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Comments by Riatu Mariatul Qibtniyyah,  on  Change from COVID-19 Pandemic to a New Normal: Documenting Consumption Behavior of  Two Years with Big Data Riatu Mariatul Qibtniyyah 对《从 COVID-19 大流行到新常态的变化》的评论:用大数据记录两年的消费行为
IF 9.7 3区 经济学 Q1 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2024-01-08 DOI: 10.1162/asep_a_00878
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引用次数: 0
Comments by Lu Ming,  on Exploring the Impact of China's Internal Circulation Strategy on its Stock Market under Deglobalization 陆铭就 "探讨去全球化背景下中国内循环战略对股市的影响 "发表评论
IF 9.7 3区 经济学 Q1 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2024-01-08 DOI: 10.1162/asep_a_00881
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引用次数: 0
Decarbonization Pathways in Laos: The Challenges and Solutions 老挝的脱碳之路:挑战与解决方案
3区 经济学 Q1 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2023-10-16 DOI: 10.1162/asep_a_00870
Phouphet Kyophilavong
Abstract Climate change is a severe threat to humankind. To keep global warming limited to 1.5C, it must reach net-zero emission by 2050. It is ambitious and challenging for Laos to achieve the target. The main objective of this paper is to identify the challenges and solutions to the decarbonization pathway in Laos. The net-zero emission by 2025 goal is too ambitious for Laos and the LDC countries, and there are several challenges, including human resources, funding, and technologies. Achieving the target requires extensive funding, human resources, and technologies. Therefore, the roles of developed countries and international donors are crucial.
气候变化是人类面临的严重威胁。为了将全球变暖控制在1.5摄氏度以内,到2050年必须达到净零排放。老挝要实现这一目标是雄心勃勃的,也是具有挑战性的。本文的主要目的是确定老挝脱碳途径的挑战和解决方案。对于老挝和最不发达国家来说,到2025年实现净零排放的目标过于雄心勃勃,而且存在人力资源、资金和技术等方面的挑战。实现这一目标需要大量的资金、人力资源和技术。因此,发达国家和国际捐助者的作用至关重要。
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引用次数: 0
Diversified ESG Evaluation by Rating Agencies and Net Carbon Tax to Regain Optimal Portfolio Allocation 评级机构多元化ESG评估与净碳税重获最优投资组合配置
3区 经济学 Q1 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2023-10-16 DOI: 10.1162/asep_a_00871
Naoyuki Yoshino, Tomonori Yuyama, Farhad Taghizadeh-Hesary
Abstract Environmental, Society, and Governance (ESG) investments have become increasingly popular in recent years, and, at the same time, many rating agencies provide ESG scores for each company. This means that the ESG investment model may have moved from the traditional two-factor model of risk-return to a three-factor model adding an ESG component to it. This paper highlights the potential for distortion of asset allocation through the shift from traditional risk-return considerations to ESG score considerations. This is equally true for green bonds, resulting in the potential for asset allocation to be distorted by green bond criteria. Furthermore, we show that imposing a net carbon tax on greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions is a measure to correct this distortion in asset allocation and make asset allocation more risk-return based, in addressing global environmental issues.
近年来,环境、社会和治理(ESG)投资越来越受欢迎,与此同时,许多评级机构为每家公司提供ESG分数。这意味着ESG投资模型可能已经从传统的风险回报双因素模型转变为增加ESG成分的三因素模型。本文强调了通过从传统的风险回报考虑转向ESG评分考虑而扭曲资产配置的可能性。绿色债券也是如此,导致资产配置可能被绿色债券标准扭曲。此外,我们表明,在解决全球环境问题时,对温室气体(GHG)排放征收净碳税是纠正这种资产配置扭曲并使资产配置更加基于风险回报的一项措施。
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引用次数: 0
The Options in Decarbonization Pathways for Malaysia 马来西亚脱碳道路的选择
3区 经济学 Q1 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2023-10-16 DOI: 10.1162/asep_a_00874
Andrew Chiah Howe Fan, Yuen Yoong Leong, Wing Thye Woo
Two activities in Malaysia that emit large amounts of CO2 are electricity generation, and iron and steel production. To decarbonize the former, Malaysia should invest in a flexible energy system to overcome the intermittent characteristic of solar energy by influencing the pattern of demand with peak load pricing, increasing energy storage capability, and entering into a regional electricity grid arrangement. Malaysia should respond to the recent large capacity expansion in iron and steel production with blast furnace-basic oxygen furnace (BF-BOF) technology by ending immediately the issuance of new licenses for facilities that use this BF-BOF technology, and speed up the process of adopting of advanced green, near-zero emission technologies (e.g., Hydrogen Breakthrough Ironmaking Technology [HYBRIT]), by applying for foreign technical assistance (e.g., the United Nations Climate Technology Centre and Networks [UN-CTCN]) and for concessionary climate finance under the Paris Agreement. Finally, to be consistent with the 1.5°C pathway for the world, Malaysia should aim commit to achieve peak carbon emission by 2030 and net zero emission by 2050.
马来西亚排放大量二氧化碳的两项活动是发电和钢铁生产。为了使前者脱碳,马来西亚应该投资一个灵活的能源系统,通过峰值负荷定价来影响需求模式,增加储能能力,并加入区域电网安排,以克服太阳能的间歇性特征。马来西亚应立即停止为使用高炉-碱性氧炉(BF-BOF)技术的设施颁发新的许可证,以应对最近高炉-碱性氧炉(BF-BOF)技术在钢铁生产中的大规模产能扩张,并通过申请外国技术援助(例如:联合国气候技术中心和网络[UN-CTCN])以及《巴黎协定》下的优惠气候资金。最后,为了与世界1.5°C的目标保持一致,马来西亚应该致力于到2030年实现碳排放峰值,到2050年实现净零排放。
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引用次数: 0
Willingness-to-pay for a Haze Adaptation Program and a Haze Eradication Program in Singapore: The 2015 Transboundary Haze 新加坡雾霾适应计划和根除计划的支付意愿:2015年跨境雾霾
3区 经济学 Q1 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2023-10-16 DOI: 10.1162/asep_a_00868
Euston Quah, Wai-Mun Chia, Tsiat-Siong Tan, Nick Ho
Abstract In Southeast Asia, the seasonal transboundary haze pollution stemming from slash-and-burn practices of traditional Indonesian farmers affects several countries in the region including Indonesia, Singapore, Malaysia, and Brunei. Despite both domestic and regional efforts that have been put in place to help fight against haze, Southeast Asian haze remains a long-term issue that recurs in a varying degree of intensity during every dry season in the region. While we remain optimistic that the problem will eventually be resolved, given that most of these fires are the result of human activity, solutions can be executed successfully only in the longer run. In the interim, one of Singapore's options is to adapt. A contingent valuation (CV) survey on 793 Singapore residents was conducted in Singapore between November and December 2017 to elicit their willingness-to-pay (WTP) for a haze adaptation program and a haze eradication program in Singapore. We use a double-bounded dichotomous choice CV survey design and the Kaplan-Meier-Turnbull method and the probit regression to infer the distribution of Singapore residents’ WTP for the two programs and find that they are willing to pay between S$ 46.46 and S$ 60.06 for a haze adaptation program that reduces the local impacts of haze and between S$ 51.66 and S$ 66.76 for a haze eradication program. These findings suggest that Singapore residents continue to value the government's effort to derive solutions to resolve the haze crisis that recurs intermittently.
在东南亚,印尼传统农民的刀耕火种造成的季节性跨境雾霾污染影响了该地区的几个国家,包括印度尼西亚、新加坡、马来西亚和文莱。尽管国内和地区都采取了措施来帮助对抗雾霾,但东南亚的雾霾仍然是一个长期问题,在该地区的每个旱季都会以不同程度的强度重复出现。虽然我们仍然乐观地认为问题最终会得到解决,但考虑到大多数火灾是人类活动的结果,解决方案只有从长远来看才能成功执行。在此期间,新加坡的选择之一是适应。2017年11月至12月在新加坡对793名新加坡居民进行了条件评估(CV)调查,以了解他们对新加坡雾霾适应计划和雾霾根除计划的支付意愿(WTP)。我们使用双界二分类选择CV调查设计和Kaplan-Meier-Turnbull方法和probit回归来推断新加坡居民对这两个方案的WTP分布,发现他们愿意为减少雾霾对当地影响的雾霾适应计划支付46.46 - 60.06新元,为雾霾消除计划支付51.66 - 66.76新元。这些发现表明,新加坡居民仍然重视政府为解决间歇性出现的雾霾危机而做出的努力。
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引用次数: 0
Reviews of Low Carbon Scenarios, Carbon Neutrality, and Net Zero Emissions in Thailand: Impacts on Greenhouse Gas Emissions and the Macroeconomy 泰国低碳情景、碳中和和净零排放综述:对温室气体排放和宏观经济的影响
3区 经济学 Q1 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2023-10-16 DOI: 10.1162/asep_a_00869
Kannika Thampanishvong, Bundit Limmeechokchai
Abstract Long-term shifts in temperatures and weather patterns result in global climate change. Human activities that burn fossil fuels such as coal, oil, and natural gas have been identified as the main driver of climate change. The extreme weather events of climate change, especially floods and droughts, have already caused severe economic impacts. These impacts will continue to intensify unless transformative and holistic adaptations are put in place. The Paris Agreement under the United Nations Framework Convention on Climate Change (UNFCCC) aims at keeping a global temperature rise this century well below 2° Celsius above pre-industrial levels and to pursue efforts to limit the temperature increase even further to 1.5° Celsius. To achieve the targets, balancing between anthropogenic greenhouse gas (GHG) sources and sinks needs strong efforts and long-term low emissions development strategies of the participating countries. Thailand's long-term low GHG emissions development strategy (LT-LEDS) submitted to UNFCCC in 2022 included national adaptation and economy-wide GHG mitigation in the energy, industrial processes and product use, waste, agriculture and land use, land-use change and forestry sectors, and international supports needed to meet the net zero emissions targets. Thus, this paper reviews several low-carbon development strategies in Thailand to meet the targets of carbon neutrality and net zero emissions. The impacts of LT-LEDS include GHG emissions reduction and the macroeconomic impacts. Results of several low-carbon development strategies in Thailand show that achieving the nationwide carbon neutrality and net zero GHG emissions is possible; but all feasible options and measures need to be implemented immediately.
气温和天气模式的长期变化导致全球气候变化。燃烧煤炭、石油和天然气等化石燃料的人类活动已被确定为气候变化的主要驱动因素。气候变化的极端天气事件,特别是洪涝和干旱,已经造成了严重的经济影响。除非采取变革性和全面的适应措施,否则这些影响将继续加剧。《联合国气候变化框架公约》(UNFCCC)下的《巴黎协定》旨在将本世纪全球气温上升幅度控制在工业化前水平2摄氏度以内,并努力将气温上升幅度进一步限制在1.5摄氏度以内。人为温室气体源汇平衡的实现需要参与国的大力努力和长期的低排放发展战略。泰国于2022年向《联合国气候变化框架公约》提交的长期温室气体低排放发展战略(LT-LEDS)包括能源、工业过程和产品使用、废物、农业和土地利用、土地利用变化和林业部门的国家适应和全经济温室气体减缓,以及实现净零排放目标所需的国际支持。因此,本文回顾了泰国实现碳中和和净零排放目标的几种低碳发展战略。lt - led的影响包括温室气体减排和宏观经济影响。泰国多项低碳发展战略的结果表明,在全国范围内实现碳中和和温室气体净零排放是可能的;但所有可行的选择和措施都需要立即实施。
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引用次数: 0
Dissimilar FTA Strategies of Japan and the United States: An Analysis of the Product-Specific Rules of Origin 日美两国不同的FTA战略:产品特定原产地规则分析
3区 经济学 Q1 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2023-10-16 DOI: 10.1162/asep_a_00872
Mitsuyo Ando, Shujiro Urata, Kenta Yamanouchi
Abstract This paper investigates the trade restrictiveness of product-specific rules of origin (PSRs) in the comprehensive sets of free trade agreements (FTAs) for Japan and the United States, focusing on their similarities and dissimilarities. The most distinctive dissimilarities are the major PSR types and their variation among FTAs. Japan's FTAs use the selective type (“change in tariff classification [CTC] or regional value content [RVC]”) most intensively. In contrast, a few U.S. FTAs use RVC and others use CTC most intensively, and the distribution of simplified PSR types appears to be almost the same among FTAs in each group. The detailed PSR types, however, are likely to be more heterogeneous and complicated in U.S. FTAs than in Japan's FTAs. Such dissimilar features are more salient in machinery sectors with dense global value chains (GVCs)/international production networks (IPNs). The quantitative estimates suggest that the selective types utilized by Japan for most machinery products are much less trade-restrictive, while certain complicated types adopted by the United States for many machinery products are substantially trade-restrictive. Our detailed investigation revealed the two countries’ contrasting strategies, namely, Japan appears to aggressively utilize FTAs with less restrictive PSRs to enhance GVCs/IPNs, while the United States tends to make PSRs more restrictive and complicated in detail as a sort of disguised protection tool.
摘要本文研究了日本和美国自由贸易协定(fta)中产品特定原产地规则(PSRs)的贸易限制,重点分析了它们的异同。最显著的差异是主要的PSR类型及其在自贸协定之间的差异。日本的自由贸易协定最集中地使用了选择性类型(“改变关税分类[CTC]或区域价值含量[RVC]”)。相比之下,少数美国自由贸易协定使用RVC,而其他自由贸易协定则最密集地使用CTC,并且每组自由贸易协定中简化PSR类型的分布似乎几乎相同。然而,与日本的自由贸易协定相比,美国自由贸易协定中具体的PSR类型可能更加多样化和复杂。在具有密集的全球价值链(GVCs)/国际生产网络(ipn)的机械行业中,这种差异特征更为突出。定量估计表明,日本对大多数机械产品采用的选择性类型对贸易的限制要小得多,而美国对许多机械产品采用的某些复杂类型则对贸易有很大限制。我们的详细调查揭示了两国截然不同的战略,即日本似乎积极利用具有较少限制性psr的自由贸易协定来增强全球价值链/ ipn,而美国倾向于使psr在细节上更具限制性和复杂性,作为一种变相的保护工具。
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引用次数: 0
Assessing Effectiveness of Structural Monetary Policy in China 中国结构性货币政策有效性评估
3区 经济学 Q1 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2023-10-16 DOI: 10.1162/asep_a_00873
Yiping Huang, Yan Shen, Danxu Cheng, Xinyu Chen
Abstract Structural monetary policy (SMP)—differentiated policy action targeting specific economic activity— has become more frequently applied by major central banks lately, although the practice of developmental central banking has been in existence for quite some time. The effectiveness of such structural monetary policy, however, has not been adequately evaluated. In this paper, we attempt to provide a comprehensive analysis of SMP introduced by the People's Bank of China and also to offer a broad framework for thinking about SMP. We first document the brief history and main components of China's SMP and estimate the narrow- and broad-measures of SMP accounting for 17.9 percent and 27.9 percent of base money, respectively, at the end of 2022. We then discuss two key factors determining success of SMP: bank credit flows to the targeted area and risk implications for banks. By applying the difference-in-difference and panel data analysis approaches using a monthly data set of city commercial bank loans, we evaluate the impacts of targeted required reserve ratio (RRR) cuts in 2019 and 2020 on small and medium-sized enterprise lending. No statistically significant impact is found, whether in the short run or in the long run, and whether for medium-sized enterprises or for micro and small businesses). We conclude that, as no statistically significant impact of targeted RRRs are found, SMP's effectiveness, if exists at all, might be temporary; when facing impaired monetary policy transmission, it is important to conduct careful analysis of its effectiveness and sustainability.
结构性货币政策(SMP)——针对特定经济活动的差异化政策行动——最近被主要央行越来越频繁地应用,尽管发展性央行的做法已经存在了相当长的一段时间。然而,这种结构性货币政策的有效性尚未得到充分评估。在本文中,我们试图对中国人民银行引入的SMP进行全面分析,并提供一个思考SMP的广泛框架。我们首先记录了中国SMP的简史和主要组成部分,并估计到2022年底,SMP的狭义和广义指标分别占基础货币的17.9%和27.9%。然后,我们讨论了决定SMP成功的两个关键因素:银行信贷流向目标地区和对银行的风险影响。本文利用城市商业银行月度贷款数据集,运用差中差和面板数据分析方法,评估了2019年和2020年定向降准对中小企业贷款的影响。无论是短期还是长期,无论是中型企业还是微型和小型企业,都没有发现统计上显著的影响。我们的结论是,由于没有发现目标rrr的统计显著影响,SMP的有效性,如果存在的话,可能是暂时的;面对货币政策传导受损,对其有效性和可持续性进行认真分析十分重要。
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引用次数: 0
Planning for Livability? State-built New Towns and Urban Traffic Externalities in China* 规划宜居性?中国新建新城与城市交通外部性*
IF 9.7 3区 经济学 Q1 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2023-05-26 DOI: 10.1162/asep_a_00866
Kunlun Wang
Abstract Congestion and long commutes would lower the livability of cities. To curb such externalities, various policies have been adopted to limit urban sprawl. However, the empirical relationship between urban sprawl and traffic externalities is ambiguous. This paper investigates this issue by examining state-built new towns (a particular feature of China's urbanization processes) and congestion delay indices (measured from the data for urban trips). The results show that the number of new towns was positively correlated with intra-urban congestion and negatively correlated with traveling speed. Further, the congestion effects were severe during rush hours. Cities with more new-town projects have more residents choosing long-distance commuting modes, and greater average commuting time and distance. This finding shows a worse job–housing balance in the city. Moreover, these traffic externalities were primarily caused by new towns built since 2008, which have a larger scale and longer distances to the urban center.
摘要拥堵和通勤时间长会降低城市的宜居性。为了遏制这种外部性,采取了各种政策来限制城市蔓延。然而,城市蔓延与交通外部性之间的经验关系是模糊的。本文通过考察国家建设的新城(中国城市化进程的一个特殊特征)和拥堵延迟指数(根据城市出行数据测量)来研究这个问题。结果表明,新城数量与城市内部拥堵呈正相关,与出行速度呈负相关。此外,交通高峰时段的拥堵影响十分严重。新城项目较多的城市有更多的居民选择长途通勤模式,平均通勤时间和距离也较大。这一发现表明,该市的就业和住房平衡状况更差。此外,这些交通外部性主要是由2008年以来建造的新城造成的,这些新城的规模更大,距离市中心更远。
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引用次数: 0
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Asian Economic Papers
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