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Statistical post-processing of numerical weather prediction data using distribution-based scaling for wind energy 利用基于分布的风能缩放对数值天气预报数据进行统计后处理
IF 1.5 Q3 Energy Pub Date : 2024-03-22 DOI: 10.1177/0309524x241238353
A. Rangaraj, Y. Srinath, K. Boopathi, R. D M, Sushanth Kumar
The performance of numerical weather prediction models has improved dramatically recently. However, model biases remain a fundamental limitation prohibiting the direct implementation of model results. There are several ways to describe wind speed data. The Weibull and lognormal distributions are used to obtain the best-fit model for the wind speed data. This study aims to develop a statistical post-processing method based on the distribution-based scaling (DBS) approach, which scales NWP data to fit the distribution derived using recorded wind speed at that site location. The performance of the suggested method was evaluated using four different error measures. The optimal model is anticipated to have the lowest Mean Bias Error (MBE), Mean Absolute Error (MAE), Root Mean square Error (RMSE), and variance (s2) values. It was determined that employing a DBS strategy significantly improved the NWP by at least 75%.
最近,数值天气预报模式的性能有了显著提高。然而,模型偏差仍然是阻碍直接应用模型结果的根本限制因素。描述风速数据有多种方法。Weibull 分布和对数正态分布可用于获取风速数据的最佳拟合模型。本研究旨在开发一种基于分布缩放(DBS)方法的统计后处理方法,该方法可对 NWP 数据进行缩放,以拟合利用该站点位置记录的风速得出的分布。使用四种不同的误差测量方法对建议方法的性能进行了评估。预计最佳模型将具有最低的平均偏差 (MBE)、平均绝对误差 (MAE)、均方根误差 (RMSE) 和方差 (s2) 值。结果表明,采用 DBS 策略可显著改善 NWP 至少 75%。
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引用次数: 0
Development of an intelligent solution for the optimization of a hybrid system using renewable energy sources 开发优化可再生能源混合系统的智能解决方案
IF 1.5 Q3 Energy Pub Date : 2024-03-12 DOI: 10.1177/0309524x241227432
A. Yahiaoui, A. Tlemçani, Omar Labbadlia
Renewable energy technologies offer the promise of clean and abundant energy harvested from natural resources, self-renewable sources such as sun, wind, water, earth, and plants. In this work, we optimize the hybrid system using Homer power program, where the hybrid system is composed by solar panels, wind turbines with batteries to supply 20 homes that are not equipped with electricity in Ouzera area (Medea, Algeria), and by taking the results presented by the Homer program for Ouzera region, we obtained the cost of each day, of each season and the cost of energy ($/kWh), as well as the optimal number and characteristics for each solar panels and wind turbines with storage batteries. The homer software allows us to obtain real results in taking into account the constraints cost and variations in off-grid weather data. The most important criterion of this technique for optimizing renewable energy systems was the cost, seeking to minimize the expenses, while ensuring optimum quality and continuity of electricity supply.
可再生能源技术提供了从自然资源(如太阳、风、水、土地和植物)中获取清洁、丰富能源的希望。在这项工作中,我们使用荷马电力程序对混合系统进行了优化,混合系统由太阳能电池板、带蓄电池的风力涡轮机组成,为乌泽拉地区(阿尔及利亚梅迪亚)的 20 户无电力供应的家庭供电。通过荷马程序为乌泽拉地区提供的结果,我们获得了每天、每个季节的成本和能源成本(美元/千瓦时),以及每块太阳能电池板和带蓄电池的风力涡轮机的最佳数量和特性。通过 homer 软件,我们可以在考虑成本限制和离网天气数据变化的情况下获得真实结果。这种优化可再生能源系统的技术最重要的标准是成本,力求在确保最佳供电质量和连续性的同时,最大限度地减少开支。
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引用次数: 0
A novel robust nonlinear optimal second-order sliding mode control scheme for power optimization of wind energy conversion systems 用于风能转换系统功率优化的新型鲁棒非线性优化二阶滑模控制方案
IF 1.5 Q3 Energy Pub Date : 2024-03-05 DOI: 10.1177/0309524x241229403
Arefe Shalbafian, S. Ganjefar
In this article, we propose a novel robust nonlinear optimal second-order sliding mode controller using the homotopy perturbation method (RNOSOSMC-HPM) to maximize wind power capture and minimize the mechanical stress on the drive train. To design the nonlinear optimal controller, the homotopy perturbation method (HPM) is applied to compute the approximate solution of the partial differential Hamilton-Jacobi-Bellman (HJB) equation. Next, the nonlinear optimal controller is combined with a second-order sliding mode controller to create robustness and eliminate chattering. The RNOSOSMC-HPM controller can provide safe wind turbine operation under uncertainties and create a good trade-off between maximizing the wind power captured and attenuating the mechanical loads by minimizing the control input. To investigate the effectiveness of the presented the RNOSOSMC-HPM controller, we compare the results of the proposed method with some existing control schemes in two different scenarios. The results indicate that the RNOSOSMC-HPM controller furnishes desired responses.
在本文中,我们提出了一种使用同调扰动法(RNOSOSMC-HPM)的新型鲁棒非线性最优二阶滑动模式控制器,以最大限度地提高风能捕获量,并最大限度地降低传动系统的机械应力。为设计非线性最优控制器,采用了同调扰动法(HPM)来计算偏微分汉密尔顿-雅各比-贝尔曼(HJB)方程的近似解。然后,将非线性最优控制器与二阶滑模控制器相结合,以建立鲁棒性并消除颤振。RNOSOSMC-HPM 控制器可在不确定情况下确保风机安全运行,并通过最小化控制输入,在最大化风能捕获量和减弱机械负载之间实现良好权衡。为了研究 RNOSOSMC-HPM 控制器的有效性,我们在两种不同的情况下将所提出的方法与现有的一些控制方案进行了比较。结果表明,RNOSOSMC-HPM 控制器能提供理想的响应。
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引用次数: 0
Effects of the morphed trailing-edge flap parameters on the aerodynamic performance of NREL Phase II wind turbine 变形后缘襟翼参数对 NREL 第二阶段风力涡轮机气动性能的影响
IF 1.5 Q3 Energy Pub Date : 2024-02-29 DOI: 10.1177/0309524x241232158
Rui Yin, Jian-Bin Xie, Ji Yao
This study assesses the impact of three morphed trailing-edge flap (MTEF) parameters (flap deflection angle β, flap length b, and flap span length l) on increasing power and axial thrust coefficients and their comprehensive effect on wind turbines using computational fluid dynamics (CFD) method. The detailed analysis is performed on seven morphed blades at eight different wind velocities. The obtained results show that β results in the largest unit power coefficient increase rate and unit axial thrust coefficient increase rate, while l results in the smallest ones. In addition, b results in the largest power-thrust ratio increase rate. The optimum blade is achieved for β = 3°, b/ c = 0.3, and l/ R = 0.3, which results in additional power increase of 15.24% and axial thrust increase of 9.53% at a tip speed ratio of 5.949, compared with the original wind turbine.
本研究使用计算流体动力学(CFD)方法评估了三个变形尾翼(MTEF)参数(襟翼偏转角 β、襟翼长度 b 和襟翼跨度长度 l)对增加功率和轴向推力系数的影响及其对风力涡轮机的综合影响。详细分析是在八个不同风速下对七个变形叶片进行的。结果表明,β 导致的单位功率系数增加率和单位轴向推力系数增加率最大,而 l 导致的单位功率系数增加率和单位轴向推力系数增加率最小。此外,b 的功率-推力比增长率最大。当 β = 3°、b/ c = 0.3 和 l/ R = 0.3 时,叶片达到最佳状态,与原始风力涡轮机相比,在叶尖速比为 5.949 时,功率增加了 15.24%,轴向推力增加了 9.53%。
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引用次数: 0
Exploration of bioinspired small wind turbine blade manufacturing alternatives: Defining materials and processes 探索生物启发小型风力涡轮机叶片制造替代方案:确定材料和工艺
IF 1.5 Q3 Energy Pub Date : 2024-02-21 DOI: 10.1177/0309524x241229405
Luis Felipe Quesada-Bedoya, Jonathan Sandoval-Guerrero, Santiago Bernal-Del Ro, Ricardo Mejía-Gutiérrez, G. Osorio-Gómez
In the domain of Horizontal Wind Turbines, the key role of blade material and process selection is discussed. Existing methodologies and manual manufacturing processes, while addressing this issue, suffer from complexity and environmental drawbacks. To mitigate these issues, the study introduces a comprehensive methodology for the selection, implementation, testing and analysis of materials and processes for small blade construction, taking into account various constraints. The research conducts a thorough exploration of manufacturing processes, considering factors such as time, affordability, machine accessibility, repeatability, elements to be manufactured, and adaptability to complex surfaces. A systematic comparison of materials and processes, along with proposed filtering methods, reveals that rotomolding/polyurethane casting exhibits superior performance due to improved energy capture and inertia. The study underscores the importance of careful material and process selection to optimize blade efficiency and highlights the need for further research to address mechanical, economic, environmental, scalability, and material advancement challenges.
在水平风力涡轮机领域,讨论了叶片材料和工艺选择的关键作用。现有的方法和手工制造工艺虽然能解决这一问题,但存在复杂性和环境方面的缺陷。为了缓解这些问题,本研究引入了一种综合方法,用于选择、实施、测试和分析小型叶片制造的材料和工艺,同时考虑到各种限制因素。研究对制造工艺进行了深入探讨,考虑了时间、经济性、机器可及性、可重复性、待制造元素以及对复杂表面的适应性等因素。通过对材料和工艺以及建议的过滤方法进行系统比较,发现滚塑/聚氨酯浇铸因其更佳的能量捕获和惯性而表现出更优越的性能。这项研究强调了谨慎选择材料和工艺以优化叶片效率的重要性,并突出了进一步研究以应对机械、经济、环境、可扩展性和材料进步等挑战的必要性。
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引用次数: 0
Will wind power be cost-effective for decarbonizing the city of Tabriz-Iran, whose economy is oil-based, and how? 伊朗大不里士市的经济以石油为基础,风力发电对该市的脱碳是否具有成本效益?
IF 1.5 Q3 Energy Pub Date : 2024-02-19 DOI: 10.1177/0309524x231216398
M. Ouria, Pedro S Moura, Aníbal T. de Almeida
This paper investigates the decarbonization of Tabriz-City focusing on its wind power for electrification. Statistical, quantitative, comparative, and simulation-research-methods used to analyze the existing and future total energy consumption, demand, and cost in the city according to carbon-based and wind-based electricity. The Monte Carlo Simulation Method has been used to estimate the probability of the Levelized Cost of Electricity. Tabriz thermal power plant generates 1kWh electricity that costs 0.15 US$/kW without subsidies and produces 575 g.CO2/kW.h overall while it will plunge to 0.05US$/kWh producing 7 g.CO2/kWh using wind. The NPV and IRR (32%) analysis show that that investment in wind-based electricity is three times cheaper than thermal power electricity in Tabriz. It is shown that the electrification of an oil-based economy with wind-based power plants is an economical investment for the city. Besides the hub-height and rotor sweep area, the capacity factor is the most decisive in the productivity of the alternative turbines.
本文研究了大不里士市的去碳化问题,重点是风力发电的电气化。采用统计、定量、比较和模拟研究方法,根据碳基电力和风能电力分析了大不里士市现有和未来的总能源消耗、需求和成本。蒙地卡罗模拟法用于估算平准化电力成本的概率。大不里士火力发电厂发电 1 千瓦时,在没有补贴的情况下,成本为 0.15 美元/千瓦时,总发电量为 575 克二氧化碳/千瓦时,而使用风力发电,成本将降至 0.05 美元/千瓦时,总发电量为 7 克二氧化碳/千瓦时。净现值和内部收益率(32%)分析表明,在大不里士,风力发电的投资比火力发电便宜三倍。这表明,对大不里士市来说,利用风力发电厂实现以石油为基础的经济电气化是一项经济的投资。除了轮毂高度和转子扫掠面积外,容量因子对替代涡轮机的生产率起着决定性作用。
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引用次数: 0
Optimal power flow of thermal-wind-solar power system using enhanced Kepler optimization algorithm: Case study of a large-scale practical power system 使用增强型开普勒优化算法优化火力-风力-太阳能发电系统的功率流:大型实用电力系统案例研究
IF 1.5 Q3 Energy Pub Date : 2024-02-19 DOI: 10.1177/0309524x241229206
Mokhtar Abid, M. Belazzoug, Souhil Mouassa, Abdallah Chanane, F. Jurado
In the current century, electrical networks have witnessed great developments and continuous increases in the demand for fossil fuels based energy, leading to an excessive rise in the total production cost (TPC), as well as the pollutant (toxic) gases emitted by thermal plants. Under this circumstances, energy supply from different resources became necessary, such as renewable energy sources (RES) as an alternative solution. This latter, however, characterized with uncertainty nature in its operation principle, especially when operator system wants to define the optimal contribution of each resource in an effort to ensure economic and enhanced reliability of grid. This paper presents an Enhanced version of Kepler optimization algorithm (EKOA) to solve the problem of stochastic optimal power flow (SOPF) in a most efficient way incorporating wind power generators and solar photovoltaic with different objective functions, the stochastic nature of wind speed and solar is modeled using Weibull and lognormal probability density functions respectively. To prove the effectiveness of the proposed EKOA, various case studies were carried out on two test systems IEEE 30-bus system and Algerian power system 114-bus, obtained results were evaluated in comparison with those obtained using the original KOA and other methods published in the literatures. Thus, shows the effectiveness and superiority of the efficient EKOA over other optimizers to solve complex problem. The incorporation of RES resulted in a significant 2.39% decrease in production cost, showcasing EKOA’s efficiency with a $780/h, compared to KOA’s $781/h, for IEEE 30-bus system. For the DZA 114-bus system revealed even more substantial reductions, with EKOA achieving an impressive 12.6% reduction, and KOA following closely with a 12.4% decrease in production cost.
本世纪以来,电力网络得到了长足发展,对化石燃料能源的需求持续增长,导致总生产成本(TPC)过高,热电厂排放的污染(有毒)气体也随之增加。在这种情况下,有必要利用不同的资源来供应能源,例如将可再生能源(RES)作为替代解决方案。然而,后者的运行原理具有不确定性,尤其是当运营商系统希望确定每种资源的最佳贡献,以确保经济性并提高电网可靠性时。本文提出了一种增强版开普勒优化算法(EKOA),以最有效的方式解决随机优化功率流(SOPF)问题,该算法结合了具有不同目标函数的风力发电机和太阳能光伏发电,风速和太阳能的随机性分别使用 Weibull 和对数正态概率密度函数建模。为了证明所提出的 EKOA 的有效性,在两个测试系统 IEEE 30 总线系统和阿尔及利亚 114 总线电力系统上进行了各种案例研究,并将所获得的结果与使用原始 KOA 和文献中发表的其他方法所获得的结果进行了比较评估。由此可见,在解决复杂问题时,高效 EKOA 比其他优化器更有效、更优越。在 IEEE 30 总线系统中,与 KOA 的 781 美元/小时相比,RES 的加入使生产成本大幅降低了 2.39%,体现了 EKOA 的高效性。DZA 114 总线系统的降低幅度更大,EKOA 降低了 12.6%,KOA 紧随其后,降低了 12.4%。
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引用次数: 0
Evaluation of Weibull parameters for wind energy analysis in the eastern region of the Kingdom of Morocco 评估用于摩洛哥王国东部地区风能分析的威布尔参数
IF 1.5 Q3 Energy Pub Date : 2024-02-15 DOI: 10.1177/0309524x231225965
Badr El Kihel, Nacer Eddine El Kadri Elyamani, Abdelhakim Chillali
This document delves into evaluating wind power potential within Morocco’s Oriental region, encompassing an extensive study of 23 locations over 43 years. The analysis was conducted using the advanced MERRA2 data reanalysis system coupled with MATLAB software. Our comprehensive study aims to map the wind energy capabilities across these sites. We employed eight distinct algorithms to adapt the Weibull distribution for the wind speed data. Additionally, the research includes an analysis of the wind rose and assesses the Capacity Factor ([Formula: see text]) to determine the most efficient periods for wind energy production. Our findings highlight that sites S4, S7, and S11 create an ideal geographic formation for wind farm placement. Within this formation, site S8, boasting a ([Formula: see text]) of 36.97%, emerges as a critical location, especially when paired with the EWT DW54 500 wind turbine model. This investigation opens new avenues for advancing wind energy in the region.
本文件对摩洛哥东方地区的风力发电潜力进行了深入评估,包括对 23 个地点 43 年的广泛研究。分析采用了先进的 MERRA2 数据再分析系统和 MATLAB 软件。我们的综合研究旨在绘制这些地点的风能能力图。我们采用了八种不同的算法来调整风速数据的威布尔分布。此外,研究还包括风玫瑰图分析和容量因子评估([公式:见正文]),以确定风能生产的最高效时段。我们的研究结果表明,S4、S7 和 S11 地块形成了理想的风电场地理布局。在这一地形中,S8 地块的([计算公式:见正文])效率为 36.97%,是一个关键地点,尤其是与 EWT DW54 500 型风力涡轮机搭配使用时。这项调查为推动该地区的风能发展开辟了新的途径。
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引用次数: 0
Evaluation of Weibull parameters for wind energy analysis in the eastern region of the Kingdom of Morocco 评估用于摩洛哥王国东部地区风能分析的威布尔参数
IF 1.5 Q3 Energy Pub Date : 2024-02-15 DOI: 10.1177/0309524x231225965
Badr El Kihel, Nacer Eddine El Kadri Elyamani, Abdelhakim Chillali
This document delves into evaluating wind power potential within Morocco’s Oriental region, encompassing an extensive study of 23 locations over 43 years. The analysis was conducted using the advanced MERRA2 data reanalysis system coupled with MATLAB software. Our comprehensive study aims to map the wind energy capabilities across these sites. We employed eight distinct algorithms to adapt the Weibull distribution for the wind speed data. Additionally, the research includes an analysis of the wind rose and assesses the Capacity Factor ([Formula: see text]) to determine the most efficient periods for wind energy production. Our findings highlight that sites S4, S7, and S11 create an ideal geographic formation for wind farm placement. Within this formation, site S8, boasting a ([Formula: see text]) of 36.97%, emerges as a critical location, especially when paired with the EWT DW54 500 wind turbine model. This investigation opens new avenues for advancing wind energy in the region.
本文件对摩洛哥东方地区的风力发电潜力进行了深入评估,包括对 23 个地点 43 年的广泛研究。分析采用了先进的 MERRA2 数据再分析系统和 MATLAB 软件。我们的综合研究旨在绘制这些地点的风能能力图。我们采用了八种不同的算法来调整风速数据的威布尔分布。此外,研究还包括风玫瑰图分析和容量因子评估([公式:见正文]),以确定风能生产的最高效时段。我们的研究结果表明,S4、S7 和 S11 地块形成了理想的风电场地理布局。在这一地形中,S8 地块的([计算公式:见正文])效率为 36.97%,是一个关键地点,尤其是与 EWT DW54 500 型风力涡轮机搭配使用时。这项调查为推动该地区的风能发展开辟了新的途径。
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引用次数: 0
Computational investigation and validation of new MEXICO experiment 新 MEXICO 实验的计算调查与验证
IF 1.5 Q3 Energy Pub Date : 2024-02-14 DOI: 10.1177/0309524x241229169
Mujahid Shaik, Balaji Subramanian
A computational investigation of New MEXICO test cases operating under axial flow conditions is reported. Three wind speed cases (10, 15, 24 m/s) corresponding to three different tip speed ratios (10, 6.67, 4.17) when the turbine operates at 425.1 rpm were considered. ANSYS CFX 2021R1 was employed to perform simulations using Single Reference Frame (SRF) and Multiple Reference Frame (MRF) approaches. The flow field is computed by solving unsteady Reynolds Averaged Navier-Stokes (uRANS) equations coupled with SST k-ω turbulence model and Gamma-Theta transition model. Validation involved comparing CFD-predicted integral quantities, static pressure distributions, and loads with corresponding experimental values demonstrating reasonably good agreement at all three wind speeds. Overall, SRF exhibited slightly better wake predictions (hypothetical), while MRF predictions were closer to measurements for integral quantities, static pressure and loads. This study demonstrates the utility of uRANS-based 3D CFD computations in wind turbine aerodynamics studies.
报告对在轴向流条件下运行的 New MEXICO 试验案例进行了计算研究。考虑了三种风速情况(10、15、24 m/s),对应于涡轮机在 425.1 rpm 转速下运行时的三种不同转速比(10、6.67、4.17)。ANSYS CFX 2021R1 采用单参考框架 (SRF) 和多参考框架 (MRF) 方法进行模拟。流场是通过求解与 SST k-ω 湍流模型和 Gamma-Theta 过渡模型耦合的非稳态雷诺平均纳维-斯托克斯(uRANS)方程计算得出的。验证工作包括将 CFD 预测的积分量、静压分布和载荷与相应的实验值进行比较,结果表明在所有三种风速下两者的一致性都相当好。总体而言,SRF 的尾流预测(假设)稍好,而 MRF 的积分量、静压和载荷预测更接近测量值。这项研究证明了基于 uRANS 的三维 CFD 计算在风机空气动力学研究中的实用性。
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引用次数: 0
期刊
Wind Engineering
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