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The Effect of Election Observation 选举观察的效果
IF 0.9 4区 社会学 Q2 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2022-03-01 DOI: 10.1525/j.postcomstud.2022.55.1.155
M. Regalia
International election observation has become a standard practice in democratizing countries. Doubts have been cast on the ability of electoral observers to accurately judge the freedom and fairness of an electoral process, and the scholarly literature has still not reached a consensus on the unintended consequences of election observation. This article empirically tests the hypothesis that observers can deter election-day fraud through a natural experiment on polling-station-level election results. Using data from the Ukraine 2004 presidential election, it will show that OSCE/ODIHR observation has both immediate and lasting effect on domestic political actors’ behavior. Results do support the usefulness of election observation in reducing election-day fraud.
国际选举观察已成为民主化国家的标准做法。人们对选举观察员准确判断选举过程的自由和公正的能力表示怀疑,学术文献对选举观察的意外后果仍未达成共识。本文通过对投票站层面的选举结果进行自然实验,实证检验了观察员可以阻止选举日舞弊的假设。使用2004年乌克兰总统选举的数据,它将表明欧安组织/民主人权办的观察对国内政治行为者的行为具有直接和持久的影响。结果确实支持选举观察在减少选举日舞弊方面的作用。
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引用次数: 1
Against Putin and Corruption, for Navalny and the “Revolution”? 反对普京和腐败,支持纳瓦尔尼和“革命”?
IF 0.9 4区 社会学 Q2 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2022-03-01 DOI: 10.1525/j.postcomstud.2022.55.1.99
Ivan Fomin, Olga Nadskakuła-Kaczmarczyk
This article seeks to provide a better understanding of the dynamics of the nationwide protests that appeared in Russia as a result of the large-scale political campaigns of 2017–18. On the basis of an original database devoted to six protests, organized in this period by different anti-systemic opposition leaders and organizations, the study explores the turnout and geographic scope of these events and the repertoire of frames that were used to mobilize the protesters. The analysis contrasts three types of frames (an anti-corruption protest frame, election campaign event frame, and anti-systemic protest frame) and demonstrates that appropriate framing was a necessary condition of successful protest mobilization. In combination with other factors, such as the quality of protest organization and the impact of repressive actions of the authorities, the changes of protest frames contributed to the protests’ turnout dynamics. Alexei Navalny, the most popular anti-systemic leader, succeeded in organizing the initial mobilization by framing it as an anti-corruption protest, but then, under increasing repression, the opposition failed to convert this dissent into a longer-term campaign with broader electoral or anti-systemic frames.
本文旨在更好地理解2017-18年大规模政治运动导致俄罗斯出现的全国性抗议活动的动态。在此期间由不同的反体制反对派领导人和组织组织的六次抗议活动的原始数据库的基础上,本研究探讨了这些事件的投票率和地理范围,以及用于动员抗议者的框架的全部内容。分析对比了三种类型的框架(反腐败抗议框架、竞选活动框架和反体制抗议框架),并证明适当的框架是成功动员抗议的必要条件。再加上其他因素,如抗议组织的质量和当局镇压行动的影响,抗议框架的变化促成了抗议人数的动态变化。最受欢迎的反体制领导人阿列克谢·纳瓦尔尼(Alexei Navalny)成功地组织了最初的动员,将其定义为一场反腐败抗议,但随后,在日益加剧的镇压下,反对派未能将这种异议转化为一场具有更广泛选举或反体制框架的长期运动。
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引用次数: 3
Common-Pool Resource Depletion and Dictatorship 公共资源枯竭和专政
IF 0.9 4区 社会学 Q2 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2022-03-01 DOI: 10.1525/j.postcomstud.2022.55.1.183
P. Ward, A. Lankov, Jiyoung Kim
This article seeks to explain the dynamics of resource depletion in North Korea’s fishery. We utilize insights from the common-pool resource (CPR) literature and show how theories from comparative politics that explain why states sometimes do not formalize property rights but prefer their informal exercise can be fruitfully applied to North Korea’s fishery. Utilizing a process tracing methodology, we demonstrate that the North Korean state possesses the necessary capacity to limit resource depletion, but has largely failed to do so. We argue that broad access to the commons maintains relations of enmeshed dependence between the dictator and those utilizing the fishery, balancing regime social control concerns with the party-state’s need for revenue. Further, in recent times, foreign actors have been allowed into the sector, providing a lucrative source of revenue without creating issues for internal control. We consider the alternative explanation that the North Korean state lacks the capacity to prevent CPR depletion, but demonstrate its implausibility given the preponderance of available evidence, not least the response of the regime in Pyongyang to the COVID-19 pandemic, where it has demonstrated considerable capacity to control the country’s fishing fleet.
本文试图解释朝鲜渔业资源枯竭的动态。我们利用公共资源(CPR)文献的见解,并展示了比较政治学的理论如何解释为什么国家有时不将产权正式化,而是更喜欢非正式的行使,这些理论可以有效地应用于朝鲜的渔业。利用过程追踪方法,我们证明朝鲜国家拥有限制资源消耗的必要能力,但在很大程度上未能做到这一点。我们认为,对公地的广泛获取维持了独裁者与渔场使用者之间的纠缠依赖关系,平衡了政权社会控制问题与党国对收入的需求。此外,近年来,外国参与者被允许进入该行业,提供了一个利润丰厚的收入来源,而不会给内部控制带来问题。我们考虑了另一种解释,即朝鲜国家缺乏防止CPR耗尽的能力,但鉴于现有证据的优势,尤其是平壤政权对COVID-19大流行的反应,它已经显示出相当大的控制该国渔船的能力,我们证明了这种解释的不可靠性。
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引用次数: 2
Transformation of Civil Society in Poland under the United Right Government 右派联合政府下波兰公民社会的转型
IF 0.9 4区 社会学 Q2 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2022-03-01 DOI: 10.1525/j.postcomstud.2022.55.1.131
Marcin Ślarzyński
Recent scholarship points to a growing political prominence of various non-liberal civil society organizations in many countries around the world. In Poland, this phenomenon is simultaneous with the emergence of political division in civil society driven by the policies of the United Right government. I argue that a wider historical perspective emphasizing reciprocal connections between civil society organizations and political parties helps to understand this recent surge. In Poland, the growing division in civil society builds upon the relationship between right-wing political parties and civil society organizations bound together since the beginning of the 1990s by the common vision of social memory. After taking power in 2015, the right-wing coalition in Poland centralized the supervision over the distribution of funds to civil society, providing financial support to organizations closer to its conservative agenda. At the same time, organizations that have been in frequent conflict with the right-wing government due to their main area of focus (human rights, anti-discrimination, women’s rights, environmental protection, and immigration) had limited access to government funding and were presented in a negative light by the government as well as its allied organizations and the state-controlled media. The argument in this article is based on secondary data about the organizational sphere of civil society and a case study of a set of right-wing civil society organizations, Gazeta Polska clubs.
最近的学术研究表明,世界上许多国家的各种非自由民间社会组织在政治上日益突出。在波兰,这一现象与统一右翼政府政策推动的公民社会政治分裂同时出现。我认为,从更广泛的历史角度强调民间社会组织和政党之间的相互联系,有助于理解最近的激增。在波兰,民间社会日益分裂的基础是右翼政党和民间社会组织之间的关系,自20世纪90年代初以来,它们因社会记忆的共同愿景而联系在一起。2015年掌权后,波兰右翼联盟集中监督向民间社会分配资金,为更接近其保守议程的组织提供财政支持。与此同时,由于其主要关注领域(人权、反歧视、妇女权利、环境保护和移民)而与右翼政府经常发生冲突的组织获得政府资助的机会有限,政府及其联盟组织和国家控制的媒体对此持负面态度。本文的论点基于关于民间社会组织领域的次要数据,以及对一组右翼民间社会组织Gazeta Polska俱乐部的案例研究。
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引用次数: 2
Pushed against the Wall 被推到墙上
IF 0.9 4区 社会学 Q2 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2022-01-01 DOI: 10.1525/cpcs.2022.1703993
Zhaniya Turlubekova
This article discusses the continuing influence of Soviet institutional legacies on police corruption in present-day Kazakhstan. Several conclusions are drawn from a qualitative analysis that featured semi-structured interviews with officials, drug entrepreneurs and other relevant actors, participant and nonparticipant observations, and qualitative content analysis of mass media reports and archival data. After Kazakhstan’s most senior political leaders recognized the urgency of anti-corruption reforms, many legal and institutional measures against drug-related corruption were introduced. These measures, however, did not fully produce the anticipated results. Data presented here indicate the causal effects of institutional legacies of the criminal justice system. Inherited from the Soviet era, these institutions continue to provide incentives for corrupt police officers from the Ministry of Internal Affairs to manipulate the legislation against heroin and marijuana trafficking. More importantly, the same informal institutional incentives seem to hinder the enforcement of newly introduced anti-corruption legislation.
本文讨论了苏联制度遗产对当今哈萨克斯坦警察腐败的持续影响。从定性分析中得出了若干结论,其中包括对官员、毒品企业家和其他相关行为者的半结构化访谈,参与者和非参与者的观察,以及对大众媒体报道和档案数据的定性内容分析。在哈萨克斯坦最高级政治领导人认识到反腐败改革的紧迫性之后,采取了许多打击与毒品有关的腐败的法律和体制措施。然而,这些措施并没有完全产生预期的结果。这里提出的数据表明了刑事司法制度遗留问题的因果影响。这些机构继承自苏联时代,继续为内务部腐败的警察提供激励,以操纵打击海洛因和大麻贩运的立法。更重要的是,同样的非正式制度激励似乎阻碍了新引入的反腐败立法的执行。
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引用次数: 1
The Role of “Resources” in Regime Durability in Laos “资源”在老挝政权持久性中的作用
IF 0.9 4区 社会学 Q2 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2022-01-01 DOI: 10.1525/cpcs.2022.1713051
S. Creak, K. Barney
This article argues the Lao People’s Democratic Republic, or Laos, draws upon three key types of “resources” in consolidating regime durability. Intentionally broad, our conception of resources encompasses not just natural resources managed by the state on behalf of the national community, but also the ideological and institutional resources that underpin the Lao People’s Revolutionary Party (LPRP) program of industrial resourcification and modernization. Our argument focuses on the mutual constitution and coproduction of natural, ideological, and institutional regime resources using a triptychal model to understand their integrative contribution to regime durability in Laos. This approach illuminates an evolving and pragmatic form of “statist market socialism” that contrasts with the common view of Laos as an aspiring if imperfect market-based developing economy. After defining statist market socialism and the regime’s three key resources, the article presents a case study from Laos’ strategic hydropower sector, to demonstrate how the triptych of regime resources combine in practice to support and sustain LPRP rule.
本文认为,老挝人民民主共和国(Lao People’s Democratic Republic,简称老挝)利用了三种关键类型的“资源”来巩固政权的持久性。我们的资源概念有意拓宽,不仅包括由国家代表国家社会管理的自然资源,还包括支撑老挝人民革命党(LPRP)工业资源化和现代化计划的意识形态和制度资源。我们的论点侧重于自然、意识形态和制度制度资源的相互构成和共同生产,使用三位一体模型来理解它们对老挝政权持久性的综合贡献。这种方法阐明了一种不断发展和务实的“中央集权市场社会主义”形式,这与老挝作为一个有抱负但不完美的市场发展中经济体的普遍观点形成了鲜明对比。在界定了中央集权的市场社会主义和老挝政权的三大关键资源之后,本文以老挝的战略水电部门为例,展示了这三种政权资源如何在实践中结合起来支持和维持老挝共产党的统治。
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引用次数: 6
Political Positioning of Religious Institutions in Comparative Perspective 比较视角下宗教机构的政治定位
IF 0.9 4区 社会学 Q2 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2022-01-01 DOI: 10.1525/j.postcomstud.2022.1705646
Ying-ho Kwong
Existing literature has long debated on religious beliefs and democracy. However, the implications of religious institutions, which shall internally interpret faith and socialize followers and externally decide its political positions with authorities, have yet to be comprehensively explored. By adopting an inter-religious comparison in Hong Kong, this article argues that religious institutions decided to take different positions in response to democratization: Eastern religious organizations, including Buddhism, Taoism, and Confucianism, act as “state defenders” to legitimate government decisions at critical political moments. However, Christian organizations, including Catholicism and Protestantism, act as “state critics” to promote political justice. The Anglican Church is located at “in-between status” with pro-regime leaders but with pro-democracy followers. Consequently, Eastern religious institutions maintain close relations with the authorities, Christian leaders face criticisms from pro-regime associations, and intra-religious tensions within the Anglican Church are intensified. Theoretically, this article moves beyond that, from a “belief-based” perspective on how faith facilitates/hinders democratization to an “organization-based” perspective on how religious institutions choose their political positions in a sub-national hybrid regime. Empirically, this study examines how historical development in the pre-handover era contributed to different religion–state interactions in the post-handover period.
现存文献对宗教信仰和民主进行了长期的争论。然而,宗教机构对内诠释信仰、社会化信徒,对外与权威机构共同决定政治立场,其含义还有待全面探讨。通过对香港的宗教间比较,本文认为,宗教机构决定采取不同的立场来应对民主化:东方宗教组织,包括佛教、道教和儒家,在关键的政治时刻充当合法政府决策的“国家捍卫者”。然而,包括天主教和新教在内的基督教组织充当“国家批评者”,以促进政治正义。英国圣公会处于“中间地位”,既有亲政府的领导人,也有支持民主的追随者。因此,东方宗教机构与当局保持密切关系,基督教领袖面临亲政权协会的批评,圣公会内部的宗教紧张局势加剧。从理论上讲,本文超越了这一点,从“以信仰为基础”的视角研究信仰如何促进/阻碍民主化,转向“以组织为基础”的视角研究宗教机构如何在次国家混合政权中选择其政治立场。实证研究考察了回归前的历史发展对回归后不同时期政教互动的影响。
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引用次数: 1
Understanding Weak Local Governance in the Neoliberal City through the Case of Skopje 2014 从2014年斯科普里案例看新自由主义城市的地方治理薄弱
IF 0.9 4区 社会学 Q2 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2022-01-01 DOI: 10.1525/cpcs.2022.1544873
Stephen Deets
While Skopje 2014 intended to rebrand the city for international companies and tourists, the lack of local accountability over the project raises questions about what happened to the powerful local governance under Yugoslavia. Bringing local governance into analysis of the city’s physical changes helps show how its capacity weakened under neoliberalism and how municipalities shifted toward nationalist placemaking because of their inability to address other problems. These factors set the stage for Skopje 2014. In pushing Skopje 2014, the Gruevski government also exhibited patterns of authoritarian neoliberalism found in urban redevelopment in other post-communist states. Project opponents gaining control of the Centar Municipality was important in unraveling the project and regime, but building local citizenship remained a challenge as municipalities still lack the conditions to create and sustain their own agendas and legitimacy. By taking a longer historical view, the case helps distinguish mechanisms of local government capture in authoritarian neoliberal urban redevelopment from broader problems of urban governance and local citizen disempowerment under neoliberalism.
虽然斯科普里2014计划为国际公司和游客重塑城市形象,但该项目缺乏地方问责制,这让人质疑南斯拉夫统治下强大的地方治理发生了什么。将地方治理纳入对城市物理变化的分析,有助于展示其能力在新自由主义下是如何被削弱的,以及市政当局是如何因为无力解决其他问题而转向民族主义的地方制定的。这些因素为2014年的斯科普里奥运会奠定了基础。在推动斯科普里2014的过程中,格鲁埃夫斯基政府也展示了在其他后共产主义国家的城市重建中发现的专制新自由主义模式。项目反对者获得对中央直辖市的控制,对项目和政权的瓦解至关重要,但建立地方公民身份仍然是一个挑战,因为市政当局仍然缺乏制定和维持自己议程和合法性的条件。通过更长远的历史视角,本案例有助于区分威权主义新自由主义城市重建中地方政府捕获的机制与新自由主义下城市治理和地方公民权力剥夺的更广泛问题。
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引用次数: 3
A Least Expected Ally? 最意想不到的盟友?
IF 0.9 4区 社会学 Q2 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2022-01-01 DOI: 10.1525/cpcs.2022.1712063
Ángel Torres-Adán, M. Gentile
Thirty years after the collapse of the Soviet Union, some historical legacies of the communist system still influence individual political attitudes. This article explores how historical legacies influence individual political and geopolitical preferences in three Ukrainian cities. We focus on the effects of parental and individual CPSU membership over individual support for EU/NATO membership, on perceptions of the Soviet period for Ukraine, and on the perceived legitimacy of the 11 May 2014 “Donetsk People’s Republic” independence referendum. Using survey data collected in Dnipro and Kharkiv in 2018, and in Mariupol in 2020, we show that (individual or parental) CPSU affiliation is positively correlated with pro-Western attitudes, indicating that many former members of the CPSU and their descendants have reoriented their geopolitical allegiances from East to West. Or, alternatively, that they are relatively politically adaptive and that their allegiance to communism wasn’t fully solid in the first place.
在苏联解体三十年后,共产主义制度的一些历史遗产仍然影响着个人的政治态度。本文探讨了历史遗产如何影响三个乌克兰城市的个人政治和地缘政治偏好。我们关注父母和个人加入苏共对个人支持加入欧盟/北约的影响,对苏联时期乌克兰的看法,以及对2014年5月11日“顿涅茨克人民共和国”独立公投的合法性的看法。利用2018年在第聂伯罗和哈尔科夫以及2020年在马里乌波尔收集的调查数据,我们发现(个人或父母)苏共隶属关系与亲西方态度呈正相关,表明许多前苏共成员及其后代已将地缘政治忠诚从东方转向西方。或者,他们在政治上是相对适应的,他们对共产主义的忠诚从一开始就不是完全坚定的。
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引用次数: 1
Life Satisfaction and Job Insecurity 生活满意度和工作不安全感
IF 0.9 4区 社会学 Q2 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2022-01-01 DOI: 10.1525/cpcs.2022.1694085
Elvisa Drishti, Fiona Carmichael
Fear of the threat of job loss is likely to elicit negative thoughts that have adverse consequences for not only job satisfaction, but also all-around happiness and satisfaction with life. Using nationally representative cross-sectional data, this study provides evidence of the negative effect of perceived job insecurity on life satisfaction in post-communist Albania, an under-researched context. This adverse effect is found to be more pronounced for women and for blue-collar workers: being in a blue-collar job is associated with lower overall life satisfaction, but if this job is perceived as insecure, the negative effect on life satisfaction is magnified. In contrast, workers in well-paying jobs are more satisfied with their lives and, relatedly, higher education also has a positive impact, more so for males. Evidence of the quality-of-life effects of job insecurity can be used to inform workplace policy initiatives and practices, particularly as measures of life satisfaction, well-being, and happiness are increasingly considered appropriate indicators of social progress and the ultimate goal of public policy.
对失业威胁的恐惧很可能会引发消极的想法,这不仅会对工作满意度产生不利影响,还会对生活的全面幸福和满意度产生不利影响。使用具有全国代表性的横断面数据,本研究提供了后共产主义阿尔巴尼亚感知工作不安全感对生活满意度的负面影响的证据,这是一个研究不足的背景。这种负面影响在女性和蓝领工人身上更为明显:从事蓝领工作与较低的总体生活满意度有关,但如果这份工作被认为是不安全的,那么对生活满意度的负面影响就会被放大。相比之下,从事高薪工作的人对自己的生活更满意,相对而言,高等教育也有积极的影响,对男性来说更是如此。工作不安全感对生活质量影响的证据可以用来为工作场所的政策举措和实践提供信息,特别是生活满意度、福祉和幸福的衡量标准越来越被认为是社会进步和公共政策最终目标的适当指标。
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引用次数: 0
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Communist and Post-Communist Studies
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