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Felling trees, furthering malaria: links between deforestation and disease in developing nations 砍伐树木,加剧疟疾:发展中国家森林砍伐与疾病之间的联系
Pub Date : 2019-06-01 DOI: 10.3197/jps.2019.3.2.13
Kelly F. Austin
Malaria represents a leading illness and cause of death throughout areas of the Global South. Since malaria is transmitted through the bite of the Anopheles mosquito, environmental conditions are paramount in understanding malaria vulnerabilities. A burgeoning area of research connects anthropogenic deforestation and subsequent land-use changes to the expansion of mosquito habitats and malaria outbreaks. This paper explores those literatures, and also examines the drivers of deforestation in the Global South to demonstrate how population pressures, agricultural production, and rural migration patterns underlie motivations for deforestation and land transformation in poorer countries.
疟疾是全球南方地区的主要疾病和死亡原因。由于疟疾是通过按蚊叮咬传播的,因此环境条件对于了解疟疾脆弱性至关重要。一个新兴的研究领域将人为砍伐森林和随后的土地利用变化与蚊子栖息地的扩大和疟疾爆发联系起来。本文探讨了这些文献,并研究了全球南方森林砍伐的驱动因素,以证明人口压力、农业生产和农村迁移模式如何成为较贫穷国家森林砍伐和土地改造动机的基础。
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引用次数: 0
'Empty Planet: the Shock of Global Population Decline' by Darell Bricker and John Ibbitson. Darell Bricker和John Ibbitson的《空星球:全球人口下降的冲击》。
Pub Date : 2019-06-01 DOI: 10.3197/jps.2019.3.2.87
D. Samways
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引用次数: 35
Environment, poverty and the steady state economy 环境,贫穷和稳定的经济
Pub Date : 2019-06-01 DOI: 10.3197/jps.2019.3.2.55
T. Lianos
Environmental degradation and inequality of income and wealth are two major global problems at the present time. This paper suggests that a steady state economy offers solutions for both problems. It argues that if the world population is drastically reduced and remains constant at a low level ecological balance can be achieved and, at the same time, income distribution will be greatly improved. The basis of this argument is that a smaller population will reduce the use of natural resources for production and consumption and at the same time reduce the supply of labor and thus increase wages. Also, a brief review of the idea of the steady state economy from the ancient philosophers to modern writers is provided.
环境退化和收入与财富不平等是当前两大全球性问题。本文认为,稳定的国家经济为这两个问题提供了解决方案。它认为,如果世界人口大幅减少并保持在低水平不变,就可以实现生态平衡,同时收入分配也将大大改善。这一论点的基础是,人口减少将减少自然资源用于生产和消费,同时减少劳动力供应,从而提高工资。并简要回顾了从古代哲学家到现代作家的稳定经济思想。
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引用次数: 0
impact of reproductive health services on armed conflict in Afghanistan 生殖健康服务对阿富汗武装冲突的影响
Pub Date : 2019-06-01 DOI: 10.3197/jps.2019.3.2.33
Stewart Britten, Wahida Paikan
Reduction of child mortality while coverage of family planning services remains low may render Afghanistan a testing ground for the theory of demographic transition. Meanwhile there is a vicious circle: young men lacking employment join the Taliban and so increase national insecurity, discouraging industry and reducing employment opportunities. For progress towards peace to be made and sustained, family planning, education and employment need to be major parts of the peace effort, and UN reports need to emphasise more which way the scales tip.
在计划生育服务覆盖率仍然很低的情况下,儿童死亡率的降低可能使阿富汗成为人口转型理论的试验场。与此同时,这是一个恶性循环:没有工作的年轻人加入塔利班,从而增加了国家的不安全,阻碍了工业发展,减少了就业机会。为了取得和维持和平的进展,计划生育、教育和就业需要成为和平努力的主要部分,联合国报告需要更多地强调天平的倾斜方向。
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引用次数: 1
Sustainability of equality: a paradox for democracy 平等的可持续性:民主的悖论
Pub Date : 2019-04-02 DOI: 10.3197/jps.2019.3.2.79
S. Burr, Yl Leung, KS McManus
There are too many people in the world: we all know it, but there are perverse incentives preventing us from doing anything about it. Democratic ideals, resource mismanagement, human adaptability and scientific advances, all play a role in deciding whether equality of resource consumption within our world population is sustainable in the present age. There are a couple of axioms that need to be accepted: (1) the planet has finite inhabitable space and resources, and (2) the human population cannot continue to expand indefinitely. The global human population is currently 7.6 billion (Cohen, 2017; World Population Clock 2018). The maximum sustainable global human population has been conservatively estimated to be 10 billion (United Nations 2001), and is expected to exceed this between 2050 and 2100 (United Nations 2017a). Any population expansion clearly has implications for standards of living and quality of life, but with continued growth even the minimum survival needs of everyone living on our planet will soon outstrip its capacity to provide. It follows that we must actively control population or face disaster (Higgs, 2017). However, this requires political intervention without allowing the adoption of a eugenics agenda. We argue that democracy, through the welfare state, can lead to a greater degree of economic and social equality. This economic and social inequality has a tendency, through rising incomes, higher levels of education, and the greater emancipation of women, to reduce fertility rates. However, we also argue that in terms of achieving an environmentally sustainable population that, due to a number of individual and political interests, liberal democracy appears unlikely to develop policies to safeguard population sustainability on a global scale.
世界上的人太多了:我们都知道这一点,但有一些不正当的动机阻止我们对此采取任何行动。民主理想、资源管理不善、人类适应能力和科学进步,都在决定当今世界人口中资源消费的平等是否可持续方面发挥着作用。有几个公理需要被接受:(1)地球上可居住的空间和资源是有限的;(2)人口不可能无限地继续增长。目前全球人口为76亿(Cohen, 2017;世界人口时钟2018)。据保守估计,全球可持续人口的最大值为100亿(联合国2001年),预计在2050年至2100年之间将超过这一数字(联合国2017a)。任何人口的增长显然都会对生活水平和生活质量产生影响,但随着人口的持续增长,即使是生活在我们这个星球上的每个人的最低生存需要也将很快超过其提供的能力。因此,我们必须积极控制人口或面临灾难(希格斯,2017)。然而,这需要在不允许采用优生学议程的情况下进行政治干预。我们认为,民主,通过福利国家,可以导致更大程度的经济和社会平等。这种经济和社会不平等有一种趋势,即通过收入的增加、教育水平的提高和妇女的进一步解放,降低生育率。然而,我们也认为,在实现环境可持续人口方面,由于一些个人和政治利益,自由民主似乎不太可能制定政策来保障全球范围内的人口可持续性。
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引用次数: 0
Agrowth Instead of Anti-and Pro-Growth: Less Polarization, More Support for Sustainability/Climate Policies 以增长代替反增长和促增长:减少两极分化,更多支持可持续性/气候政策
Pub Date : 2018-12-01 DOI: 10.3197/jps.2018.3.1.53
J. C. van den Bergh
An agrowth strategy, defined as being agnostic and indifferent about GDP growth, is proposed as an alternative to unconditional anti-and pro-growth strategies. It is argued that such a strategy can contribute to reducing scientific and political polarization in the long-standing debate on growth versus the environment. Hence, it can broaden urgently needed support for serious sustainability and climate policies. The exposition includes a novel graphical illustration, a summary of recent surveys of citizens and scientists regarding support for an agrowth position, and a discussion of implications for population growth and policies.
农业战略被定义为对GDP增长不可知和漠不关心,被提出作为无条件反增长和促进增长战略的替代方案。有人认为,在关于增长与环境的长期辩论中,这种战略有助于减少科学和政治两极分化。因此,它可以扩大对严肃的可持续性和气候政策的迫切需要的支持。展览包括一幅新颖的图解,一份关于公民和科学家支持农业立场的最新调查摘要,以及对人口增长和政策影响的讨论。
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引用次数: 4
Envisioning a Successful Steady-State Economy 设想一个成功的稳态经济
Pub Date : 2018-12-01 DOI: 10.3197/jps.2018.3.1.21
H. Daly
There are two interacting types of argument for a steady-state economy: its biopyhsical necessity, and its ethical desirability. The first argument is made in terms of the finitude, entropy, and physical maintenance requirements of “dissipative structures” (populations of human bodies and their exosomatic extensions). The second argument considers that the evolution of the human species is now purpose-driven, no longer random, if indeed it ever was. Purpose introduces value judgments of right and wrong regarding how our economy should relate to the rest of creation – judgments ignored by both neoclassical economics and neo-Darwinist naturalism.
对于稳定经济,有两种相互作用的论点:生物物理的必要性和道德的可取性。第一个论点是根据“耗散结构”(人体种群及其外体细胞延伸)的有限性、熵和物理维护要求提出的。第二个论点认为,人类物种的进化现在是目的驱动的,不再是随机的,如果它确实曾经是。《目的》引入了关于我们的经济应该如何与其他创造联系起来的对与错的价值判断——这些判断被新古典经济学和新达尔文主义自然主义所忽视。
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引用次数: 1
Editorial Introduction – Special Issue: Economic Growth 编辑简介-特刊:经济增长
Pub Date : 2018-12-01 DOI: 10.3197/jps.2018.3.1.5
D. Samways
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引用次数: 0
Rethinking Everything: A sustainable economic system requires radical change in almost everything people consider normal 重新思考一切:一个可持续的经济体系需要彻底改变人们认为正常的几乎所有事情
Pub Date : 2018-12-01 DOI: 10.3197/jps.2018.3.1.35
G. Maxton
Economic growth is not a prerequisite for human development. While economic growth appeared useful following the Second World War, its continued pursuit will result in further environmental destruction and ever-widening inequality. It risks making climate change unstoppable, with dire consequences for humanity and most other species. It is not possible to make a gradual shift to a more sustainable system, as the basic requirements for an enduring economic system are fundamentally different from those that currently exist. To avoid an environmental catastrophe, societies need to deconstruct their economies and radically rethink their purpose.
经济增长不是人类发展的先决条件。虽然经济增长在第二次世界大战后似乎是有益的,但继续追求经济增长将导致进一步的环境破坏和日益扩大的不平等。它有可能使气候变化不可阻挡,给人类和大多数其他物种带来可怕的后果。逐步转向更可持续的制度是不可能的,因为持久经济制度的基本要求与目前存在的根本不同。为了避免环境灾难,社会需要解构他们的经济,从根本上重新思考他们的目的。
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引用次数: 4
Steady State Economy at Optimal Population Size 最优人口规模下的稳态经济
Pub Date : 2018-12-01 DOI: 10.3197/jps.2018.3.1.75
T. Lianos
This paper reviews briefly the idea of a steady state economy from the ancient times to the present. It discusses some of the suggestions made by H. Daly in his model of a steady state economy and particularly the idea of a stable population. It suggests that population must be stable at a level that is compatible with ecological equilibrium. That level is about three billion people and therefore the world population must be reduced drastically. This can be achieved if each family is allowed to have less than two children. To achieve this reduction of population this paper proposes the creation of an international market for human reproduction rights.
本文简要回顾了从古到今的稳健经济思想。它讨论了H.Daly在其稳态经济模型中提出的一些建议,特别是稳定人口的概念。它表明,种群必须稳定在与生态平衡相适应的水平上。这一水平约为30亿人,因此必须大幅减少世界人口。如果允许每个家庭生育少于两个孩子,就可以实现这一点。为了实现人口的减少,本文建议为人类生殖权建立一个国际市场。
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引用次数: 5
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The Journal of Population and Sustainability
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