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Identifying Pacing Profiles in 2000 Metre World Championship Rowing 2000年世界米赛艇锦标赛节奏特征分析
IF 1.1 Q4 HOSPITALITY, LEISURE, SPORT & TOURISM Pub Date : 2023-03-04 DOI: 10.3233/jsa-220497
Dani Chu, M. Tsai, Ryan Sheehan, Jack Davis, R. Doig
The pacing strategy adopted by athletes is a major determinants of success during timed competition. Various pacing profiles are reported in the literature and its importance depends on the mode of sport. However, in 2000 metre rowing, the definition of these pacing profiles has been limited by the minimal availability of data. Purpose: Our aim is to objectively identify pacing profiles used in World Championship 2000 metre rowing races using reproducible methods. Methods: We use the average speed for each 50 metre split for each available boat in every race of the Rowing World Championships from 2010-2017. This data was scraped from www.worldrowing.com. This data set is publicly available (https://github.com/danichusfu/rowing_pacing_profiles) to help the field of rowing research. Pacing profiles are determined by using k-shape clustering, a time series clustering method. A multinomial logistic regression is then fit to test whether variables such as boat size, gender, round, or rank are associated with pacing profiles. Results: Four pacing strategies (Even, Positive, Reverse J-Shaped, and U-Shaped) are identified from the clustering process. Boat size, round (Heat vs Finals), rank, gender, and weight class are all found to affect pacing profiles. Conclusion: We use an objective methodology with more granular data to identify four pacing strategies. We identify important associations between these pacing profiles and race factors. Finally, we make the full data set public to further rowing research and to replicate our results.
在计时赛中,运动员采用的节奏策略是成功的主要决定因素。文献中报道了各种起搏情况,其重要性取决于运动模式。然而,在2000米赛艇比赛中,这些起搏曲线的定义受到数据可用性最低的限制。目的:我们的目的是使用可重复的方法,客观地确定世界锦标赛2000米赛艇比赛中使用的起搏曲线。方法:我们使用2010-2017年世界赛艇锦标赛每场比赛中每艘可用船只每50米的平均速度。这些数据是从www.worldrowing.com上截取的。这些数据集是公开的(https://github.com/danichusfu/rowing_pacing_profiles)以帮助赛艇研究领域。起搏剖面是通过使用k形聚类(一种时间序列聚类方法)来确定的。然后拟合多项式逻辑回归来测试船只大小、性别、轮数或级别等变量是否与起搏特征相关。结果:从聚类过程中识别出四种起搏策略(偶数、正、反向J形和U形)。船的大小、轮数(热火队vs总决赛)、级别、性别和体重等级都会影响节奏。结论:我们使用一种具有更细粒度数据的客观方法来确定四种起搏策略。我们确定了这些起搏特征和种族因素之间的重要关联。最后,我们公开了完整的数据集,以进一步进行赛艇研究并复制我们的结果。
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引用次数: 0
Base price determination for IPL mega auctions: A player performance-based approach IPL大型拍卖的基本价格确定:基于球员表现的方法
IF 1.1 Q4 HOSPITALITY, LEISURE, SPORT & TOURISM Pub Date : 2023-02-24 DOI: 10.3233/jsa-220633
Vaseekaran Chittibabu, M. Sundararaman
Indian Premier League (IPL) is the most popular T20 domestic league in the world. An essential aspect of this league is the “Mega-Auction”, which is of focus in this study. The mega auction occurs once every three years, and it is found that the auction process is inefficient as the time taken is long (∼2 days). This is because players specify their base price. Thus, this study focuses on the efficiency of the auction process and addresses it by prescribing the base price for players. The base prices are prescribed such that they are as close to the actual auction price of a player. Accordingly, in the past, only two past mega auctions occurred in 2014 and 2018, and both are considered in this work. Here, a two-stage algorithm to determine the base prices of players is proposed. In the first stage, K-Means clustering is used to group players. The base price for players allocated to a cluster is proposed using a developed assignment logic in the second stage. An empirical demonstration of the proposed algorithm indicates that the auction process has been made efficient as the time taken decreases by ∼17.6%and ∼31.1%for Indian and foreign players, respectively.
印度超级联赛(IPL)是世界上最受欢迎的T20国内联赛。这个联盟的一个重要方面是“超级拍卖”,这是本研究的重点。大型拍卖每三年进行一次,发现拍卖过程效率低下,因为所花费的时间很长(~2天)。这是因为玩家指定了他们的基本价格。因此,本研究侧重于拍卖过程的效率,并通过规定玩家的基本价格来解决这一问题。基本价格被规定为与玩家的实际拍卖价格一样接近。因此,过去只有两次大型拍卖发生在2014年和2018年,这两次都被纳入本工作。在此,提出了一种确定玩家基本价格的两阶段算法。在第一阶段,使用K-Means聚类对玩家进行分组。在第二阶段中,使用开发的分配逻辑提出了分配给集群的玩家的基本价格。对所提出算法的实证证明表明,印度和外国玩家的拍卖过程效率分别降低了约17.6%和约31.1%。
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引用次数: 0
Analysis of competitive surfing tournaments with generalized Bradley-Terry likelihoods 基于广义Bradley-Terry似然的冲浪比赛分析
IF 1.1 Q4 HOSPITALITY, LEISURE, SPORT & TOURISM Pub Date : 2023-02-07 DOI: 10.3233/jsa-220596
T. Driver, R. Hankin
Here we analyse competitive surfing, specifically the 2019 Men’s World Surf League, using formal statistical methods. We use generalized Bradley-Terry likelihoods to assess a number of hypotheses of interest to the surfing community. We quantify the dominance of the top competitors using likelihood techniques, and go on to study the “Brazilian storm” phenomenon using reified entities in two ways. Firstly we assess the supposed Brazilian preference for beach break and point break wave types; and secondly we consider results from the perspective of tournament theory and test for competitors modifying their strategy in the presence of compatriot rivals. We quantify the evidence for these commonly assumed features of contemporary competitive surfing and suggest further avenues of research.
在这里,我们使用正式的统计方法分析竞技冲浪,特别是2019年男子世界冲浪联盟。我们使用广义布拉德利-特里似然来评估冲浪社区感兴趣的一些假设。我们使用可能性技术量化了顶级竞争者的主导地位,并以两种方式使用具体化实体继续研究“巴西风暴”现象。首先,我们评估了巴西人对海滩破碎和点破碎波浪类型的偏好;其次,我们从竞赛理论的角度考虑结果,并对竞争对手在场时竞争对手改变策略进行检验。我们量化了这些普遍假设的当代竞技冲浪特征的证据,并提出了进一步的研究途径。
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引用次数: 0
Putting team formations in association football into context 将团体足球的队形置于背景中
IF 1.1 Q4 HOSPITALITY, LEISURE, SPORT & TOURISM Pub Date : 2023-02-07 DOI: 10.3233/jsa-220620
Pascal Bauer, Gabriel Anzer, Laurie Shaw
Choosing the right formation is one of the coach’s most important decisions in football. Teams change formation dynamically throughout matches to achieve their immediate objective: to retain possession, progress the ball up-field and create (or prevent) goal-scoring opportunities. In this work we identify the unique formations used by teams in distinct phases of play in a large sample of tracking data. This we achieve in two steps: first, we trained a convolutional neural network to decompose each game into non-overlapping segments and classify these segments into phases with an average F 1-score of 0.76. We then measure and contextualize unique formations used in each distinct phase of play. While conventional discussion tends to reduce team formations over an entire match to a single three-digit code (e.g. 4-4-2; 4 defender, 4 midfielder, 2 striker), we provide an objective representation of teams formations per phase of play. Using the most frequently occurring phases of play, mid-block, we identify and contextualize six unique formations. A long-term analysis in the German Bundesliga allows us to quantify the efficiency of each formation, and to present a helpful scouting tool to identify how well a coach’s preferred playing style is suited to a potential club.
在足球运动中,选择正确的队形是教练最重要的决定之一。球队在整场比赛中动态改变队形,以实现他们的直接目标:保持控球权,将球推进球场,创造(或阻止)进球机会。在这项工作中,我们在大量跟踪数据样本中确定了球队在不同比赛阶段使用的独特队形。我们通过两个步骤来实现这一点:首先,我们训练了一个卷积神经网络,将每个游戏分解为不重叠的片段,并将这些片段分类为阶段,平均F1-得分为0.76。然后,我们测量并将每个不同比赛阶段使用的独特队形置于情境中。虽然传统的讨论倾向于将整场比赛中的球队队形简化为一个三位数的代码(例如4-4-2;4名后卫、4名中场、2名前锋),但我们提供了每个比赛阶段球队队形的客观表示。利用比赛中最频繁出现的阶段,即拦网中段,我们确定了六种独特的队形并将其置于情境中。通过对德甲联赛的长期分析,我们可以量化每种队形的效率,并提供一个有用的球探工具来确定教练的首选打法在多大程度上适合潜在俱乐部。
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引用次数: 2
A bayesian perspective of middle-batting position in ODI cricket ODI板球中击球位置的贝叶斯视角
IF 1.1 Q4 HOSPITALITY, LEISURE, SPORT & TOURISM Pub Date : 2023-02-07 DOI: 10.3233/jsa-220640
Ranjita Pandey, H. Tolani
The cricket fraternity described “An unsettled batting position of number four” as one of the major causes for India’s exit from International Cricket Council men’s world cup 2019. Consistent chopping and changing batsmen at the sensitive fourth batting position proved to be a disaster for team India then. Therefore, ranking of all the batsmen, in the then Indian cricket team, who were deemed to be eligible for this position remained a much-debated issue both before and after the world cup 2019. In the present paper, Kaplan-Meir curves are used to make multiple comparisons for respective batting performances among the batsmen who have ever played in the middle order position. In this paper, frailty of these batsmen is studied through Bayesian analysis at the start of their innings and during the time-interval of transition to their best playing ability by considering respective run scores. Posterior summaries of innate player ability are obtained by deploying a Markov Chain Monte Carlo algorithm which is then used to assess and compare the individual batting performances. Estimation of incomplete innings is handled via censoring strategies.
板球协会称,“排名第四的击球位置不稳定”是印度退出2019年国际板球理事会男子世界杯的主要原因之一。在敏感的第四打击位置,连续的砍断和更换击球手被证明是印度队的灾难。因此,在2019年世界杯之前和之后,当时印度板球队中被认为有资格获得这一职位的所有击球手的排名仍然是一个备受争议的问题。本文采用Kaplan-Meir曲线对曾经打过中阶位置的击球手各自的击球表现进行了多次比较。本文通过贝叶斯分析研究了这些击球手在一局开始时和在考虑各自得分的情况下过渡到最佳发挥能力的时间间隔内的脆弱性。通过部署马尔可夫链蒙特卡罗算法获得天生球员能力的后验总结,然后用于评估和比较个人击球表现。不完全局的估计是通过审查策略来处理的。
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引用次数: 0
Production functions of NCAA men and women water polo matches NCAA男女水球比赛的生产功能
IF 1.1 Q4 HOSPITALITY, LEISURE, SPORT & TOURISM Pub Date : 2023-02-06 DOI: 10.3233/jsa-220600
Joey Gullikson, L. R. Gale, John Mayberry, John Kim, L. Killick
Previous research has adapted the use of economic production functions to estimate the scoring production of teams in professional sports. Most of these studies have focused on professional male team sports, most notably, US baseball, basketball, and association football. This study adds to the literature by utilizing a new and distinctive data set of shooting statistics from 88 men’s and 38 women’s NCAA water polo contests to estimate production functions for United States’ collegiate water polo games and identify the most important variables for predicting margin of victory in such competitions. The results show that shots on goal, average shot distance, number of counterattacks, quick shots, and efficiency in power play conversions are all significant predictors of goal differentials in men’s contests while shots on goal, average shot distance, counterattacks, and center shots are significant predictors in women’s matches. Previous season win percentage, rebounds, exclusions, and missed shots were not significant predictors in the models. These conclusions confirm and extend previous discriminatory studies of elite international water polo contests.
以前的研究已经采用经济生产函数来估计职业体育团队的得分生产。这些研究大多集中在职业男子团队运动上,最著名的是美国棒球、篮球和协会足球。本研究通过使用来自88个男子和38个女子NCAA水球比赛的射击统计数据的新的和独特的数据集来估计美国大学水球比赛的生产函数,并确定预测此类比赛中获胜幅度的最重要变量,从而增加了文献。结果表明,正射、平均射门距离、反击次数、快速射门和力量转换效率都是男足比赛进球差异的显著预测因子,而正射、平均射门距离、反击和中锋射门是女足比赛进球差异的显著预测因子。上个赛季的胜率,篮板,排除和投篮不中在模型中不是显著的预测因子。这些结论证实并扩展了先前对国际精英水球比赛的歧视性研究。
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引用次数: 0
New scoring system to reduce unfairness in men’s doubles 减少男子双打比赛不公平现象的新评分系统
IF 1.1 Q4 HOSPITALITY, LEISURE, SPORT & TOURISM Pub Date : 2022-12-20 DOI: 10.3233/jsa-220607
G. Pollard, Ken Noble, G. Pollard
Tennis uses essentially the same scoring system in doubles as in singles. In this paper it is shown that the scoring system commonly used in men’s doubles has the potential to be unfair. Aspects of this potential unfairness are identified and methods for reducing it are outlined. The statistical characteristics of the present scoring system are compared with those of a proposed new system.
网球在双打和单打中使用基本相同的得分系统。本文表明,男子双打常用的评分系统有可能不公平。确定了这种潜在不公平的各个方面,并概述了减少这种不公平的方法。将现有评分系统的统计特性与所提出的新系统的统计特征进行了比较。
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引用次数: 0
A weighted network clustering approach in the NBA NBA中的一种加权网络聚类方法
IF 1.1 Q4 HOSPITALITY, LEISURE, SPORT & TOURISM Pub Date : 2022-12-19 DOI: 10.3233/jsa-220584
Megan Muniz, Tulay Flamand
Evaluating players’ performance for decision-makers in the sports industry is crucial in order to make the right decisions to form and invest in a successful team. One way of assessing players’ performance is to group players into specific “types”, where each type represents a level of performance of its players within. In this paper, we develop a novel clustering approach in order to cluster types of players in the NBA. The proposed methodology is initialized by a k-Means clustering, then the prescribed clusters inform weights of a weighted network, in which players are the nodes and the arcs between them carry those weights that represent a numerical similarity between them. We then call upon a weighted network clustering approach, namely, the Louvain method for community detection. We demonstrate our methodology on six years of historical data, from seasons ranging from 2014–2015 to 2019–2020. Considering these seasons allows us to use a new type of data, called Tracking Data, instated into the league in 2014 which further differentiates our research from other player clustering approaches. We show that our approach can detect outliers and consistently clusters players into groups with identifying features, which give insights into league trends. We conclude that players can be categorized into eight general archetypes and show that these archetypes improve upon the traditional five positions and previous research in terms of explaining variation in Win Shares.
为体育产业的决策者评估球员的表现是至关重要的,这样才能做出正确的决定,组建和投资一支成功的球队。评估玩家表现的一种方法是将玩家划分为特定的“类型”,其中每种类型代表其内部玩家的表现水平。本文提出了一种新的聚类方法来对NBA球员类型进行聚类。所提出的方法由k-Means聚类初始化,然后规定的聚类通知加权网络的权重,其中参与者是节点,它们之间的弧线携带代表它们之间数值相似性的权重。然后,我们调用加权网络聚类方法,即Louvain方法进行社区检测。我们用从2014-2015年到2019-2020年的6年历史数据来证明我们的方法。考虑到这些赛季,我们可以使用一种新的数据类型,称为跟踪数据,该数据于2014年加入联盟,这进一步将我们的研究与其他球员聚类方法区分开来。我们表明,我们的方法可以检测到异常值,并始终将球员分成具有识别特征的组,这可以洞察联赛趋势。我们的结论是,玩家可以分为8种一般原型,并表明这些原型在传统的5种位置和之前的研究基础上,在解释赢分差异方面有所改进。
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引用次数: 1
Modeling joint survival probabilities of runs scored and balls faced in limited overs cricket using copulas 用copula模拟板球有限回合中得分和面对球的联合生存概率
IF 1.1 Q4 HOSPITALITY, LEISURE, SPORT & TOURISM Pub Date : 2022-11-16 DOI: 10.3233/jsa-220606
Lochana K. Palayangoda, H. K. Senevirathne, Ananda B. W. Manage
In limited overs cricket, the goal of a batsman is to score a maximum number of runs within a limited number of balls. Therefore, the number of runs scored and the number of balls faced are the two key statistics used to evaluate the performance of a batsman. In cricket, as the batsmen play as pairs, having longer partnerships is also key to building strong innings. Moreover, having a steady opening partnership is extremely important as a team aims to build such a stronger innings. In this study, we have shown a way to evaluate the performance of opening partnerships in Twenty20 (T20) cricket and the performance of individual batsmen in One Day International Cricket (ODI) by modeling the joint distribution of runs scored and balls faced using copula functions. The joint survival probabilities derived from this approach are then used to evaluate the batting performance of opening partnerships and individual batsmen for different stages of the innings. Results of the study have shown that cricket managers and team officials can use the proposed method in selecting appropriate partnership pairs and individual batsmen in an efficient manner for specific situations in the match.
在有限的板球比赛中,击球手的目标是在有限的球数内得最多的分数。因此,得分数和面对的球数是用来评估击球手表现的两个关键统计数据。在板球比赛中,由于击球手是成对的,因此拥有更长的合作关系也是建立强大局的关键。此外,有一个稳定的开局伙伴关系是极其重要的,因为一个团队的目标是建立这样一个更强大的局。在本研究中,我们展示了一种方法来评估开放合作伙伴关系的表现在Twenty20 (T20)板球和个人击球手的表现在一日国际板球(ODI)通过建模得分和面对球的联合分布使用copula函数。然后用这种方法得出的联合生存概率来评估开局伙伴和个人击球手在一局不同阶段的打击表现。研究结果表明,板球经理和团队官员可以使用所提出的方法,以有效的方式在比赛中的特定情况下选择合适的伙伴对和个人击球手。
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引用次数: 0
Longitudinal trends in human accuracy: A five-decade analysis (1969–2019) of free-throw shooting in the NBA 人类准确性的纵向趋势:NBA罚球命中率的50年分析(1969–2019)
IF 1.1 Q4 HOSPITALITY, LEISURE, SPORT & TOURISM Pub Date : 2022-08-06 DOI: 10.3233/jsa-200597
Elia Morgulev, R. Kenett, M. Arnon, R. Lidor, D. Ben-sira, Izy Tchinio
Describing, understanding, predicting, and controlling the improvement of athletic performance are pivotal aspects of sport sciences. Longitudinal trends of the achievements of elite performers, mainly in endurance (e.g., cycling, running, skiing, and swimming) and explosive-power (e.g., jumping, throwing, and weightlifting) sports, were examined in a series of studies. One of the observations in these studies was the significant improvement in performance in the above-mentioned sports over the 1960s, 1970s, and 1980s. In addition, several factors that can account for the observed improvements were outlined and discussed in the previous literature. The current study contributes to this line of research by examining the rate of improvement in free-throw (FT) shooting of National Basketball Association (NBA) players over a five-decade period –1969–2019. As opposed to many power and endurance sporting events, FT shooting is a fine-motor task performed in a stable and predicted environment. Based on an analysis of more than 2.6 million FT shots, we found that from 1969 to 2019 the FT shooting accuracy fluctuated at around 75%, but did not show any steady trend of improvement. We discuss this finding from a skill-acquisition perspective.
描述、理解、预测和控制运动成绩的提高是运动科学的关键方面。在一系列研究中,研究人员考察了精英运动员成绩的纵向趋势,主要是耐力运动(如骑自行车、跑步、滑雪和游泳)和爆发力运动(如跳跃、投掷和举重)。这些研究的观察结果之一是,上述运动的成绩在20世纪60年代、70年代和80年代有了显著提高。此外,在以前的文献中概述和讨论了几个可以解释观察到的改进的因素。目前的研究通过检查美国职业篮球协会(NBA)球员在1969年至2019年的50年期间罚球命中率的提高率,为这一研究领域做出了贡献。与许多力量和耐力运动项目不同,FT射击是在稳定和可预测的环境中进行的精细运动。通过对260多万次FT射击的分析,我们发现,从1969年到2019年,FT射击精度在75%左右波动,但没有显示出任何稳定的提高趋势。我们从技能习得的角度来讨论这一发现。
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引用次数: 0
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Journal of Sports Analytics
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