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Formation and assessment of ecological risks of urban landscapes in industrial cities of Belarus 白俄罗斯工业城市景观生态风险的形成与评估
Pub Date : 2021-12-28 DOI: 10.33581/2521-6740-2021-2-45-62
G. Martsinkevich, Iryna I. Shchasnaya, A. Karpichenka, Dzmitry S. Varabyou
The problems of the formation of hazardous natural and man-made processes in industrial cities, contributing to the emergence of environmental risks, are presented. To date, an extensive literary material has been accumulated on this problem, concerning the causes of its occurrence, analysis of the patterns of development, and the possibilities of managing risks, including the environmental ones. It has been established that the list of reasons for the formation of risks in cities lacks one of the most important factors that we have discovered – the structure of urban landscapes, which are quite large objects of urban development. To identify the role of these objects in the formation of environmental risks, the cities of Orsha and Pinsk were selected. These cities were laid down almost simultaneously at the beginning of the 11th century, but they have a different history of development. Maps of urban landscapes of cities were compiled, geochemical studies of their soil cover were carried out, geochemical and thermal anomalies of the surface were revealed, the volumes of ecosystem services (carbon absorption) by green spaces were calculated. It was found that urban landscapes perform various functions in the system of environmental risks: some of them contribute to the development of hazardous processes, others – to mitigate them. So, soil pollution with heavy metals (with an excess of the content of Pb, Cr and Cu over the MPC by 1.2–5.6 times in Pinsk), the strongest heating of the surface (8–16 °C higher than the air temperature in Pinsk and Orsha) and low carbon deposition (100–500 t per year) are typical for urban landscapes of the historical center, urban landscapes with a predominance of industrial buildings, urban landscapes for complex residential multi-storey, public and industrial buildings. Urban landscapes, in the structure of which there are elements of landscape and recreational areas of public use (parks, forest parks, squares), as well as agricultural lands and water bodies, are characterised by a low content of heavy metals in soils (below the MPC in Pinsk, below the background in Orsha), low surface temperature (2–3 °C higher than the air temperature), high volume of carbon deposition (2.6–2.8 thsd t per year). An assessment of the probability of risks associated with the described processes was carried out, which helped to find out that they correspond to the categories of «acceptable» and «neglected», options for risk management were proposed.
介绍了工业城市中危险的自然和人为过程的形成问题,这些过程导致了环境风险的出现。迄今为止,关于这一问题已经积累了大量的文学材料,涉及其发生的原因、对发展模式的分析以及管理风险(包括环境风险)的可能性。已经确定的是,城市风险形成的原因清单缺乏我们所发现的最重要的因素之一——城市景观的结构,而城市景观是城市发展的重要对象。为了确定这些物体在环境风险形成中的作用,选择了奥尔沙市和平斯克市。这些城市在11世纪初几乎同时建立,但它们有着不同的发展历史。编制了城市景观图,对其土壤覆盖进行了地球化学研究,揭示了地表的地球化学和热异常,计算了绿地的生态系统服务量(碳吸收)。研究发现,城市景观在环境风险系统中发挥着各种作用:其中一些有助于危险过程的发展,另一些则有助于减轻危险过程。因此,重金属的土壤污染(平斯克的Pb、Cr和Cu含量比MPC高出1.2–5.6倍)、地表最强加热(平斯克和奥尔沙的气温高出8–16°C)和低碳沉积(每年100–500吨)是历史中心城市景观、以工业建筑为主的城市景观的典型特征,城市景观适用于复杂的多层住宅、公共和工业建筑。城市景观的结构中有公共使用的景观和娱乐区(公园、森林公园、广场)以及农业用地和水体,其特征是土壤中重金属含量低(平斯克MPC以下,奥尔沙背景以下),地表温度低(比气温高2-3°C),高碳沉积量(每年2.6–2.8吨)。对与所述过程相关的风险概率进行了评估,这有助于发现它们对应于“可接受”和“被忽视”的类别,并提出了风险管理的选项。
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引用次数: 2
Precipitation extremes over territory of Belarus under current climate change 当前气候变化下白俄罗斯境内的极端降水
Pub Date : 2021-12-28 DOI: 10.33581/2521-6740-2021-2-32-44
I. Danilovich, Nikita G. Piskunovich
The study presents an investigation of current and future changes in precipitation regime over territory of Belarus. An assessment of precipitation means and extremes and droughts indices was provided for period of 1948–2019 and more detailed analysis have been carried out for period of climate change in 1989–2019. The precipitation expected changes were studied for period of 2021–2099. It was established that precipitation growth up to 20–30 % in winter during 1989–2019 in comparison by 1948–1988, is connected with increase the number of days with weak precipitation and caused by growing duration of liquid precipitation falling. In summer the reducing of rain falling duration was noticed over territory of Belarus. At the same time the significant growth of precipitation maximal totals per day by 20–30 % was detected. The largest growth was found in the south of the country. Dry days number raised by 1–4 days and dry and hot days numbers raised by 1–2 days per decade. The repeatability of atmosphere droughts of different gradations increased up to 2–26 % by the majority of meteorological stations. According to climate projections based on the EURO-CORDEX-11, the growth of yearly and seasonal precipitation is expected over territory of Belarus. The precipitation increase is connected with growth of intense precipitation. At the same time, the dry periods duration is projected to rise in the warm part of the year. These tendencies are characterised the climate extremeness increase in the current century.
该研究报告对白俄罗斯境内降水状况的当前和未来变化进行了调查。对1948 ~ 2019年降水均值、极端事件指数和干旱指数进行了评估,对1989 ~ 2019年气候变化期进行了较为详细的分析。研究了2021 ~ 2099年降水的预期变化。与1948-1988年相比,1989-2019年冬季降水增长20 - 30%,与弱降水日数增加和降水下降持续时间增加有关。夏季,白俄罗斯境内降雨持续时间减少。与此同时,日最大降水总量显著增长20 ~ 30%。增幅最大的是该国南部。干燥日数每10年提高1 ~ 4天,干热日数每10年提高1 ~ 2天。大部分气象站对不同等级大气干旱的可重复性提高了2 ~ 26%。根据基于EURO-CORDEX-11的气候预测,预计白俄罗斯境内的年度和季节性降水将增加。降水的增加与强降水的增加有关。与此同时,预计一年中温暖地区的旱季持续时间将增加。这些趋势是本世纪气候极端增加的特征。
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引用次数: 0
Shifts in the geographical and commodity structure of production and world export of high-technology industrial products with different R&D intensity 不同研发强度的高技术工业产品的生产和世界出口的地理和商品结构变化
Pub Date : 2021-12-28 DOI: 10.33581/2521-6740-2021-2-3-17
I. Rodionova, E. Antipova
The industrialisation of the world economy continues to develop not only at the expense of economically developed, but also at the expense of developing countries. This leads to a spatial regrouping of forces in the architecture of world industry at the regional and global levels. Changes can be traced both in production and in trade in products of hightechnology industries. The purpose of the study is to characterise modern processes in the global manufacturing industry, to show the changing role of regions in the world industry and world trade in products of knowledge- and technologyintensive (KTI) industries with varying degrees of research and development (R&D) intensity, to identify the role of a new leading region, as well as the positions of China and other countries. In the course of the research, Asia’s stable leadership in the production and export of products of high-technology industries with varying degrees of R&D intensity was established. It is shown that at present the Asia region is the leader, first of all, due to the industrial development of China, the share of which is about 30 % in the production of products of the world manufacturing industry. At the same time, the share of China in the manufacturing industry of the Asian region (the modern leader of the world industry) exceeds 50 % (as well as in the trade in industrial products of the countries of this region) already. China came out on top in the export of all groups of high-technology goods with varying degrees of R&D intensity, including in the export of high-technology goods with high R&D intensive (23 and 20 % of world exports, respectively). China is the leader in the production (26 %) and export (12 %) of high-technology goods with medium-high R&D intensity also. The strengthening of the position of the Asian region in the world industry and world trade of knowledge- and technology-intensive goods in the second decade of the 21st century is revealed.
世界经济的工业化继续发展,不仅以牺牲经济发达国家为代价,也以牺牲发展中国家为代价。这导致了世界工业结构中力量在区域和全球层面的空间重组。高科技产业产品的生产和贸易都有变化。本研究的目的是描述全球制造业的现代工艺,展示不同研究与开发强度的知识和技术密集型(KTI)产业的产品在世界工业和世界贸易中各地区不断变化的作用,确定新的主导地区的作用,以及中国和其他国家的立场。在研究过程中,建立了亚洲在不同程度研发强度的高科技产业产品生产和出口方面的稳定领导地位。研究表明,目前亚洲地区处于领先地位,首先是由于中国的工业发展,中国在世界制造业产品生产中所占的份额约为30%。与此同时,中国在亚洲地区制造业(世界工业的现代领导者)中的份额已经超过50%(以及在该地区国家工业产品贸易中的份额)。中国在不同程度研发密集型的各类高技术产品出口中名列前茅,包括高研发密集型高技术产品的出口(分别占世界出口的23%和20%)。中国在高技术产品的生产(26%)和出口(12%)方面也处于领先地位,具有中高研发强度。21世纪第二个十年,亚洲地区在世界知识和技术密集型商品工业和世界贸易中的地位得到了加强。
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引用次数: 0
Economic-geographical assessment of the demographic situation and economic potential of the inter-capital Belarusian-Russian borderlands 白俄罗斯-俄罗斯边境地区首都间人口状况和经济潜力的经济地理评估
Pub Date : 2021-12-28 DOI: 10.33581/2521-6740-2021-2-63-81
E. Antipova, Aliaksei N. Shavel, Ilya I. Zaprudski, Andrei P. Bezruchonak
Geographic research of the phenomenon of inter-capital space of the Belarusian-Russian border region is an actual research area problem for the socio-economic geography of Belarus and Russia. This is due to the objective need to develop mechanisms of overcoming the demographic and economic peripherality of the region and embedding regional economic systems of border regions into the system of local relations. The purpose of the research is to identify the current distinctive features of the demographic and economic development of the inter-capital space of the Belarusian-Russian border region with the establishment of its niche from the point of the central-peripheral approach. During the analysis of the demographic situation of the inter-capital space of the Belarusian-Russian borderlands, it was established that, generally, in 1999–2019, its main feature was peripherality with the three zones established – the central demographic periphery, the buffer demographic periphery and the demographic semi-periphery – with a predominance in the structure of the first zone. Geographically, the central periphery zone is formed mainly by the rural borderland areas. According to the results of the analysis of the industrial development level, it was discovered that the inter-capital space of the Belarusian-Russian borderlands is characterised by a high degree of spatial inequality due to the development of large industrial centers around the existing periphery. This research had established a spatial differentiation of the transportation accessibility (by the connectivity of administrative centers of the borderlands) and the productivity of road transportation. The economicgeographical analysis of the foreign trade had revealed the diversity of directions and intensity of foreign goods trade between the Belarusian-Russian borderlands, mainly expressed in the predominance of the export-oriented regions with the per capita foreign trade turnover estimated at up to 2000 US dollars.
白俄罗斯-俄罗斯边境地区资本空间现象的地理研究是白俄罗斯和俄罗斯社会经济地理的一个实际研究领域问题。这是因为客观上需要建立机制,克服该地区的人口和经济边缘,并将边境地区的区域经济体系纳入地方关系体系。本研究的目的是从中心-外围方法的角度确定白俄罗斯-俄罗斯边境地区资本间空间的人口和经济发展的当前独特特征,并建立其利基市场。在分析白俄罗斯-俄罗斯边境地区首都间空间的人口状况时,确定,总体而言,在1999年至2019年,其主要特征是外围性,建立了三个区域——中心人口外围区,缓冲人口外围和人口半外围&在第一区的结构中占主导地位。从地理位置上看,中央外围地带主要由边疆农村地区形成。根据对工业发展水平的分析结果,发现白俄罗斯-俄罗斯边境地区的资本间空间具有高度的空间不平等特征,这是由于在现有周边地区发展了大型工业中心。这项研究建立了交通可达性(通过边境地区行政中心的连通性)和道路交通生产力的空间差异。对外贸易的经济地理分析揭示了白俄罗斯-俄罗斯边境地区之间对外货物贸易的方向和强度的多样性,主要表现在出口导向型地区占主导地位,人均对外贸易额估计高达2000美元。
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引用次数: 0
About the causes of pine drying in the Belarusian Polesje 关于白俄罗斯波勒捷地区松树干燥的原因
Pub Date : 2021-12-20 DOI: 10.33581/2521-6740-2021-2-82-90
Katsiaryna V. Matsiusheuskaya, Viktar N. Kisialiou, A. Yarotau
Тhe results of identifying the causes of mass drying of pine trees in the Belarusian Polesje are presented. The object of the study is its modern generations on the former depleted sandy arable land and in natural conditions of growth. It is revealed that in the conditions of groundwater reduction after drainage reclamation in modern climatic conditions, the increase in the inflow of direct solar radiation in the 21st century was the limiting factor for the suppression of the stem productivity of pine, which led to the death of the stand.
介绍了确定白俄罗斯波列斯耶松树大规模干燥原因的结果。本研究的对象是其近几代人在过去贫瘠的沙质耕地上和自然生长条件下。结果表明,在现代气候条件下,在排水复垦后地下水减少的条件下,21世纪太阳直接辐射流入量的增加是抑制松树树干生产力的限制因素,导致了林分的死亡。
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引用次数: 1
Site selection for solar photovoltaic system installation using analytical hierarchy process model in Azerbaijan 阿塞拜疆太阳能光伏系统安装选址的层次分析过程模型
Pub Date : 2021-06-15 DOI: 10.33581/2521-6740-2021-1-75-92
N. Imamverdiyev
The most suitable sites for solar photovoltaic power installations are determined through a comprehensive assessment of the meteorological, economic and environmental criteria of the energy potential areas. The basic criteria for location selection are evaluated using an analytical hierarchy process method based on multi-criteria decision-making technique for large-scale solar photovoltaic projects. The analytical hierarchy process model is also applied to evaluate areas of high solar potential and factors that are primary criteria for determinate the site suitability index modelling. This method considers various conditions, such as production and technological considerations, which aim to maximise the short-term profit from the project and the efficiency of power generation. In the study, a consistency ratio of suitable localities was determined and proper alternatives for the construction of photovoltaic installations were evaluated. In addition to local meteorology and related satellite measurement data, the country’s radiation values also were compared by converting a digital elevation model data using the tool «Area solar radiation» in GIS. As a result of calculating the site suitability index with the ArcGIS weighted overlay tool, it was concluded that 1.17 % (1016.8 km2) of the country are the most suitable sites for the installation of solar PV systems. These areas mainly include Khizi, Gobustan, Hajigabul, Beylagan, Sharur, Babek and Jeyranchol zones. The total number of locations identified accross the country, classified into 3 categories according to their level of suitability, includes 40 sites. Eight of these high suitability sites, all in Nakhchivan Autonomous Republic, contain 11 % (109.2 km2) of the total potential area. The remaining 32 sites, corresponding to areas with medium and low energy potential, cover 28 % (284.6 km2) and 61 % (623 km2), respectively. When these areas are completely covered with PV panels, it will be possible to fully supply the energy demand of the country with solar energy.
通过综合评估能源潜力地区的气象、经济和环境标准,确定最适合安装太阳能光伏发电的地点。采用基于多准则决策技术的层次分析法对大型太阳能光伏项目选址的基本准则进行了评价。分析层次过程模型也应用于评价高太阳能潜力地区和因素,这些因素是确定场地适宜性指数模型的主要标准。这种方法考虑了各种条件,如生产和技术方面的考虑,目的是最大化项目的短期利润和发电效率。在研究中,确定了合适地点的一致性比率,并评估了光伏装置建设的适当替代方案。除了当地气象和相关卫星测量数据外,还通过使用GIS中的“区域太阳辐射”工具转换数字高程模型数据来比较该国的辐射值。利用ArcGIS加权叠加工具计算场地适宜性指数,得出全国1.17% (1016.8 km2)的土地最适合安装太阳能光伏系统的结论。这些地区主要包括Khizi、Gobustan、Hajigabul、Beylagan、Sharur、Babek和Jeyranchol地区。全国确定的地点总数,根据其适合程度分为三类,包括40个地点。这些高适宜性遗址中的8个都在纳希切万自治共和国,占总潜在面积的11%(109.2平方公里)。其余32个站点分别为中等和低能量潜力区,覆盖面积分别为28% (284.6 km2)和61% (623 km2)。当这些地区完全被光伏板覆盖时,就有可能完全满足该国的能源需求。
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引用次数: 0
The importance of topography in the occurrence of glacial valleys in Belarus 地形在白俄罗斯冰川谷形成中的重要性
Pub Date : 2021-06-09 DOI: 10.33581/2521-6740-2021-1-93-106
Michail E. Komarovskiy
The relief of the ice-sheet bed predetermines the location of the valleys both in vast regions and in local, relatively limited areas. The influence of the relief in a large region on the formation of valleys occurs in lowland, more dissected northern and western regions of Belarus. Here, the bedrock relief plays a key role in appearance the hollow-like Vidzovsky, Polotsk and Surazh glacial erosion depressions and in isolation of the elevations separating them. The distribution of these largest forms of glacial erosion is associated with the regional picture of the glacial ice flow in topographic depressions, increased erosion of the ice bed, which developed under the glacial streams and lobes of the Scandinavian ice sheet. The degree and character of the relief dissection, the size, surface slope and orientation of the depressions, river paleo-valleys, elevations, and escarps had a leading role in the location of valleys in local, relatively limited areas. Their significance for the formation of valleys was to determine the local picture of the glacial flow and the areas where stresses were concentrated at the bed and glacial erosion intensified. The formation of tunnel valleys was possible in depressions and in the dissected relief of the glacial bed, which contributed to the accumulation of meltwater, the formation of subglacial lakes, as well as the concentration of meltwater in the subglacial channels.
冰原床的起伏预先决定了广大地区和局部、相对有限地区的山谷位置。在白俄罗斯北部和西部的低地地区,地形起伏对山谷形成的影响较大。在这里,基岩起伏在中空的维佐夫斯基、波洛茨克和苏拉日冰川侵蚀洼地的外观上起着关键作用,并与分隔它们的海拔高度隔绝。这些最大形式的冰川侵蚀的分布与地形洼地的冰川冰流的区域图景有关,这增加了冰床的侵蚀,在斯堪的纳维亚冰盖的冰川流和裂片下发展。在局部相对有限的区域内,地形解剖的程度和特征、坳陷、河流古河谷、高程和陡崖的大小、表面坡度和方向对河谷的位置起主导作用。它们对山谷形成的意义在于确定冰川流动的局部图像以及应力集中在河床和冰川侵蚀加剧的区域。在洼地和冰川床的断层中可能形成隧道谷,这有助于融水的积累,冰下湖泊的形成,以及融水在冰下河道中的集中。
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引用次数: 1
Imaginative vision of space in geopolitics: approach to study 地缘政治中的空间想象:研究方法
Pub Date : 2021-06-08 DOI: 10.33581/2521-6740-2021-1-23-34
Viliyan Krastev
The vision of space in critical geopolitics, expressed through the image, is defined. The geopolitical concept of space is interpreted as the result of the geopolitical interaction of the latter with the outside world. Its historical development, the nature of organisation and behavior in relation to other geopolitical entities play a decisive role in this regard. The accumulation of these processes over time forms the semantics of stereotypical political ideas about space, such as: mission, security, buffering, a tendency to integrate and interpenetrate attractiveness, conflict, centrality, peripherality, etc., expressing themselves in a geopolitical image. The images of space, which are becoming increasingly important in geopolitical interaction, direct modern geopolitics to a deeper understanding of the status, role and orientation of various entities expressing geopolitics. A system-representative model of the study of the geopolitical image of space as a basis of methodological orientation, presented as the main idea of the study, has been developed. The model synthesises the interaction between the main factors and elements that form the geopolitical vision of space, which are projected onto its image in a dependent relationship. With this model, we defend the idea of launching an algorithm that adequately structures the process of forming a geopolitical image of space. The attributes that determine the formation of the geopolitical image of space have been displayed: factors of perception of space of internal and external character; sources of space perception (social experience and education, art, media products, maps, media); geopolitical identification; geopolitical identity; geopolitical discourse; semantic stratification and the scale of the geopolitical image.
在批判地缘政治中,通过图像表达的空间视野是明确的。空间的地缘政治概念被解释为后者与外部世界地缘政治互动的结果。它的历史发展、组织性质和与其他地缘政治实体相关的行为在这方面起着决定性作用。随着时间的推移,这些过程的积累形成了关于空间的刻板政治观念的语义,例如:使命、安全、缓冲、整合和相互渗透的趋势、吸引力、冲突、中心性、外围性等,以地缘政治形象表达自己。空间意象在地缘政治互动中发挥着越来越重要的作用,它引导着现代地缘政治对各种地缘政治表达实体的地位、作用和取向有更深刻的认识。作为方法论取向基础的空间地缘政治形象研究的系统代表模型已被发展出来,作为本研究的主要思想。该模型综合了形成空间地缘政治视野的主要因素和元素之间的相互作用,这些因素和元素以依赖关系投射到其图像上。有了这个模型,我们为启动一个算法的想法辩护,这个算法可以充分地构建形成空间地缘政治图像的过程。揭示了决定空间地缘政治形象形成的属性:内外部特征的空间感知因素;空间感知来源(社会体验与教育、艺术、媒体产品、地图、媒体);地缘政治身份证实;地缘政治身份;地缘政治话语;语义分层与地缘政治意象的尺度。
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引用次数: 0
Regularities of soil temperature changes during the period with snow cover in modern climatic conditions of the Eurasian Subarctic 欧亚亚北极现代气候条件下积雪期土壤温度变化规律
Pub Date : 2021-06-08 DOI: 10.33581/2521-6740-2021-1-13-22
L. Kitaev
The influence of snow cover on the dynamics of soil temperature in the modern climatic conditions of the Eurasian Subarctic was investigated through a quantitative assessment of the features of the seasonal and long-term variation of parameters. Seasonal and long-term values of soil temperature for stable snow period decrease from west to east: a decrease of snow thickness and air temperature from west to east of Eurasia leads to a weakening of the heat-insulating properties of the snow cover with a significant decrease in regional air temperatures. With the emergence of a stable snow cover, the soil temperature seasonal and long-term standard deviation sharply decreases compared to the autumn and spring periods. With the appearance of snow cover, the soil temperature standard deviation drops sharply compared to the autumn and spring periods. An exception is the northeast of Siberia: here, a relatively small thickness of snow determines a noticeable dependence of the course of soil temperature on the dynamics of surface air temperature. There are no significant long-term trends in soil temperature due to its low variability during winter period. Analysis of the course of the studied characteristics anomalies showed an insignificant and non-systematic number of their coincidences. Currently, we have not found similar research results for large regions. The revealed patterns can be used in the analysis of the results of monitoring the state of the land surface, in the development of remote sensing algorithms, in the refinement of predictive scenarios of environmental changes.
通过定量评价参数的季节和长期变化特征,研究了欧亚亚北极地区现代气候条件下积雪对土壤温度动态的影响。稳定雪期土壤温度的季节性和长期值自西向东递减:欧亚大陆自西向东的雪厚和气温递减导致积雪隔热性能减弱,区域气温显著降低。随着稳定积雪的出现,土壤温度的季节和长期标准差较秋季和春季显著降低。积雪出现后,土壤温度标准差较秋春季显著下降。西伯利亚东北部是个例外:在这里,相对较小的积雪厚度决定了土壤温度过程对地表气温动态的明显依赖。冬季土壤温度变异性较低,长期变化趋势不明显。对所研究的特征异常的过程分析表明,它们的巧合数量微不足道且非系统。目前,我们还没有在大范围内发现类似的研究结果。所揭示的模式可用于分析陆地表面状况监测结果、发展遥感算法、改进环境变化的预测情景。
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引用次数: 0
Estimation of changes in bioclimatic potential values on the territory of Belarus using normalised difference vegetation index (NDVI) 利用归一化植被指数(NDVI)估算白俄罗斯境内生物气候潜势值的变化
Pub Date : 2021-06-08 DOI: 10.33581/2521-6740-2021-1-3-12
V. Loginov, M. Khitrykau
Relations between bioclimatic potential changes and changes in state of crops have been analysed. NDVI (normalised difference vegetation index) and biological productivity parameter by D. I. Shashko (Bk) were used for this purpose. Average values of both parameters have been increasing over the territory of Belarus: since the beginning of 21st century, Bk values increased by 10–15 points and NDVI values – by 0.02–0.03 points. Relations between them depend on the type of vegetation. Current climate changes appeared to be favorable for forests, but average NDVI values on the croplands have been decreasing despite Bk growth. The main reason for this is high correlation between state of vegetation and water resources available (correlation coefficient r between NDVI and precipitation is 0.65–0.80), which, according to TWSA (terrestrial water storage anomaly) measurements, have begun to decrease during the last decade.
分析了生物气候势变化与作物状态变化之间的关系。NDVI(归一化植被指数)和d.i. Shashko (Bk)的生物生产力参数用于此目的。这两个参数的平均值在白俄罗斯境内一直在增加:自21世纪初以来,Bk值增加了10-15点,NDVI值增加了0.02-0.03点。它们之间的关系取决于植被的类型。当前的气候变化似乎对森林有利,但耕地的平均NDVI值一直在下降,尽管森林面积有所增加。造成这一现象的主要原因是植被状况与可利用水资源之间的高度相关(NDVI与降水之间的相关系数r为0.65 ~ 0.80),而根据TWSA(陆地蓄水异常)测量,近十年来植被状况与可利用水资源之间的相关性开始下降。
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Zhurnal Belorusskogo gosudarstvennogo universiteta Geografiia geologiia
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