中低收入(LMLI)三类。动态门槛面板回归结果表明,在不同收入水平的国家,制度质量对财政反应函数(包括债务可持续性和周期性财政政策)都存在门槛效应。在高收入国家,如果制度质量超过制度质量的阈值,财政调整就会减弱。UMI国家的财政调整与HI国家相似,但统计上不显著。相比之下,低层级国家的政府如果其制度质量超过阈值,则可以促进可持续债务。因此,低杠杆国家的决策者需要优先努力提高制度质量水平,以促进债务的可持续性。
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引用次数: 0
AN INTEGRATED DECISION SUPPORT SYSTEM FOR STOCK INVESTMENT BASED ON SPHERICAL FUZZY PT-EDAS METHOD AND MEREC 基于球面模糊pt-edas方法和merc的股票投资综合决策支持系统
2区 经济学 Q1 Economics, Econometrics and Finance Pub Date : 2023-09-12 DOI: 10.3846/tede.2023.19123
Huiyuan Zhang, Hongjun Wang, Guiwu Wei, Xudong Chen
The stock investment selection could be deemed as a classic multiple attribute group decision making (MAGDM) problem involving multiple conflicts and interleaved qualitative and quantitative attributes. Spherical fuzzy sets (SFSs) can excavate the potential vagueness and intricacy in MAGDM more effectively and deeply. This article we propose an integrated decision support system (IDSS) based on SFSs, prospect theory (PT), distance from average solution (EDAS) method and the MEthod based on the Removal Effects of Criteria (MEREC). The proposed IDSS, called SF-PT-EDAS-MEREC model, uses SFSs to describe the uncertain and obscure assessment information of DMs. The combination of PT and EDAS (PT-EDAS) method adequately captures DMs’ psychological behavior characteristics to execute more reasonable alternative evaluation. The MEREC is utilized to efficaciously obtain unknown attribute weights. In addition, this paper also presents a novel score function to compare spherical fuzzy numbers (SFNs) more directly and efficiently. Eventually, in order to illustrate the practicability of the proposed IDSS, two numerical examples of stock investment selection are employed to achieve this. Meanwhile, the comparative study with existing approach further demonstrates the effectiveness and superiority of SF-PT-EDAS-MEREC model.
股票投资选择可以看作是一个典型的多属性群体决策问题,涉及多个定性和定量属性的冲突和交叉。球面模糊集(SFSs)可以更有效、更深入地挖掘MAGDM中潜在的模糊性和复杂性。本文提出了一种基于sfs、前景理论(PT)、平均解距离法(EDAS)和基于标准去除效应法(MEREC)的综合决策支持系统(IDSS)。提出的IDSS,称为SF-PT-EDAS-MEREC模型,使用SFSs来描述dm的不确定和模糊的评估信息。PT-EDAS结合方法(PT-EDAS)能充分捕捉患者的心理行为特征,进行更合理的替代评价。利用merc算法有效地获取未知属性权值。此外,本文还提出了一种新的分数函数,可以更直接、更有效地比较球面模糊数。最后,为了说明所提出的决策支持系统的实用性,采用了两个股票投资选择的数值例子来实现这一目标。同时,通过与现有方法的对比研究,进一步证明了SF-PT-EDAS-MEREC模型的有效性和优越性。
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引用次数: 0
THE IMPLEMENTATION OF THE REGIONAL DEVELOPMENT INDEX IN THE NEW GEO-POLITICAL CONTEXT 区域发展指数在新地缘政治背景下的实施
IF 5.9 2区 经济学 Q1 Economics, Econometrics and Finance Pub Date : 2023-08-25 DOI: 10.3846/tede.2023.19261
Romeo-Victo Ionescu, M. Zlati, V. Antohi, V. Cornea, M. Socoliuc
The opportunity of this research topic lies in the current extremely challenging geopolitical context that has led to the outbreak of multiple crises: energy, economic, social, financial, food, etc. The European Union has thus positioned itself in the face of these phenomena by creating several instruments to manage crises and increase resilience: civil protection mechanism, integrated mechanism for political response to crises, cross-border cooperation and solidarity mechanisms, food security crisis plans, resilience measures against physical and digital risks.The paper aims to analyse the necessity of changing the regional approach across the EU under the impact of the pandemic. Specific regional socio-economic indicators for EU NUTS2 regions are analysed during 2010–2021. The main objective of this research is to quantify the regional socioeconomic and to realise comparative analysis related to three moments in time: the latest EU enlargement, the economic crisis and the pandemic. The novelty of the study was the building of a new dynamic multi-criteria model assessing the strategic perspective, which was built to offer pertinent solutions for the regional decision makers in order to ensure cohesion and sustainable development on short and medium term.
本研究课题的机会在于当前极具挑战性的地缘政治背景,导致能源、经济、社会、金融、粮食等多重危机的爆发。因此,欧盟通过创建若干工具来管理危机和提高复原力,从而将自己定位于面对这些现象:公民保护机制、危机政治反应综合机制、跨境合作和团结机制、粮食安全危机计划、针对物理和数字风险的复原力措施。本文旨在分析在大流行的影响下改变整个欧盟区域方法的必要性。本报告分析了2010-2021年期间欧盟NUTS2区域的具体区域社会经济指标。本研究的主要目的是量化区域社会经济,并实现与三个时刻相关的比较分析:最近的欧盟扩大,经济危机和流行病。本研究的新颖之处在于建立了一个新的动态多标准战略视角评估模型,该模型旨在为区域决策者提供针对性的解决方案,以确保短期和中期的凝聚力和可持续发展。
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引用次数: 0
SYSTEM DYNAMICS: AN APPROACH TO MODELING SUPPLY CHAIN PERFORMANCE MEASUREMENT 系统动力学:一种建模供应链绩效测量的方法
IF 5.9 2区 经济学 Q1 Economics, Econometrics and Finance Pub Date : 2023-08-24 DOI: 10.3846/tede.2023.19211
Pei-Yi Liu, Morteza Atifeh, Mohsen Khorshidnia, Seyed Ghiasuddin Taheri
The complexity of goods and services in the current world has caused individual companies that do not have the help and cooperation of other organizations to face many problems for their survival. In this paper, a system dynamics model was proposed by creating a cause-effect curve to increase supply chain (SC) performance with an emphasis on agility and flexibility (AAF) indicators. The proposed model aimed to reduce cost and delivery time and increase customer satisfaction by considering AAF indicators. To this end, the concepts used were first introduced. Afterward, the important goals were identified by reviewing the existing literatures and interviewing experts in the field of AAF indicators in the studied SC. In the next step, the model was constructed by determining the cause-and-effect (CAE) relationships between the variables. Finally, by developing and simulating different scenarios, the results showed that AAF alone and absolutely cannot enhance profitability. By implication, to increase profitability, AAF do not need to be enhanced to the highest level, but an optimal point must be found. Finally, an optimal level of AAF was estimated. by using this system and considering that this system supports the production line, the ability to respond to sudden demands is increased and as a result, the speed of covering these demands increases.
当今世界商品和服务的复杂性已经导致没有其他组织的帮助和合作的个体公司面临许多生存问题。本文提出了一个系统动力学模型,通过建立因果曲线来提高供应链绩效,重点关注敏捷性和灵活性指标。该模型旨在通过考虑AAF指标来降低成本和交货时间,提高客户满意度。为此,首先介绍了所使用的概念。然后,通过查阅现有文献和访谈所研究的供应链中AAF指标领域的专家来确定重要目标。下一步,通过确定变量之间的因果关系(CAE)来构建模型。最后,通过开发和模拟不同的情景,结果表明单独的AAF绝对不能提高盈利能力。言下之意,为了提高盈利能力,AAF不需要提高到最高水平,但必须找到一个最优点。最后,对AAF的最佳水平进行了估计。通过使用该系统,考虑到该系统支持生产线,提高了对突发需求的响应能力,从而提高了覆盖这些需求的速度。
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引用次数: 0
INTERNATIONALIZATION OF THE CONSTRUCTION INDUSTRY IN THE GLOBAL VALUE CHAIN 建筑业在全球价值链中的国际化
IF 5.9 2区 经济学 Q1 Economics, Econometrics and Finance Pub Date : 2023-08-24 DOI: 10.3846/tede.2023.19426
Wentao Niu, Zhenzhen Xu, Bin Liu, Chunlu Liu
The construction sector plays a significant role in national economic development and accounts for a dominant portion of national economic growth. The international construction industry’s development has been explored from the perspective of the economy. Internationalization improves awareness about participation in international trade activities. This paper aims to quantify the internationalization of the construction industry in the global value chain. The sectoral participation index and interaction index are conducted to evaluate the internationalized degree of the construction industries. In the results, the distribution of the backward participation indices shows nearly all countries’ internationalization processes were still at the stage of benefiting from primary resources. The forward support index is easily influenced by the scale effect. The backward independence index accounts for a small percentage of national imports measured by value added. The main source of value-added supply was the local construction sector. This study proposes a comprehensive indicator to quantify the internationalization of the construction industries in the sight of national and global points. The references have a positive value for policymakers in the management of value-added flows in the international market and adjustment of the foreign trade environment.
建筑业在国民经济发展中占有重要地位,在国民经济增长中占主导地位。从经济的角度探讨了国际建筑业的发展。国际化提高了参与国际贸易活动的意识。本文旨在量化建筑业在全球价值链中的国际化程度。运用行业参与指数和互动指数来评价建筑业的国际化程度。从落后参与指数的分布来看,几乎所有国家的国际化进程仍处于受益于初级资源的阶段。远期支撑指标容易受到规模效应的影响。落后独立指数在以增加值衡量的国家进口中只占很小的比例。增值供应的主要来源是本地建筑业。本研究提出了一个综合指标来量化国家和全球视野下的建筑业国际化。这些参考文献对决策者管理国际市场的增值流动和调整对外贸易环境具有积极的价值。
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引用次数: 0
HOW DO HOUSING PRICES AFFECT A CITY'S INNOVATION CAPACITY? THE CASE OF CHINA 房价如何影响一个城市的创新能力?以中国为例
IF 5.9 2区 经济学 Q1 Economics, Econometrics and Finance Pub Date : 2023-08-24 DOI: 10.3846/tede.2023.18899
Yemin Ding, Lee Chin, Fangyan Li, Peidong Deng, Shufeng Cong
Using panel data from 269 Chinese cities, this study examined the impact of housing prices (HP) on cities’ innovation capacity (IC) in China. Firstly, a fixed effect model was used to analyze the effect of HP on cities’ IC in China, revealing that HP positively impacts cities’ IC. Next, several robustness tests were conducted to verify the finding’s reliability. Thirdly, the analysis empirically tested mediating mechanisms between HP and cities’ IC in China. The results show that, on the one hand, higher HP can improve cities’ IC by attracting talents and stimulating the growth of local fiscal revenue. On the other, increasing HP can inhibit cities’ IC in China by attracting funds into the real estate market and impeding residents’ consumption ability. Finally, the heterogeneous nature of the HP–IC link in China was further explored. This study’s results provide recommendations for the government of China on how to promote cities’ innovation performance.
本研究利用269个中国城市的面板数据,考察了房价对中国城市创新能力的影响。首先,采用固定效应模型分析了惠普对中国城市集成电路的影响,发现惠普对城市集成电路具有正向影响。其次,通过若干稳健性检验验证了研究结果的可靠性。第三,实证检验了企业绩效与城市创新绩效之间的中介机制。研究结果表明,一方面,较高的HP可以通过吸引人才和刺激地方财政收入的增长来提高城市的IC;另一方面,提高HP会吸引资金进入房地产市场,阻碍居民的消费能力,从而抑制中国城市的IC。最后,进一步探讨了中国HP-IC链路的异质性。研究结果为中国政府如何提升城市创新绩效提供了建议。
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引用次数: 1
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Technological and Economic Development of Economy
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