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Missing Data Handling via EM and Multiple Imputation in Network Analysis using Glasso and Atan Regularization. 基于Glasso和Atan正则化的网络分析中EM和多重输入的缺失数据处理。
IF 3.5 3区 心理学 Q1 MATHEMATICS, INTERDISCIPLINARY APPLICATIONS Pub Date : 2025-09-01 Epub Date: 2025-05-26 DOI: 10.1080/00273171.2025.2503833
Kai Jannik Nehler, Martin Schultze

The existing literature on missing data handling in psychological network analysis using cross-sectional data is currently limited to likelihood based approaches. In addition, there is a focus on convex regularization, with the missing handling implemented using different calculations in model selection across various packages. Our work aims to contribute to the literature by implementing a missing data handling approach based on multiple imputation, specifically stacking the imputations, and evaluating it against direct and two-step EM methods. Standardized model selection across the multiple imputation and EM methods is ensured, and the comparative evaluation between the missing handling methods is performed separately for convex regularization (glasso) and nonconvex regularization (atan). Simulated conditions vary network size, number of observations, and amount of missingness. Evaluation criteria encompass edge set recovery, partial correlation bias, and correlation of network statistics. Overall, missing data handling approaches exhibit similar performance under many conditions. Using glasso with EBIC model selection, the two-step EM method performs best overall, closely followed by stacked multiple imputation. For atan regularization using BIC model selection, stacked multiple imputation proves most consistent across all conditions and evaluation criteria.

现有文献对缺失数据处理在心理网络分析中使用横截面数据目前仅限于基于似然的方法。此外,还有一个重点是凸正则化,在不同的包中使用不同的模型选择计算来实现缺失的处理。我们的工作旨在通过实现基于多重输入的缺失数据处理方法,特别是堆叠输入,并根据直接和两步EM方法对其进行评估,从而为文献做出贡献。保证了多重插值和EM方法之间的标准化模型选择,并分别对凸正则化(glasso)和非凸正则化(atan)的缺失处理方法进行了比较评估。模拟的条件随网络大小、观察次数和缺失量的变化而变化。评估标准包括边缘集恢复、部分相关偏差和网络统计的相关性。总的来说,缺失数据处理方法在许多条件下表现出类似的性能。使用glasso和EBIC模型选择,两步EM方法总体上表现最好,其次是堆叠多次插入。对于使用BIC模型选择的atan正则化,叠置多重插值证明在所有条件和评价标准下是最一致的。
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引用次数: 0
Empirical Bayes Priors for MCMC Estimation of the Multivariate Social Relations Model. 多元社会关系模型MCMC估计的经验贝叶斯先验。
IF 3.5 3区 心理学 Q1 MATHEMATICS, INTERDISCIPLINARY APPLICATIONS Pub Date : 2025-09-01 Epub Date: 2025-07-02 DOI: 10.1080/00273171.2025.2496507
Aditi M Bhangale, Terrence D Jorgensen

The social relations model (SRM) is a linear random-effects model applied to examine dyadic round-robin data within social networks. Such data have a unique multilevel structure in that dyads are cross-classified within individuals who may be nested within different social networks. The SRM decomposes perceptual or behavioral measures into multiple components: case-level random effects (in-coming and out-going effects) and dyad-level residuals (relationship effects), the associations among which are often of substantive interest. Multivariate SRM analyses are increasingly common, requiring more sophisticated estimation algorithms. This article evaluates Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) estimation of multivariate-SRM parameters, compares MCMC to maximum-likelihood estimation, and introduces two methods to reduce bias in MCMC point estimates using empirical-Bayes priors. Four simulation studies are presented, two of which reveal dependency of small-group results on priors by manipulating location and precision hyperparameters, respectively. The third simulation study explores the impact of sampling more small groups on prior sensitivity. The fourth simulation study explores how Bayesian model averaging might compensate for underestimated variance due to empirical-Bayes priors. Finally, recommendations for future research are made and extensions of the SRM are discussed.

社会关系模型(SRM)是一种线性随机效应模型,用于检验社会网络中的二元循环数据。这些数据具有独特的多层次结构,因为双元组在可能嵌套在不同社会网络中的个体中交叉分类。SRM将感知或行为测量分解为多个组成部分:个案水平随机效应(流入和流出效应)和双水平残差(关系效应),它们之间的关联通常具有实质性的兴趣。多元SRM分析越来越普遍,需要更复杂的估计算法。本文评估了多变量srm参数的马尔可夫链蒙特卡罗(MCMC)估计,将MCMC与最大似然估计进行了比较,并介绍了两种利用经验贝叶斯先验减少MCMC点估计偏差的方法。提出了四项模拟研究,其中两项研究分别通过操纵位置和精度超参数揭示了小群体结果对先验的依赖性。第三个模拟研究探讨了抽样更多小群体对先验灵敏度的影响。第四项模拟研究探讨了贝叶斯模型平均如何补偿由于经验贝叶斯先验而被低估的方差。最后,对未来的研究提出了建议,并对SRM的扩展进行了讨论。
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引用次数: 0
Accounting for Measurement Invariance Violations in Careless Responding Detection in Intensive Longitudinal Data: Exploratory vs. Partially Constrained Latent Markov Factor Analysis. 在密集的纵向数据中粗心响应检测中的测量不变性违规:探索性与部分约束的潜在马尔可夫因子分析。
IF 3.5 3区 心理学 Q1 MATHEMATICS, INTERDISCIPLINARY APPLICATIONS Pub Date : 2025-09-01 Epub Date: 2025-05-06 DOI: 10.1080/00273171.2025.2492016
Leonie V D E Vogelsmeier, Joran Jongerling, Esther Ulitzsch

Intensive longitudinal data (ILD) collection methods like experience sampling methodology can place significant burdens on participants, potentially resulting in careless responding, such as random responding. Such behavior can undermine the validity of any inferences drawn from the data if not properly identified and addressed. Recently, a confirmatory mixture model (here referred to as fully constrained latent Markov factor analysis, LMFA) has been introduced as a promising solution to detect careless responding in ILD. However, this method relies on the key assumption of measurement invariance of the attentive responses, which is easily violated due to shifts in how participants interpret items. If the assumption is violated, the ability of the fully constrained LMFA to accurately identify careless responding is compromised. In this study, we evaluated two more flexible variants of LMFA-fully exploratory LMFA and partially constrained LMFA-to distinguish between careless and attentive responding in the presence of non-invariant attentive responses. Simulation results indicated that the fully exploratory LMFA model is an effective tool for reliably detecting and interpreting different types of careless responding while accounting for violations of measurement invariance. Conversely, the partially constrained model struggled to accurately detect careless responses. We end by discussing potential reasons for this.

密集的纵向数据(ILD)收集方法,如经验抽样方法,会给参与者带来很大的负担,可能导致粗心的回答,如随机回答。如果不加以适当识别和处理,这种行为可能会破坏从数据中得出的任何推论的有效性。最近,一种验证性混合模型(这里称为完全约束潜马尔可夫因子分析,LMFA)被引入,作为一种有希望的解决方案,可以检测ILD患者的粗心反应。然而,这种方法依赖于注意反应的测量不变性的关键假设,由于参与者如何解释项目的变化,这很容易被违反。如果违反了这一假设,则完全约束LMFA准确识别粗心响应的能力将受到损害。在这项研究中,我们评估了两种更灵活的LMFA变体——完全探索性LMFA和部分约束性LMFA——以区分在非不变注意反应存在时的粗心反应和注意反应。仿真结果表明,全探索性LMFA模型是一种有效的工具,可以可靠地检测和解释不同类型的粗心响应,同时考虑违反测量不变性。相反,部分约束模型很难准确地检测到粗心的反应。最后,我们将讨论造成这种情况的潜在原因。
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引用次数: 0
Ideal Point or Dominance Process? Unfolding Tree Approaches to Likert Scale Data with Multi-Process Models. 理想点还是优势过程?用多过程模型展开树方法处理李克特尺度数据。
IF 3.5 3区 心理学 Q1 MATHEMATICS, INTERDISCIPLINARY APPLICATIONS Pub Date : 2025-09-01 Epub Date: 2025-05-27 DOI: 10.1080/00273171.2025.2496505
Biao Zeng, Hongbo Wen, Minjeong Jeon

This study introduces a new multi-process analytical framework based on the ideal point assumption for analyzing Likert scale data with three newly developed Unfolding Tree (UTree) models. Through simulations, we tested the performance of proposed models and existing Item Response Tree (IRTree) models across various conditions. Subsequently, empirical data were utilized to analyze and compare the UTree models relative to IRTree models, exploring respondents' decision-making processes and underlying latent traits. Simulation results showed that fit indices could effectively discern the correct model underlying the data. When the correct model was employed, both IRTree and UTree accurately retrieved item and individual parameters, with the recovery precision improving as the number of items and sample size increased. Conversely, when an incorrect model was utilized, the mis-specified model consistently returned biased results in estimating individual parameters, which was pronounced when the respondents followed an ideal point response process. Empirical findings highlight that respondents' decisions align with the ideal point process rather than the dominance process. The respondents' choices of extreme response options are more driven by target traits than by extreme response style. Furthermore, evidence indicates the presence of two distinct but moderately correlated target traits throughout the different decision stages.

本文提出了一种基于理想点假设的多过程分析框架,利用三种新开发的展开树(UTree)模型对李克特尺度数据进行分析。通过仿真,我们测试了所提出的模型和现有的项目响应树(IRTree)模型在各种条件下的性能。随后,利用实证数据对UTree模型与IRTree模型进行分析比较,探究被调查者的决策过程及其潜在特征。仿真结果表明,拟合指标能够有效识别数据背后的正确模型。当使用正确的模型时,IRTree和UTree都能准确地检索到项目和单个参数,并且随着项目数量和样本量的增加,恢复精度也在提高。相反,当使用不正确的模型时,错误指定的模型在估计单个参数时始终返回有偏差的结果,当受访者遵循理想的点响应过程时,这一点很明显。实证研究结果表明,被调查者的决策与理想点过程而不是优势过程相一致。被调查者对极端反应选项的选择更多地受到目标特质的驱动,而不是受到极端反应风格的驱动。此外,有证据表明,在不同的决策阶段,存在两种不同但适度相关的目标性状。
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引用次数: 0
Rnest: An R Package for the Next Eigenvalue Sufficiency Test for Factor Analysis. 因子分析下一个特征值充分性检验的R包。
IF 3.5 3区 心理学 Q1 MATHEMATICS, INTERDISCIPLINARY APPLICATIONS Pub Date : 2025-09-01 Epub Date: 2025-06-08 DOI: 10.1080/00273171.2025.2512343
Pier-Olivier Caron

To address the challenge of determining the number of factors to retain in exploratory factor analysis, a plethora of techniques, called stopping rules, has been developed, compared and widely used among researchers. Despite no definitive solution to this key issue, the recent Next Eigenvalue Sequence Test (NEST) showed interesting properties, such as being theoretically grounded in the factor analysis framework, robustness to cross loadings, a low false positive rate, sensitive to small but true factors, and better accuracy and unbiased compared to traditional stopping rules. Despite these strengths, there is no existing software readily available for researcher. These considerations have led to the development of the R package Rnest. This paper introduces NEST, presents the functionality of the Rnest package, and illustrates its workflow using a reproducible data example. By providing a practical and reliable approach to factor retention, this package aims to encourage its widespread adoption among practitioners, psychometricians, and methodological researchers conducting exploratory factor analyses.

为了解决在探索性因子分析中确定要保留的因子数量的挑战,研究人员开发了许多称为停止规则的技术,进行了比较并广泛使用。尽管这个关键问题没有明确的解决方案,但最近的下一个特征值序列测试(NEST)显示出有趣的特性,例如在理论上基于因子分析框架,对交叉负载的鲁棒性,低假阳性率,对小但真实的因素敏感,以及与传统停止规则相比更好的准确性和无偏性。尽管有这些优势,目前还没有现成的软件可供研究人员使用。这些考虑导致了R包Rnest的开发。本文介绍了NEST,介绍了NEST包的功能,并通过一个可重复的数据示例说明了它的工作流程。通过提供一个实用和可靠的方法来保留因素,这个包的目的是鼓励其广泛采用的从业人员,心理测量学家,和方法学研究人员进行探索性因素分析。
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引用次数: 0
Ruling out Latent Time-Varying Confounders in Two-Variable Multi-Wave Studies. 排除双变量多波研究中潜在时变混杂因素。
IF 3.5 3区 心理学 Q1 MATHEMATICS, INTERDISCIPLINARY APPLICATIONS Pub Date : 2025-09-01 Epub Date: 2025-06-03 DOI: 10.1080/00273171.2025.2503829
David A Kenny, D Betsy McCoach

There has been considerable interest in estimating causal cross-lagged effects in two-variable, multi-wave designs. However, there does not currently exist a strategy for ruling out unmeasured time-varying covariates that may act as confounders. In this paper, we propose a new strategy for testing whether an unmeasured time-varying covariate explains all covariation between the two "causal" variables in the data. That model, called the Latent Time-Varying Covariate (LTVC) model, can be tested with observations for two variables assessed across three or more measurement waves. If the LTVC model fits well, then a time-varying covariate can explain the covariance structure, which undermines the plausibility of causal cross-lagged effects. Although the LTVC model tends to be underpowered when causal cross-lagged effects are small, if testable stationarity constraints on the LTVC model are imposed, adequate power can be achieved. We illustrate the LTVC approach with three examples from the literature. Additionally, we introduce the LTVC-CLPM model, which is identified given strong stationarity constraints. Also considered are multivariate and multi-factor models, the inclusion of measured time-invariant covariates in model, measurement of the stability of the LTVC, and the lag-lead model. These methods allow researchers to probe the assumption that an unmeasured time-varying confounder is the source of all the X-Y covariation. Our methods help researchers to rule out certain forms of confounding in two-variable, multi-wave designs.

人们对估计双变量多波设计中的因果交叉滞后效应有相当大的兴趣。然而,目前还没有一种策略可以排除可能作为混杂因素的未测量时变协变量。在本文中,我们提出了一种新的策略来检验一个未测量的时变协变量是否解释了数据中两个“因果”变量之间的所有协变。该模型被称为潜在时变协变量(LTVC)模型,可以通过三个或更多测量波对两个变量的观察结果进行测试。如果LTVC模型拟合良好,则时变协变量可以解释协方差结构,这破坏了因果交叉滞后效应的合理性。虽然当因果交叉滞后效应较小时,LTVC模型往往功率不足,但如果对LTVC模型施加可测试平稳性约束,则可以获得足够的功率。我们用三个文献中的例子来说明LTVC方法。此外,我们引入了LTVC-CLPM模型,该模型是在强平稳性约束下识别的。还考虑了多变量和多因素模型,在模型中包含测量的时不变协变量,LTVC稳定性的测量以及滞后-领先模型。这些方法允许研究人员探索一个假设,即一个未测量的时变混杂因素是所有X-Y共变的来源。我们的方法帮助研究人员在双变量、多波设计中排除某些形式的混杂。
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引用次数: 0
Causal Inference with Unobserved Confounding: Leveraging Negative Control Outcomes Using Lavaan. 未观察到混杂的因果推断:利用Lavaan利用负面控制结果。
IF 3.5 3区 心理学 Q1 MATHEMATICS, INTERDISCIPLINARY APPLICATIONS Pub Date : 2025-09-01 Epub Date: 2025-06-06 DOI: 10.1080/00273171.2025.2507742
Wen Wei Loh

Causal conclusions about non-randomized treatments rest on the absence of unobserved confounding. While often made in practice, this fundamental yet empirically untestable assumption can rarely be definitively justified. In most realistic settings, the threat of unobserved confounding lurks. Can causal effects be unbiasedly estimated when unobserved confounding is present? In this tutorial, we introduce an approach from the causal inference and epidemiological literature that permits doing so: negative control outcomes. We explain what a negative control outcome is and how to leverage it to counteract bias due to unobserved confounding. Estimation using a negative control outcome is carried out using the Control Outcome Calibration Approach (COCA). To encourage the adoption of COCA in practice, we implement COCA using lavaan, a popular and free statistical modeling software in R. We illustrate COCA using two publicly available real-world datasets. COCA is practically elegant, straightforward to implement, and under certain assumptions about the potential outcomes, able to unbiasedly estimate causal effects even when unobserved confounding is present.

关于非随机治疗的因果结论建立在没有未观察到的混淆的基础上。虽然在实践中经常这样做,但这种基本的但经验上无法验证的假设很少能得到明确的证明。在大多数现实环境中,未被观察到的混淆的威胁潜伏着。当存在未观察到的混淆时,是否可以无偏地估计因果关系?在本教程中,我们从因果推理和流行病学文献中介绍了一种允许这样做的方法:负控制结果。我们解释了什么是负控制结果,以及如何利用它来抵消由于未观察到的混淆造成的偏差。使用负控制结果的估计使用控制结果校准方法(COCA)进行。为了鼓励在实践中采用COCA,我们使用lavaan实现COCA,这是一个流行的、免费的r语言统计建模软件。我们使用两个公开可用的真实数据集来说明COCA。古柯实际上是优雅的,简单易行的,并且在对潜在结果的某些假设下,即使存在未观察到的混淆,也能够无偏地估计因果关系。
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引用次数: 0
How to Get MAD: Generating Uniformly Sampled Correlation Matrices with a Fixed Mean Absolute Discrepancy. 如何得到MAD:生成具有固定平均绝对差的均匀抽样相关矩阵。
IF 3.5 3区 心理学 Q1 MATHEMATICS, INTERDISCIPLINARY APPLICATIONS Pub Date : 2025-09-01 Epub Date: 2025-08-04 DOI: 10.1080/00273171.2025.2516513
Niels G Waller

This article describes a simple and fast algorithm for generating uniformly sampled correlation matrices (R) with a fixed mean absolute discrepancy (MAD) relative to a target (population) Rpop. The algorithm can be profitably used in many settings including model robustness studies and stress testing of investment portfolios, or in dynamic model-fit analyses to generate R matrices with a known degree of model-approximation error (as operationalized by the MAD). Using results from higher-dimensional geometry, I show that Rn×n matrices with a fixed MAD lie in the intersection of two sets that represent: (a) an elliptope and (b) the surface of a cross-polytope. When n = 3, these sets can be visualized as an elliptical tetrahedron and the surface of an octahedron. An online supplement includes R code for implementing the algorithm and for reproducing all of the results in the article.

本文描述了一种简单而快速的算法,用于生成具有相对于目标(总体)Rpop的固定平均绝对差(MAD)的均匀抽样相关矩阵(R)。该算法可以在许多情况下使用,包括模型鲁棒性研究和投资组合的压力测试,或者在动态模型拟合分析中生成具有已知模型近似误差程度的R矩阵(由MAD操作)。使用高维几何的结果,我证明了具有固定MAD的Rn×n矩阵位于两个集合的交点上,这两个集合表示:(a)椭圆和(b)交叉多面体的表面。当n = 3时,这些集合可以形象化为一个椭圆四面体和一个八面体的表面。在线补充包括用于实现算法和重现本文中所有结果的R代码。
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引用次数: 0
Three Approaches to Testing for Statistical Suppression. 统计抑制的三种检验方法。
IF 3.5 3区 心理学 Q1 MATHEMATICS, INTERDISCIPLINARY APPLICATIONS Pub Date : 2025-07-01 Epub Date: 2025-05-21 DOI: 10.1080/00273171.2025.2483245
Felix B Muniz, David P MacKinnon

Suppression effects are important for theoretical and applied research because these effects occur when there is an unexpected increase in an effect when it is adjusted for a third variable. This paper investigates three approaches to testing for statistical suppression. The first test was proposed in 1978 and is based on the relationship between the zero-order and semi-partial correlations. The second test comes from a condition that is necessary for suppression proposed in 1997. The third test is an extension of the test for the inconsistent mediated effect. We derive standard errors for the Velicer, and Sharpe and Roberts tests, conduct a statistical simulation study, and apply all three tests to two real data sets and several published correlation matrices. In the simulation study, the test based on inconsistent mediation had the best properties overall. For the data examples, when raw data were available, we constructed bootstrap confidence intervals to assess significance, and for correlations, we compared each test statistic to the normal distribution to assess statistical significance. Each test gave consistent results when applied to the example data sets. Analytical work demonstrated conditions where each test gave conflicting results. The mediation test of suppression based on the sign of the product of the mediated effect and the direct effect had the best overall performance.

抑制效应对于理论和应用研究都很重要,因为当对第三个变量进行调整时,当效应出现意外增加时,就会发生这些效应。本文研究了统计抑制检验的三种方法。第一个检验是在1978年提出的,它是基于零阶和半偏相关之间的关系。第二个考验来自于1997年提出的抑制所必需的条件。第三个检验是中介效应不一致检验的延伸。我们推导了Velicer、Sharpe和Roberts测试的标准误差,进行了统计模拟研究,并将这三种测试应用于两个真实数据集和几个已发表的相关矩阵。在模拟研究中,基于不一致中介的测试总体性能最好。对于数据示例,当原始数据可用时,我们构建了自举置信区间来评估显著性,对于相关性,我们将每个检验统计量与正态分布进行比较,以评估统计显著性。当应用于示例数据集时,每个测试都给出了一致的结果。分析工作证明了每次测试结果相互矛盾的情况。基于中介效应与直接效应乘积符号的抑制中介试验综合表现最好。
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引用次数: 0
Model Selection for Mixed-Effects Location-Scale Models with Confidence Interval for LOO or WAIC Difference. 带有 LOO 或 WAIC 差异置信区间的混合效应位置尺度模型的模型选择。
IF 5.3 3区 心理学 Q1 MATHEMATICS, INTERDISCIPLINARY APPLICATIONS Pub Date : 2025-07-01 Epub Date: 2025-02-18 DOI: 10.1080/00273171.2025.2462033
Yue Liu, Fan Fang, Hongyun Liu

LOO (Leave-One-Out cross-validation) and WAIC (Widely Applicable Information Criterion) are widely used for model selection in Bayesian statistics. Most studies select the model with the smallest value based on point estimates, often without considering the differences in fit indices or the uncertainty of the estimates. To address this gap, we propose a sequential method for comparing models based on confidence intervals for ΔLOO or ΔWAIC. A simulation study was conducted to evaluate this method in selecting mixed-effects location-scale models (MELSMs). Our study revealed that the sequential methods, especially when using a 90% confidence interval, achieved a higher accuracy rate of model selection compared to the point method when the true model was simple, had a large magnitude of random intercept in the scale model, or had a large sample size. Models selected by the sequential methods demonstrated higher power, narrower credible interval width, smaller standard errors for the fixed effect in the location model, and lower bias for the random effect of the intercept in the location model. Differences between LOO and WAIC were significant only when the level-1 sample size was small, with LOO performing better when the true model had homogeneous or severe heterogeneity in residual variances.

在贝叶斯统计中,LOO (Leave-One-Out cross-validation)和WAIC (wide Applicable Information Criterion)被广泛用于模型选择。大多数研究选择基于点估计的最小值模型,往往不考虑拟合指标的差异或估计的不确定性。为了解决这一差距,我们提出了一种基于ΔLOO或ΔWAIC置信区间的序列方法来比较模型。仿真研究了该方法在选择混合效应位置尺度模型(MELSMs)中的应用。我们的研究表明,当真实模型简单、比例模型中随机截距较大或样本量较大时,序列方法的模型选择准确率比点法高,特别是在使用90%置信区间时。序列方法选择的模型具有更高的功率、更窄的可信区间宽度、更小的定位模型固定效应的标准误差和更小的定位模型截距随机效应的偏差。LOO和WAIC之间的差异仅在一级样本量较小时才显着,当真实模型在残差方差中具有均匀或严重异质性时,LOO表现更好。
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引用次数: 0
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Multivariate Behavioral Research
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