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Efectos de la credibilidad fiscal sobre las expectativas de inversión en Colombia: evidencia empírica para el periodo 2005-2019 哥伦比亚财政信誉对投资预期的影响:2005-2019年期间的经验证据
Q3 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2022-10-01 DOI: 10.13043/dys.92.8
Cristina Isabel Ramos Barroso, Juan Camilo Galvis Ciro
Fiscal credibility plays an important role in creating favorable scenarios for investment and economic growth. Adequate management of public finances can be decisive in the perception of country risk and the attraction of foreign capital. The aim of this paper is to build a fiscal credibility index and eval-uate its impact on investment expectations in Colombia for the 2005-2019 period. Using monthly data on fiscal credibility, investment expectations, and a set of control variables, estimates were made using OLS and GMM meth-ods. Robustness tests were performed using impulse-response functions. The findings reveal that fiscal credibility directly influences the investment deci-sions of private agents, and that local interest rates and international volatility negatively affect investors’ expectations.
财政信誉在为投资和经济增长创造有利环境方面发挥着重要作用。对公共财政的适当管理可以在认识国家风险和吸引外国资本方面起决定性作用。本文的目的是建立一个财政可信度指数,并评估其对2005-2019年期间哥伦比亚投资预期的影响。使用财政可信度、投资预期和一组控制变量的月度数据,使用OLS和GMM方法进行估计。采用脉冲响应函数进行稳健性检验。研究结果表明,财政信用直接影响私人代理人的投资决策,而当地利率和国际波动对投资者的预期产生负向影响。
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引用次数: 2
Neutralidad monetaria y deuda externa en dolarización: el caso ecuatoriano desde un enfoque de cointegración 货币中立与美元化中的外债:从协整的角度看厄瓜多尔的案例
Q3 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2022-10-01 DOI: 10.13043/dys.92.9
John Cajas-Guijarro, Anthony Pozo-Barrera, Doménica Cárdenas-López
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引用次数: 0
Calidad de gobierno como motor de atracción de la inversión extranjera directa en los países de América Latina y OECD 政府质量是吸引拉丁美洲和经合组织国家外国直接投资的引擎
Q3 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2022-10-01 DOI: 10.13043/dys.92.7
R. Miranda, Bibiana Lanzilotta, Eugenia Leira
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引用次数: 1
La influencia del contexto en la transmisión intergeneracional educativa en un país en desarrollo: tres aproximaciones empíricas para Uruguay 背景对发展中国家教育代际传递的影响:乌拉圭的三种经验方法
Q3 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2022-10-01 DOI: 10.13043/dys.92.3
S. Soto
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引用次数: 0
Análisis de eficiencia en educación: una aplicación del método StoNED 教育效率分析:石法的应用
Q3 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2022-10-01 DOI: 10.13043/dys.92.2
Alexander Arévalo S., Víctor Giménez G., Diego Prior J.
In Colombia, numerous methods have been implemented to measure the effi-cacy of secondary education institutions. The purpose of this study is to estab-lish the efficiency of these institutions, using an innovative methodology known as Stochastic Non-Parametric Envelopment Analysis of Data (StoNED) with an output-oriented measurement. A visualization of the relationship between efficiency and the management of the education secretariats by department is proposed. Institutions are taken as decision units, based on the results of students’ SABER 11 tests, considering two levels of aggregation, by institution and by department. A slight difference is found in the proportion of institutions that present technical efficiency with respect to those that do not. Moreo-ver, it is identified that most of the institutions that do not present technical efficiency are those of an official nature, and those located in rural areas.
在哥伦比亚,已经实施了许多方法来衡量中等教育机构的效率。本研究的目的是利用一种创新的方法,即随机非参数数据包络分析(StoNED),以产出为导向的测量,来确定这些机构的效率。提出了一种以部门为单位的教育秘书处效率与管理之间关系的可视化方法。院校被作为决策单位,基于学生的SABER 11测试的结果,考虑到两个层面的汇总,即院校和院系。呈现技术效率的机构与不呈现技术效率的机构的比例略有不同。此外,研究发现,大多数不具备技术效率的机构都是官方性质的机构和位于农村地区的机构。
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引用次数: 0
Renewable energy power plants and economic development in Brazil’s northeast region 巴西东北地区的可再生能源发电厂与经济发展
Q3 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2022-10-01 DOI: 10.13043/dys.92.5
Michele Romanello
Brazil’s northeast is now the region with the largest installed capacity of renewable energy, predominantly wind and solar power. The purpose of this research is to show the relationship between the installation of renewable energy power plants and the economic development in the northeast of Brazil. The methodology used is the generalized spatial two-stage least-squares regression with a spatial lag of the dependent (GDP per capita and salary growth) and independent variables (presence of solar or wind power plant). The results indicate that the presence of renewable energy power plants is beneficial only in terms of GDP per capita growth and not in terms of salary increases. Moreover, the municipalities that benefit the most in terms of GDP per capita growth are the neighboring ones, meaning that the spillover effect is greater than the direct effect. Consequently, renewable power should be adjusted to economic and social situations to avoid local tensions with traditional resource users and inhabitants.
巴西东北部现在是可再生能源装机容量最大的地区,主要是风能和太阳能。本研究的目的是展示巴西东北部可再生能源发电厂的安装与经济发展之间的关系。所使用的方法是广义空间两阶段最小二乘回归,具有因变量(人均GDP和工资增长)和自变量(太阳能或风力发电厂的存在)的空间滞后。结果表明,可再生能源发电厂的存在只对人均GDP增长有利,而对工资增长不利。此外,在人均GDP增长方面受益最大的城市是邻近的城市,这意味着溢出效应大于直接效应。因此,可再生能源应根据经济和社会形势进行调整,以避免当地与传统资源使用者和居民之间的紧张关系。
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引用次数: 1
Valoración económica de servicios ecosistémicos en bosques de sistemas agropecuarios del piedemonte amazónico colombiano 哥伦比亚亚马逊山麓农业系统森林生态系统服务的经济评估
Q3 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2022-06-01 DOI: 10.13043/dys.91.4
Yelly Yamparli Pardo Rozo, Jader Muñoz Ramos, Jaime Enrique Velásquez Restrepo
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引用次数: 1
Identificación de los factores de riesgo de violencia de género en el Ecuador como base para una propuesta preventiva 确定厄瓜多尔性别暴力的危险因素,作为预防建议的基础
Q3 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2022-06-01 DOI: 10.13043/dys.91.3
Salomé Vacacela Márquez, Andrés Mideros Mora
This study identifies risk factors for domestic violence in Ecuador. Following the theoretical framework proposed by Heise (1998, 2012), we use a logistic regression model exploiting data from the Second National Survey on Family Relations and Gender Violence of 2019, including women 15 years old or older who have had a partner. At community and social levels, it is key to promote women’s empowerment and to eradicate poverty, while at individual level, preventive strategies must target young, poor, indigenous women, as well as on those in long-term relationships.
这项研究确定了厄瓜多尔家庭暴力的风险因素。根据Heise(19982012)提出的理论框架,我们使用了一个逻辑回归模型,该模型利用了2019年第二次全国家庭关系和性别暴力调查的数据,包括15岁或15岁以上有伴侣的女性。在社区和社会层面,促进赋予妇女权力和消除贫困是关键,而在个人层面,预防战略必须针对年轻、贫穷、土著妇女以及长期关系中的妇女。
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引用次数: 1
La lucha contra la corrupción en el territorio: control fiscal territorial y percepciones y experiencias ciudadanas en torno a la corrupción en Colombia 领土反腐败:领土财政控制以及公民对哥伦比亚腐败的看法和经验
Q3 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2022-06-01 DOI: 10.13043/dys.91.1
Sebastián Pantoja-Barrios
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引用次数: 1
On behavioral human development policies: how behavioral public policy adds to human development 论行为人类发展政策:行为公共政策如何促进人类发展
Q3 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2022-06-01 DOI: 10.13043/dys.91.5
Pablo Garcés‐Velástegui
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引用次数: 2
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