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The Bakery Shop (TBS) takes the heat: crisis management, social media, and corporate reputation 面包店(TBS)备受关注:危机管理、社交媒体和企业声誉
Q4 Business, Management and Accounting Pub Date : 2022-04-07 DOI: 10.1108/tcj-12-2020-0186
Ahmed M. Abdel-Meguid
Theoretical basisBusinesses of all sizes are susceptible to unforeseen shocks, which could have severe adverse effects on its brand, its reputation and even its survival. This case draws on three main streams of academic business literature and bodies of knowledge that come into play under such circumstances: reputational risk, crisis management and social media.Research methodologyThe author used primary and secondary sources in the research and development of this case. An interview with one of the cofounders of The Bakery Shop (TBS) provided a primary first-hand account of the events leading to this crisis and the subsequent remedial actions taken. The author supplemented this research with information from TBS’s website, social media accounts and TBS-provided material.Case overview/synopsisIn 2015, TBS, a growing Egyptian business specializing in premium baked goods, launched a new fusion dessert “The Croissant Om Ali.” Triggered by social media, the new product was an instant hit, resulting in orders that exceeded TBS’s initial projection. However, the business suffered a sudden turn of events when some consumers showed symptoms of food poisoning. Once again, social media came into play with an aggressive customer backlash toward TBS. Its cofounders devised an appropriate action plan to address the crisis and salvage TBS’s tarnished reputation.Complexity academic levelThis case is written primarily for an introductory business course for first-year students of business and other closely related disciplines. This case mainly addresses crisis management as a means of restoring corporate reputation. It also highlights the important role of social media in a crisis.
理论基础各种规模的企业都容易受到不可预见的冲击,这可能会对其品牌、声誉甚至生存产生严重的不利影响。本案借鉴了在这种情况下发挥作用的三大学术商业文献和知识体系:声誉风险、危机管理和社交媒体。研究方法论作者在本案的研究和开发中使用了主要和次要来源。对the Bakery Shop(TBS)联合创始人之一的采访提供了导致这场危机的事件以及随后采取的补救措施的第一手资料。作者通过TBS网站、社交媒体账户和TBS提供的材料补充了这项研究。案例综述/综述2015年,专注于优质烘焙食品的埃及企业TBS推出了一款新的融合甜点“The Croissant Om Ali”。在社交媒体的推动下,这款新产品一炮而红,订单超过了TBS的最初预测。然而,当一些消费者出现食物中毒症状时,该公司遭遇了突发事件。社交媒体又一次引起了客户对TBS的强烈反对。其联合创始人制定了一项适当的行动计划来应对危机,挽救TBS受损的声誉。复杂性学术水平本案例主要是为商科和其他密切相关学科的一年级学生开设的商科入门课程而写的。本案主要涉及将危机管理作为恢复企业声誉的一种手段。它还强调了社交媒体在危机中的重要作用。
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引用次数: 0
Café Tato’s strategic initiatives: business continuity in COVID-19 realities cafe<e:1> Tato的战略举措:COVID-19现实中的业务连续性
Q4 Business, Management and Accounting Pub Date : 2022-04-06 DOI: 10.1108/tcj-07-2021-0108
S. Bhattacharyya, Christo Fernandes
Theoretical BasisDuring the COVID-19 pandemic micro-, small- and medium-sized businesses were hit hard. This was specially so in the restaurant business where physical lockdown and social distancing norms were challenging. Thus, small business performance was a concern (Akpan, Udoh, & Adebisi, 2020). This case study addressed this theoretical aspect. Zhang, Gerlowski, & Acs (2021) had highlighted the challenges of business continuance and enterprise sustenance, during the COVID-19 pandemic. This case study provided insights regarding how these aspects of business continuance and enterprise sustenance were addressed by “Café Tato”. Bhattacharyya and Thakre (2021) had deliberated regarding how firms through strategic initiatives and tactical responses were required to manage COVID-19 pandemic and economic lockdown. Café Tato case study was in line with these recommendations for firms. Barbieri et al. (2020) and Reardon et al. (2021) had outlined steps regarding maintaining business operations reliance given a business crisis situation like during the COVID-19 pandemic. Café Tato case study described this. Café Tato case study accommodated perspectives regarding business crisis situation, business continuance, enterprise sustenance, operations reliance, organizational strategic versus tactical initiatives and finally small business performance.Research methodologyThe teaching case study was written based upon primary data collected from the owners of Café Tato. Furthermore, secondary data was used for building the case.Case overview/synopsisCafé Tato was the most popular and the oldest tea cafés in Goa, India. It had a presence in Panjim and Margaon in Goa. On 24 March 2020 India went into an economic and physical lockdown because of COVID-19 pandemic related crisis. One week down the line on 31 March 2020, Mr Pranav Dhuri (hereby referred as Pranav), one of the owners of Café Tato, was contemplating how to ensure business continuance once there was semi-normalcy restored. What would the initiatives that need to be undertaken was critical for success of Tato the legendary café in Goa was playing in the mind of Pranav.Complexity academic levelThis teaching case study could be used in the class for strategy planning and implementation in the course of strategic management. This case study could apply for teaching both bachelor’s and master’s students of business management. The case could also be taught to management students for helping them understand how small business firms, while confronting challenges of COVID-19, planned and implemented strategies in the course of strategic management. This study helped strategic management students understand the importance of organization culture in any business as it directly influenced the profitability and sustenance of business. The Dhuri family had all along laid stress on keeping the culture alive by taking various steps at critical times in improvising and maintaining the standards. The s
理论基础在新冠肺炎大流行期间,微型、小型和中型企业受到严重打击。在餐厅行业尤其如此,因为实体封锁和社交距离规范具有挑战性。因此,小企业的业绩令人担忧(Akpan,Udoh,&Adebisi,2020)。本案例研究涉及这一理论方面。张、Gerlowski和Acs(2021)强调了新冠肺炎大流行期间业务持续性和企业维持的挑战。本案例研究提供了关于“CaféTato”如何解决业务持续性和企业维持的这些方面的见解。Bhattacharyya和Thakre(2021)讨论了企业如何通过战略举措和战术应对来管理新冠肺炎疫情和经济封锁。CaféTato案例研究符合这些针对公司的建议。Barbieri等人(2020年)和Reardon等人(2021年)概述了在新冠肺炎大流行等商业危机情况下保持商业运营依赖的步骤。CaféTato案例研究对此进行了描述。CaféTato案例研究涵盖了有关业务危机状况、业务持续性、企业维持、运营依赖、组织战略与战术举措以及最终小企业绩效的观点。研究方法本教学案例研究是根据从CaféTato咖啡馆老板那里收集的原始数据编写的。此外,二次数据被用于构建案例。案例概述/概要caféTato是印度果阿最受欢迎和最古老的茶餐厅。它在果阿的潘金和马尔冈都有存在。2020年3月24日,由于新冠肺炎疫情相关危机,印度进入经济和实体封锁状态。一周后的2020年3月31日,CaféTato的所有者之一Pranav Dhuri先生(以下简称Pranav)正在考虑如何在恢复半正常后确保业务持续。需要采取的举措对Pranav心目中果阿传奇咖啡馆Tato的成功至关重要。复杂性学术水平本教学案例研究可用于战略管理课程中的战略规划和实施。本案例研究适用于商业管理学士和硕士研究生的教学。该案例还可以教授给管理专业的学生,帮助他们了解小企业如何在应对新冠肺炎挑战的同时,在战略管理课程中规划和实施战略。这项研究有助于战略管理专业的学生理解组织文化在任何企业中的重要性,因为它直接影响企业的盈利能力和维持能力。Dhuri家族一直强调通过在关键时刻采取各种措施即兴创作和保持标准来保持文化的生命力。该研究还有助于了解良好领导的重要性及其对处于危机情况(新冠肺炎)工作环境中的员工的直接影响,并确保业务的维持。
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引用次数: 0
Navigating the tides of an emerging global cannabis industry: the Aphria-Tilray merger decision 引领新兴全球大麻产业的潮流:阿弗瑞亚-蒂雷的合并决定
Q4 Business, Management and Accounting Pub Date : 2022-03-18 DOI: 10.1108/tcj-10-2020-0147
Majid Eghbali-Zarch, J. Marlowe, Sandy Brennan
Theoretical basisThe case builds upon the theoretical literature in strategy and decision-making under uncertain, complex and ambiguous situations inherent in nascent industries (Eggers and Moeen, 2019). It also bases its analysis of the central decision in the case, the merger between Aphria Inc. and Tilray, on the pertinent literature on mergers and acquisitions (DePamphilis, 2015). DePamphilis (2015). Mergers, acquisitions, and other restructuring activities: An integrated approach to process, tools, cases, and solutions. 8th ed. Academic press, San Diego, CA. Eggers and Moeen (2019). Entry Strategy for Nascent Industries: Introduction to a Virtual Special Issue. Strategic Management Journal. 42 (2), pp. 1–15.Learning outcomesAssessing/reassessing sources of competitive advantage and recognizing how changes in policy and technologies and globalization can change industry dynamics. Identifying the challenges that companies face when developing strategy in nascent and emerging industries and the related (sub)sectors. Analyzing a merger and deciding if it is warranted, financially and strategically. Applying industry analysis to understand dynamic forces impacting an industry, the attractiveness of an industry and how industry structures affect a company’s strategy.Case overview/synopsisThe global cannabis industry emerged after Canada, selected states in the US and some other countries across the world started to legalize recreational and/or medical cannabis. Similar to any industry in its nascent stages, the industry structure was undefined, product definitions and categories were unclear and competitive landscape was evolving. It was key for decision makers such as Irwin Simon, the CEO of Aphria Inc., to devise a strategy that would enable the firm to navigate the tides of the nascent industry. Simon had a background in consumer packaged goods industry and was a proponent of gaining market power through industry consolidation moves such as mergers and acquisitions. In 2020, encounters with Tilray’s CEO presented Simon with a merger opportunity with potentials for complementarities and cost savings. The challenge for Simon was to convince the Aphria’s shareholders that the potential gains from this move outweighs its challenges.Complexity academic levelStrategy courses (undergraduate and graduate level) • During a session on nascent industry analysis, to illustrate how companies decide whether to enter a market, how to grow and position themselves. • During a session on mergers and acquisitions, to illustrate how a company can use such strategies to gain market power and pursue consolidation. International business courses (undergraduate and graduate level) • During a session on navigating the tides of an industry that is in its nascent stage, both at the individual country level and at the global level. Cannabis industry courses (undergraduate level) • During a session on the national and global prospects of the industry from an
本案例建立在新兴产业固有的不确定、复杂和模糊情况下的战略和决策理论文献的基础上(Eggers和Moeen, 2019)。它还根据其分析的中心决定在案件,阿弗瑞亚公司和Tilray之间的合并,在相关文献的并购(DePamphilis, 2015)。DePamphilis(2015)。合并、收购和其他重组活动:过程、工具、案例和解决方案的集成方法。8版,学术出版社,圣地亚哥,加州。埃格斯和莫恩(2019)。新兴产业的进入策略:虚拟专刊导论。战略管理学报,42(2),第1-15页。学习成果评估/重新评估竞争优势的来源,并认识到政策、技术和全球化的变化如何改变行业动态。确定公司在新兴行业和相关(子)行业制定战略时面临的挑战。分析一项合并,并决定它在财务和战略上是否合理。运用行业分析来了解影响行业的动态力量,行业的吸引力以及行业结构如何影响公司的战略。全球大麻产业是在加拿大、美国的一些州和世界上其他一些国家开始将娱乐和/或医用大麻合法化之后出现的。与任何处于萌芽阶段的行业一样,行业结构不明确,产品定义和类别不明确,竞争格局也在不断演变。对于Aphria Inc.首席执行长欧文•西蒙(Irwin Simon)等决策者来说,制定出一套能让公司在这个新兴行业的大潮中领航的战略至关重要。西蒙拥有消费品包装行业的背景,并支持通过兼并和收购等行业整合行动获得市场力量。2020年,与Tilray首席执行官的会面为Simon提供了一个具有互补和节约成本潜力的合并机会。西蒙面临的挑战是让阿弗瑞亚的股东相信,此举的潜在收益大于挑战。•在一个关于新兴行业分析的会议上,说明公司如何决定是否进入市场,如何发展和定位自己。•在关于兼并和收购的会议上,说明公司如何使用这些策略来获得市场力量并追求整合。国际商务课程(本科和研究生阶段)•在一个关于在单个国家层面和全球层面上引领处于新生阶段的行业潮流的会议期间。大麻产业课程(本科水平)•从投资、创业或政策制定的角度讨论大麻产业的国家和全球前景。•在关于合并和行业整合战略的会议上。
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引用次数: 0
Editorial 编辑
Q4 Business, Management and Accounting Pub Date : 2022-03-09 DOI: 10.1108/tcj-03-2022-203
Rebecca J. Morris
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引用次数: 0
MoveAhead: lessons in pragmatism for an idealistic social-entrepreneur 前进:给理想主义社会企业家的实用主义教训
Q4 Business, Management and Accounting Pub Date : 2022-02-16 DOI: 10.1108/tcj-01-2018-0010
Sambhavi Lakshminarayanan, Simon Best, Evelyn Maggio
Theoretical basisThere is little published information available in the area of youth programs and social entrepreneurship in underrepresented communities. However, there are many idealistic entrepreneurs in the community; the case describes the experience of one such individual. Case analysis and the Instructor’s Manual are based on standard theories and techniques in organizational environmental and strategy analysis, as well as information and approaches regarding nonprofit functioning.Research methodologyThis case was prepared from primary sources, based on interviews with the founder. The name of the organization was disguised but the location and the founder’s name were not.Case overview/synopsisGrowing up in a rough neighborhood, Darnell found refuge in an after-school program, which he credited for several positive values. As an adult, he felt a strong desire to give back to the community he had grown up, and still lived in. Thus, was launched MoveAhead, a fitness-based after-school program similar to the one he had participated in. However, as was common for many social entrepreneurs, Darnell struggled to overcome severe lack of capital and to deal with operational issues. Now, MoveAhead had reached a critical and existentially important point, when a strategic decision had to be made.Complexity academic levelThis is a decision case. It discusses the difficulties faced by a social entrepreneur who had a strong drive and conviction but little capital. The case describes a strategic turning point for one such organization. It can be used in business and management courses at the undergraduate level. It would also be relevant to a course on (social) entrepreneurship. The level and analysis required of students and discussion questions used can be adjusted depending on whether the course is introductory or more advanced, such as strategy.
理论基础在代表性不足的社区中,青年项目和社会创业领域的出版信息很少。然而,社会上有许多理想主义的企业家;这个案例描述了一个这样的人的经历。案例分析和教师手册是基于组织环境和战略分析的标准理论和技术,以及有关非营利组织运作的信息和方法。研究方法:本案例是根据对创始人的采访,从第一手资料中准备的。该组织的名称是伪装的,但地点和创始人的名字却没有。达内尔在一个恶劣的社区长大,他在一个课后项目中找到了避难所,他认为这带来了一些积极的价值。成年后,他有一种强烈的愿望,想要回馈他成长并仍然生活在其中的社区。于是,他推出了MoveAhead,这是一个以健身为基础的课后项目,与他参加过的项目类似。然而,与许多社会企业家一样,达内尔努力克服严重缺乏资金和处理运营问题。现在,MoveAhead已经到了生死攸关的关键时刻,必须做出战略决策。复杂性学术水平这是一个决策案例。它讨论了一个社会企业家所面临的困难,他有强大的动力和信念,但缺乏资本。这个案例描述了一个这样的组织的战略转折点。它可以用于本科阶段的商业和管理课程。它也将与(社会)企业家精神课程相关。学生的水平和分析要求以及讨论问题的使用可以根据课程是介绍性的还是更高级的(如策略)进行调整。
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引用次数: 0
Improbable landing – the Sioux city miracle 不可思议的着陆——苏城奇迹
Q4 Business, Management and Accounting Pub Date : 2022-02-15 DOI: 10.1108/tcj-08-2021-0127
J. O'Brien, J. Licht
Research methodologyThe technical reports released by the National Transportation Safety Board, along with secondary data in the form of available public data, such as news reports, interviews and memos, were used to round out the synopsis of the case study.Case overview/synopsisThis case explores the events that led up to the crash of United Airlines Flight 717 (for anonymity), in Sioux City, Iowa, on July 19, 1989, and the subsequent investigation. The case uses secondary sources to highlight the positive team interactions between the pilots that led to the crash landing not being as catastrophic as it might have been with 185 survivors in an extreme crisis scenario. The teaching note focuses on the importance of cognitive bias, psychological safety and teamwork in a crisis situation, and practical recommendations for managers at all levels.Complexity academic levelOrganizational Behavior at the undergraduate and graduate level. Leadership and Change at the graduate and graduate level.
研究方法:美国国家运输安全委员会发布的技术报告,以及新闻报道、采访和备忘录等可获得的公共数据形式的辅助数据,被用来完善案例研究的概要。本案例探讨了1989年7月19日美国联合航空公司717航班(匿名)在爱荷华州苏城坠毁的事件,以及随后的调查。该案例利用二手资料强调了飞行员之间积极的团队互动,这使得迫降没有像在极端危机场景中185名幸存者那样灾难性。教学笔记侧重于危机情况下认知偏差、心理安全和团队合作的重要性,并为各级管理人员提供实用建议。本科和研究生阶段的组织行为学。研究生和研究生层次的领导力和变革。
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引用次数: 0
Performance measurement in a Lean organization: the case of the Wiremold company 精益组织中的绩效衡量:以Wiremold公司为例
Q4 Business, Management and Accounting Pub Date : 2022-02-15 DOI: 10.1108/tcj-02-2021-0039
Lawrence Grasso
Theoretical basisCritical analysis of observed practice.Research methodologyField study.Learning outcomesTo expose accounting and MBA students to Lean management and the performance measures that support Lean management by presenting a case of a comprehensive and very successful Lean transformation; to give accounting and MBA students the opportunity to construct a strategy map and a balanced scorecard based on a rich case description; and to critically assess the suitability of balanced scorecards for a company that embraces Lean management.Case overview/synopsisThe case describes a comprehensive transformation from conventional management to Lean management and business practices, with an emphasis on the largely non-financial performance measures used to support the transformation. Around the time of the Lean transformation, the balanced scorecard, a multi-dimensional measurement approach, was introduced to address the problems of excessive reliance on financial performance measures. Students are asked to compare and contrast Wiremold’s approach to the balanced scorecard.Complexity academic levelGraduate or upper level undergraduate courses in cost accounting, managerial accounting and strategic management.
理论基础对观察到的实践的批判性分析。研究方法论实地研究。学习成果通过展示一个全面且非常成功的精益转型案例,让会计和MBA学生了解精益管理以及支持精益管理的绩效指标;让会计和MBA学生有机会根据丰富的案例描述构建战略地图和平衡记分卡;并严格评估平衡记分卡是否适合采用精益管理的公司。案例概述/概要该案例描述了从传统管理到精益管理和商业实践的全面转型,重点是用于支持转型的主要非财务绩效指标。在精益转型前后,引入了平衡记分卡,这是一种多维度的衡量方法,以解决过度依赖财务绩效指标的问题。要求学生将Wiremold的方法与平衡记分卡进行比较和对比。复杂的学术水平成本会计、管理会计和战略管理的研究生或高级本科生课程。
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引用次数: 0
A district magistrate’s call on a disaster warning: paranoid or pragmatic? 地方法官对灾难预警的呼吁:偏执还是务实?
Q4 Business, Management and Accounting Pub Date : 2022-02-15 DOI: 10.1108/tcj-11-2021-0201
H. R. Varma, Ram Kumar Kakani
Theoretical basisThis case uses two key theoretical notions for discussion and analysis: Policy-trade off model by Deborah Stone is adapted to the context of decision-making during the cyclone warning [Stone, Deborah. Policy Paradox: The Art of Political Decision-Making. Third, New York: W.W. Norton & Co, 2012.]. The critical success factors in disaster response- John R. Harrald’s five-stage framework is applied to analyse Case B. [Harrald, John R. “Agility and Discipline: Critical Success Factors for Disaster Response:” The ANNALS of the American Academy of Political and Social Science, 8 September 2016. https://doi.org/10.1177/0002716205285404.].Research methodologyThis case is written with the information collected through interviews, over three months from March 2020, with Ms Ranjana Chopra (Indian Administrative Services), a senior civil servant working for the Government of Odisha, who was associated with the event in the case. Secondary sources, including newspaper reports and meteorological bulletins from the Indian Meteorological Department, is also made use of.Case overview/synopsisAnupama Gowda was the District Magistrate of Kalinga in the state of Odisha, in the Eastern coast of the Indian peninsula. In April 2019, when the meteorological department issued a cyclone warning, she had to take a call on how to go ahead. Her team did not seem too enthused as Kalinga was away from the coast and meteorological warnings were taken as routine. The case discusses Gowda’s dilemma on whether to push for full-fledged preparations or a limited preparation at least or leave it laissez-faire. She made the decision by 24th April and “what happened” serve as Case B.Complexity academic levelThis case is intended to cover two key competencies: decision-making in ambiguity for public service professionals or bureaucrats and disaster response within a limited time period and resources. This case is useful for undergraduate-level foundational courses with decision-making under ambiguity as a component; in management, public policy and public administration disciplines. Executive training or short-term courses for early-career public service professionals (with no solid background in management/policy theory) on decision-making at the local administration level.
本案例使用了两个关键的理论概念进行讨论和分析:Deborah Stone的政策权衡模型适用于飓风预警期间的决策背景[Stone, Deborah;政策悖论:政治决策的艺术。第三,纽约:W.W.诺顿出版社,2012。灾难应对的关键成功因素——John R. Harrald的五阶段框架应用于分析案例b [Harrald, John R.“敏捷性和纪律性:灾难应对的关键成功因素”,《美国政治与社会科学院年鉴》,2016年9月8日。[https://doi.org/10.1177/0002716205285404].研究方法本案例是根据自2020年3月起三个多月对奥里萨邦政府工作的高级公务员Ranjana Chopra女士(印度行政服务处)的访谈收集的信息编写的,她与本案中的事件有关。二手资料,包括报纸报道和印度气象部门的气象公报,也被利用。anupama Gowda是印度半岛东海岸奥里萨邦卡林加的地方法官。2019年4月,当气象部门发布飓风警报时,她不得不接听如何继续前进的电话。她的团队似乎并不太热情,因为卡林加远离海岸,气象警报也被当作例行公事。该案件讨论了Gowda的两难选择,是推动全面准备,还是至少进行有限的准备,还是放任自流。她在4月24日之前做出了决定,“发生了什么”作为案例b。复杂性学术水平本案例旨在涵盖两个关键能力:公共服务专业人员或官僚在模棱两可的情况下做出决策,以及在有限的时间和资源内应对灾难。本案例适用于以模糊决策为组成部分的本科基础课程;在管理,公共政策和公共行政学科。为初入职的公共服务专业人员(没有扎实的管理/政策理论背景)提供有关地方行政一级决策的行政培训或短期课程。
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引用次数: 0
Editorial 编辑
Q4 Business, Management and Accounting Pub Date : 2022-02-08 DOI: 10.1108/tcj-01-2022-202
Rebecca J. Morris
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引用次数: 0
Taking the highway out: exiting the stock market to maximize results 走出高速公路:退出股市以实现效益最大化
Q4 Business, Management and Accounting Pub Date : 2021-12-29 DOI: 10.1108/tcj-01-2021-0020
João Marques Silva, J. Pereira
Theoretical basisThe essence of discounted cash flow valuation is simple; the asset is worth the expected cash flows it will generate, discounted to the reference date for the valuation exercise (normally, the day of the calculation). A survey article was written in Parker (1968), where it was stated that the earliest interest rate tables (use to discount value to the present) dated back to 1340. Works from Boulding (1935) and Keynes (1936) derived the IRR (Internal Rate of Return) for an investment. Samuelson (1937) compared the IRR and NPV (Net Present Value) approaches, arguing that rational investors should maximize NPV and not IRR. The previously mentioned works and the publication of Joel Dean’s reference book (Dean, 1951) on capital budgeting set the basis for the widespread use of the discounted cash flow approach into all business areas, aided by developments in portfolio theory. Nowadays, probably the model with more widespread use is the FCFE/FCFF (Free Cash Flow to Equity and Free Cash Flow to Firm) model. For simplification purposes, we will focus on the FCFE model, which basically is the FCF model’s version for the potential dividends. The focus is to value the business based on its dividends (potential or real), and thus care must be taken in order not to double count cash flows (this matter was treated in this case) and to assess what use is given to that excess cash flow – if it is invested wisely, what returns will come of them, how it is accounted for, etc. (Damodaran, 2006). The bridge to the FCFF model is straightforward; the FCFF includes FCFE and added cash that is owed to debtholders. References: Parker, R.H. (1968). “Discounted Cash Flow in Historical Perspective”, Journal of Accounting Research, v6, pp58-71. Boulding, K.E. (1935). “The Theory of a Single Investment”, Quarterly Journal of Economics, v49, pp479-494. Keynes, J. M. (1936). “The General Theory of Employment”, Macmillan, London. Samuelson, P. (1937). “Some Aspects of the Pure Theory of Capital”, Quarterly Journal of Economics, v51, pp. 469–496. Dean, Joel. (1951). “Capital Budgeting”, Columbia University Press, New York. Damodaran, A. (2006). “Damodaran on Valuation”, Second Edition, John Wiley and Sons, New York.Research methodologyAll information is taken from public sources and with consented company interviews.Case overview/synopsisOpportunities for value creation may be found in awkward and difficult circumstances. Good strategic thinking and ability to act swiftly are usually crucial to be able to take advantage of such tough environments. Amidst a country-wide economic crisis and general disbelief, José de Mello Group (JMG) saw one of its main assets’ (Brisa Highways) market value tumble down to unforeseen figures and was forced to act on it. Brisa’s main partners were eager in overpowering JMG’s control of the company, and outside pressure from Deutsche Bank was rising, due to the use of Brisa’s shares as collateral. JMG would have to revise
理论基础现金流量折现估值的本质很简单;该资产价值相当于其将产生的预期现金流,贴现至估值参考日(通常为计算日)。Parker(1968)撰写了一篇调查文章,其中指出,最早的利率表(用于将价值贴现到现在)可以追溯到1340年。Boulding(1935)和Keynes(1936)的著作推导了投资的内部收益率。Samuelson(1937)比较了IRR和NPV(净现值)方法,认为理性投资者应该最大化NPV,而不是IRR。前面提到的著作和乔尔·迪恩关于资本预算的参考书(迪恩,1951)的出版,为在投资组合理论的发展的帮助下,将贴现现金流方法广泛应用于所有业务领域奠定了基础。如今,使用更广泛的模型可能是FCFE/FCFF(股权自由现金流和公司自由现金流)模型。为了简化起见,我们将重点关注FCFE模型,它基本上是FCF模型的潜在红利版本。重点是根据股息(潜在或实际)对业务进行估值,因此必须注意不要重复计算现金流(在本案中处理了这一问题),并评估多余现金流的用途——如果投资明智,会带来什么回报,如何核算等(Damodaran,2006)。通往FCFF模型的桥梁很简单;FCFF包括FCFE和欠债券持有人的额外现金。参考文献:Parker,R.H.(1968)。“历史视角下的贴现现金流”,《会计研究杂志》,第6版,第58-71页。Boulding,K.E.(1935)。“单一投资理论”,《经济学季刊》,第49期,第479-494页。凯恩斯(1936)。《就业通论》,麦克米伦出版社,伦敦。萨缪尔森,P.(1937)。《纯粹资本理论的某些方面》,《经济学季刊》,第51期,第469–496页。迪恩,乔尔。(1951)。《资本预算》,哥伦比亚大学出版社,纽约。Damodaran A.(2006)。“Damodaran on Valuation”,第二版,John Wiley and Sons,纽约。研究方法所有信息都来自公共来源,并经过同意的公司采访。案例概述/概要价值创造的机会可能出现在尴尬和困难的环境中。良好的战略思维和迅速行动的能力通常对于能够利用这种艰难的环境至关重要。在一场全国性的经济危机和普遍的怀疑中,Joséde Mello集团(JMG)看到其主要资产之一(Brisa Highways)的市值暴跌至无法预见的数字,并被迫采取行动。Brisa的主要合作伙伴急于压倒JMG对该公司的控制,而由于Brisa的股票被用作抵押品,来自德意志银行的外部压力正在增加。JMG将不得不修改其战略,看看Brisa是否值得为之奋斗;市场对该公司前景的隐含评估非常不利,但JMG对Brisa未来业绩的预测表明,这可能是一个投资机会。做空市场明智吗?复杂性学术水平这项研究非常适合金融和战略课程,无论是本科生还是研究生。需要公司估值和公司战略。
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