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Asymmetric Trade Costs: Agricultural Trade among Developing and Developed Countries 不对称贸易成本:发展中国家与发达国家之间的农业贸易
Q3 Business, Management and Accounting Pub Date : 2018-01-09 DOI: 10.1515/jafio-2017-0035
Jihyun Eum, I. Sheldon, S. Thompson
Abstract In this article, the reasons why developing countries trade fewer agricultural products than developed countries are analyzed. Based on earlier findings that low trade volume in the agricultural sector is due to high trade costs, the focus is on evaluating the extent to which bilateral trade costs in the agricultural sector differ among trading partners. Using a neo-Ricardian trade model, the results show that systematically, asymmetric bilateral trade costs and variation in the level of agricultural productivity across all countries in the sample, are the main barriers to developing countries’ agricultural exports. In addition, low-income countries face higher trade costs to export than do high-income countries.
摘要本文分析了发展中国家农产品贸易少于发达国家的原因。根据早期的调查结果,农业部门的低贸易量是由于高贸易成本造成的,重点是评估贸易伙伴之间农业部门的双边贸易成本差异的程度。使用新李嘉图贸易模型,结果表明,系统地,不对称的双边贸易成本和样本中所有国家农业生产力水平的差异是发展中国家农业出口的主要障碍。此外,低收入国家面临的出口贸易成本高于高收入国家。
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引用次数: 5
Using Local Information to Improve Short-Run Corn Price Forecasts 利用当地信息改进短期玉米价格预测
Q3 Business, Management and Accounting Pub Date : 2018-01-01 DOI: 10.1515/jafio-2017-0018
Xiaojie Xu
Abstract We examine the short-run forecasting problem in a data set of daily prices from 134 corn buying locations from seven states – Iowa, Illinois, Indiana, Ohio, Minnesota, Nebraska, and Kansas. We ask the question: is there useful forecasting information in the cash bids from nearby markets? We use several criteria, including a Granger causality criterion, to specify forecast models that rely on the recent history of a market, the recent histories of nearby markets, and the recent histories of futures prices. For about 65% of the markets studied, the model consisting of futures prices, a market’s own history, and the history of nearby markets forecasts better than a model only incorporating futures prices and the market’s own history. That is, nearby markets have predictive content. But the magnitude varies with the forecast horizon. For short-run forecasts, the forecast accuracy improvement from including nearby markets is modest. As the forecast horizon increases, however, including nearby prices tends to significantly improve forecasts. We also examine the role played by physical market density in determining the value of incorporating nearby prices into a forecast model.
我们研究了来自爱荷华州、伊利诺伊州、印第安纳州、俄亥俄州、明尼苏达州、内布拉斯加州和堪萨斯州等7个州的134个玉米购买地的每日价格数据集的短期预测问题。我们提出这样一个问题:附近市场的现金出价中是否存在有用的预测信息?我们使用了几个标准,包括格兰杰因果关系标准,来指定依赖于市场近期历史、附近市场近期历史和期货价格近期历史的预测模型。在研究的约65%的市场中,由期货价格、市场自身历史和附近市场历史组成的模型比只考虑期货价格和市场自身历史的模型预测得更好。也就是说,附近的市场具有预测性内容。但其幅度随预测范围的不同而不同。对于短期预测,包括附近市场的预测准确性的提高是有限的。然而,随着预测范围的增加,包括附近价格往往会显著改善预测。我们还研究了实际市场密度在确定将附近价格纳入预测模型的价值方面所起的作用。
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引用次数: 7
Alternative Policy Responses to Increased Use of Formula Pricing 对增加使用配方奶粉定价的备选政策回应
Q3 Business, Management and Accounting Pub Date : 2017-11-21 DOI: 10.1515/jafio-2017-0008
B. Brorsen, J. Fain, J. Maples
Abstract This article determines the potential effects of policies to address concerns about lower producer prices due to increased use of marketing agreements. Policies considered are banning alternative marketing agreements, compensating producers who sell on the cash market, and restricting the quantity of marketing agreements. We use an agent-based model in a common-value auction framework to analyze these policies. The common-value auction framework is used because it closely resembles how livestock are actually purchased. The agent-based model is used to find the common-value auction equilibrium. A ban on marketing agreements reduces social welfare and the other policy interventions have little effect on prices. Past theoretical studies predict marketing agreements will cause large reductions in prices paid to producers. Conversely, empirical studies show slight effects. This article offers an alternative theory that more closely matches livestock markets and our results reduce the gap between theoretical and empirical research. The common-value auction model predicts negative effects on producer prices close to those found in past empirical research.
本文确定了解决由于市场协议的使用增加而导致生产者价格下降的政策的潜在影响。考虑的政策包括禁止替代销售协议、补偿在现货市场销售的生产者、限制销售协议的数量。我们在共同价值拍卖框架中使用基于代理的模型来分析这些策略。使用共同价值拍卖框架是因为它与实际购买牲畜的方式非常相似。采用基于agent的模型求解共值拍卖均衡。禁止市场协议减少了社会福利,其他政策干预对价格几乎没有影响。过去的理论研究预测,市场协议将导致支付给生产商的价格大幅下降。相反,实证研究显示影响很小。本文提供了一个与畜牧市场更接近的替代理论,我们的结果缩小了理论和实证研究之间的差距。共同价值拍卖模型对生产者价格的负面影响的预测与过去的实证研究结果接近。
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引用次数: 1
The Contribution of Marketing and Branding Efforts in Food Exports: Evidence from Panel Data 食品出口市场营销和品牌推广的贡献:来自小组数据的证据
Q3 Business, Management and Accounting Pub Date : 2017-09-16 DOI: 10.1515/JAFIO-2017-0006
Kyriakos Drivas
Abstract This paper examines the relationship between food-related trademark activity, approximating for branding and marketing efforts, and food exports for the 48 contiguous states of the US over the period 1999–2015. We find a strong and positive relationship between these two variables. Further robustness checks, including an instrumental variables approach, provide evidence that marketing and branding activities contribute to food exports. With respect to food export policy our results point to providing incentives to the private sector (cooperatives, farmers, firms) to pursue marketing and branding efforts.
摘要本文研究了1999-2015年期间美国48个相邻州的食品相关商标活动(近似于品牌和营销努力)与食品出口之间的关系。我们发现这两个变量之间有很强的正相关关系。进一步的稳健性检查,包括工具变量方法,提供了营销和品牌活动有助于食品出口的证据。在食品出口政策方面,我们的研究结果表明,应鼓励私营部门(合作社、农民、企业)开展营销和品牌推广工作。
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引用次数: 1
Patented Innovation and Firm Value in the U.S. Food and Drink Industry: The Economic Importance of High-Quality Product Innovation 美国食品和饮料行业的专利创新和企业价值:高质量产品创新的经济重要性
Q3 Business, Management and Accounting Pub Date : 2017-09-01 DOI: 10.1515/jafio-2017-0002
J. Grashuis, S. Dary
Abstract We use patent data to study product, process, and marketing innovation in the food and drink industry. From 1994 to 2005, only 61 of 194 U.S. public food and drink manufacturers patented some type of innovation. Furthermore, we find patent ownership is most common to large corporations, and most patented innovations relate to new designs and processes as opposed to new products. According to our empirical panel analysis, however, stock market investors find patent ownership of new product innovations the most valuable, although the intensity of patent ownership is not of utmost importance. Instead, we conclude patent quality is better able to explain variability in the stock market valuation of U.S. food and drink manufacturers. Specifically, a one-percent increase in the quality of patented innovations in food and drink products facilitates a 0.07 % increase in firm value, corresponding to almost $6 million for the mean innovating firm in the U.S. public food and drink industry.
摘要我们使用专利数据来研究食品和饮料行业的产品、工艺和营销创新。从1994年到2005年,194家美国公共食品和饮料制造商中只有61家获得了某种创新的专利。此外,我们发现专利所有权在大公司中最为常见,大多数专利创新与新设计和工艺有关,而不是新产品。然而,根据我们的实证面板分析,股市投资者发现新产品创新的专利所有权最有价值,尽管专利所有权的强度并不是最重要的。相反,我们得出的结论是,专利质量能够更好地解释美国食品和饮料制造商股票市场估值的可变性。具体来说,食品和饮料产品专利创新的质量提高1%有助于0.07 % 公司价值的增长,相当于美国公共食品和饮料行业平均创新公司的近600万美元。
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引用次数: 6
Farm Gate Prices for Non-Varietal Wine in Argentina: A Multilevel Comparison of the Prices Paid by Cooperatives and Investor-Oriented Firms 阿根廷无品种葡萄酒的农场入门价格:合作社和投资者导向公司支付价格的多层次比较
Q3 Business, Management and Accounting Pub Date : 2017-09-01 DOI: 10.1515/jafio-2016-0036
Agustina Malvido Pérez Carletti, M. Hanisch, Jens Rommel, M. Fulton
Abstract In this paper, we use a unique data set of the prices paid to farmers in Argentina for grapes to examine the prices paid by non-varietal wine processing cooperatives and investor-oriented firms (IOFs). Motivated by contrasting theoretical predictions of cooperative price effects generated by the yardstick of competition and property rights theories, we apply a multilevel regression model to identify price differences at the transaction level and the departmental level. On average, farmers selling to cooperatives receive a 3.4 % lower price than farmers selling to IOFs. However, we find cooperatives pay approximately 2.4 % more in departments where cooperatives have larger market shares. We suggest that the inability of cooperatives to pay a price equal to or greater than the one paid by IOFs can be explained by the market structure for non-varietal wine in Argentina. Specifically, there is evidence that cooperative members differ from other farmers in terms of size, assets and the cost of accessing the market. We conclude that the analysis of cooperative pricing cannot solely focus on the price differential between cooperatives and IOFs, but instead must consider other factors that are important to the members.
摘要在本文中,我们使用一组独特的阿根廷农民葡萄价格数据,来检验非品种葡萄酒加工合作社和投资者导向公司(IOF)支付的价格。通过对比竞争尺度和产权理论对合作价格效应的理论预测,我们应用多层次回归模型来识别交易层面和部门层面的价格差异。向合作社出售产品的农民平均获得3.4 % 低于农民向IOF出售的价格。然而,我们发现合作社支付的费用约为2.4 % 在合作社拥有较大市场份额的部门,情况会更糟。我们认为,合作社无法支付等于或高于IOF支付的价格可以用阿根廷非品种葡萄酒的市场结构来解释。具体而言,有证据表明,合作社成员在规模、资产和进入市场的成本方面与其他农民不同。我们得出的结论是,对合作社定价的分析不能只关注合作社和IOF之间的价格差异,而必须考虑对成员重要的其他因素。
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引用次数: 11
Do Geographical Indications Really Increase Trade? A Conceptual Framework and Empirics 地理标志真的能促进贸易吗?概念框架与经验
Q3 Business, Management and Accounting Pub Date : 2017-08-04 DOI: 10.1515/jafio-2017-0010
Zakaria Sorgho, B. Larue
Abstract Production location matters to many consumers and regulators and policymakers are pressed to statue on labels about country of origin, local foods and geographical indications (GIs). This paper investigates the incidence of the EU policy on GIs on bilateral trade flows. We develop ttheoretical arguments and provide empirical evidence to analyze heterogeneity in consumer preferences regarding country of origin (domestic versus foreign) and the implicit quality signals from GI logos. The objective of the paper is to investigate whether producing GIs really boots bilateral trade, assuming heterogeneity in consumers’ preference. We first develop an analytical framework of a simple partial equilibrium two-country model through a Cobb-Douglas utility structure to assess the impact of GIs on trade. In addition, we empirically corroborate the analytical findings with a unique data on protected GIs by product and European country. Our main findings indicate that GI-products have ambiguous effect on international trade. Indeed, their trade-impact depends on the importance of product for consumers (i. e., the intensity and the reputation of GI-product considered as deterministic weight in consumers’ preference). As expected, a heterogeneity in consumers’ preference – due to home bias about local or foreign varieties – can increase or decrease trade, despite the presence of GI-products.
摘要生产地点对许多消费者来说很重要,监管机构和政策制定者被迫在标签上注明原产国、当地食品和地理标志。本文研究了欧盟的地理信息系统政策对双边贸易流动的影响。我们提出了理论论点,并提供了实证证据来分析消费者对原产国(国内与国外)偏好的异质性以及GI标志的隐含质量信号。本文的目的是调查生产地理标志是否真的促进了双边贸易,假设消费者偏好的异质性。我们首先通过Cobb-Douglas效用结构开发了一个简单的部分均衡两国模型的分析框架,以评估地理标志对贸易的影响。此外,我们通过按产品和欧洲国家划分的受保护地理标志的独特数据,实证证实了分析结果。我们的主要研究结果表明,GI产品对国际贸易的影响是模糊的。事实上,他们的贸易影响取决于产品对消费者的重要性。 e.GI产品的强度和声誉被认为是消费者偏好中的决定性权重)。正如预期的那样,尽管存在GI产品,但由于国内对本地或外国品种的偏见,消费者偏好的异质性可能会增加或减少贸易。
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引用次数: 9
Structure and Food Price Inflation 结构与食品价格通胀
Q3 Business, Management and Accounting Pub Date : 2017-02-28 DOI: 10.1515/jafio-2017-0004
Ilya Rahkovsky, R. Volpe
Abstract We pair Nielsen TDLinx data, 2004–2014, with Consumer Price Index data to investigate how changes in food retail market structure drive food price inflation. We find, in corroboration with much of the evidence to date, that market concentration is positively and significantly associated with higher food prices. We find the same to be true for store format concentration, or the homogeneity of food markets. As the market shares, or penetration, of supercenters, warehouse stores, limited assortment stores, and superettes increase at expense of traditional supermarkets, food price inflation decreases.
摘要我们将2004–2014年尼尔森TDLinx数据与消费者价格指数数据配对,以调查食品零售市场结构的变化如何推动食品价格上涨。我们发现,与迄今为止的许多证据相证实,市场集中度与食品价格上涨呈正相关。我们发现,商店形式的集中,或者食品市场的同质化也是如此。随着超级中心、仓库商店、有限种类商店和超级商店的市场份额或渗透率以牺牲传统超市为代价而增加,食品价格通胀率下降。
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引用次数: 3
The Effects of T-TIP Market Access Reform on EU Beef Import Demand T-TIP市场准入改革对欧盟牛肉进口需求的影响
Q3 Business, Management and Accounting Pub Date : 2017-01-29 DOI: 10.1515/jafio-2016-0018
Amanda M. Countryman, A. Muhammad
Abstract Import policies in the European Union have greatly restricted beef imports from all sources. The presence of a binding tariff-rate quota (TRQ) on beef imports in tandem with sanitary and phytosanitary restrictions on biotechnological food products specifically inhibit beef imports from the United States and limit market access in the EU. Potential passage of the Transatlantic Trade and Investment Partnership may lead to a loosening of non-tariff measures (NTM) that serve as technical barriers to trade and give rise to the coexistence of hormone and non-hormone beef products in the EU marketplace. This research assesses the potential changes in import demand for beef under a trade agreement that allows for imports of conventional beef as well as an expansion of the existing TRQ in the EU beef import market. Results confirm that EU imports of beef will increase from all sources with an expansion of the TRQ and that elimination of the NTM related to beef production practices leads to an increase in competiveness of U.S. and Australian beef in the EU import market.
欧盟的进口政策极大地限制了所有来源的牛肉进口。对牛肉进口实行有约束力的关税配额(TRQ),同时对生物技术食品实行卫生和植物检疫限制,这特别限制了从美国进口牛肉,并限制了欧盟的市场准入。跨大西洋贸易与投资伙伴关系的潜在通过可能导致非关税措施(NTM)的放松,这些措施作为贸易的技术壁垒,并导致欧盟市场上激素和非激素牛肉产品共存。本研究评估了在一项允许传统牛肉进口以及扩大欧盟牛肉进口市场现有关税配额的贸易协定下,牛肉进口需求的潜在变化。结果证实,随着关税配额的扩大,欧盟从所有来源的牛肉进口都将增加,而消除与牛肉生产实践相关的NTM将提高美国和澳大利亚牛肉在欧盟进口市场的竞争力。
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引用次数: 0
The Trans-Pacific Partnership and Japan’s Agricultural Trade 跨太平洋伙伴关系协定和日本的农业贸易
Q3 Business, Management and Accounting Pub Date : 2017-01-27 DOI: 10.1515/jafio-2017-0001
A. Schmitz, Manhong Zhu, D. Zilberman
Abstract The Trans-Pacific Partnership Agreement (TPPA) was concluded on October 5, 2015, by twelve countries that include the United States, Japan, Australia, Brunei, Canada, Chile, Malaysia, Mexico, New Zealand, Peru, Singapore, and Vietnam. Under the TPPA, Japan will partially liberalize its five politically sensitive agricultural subsectors: (1) rice, (2) beef and pork, (3) wheat and barley, (4) sugar, and (5) dairy, none of which contain any genetically modified (GM) content. Under full liberalization, Japanese producers in these subsectors will lose (e. g., rice producers will lose over $6 billion and beef producers will lose over $2 billion). Excluding butter, the trade impact of the TPPA on the Japanese government will be negative because of tariff and resale-revenue losses. Our empirical results provide the full effects of complete trade liberalization. However, because the TPPA negotiations of 2015 resulted in only partial trade liberalization, our results can be easily modified to deal with the degree to which trade distortions are removed for each of the above agricultural subsectors. In terms of producers who lose from trade liberalization, the Japanese government will provide compensation.
《跨太平洋伙伴关系协定》(TPPA)于2015年10月5日由美国、日本、澳大利亚、文莱、加拿大、智利、马来西亚、墨西哥、新西兰、秘鲁、新加坡和越南等12个国家签署。根据TPPA,日本将部分开放其五个政治上敏感的农业子部门:(1)大米,(2)牛肉和猪肉,(3)小麦和大麦,(4)糖,(5)乳制品,这些都不含任何转基因(GM)成分。在完全自由化的情况下,这些分部门的日本生产商将蒙受损失。大米生产商将损失超过60亿美元,牛肉生产商将损失超过20亿美元)。除黄油外,由于关税和转售收入的损失,TPPA对日本政府的贸易影响将是负面的。我们的实证结果提供了完全贸易自由化的全部效应。然而,由于2015年的TPPA谈判只导致了部分贸易自由化,我们的结果可以很容易地修改,以处理上述每个农业子部门的贸易扭曲消除程度。对于因贸易自由化而遭受损失的生产者,日本政府将给予补偿。
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引用次数: 1
期刊
Journal of Agricultural and Food Industrial Organization
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