首页 > 最新文献

Statistika Ukrayini最新文献

英文 中文
Estimation the Labor Force Replacement Demand in Ukraine, Caused by Its Outflow Due to the Age and Labor Migration 年龄和劳动力迁移导致的乌克兰劳动力流出对劳动力替代需求的估计
Pub Date : 2019-03-23 DOI: 10.31767/SU.1(84)2019.01.04
V. Sarioglo, М. Y. Ogay
The article describes an effective approach to the anticipation of the labor force demand caused by the need to it replace (the replacement demand). The emphasis is made on estimation the outflow of workforce due to the retirement and labor migration.  The importance of medium-term forecasting (for 10 years) of the labor force demand, caused by the need to replace the workers flowing out of the labor market as a whole and separate occupational or qualification groups in particular is justified in the Ukraine’s context. The data sources and methodological approaches to the anticipation of the replacement demand are highlighted. It is shown that the main source of data for the labor force replacement demand anticipation in Ukraine, like in many other countries, is the state labor force the sample survey. A serious problem for Ukraine is accounting of labor migration effects for the replacement demand, which is assessed by conducting ad hoc surveys. The main methods used in anticipation of the replacement demand are method of trend extrapolation, methods of pseudo-cohorts, and stock-flow modeling. These methods enable for assessing and accounting of not only the processes of outflow of the labor force due to the age, but also transitory processes reflected, inter alia, in changes of qualifications and/or professions by young people at the beginning of their carrier. A medium-term anticipation of the labor force demand in Ukraine, caused by outflow of the labor force due to the age and labor migration, is performed. It is shown that the replacement demand caused by outflow of the workers due to the age, accounts for a most significant part of the overall demand for workforce, making up in medium-term perspective nearly 13% of the total employment in 2017. The level of the demand has strong variations across occupational and qualification groups: in the occupational group “the simplest occupations”, the average annual demand caused by the outflow due to the age will be nearly 3.4% of the total employment. It is shown that the replacement demand in Ukraine by occupational group may substantially increase due to labor migration. Thus, the high replacement demand for workers in the simplest occupations is enhanced by the external labor migration of such workers, which share is nearly 42% of the total labor migrants. 
本文描述了一种有效的方法来预测由劳动力需求替代(替代需求)引起的劳动力需求。重点是估计退休和劳动力迁移导致的劳动力外流。劳动力需求中期预测(10年)的重要性在乌克兰的背景下是合理的,因为需要取代整个劳动力市场流出的工人,特别是独立的职业或资格群体。重点介绍了预测替代需求的数据来源和方法。研究表明,与许多其他国家一样,乌克兰劳动力替代需求预期的主要数据来源是国家劳动力抽样调查。乌克兰面临的一个严重问题是通过进行特别调查来评估劳动力迁移对替代需求的影响。预测替代需求的主要方法是趋势外推法、伪队列法和库存流建模法。这些方法不仅可以评估和核算劳动力因年龄而外流的过程,还可以评估和统计年轻人在开始从事职业时的资格和/或职业变化等所反映的短暂过程。对乌克兰劳动力需求进行了中期预测,这是由于年龄和劳动力迁移导致的劳动力外流造成的。研究表明,由于年龄原因导致的劳动力外流导致的替代需求在劳动力总需求中占最重要的部分,从中期来看,占2017年总就业人数的近13%。需求水平在职业和资格组之间有很大的差异:在“最简单的职业”职业组中,由于年龄的原因而流出的年均需求将接近总就业人数的3.4%。研究表明,由于劳动力迁移,乌克兰职业群体的替代需求可能会大幅增加。因此,最简单职业的工人的高替代需求因这些工人的外部劳动力迁移而增加,这些工人的份额占总劳动力迁移的近42%。
{"title":"Estimation the Labor Force Replacement Demand in Ukraine, Caused by Its Outflow Due to the Age and Labor Migration","authors":"V. Sarioglo, М. Y. Ogay","doi":"10.31767/SU.1(84)2019.01.04","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.31767/SU.1(84)2019.01.04","url":null,"abstract":"The article describes an effective approach to the anticipation of the labor force demand caused by the need to it replace (the replacement demand). The emphasis is made on estimation the outflow of workforce due to the retirement and labor migration.  \u0000The importance of medium-term forecasting (for 10 years) of the labor force demand, caused by the need to replace the workers flowing out of the labor market as a whole and separate occupational or qualification groups in particular is justified in the Ukraine’s context. The data sources and methodological approaches to the anticipation of the replacement demand are highlighted. It is shown that the main source of data for the labor force replacement demand anticipation in Ukraine, like in many other countries, is the state labor force the sample survey. A serious problem for Ukraine is accounting of labor migration effects for the replacement demand, which is assessed by conducting ad hoc surveys. The main methods used in anticipation of the replacement demand are method of trend extrapolation, methods of pseudo-cohorts, and stock-flow modeling. These methods enable for assessing and accounting of not only the processes of outflow of the labor force due to the age, but also transitory processes reflected, inter alia, in changes of qualifications and/or professions by young people at the beginning of their carrier. \u0000A medium-term anticipation of the labor force demand in Ukraine, caused by outflow of the labor force due to the age and labor migration, is performed. It is shown that the replacement demand caused by outflow of the workers due to the age, accounts for a most significant part of the overall demand for workforce, making up in medium-term perspective nearly 13% of the total employment in 2017. The level of the demand has strong variations across occupational and qualification groups: in the occupational group “the simplest occupations”, the average annual demand caused by the outflow due to the age will be nearly 3.4% of the total employment. \u0000It is shown that the replacement demand in Ukraine by occupational group may substantially increase due to labor migration. Thus, the high replacement demand for workers in the simplest occupations is enhanced by the external labor migration of such workers, which share is nearly 42% of the total labor migrants. ","PeriodicalId":52812,"journal":{"name":"Statistika Ukrayini","volume":null,"pages":null},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2019-03-23","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"48225253","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 3
The Satellite Account of Expenditures on Environmental Protection: Methodological Aspects of Its Introduction in Ukraine 环境保护支出卫星帐户:在乌克兰采用的方法方面
Pub Date : 2019-03-23 DOI: 10.31767/SU.1(84)2019.01.01
Т. Kobylynska, L. Momotiuk, О. М. Motuzka
The article is devoted to methodological aspects addressed in building up the framework for the satellite account of the expenditure on environmental protection in Ukraine. It is argued that any study of the environment need computations and analyses of quantitative indicators based on the statistics data. Problems of statistical accounting are, therefore, the central ones in investigating the expenditure on environmental protection. One of the most urgent tasks is to ensure comparability of data, to enable comparisons of data at all the levels in order to find output key tendencies and patterns in the expenditure on environmental protection, comparisons of figures relating to environmental protection and macroeconomic situation.  The article contains an analysis of the phases of creating the European standard of the system for environmental-economic accounting on the whole and the environmental protection expenditures account in particular. The sources of data for creating the satellite account for the expenditure on environmental protection in Ukraine, and the indicators included in the EU questionnaire designed to collect data on national expenditures on environmental protection are highlighted. It is demonstrated that data from many sources are used to build the satellite account for the expenditure on environmental protection. It is mentioned that by now Ukraine has not introduced ad hoc surveys of households on the expenditures on environmental protection. Results of the study show that the main sources of data for computations of the expenditures on environmental protection in Ukraine can be the official statistical observation by type of expenditure, collected by form 1 – environmental expenditure (annual) “Expenditures on environmental protection and environmental payments”, where the expenditure are recorded according to the Classification of Environmental Protection Activities. The sources of secondary information, i. e. the data from regular official statistical observations and administrative data that are collected with other purposes and reflect selected aspects of expenditure on EP, are recommended for use when developing the methodology. 
这篇文章专门讨论在建立乌克兰环境保护开支附属帐户框架时所涉及的方法问题。本文认为,任何环境研究都需要在统计数据的基础上对定量指标进行计算和分析。因此,统计会计问题是调查环境保护支出的核心问题。最紧迫的任务之一是确保数据的可比性,使所有各级的数据能够进行比较,以便找出环境保护支出的产出关键趋势和模式,比较与环境保护和宏观经济情况有关的数字。本文从整体上分析了环境经济核算体系欧洲标准的形成阶段,特别是环境保护支出核算。重点说明了为乌克兰环境保护支出设立卫星帐户的数据来源,以及旨在收集国家环境保护支出数据的欧盟调查表所列指标。研究表明,来自许多来源的数据被用于建立环境保护支出的卫星账户。有人提到,到目前为止,乌克兰还没有对家庭进行关于环境保护支出的特别调查。研究结果表明,计算乌克兰环境保护支出的主要数据来源可以是按支出类型进行的官方统计观察,通过表格1 -环境支出(年度)“环境保护支出和环境支付”收集,其中支出根据环境保护活动分类进行记录。建议在制定方法时使用二手资料的来源,即为其他目的收集的、反映环境保护支出某些方面的定期官方统计观察数据和行政数据。
{"title":"The Satellite Account of Expenditures on Environmental Protection: Methodological Aspects of Its Introduction in Ukraine","authors":"Т. Kobylynska, L. Momotiuk, О. М. Motuzka","doi":"10.31767/SU.1(84)2019.01.01","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.31767/SU.1(84)2019.01.01","url":null,"abstract":"The article is devoted to methodological aspects addressed in building up the framework for the satellite account of the expenditure on environmental protection in Ukraine. It is argued that any study of the environment need computations and analyses of quantitative indicators based on the statistics data. Problems of statistical accounting are, therefore, the central ones in investigating the expenditure on environmental protection. One of the most urgent tasks is to ensure comparability of data, to enable comparisons of data at all the levels in order to find output key tendencies and patterns in the expenditure on environmental protection, comparisons of figures relating to environmental protection and macroeconomic situation.  \u0000The article contains an analysis of the phases of creating the European standard of the system for environmental-economic accounting on the whole and the environmental protection expenditures account in particular. The sources of data for creating the satellite account for the expenditure on environmental protection in Ukraine, and the indicators included in the EU questionnaire designed to collect data on national expenditures on environmental protection are highlighted. \u0000It is demonstrated that data from many sources are used to build the satellite account for the expenditure on environmental protection. It is mentioned that by now Ukraine has not introduced ad hoc surveys of households on the expenditures on environmental protection. \u0000Results of the study show that the main sources of data for computations of the expenditures on environmental protection in Ukraine can be the official statistical observation by type of expenditure, collected by form 1 – environmental expenditure (annual) “Expenditures on environmental protection and environmental payments”, where the expenditure are recorded according to the Classification of Environmental Protection Activities. \u0000The sources of secondary information, i. e. the data from regular official statistical observations and administrative data that are collected with other purposes and reflect selected aspects of expenditure on EP, are recommended for use when developing the methodology. ","PeriodicalId":52812,"journal":{"name":"Statistika Ukrayini","volume":null,"pages":null},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2019-03-23","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"48762524","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 1
Statistical Grounding of New National Priorities for the Land Using in the Agrarian Sector 农业部门土地利用新国家重点的统计基础
Pub Date : 2019-03-23 DOI: 10.31767/SU.1(84)2019.01.06
M. Shchuryk, І. V. Hudzyk
Land resources of the agrarian sector are the most important сomponent of the national wealth of Ukraine. However, the efficiency of their use does not meet the present-day requirements, as it is aimed at the permanent increase in the gross output of agricultural products without taking into account the need for improvement and protection of soils, observing the ontology laws and ecology preservation. Land and agrarian reforms implemented through sharing and privatization of land plots have caused the formation of two largest groups of users and owners of agricultural lands: agroholdings and households. However, small and medium agrarian entities have not been properly developed, as it is done in many EU countries. The transformation of land relations in the domestic agrarian sector was directed to searching an honest landlord which had to be households. However, as follows from the study, true owners of land plots could not be found, as the reforms were implemented with significant violations and abuses. As a result, in many cases owners of land plots became individuals who were not directly related to agricultural lands. Unclaimed land shares and increased numbers of plots left by small owners indicate the failure of the land reform.  The owners of agroholdings exploiting their lands to obtain extra profits failed to use the leased lands in an efficient manner, mainly because the profitability of land was achieved without taking into account the need for preserving the soils fertility; the need to respect the laws of ecology and optology preservation is also ignored. The article substantiates the need of introducing new national priorities for the use of agricultural lands, where the formation of small and medium-sized agricultural enterprises should become the key measures. The need for inventory of land plots of the agroindustrial complex by land plot, land owner and land user is demonstrated, which will serve as a roadmap for developing the program of land use in the context of globalization and integration processes.  Efficiency enhancement of the existing agrarian entities and creating new ones by analogy with the EU countries should become a new priority of the land use policy. The authors propose to engage the capacities of domestic R&D to setting the priorities of land use in the newly created united territorial communities.
农业部门的土地资源是乌克兰国家财富的最重要组成部分。但是,其利用效率不符合当前的要求,因为其目的是为了永久增加农产品的总产出,而不考虑改善和保护土壤的需要,不遵守本体论规律和生态保护。通过分享和私有化小块土地而实施的土地和土地改革形成了两个最大的农业用地使用者和所有者群体:农业控股和家庭。然而,中小型农业实体没有得到适当的发展,就像许多欧盟国家所做的那样。国内农业部门土地关系的转变是为了寻找一个诚实的地主,而这个地主必须是家庭。然而,从研究中可以看出,由于改革的实施有严重的违法和滥用行为,因此找不到地块的真正所有者。结果,在许多情况下,小块土地的所有者变成了与农业用地没有直接关系的个人。无人认领的土地份额和小业主留下的地块数量的增加表明土地改革的失败。利用其土地获取额外利润的农业所有者未能有效地使用租用的土地,主要是因为土地的盈利是在没有考虑到保持土壤肥力的需要的情况下实现的;尊重生态和光学保护规律的需要也被忽视了。文章论证了引入新的国家农地利用优先顺序的必要性,其中组建农业中小企业应成为关键措施。本文论证了按地块、土地所有者和土地使用者对农工综合体地块进行盘查的必要性,这将作为在全球化和一体化进程背景下制定土地使用方案的路线图。提高现有土地实体的效率,并效仿欧盟国家创建新的土地实体,应成为土地利用政策的新重点。作者建议在新成立的联合领土社区中利用国内研发能力来确定土地利用的优先次序。
{"title":"Statistical Grounding of New National Priorities for the Land Using in the Agrarian Sector","authors":"M. Shchuryk, І. V. Hudzyk","doi":"10.31767/SU.1(84)2019.01.06","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.31767/SU.1(84)2019.01.06","url":null,"abstract":"Land resources of the agrarian sector are the most important сomponent of the national wealth of Ukraine. However, the efficiency of their use does not meet the present-day requirements, as it is aimed at the permanent increase in the gross output of agricultural products without taking into account the need for improvement and protection of soils, observing the ontology laws and ecology preservation. Land and agrarian reforms implemented through sharing and privatization of land plots have caused the formation of two largest groups of users and owners of agricultural lands: agroholdings and households. However, small and medium agrarian entities have not been properly developed, as it is done in many EU countries. \u0000The transformation of land relations in the domestic agrarian sector was directed to searching an honest landlord which had to be households. However, as follows from the study, true owners of land plots could not be found, as the reforms were implemented with significant violations and abuses. As a result, in many cases owners of land plots became individuals who were not directly related to agricultural lands. Unclaimed land shares and increased numbers of plots left by small owners indicate the failure of the land reform.  \u0000The owners of agroholdings exploiting their lands to obtain extra profits failed to use the leased lands in an efficient manner, mainly because the profitability of land was achieved without taking into account the need for preserving the soils fertility; the need to respect the laws of ecology and optology preservation is also ignored. \u0000The article substantiates the need of introducing new national priorities for the use of agricultural lands, where the formation of small and medium-sized agricultural enterprises should become the key measures. The need for inventory of land plots of the agroindustrial complex by land plot, land owner and land user is demonstrated, which will serve as a roadmap for developing the program of land use in the context of globalization and integration processes.  Efficiency enhancement of the existing agrarian entities and creating new ones by analogy with the EU countries should become a new priority of the land use policy. \u0000The authors propose to engage the capacities of domestic R&D to setting the priorities of land use in the newly created united territorial communities.","PeriodicalId":52812,"journal":{"name":"Statistika Ukrayini","volume":null,"pages":null},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2019-03-23","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"47393441","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Application of Index Models in Assessing the Foreign Economic Activity of Ukraine 指数模型在评估乌克兰对外经济活动中的应用
Pub Date : 2019-03-23 DOI: 10.31767/SU.1(84)2019.01.03
H. Holubova
The importance of statistical assessment of foreign economic activities in Ukraine, considering the structure and geographical re-orientation of the Ukrainian foreign trade and new challenges of the globalized and highly competitive market of goods and services, gives rise to the modeling of patterns underlying future tendencies in the development of the Ukrainian foreign trade. The article contains a description of approaches to the analysis of foreign economic activities in Ukraine by use of index models. Several index models are constructed and used for assessing the debt burden of Ukraine, the impact of selected sub-factors on it are determined, and the dynamics of the export quota in 2016–2017 are highlighted By use of the chain substitutions method it is found that the debt burden of Ukraine decreased in 2017, compared to 2016, by 21.0% due to the reduced import dependence of Ukraine, by 12.0% due to the partial debt burden, but increased by 4.1% due to the export losses. The results show that the strongest impact on the dynamics of debt burden of Ukraine came from the import dependence (56.6%), which means that the strict import quota remains the main factor of the increasing foreign debt of Ukraine, which caused 5.9% loss of export earnings in 2016, and 2.3% in 2017. The analysis of the export quota dynamics based on the index model showed that the impact of the international intraspecific specialization of the country on it was 43.2%, and the impact of the exports’ share in the foreign trade balance made 44.7%. That is, the main factors of change are the commodity and geographical specialization of Ukraine, as well as the imbalance in the foreign trade. Results of the analysis of the indices of averages show that due to the growth in export quotas of products of vegetable origin, fats and oils by 12.7%, and under the influence of the commodity structure of exports (–8.4%), the export quota increased by 3.2% in 2017 compared to 2012. The import quota of goods decreased by 17%, including by 7.6% due to the reduced import dependence of the country, and by 10.1% due to the changed structure of imports. Results of the analysis indicate significant change in the trend of export and import quotas of Ukraine on account of geographical reorientation: due to changes in the geographical structure of exports and imports of Ukraine, the export and import quotas decreased by 41.5%, and 32.2%, respectively. The analysis of the commodity structure of the Ukrainian foreign trade in 2012–2017 shows that the largest export positions were non-precious metals (ferrous metals and products made thereof), grain crops, fats and oils, electric machinery; in the exports of services, the largest share was accounted for by transport services, telecommunication services, computer and information services, processing of material resources, and business services. In the commodity structure of imports, mineral products had the largest share, which, however, decreas
考虑到乌克兰对外贸易的结构和地理重新定位,以及全球化和竞争激烈的商品和服务市场的新挑战,对乌克兰对外经济活动进行统计评估的重要性,促使人们对乌克兰对外贸易发展的未来趋势模式进行建模。本文介绍了使用指数模型分析乌克兰外国经济活动的方法。构建了几个指数模型并用于评估乌克兰的债务负担,确定了所选子因素对其的影响,并强调了2016-2017年出口配额的动态。使用链替代法发现,由于乌克兰进口依赖性的降低,2017年乌克兰的债务负担比2016年下降了21.0%,由于部分债务负担,增长了12.0%,但由于出口损失,增长了4.1%。结果表明,对乌克兰债务负担动态的最强烈影响来自进口依赖(56.6%),这意味着严格的进口配额仍然是乌克兰外债增加的主要因素,这导致2016年出口收入损失5.9%,2017年损失2.3%。基于指数模型的出口配额动态分析表明,该国的国际种内专业化对其影响为43.2%,出口在外贸平衡中所占份额的影响为44.7%。也就是说,变化的主要因素是乌克兰的商品和地理专业化,以及外贸的不平衡。平均指数分析结果显示,由于蔬菜、油脂产品的出口配额增长了12.7%,以及受出口商品结构(-8.4%)的影响,2017年的出口配额比2012年增长了3.2%。货物进口配额下降了17%,其中7.6%是由于该国进口依赖性降低,10.1%是由于进口结构变化。分析结果表明,由于地理重新定位,乌克兰进出口配额的趋势发生了重大变化:由于乌克兰进出口地理结构的变化,进出口配额分别下降了41.5%和32.2%。对2012-2017年乌克兰外贸商品结构的分析表明,最大的出口头寸是非贵金属(黑色金属及其制品)、粮食作物、油脂、电机;在服务出口中,运输服务、电信服务、计算机和信息服务、物质资源加工和商业服务占最大份额。在进口商品结构中,矿产品的份额最大,但与2012年相比,2017年下降了7.36个百分点。服务进口主要是运输服务和政府服务。俄罗斯联邦仍然是乌克兰进出口业务的主要合作伙伴:2017年占乌克兰货物出口的9.1%,比2012年减少16.53个百分点;2017年占商品进口的14.5%,比2012年下降17.86个百分点。乌克兰在服务进口方面的主要合作伙伴是美国,2017年占服务进口总额的11.78%,比2012年增加6.7个百分点。
{"title":"Application of Index Models in Assessing the Foreign Economic Activity of Ukraine","authors":"H. Holubova","doi":"10.31767/SU.1(84)2019.01.03","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.31767/SU.1(84)2019.01.03","url":null,"abstract":"The importance of statistical assessment of foreign economic activities in Ukraine, considering the structure and geographical re-orientation of the Ukrainian foreign trade and new challenges of the globalized and highly competitive market of goods and services, gives rise to the modeling of patterns underlying future tendencies in the development of the Ukrainian foreign trade. The article contains a description of approaches to the analysis of foreign economic activities in Ukraine by use of index models. Several index models are constructed and used for assessing the debt burden of Ukraine, the impact of selected sub-factors on it are determined, and the dynamics of the export quota in 2016–2017 are highlighted \u0000By use of the chain substitutions method it is found that the debt burden of Ukraine decreased in 2017, compared to 2016, by 21.0% due to the reduced import dependence of Ukraine, by 12.0% due to the partial debt burden, but increased by 4.1% due to the export losses. The results show that the strongest impact on the dynamics of debt burden of Ukraine came from the import dependence (56.6%), which means that the strict import quota remains the main factor of the increasing foreign debt of Ukraine, which caused 5.9% loss of export earnings in 2016, and 2.3% in 2017. \u0000The analysis of the export quota dynamics based on the index model showed that the impact of the international intraspecific specialization of the country on it was 43.2%, and the impact of the exports’ share in the foreign trade balance made 44.7%. That is, the main factors of change are the commodity and geographical specialization of Ukraine, as well as the imbalance in the foreign trade. \u0000Results of the analysis of the indices of averages show that due to the growth in export quotas of products of vegetable origin, fats and oils by 12.7%, and under the influence of the commodity structure of exports (–8.4%), the export quota increased by 3.2% in 2017 compared to 2012. The import quota of goods decreased by 17%, including by 7.6% due to the reduced import dependence of the country, and by 10.1% due to the changed structure of imports. \u0000Results of the analysis indicate significant change in the trend of export and import quotas of Ukraine on account of geographical reorientation: due to changes in the geographical structure of exports and imports of Ukraine, the export and import quotas decreased by 41.5%, and 32.2%, respectively. \u0000The analysis of the commodity structure of the Ukrainian foreign trade in 2012–2017 shows that the largest export positions were non-precious metals (ferrous metals and products made thereof), grain crops, fats and oils, electric machinery; in the exports of services, the largest share was accounted for by transport services, telecommunication services, computer and information services, processing of material resources, and business services. In the commodity structure of imports, mineral products had the largest share, which, however, decreas","PeriodicalId":52812,"journal":{"name":"Statistika Ukrayini","volume":null,"pages":null},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2019-03-23","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"47025905","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 1
Statistical Estimation of the Awareness of the Working Age Population about Harmful Consumption of Alcohol as a Risk Factor of Cardiovascular Diseases 工作年龄人口对有害消费酒精作为心血管疾病危险因素的认识的统计估计
Pub Date : 2019-03-23 DOI: 10.31767/SU.1(84)2019.01.08
N. Ryngach
The article is devoted to the analysis of awareness of the working age population about alcohol abuse as a risk factor for cardiovascular diseases according to the results of a sociological study. The goal is to identify and characterize the awareness of residents of the Dnipropetrovsk region about the harmful alcohol consumption, personal attitudes and practices of drinking, the possibility of minimizing its harmful effects for the prevention and treatment of cardiovascular diseases, as well as the activity to correct this risk factor. The method of personalized formal interviews is used. The survey of a representative sample of the population of working age (N2000) was carried out according to a specially developed methodology of qualitative and quantitative research stages and data collection tools. The study was conducted in 2017 on request of the Dnipropetrovsk Regional State Administration with the financial support of the World Bank. The gap between the almost complete awareness of the respondents (95.1%) and the harmful effects of alcohol abuse on existing cardiovascular disease or its possible future occurrence and actual practice of use was revealed. The majority of respondents reported that they drank alcohol (57.6%) now or had consumed it before (15%). It was shown that men prevailed in the group of those who consumed alcohol almost daily or several times a week (33.3% of those who consumed alcohol, versus 9.5% among women). The most common portion of alcohol among respondents (51.1%), consumed in one take, did not exceed three standard drinks.  The main reasons that prompted alcohol consumption were unwillingness to “fall out” from the team (more than 75% of respondents); national traditions (40%); way to relieve stress (25%). The expediency of studying changes in the situation regarding the prevalence of harmful use of alcohol, habitual practices of its use, activity to minimize harmful effects from the review of prevention and treatment of cardiovascular diseases in particular and adherence to a healthy lifestyle as a whole, after a certain time interval according to a similar methodology has been proved. The results of the survey can be used to assess the effectiveness of measures to improve the health literacy of the population, increase the motivation to change behavior in favor of health, building composite indicators.
根据一项社会学研究的结果,本文专门分析了劳动年龄人口对酗酒作为心血管疾病危险因素的认识。目的是查明和确定第聂伯罗彼得罗夫斯克地区居民对有害饮酒的认识、个人饮酒态度和习惯、尽量减少其对预防和治疗心血管疾病的有害影响的可能性,以及纠正这一风险因素的活动。采用了个性化的正式访谈方法。根据专门开发的定性和定量研究阶段和数据收集工具的方法,对工作年龄人口的代表性样本(N2000)进行了调查。该研究是应第聂伯罗彼得罗夫斯克地区国家管理局的要求,在世界银行的财政支持下于2017年进行的。调查显示,受访者(95.1%)几乎完全了解酒精滥用对现有心血管疾病或未来可能发生的有害影响,与实际使用存在差距。大多数受访者报告说,他们现在喝酒(57.6%)或以前喝过酒(15%)。研究表明,在几乎每天或每周饮酒几次的人群中,男性占多数(占饮酒者的33.3%,而女性占9.5%)。受访者中最常见的酒精部分(51.1%),一次饮用不超过三种标准饮料。促使他们喝酒的主要原因是不愿意“脱离”团队(超过75%的受访者);民族传统(40%);缓解压力的方法(25%)。根据类似的方法,在一段时间间隔后,研究有害使用酒精的流行情况、使用酒精的习惯做法、为尽量减少心血管疾病的预防和治疗审查的有害影响而开展的活动以及总体上坚持健康的生活方式的变化是有益的。调查结果可用于评估各项措施的有效性,以提高人口的卫生素养,增加改变有利于健康的行为的动机,建立复合指标。
{"title":"Statistical Estimation of the Awareness of the Working Age Population about Harmful Consumption of Alcohol as a Risk Factor of Cardiovascular Diseases","authors":"N. Ryngach","doi":"10.31767/SU.1(84)2019.01.08","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.31767/SU.1(84)2019.01.08","url":null,"abstract":"The article is devoted to the analysis of awareness of the working age population about alcohol abuse as a risk factor for cardiovascular diseases according to the results of a sociological study. \u0000The goal is to identify and characterize the awareness of residents of the Dnipropetrovsk region about the harmful alcohol consumption, personal attitudes and practices of drinking, the possibility of minimizing its harmful effects for the prevention and treatment of cardiovascular diseases, as well as the activity to correct this risk factor. \u0000The method of personalized formal interviews is used. The survey of a representative sample of the population of working age (N2000) was carried out according to a specially developed methodology of qualitative and quantitative research stages and data collection tools. The study was conducted in 2017 on request of the Dnipropetrovsk Regional State Administration with the financial support of the World Bank. \u0000The gap between the almost complete awareness of the respondents (95.1%) and the harmful effects of alcohol abuse on existing cardiovascular disease or its possible future occurrence and actual practice of use was revealed. The majority of respondents reported that they drank alcohol (57.6%) now or had consumed it before (15%). \u0000It was shown that men prevailed in the group of those who consumed alcohol almost daily or several times a week (33.3% of those who consumed alcohol, versus 9.5% among women). The most common portion of alcohol among respondents (51.1%), consumed in one take, did not exceed three standard drinks.  The main reasons that prompted alcohol consumption were unwillingness to “fall out” from the team (more than 75% of respondents); national traditions (40%); way to relieve stress (25%). \u0000The expediency of studying changes in the situation regarding the prevalence of harmful use of alcohol, habitual practices of its use, activity to minimize harmful effects from the review of prevention and treatment of cardiovascular diseases in particular and adherence to a healthy lifestyle as a whole, after a certain time interval according to a similar methodology has been proved. The results of the survey can be used to assess the effectiveness of measures to improve the health literacy of the population, increase the motivation to change behavior in favor of health, building composite indicators.","PeriodicalId":52812,"journal":{"name":"Statistika Ukrayini","volume":null,"pages":null},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2019-03-23","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"47200681","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 1
Analysis of Information Support of Knowledge Management in Ukraine 乌克兰知识管理的信息支持分析
Pub Date : 2019-03-23 DOI: 10.31767/SU.1(84)2019.01.07
O. Oliinyk
The article defines the place and components of IT solutions in the knowledge management system. The author substantiates that the use of modern IT solutions in the knowledge management system is an essential component of creation, search, transfer, exchange, development and effective use of knowledge. A large number of different technologies are used to integrate into a single complex of knowledge management system, including traditional automation systems and information retrieval systems, e-mail, corporate networks and Internet services, databases and data warehouses, electronic document management systems, specialized data processing programs, expert systems and databases knowledge In this case, a computer remains as a main tool of information management knowledge management in Ukraine. The scholar analysed the dynamics of the major indicators of computer devices’ use of by enterprises. The paper determined that not all enterprises in Ukraine use computers in their business activities. The proportion of enterprises, which used computers in 2017, amounted for 95.4%, which is by 0.2% more in comparison with 2015. The best situation in this aspect is in such types of economic activities as professional, scientific and technical activities; information and telecommunications; water supply; sewage, waste management. However, on average only every third employee in Ukraine used a computer to perform his/her professional duties. The author examined the main Internet-based jobs, where traditional activities are the most popular ones, namely: sending or receiving various e-mails, receiving information about goods and services. At the same time, videoconferencing is less popular, which is a negative factor in creating effective communication in the transmission, dissemination and exchange of knowledge. The paper explored the degree of using the possibilities of a corporate website for personnel training. The author determined that only every tenth enterprise in Ukraine uses its own website for the professional development of the employees. The scholar substantiated the features of social media, which promote the efficiency of their use as a tool for knowledge management. Exchanging views, opinions or knowledge within the enterprise and engaging customers in the development or innovation of goods and services remain the least popular objectives of social media work.
本文定义了IT解决方案在知识管理系统中的位置和组件。作者认为,在知识管理系统中使用现代信息技术解决方案是知识创造、搜索、转移、交流、开发和有效利用的重要组成部分。大量不同的技术被用来集成到一个复杂的知识管理系统中,包括传统的自动化系统和信息检索系统、电子邮件、公司网络和互联网服务、数据库和数据仓库、电子文档管理系统、专门的数据处理程序、,专家系统和数据库知识在这种情况下,计算机仍然是乌克兰信息管理知识管理的主要工具。这位学者分析了企业使用计算机设备的主要指标的动态。该论文确定,并非所有乌克兰企业在其商业活动中都使用计算机。2017年使用计算机的企业比例为95.4%,与2015年相比增加了0.2%。这方面最好的情况是从事专业、科学和技术活动等类型的经济活动;信息和电信;供水;污水、废物管理。然而,乌克兰平均只有三分之一的员工使用电脑履行其专业职责。作者考察了主要的基于互联网的工作,其中传统活动最受欢迎,即:发送或接收各种电子邮件,接收有关商品和服务的信息。与此同时,视频会议不太受欢迎,这是在传播、传播和交流知识方面建立有效沟通的一个不利因素。本文探讨了利用企业网站进行人员培训的可能性的程度。作者确定,乌克兰只有十分之一的企业使用自己的网站来促进员工的专业发展。这位学者证实了社交媒体的特点,它提高了社交媒体作为知识管理工具的使用效率。在企业内部交换观点、意见或知识,让客户参与商品和服务的开发或创新,仍然是社交媒体工作中最不受欢迎的目标。
{"title":"Analysis of Information Support of Knowledge Management in Ukraine","authors":"O. Oliinyk","doi":"10.31767/SU.1(84)2019.01.07","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.31767/SU.1(84)2019.01.07","url":null,"abstract":"The article defines the place and components of IT solutions in the knowledge management system. The author substantiates that the use of modern IT solutions in the knowledge management system is an essential component of creation, search, transfer, exchange, development and effective use of knowledge. A large number of different technologies are used to integrate into a single complex of knowledge management system, including traditional automation systems and information retrieval systems, e-mail, corporate networks and Internet services, databases and data warehouses, electronic document management systems, specialized data processing programs, expert systems and databases knowledge In this case, a computer remains as a main tool of information management knowledge management in Ukraine. The scholar analysed the dynamics of the major indicators of computer devices’ use of by enterprises. The paper determined that not all enterprises in Ukraine use computers in their business activities. The proportion of enterprises, which used computers in 2017, amounted for 95.4%, which is by 0.2% more in comparison with 2015. The best situation in this aspect is in such types of economic activities as professional, scientific and technical activities; information and telecommunications; water supply; sewage, waste management. However, on average only every third employee in Ukraine used a computer to perform his/her professional duties. The author examined the main Internet-based jobs, where traditional activities are the most popular ones, namely: sending or receiving various e-mails, receiving information about goods and services. At the same time, videoconferencing is less popular, which is a negative factor in creating effective communication in the transmission, dissemination and exchange of knowledge. The paper explored the degree of using the possibilities of a corporate website for personnel training. The author determined that only every tenth enterprise in Ukraine uses its own website for the professional development of the employees. The scholar substantiated the features of social media, which promote the efficiency of their use as a tool for knowledge management. Exchanging views, opinions or knowledge within the enterprise and engaging customers in the development or innovation of goods and services remain the least popular objectives of social media work.","PeriodicalId":52812,"journal":{"name":"Statistika Ukrayini","volume":null,"pages":null},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2019-03-23","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"48391058","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 1
Core Trends in the Development of the Industrial Sector in the Ukrainian Regions 乌克兰地区工业部门发展的核心趋势
Pub Date : 2019-03-23 DOI: 10.31767/SU.1(84)2019.01.09
S. Ishchuk
The deepening of the processes of European integration updated the need for Ukraine to increase the competitiveness of products of domestic producers to the level of the EU member states. The solution to this problem is impossible without structural modernization of Ukrainian industry. In its turn, the choice of directions and mechanisms for the practical implementation of the new state industrial policy in Ukraine (in particular, at the regional level) should be based on the results of relevant analytical assessments. The purpose of the article is to determine the key trends in the development of industry in Ukraine based on the evaluation of the dynamics of the values of indicators that systematically characterize the level of functioning of the industrial sector of the national economy in a regional context. The results of the analysis revealed that industry remains the leading type of economic activity in Ukraine with a share of 34.1% in the volume of sales of products (goods and services) in 2017. That year the industrial sector of the national economy significantly increased production, export and investment activity, and also reached a higher level of efficiency, in particular, resource (return on assets and labor productivity) and economic (operating profitability, profitability and return on assets). At the same time, there was a further decrease in the level of capital and innovation activity of the industry. To a certain extent, this is due to a slowdown in the dynamics of investment processes – the growth rate of capital investment in industry decreased by 18.4 pp. In order to counteract the established negative trends in industrial development (first of all, deterioration of the structure of assets and decrease of innovation activity, in particular, reduction of the share of innovative products in the total volume of industrial products sold, etc.), as well as for the further growth of profitability of the subjects of industrial activity and increase of the share of industry in commodity exports, the implementation of a complex of organizational and economic and financial mechanisms in the following areas: stimulating the level of innovation activity; activation of attraction of direct foreign investments; increasing export potential.
欧洲一体化进程的深化更新了乌克兰将国内生产商产品竞争力提高到欧盟成员国水平的必要性。如果没有乌克兰工业的结构现代化,这个问题的解决是不可能的。反过来,在乌克兰(特别是在区域一级)实际执行新的国家工业政策的方向和机制的选择应基于相关分析评估的结果。这篇文章的目的是根据对指标价值动态的评估,确定乌克兰工业发展的主要趋势,这些指标系统地描述了区域背景下国民经济工业部门的运作水平。分析结果显示,工业仍然是乌克兰的主要经济活动类型,2017年在产品(商品和服务)销售额中所占份额为34.1%。那一年,国民经济的工业部门显著增加了生产、出口和投资活动,也达到了更高的效率水平,特别是资源(资产回报率和劳动生产率)和经济(经营盈利能力、盈利能力和资产回报率)。与此同时,该行业的资本和创新活动水平进一步下降。在某种程度上,这是由于投资过程的动态放缓——工业资本投资的增长率下降了18.4页。为了抵消工业发展中既定的负面趋势(首先是资产结构恶化和创新活动减少,特别是创新产品在工业产品销售总量中的份额减少等),以及为了进一步提高工业活动主体的盈利能力和增加工业在商品出口中的份额,在以下领域实施复杂的组织、经济和金融机制:刺激创新活动水平;激活吸引外国直接投资;增加出口潜力。
{"title":"Core Trends in the Development of the Industrial Sector in the Ukrainian Regions","authors":"S. Ishchuk","doi":"10.31767/SU.1(84)2019.01.09","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.31767/SU.1(84)2019.01.09","url":null,"abstract":"The deepening of the processes of European integration updated the need for Ukraine to increase the competitiveness of products of domestic producers to the level of the EU member states. The solution to this problem is impossible without structural modernization of Ukrainian industry. In its turn, the choice of directions and mechanisms for the practical implementation of the new state industrial policy in Ukraine (in particular, at the regional level) should be based on the results of relevant analytical assessments. \u0000The purpose of the article is to determine the key trends in the development of industry in Ukraine based on the evaluation of the dynamics of the values of indicators that systematically characterize the level of functioning of the industrial sector of the national economy in a regional context. \u0000The results of the analysis revealed that industry remains the leading type of economic activity in Ukraine with a share of 34.1% in the volume of sales of products (goods and services) in 2017. That year the industrial sector of the national economy significantly increased production, export and investment activity, and also reached a higher level of efficiency, in particular, resource (return on assets and labor productivity) and economic (operating profitability, profitability and return on assets). At the same time, there was a further decrease in the level of capital and innovation activity of the industry. To a certain extent, this is due to a slowdown in the dynamics of investment processes – the growth rate of capital investment in industry decreased by 18.4 pp. \u0000In order to counteract the established negative trends in industrial development (first of all, deterioration of the structure of assets and decrease of innovation activity, in particular, reduction of the share of innovative products in the total volume of industrial products sold, etc.), as well as for the further growth of profitability of the subjects of industrial activity and increase of the share of industry in commodity exports, the implementation of a complex of organizational and economic and financial mechanisms in the following areas: stimulating the level of innovation activity; activation of attraction of direct foreign investments; increasing export potential.","PeriodicalId":52812,"journal":{"name":"Statistika Ukrayini","volume":null,"pages":null},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2019-03-23","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"46060078","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 4
Benchmarking as a Tool for Providing Analytical Support to Mortgage Lending Operations of a Bank 基准测试作为为银行抵押贷款业务提供分析支持的工具
Pub Date : 2019-03-23 DOI: 10.31767/SU.1(84)2019.01.10
O. Hamkalo, K. Demkiv
The essence of benchmarking is investigated and questions of its organization in the course of mortgage lending operations in the bank are considered as one of the most effective modern tools for improvement of work and achievement of competitive advantages in the field of mortgage lending. Taking into account the specifics of banking operations in the banking sector, benchmarking can be considered as a process for comparing the Bank’s services and business processes with the products of services and business processes of leading banks, best lenders, partners in order to borrow better practices in mortgage operations and their adaptation for obtaining competitive advantages in the market of mortgage banking services. The classification signs of benchmarking of mortgage lending are singled out and systematized, which will enable the management of banks to purposefully apply the methodology of studying and introducing the positive experience of competitors, partners and other organizations, as well as promoting the innovative development of credit organizations, and in the future, specialized mortgage banks in Ukraine. It is determined that the choice of the type of benchmarking depends on: the goals, goals and objectives set by the banks; ability to obtain the information and analysis necessary for comparison; the necessary financial, human resources, information, technological and other resources, as well as the experience of the workers and the time required for its implementation. In order to improve the process of mortgage lending, the Bank proposes the following procedure for the introduction of a benchmarking procedure: the identification of areas to be improved, that is, objects of benchmarking, based on the results of the analysis of the state of mortgage lending in a bank; definition of the basic criteria of comparative analysis; search for benchmarking benchmarks; collection and processing of information; development of recommendations and their introduction into the policy of mortgage lending in the bank; monitoring and control over the implementation of decisions on problem solving. This creates the preconditions for using the positive experience of leading banks in the field of mortgage lending and forms the appropriate principles for developing a strategy for further development of the bank. It is substantiated that the use of benchmarking in the activities of banks in relation to mortgage lending is a powerful tool in the context of global competition, and its implementation in the organization of economic analysis of mortgage lending operations of banks will allow for a higher level of application of mortgage opportunities.
研究了基准测试的本质,并认为在银行抵押贷款业务过程中,基准测试的组织问题是改进工作和实现抵押贷款领域竞争优势的最有效的现代工具之一。考虑到银行业银行业务的具体情况,基准可以被视为将银行的服务和业务流程与领先银行、最佳贷款人、,以更好地借鉴合作伙伴在抵押贷款业务中的做法及其适应能力,从而在抵押贷款银行服务市场中获得竞争优势。抵押贷款对标的分类标志被单独列出并系统化,这将使银行管理层有目的地运用研究和介绍竞争对手、合作伙伴和其他组织的积极经验的方法,促进信贷组织的创新发展,乌克兰的专业抵押贷款银行。确定基准类型的选择取决于:银行设定的目标、目标和目的;获得比较所需信息和分析的能力;必要的财政、人力资源、信息、技术和其他资源,以及工人的经验和实施所需的时间。为了改进抵押贷款流程,银行提出了以下引入基准程序的程序:根据对银行抵押贷款状况的分析结果,确定需要改进的领域,即基准对象;界定比较分析的基本标准;寻找基准;信息的收集和处理;制定建议并将其纳入银行的抵押贷款政策;监督和控制问题解决决策的执行情况。这为利用领先银行在抵押贷款领域的积极经验创造了先决条件,并形成了制定银行进一步发展战略的适当原则。事实证明,在银行的抵押贷款活动中使用基准是全球竞争中的一个有力工具,在组织对银行抵押贷款业务的经济分析中实施基准将有助于更高水平地利用抵押贷款机会。
{"title":"Benchmarking as a Tool for Providing Analytical Support to Mortgage Lending Operations of a Bank","authors":"O. Hamkalo, K. Demkiv","doi":"10.31767/SU.1(84)2019.01.10","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.31767/SU.1(84)2019.01.10","url":null,"abstract":"The essence of benchmarking is investigated and questions of its organization in the course of mortgage lending operations in the bank are considered as one of the most effective modern tools for improvement of work and achievement of competitive advantages in the field of mortgage lending. \u0000Taking into account the specifics of banking operations in the banking sector, benchmarking can be considered as a process for comparing the Bank’s services and business processes with the products of services and business processes of leading banks, best lenders, partners in order to borrow better practices in mortgage operations and their adaptation for obtaining competitive advantages in the market of mortgage banking services. \u0000The classification signs of benchmarking of mortgage lending are singled out and systematized, which will enable the management of banks to purposefully apply the methodology of studying and introducing the positive experience of competitors, partners and other organizations, as well as promoting the innovative development of credit organizations, and in the future, specialized mortgage banks in Ukraine. \u0000It is determined that the choice of the type of benchmarking depends on: the goals, goals and objectives set by the banks; ability to obtain the information and analysis necessary for comparison; the necessary financial, human resources, information, technological and other resources, as well as the experience of the workers and the time required for its implementation. \u0000In order to improve the process of mortgage lending, the Bank proposes the following procedure for the introduction of a benchmarking procedure: the identification of areas to be improved, that is, objects of benchmarking, based on the results of the analysis of the state of mortgage lending in a bank; definition of the basic criteria of comparative analysis; search for benchmarking benchmarks; collection and processing of information; development of recommendations and their introduction into the policy of mortgage lending in the bank; monitoring and control over the implementation of decisions on problem solving. This creates the preconditions for using the positive experience of leading banks in the field of mortgage lending and forms the appropriate principles for developing a strategy for further development of the bank. \u0000It is substantiated that the use of benchmarking in the activities of banks in relation to mortgage lending is a powerful tool in the context of global competition, and its implementation in the organization of economic analysis of mortgage lending operations of banks will allow for a higher level of application of mortgage opportunities.","PeriodicalId":52812,"journal":{"name":"Statistika Ukrayini","volume":null,"pages":null},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2019-03-23","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"48763920","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Analysis of Nonparametric and Parametric Criteria for Statistical Hypotheses Testing. Chapter II. Agreement Criteria of Romanovsky, Student and Fisher 统计假设检验的非参数和参数准则分析。第二章。Romanovsky, Student和Fisher的一致标准
Pub Date : 2019-03-23 DOI: 10.31767/SU.1(84)2019.01.02
F. Motsnyi
Any assumptions or waiting for that or another distribution of random values are statistical hypotheses. The objective knowledge about hypotheses can obtain always using the spatial statistical tests that are named agreement criteria. It’s known about 100 different agreement criteria. Nonparametric tests don’t include in calculations the parameters of the probability distribution and operates with frequency only. They don’t assume that the experimental data have a specific distribution. Nonparametric criteria are widely used in analysis of the empirical data, in the checking of the hope models, the simple and complex statistical hypotheses and take a prominent place in science and practice. Parametric tests contain the distribution parameters. They are used for the samples with the normal distribution. Parametric tests permit: 1) to check the statistical hypotheses about the normal distribution characteristics of the population obtained on the base of sample processing; 2) to except the gross errors; 3) to evaluate the difference of the mathematical average values ; 4) and to distinguish the dispersions. That is why these tests are very extensively used in mathematical statistics too. The paper continues ideas of the author’s works [1; 2] devoted to advanced based tools of the mathematical statistics. The aim of the work is to generalize the well known theoretical and experimental results about the statistical tests of the hypotheses testing. Parametric criteria (Romanovsky, Student, Fisher) are discussed carefully from the uniform point of view. The peculiarities of its using for statistical hypothesis testing are highlighted. The typical tasks are suggested and solved. All this takes an opportunity to cover the main point (essence) of the problem as a whole and evaluate its actuality directly.
任何假设或等待随机值的那个或另一个分布都是统计假设。关于假设的客观知识总是可以使用被称为一致性标准的空间统计检验来获得。已知大约有100种不同的协议标准。非参数测试在计算中不包括概率分布的参数,只对频率进行操作。他们并不认为实验数据具有特定的分布。非参数准则广泛应用于实证数据的分析、希望模型的检验、简单和复杂的统计假设,在科学和实践中占有重要地位。参数化测试包含分布参数。它们用于具有正态分布的样本。参数检验允许:1)检验在样本处理的基础上获得的关于种群正态分布特征的统计假设;2) 除严重错误外;3) 以评估所述数学平均值的差异;4) 并区分分散体。这就是为什么这些测试在数理统计中也被广泛使用的原因。本文延续了作者致力于先进的数理统计工具的著作[1;2]的思想。本工作的目的是推广关于假设检验的统计检验的众所周知的理论和实验结果。从统一的角度对参数准则(Romanovsky,Student,Fisher)进行了仔细的讨论。强调了其用于统计假设检验的特点。提出并解决了典型任务。所有这些都抓住了一个机会,从整体上涵盖了问题的要点(本质),并直接评估了其现实性。
{"title":"Analysis of Nonparametric and Parametric Criteria for Statistical Hypotheses Testing. Chapter II. Agreement Criteria of Romanovsky, Student and Fisher","authors":"F. Motsnyi","doi":"10.31767/SU.1(84)2019.01.02","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.31767/SU.1(84)2019.01.02","url":null,"abstract":"Any assumptions or waiting for that or another distribution of random values are statistical hypotheses. The objective knowledge about hypotheses can obtain always using the spatial statistical tests that are named agreement criteria. It’s known about 100 different agreement criteria. \u0000Nonparametric tests don’t include in calculations the parameters of the probability distribution and operates with frequency only. They don’t assume that the experimental data have a specific distribution. Nonparametric criteria are widely used in analysis of the empirical data, in the checking of the hope models, the simple and complex statistical hypotheses and take a prominent place in science and practice. \u0000Parametric tests contain the distribution parameters. They are used for the samples with the normal distribution. Parametric tests permit: 1) to check the statistical hypotheses about the normal distribution characteristics of the population obtained on the base of sample processing; 2) to except the gross errors; 3) to evaluate the difference of the mathematical average values ; 4) and to distinguish the dispersions. That is why these tests are very extensively used in mathematical statistics too. \u0000The paper continues ideas of the author’s works [1; 2] devoted to advanced based tools of the mathematical statistics. The aim of the work is to generalize the well known theoretical and experimental results about the statistical tests of the hypotheses testing. Parametric criteria (Romanovsky, Student, Fisher) are discussed carefully from the uniform point of view. The peculiarities of its using for statistical hypothesis testing are highlighted. The typical tasks are suggested and solved. All this takes an opportunity to cover the main point (essence) of the problem as a whole and evaluate its actuality directly.","PeriodicalId":52812,"journal":{"name":"Statistika Ukrayini","volume":null,"pages":null},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2019-03-23","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"47202238","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 1
Statistical Foundation of Historical Facts 历史事实的统计基础
Pub Date : 2019-03-23 DOI: 10.31767/SU.1(84)2019.01.05
S. Gerasymenko, V. Gerasymenko
In the article the reasonability of using statistics in modeling and prognostication of historical events is substantiated. The usage of statistics in investigation of history is caused by the fact that the development of the sociality is determined by the interaction of different historical events, each of them – from one side – is connected with definite events which took place in the past, and from the other side – forms the events of the future. Thus, history as the object of investigation is the whole set of interconnected elements – events, the behaviour of which can be described with the help of appropriate statistical models. In particular, the behaviour of people is determined – first of all – by the biological factors among which the need for food is on the first place. Hypothesis, that the shortage of food is the motive power of historical events, was checked according to the information about the range of events which took place in Ukraine in XVI – XVII centuries. Recurrent 600-year fluctuation of solar activity caused the global negative changes of the climate in Europe and in Ukraine in 1550 – 1650. As a result – regular crop failure and famine, the influence of which for 26,5% of the territory of modern Ukraine (which at that time belonged to Rzecz Pospolita), was increased by the regular forays of Turks and Crimean Tatars. The tendency correlation coefficient of 10 main historical events of those times with the “starvation years”, the origin of which was caused by two mentioned above factors, exceeded 85%, and it is quite enough level for not to decline the hypothesis about the interconnection which is being investigated, taking into account the particularities of information which was used. The stated supposition and the received results allow to make the conclusions that there were and there always are the objective factors, which cause the historical events, the level of which can be determined and to measure the extent of their influence on the historical events.
本文论证了在历史事件建模和预测中使用统计学的合理性。在历史调查中使用统计学是因为社会性的发展是由不同历史事件的相互作用决定的,每一个历史事件——从一个方面来说——都与过去发生的确定事件相联系,从另一个方面来看——形成了未来的事件。因此,作为调查对象的历史是一整套相互关联的元素——事件,其行为可以在适当的统计模型的帮助下描述。特别是,人们的行为首先是由生物因素决定的,其中对食物的需求是首要的。食物短缺是历史事件的动力,这一假设是根据十六至十七世纪乌克兰发生的事件范围的信息进行检验的。1550-1650年,太阳活动600年的反复波动导致了欧洲和乌克兰的全球气候负变化。因此,土耳其人和克里米亚鞑靼人的定期入侵增加了现代乌克兰(当时属于Rzecz Pospolita)26.5%领土的影响,导致作物歉收和饥荒。当时的10个主要历史事件与“饥饿年”的趋势相关系数超过85%,“饥饿年的起源是由上述两个因素引起的”,考虑到所使用信息的特殊性,这一水平足以不推翻正在调查的关于相互联系的假设。所陈述的假设和所收到的结果可以得出结论,即造成历史事件的客观因素是存在的,而且总是存在的,其水平是可以确定的,并可以衡量其对历史事件的影响程度。
{"title":"Statistical Foundation of Historical Facts","authors":"S. Gerasymenko, V. Gerasymenko","doi":"10.31767/SU.1(84)2019.01.05","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.31767/SU.1(84)2019.01.05","url":null,"abstract":"In the article the reasonability of using statistics in modeling and prognostication of historical events is substantiated. The usage of statistics in investigation of history is caused by the fact that the development of the sociality is determined by the interaction of different historical events, each of them – from one side – is connected with definite events which took place in the past, and from the other side – forms the events of the future. Thus, history as the object of investigation is the whole set of interconnected elements – events, the behaviour of which can be described with the help of appropriate statistical models. \u0000In particular, the behaviour of people is determined – first of all – by the biological factors among which the need for food is on the first place. Hypothesis, that the shortage of food is the motive power of historical events, was checked according to the information about the range of events which took place in Ukraine in XVI – XVII centuries. Recurrent 600-year fluctuation of solar activity caused the global negative changes of the climate in Europe and in Ukraine in 1550 – 1650. As a result – regular crop failure and famine, the influence of which for 26,5% of the territory of modern Ukraine (which at that time belonged to Rzecz Pospolita), was increased by the regular forays of Turks and Crimean Tatars. \u0000The tendency correlation coefficient of 10 main historical events of those times with the “starvation years”, the origin of which was caused by two mentioned above factors, exceeded 85%, and it is quite enough level for not to decline the hypothesis about the interconnection which is being investigated, taking into account the particularities of information which was used. \u0000The stated supposition and the received results allow to make the conclusions that there were and there always are the objective factors, which cause the historical events, the level of which can be determined and to measure the extent of their influence on the historical events.","PeriodicalId":52812,"journal":{"name":"Statistika Ukrayini","volume":null,"pages":null},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2019-03-23","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"44315731","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
期刊
Statistika Ukrayini
全部 Acc. Chem. Res. ACS Applied Bio Materials ACS Appl. Electron. Mater. ACS Appl. Energy Mater. ACS Appl. Mater. Interfaces ACS Appl. Nano Mater. ACS Appl. Polym. Mater. ACS BIOMATER-SCI ENG ACS Catal. ACS Cent. Sci. ACS Chem. Biol. ACS Chemical Health & Safety ACS Chem. Neurosci. ACS Comb. Sci. ACS Earth Space Chem. ACS Energy Lett. ACS Infect. Dis. ACS Macro Lett. ACS Mater. Lett. ACS Med. Chem. Lett. ACS Nano ACS Omega ACS Photonics ACS Sens. ACS Sustainable Chem. Eng. ACS Synth. Biol. Anal. Chem. BIOCHEMISTRY-US Bioconjugate Chem. BIOMACROMOLECULES Chem. Res. Toxicol. Chem. Rev. Chem. Mater. CRYST GROWTH DES ENERG FUEL Environ. Sci. Technol. Environ. Sci. Technol. Lett. Eur. J. Inorg. Chem. IND ENG CHEM RES Inorg. Chem. J. Agric. Food. Chem. J. Chem. Eng. Data J. Chem. Educ. J. Chem. Inf. Model. J. Chem. Theory Comput. J. Med. Chem. J. Nat. Prod. J PROTEOME RES J. Am. Chem. Soc. LANGMUIR MACROMOLECULES Mol. Pharmaceutics Nano Lett. Org. Lett. ORG PROCESS RES DEV ORGANOMETALLICS J. Org. Chem. J. Phys. Chem. J. Phys. Chem. A J. Phys. Chem. B J. Phys. Chem. C J. Phys. Chem. Lett. Analyst Anal. Methods Biomater. Sci. Catal. Sci. Technol. Chem. Commun. Chem. Soc. Rev. CHEM EDUC RES PRACT CRYSTENGCOMM Dalton Trans. Energy Environ. Sci. ENVIRON SCI-NANO ENVIRON SCI-PROC IMP ENVIRON SCI-WAT RES Faraday Discuss. Food Funct. Green Chem. Inorg. Chem. Front. Integr. Biol. J. Anal. At. Spectrom. J. Mater. Chem. A J. Mater. Chem. B J. Mater. Chem. C Lab Chip Mater. Chem. Front. Mater. Horiz. MEDCHEMCOMM Metallomics Mol. Biosyst. Mol. Syst. Des. Eng. Nanoscale Nanoscale Horiz. Nat. Prod. Rep. New J. Chem. Org. Biomol. Chem. Org. Chem. Front. PHOTOCH PHOTOBIO SCI PCCP Polym. Chem.
×
引用
GB/T 7714-2015
复制
MLA
复制
APA
复制
导出至
BibTeX EndNote RefMan NoteFirst NoteExpress
×
0
微信
客服QQ
Book学术公众号 扫码关注我们
反馈
×
意见反馈
请填写您的意见或建议
请填写您的手机或邮箱
×
提示
您的信息不完整,为了账户安全,请先补充。
现在去补充
×
提示
您因"违规操作"
具体请查看互助需知
我知道了
×
提示
现在去查看 取消
×
提示
确定
Book学术官方微信
Book学术文献互助
Book学术文献互助群
群 号:481959085
Book学术
文献互助 智能选刊 最新文献 互助须知 联系我们:info@booksci.cn
Book学术提供免费学术资源搜索服务,方便国内外学者检索中英文文献。致力于提供最便捷和优质的服务体验。
Copyright © 2023 Book学术 All rights reserved.
ghs 京公网安备 11010802042870号 京ICP备2023020795号-1