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Boundaries of Free Speech: Profiling Support for Acceptance of Free Speech and Restrictions on Offensive Speech 言论自由的边界:剖析对接受言论自由的支持和对攻击性言论的限制
IF 1.8 3区 社会学 Q2 COMMUNICATION Pub Date : 2022-12-01 DOI: 10.1093/ijpor/edac039
Natasha Doré, Nicole Satherley, K. Yogeeswaran, Andrew J. Vonasch, M. Verkuyten, C. Sibley
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引用次数: 1
Political sensitivity bias in autocratizing Hong Kong 专制香港的政治敏感性偏见
IF 1.8 3区 社会学 Q2 COMMUNICATION Pub Date : 2022-12-01 DOI: 10.1093/ijpor/edac028
Tetsurou Kobayashi, Po-ying. Chan
Concerns over political sensitivity bias in survey research in stable autocracies have been raised by previous studies. However, as democracy recedes worldwide, it remains unclear how pervasive such bias is in autocratizing contexts. This research note aims to demonstrate the extent of sensitivity bias in an autocratizing context using the case of Hong Kong, where political freedoms are rapidly shrinking. In doing so, we aim to detect sensitivity bias by analyzing panel survey data without relying on list experiments. Our analyses of online panel survey data collected before and after the enactment of the Hong Kong National Security Law and its related political crackdown found that pro-democracy respondents subject to political repression (1) are more likely to drop out of the panel of a political poll, (2) even when they do not drop out, they falsify some potentially sensitive past behavior, and (3) pro-democracy moderates are more likely to engage in preference falsification. Theoretical implications for understanding public opinion in autocratizing contexts are discussed.
以往的研究已经提出了对稳定专制国家调查研究中政治敏感性偏差的担忧。然而,随着民主在全球范围内的消退,这种偏见在专制环境中有多普遍仍不清楚。本研究报告旨在以政治自由迅速萎缩的香港为例,展示在专制背景下敏感性偏见的程度。在这样做的过程中,我们的目标是通过分析面板调查数据而不依赖于列表实验来检测灵敏度偏差。我们对《香港国家安全法》及其相关政治镇压颁布前后收集的在线小组调查数据的分析发现,受到政治镇压的亲民主受访者(1)更有可能退出政治民意调查小组,(2)即使他们没有退出,他们也会伪造一些潜在的敏感过去行为,以及(3)亲民主温和派更有可能从事偏好伪造。本文讨论了在专制背景下理解民意的理论意义。
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引用次数: 0
How Characterizations of Refugees Shape Attitudes Toward Refugee Restrictions: A Study of Christian and Muslim Americans 难民的特征如何塑造对难民限制的态度:对美国基督徒和穆斯林的研究
IF 1.8 3区 社会学 Q2 COMMUNICATION Pub Date : 2022-09-01 DOI: 10.1093/ijpor/edac022
I. Skinner
Discussion surrounding refugee policy often includes characterizations of refugees themselves. I use an experiment to identify how the characterizations used to describe refugees influence attitudes toward restrictive refugee policies among Christian and Muslim Americans. Overall, I find broad support among Christians and ambivalence among Muslims sampled for a policy that would dramatically reduce refugee entry in the USA. However, I also find that Muslim American respondents are significantly less supportive of restrictive policies when refugees are explicitly identified as Muslim but there is no such impact among Christian Americans. My findings contribute to our understanding of how characterizations about refugees and explicit religious cues impact policy attitudes and how political communication influences small minority groups in the USA.
围绕难民政策的讨论往往包括对难民本身的描述。我用一个实验来确定用来描述难民的特征如何影响美国基督徒和穆斯林对限制性难民政策的态度。总的来说,我发现在基督徒和穆斯林中广泛支持一项政策,该政策将大大减少进入美国的难民。然而,我也发现,当难民被明确认定为穆斯林时,穆斯林美国受访者对限制性政策的支持程度明显降低,但在基督徒美国人中没有这种影响。我的发现有助于我们理解难民的特征和明确的宗教暗示如何影响政策态度,以及政治沟通如何影响美国的少数群体。
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引用次数: 0
Corruption and Political Knowledge Erosion. A Cautionary Tale from Latin America 腐败与政治知识侵蚀。一个来自拉丁美洲的警示故事
IF 1.8 3区 社会学 Q2 COMMUNICATION Pub Date : 2022-07-29 DOI: 10.1093/ijpor/edac015
Matías Bargsted, I. Bachmann, S. Valenzuela
Previous research has shown that corruption diminishes citizens’ level of political support and engagement. We extend this line of reasoning and evaluate whether previous levels of perceived corruption can influence subsequent levels of political knowledge. We test this proposition with data from a two-wave panel probability survey applied in Chile between 2016 and 2017, just after a 2-year period in which an avalanche of corruption scandals shook the country. Our estimates confirm that perceived corruption reduces subsequent political knowledge, while controlling for prior knowledge. This pattern is particularly strong among non-ideologues and people ideologically distant from the incumbent government. Given the status of political knowledge as a democratically valuable trait, our results uncover some normatively disturbing consequences of corruption.
先前的研究表明,腐败降低了公民的政治支持和参与水平。我们扩展了这条推理路线,并评估了以前的腐败程度是否会影响后来的政治知识水平。我们用2016年至2017年间在智利进行的两波面板概率调查的数据来检验这一命题,就在两年前,一连串的腐败丑闻震惊了智利。我们的估计证实,感知到的腐败减少了随后的政治知识,同时控制了先前的知识。这种模式在非理论家和在意识形态上与现任政府相距甚远的人中尤为强烈。鉴于政治知识作为民主价值特征的地位,我们的研究结果揭示了腐败的一些规范性的令人不安的后果。
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引用次数: 1
A Calamitous Connection: Declining Political Trust Amplifies the Negative Effect of Growing Concerns About Democracy on the Acceptance of Anti-pandemic Policies 灾难性的联系:政治信任的下降放大了对民主主义的担忧对接受抗疫政策的负面影响
IF 1.8 3区 社会学 Q2 COMMUNICATION Pub Date : 2022-06-01 DOI: 10.1093/ijpor/edac018
Eva‐Maria Trüdinger, Achim Hildebrandt, Matthias Sand, Anja Rieker
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引用次数: 0
U.S. Public Support for the U.S.-NATO Alliance 美国公众对美国-北约联盟的支持
IF 1.8 3区 社会学 Q2 COMMUNICATION Pub Date : 2022-06-01 DOI: 10.1093/ijpor/edac011
K. Lee, Kirby Goidel
While previous research has thoroughly investigated the structure of Americans’ foreign policy beliefs, existing literature tells us far less about the determinants of public support for U.S. military alliances. In the following paper, we examine whether former President Donald Trump’s framing altered public support for the U.S.-North Atlantic Treaty Organization (NATO) military alliance. First, using survey data from the Chicago Council on Global Affairs, we show that support for NATO became polarized after 2016. Second, employing a survey experiment, we test two causal mechanisms that might explain these shifts: (1) a framing model positing that reframing the alliance to emphasize financial costs decreased public support and (2) a cue-taking model positing that opinion on NATO realigned to conform to (or reject) former President Trump’s stated positions. Our experimental results reveal that reframing the alliance decreased support for NATO while the presence of a partisan cue had little or no effect.
虽然之前的研究已经彻底调查了美国人外交政策信仰的结构,但现有文献告诉我们的关于公众支持美国军事联盟的决定因素要少得多。在下面的论文中,我们研究了前总统唐纳德·特朗普的框架是否改变了公众对美国-北大西洋公约组织(NATO)军事联盟的支持。首先,使用芝加哥全球事务委员会的调查数据,我们发现2016年后,对北约的支持出现了两极分化。其次,通过一项调查实验,我们测试了两种可能解释这些转变的因果机制:(1)一种框架模型认为,重新构建联盟以强调财政成本降低了公众支持;(2)一种线索提取模型认为,对北约的意见重新调整,以符合(或拒绝)前总统特朗普的既定立场。我们的实验结果表明,重新构建联盟减少了对北约的支持,而党派暗示的存在几乎没有影响。
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引用次数: 0
Do Populists Really Reject Expert Judgment?: Expert Consensus and Support for Clean Water Act Protections 民粹主义者真的拒绝专家判断吗?:专家共识和对清洁水法保护的支持
IF 1.8 3区 社会学 Q2 COMMUNICATION Pub Date : 2022-06-01 DOI: 10.1093/ijpor/edac016
D. Bergan, M. Lapinski, Shawn Turner
Recent work on voting behavior and political attitudes has established the relevance of anti-intellectual (Merkley, E. (2020). Anti-intellectualism, populism, and motivated resistance to expert consensus. Public Opinion Quarterly, 84(1), 24–48. doi: 10.1093/poq/nfz053; Motta, M. (2018a). The dynamics and political implications of anti-intellectualism in the United States. American Politics Research, 46(3), 465–498. doi: 10.1177/1532673X17719507; Motta, M. (2018b). The polarizing effect of the March for Science on attitudes toward scientists. PS, Political Science & Politics, 51(4), 782. doi: 10.1017/S1049096518000938), anti-science (Mede, N. G., & Schäfer, M. S. (2020). Science-related populism: Conceptualizing populist demands toward science. Public Understanding of Science, 29(5), 473–491. doi: 10.1177/0963662520924259; Rekker, R. (2021). The nature and origins of political polarization over science. Public Understanding of Science, 30(4), 352–368. doi: 10.1177%2F0963662521989193) and anti-expertise (Brewer, M. D. (2016). Populism in American politics. The Forum, 14, 249–264. doi: 10.1515/for-2016-0021; Oliver, J. E., & Rahn, W. M. (2016). Rise of the Trumpenvolk: Populism in the 2016 Election. The ANNALS of the American Academy of Political and Social Science, 667(1), 189–206. doi: 10.1177/0002716216662639) attitudes in politics. However, the increasing relevance of anti-expertise attitudes raises a paradox, as one of the most well-established claims of the persuasion literature concerns the influence of expert sources on attitudes (O’Keefe, D. J. (2016). Persuasion: Theory and research. (3rd ed.) SAGE Publications, Inc.; Pornpitakpan, C. (2004). The persuasiveness of source credibility: A critical review of five decades’ evidence. Journal of Applied Social Psychology, 34, 243–281. doi: 10.1111/j.1559-1816.2004.tb02547.x). The current paper explores the influence of messages based on public and expert consensus, as well as the interaction of these messages with expressed mistrust of experts relative to the public. The issue we explore concerns environmental regulations relating to water, an issue on which partisan elites are divided, but one that has not played a highly salient role in recent political discourse. We find that mistrust of experts is negatively related to support for these regulations, as expected, but that, contrary to prior research, increases in mistrust of experts in fact enhanced the impact of the expert message. We discuss potential explanations for why this pattern of results differs from prior work.
最近关于投票行为和政治态度的工作已经确立了反知识分子的相关性(Merkley,E.(2020)。反智主义、民粹主义和对专家共识的积极抵制。《民意季刊》,84(1),24-48。doi:10.1093/poq/nfz053;莫塔,M.(2018a)。美国反智主义的动态和政治含义。《美国政治研究》,46(3),465–498。doi:10.177/1532673X17719507;莫塔,M.(2018b)。科学大游行对科学家态度的两极分化影响。PS,政治学与政治学,51(4),782。doi:10.1017/S1049096518000938),反科学(Mede,N.G.和Schäfer,M.S.(2020)。与科学相关的民粹主义:将民粹主义对科学的要求概念化。公众对科学的理解,29(5),473–491。doi:10.1177/0963662520924259;Rekker,R.(2021)。科学政治两极分化的性质和根源。公众对科学的理解,30(4),352–368。doi:10.177%2F0963662521989193)和反专业知识(Brewer,M.D.(2016)。美国政治中的民粹主义。论坛,14249-264。doi:10.1515/for-2016-0021;Oliver,J.E.和Rahn,W.M.(2016)。Trumpenvolk的崛起:2016年大选中的民粹主义。美国政治和社会科学院年鉴,667(1),189-206。doi:10.177/0002716216662639)政治态度。然而,反专业态度的相关性越来越大,这引发了一个悖论,因为说服文献中最成熟的说法之一涉及专家来源对态度的影响(O’Keefe,D.J.(2016)。说服:理论和研究。(第3版)SAGE出版物,股份有限公司。;Pornpitakpan,C.(2004)。来源可信度的说服力:对50年证据的批判性回顾。《应用社会心理学杂志》,34243-281。doi:10.111/j.1559-1816.2004.tb02547.x)。本文探讨了基于公众和专家共识的信息的影响,以及这些信息与专家相对于公众表达的不信任的相互作用。我们探讨的问题涉及与水有关的环境法规,在这个问题上,党派精英存在分歧,但在最近的政治话语中,这个问题并没有发挥突出作用。我们发现,正如预期的那样,对专家的不信任与对这些法规的支持呈负相关,但与之前的研究相反,对专家不信任的增加实际上增强了专家信息的影响。我们讨论了为什么这种结果模式与之前的工作不同的潜在解释。
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引用次数: 1
Going Beyond General Media Trust: An Analysis of Topical Media Trust, its Antecedents and Effects on Issue (Mis)perceptions 超越一般媒体信任:专题媒体信任、其前因及对议题(错误)认知的影响分析
IF 1.8 3区 社会学 Q2 COMMUNICATION Pub Date : 2022-06-01 DOI: 10.1093/ijpor/edac010
Y. Tsfati, J. Strömbäck, Eveliina Lindgren, A. Damstra, H. Boomgaarden, R. Vliegenthart
A key problem with research on news media trust is that it has mostly focused on general media trust and that there is limited research on how media trust might vary across levels of analysis. In this paper, we seek to remedy this by investigating whether news media trust differs depending on the topic of news coverage and whether topical trust can be distinguished from general media trust. We also investigate the antecedents of trust in news coverage of different topics and the effects of topical trust on issue (mis)perceptions. Among other things, findings show that topical media trust can be distinguished from general media trust and is a better predictor of correct perceptions on political matters.
新闻媒体信任研究的一个关键问题是,它主要关注一般媒体信任,而对媒体信任如何在不同分析水平上变化的研究有限。在本文中,我们试图通过调查新闻媒体信任是否因新闻报道的主题而不同,以及话题信任是否可以与一般媒体信任区分开来来弥补这一点。我们还调查了不同主题新闻报道中信任的前因,以及主题信任对问题(错误)认知的影响。除其他外,研究结果表明,话题媒体信任可以与一般媒体信任区分开来,是对政治问题正确看法的更好预测因素。
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引用次数: 5
Presidential Influence and Public Opinion During Crises: The Case of COVID-19 in Brazil 危机中的总统影响与民意——以巴西新冠肺炎为例
IF 1.8 3区 社会学 Q2 COMMUNICATION Pub Date : 2022-06-01 DOI: 10.1093/ijpor/edac014
Frederico Batista Pereira, Felipe Nunes
Can presidential messages influence public opinion? The scholarship shows that common features in developed democracies such as fragmented audiences and partisan reasoning tend to limit the persuasive effects of the bully pulpit. In this article, we argue that the effectiveness of the presidential rhetoric is context dependent. Presidents will be the most likely to persuade public opinion when they seek to break consensus by using messages that activate defection among their supporters. To examine this framework, we focus on the setting of the COVID-19 pandemic in Brazil, where the outbreak was initially a valence issue, but quickly it became a divisive matter among the public. We use a survey experiment conducted days before the President Bolsonaro’s national televised address to show that cueing subjects with one of his earlier denialist remarks about the outbreak polarized opinions. We then use Bayesian change-point models to demonstrate how his major televised speeches affected daily trends in online searches related to the pandemic during the first and the most crucial weeks of the outbreak. The findings shed light on the circumstances in which presidential influence can not only be most powerful, but also most harmful.
总统的信息能影响公众舆论吗?研究表明,发达民主国家的共同特点,如受众分散和党派推理,往往会限制霸凌讲坛的说服力。在这篇文章中,我们认为总统言论的有效性取决于上下文。当总统试图通过使用激活其支持者叛逃的信息来打破共识时,他们将最有可能说服公众舆论。为了研究这一框架,我们将重点放在新冠肺炎疫情在巴西的背景上,在巴西,疫情最初是一个化合价问题,但很快就在公众中引起了分歧。我们使用博索纳罗总统发表全国电视讲话前几天进行的一项调查实验来表明,用他早些时候对疫情的否认言论来暗示受试者,会导致意见两极分化。然后,我们使用贝叶斯变点模型来展示在疫情爆发的第一周和最关键的几周,他的主要电视演讲如何影响与疫情相关的在线搜索的日常趋势。这些发现揭示了总统影响力不仅最强大,而且最有害的情况。
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引用次数: 0
Societal Violence, National Identification, and Anti-Immigrant Sentiment: A Cross-national Study 社会暴力、国家认同与反移民情绪:一项跨国研究
IF 1.8 3区 社会学 Q2 COMMUNICATION Pub Date : 2022-06-01 DOI: 10.1093/ijpor/edac013
H. Kim
Existing research shows that anti-immigrant attitudes are driven by a wide variety of individual- and contextual-level factors. The present study introduces “societal violence”—the degree to which human rights are violated and physical survival is threatened in society—as a significant, yet neglected, explanatory concept in analyzing negative attitudes toward immigrants. Data are drawn from the International Social Survey Programme (ISSP) 2013. Two-level mixed effects models are estimated with random intercepts and slopes. Results show that societal violence significantly moderates the magnitude of the relationships between measures of national identification and negative sentiment toward immigrant among 27 280 respondents across 29 low- and high-income countries. More specifically, the associations are found to be greater in less violent societies.
现有的研究表明,反移民态度是由各种各样的个人和背景因素驱动的。本研究在分析对移民的负面态度时,引入了“社会暴力”——人权被侵犯和人身生存在社会中受到威胁的程度——作为一个重要但被忽视的解释性概念。数据来自2013年国际社会调查项目(ISSP)。用随机截距和斜率估计两级混合效应模型。结果显示,在29个低收入和高收入国家的27280名受访者中,社会暴力显著调节了国家认同措施与对移民的负面情绪之间的关系。更具体地说,在暴力较少的社会中,这种关联更大。
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引用次数: 0
期刊
International Journal of Public Opinion Research
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