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Indonesia Rejoining OPEC: Dynamics of the Oil Importer and Exporter Countries 印度尼西亚重新加入欧佩克:石油进口国和出口国的动态
Q1 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2016-01-28 DOI: 10.21512/JAS.V3I2.841
M. Badaruddin
Reactivation of Indonesia’s full membership to the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC) triggered discussion surrounding global petroleum governance. The country which decided to suspend its full membership at the end of 2008, currently labelled as net oil importer. However, in OPEC terms Indonesia never really left, instead of the organization termed it as a "suspension”. Departing from the abovementioned context and perspectives, purpose of this essay is to answer the questions about the significance of the Indonesia’s membership reactivation to OPEC, and the strategic context of the reactivation in the current global oil market. In answering these questions, this article draws the dynamics of the relation of Indonesia and OPEC through the history in the first part and explores Indonesia’s interests in rejoining OPEC in the second one. In the third part, this essay will explore the possible benefit for OPEC as an organization as well as for its member countries could achieve by approving Indonesia’s request to reactivate its membership, despite its status as a net oil importer.
印度尼西亚重新成为石油输出国组织(OPEC)的正式成员,引发了围绕全球石油治理的讨论。该国于2008年底决定暂停其正式成员国资格,目前被列为石油净进口国。然而,在欧佩克的术语中,印尼从未真正退出,而是该组织称之为“暂停”。从上述背景和观点出发,本文的目的是回答有关印度尼西亚重新加入欧佩克的意义以及当前全球石油市场重新加入欧佩克的战略背景的问题。为了回答这些问题,本文在第一部分中描绘了印度尼西亚与欧佩克在历史上的动态关系,并在第二部分中探讨了印度尼西亚重新加入欧佩克的利益。在第三部分,本文将探讨欧佩克作为一个组织及其成员国可以通过批准印度尼西亚重新激活其成员资格的请求来实现的可能利益,尽管它是一个石油净进口国。
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引用次数: 7
Jokowi's Maritime Axis: Change and Continuity of Indonesia's Role in Indo-Pacific 佐科威的海洋轴心:印尼在印太地区角色的变化与延续
Q1 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2015-07-30 DOI: 10.21512/JAS.V3I1.751
Anak Agung Banyu Perwita, I. G. B. D. Agastia
Indonesia is undergoing transition and soon, a new president will be inaugurated. The new president brings promises of new foreign and defence policy for Indonesia, building upon Indonesia’s prior principles and putting renewed consideration on Indonesia’s geopolitical position in the Indo-Pacific. This paper examines the “maritime axis”, the concept coined by President Joko Widodo and the possible changes in Indonesian foreign and defence policy required as to achieve the maritime axis. In foreign policy, Indonesia is expected to contribute more to the Indian Ocean Rim Association while maintaining its ASEAN centrality. In defence, there is a significant change in Indonesia’s defence outlook from land-based to maritime-based. Also, Indonesia looks towards India as a security partner in securing the Indian Ocean.
印尼正处于过渡时期,新总统即将就职。新总统为印尼带来了新的外交和国防政策的承诺,以印尼先前的原则为基础,并重新考虑印尼在印度-太平洋地区的地缘政治地位。本文探讨了“海洋轴”,由总统佐科·维多多创造的概念,以及为实现海洋轴所需的印度尼西亚外交和国防政策可能发生的变化。在外交政策方面,印尼有望在保持其东盟中心地位的同时,为环印度洋联盟(Indian Ocean Rim Association)做出更多贡献。在国防方面,印尼的国防前景发生了重大变化,从陆基转向海基。此外,印度尼西亚将印度视为确保印度洋安全的安全伙伴。
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引用次数: 17
Indonesia’s Response in the South China Sea Disputes: A comparative analysis of the Soeharto and the post-Soeharto era 印尼对南海争端的回应:苏哈托时代与后苏哈托时代的比较分析
Q1 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2015-07-30 DOI: 10.21512/JAS.V3I1.749
Derry Aplianta
Before it developed into a dispute among China and Southeast Asian nations, the South China Sea has been disputed long before it became what it is today. The post-World War II era brought a fresh start to a new chapter of dispute, as China, Taiwan, Vietnam, the Philippines, Malaysia, and Brunei Darussalam laid their claims one by one. This study contends that under Suharto’s iron fist rule, Indonesia’s interest to the South China Sea dispute grew from maintaining Indonesia’s territorial integrity to maintaining domestic stability. The former took shape after being threatened by China’s map which claimed a part of the former’s territorial waters, while the later grew in through establishing deeper trade cooperation with China. Despite the half-hearted normalization with China, Indonesia managed to establish a track-two forum for parties involved in the South China Sea dispute, which is later proven to be instrumental. Under President Yudhoyono, Indonesia gradually played its initial role from a passive into an active honest broker, which brought improvements to the process. This research attempts to show that constraint to Indonesia’s role in the South China Sea dispute originates from both the ideological and historical factors. Indonesia’s long-running ideological constraints set its priorities to its interest to the dispute, while its foreign policy doctrine serves as a pragmatic means to achieve its goals of interests. Indonesia’s past relationship with China also played a part in influencing Indonesia’s response which later evolved as the relations went through ups and downs. Moreover, the unclear integration process of ASEAN sets the task of the honest broker became a one-country-show for Indonesia.
在发展成为中国和东南亚国家之间的争端之前,南中国海早在成为今天的样子之前就存在争议。第二次世界大战后,中国、台湾、越南、菲律宾、马来西亚和文莱相继提出主权要求,掀开了争端的新篇章。本研究认为,在苏哈托的铁腕统治下,印尼对南海争端的兴趣从维护印尼领土完整发展到维护国内稳定。前者是在受到中国地图的威胁后形成的,中国地图声称其领海的一部分,而后者则是通过与中国建立更深层次的贸易合作而发展起来的。尽管印尼与中国的关系半心半意地正常化,但它成功地为南中国海争端各方建立了一个二轨论坛,这后来被证明是有益的。在尤多约诺总统的领导下,印度尼西亚逐渐发挥了最初的作用,从一个被动的中间人变成了一个积极的诚实的中间人,这给这一进程带来了改善。本研究试图表明,印尼在南海争端中所扮演角色的制约来自意识形态和历史两方面的因素。印尼长期以来的意识形态限制使其优先考虑其在南海争端中的利益,而其外交政策原则则是实现其利益目标的务实手段。印尼过去与中国的关系也在一定程度上影响了印尼的反应,这种反应后来随着两国关系的起伏而演变。此外,东盟不明确的一体化进程使得诚实经纪人的任务成为印尼的一场独秀。
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引用次数: 8
Media Dissemination “The Threat of Tsunami Unleashed from the Eruption of Mount Anak Krakatau” Through Documentary Movie 媒体通过纪录片传播“喀拉喀托火山喷发引发的海啸威胁”
Q1 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2015-07-30 DOI: 10.21512/JAS.V3I1.753
M. Y. Rezaldi, Wahjoue Soeprihantoro
The Eastern side of the Sunda Strait coastal line is an area which faces directly towards the source of the disaster . Mount Krakatau’s explosion causes m ajor eruptions and destructive tsunami waves back in 1883, causing severe damages to the area and a death-count reaching 30,000 people. Learning from past, it is important to convey the understanding of natural hazards to the public. Spreading knowledge of the threat needs to be done by using methods that can easily be accepted, understood and implemented by any kind of communit ies . This preliminary research compels that the general population does not have sufficient understanding on this natural disaster . They are also oblivious to what procedure should be taken when such a tragedy occur. The research also illustrates that the audio-visual media is the most appropriate and favored method of gaining knowledge by the community. The media is constituted of multiple segments of 3D animations, digital computer animations, and short field-filmed clips, which are then assembled into one single documentary presenting both a virtual-reconstruction of the event whilst giving a variety of information concerning the subject. The content of the documentary will provide information about the Krakatau tsunami, the current condition of Mount Anak Krakatau, the signs leading to a volcanic eruption and a tsunami, and the necessary steps that they will have to follow in response to such threat . This documentary movie will hopefully become an educational tool to expand people's knowledge and awareness at the event of an eruption and a tsunami.
巽他海峡海岸线的东侧是直接面对灾难源头的地区。1883年,喀拉喀托火山爆发引发了3次大规模喷发和破坏性海啸,给该地区造成了严重破坏,死亡人数达到3万人。吸取过去的教训,向公众传达对自然灾害的认识是很重要的。传播有关威胁的知识需要使用易于被任何类型的社区接受、理解和实施的方法。这一初步研究表明,普通民众对这次自然灾害的认识还不够充分。当这样的悲剧发生时,他们也不知道应该采取什么程序。研究还表明,视听媒体是社区获取知识的最合适和最受欢迎的方式。媒体由3D动画、数字计算机动画和现场拍摄的短片组成,然后将它们组装成一个纪录片,既呈现了事件的虚拟重建,又提供了有关主题的各种信息。纪录片的内容将提供有关喀拉喀托海啸、喀拉喀托火山的现状、导致火山爆发和海啸的迹象以及为应对这种威胁而必须采取的必要步骤的信息。这部纪录片希望能成为教育工具,扩大人们对火山爆发和海啸的认识和意识。
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引用次数: 0
A Spatial Analysis on International Remittances, Food Consumption and Deprivation in Indonesia 印度尼西亚国际汇款、粮食消费和贫困的空间分析
Q1 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2015-07-30 DOI: 10.21512/jas.v3i1.752
Maria Elfani
This paper aims to illustrate how international remittances may relate to food consumption and deprivation in Indonesia. The idea is that international remittances may contribute to the reduction of poverty, and since food consumption is an element with which to measure poverty line, this paper intends to show whether international remittances are more likely to be received by poorer households–based on food consumption level in the households. Using Geographic Information Systems (GIS) and the data from the Indonesia Family Life Survey (IFLS4), this paper illustrates the mapping of international remittances and food consumption in some of Indonesia’s provinces. The spatial analysis shows correlation between international remittances and food consumption. International remittances tend to be received by households who have less spending on food. The geographical pattern shows that international remittances are more likely to be received by poorer households based on their food consumption. The result to some extent supports the view that international remittances might benefit the poor the most, particularly on tackling poverty, as poorer households are more likely to receive the remittances.
本文旨在说明国际汇款如何与印度尼西亚的粮食消费和贫困有关。我们的想法是,国际汇款可能有助于减少贫困,而且由于食品消费是衡量贫困线的一个因素,本文打算根据家庭的食品消费水平来显示国际汇款是否更有可能被较贫穷的家庭收到。本文利用地理信息系统(GIS)和印度尼西亚家庭生活调查(IFLS4)的数据,说明了印度尼西亚一些省份的国际汇款和粮食消费情况。空间分析显示国际汇款与粮食消费之间存在相关性。国际汇款往往由食品支出较少的家庭接收。地理格局表明,根据粮食消费情况,较贫穷的家庭更有可能收到国际汇款。结果在某种程度上支持了这样一种观点,即国际汇款可能对穷人最有利,特别是在解决贫困问题方面,因为较贫穷的家庭更有可能收到汇款。
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引用次数: 0
The Proposal for an Indo-Pacific Treaty of Friendship and Cooperation: A Critical Reassessment 印太友好合作条约提案:重要的再评估
Q1 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2015-07-30 DOI: 10.21512/JAS.V3I1.750
Vignesh Ram
The emergence of the Indo- Pacific construct brings about interesting avenues for cooperation among states in the region. Characterised by the intertwining geographies of the Indian and the Pacific Oceans, the Indo- Pacific region is home to some of the most diverse peoples and economies in the world. In a speech delivered at the CSIS, Washington in 2013, the former Indonesian Foreign Minister Marty Natalegwa outlined the need for an “Indo- Pacific Treaty of Friendship and Cooperation”. In efforts to continue to address the prospects and challenges for a treaty among the major powers in the Indo- Pacific region, the article argues that a treaty would be necessary step and but should be concluded when sufficient groundwork for it is concluded. The article also argues that, the Indo – pacific concept would be best addressed if there is increased institutionalization of the concept and increased cooperation among middle powers such as India, Indonesia and Australia.
印度-太平洋结构的出现为该地区各国之间的合作带来了有趣的途径。印度-太平洋地区的特点是印度洋和太平洋相互交织的地理位置,是世界上一些最多样化的民族和经济的家园。2013年,印尼前外长马蒂·纳塔莱格瓦在华盛顿国际战略与国际研究中心发表演讲时,概述了制定“印太友好合作条约”的必要性。为了继续解决印太地区主要大国之间条约的前景和挑战,本文认为条约将是必要的步骤,但应在为其奠定充分基础时缔结。文章还认为,如果印度-太平洋概念能够进一步制度化,并加强印度、印度尼西亚和澳大利亚等中等大国之间的合作,那么这个概念将得到最好的解决。
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引用次数: 6
The South China Sea, Indo-Pacific Cooperation and Indonesian Perspective 南海、印太合作与印尼展望
Q1 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2015-07-30 DOI: 10.21512/jas.v3i1.748
T. Mursitama
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引用次数: 0
Editorial: ASEAN and Taiwan 社论:东盟与台湾
Q1 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2014-12-31 DOI: 10.21512/JAS.V1I2.104
T. Mursitama
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引用次数: 0
China’s Crisis Bargaining in the South China Sea Dispute (2010-2013) 中国在南海争端中的危机谈判(2010-2013)
Q1 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2014-12-20 DOI: 10.21512/JAS.V2I2.302
Eryan Ramadhani
As one of China’s most intricate territorial dispute, the South China Sea dispute has sufficiently consumed significant amount of Chinese leaders’ attention in Beijing. This paper reveals that China exerts signaling strategy in its crisis bargaining over the South China Sea dispute. This strategy contains reassurance as positive signal through offering negotiation and appearing self-restraint and of negative signal by means of escalatory acts and verbal threats. China’s crisis bargaining in the South China Sea dispute aims to preserve crisis stability: a stabilized condition after escalation in which neither further escalation nor near-distant resolution is in order. From the yearly basis analysis in the four-year span study, China’s longing for crisis stability fits into its conduct in crisis bargaining with Southeast Asian states.
作为中国最复杂的领土争端之一,南中国海争端已经足够吸引中国领导人在北京的大量注意力。本文揭示了中国在南海争端危机谈判中运用的信号策略。这一策略包括通过谈判和表现出自我克制作为积极信号的保证,以及通过升级行为和口头威胁作为消极信号的保证。中国在南海争端中的危机谈判旨在保持危机稳定:在争端升级后保持稳定状态,既不可能进一步升级,也不可能短期内解决争端。从为期四年的年度分析来看,中国对危机稳定的渴望符合其与东南亚国家进行危机谈判的行为。
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引用次数: 0
The Political Economy of Industrial Development in Thailand 泰国工业发展的政治经济学
Q1 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2014-12-20 DOI: 10.21512/jas.v2i2.297
Sha Chen
Since the 1990s, governments around the world have emphasized the core concepts of globalization. Many governments initiated a series of political policies regarding liberalization and privatization in response to the inevitable phenomenon. In Southeast Asia, Thailand participated in the development as well by reconstructing its financial system to allow greater foreign capital for investments. Unfortunately, the importance of prudential regulations was underestimated, and the neglect thereafter caused the Asian Financial Crisis which initially occurred in Thailand on the second of June, 1997. The Thai government received 17.2 billion US dollars from the International Monetary Fund (IMF) to stabilize its domestic situation and implemented structural reform to minimize losses from the crisis. Meanwhile, different voices regarding the policies for globalization were expressed. These opinions mainly referred to regionalization/ regionalism and localization/ localism. This study discusses how the Thai state transformed under globalization from three industries: the Telecommunication industry, the Automobile industry, and the Cultural Creative industry. This article observes that Thailand turned to take regionalization and localization into consideration, which in turn demanded the state to increase domestic autonomy and capacity. The findings also suggest that cooperation with other governments in the region to accelerate economic recovery from the crisis was inevitable. However, political instability and close state-business relations continue to make the future of Thailand uncertain.
自20世纪90年代以来,世界各国政府都在强调全球化的核心概念。许多政府针对这一不可避免的现象,提出了一系列有关自由化和私有化的政治政策。在东南亚,泰国也参与了发展,重建了其金融体系,允许更多的外国资本投资。不幸的是,审慎监管的重要性被低估了,此后的忽视导致了亚洲金融危机,该危机最初于1997年6月2日在泰国发生。泰国政府从国际货币基金组织(IMF)获得172亿美元,以稳定国内局势,并实施结构性改革,以尽量减少危机造成的损失。与此同时,关于全球化的政策也出现了不同的声音。这些意见主要涉及区域化/地方主义和地方化/地方主义。本文从电信产业、汽车产业和文化创意产业三个方面探讨泰国在全球化背景下的转型。本文观察到,泰国开始考虑区域化和地方化,这反过来又要求国家增加国内的自主权和能力。调查结果还表明,与该地区其他政府合作加速经济从危机中复苏是不可避免的。然而,政治不稳定和密切的国有企业关系继续使泰国的未来充满不确定性。
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引用次数: 1
期刊
Journal of ASEAN Studies
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