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Research methodology in finance 金融学研究方法
Pub Date : 2024-02-01 DOI: 10.17261/pressacademia.2023.1872
H. Benjana, O. Mesnaoui, O. Yamani
Purpose- Our research aims to explore the different philosophical and epistemological concepts and approaches in traditional finance and behavioral finance, based on the analysis of scientific articles. We aim to provide a comprehensive insight into the theoretical foundations that guide these two branches of finance, with particular emphasis on the epistemological and methodological nuances that distinguish them.Methodology- Our research is based on a careful analysis of the relevant scientific literature in traditional and behavioural finance. By giving specific importance to epistemological aspects, we try to discover the paradigms of thought that influence the understanding and interpretation of financial phenomena within these two fields. Similarly, our meticulous examination of this research aims to identify the preferred methodological approaches.Findings- The results of the analysis show that traditional and behavioural finance have different epistemological and methodological approaches. most traditional financiers follow a quantitative research approach based on numerical data and a purely statistical analysis. However, behaviorists have opted for methodological triangulation, which further explains the combination of qualitative and quantitative approaches to achieve stronger results and that one can modify or complement the other. Behaviorists recognize the importance of cognitive and emotional biases in the decision-making process of individuals, leading to more holistic models and approaches. With regard to epistemology, most research in Finance on the positivist paradigm, on objectivity and on the relationship of cause and effect.Conclusion- In conclusion, our study highlights the importance of developing research methodologies adapted to each discipline of management sciences, taking into account the specificities of each field. Moreover, the analysis of the scientific literature in traditional and behavioural finance shows that researchers must be aware of the different epistemological and methodological perspectives in order to conduct rigorous and valid research.Keywords: Epistemology, methodology, management sciences, traditional finance, behavioural finance.JEL Codes: B40, G10, G40
目的--我们的研究旨在通过对科学文章的分析,探讨传统金融学和行为金融学中不同的哲学和认识论概念和方法。我们的研究基于对传统金融学和行为金融学相关科学文献的仔细分析。通过对认识论方面的特别重视,我们试图发现影响这两个领域对金融现象的理解和解释的思维范式。同样,我们对这项研究进行了细致的检查,目的是找出首选的方法论方法。研究结果--分析结果表明,传统金融学和行为金融学具有不同的认识论和方法论方法。大多数传统金融学家遵循基于数字数据和纯统计分析的定量研究方法。然而,行为主义者则选择了方法论上的三角测量法,这进一步解释了定性和定量方法的结合可以取得更强的效果,并且其中一种方法可以修改或补充另一种方法。行为主义者认识到认知偏差和情感偏差在个人决策过程中的重要性,从而提出了更为全面的模型和方法。在认识论方面,《金融学》中的大多数研究都基于实证主义范式、客观性以及因果关系。此外,对传统金融学和行为金融学科学文献的分析表明,研究人员必须了解不同的认识论和方法论观点,以便开展严谨有效的研究:认识论、方法论、管理科学、传统金融学、行为金融学:B40, G10, G40
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引用次数: 0
Determinants of bank credit in Jordan and Palestine: a comparative analysis 约旦和巴勒斯坦银行信贷的决定因素:比较分析
Pub Date : 2024-02-01 DOI: 10.17261/pressacademia.2023.1856
Ruba Dirani, Mohammad Khataibeh, Ghassan Omet
Purpose- This paper analyzes the determinants of the annual changes in conventional banks’ credit in Jordan and Palestine. In addition, the paper examines whether the differences in the determinants of bank credit in both economies are due to country or bank-specific factors. As one might expect, the argument behind this paper rests on the fact that the Israeli occupation of Palestine makes the political and economic environments of the two countries very different.Methodology- A panel of data of all thirteen (13) Jordanian conventional banks and 12 Palestinian conventional banks are used in the econometric analyses (2010 – 2021). For each set of banks, the annual percentage changes in credit are regresed on the percentage annual change in bank deposits, equity is equity capital, bank size, and bank income diversification level. Following this exercise, the differences in of both sets of coefficients are examined using the F-test. If different, one can argue that the difference can be due to the differential effects of either bank-level differences or country-level differences. To examine this issue, we re-estimate tha main model by controlling for the presence of fixed effects in the bank credit relationship and re-estimate the F-test. If the F test is significant, this implies that the differences in the magnitude of the relationshisp are due to country factors and not to bank-specific factors.Findings- Based on the estimated results, several interesting observations are noted. First, there are differences in the determinants of the annual change in bank credit between banks in Jordan and in Palestinian in terms of the signs of the independent variables and their values. Second, the significant differences in the determinants of the annual change in bank credit between banks in Jordan and in Palestinian are due to country-specific factors and not the bank-specific factors. Finally, given the differences in the political and economic environments in which banks in Jordan and Palestine operate, one should not be surprised of the main finding of this thesis.Conclusion- It would be informative to examine the performance of both sets of banks in terms of other issue including the determinants of cost of intermediation, stability, bank discipline, and bank competition.Keywords: Jordan, Palestine, banks, credit growth, equity capital, seemingly-unrelated regression.JEL Codes: G20, G21, G24
本文分析了约旦和巴勒斯坦常规银行信贷年度变化的决定因素。此外,本文还研究了这两个经济体银行信贷决定因素的差异是由国家因素还是银行特有因素造成的。正如人们所预料的那样,本文的论点是基于以色列对巴勒斯坦的占领使得两国的政治和经济环境大不相同这一事实。对于每一组银行,信贷的年度百分比变化与银行存款的年度百分比变化、股本、银行规模和银行收入多样化水平进行回归。之后,使用 F 检验法检验两组系数的差异。如果存在差异,则可以认为差异可能是由于银行层面的差异或国家层面的差异造成的。为了检验这个问题,我们通过控制银行信贷关系中固定效应的存在来重新估计主模型,并重新进行 F 检验。如果 F 检验是显著的,这就意味着这种关系大小的差异是由国家因素而非银行特定因素造成的。首先,约旦银行和巴勒斯坦银行的银行信贷年度变化的决定因素在自变量的符号和数值方面存在差异。其次,约旦银行和巴勒斯坦银行在银行信贷年度变化决定因素上的显著差异是由特定国家因素而非特定银行因素造成的。最后,鉴于约旦和巴勒斯坦银行所处的政治和经济环境不同,我们不应对本论文的主要结论感到惊讶。结论--从其他问题(包括中介成本的决定因素、稳定性、银行纪律和银行竞争)的角度来研究这两组银行的表现将会很有启发:约旦、巴勒斯坦、银行、信贷增长、股权资本、似非相关回归:G20, G21, G24
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引用次数: 0
Causality relationship between bank indices: an application on selected countries 银行指数之间的因果关系:在部分国家的应用
Pub Date : 2024-02-01 DOI: 10.17261/pressacademia.2023.1850
Levent Sezal, Ahmet Serbetci
Purpose- If price volatility in one stock exchange has an impact on other stock exchanges, this is called volatility spillover effect. Along with volatility, the change in returns in one stock exchange can also affect other stock exchanges in the short term. This situation is called interconnectedness, co-movement and furthermore, interdependence of stock markets. Therefore, this study aims to investigate the causality relationship between the bank indices of the 5 countries with the highest income (USA, China, Japan, Germany and India) in 2022 according to IMF data.Methodology- In the study, the daily frequency data set between 04/01/2018 -16/11/2023 was used. In the analysis phase, firstly, ADF and PP unit root tests were applied to determine whether the variables are stationary or not. Causality relationships between variables were tried to be determined by Granger Causality test.Findings- When the relationship between the bank indices of the 5 major economies subject to the research is analysed, a granger causality relationship was found between DAX variable and FTSE, TR INDIA and NIKKEI, between FTSE index and NASDAQ and NIKKEI, between TR INDIA and NIKKEI.Conclusion- Ülke borsası arasında bağımlılık ilişkilerinin kendini göstermesi ve konjonktür dalgalarının bu sürece etki etmesi, finans piyasasında alınan kararlar ile ortaya çıkan etkilerin diğer finans piyasasına etki edebileceğini ve bu doğrultuda da yatırımcı hareketlerini yönlendirebileceğini göstermesi bakımından oldukça önemlidir.Keywords: International stock exchanges, bank indices, Granger Causality TestJEL Codes: C22, G15, G20
目的--如果一个证券交易所的价格波动会对其他证券交易所产生影响,这就是所谓的波动溢出效应。在波动的同时,一个证券交易所的收益变化也会在短期内影响其他证券交易所。这种情况被称为股票市场的相互关联性、共同运动性以及相互依存性。因此,本研究旨在根据国际货币基金组织的数据,研究 2022 年收入最高的 5 个国家(美国、中国、日本、德国和印度)的银行指数之间的因果关系。在分析阶段,首先应用 ADF 和 PP 单位根检验来确定变量是否静止。研究结果--在分析研究对象的 5 个主要经济体的银行指数之间的关系时,发现 DAX 变量与富时指数、印度 TR 指数和日经指数之间,富时指数与纳斯达克指数和日经指数之间,印度 TR 指数与日经指数之间存在格兰杰因果关系。结论--金融市场的发展和金融工具的发展是相辅相成的、这些研究的主要目的是通过对金融市场的分析和研究,以及对金融市场的预测和预测结果的分析,来确定金融市场的发展趋势,并对金融市场的未来做出预测。关键词国际证券交易所、银行指数、格兰杰因果检验JEL Codes:C22, G15, G20
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引用次数: 0
). The competitiveness disparity between core and peripheral EU countries: an empirical analysis with panel ARDL approach ).欧盟核心国家与外围国家之间的竞争力差距:用面板 ARDL 方法进行的实证分析
Pub Date : 2024-02-01 DOI: 10.17261/pressacademia.2023.1861
Tayfun Tuncay Tosun
Purpose- This study empirically investigates whether there is an asymmetry between the competitiveness of the core and peripheral EU countries in the post-monetary union period, which includes the public debt crisis.Methodology- This paper analyzes the long and short-term effects of the interest rate for public bond yields and real effective exchange rate on public debt in core (Germany, Austria, Belgium, Denmark, and the Netherlands) and peripheral (Greece, Ireland, Italy, Portugal, and Spain) EU countries using the panel linear Autoregressive Distributive Lag model. In the study, second-generation unit root tests, Westerlund's (2007) cointegration test, and short and long-term MG, PMG, and DFE panel econometric methods are employed.Findings- According to the primary findings of the study: (i) while the interest rate for public bond yields is not effective on public debt in core EU countries, it has an increasing effect on public debt with a high positive coefficient in peripheral EU countries. (ii) The long-term coefficient of the real effective exchange rate in the peripheral EU countries is higher than in the core EU countries. According to this conclusion, the increase in the real effective exchange rate augments the public debt of the peripheral EU countries at a higher level than the core EU countries.Conclusion- Contrary to the monetarist approach that relies on the role of one last funder, these findings contribute to the literature by supporting the first two conditions of the Optimum Currency Area, the Varieties of Capitalism, Comparative Political Economy, and Fundamentalist approaches, which reveal the asymmetrical structure between the competitiveness of the core and peripheral EU countries. Keywords: EMU public debt crisis, core EU countries, peripheral EU countries, panel ARDL model, competitiveness differencesJEL Codes: C45, F45, N14, N24
本文采用面板线性自回归分布滞后模型,分析了公债收益率利率和实际有效汇率对欧盟核心国家(德国、奥地利、比利时、丹麦和荷兰)和外围国家(希腊、爱尔兰、意大利、葡萄牙和西班牙)公债的长期和短期影响。研究采用了第二代单位根检验、Westerlund(2007 年)协整检验以及短期和长期 MG、PMG 和 DFE 面板计量经济学方法。研究结果--根据研究的主要结论:(i) 虽然公债收益率对欧盟核心国家的公共债务没有影响,但对欧盟外围国家的公共债务有递增效应,且正系数较高。(ii) 欧盟外围国家实际有效汇率的长期系数高于欧盟核心国家。结论--与依赖于最后一个出资人作用的货币主义方法相反,这些发现支持了最优货币区的前两个条件、资本主义的多样性、比较政治经济学和原教旨主义方法,揭示了欧盟核心国家和外围国家竞争力之间的不对称结构,从而为文献做出了贡献。关键词欧洲货币联盟公共债务危机、欧盟核心国家、欧盟外围国家、面板 ARDL 模型、竞争力差异JEL Codes:C45, F45, N14, N24
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引用次数: 0
Innovative transformation in finance: global and Turkish perspectives on crowdfunding 金融业的创新转型:全球和土耳其对众筹的看法
Pub Date : 2024-02-01 DOI: 10.17261/pressacademia.2023.1879
Askim Nurdan Tumbek Tekeoglu, R. A. Kucukcolak, N. I. Kucukcolak
Purpose- The purpose of this article is to explore and analyze the transformative impact of crowdfunding, with a specific focus on the reward-based Fongogo crowdfunding platform in Turkey. The study aims to understand how crowdfunding disrupts traditional financing models, fosters collaboration and innovation, and contributes to financial inclusion for small businesses and startups. Additionally, the purpose involves comparing the project results of Fongogo with international examples to provide insights into Turkey's crowdfunding landscape. Methodology- The study employs a case study approach, focusing on the reward-based crowdfunding platform Fongogo. Data is collected and analyzed from the Fongogo platform in Turkey to gain insights into supporter dynamics, project success, and regional influences. Comparative analysis is conducted by comparing Fongogo's results with international crowdfunding examples. Additionally, literature on crowdfunding is reviewed to identify key success factors, such as project presentation, category, funding type, location, and team sizeFindings- The findings of the study reveal the diverse models and advantages of crowdfunding, emphasizing its transformative potential in the financial sector. Insights from Fongogo data shed light on supporter dynamics, the impact of project location, and the influence of technological literacy on crowdfunding success in Turkey. The comparative analysis with international examples provides a broader perspective on crowdfunding success factors, highlighting areas where Turkey's crowdfunding potential can be enhanced.Conclusion- In conclusion, the study advocates for the strategic positioning of crowdfunding as a vital financial tool in Turkey. The findings underscore the importance of user-friendly platforms, transparent operations, and effective communication by project owners. The impact of the new Crowdfunding Regulation in Turkey is discussed, acknowledging the need for further assessment as its implementation progresses. The study encourages leveraging the lessons learned from successful projects, both locally and internationally, to guide new initiatives and strengthen Turkey's crowdfunding ecosystem. Ultimately, the article aims to contribute insights to researchers, policymakers, and practitioners interested in the dynamic landscape of crowdfunding in Turkey and beyond.Keywords: Financial inclusion, reward-based crowdfunding, financial innovation, digital platforms JEL Codes: G23, L26, M13, O16, O35
目的--本文旨在探索和分析众筹的变革性影响,特别关注土耳其基于奖励的 Fongogo 众筹平台。研究旨在了解众筹如何颠覆传统融资模式,促进合作与创新,并为小企业和初创企业的金融包容性做出贡献。此外,本研究还将 Fongogo 的项目成果与国际范例进行比较,以深入了解土耳其的众筹情况。研究方法--本研究采用案例研究法,重点关注基于奖励的众筹平台 Fongogo。通过收集和分析土耳其 Fongogo 平台的数据,深入了解支持者的动态、项目的成功以及地区影响因素。通过将 Fongogo 的结果与国际众筹实例进行比较分析。此外,研究人员还查阅了有关众筹的文献,以确定成功的关键因素,如项目介绍、类别、资金类型、地点和团队规模。来自 Fongogo 数据的见解揭示了支持者的动态、项目地点的影响以及技术知识对土耳其众筹成功的影响。与国际范例的比较分析为众筹的成功因素提供了更广阔的视角,突出了土耳其众筹潜力可以提升的领域。研究结果强调了用户友好型平台、透明运营和项目所有者有效沟通的重要性。研究还讨论了新的《土耳其众筹条例》的影响,承认随着该条例的实施,有必要对其进行进一步评估。该研究鼓励利用从本地和国际成功项目中吸取的经验教训来指导新举措,并加强土耳其的众筹生态系统。最终,文章旨在为研究人员、政策制定者以及对土耳其及其他地区众筹动态景观感兴趣的从业人员提供真知灼见:金融包容性、基于奖励的众筹、金融创新、数字平台 JEL Codes:G23, L26, M13, O16, O35
{"title":"Innovative transformation in finance: global and Turkish perspectives on crowdfunding","authors":"Askim Nurdan Tumbek Tekeoglu, R. A. Kucukcolak, N. I. Kucukcolak","doi":"10.17261/pressacademia.2023.1879","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.17261/pressacademia.2023.1879","url":null,"abstract":"Purpose- The purpose of this article is to explore and analyze the transformative impact of crowdfunding, with a specific focus on the reward-based Fongogo crowdfunding platform in Turkey. The study aims to understand how crowdfunding disrupts traditional financing models, fosters collaboration and innovation, and contributes to financial inclusion for small businesses and startups. Additionally, the purpose involves comparing the project results of Fongogo with international examples to provide insights into Turkey's crowdfunding landscape. \u0000Methodology- The study employs a case study approach, focusing on the reward-based crowdfunding platform Fongogo. Data is collected and analyzed from the Fongogo platform in Turkey to gain insights into supporter dynamics, project success, and regional influences. Comparative analysis is conducted by comparing Fongogo's results with international crowdfunding examples. Additionally, literature on crowdfunding is reviewed to identify key success factors, such as project presentation, category, funding type, location, and team size\u0000Findings- The findings of the study reveal the diverse models and advantages of crowdfunding, emphasizing its transformative potential in the financial sector. Insights from Fongogo data shed light on supporter dynamics, the impact of project location, and the influence of technological literacy on crowdfunding success in Turkey. The comparative analysis with international examples provides a broader perspective on crowdfunding success factors, highlighting areas where Turkey's crowdfunding potential can be enhanced.\u0000Conclusion- In conclusion, the study advocates for the strategic positioning of crowdfunding as a vital financial tool in Turkey. The findings underscore the importance of user-friendly platforms, transparent operations, and effective communication by project owners. The impact of the new Crowdfunding Regulation in Turkey is discussed, acknowledging the need for further assessment as its implementation progresses. The study encourages leveraging the lessons learned from successful projects, both locally and internationally, to guide new initiatives and strengthen Turkey's crowdfunding ecosystem. Ultimately, the article aims to contribute insights to researchers, policymakers, and practitioners interested in the dynamic landscape of crowdfunding in Turkey and beyond.\u0000\u0000Keywords: Financial inclusion, reward-based crowdfunding, financial innovation, digital platforms \u0000JEL Codes: G23, L26, M13, O16, O35\u0000","PeriodicalId":517141,"journal":{"name":"Pressacademia","volume":"1 8","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2024-02-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"139897707","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Handling missing values in mixed panel data: a comparison of different techniques 处理混合面板数据中的缺失值:不同技术的比较
Pub Date : 2024-02-01 DOI: 10.17261/pressacademia.2023.1869
Cumhur Ekinci, Mustafa Abdullah Hakkoz, Unsal Kiran, Sirma Seker
Purpose- The purpose of this study is to compare the success of alternative data imputation techniques with missing data. The study distinguishes itself from the rest of the literature by proposing an appropriate technique for mixed data on financial performance and environmental, social and governance (ESG) metrics of companies. In addition to simple imputation techniques, we also use machine learning techniques that allow working with more complex data. Methodology- We first employ ad-hoc methods such as mean, median, mode, constant, most frequent and regression imputation. In what follows, we handle multivariate imputation techniques such as multiple imputation by chained equations (MICE). Finally, we run imputation methods with machine learning (ML) classification such as K-nearest Neighbor (KNN), Ridge and Random Forest. To consider the assumptions of missing data, we first check the normality of the variables with Kolmogorov-Smirnov test and employ Rubin’s classification technique that defines the relationship among variables with the probability of missing data. The success of imputation techniques applied to missing data changes when the missing data are classified with Rubin’s technique according to randomness. Consequently, we apply listwise deletion at various levels and alternative data imputation techniques. We then compare their performances. The raw data contain parametric as well as categorical variables (binary and others). Among these are time-series (yearly) financial series such as sales and total assets obtained from financial statements, ESG scores as well as float ratios for firms from several countries and industries. Imputation is done randomly on a sample varying from 5% to 30% of the dataset and results are compared to true data based on accuracy or other measures such as root mean square errors (RMSE) or mean absolute percentage error (MAPE). Several robustness checks have been performed to supplement the analysis.Findings- Results show that ML methods such as KNN have a superior performance than others. Moreover, when multidimensional nature of the data is taken into account, the prediction performance improves. Hence, an optimality can be reached based on parameters.Conclusion- Based upon the analysis, we conclude that the selected imputation technique and how it is employed matter to attain a higher accuracy and a better prediction of the missing values on selected mixed panel data in finance.Keywords: Imputation techniques, Panel data, Machine learning, Financial performance, ESGJEL Codes: C55, C81, M14, Q51
目的-- 本研究的目的是比较其他数据估算技术在处理缺失数据时的成功率。与其他文献不同的是,本研究针对公司财务业绩与环境、社会和治理(ESG)指标的混合数据提出了一种适当的技术。除了简单的估算技术外,我们还使用了机器学习技术,可以处理更复杂的数据。方法论--我们首先采用了一些临时方法,如均值、中位数、模式、常量、最常量和回归估算。接下来,我们将处理多变量估算技术,如连锁方程多重估算(MICE)。最后,我们使用 K-nearest Neighbor (KNN)、Ridge 和 Random Forest 等机器学习(ML)分类法来运行估算方法。为了考虑缺失数据的假设,我们首先用 Kolmogorov-Smirnov 检验法检查变量的正态性,并采用 Rubin 分类技术,该技术定义了变量与缺失数据概率之间的关系。当使用鲁宾分类法根据随机性对缺失数据进行分类时,适用于缺失数据的估算技术的成功率就会发生变化。因此,我们应用了不同层次的列表删除和其他数据估算技术。然后比较它们的性能。原始数据包含参数变量和分类变量(二元变量和其他变量)。其中包括时间序列(年度)财务序列,如从财务报表中获得的销售额和总资产、ESG 分数以及多个国家和行业公司的浮动比率。估算是在数据集 5%到 30%的样本中随机进行的,并根据准确性或均方根误差 (RMSE) 或平均绝对百分比误差 (MAPE) 等其他指标将估算结果与真实数据进行比较。结果表明,KNN 等 ML 方法的性能优于其他方法。此外,当考虑到数据的多维性时,预测性能也有所提高。结论--基于分析,我们得出结论,所选的估算技术以及如何使用该技术对获得更高的准确性以及更好地预测金融领域所选混合面板数据的缺失值至关重要:估算技术 面板数据 机器学习 金融表现 ESGJEL Codes:C55, C81, M14, Q51
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引用次数: 0
Financial literacy practices of public institutions: the case of Turkiye 公共机构的金融扫盲实践:土耳其案例
Pub Date : 2024-02-01 DOI: 10.17261/pressacademia.2023.1876
Umit Tura
Purpose- In today's world, where changes and transformations occur rapidly, we see new developments in the field of finance every day. Therefore, the importance of Financial Literacy has increased considerably today and it has started to take a large place in the strategies and development plans prepared by countries. The aim of this study is to investigate what kind of work is carried out by public institutions in Turkey in order to increase the financial literacy of the society and to raise financial awareness in the society.Methodology- In this study, document analysis, one of the qualitative research methods, was used to investigate what kind of studies were carried out by public institutions in Turkey on Financial Literacy.Findings- When academic studies conducted in the context of Financial Literacy are examined, it is seen that the financial literacy level of the society in Turkey is quite low, except for some basic financial concepts. When the education curriculum prepared by the Ministry of National Education of the Republic of Turkey is examined, it is seen that some financial issues are actually taught to all students from an early age.Conclusion- Especially in recent years, it is seen that institutions such as the Ministry of National Education, the Ministry of Treasury and Finance, the Ministry of Family and Social Policies, the Capital Markets Board, the Banking Regulation and Supervision Agency, the Central Bank of the Republic of Turkey and the Turkish Capital Markets Association have been working intensively in order to strengthen the financial awareness of the society.Keywords: Financial literacy, financial knowledge, financial behaviourJEL Codes: G53, I25, G51,
目的--当今世界,变化和变革日新月异,我们每天都能看到金融领域的新发展。因此,金融扫盲的重要性已大大提高,并开始在各国制定的战略和发展计划中占据重要位置。本研究的目的是调查土耳其的公共机构开展了哪些工作来提高社会的金融素养和金融意识。研究方法--在本研究中,采用了定性研究方法之一的文献分析法来调查土耳其的公共机构开展了哪些有关金融素养的研究。结论--特别是近年来,国家教育部、财政和金融部、家庭和社会政策部、资本市场委员会、银行管理和监督局、土耳其共和国中央银行和土耳其资本市场协会等机构一直在努力加强社会的金融意识:金融扫盲、金融知识、金融行为JEL Codes:G53、I25、G51、
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引用次数: 0
A review of the shares of the central bank from its creation up to the second world war 回顾中央银行从创立到第二次世界大战期间的股份情况
Pub Date : 2024-02-01 DOI: 10.17261/pressacademia.2023.1868
Gizel Busem Sayil
Purpose - The aim of this study is to observe the movements of the shares of the Central Bank of the Republic of Turkey during the foundation period and to estimate the events under the influence of these movements. An independent central bank is very important for countries to operate an independent monetary policy. In Turkey, the emphasis on "national banking" first came to the fore at the Izmir Economic Congress, and attempts were made to establish a central bank in 1927. In 1931, the Central Bank of the Republic of Turkey began its official activities. This was the most important step towards achieving economic independence in the Republic of Turkey and preserving the value of the Turkish Lira. This study examines the performance of central bank stocks over this period.Methodology-The data set consists of 1674 observations including daily closing prices for the period 04.01.1934-31.12.1939. The data were obtained from the La Bourse newspaper and the Cumhuriyet newspaper archive was used as a news source. First, the breaks in stock prices over this period are analysed using the Bai-perron test. The Eviews 12 program was used for this purpose. The second step is to examine whether there is a day-of-week effect in stock prices over the period in question. For this purpose, returns were calculated. The non-parametric Man-Whitney U test in SPSS 15 was used to test whether there was a significant difference between these returns on a daily basis.Findings- The results of the Bai-Perron structural break test showed that two breaks occurred on 01/08/1936 and 06/07/1938. Short and long-term increases in the value of the Central Bank shares were observed on these dates, which coincided with the achievement of the Montreux Convention and the victory of the National Army in Hatay. Moreover, these dates indicate risks associated with global conflict. During the second step, the compound return for share prices in the period of 1934-1939 was calculated, revealing the absence of any day-of-week effect. In other words, the results of the Man-Whitney U test show that there is no statistically significant difference between the groups.Conclusion- The Montreux Convention and the independence of Hatay, achieved during this period, had a positive impact on the stock, as the findings suggest. Furthermore, global war risks had a positive impact on the bank's shares. These results can be explained by the fact that the higher the risk, the more confidence is placed in the "national" bank. Finally, the shares of the Central Bank, symbolising the economic independence of the newly established Republic of Turkey, are relatively less sensitive and have low anomalies. This result is in line with expectations, given that financial markets are still underdeveloped.Keywords: Turkiye, banking, national banking, central bank.JEL Codes: B41, E58, G21.
目的--本研究的目的是观察土耳其共和国中央银行股份在成立期间的变动情况,并估计受这些变动影响的事件。独立的中央银行对于各国实施独立的货币政策非常重要。土耳其在伊兹密尔经济大会上首次强调 "国家银行",并于 1927 年尝试建立中央银行。1931 年,土耳其共和国中央银行开始正式活动。这是土耳其共和国实现经济独立和维护土耳其里拉币值的最重要一步。本研究探讨了中央银行股票在此期间的表现。方法--数据集包括 1934 年 1 月 4 日至 1939 年 12 月 31 日期间每日收盘价的 1674 个观测值。数据来自《La Bourse 报》,新闻来源为《Cumhuriyet 报》档案。首先,使用 Bai-perron 检验分析了这一时期股票价格的断裂情况。为此使用了 Eviews 12 程序。第二步是研究在此期间股票价格是否存在周日效应。为此,计算了收益率。使用 SPSS 15 中的非参数 Man-Whitney U 检验来检验这些回报率之间是否存在显著的日差异。结果--Bai-Perron 结构断裂检验的结果显示,1936 年 8 月 1 日和 1938 年 7 月 6 日出现了两次断裂。在这两个日期,中央银行股票的价值出现了短期和长期的增长,而这两个日期恰好是《蒙特勒公约》和国民军在哈塔伊取得胜利的日子。此外,这些日期还预示着与全球冲突有关的风险。在第二步中,计算了 1934-1939 年期间股价的复合收益率,结果显示不存在任何周日效应。换句话说,曼-惠特尼 U 检验的结果表明,各组之间不存在统计学上的显著差异。结论--正如研究结果所示,在此期间达成的《蒙特勒公约》和哈塔伊独立对股票产生了积极影响。此外,全球战争风险也对银行股票产生了积极影响。这些结果可以解释为,风险越高,人们对 "国家 "银行的信心就越大。最后,象征着新成立的土耳其共和国经济独立性的中央银行的股价敏感度相对较低,异常值也较低。鉴于金融市场仍不发达,这一结果符合预期:土耳其、银行业、国家银行、中央银行:B41, E58, G21.
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引用次数: 0
Factors affecting country fintech: an European analysis 影响国家金融科技的因素:欧洲分析
Pub Date : 2024-02-01 DOI: 10.17261/pressacademia.2023.1859
Loris Di Nallo, Annapaola Micheli, Nicolo’ Giangrande
Purpose- FinTech represents all innovation related to how businesses seek to improve the process, delivery, and use of financial services and it is not a mere technological phenomenon. Considering that the various innovations in the financial and technological fields require the use of explanatory indices, the aim of this work is to propose an analysis of the factors that influence the degree of adoption of Fintech in the European countries.Methodology- We use a correlation model in order to highlight the first results on the relationship between the degree of Fintech at a geographical level and some explanatory variables. The final sample consists of 28 European countries that have all variables requested in the analyisis. Specifically, the level of Fintech is measured by The Global Fintech Index developed by Findexable, while the factors that influence the Fintech come from dataset of International Monetary Fund (IMF): the number of ATMs, number of commercial bank branches, while the intensity of outstanding deposits with commercial banks and outstanding loans from commercial banks is lowerFindings- Regarding the analysis of the year 2021, our result indicates preliminarily that Fintech is negatively affected by the number of ATMs, number of commercial bank branches, while the intensity of outstanding deposits with commercial banks and outstanding loans from commercial banks is lower. This findings are consistent with this assumption: one of the driver of the Fintech is the digitalization.Conclusion- The result of our model indicates that the degree of Fintech at a geographical leve seems to be linked to explanatory variables that are related to the banking world. This represents a useful information to academic, practitioners and policymakers. In fact, according to literature, Fintech has an effect on financial system and financial stability. Therefore the explanation of Fintech phenomenon and its measurement represent a crucial point. Future extensions of research could consider additional measures of Fintech and a focus on the most representative explanatory variables.Keywords: Fintech, financial system, banks, banking, digitalization. JEL Codes: G20, G29, 030
目的--金融科技代表了与企业如何改善金融服务的流程、交付和使用相关的所有创新,它并不仅仅是一种技术现象。考虑到金融和技术领域的各种创新需要使用解释性指数,这项工作的目的是对影响欧洲国家采用金融科技程度的因素进行分析。最终样本由 28 个欧洲国家组成,这些国家拥有分析中所需的所有变量。具体而言,金融科技水平由 Findexable 开发的全球金融科技指数衡量,而影响金融科技的因素则来自国际货币基金组织(IMF)的数据集:结论-- 关于 2021 年的分析,我们的结果初步表明,金融科技受到自动取款机数量、商业银行分支机构数量的负面影响,而商业银行未偿存款和商业银行未偿贷款的强度较低。结论--我们的模型结果表明,在地理层面上,金融科技的程度似乎与银行业相关的解释变量有关。这对学术界、从业人员和政策制定者都是有用的信息。事实上,根据文献记载,金融科技对金融体系和金融稳定性有影响。因此,对金融科技现象的解释及其测量是一个关键点。未来的研究延伸可以考虑对金融科技进行更多衡量,并关注最具代表性的解释变量:金融科技、金融体系、银行、银行业、数字化。JEL Codes:G20, G29, 030
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引用次数: 0
Exploring carbon taxes as catalysts for financing nuclear power projects in Turkey 探索碳税作为土耳其核电项目融资的催化剂
Pub Date : 2024-02-01 DOI: 10.17261/pressacademia.2023.1847
Ahmet Gokhan Sahin
Purpose- Climate change and the urgent need to transition to low-carbon energy systems have led nations worldwide to seek innovative financing mechanisms for sustainable energy sources. This article delves into the feasibility of leveraging carbon taxes as a potent financial instrument to promote nuclear power projects, with a particular focus on Small Modular Reactors (SMRs), in Turkey.Methodology- This study outlines a methodology for designing a tailored carbon tax framework, addresses challenges, and highlights the strategic importance of this approach. Concurrently, an empirical case study has been conducted to introduce a carbon tax in Turkey to show the fundamentals of calculating carbon tax in Turkey. Findings- By aligning carbon taxes with nuclear power initiatives, Turkey can reduce emissions, secure funding, enhance competitiveness, and contribute to global climate goals, paving the way for a sustainable energy future.Conclusion- Implementing carbon pricing mechanisms could improve Turkey's investments in SMR power plants and reinforce its stance towards a more environmentally sustainable energy future.Keywords: Green financing, nuclear power, sustainable investment, carbon taxes, financialJEL Codes: Q30, Q40, H20
目的--气候变化和向低碳能源系统过渡的迫切需要促使世界各国为可持续能源寻求创新的融资机制。方法--本研究概述了设计量身定制的碳税框架的方法,解决了面临的挑战,并强调了这种方法的战略重要性。与此同时,本研究还对土耳其引入碳税的情况进行了实证案例研究,以说明在土耳其计算碳税的基本原理。研究结果--通过将碳税与核电倡议相结合,土耳其可以减少排放、确保资金、提高竞争力,并为全球气候目标做出贡献,为可持续能源的未来铺平道路:绿色融资、核电、可持续投资、碳税、金融JEL Codes:Q30, Q40, H20
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引用次数: 0
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