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Forecasting COVID-19 cases in Algeria using logistic growth and polynomial regression models 利用logistic增长和多项式回归模型预测阿尔及利亚COVID-19病例
Pub Date : 2021-02-16 DOI: 10.2991/DSAHMJ.K.210630.001
M. Lounis, B. Malavika
The novel Coronavirus respiratory disease 2019 (COVID-19) is still expanding through the world since it started in Wuhan (China) on December 2019 reporting a number of more than 84.4 millions cases and 1.8 millions deaths on January 3rd 2021.In this work and to forecast the COVID-19 cases in Algeria, we used two models: the logistic growth model and the polynomial regression model using data of COVID-19 cases reported by the Algerian ministry of health from February 25th to December 2nd, 2020. Results showed that the polynomial regression model fitted better the data of COVID-19 in Algeria the Logistic model. The first model estimated the number of cases on January, 19th 2021 at 387673 cases. This model could help the Algerian authorities in the fighting against this disease.
新型冠状病毒呼吸系统疾病2019 (COVID-19)自2019年12月在中国武汉爆发以来,仍在全球蔓延,截至2021年1月3日,报告病例超过8440万例,死亡人数超过180万例。在这项工作中,我们利用阿尔及利亚卫生部2020年2月25日至12月2日报告的COVID-19病例数据,使用了logistic增长模型和多项式回归模型两种模型来预测阿尔及利亚的COVID-19病例。结果表明,多项式回归模型与Logistic模型拟合较好。第一种模型估计2021年1月19日的病例数为387673例。这种模式可以帮助阿尔及利亚当局防治这种疾病。
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引用次数: 0
Is a History of Type 1 Allergic Diseases Associated with the Risk of Developing Multiple Sclerosis? 1型过敏性疾病史与多发性硬化症发病风险相关吗?
Pub Date : 2021-02-01 DOI: 10.2991/DSAHMJ.K.210210.001
Abdulrahman Alfawzan, Saeed Alshahrani, Ahmad Alswaidan, Ala Alkharaan, Hayyaf S Aldossary, Awad M. Almuklass
Multiple Sclerosis (MS) is an autoimmune disorder affecting the central nervous system, characterized by demyelination of the neurons with limited remyelination. There has been a rising trend toward associating a history of allergy with MS. Both MS and type 1 allergies are developed by a hyper-reactive immune system. This is further reinforced by the similar environmental and genetic factors of both diseases. This review examines the association between a history of type 1 allergic diseases and the risk of MS, as well as the influence of study location on the association. A literature search was conducted through the Saudi Digital Library search engine, which includes many databases, such as PubMed and Web of Science; articles addressing the relationship between MS and type 1 allergies were retrieved. In this review, most studies show an inverse or no association between type 1 allergy history and MS. Most articles concluded that the relationship is not statistically significant. One study stated that asthma increases MS risk. Geographical location does not influence MS and allergy association.
多发性硬化症(MS)是一种影响中枢神经系统的自身免疫性疾病,以神经元脱髓鞘和有限的再髓鞘为特征。人们越来越倾向于将过敏史与多发性硬化症联系起来。多发性硬化症和1型过敏都是由过度反应的免疫系统引起的。这两种疾病相似的环境和遗传因素进一步加强了这一点。这篇综述探讨了1型过敏性疾病史与MS风险之间的关系,以及研究地点对这种关系的影响。文献检索是通过沙特数字图书馆搜索引擎进行的,其中包括许多数据库,如PubMed和Web of Science;检索了有关多发性硬化症和1型过敏之间关系的文章。在这篇综述中,大多数研究显示1型过敏史和ms之间呈负相关或无相关,大多数文章得出的结论是这种关系没有统计学意义。一项研究表明,哮喘会增加多发性硬化症的风险。地理位置不影响MS和过敏的关联。
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引用次数: 0
Congenital Candidiasis in a Preterm Neonate: Raising Awareness of a Rare and Unpredictable Disease 先天性念珠菌病在早产新生儿:提高认识罕见和不可预测的疾病
Pub Date : 2021-01-01 DOI: 10.2991/dsahmj.k.211112.001
Rami Abuhajj, M. Abdoun, Baneen Syeda, Rasha Abdulla, A. Al Zahrani
Congenital Candidiasis (CC) can be seen within the 1st week of life as a mucocutaneous infection [1]. It can present as diffuse rashes that prompt systemic antifungal treatment to prevent dissemination and candida-related mortality [2]. The disease indicates intrauterine infection if present at birth [3]. It can easily be mistaken for other benign neonatal skin eruptions, especially if the mother has a normal vaginal culture or has been adequately treated for fungal infections. We report a case of cutaneous CC in a preterm infant who presented with rashes at birth and was misdiagnosed as having benign neonatal eruptions. Few cases have been reported in preterm infants, and of these cases, none have been in Saudi Arabia. Therefore, the awareness of these unusual presentations in neonates with skin rashes is crucial to improving patient care.
先天性念珠菌病(CC)可以在出生后的第一周内被视为皮肤粘膜感染。它可以表现为弥漫性皮疹,提示全身抗真菌治疗,以防止传播和念珠菌相关的死亡率。如果在出生时就出现这种疾病,则表明子宫内感染。它很容易被误认为是其他良性新生儿皮肤疹,特别是如果母亲阴道培养正常或真菌感染得到充分治疗。我们报告一例皮肤CC的早产儿谁在出生时出现皮疹,并被误诊为良性新生儿爆发。报告的早产儿病例很少,在这些病例中,没有一例发生在沙特阿拉伯。因此,意识到这些不寻常的表现在新生儿皮疹是至关重要的,以改善患者护理。
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引用次数: 0
In silico-based Discovery of New Potential Drugs Targeting Severe Acute Respiratory Syndrome Coronavirus 2 Spike Glycoprotein 针对严重急性呼吸综合征冠状病毒2刺突糖蛋白的新型潜在药物的硅基发现
Pub Date : 2021-01-01 DOI: 10.2991/dsahmj.k.211103.001
H. Abdelkader, M. Rifaat, M. Baghdadi, N. Sindi, Radwa Rifaat
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引用次数: 0
COVID-19 Vaccine Knowledge, Attitude, and Acceptance among Students in Selected Universities in Nigeria 尼日利亚部分大学学生对COVID-19疫苗的知识、态度和接受程度
Pub Date : 2021-01-01 DOI: 10.2991/dsahmj.k.211014.001
Adebowale Jeremy Adetayo, Basheer Abiodun Sanni, Mariam Oyinda Aborisade
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引用次数: 7
Hepatic Artery Aneurysm in Granulomatosis with Polyangiitis 肉芽肿伴多血管炎的肝动脉瘤
Pub Date : 2021-01-01 DOI: 10.2991/dsahmj.k.211108.001
Sora Boustany, Sammy Tawk, C. Mourad, Beatrice A. Karam
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引用次数: 0
Prevalence and Factors Associated with under-5 Mortality in Nigeria: Evidence from 2018 Nigeria Demographic and Health Survey 尼日利亚5岁以下儿童死亡率的流行率和相关因素:来自2018年尼日利亚人口与健康调查的证据
Pub Date : 2021-01-01 DOI: 10.2991/dsahmj.k.211101.001
A. Talukder, Nusrat Jahan Sathi, Akhtarul Islam, S. Islam, Iqramul Haq
Under-five mortality is a substantial indicator of children’s health, well-being, and consequently, socioeconomic development of a country. The primary focus of this study was to estimate the prevalence and identify the factors associated with under-5 mortality in Nigeria. This research utilized the most recent data from the Nigeria Demographic and Health Survey (NDHS 2018), which is a nationally representative survey. We included all children within 59 months from their birth. Cox proportional hazard (PH) and Cox frailty models were applied to identify the factors associated with under-5 child mortality. A total of 33,924 under-5 children were included. The prevalence of under-5 death was 9.5% [95% Confidence Interval (CI): 9.2–9.8]. In the Cox frailty model at community level, the model reported that multiple births [Hazard Ratio (HR) = 3.0; 95% CI: 2.7–3.4], male children (HR = 1.2; 95% CI: 1.1–1.2), and small-size babies at birth (HR = 1.4; 95% CI: 1.2–1.5) were strongly associated with the high risk of under-5 mortality. Parents with lower education, children from lower wealth quantities, and shorter childbirth intervals similarly had higher hazards of under-5 mortality for both the Cox PH and Cox frailty models. Our results suggest that different health strategies for improving education, nutrition, and family planning might contribute to reduce under-5 mortality
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引用次数: 1
Risk Factors associated with COVID-19 Infection among Contacts of Index Cases in Saudi Arabia: A Case-Control Study 沙特阿拉伯指示病例接触者中与COVID-19感染相关的危险因素:一项病例对照研究
Pub Date : 2021-01-01 DOI: 10.2991/dsahmj.k.211125.001
O. Kiram, Shumukh Alhejaili, Alwaleed Alharbi, Ammar Aldurayan, K. Ganasegeran, M. Alharbi, Mariam A. Alharbi, Sami Abdo Radman Al-Dubai
This study was aimed to determine the risk factors associated with COVID-19 infection among contacts of index cases in Saudi Arabia. This unmatched case–control study was conducted among contacts of confirmed COVID-19 cases in April and May 2020 in Al-Madinah, Saudi Arabia. A total of 118 cases and 115 controls were included in this study. All cases and controls were interviewed via telephone by using a structured questionnaire that included two sections. The first section included participants’ personal and demographic information, and the second part included questions on the degree of distancing and the duration of contact prior to the appearance of the first symptom, seasonal influenza vaccination
本研究旨在确定沙特阿拉伯指数病例接触者中与COVID-19感染相关的危险因素。这项无与伦比的病例对照研究于2020年4月和5月在沙特阿拉伯麦地那对COVID-19确诊病例的接触者进行了研究。本研究共纳入118例病例和115例对照。所有病例和对照组均通过电话访谈,使用包括两部分的结构化问卷。第一部分包括参与者的个人和人口统计信息,第二部分包括有关在出现第一症状(季节性流感疫苗接种)之前的距离程度和接触时间的问题
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引用次数: 0
Impact of COVID-19 Pandemic on the Mental Health of Physicians Working in Obstetrics and Gynecology in Five Tertiary Care Hospitals in Riyadh – A Survey COVID-19大流行对利雅得五家三级医院妇产科医生心理健康的影响——一项调查
Pub Date : 2021-01-01 DOI: 10.2991/dsahmj.k.201217.001
Beenish Maqsood, Amina Butt, Y. Haseeb, G. Ameen, A. Khalil, M. Alhudhud
The Chinese city of Wuhan reported a novel pneumonia, caused by severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2, by the end of December 2019. The disease, subsequently, came to be known as Coronavirus Disease 2019 (COVID-19) and gradually spread around the world [1]. On March 11, 2020, the World Health Organization announced that the spread of COVID-19 was such that it could be characterized as a pandemic. COVID-19 has a potential impact on the mental health of the general population and at-risk subgroups. One such subgroup is that of healthcare workers. Holmes et al. [2] identified frontline healthcare workers as one of the eight vulnerable groups for mental health research. Like many other physicians, obstetricians and gynecologists are on the front lines to treat patients with COVID-19. They are not only working tirelessly to care for such patients, but they also face a variety of psychological effects.
截至2019年12月底,中国武汉市报告了一种由严重急性呼吸综合征冠状病毒2引起的新型肺炎。随后,这种疾病被称为2019冠状病毒病(COVID-19),并逐渐在全球蔓延[1]。2020年3月11日,世界卫生组织宣布,COVID-19的传播可以被定性为大流行。COVID-19对普通人群和高危亚群体的心理健康有潜在影响。其中一个亚群体是医护人员。Holmes等人[2]将一线医护人员确定为心理健康研究的八个弱势群体之一。像许多其他医生一样,妇产科医生站在治疗COVID-19患者的第一线。他们不仅要不知疲倦地照顾这些病人,还要面对各种各样的心理影响。
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引用次数: 0
Glucocorticoids Use and Post-Hospitalization Outcomes among Patients with Coronavirus Disease 2019: A Systematic Review of Observational Studies with Meta-Analysis 2019冠状病毒病患者糖皮质激素使用和住院后结局:对观察性研究的荟萃分析的系统回顾
Pub Date : 2021-01-01 DOI: 10.2991/dsahmj.k.211028.001
E. Alenzi, Hanaa O. Alenizi
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引用次数: 3
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Dr Sulaiman Al Habib Medical Journal
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