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Journal of Verification, Validation and Uncertainty Quantification最新文献

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On the Failure of the Area Metric for Validation Exercises of Stochastic Simulations 论随机模拟验证练习中面积度量的失效
IF 0.6 Q4 ENGINEERING, MECHANICAL Pub Date : 2022-12-16 DOI: 10.1115/1.4056492
L. Eça, K. Dowding, P. Roache
This paper discusses the application of the Area Metric to the quantification of modeling errors. The focus of the discussion is the effect of the shape of the two distributions on the result produced by the Area Metric. Two different examples that assume negligible experimental and numerical errors are presented: the first case has experimental and simulated quantities of interest defined by normal distributions that require the definition of a mean value and a standard deviation; the second example is taken from the V&V10.1 ASME Standard. The first example, shows that relatively small differences between the mean values are sufficient for the area metric to be insensitive to the standard deviation. Furthermore, the example of the V&V10.1 ASME Standard produces an Area Metric equal to the difference between the mean values of experiments and simulations. Therefore, the error quantification is reduced to a single number that is obtained from a simple difference of two mean values. This means that the Area Metric fails to reflect a dependence for the difference in the shape of the distributions representing variability. The paper also presents an alternative version of the Area Metric that does not filter the effect of the shape of the distributions by utilizing a reference simulation that has the same mean value of the experiments. This means that the quantification of the modeling error will have contributions from the difference in mean values and from the shape of the distributions.
本文讨论了面积度量在建模误差量化中的应用。讨论的重点是两个分布的形状对面积度量产生的结果的影响。提出了两个不同的例子,假设实验和数值误差可以忽略不计:第一种情况具有由正态分布定义的感兴趣的实验和模拟量,需要定义平均值和标准差;第二个例子取自V&V10.1 ASME标准。第一个例子表明,平均值之间相对较小的差异足以使面积度量对标准偏差不敏感。此外,V&V10.1 ASME标准的例子产生的面积度量等于实验和模拟的平均值之间的差。因此,误差量化被简化为由两个平均值的简单差得到的单个数字。这意味着面积度量不能反映代表可变性的分布形状差异的依赖性。本文还提出了面积度量的替代版本,该版本不通过利用具有相同实验平均值的参考模拟来过滤分布形状的影响。这意味着建模误差的量化将受到均值差异和分布形状的影响。
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引用次数: 0
On the First Order Optimization Methods in Deep Image Prior 深度图像先验中的一阶优化方法
IF 0.6 Q4 ENGINEERING, MECHANICAL Pub Date : 2022-12-13 DOI: 10.1115/1.4056470
Pasquale Cascarano, Andrea Sebastiani, Giorgia Franchini, F. Porta
Deep learning methods have state-of-the-art performances in many image restoration tasks. Their effectiveness is mostly related to the size of the dataset used for the training. Deep Image Prior (DIP) is an energy function framework which eliminates the dependency on the training set, by considering the structure of a neural network as an handcrafted prior offering high impedance to noise and low impedance to signal. In this paper, we analyze and compare the use of different optimization schemes inside the DIP framework for the denoising task.
深度学习方法在许多图像恢复任务中具有最先进的性能。它们的有效性主要与用于训练的数据集的大小有关。深度图像先验(DIP)是一种能量函数框架,通过将神经网络的结构视为手工制作的先验,消除了对训练集的依赖性,提供了对噪声的高阻抗和对信号的低阻抗。在本文中,我们分析并比较了DIP框架内不同优化方案在去噪任务中的使用。
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引用次数: 2
Verifiable Improvements of Finite Element Stresses At Three-dimensional Stress Concentrations 三维应力集中有限元应力的可验证改进
IF 0.6 Q4 ENGINEERING, MECHANICAL Pub Date : 2022-12-06 DOI: 10.1115/1.4056395
Jeffrey R. Beisheim, G. Sinclair
While current computational capability has led to finite element analysis becoming the predominant means of assessing three-dimensional stress concentrations, there are nonetheless some three-dimensional configurations where the desired level of accuracy of stresses is not realized on the finest mesh used. Here we offer some simple means of improving the accuracy of finite element stresses for such configurations, and doing so with modest increases in computational effort. These improved stresses are obtained by using an adaptation of Richardson extrapolation on original mesh results, and also on mesh results with a reduced mesh refinement factor. Verification of the improvements is undertaken using the convergence checks and error estimates reported earlier. The approach is applied to nine three-dimensional test problems. Finite element analysis of these test problems leads to eleven stresses on the finest meshes used that could benefit from being improved. The extrapolation procedure in conjunction with the reduced refinement factor improved all eleven stresses. Error estimates confirmed these improvements for all eleven.
虽然目前的计算能力已经使有限元分析成为评估三维应力集中的主要手段,但仍然存在一些三维结构,在使用的最细网格上无法实现所需的应力精度水平。在这里,我们提供了一些简单的方法来提高这种结构的有限元应力的精度,并且这样做的计算工作量适度增加。这些改进的应力是通过在原始网格结果上使用Richardson外推的自适应,以及在网格结果上使用减少的网格细化因子来获得的。使用前面报告的收敛检查和错误估计来验证改进。将该方法应用于九个三维测试问题。对这些测试问题进行有限元分析,得出了11种应力,这些应力在使用的最细网格上可以得到改进。外推过程与减小的精细化因子相结合,改善了所有11个应力。误差估计证实了所有11个改进。
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引用次数: 0
Confidence Intervals for Richardson Extrapolation in Solid Mechanics 固体力学中Richardson外推的置信区间
IF 0.6 Q4 ENGINEERING, MECHANICAL Pub Date : 2022-09-22 DOI: 10.1115/1.4055728
P. Krysl
A simple procedure for estimating the uncertainty of estimates of true solutions to problems of deflection, stress concentrations, and force resultants in solid and structural mechanics is introduced. Richardson extrapolation is carried out on a dataset of samples from a sequence of four grids. Simple median-based statistical analysis is used to establish 95% confidence intervals. The procedure leads to simple calculations that deliver reasonably tight estimates of the true solution and confidence intervals.
介绍了一种简单的程序,用于估计固体力学和结构力学中挠度、应力集中和合力问题的真解估计的不确定性。Richardson外推是在四个网格序列的样本数据集上进行的。简单的基于中位数的统计分析用于建立95%的置信区间。该程序产生了简单的计算,可以提供对真实解和置信区间的合理严密的估计。
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引用次数: 0
Two Calculation Verification Metrics Used in the Medical Device Industry: Revisiting the Limitations of Fractional Change 医疗器械行业中使用的两种计算验证度量:对分数变化限制的重新审视
IF 0.6 Q4 ENGINEERING, MECHANICAL Pub Date : 2022-09-05 DOI: 10.1115/1.4055506
Ismail Guler, K. Aycock, N. Rebelo
Quantifying the fractional change in a predicted quantity of interest with successive mesh refinement is an attractive and widely used but limited approach to assessing numerical error and uncertainty in physics-based computational modeling. Herein, we introduce the concept of a scalar multiplier αGCI to clarify the connection between fractional change and a more rigorous and accepted estimate of numerical uncertainty, the grid convergence index (GCI). Specifically, we generate lookup tables for αGCI as a function of observed order of accuracy and mesh refinement factor. We then illustrate the limitations of relying on fractional change alone as an acceptance criterion for mesh refinement using a case study involving the radial compression of a Nitinol stent. Results illustrate that numerical uncertainty is often many times larger than the observed fractional change in a mesh pair, especially in the presence of small mesh refinement factors or low orders of accuracy. We strongly caution against relying on fractional change alone as an acceptance criterion for mesh refinement studies, particularly in any high-risk applications requiring absolute prediction of quantities of interest. When computational resources make the systematic refinement required for calculating GCI impractical, submodeling approaches as demonstrated herein can be used to rigorously quantify discretization error at comparatively minimal computational cost. To facilitate future quantitative mesh refinement studies, αGCI lookup tables herein provide a useful tool for guiding the selection of mesh refinement factor and element order.
在基于物理的计算建模中,用连续的网格细化来量化预测的感兴趣量的分数变化是一种有吸引力的、广泛使用但有限的评估数值误差和不确定性的方法。在此,我们引入了标量乘法器αGCI的概念,以阐明分数变化与更严格和公认的数值不确定性估计——网格收敛指数(GCI)之间的联系。具体来说,我们生成αGCI的查找表,作为观察到的精度阶数和网格细化因子的函数。然后,我们通过一个涉及镍钛诺支架径向压缩的案例研究,说明了仅依赖分数变化作为网格细化的验收标准的局限性。结果表明,数值不确定性通常是网格对中观察到的分数变化的数倍,尤其是在网格细化因子较小或精度较低的情况下。我们强烈警告不要将分数变化单独作为网格细化研究的接受标准,特别是在任何需要绝对预测感兴趣量的高风险应用中。当计算资源使得计算GCI所需的系统细化不切实际时,本文所示的子模型方法可以用于以相对最小的计算成本严格量化离散化误差。为了促进未来的定量网格细化研究,本文的αGCI查找表为指导网格细化因子和元素顺序的选择提供了一个有用的工具。
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引用次数: 1
Sensitivity Analysis and Parametric Uncertainty Quantification of a Modular Multilevel Converter 模块化多电平变换器的灵敏度分析及参数不确定度量化
IF 0.6 Q4 ENGINEERING, MECHANICAL Pub Date : 2022-08-03 DOI: 10.1115/1.4055139
Niloofar Rashidi, R. Burgos, C. Roy, D. Boroyevich
This paper presents the numerical approaches for sensitivity analysis and its application in the modeling effort of a modular multilevel converter (MMC). A review of the state-of-the-art techniques in the sensitivity analysis is provided, with a special focus on the numerical approaches, followed by the sensitivity analysis of an MMC. To further reduce the computational cost per model evaluation in parametric uncertainty quantification (P-UQ) of the MMC, this paper also proposes a simplified model with a minimum number of power modules for P-UQ analysis without introducing any further uncertainties in the modeling and simulation.
本文介绍了灵敏度分析的数值方法及其在模块化多电平变换器(MMC)建模中的应用。对灵敏度分析的最新技术进行了回顾,特别侧重于数值方法,然后是MMC的灵敏度分析。为了进一步降低MMC参数不确定性量化(P-UQ)中每个模型评估的计算成本,本文还提出了一种简化模型,在建模和仿真中不引入任何进一步的不确定性的情况下,采用最小功率模块数进行P-UQ分析。
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引用次数: 0
Comment On “Comparison of the V&V10.1 and V&V20 Modeling Error Quantification Procedures for the V&V10.1 Example” 对“V&V10.1实例中V&V10.1与V&V20建模误差量化程序的比较”的评论
IF 0.6 Q4 ENGINEERING, MECHANICAL Pub Date : 2022-07-28 DOI: 10.1115/1.4055105
P. Roache
Not Applicable
不适用
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引用次数: 0
Analytical Sensitivity Analysis of a Spent Nuclear Fuel Cask 乏核燃料桶分析灵敏度分析
IF 0.6 Q4 ENGINEERING, MECHANICAL Pub Date : 2022-07-15 DOI: 10.1115/1.4055013
T. Remedes, S. Ramsey, J. Baciak
Nuclear science and engineering is a field increasingly dominated by computational studies resulting from increasingly powerful computational tools. As a result, analytical studies which previously pioneered nuclear engineering are increasingly viewed as secondary or unnecessary. However, analytical solutions to reduced-fidelity models can provide important information concerning the underlying physics of a problem, and aid in guiding computational studies. Similarly, there is increased interest in sensitivity analysis studies. These studies commonly use computational tools. However, providing a complementary sensitivity study of relevant analytical models can lead to a deeper analysis of a problem. This work provides the analytical sensitivity analysis of the 1D cylindrical monoenergetic neutron diffusion equation using the Forward Sensitivity Analysis Procedure developed by D. Cacuci. Further, these results are applied to a reduced-fidelity model of a spent nuclear fuel cask, demonstrating how computational analysis might be improved with a complementary analytic sensitivity analysis.
核科学与工程是一个由日益强大的计算工具所主导的计算研究领域。因此,以前作为核工程先驱的分析性研究越来越被视为次要的或不必要的。然而,降低保真度模型的解析解可以提供有关问题的潜在物理的重要信息,并有助于指导计算研究。同样,人们对敏感性分析研究的兴趣也在增加。这些研究通常使用计算工具。然而,提供相关分析模型的补充敏感性研究可以导致对问题的更深入的分析。本文采用D. Cacuci开发的前向灵敏度分析程序对一维圆柱形单能中子扩散方程进行了灵敏度分析。此外,这些结果应用于乏核燃料桶的降低保真度模型,证明了如何通过补充分析灵敏度分析来改进计算分析。
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引用次数: 0
A Methodology for the Efficient Quantification of Parameter and Model Uncertainty 一种有效量化参数和模型不确定性的方法
IF 0.6 Q4 ENGINEERING, MECHANICAL Pub Date : 2022-05-18 DOI: 10.1115/1.4054575
R. Feldmann, C. M. Gehb, M. Schäffner, T. Melz
Complex structural systems often entail computationally intensive models that require efficient methods for statistical model calibration due to the high number of required model evaluations. In this paper, we present a BAYESIAN inference-based methodology for efficient statistical model calibration that builds upon the combination of the speed in computation of a low-fidelity model with the accuracy of the computationally intensive high-fidelity model. The proposed two-stage method incorporates the adaptive METROPOLIS algorithm and a GAUSSIAN process (GP)-based adaptive surrogate model as low-fidelity model. In order to account for model uncertainty, we incorporate a GP-based discrepancy function into the model calibration. By calibrating the hyperparameters of the discrepancy function alongside the model parameters, we prevent the results of the model calibration to be biased. The methodology is illustrated by the statistical model calibration of a damping parameter in the modular active spring-damper system, a structural system developed within the collaborative research center SFB 805 at the Technical University of Darmstadt. The reduction of parameter and model uncertainty achieved by application of our methodology is quantified and illustrated by assessing the predictive capability of the mathematical model of the modular active spring-damper system.
复杂的结构系统通常需要计算密集型模型,由于需要大量的模型评估,这些模型需要高效的统计模型校准方法。在本文中,我们提出了一种基于贝叶斯推理的有效统计模型校准方法,该方法建立在低保真度模型的计算速度与计算密集型高保真度模型的精度的结合之上。所提出的两阶段方法结合了自适应METROPOLIS算法和基于高斯过程(GP)的自适应代理模型作为低保真度模型。为了考虑模型的不确定性,我们在模型校准中加入了基于GP的差异函数。通过与模型参数一起校准差异函数的超参数,我们防止了模型校准的结果有偏差。该方法通过模块化主动弹簧阻尼器系统中阻尼参数的统计模型校准来说明,该系统是达姆施塔特工业大学SFB 805合作研究中心开发的一个结构系统。通过评估模块化主动弹簧-阻尼器系统数学模型的预测能力,量化并说明了应用我们的方法所实现的参数和模型不确定性的降低。
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引用次数: 0
Verification of MOOSE/Bison's Heat Conduction Solver Using Combined Spatiotemporal Convergence Analysis 基于时空联合收敛分析的驼鹿/野牛热传导求解方法验证
IF 0.6 Q4 ENGINEERING, MECHANICAL Pub Date : 2022-03-29 DOI: 10.1115/1.4054216
A. Toptan, N. Porter, J. Hales, Wen Jiang, B. Spencer, S. Novascone
Bison is a computational physics code that uses the finite element method to model the thermo-mechanical response of nuclear fuel. Since Bison is used to inform high-consequence decisions, it is important that its computational results are reliable and predictive. One important step in assessing the reliability and predictive capabilities of a simulation tool is the verification process, which quantifies numerical errors in a discrete solution relative to the exact solution of the mathematical model. One step in the verification process–called code verification–ensures that the implemented numerical algorithm is a faithful representation of the underlying mathematical model, including partial differential or integral equations, initial and boundary conditions, and auxiliary relationships. In this paper, the code verification process is applied to spatiotemporal heat conduction problems in Bison. Simultaneous refinement of the discretization in space and time is employed to reveal any potential mistakes in the numerical algorithms for the interactions between the spatial and temporal components of the solution. For each verification problem, the correct spatial and temporal order of accuracy is demonstrated for both first- and second order accurate finite elements and a variety of time integration schemes. These results provide strong evidence that the Bison numerical algorithm for solving spatiotemporal problems reliably represents the underlying mathematical model in MOOSE. The selected test problems can also be used in other simulation tools that numerically solve for conduction or diffusion.
Bison是一个计算物理代码,使用有限元方法对核燃料的热机械响应进行建模。由于Bison用于为高后果决策提供信息,因此其计算结果的可靠性和预测性很重要。评估模拟工具的可靠性和预测能力的一个重要步骤是验证过程,它量化了离散解中相对于数学模型精确解的数值误差。验证过程中的一个步骤——称为代码验证——确保实现的数值算法是底层数学模型的忠实表示,包括偏微分或积分方程、初始和边界条件以及辅助关系。本文将代码验证过程应用于Bison中的时空热传导问题。在空间和时间上同时细化离散化,以揭示求解的空间和时间分量之间相互作用的数值算法中的任何潜在错误。对于每个验证问题,对于一阶和二阶精确有限元以及各种时间积分方案,都证明了正确的空间和时间精度顺序。这些结果有力地证明了求解时空问题的Bison数值算法可靠地代表了MOOSE中的基本数学模型。所选择的测试问题也可以用于数值求解传导或扩散的其他模拟工具。
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引用次数: 1
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Journal of Verification, Validation and Uncertainty Quantification
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