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Measuring the pitch control of professional football players using spatiotemporal tracking data 利用时空跟踪数据测量职业足球运动员的球场控制能力
IF 2.7 Q1 MATHEMATICS, INTERDISCIPLINARY APPLICATIONS Pub Date : 2023-01-26 DOI: 10.1088/2632-072X/acb67d
Lewis Higgins, T. Galla, Brian Prestidge, T. Wyatt
We study pitch control in football, using data from six complete seasons of the English Premier League. Our objective is to investigate features of pitch control in the data. We process the data to ensure consistency of the tracking and event datasets. This represents the largest coherent dataset analysed in the literature and allows the observation of consistent patterns across several seasons’ data. We demonstrate that teams playing in front of a crowd at home control on average 2.9±0.2% more of the pitch than teams playing away, which reduces to 1.5±0.6% in matches played behind closed doors. We observe that match by match the difference in pitch control between the teams has a weak, positive correlation with the difference in expected goals (Pearson correlation R = 0.38). As a further manifestation of home advantage we find that in games which the two teams have equal pitch control, on average the home team accumulates greater expected goals ( 0.16±0.03 ). The concept of weighted pitch control is introduced, by assigning a weight to regions of the pitch. We demonstrate that pitch control of the penalty box of the out-of-possession team is negatively correlated with expected goals in each of the six seasons, and interpret this apparently counter-intuitive result.
我们使用来自英超联赛六个完整赛季的数据来研究足球中的球场控制。我们的目的是研究数据中变桨控制的特征。我们处理数据以确保跟踪数据集和事件数据集的一致性。这代表了文献中分析的最大的连贯数据集,并允许在几个季节的数据中观察一致的模式。我们证明,在主场观众面前比赛的球队比客场球队平均多控制2.9±0.2%的球场,而在闭门比赛中,这一比例降至1.5±0.6%。我们观察到,每场比赛中,球队之间球场控制的差异与预期进球的差异呈弱正相关(Pearson相关性R = 0.38)。作为主场优势的进一步表现,我们发现,在两队球场控制力相等的比赛中,主队平均累积了更大的预期进球(0.16±0.03)。通过给音高区域分配权重,引入了加权音高控制的概念。我们证明,在六个赛季的每一个赛季中,控球球队对禁区的球场控制都与预期进球呈负相关,并解释了这一明显违背直觉的结果。
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引用次数: 0
Complex systems in the spotlight: next steps after the 2021 Nobel Prize in Physics 聚光灯下的复杂系统:2021年诺贝尔物理学奖后的下一步
IF 2.7 Q1 MATHEMATICS, INTERDISCIPLINARY APPLICATIONS Pub Date : 2023-01-16 DOI: 10.1088/2632-072X/ac7f75
G. Bianconi, A. Arenas, J. Biamonte, L. Carr, B. Kahng, J. Kertész, Jürgen Kurths, Linyuan Lü, C. Masoller, A. Motter, M. Perc, F. Radicchi, R. Ramaswamy, Francisco A Rodrigues, M. Sales-Pardo, M. San Miguel, S. Thurner, T. Yasseri
The 2021 Nobel Prize in Physics recognized the fundamental role of complex systems in the natural sciences. In order to celebrate this milestone, this editorial presents the point of view of the editorial board of JPhys Complexity on the achievements, challenges, and future prospects of the field. To distinguish the voice and the opinion of each editor, this editorial consists of a series of editor perspectives and reflections on few selected themes. A comprehensive and multi-faceted view of the field of complexity science emerges. We hope and trust that this open discussion will be of inspiration for future research on complex systems.
2021年诺贝尔物理学奖承认了复杂系统在自然科学中的基本作用。为了庆祝这一里程碑,这篇社论介绍了JPhys Complexity编辑委员会对该领域成就、挑战和未来前景的看法。为了区分每个编辑的声音和意见,这篇社论由一系列编辑观点和对少数选定主题的思考组成。复杂性科学领域出现了一种全面的、多方面的观点。我们希望并相信,这次公开讨论将对未来复杂系统的研究产生启发。
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引用次数: 13
Meaningful local signalling in sinoatrial node identified by random matrix theory and PCA 应用随机矩阵理论和主成分分析识别窦房结有意义的局部信号
IF 2.7 Q1 MATHEMATICS, INTERDISCIPLINARY APPLICATIONS Pub Date : 2023-01-01 DOI: 10.1088/2632-072X/acadc8
Chloe F. Norris, A. Maltsev
The sinoatrial node (SAN) is the pacemaker of the heart. Recently calcium signals, believed to be crucially important in rhythm generation, have been imaged in intact SAN and shown to be heterogeneous in various regions of the SAN with a lot of analysis relying on visual inspection rather than mathematical tools. Here we apply methods of random matrix theory (RMT) developed for financial data and various biological data sets including β-cell collectives and electroencephalograms (EEG) to analyse correlations in SAN calcium signals using eigenvalues and eigenvectors of the correlation matrix. We use principal component analysis to locate signalling modules corresponding to localization properties the eigenvectors corresponding to high eigenvalues. We find that the top eigenvector captures the global behaviour of the SAN i.e. action potential (AP) induced calcium transient. In some cases, the eigenvector corresponding to the second highest eigenvalue yields a pacemaker region whose calcium signals predict the AP. Furthermore, using new analytic methods, we study the relationship between covariance coefficients and distance, and find that even inside the central zone, there are non-trivial long range correlations, indicating intercellular interactions in most cases. Lastly, we perform an analysis of nearest-neighbour eigenvalue distances and find that it coincides with universal Wigner surmise under all available experimental conditions, while the number variance, which captures eigenvalue correlations, is sensitive to experimental conditions. Thus RMT application to SAN allows to remove noise and the global effects of the AP-induced calcium transient and thereby isolate the local and meaningful correlations in calcium signalling.
窦房结(SAN)是心脏的起搏器。最近,钙信号被认为在节律产生中至关重要,已经在完整的SAN中成像,并且在SAN的不同区域显示出异质性,大量的分析依赖于视觉检查而不是数学工具。在这里,我们应用随机矩阵理论(RMT)为金融数据和各种生物数据集(包括β细胞群和脑电图)开发的方法,利用相关矩阵的特征值和特征向量分析SAN钙信号的相关性。我们使用主成分分析来定位与高特征值对应的特征向量对应的定位属性的信号模块。我们发现顶部特征向量捕获了SAN的全局行为,即动作电位(AP)诱导的钙瞬态。在某些情况下,第二高特征值对应的特征向量产生一个起搏器区域,其钙信号预测AP。此外,使用新的分析方法,我们研究了协方差系数与距离之间的关系,发现即使在中心区域内,也存在非平凡的长距离相关性,表明在大多数情况下细胞间相互作用。最后,我们对最近邻特征值距离进行了分析,发现它在所有可用的实验条件下都符合普遍的Wigner猜想,而捕获特征值相关性的数方差对实验条件很敏感。因此,将RMT应用于SAN可以去除ap诱导的钙瞬态的噪声和全局影响,从而分离钙信号传导中的局部和有意义的相关性。
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引用次数: 1
Inferring directional interactions in collective dynamics: a critique to intrinsic mutual information 推断集体动力中的定向相互作用:对内在相互信息的批判
IF 2.7 Q1 MATHEMATICS, INTERDISCIPLINARY APPLICATIONS Pub Date : 2022-12-19 DOI: 10.1088/2632-072X/acace0
Pietro De Lellis, Manuel Ruiz Marín, M. Porfiri
Pairwise interactions are critical to collective dynamics of natural and technological systems. Information theory is the gold standard to study these interactions, but recent work has identified pitfalls in the way information flow is appraised through classical metrics—time-delayed mutual information and transfer entropy. These pitfalls have prompted the introduction of intrinsic mutual information to precisely measure information flow. However, little is known regarding the potential use of intrinsic mutual information in the inference of directional influences to diagnose interactions from time-series of individual units. We explore this possibility within a minimalistic, mathematically tractable leader–follower model, for which we document an excess of false inferences of intrinsic mutual information compared to transfer entropy. This unexpected finding is linked to a fundamental limitation of intrinsic mutual information, which suffers from the same sins of time-delayed mutual information: a thin tail of the null distribution that favors the rejection of the null-hypothesis of independence.
成对的相互作用对自然和技术系统的集体动力学至关重要。信息论是研究这些相互作用的黄金标准,但最近的工作已经发现,通过经典指标——时延互信息和传递熵——来评估信息流的方式存在缺陷。这些陷阱促使引入了内在的相互信息来精确测量信息流。然而,关于内在互信息在推断方向影响中的潜在用途,从单个单元的时间序列诊断相互作用,目前知之甚少。我们在一个最小化的、数学上易于处理的领导者-追随者模型中探索了这种可能性,对于该模型,与传递熵相比,我们记录了过多的内在互信息的错误推断。这一意外发现与内在互信息的一个基本限制有关,内在互信息也受到时间延迟互信息的影响:零分布的细尾有利于拒绝独立的零假设。
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引用次数: 0
Ecological Analogy for Generative Adversarial Networks and Diversity Control 生成对抗性网络的生态类比与多样性控制
IF 2.7 Q1 MATHEMATICS, INTERDISCIPLINARY APPLICATIONS Pub Date : 2022-12-19 DOI: 10.1088/2632-072X/acacdf
K. Nakazato
Generative adversarial networks are popular deep neural networks for generative modeling in the field of artificial intelligence. In the generative modeling, we want to output a sample with some random numbers as an input. We train the artificial neural network with a training data set for the purpose. The network is known with astonishingly fruitful demonstrations, but we know the difficulty in the training because of the complex training dynamics. Here, we introduce an ecological analogy for the training dynamics. With the simple ecological model, we can understand the dynamics. Furthermore, a controller for the training can be designed based on the understanding. We then demonstrate how the network and the controller work with an ideal case, MNIST.
生成对抗性网络是人工智能领域中流行的用于生成建模的深度神经网络。在生成建模中,我们希望输出一个带有一些随机数的样本作为输入。为此,我们使用训练数据集来训练人工神经网络。众所周知,该网络的演示成果惊人,但由于训练动态复杂,我们知道训练的难度。在这里,我们为训练动力学引入一个生态类比。通过简单的生态模型,我们可以了解其动态。此外,可以基于该理解来设计用于训练的控制器。然后,我们演示了网络和控制器如何在理想情况MNIST下工作。
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引用次数: 1
Directed random geometric graphs: structural and spectral properties 有向随机几何图:结构和谱性质
IF 2.7 Q1 MATHEMATICS, INTERDISCIPLINARY APPLICATIONS Pub Date : 2022-12-19 DOI: 10.1088/2632-072X/acace1
K. Peralta-Martinez, J. A. Méndez-Bermúdez
In this work we analyze structural and spectral properties of a model of directed random geometric graphs: given n vertices uniformly and independently distributed on the unit square, a directed edge is set between two vertices if their distance is smaller than the connection radius ℓ , which is randomly drawn from a Pareto distribution. This Pareto distribution is characterized by the power-law decay α and the lower bound of its support ℓ0 ; thus the graphs depend on three parameters G(n,α,ℓ0) . By increasing ℓ0 , for fixed (n,α) , the model transits from isolated vertices ( ℓ0≈0 ) to complete graphs ( ℓ0=2 ). We first propose a phenomenological expression for the average degree ⟨k(G)⟩ which works well for α > 3, when k is a self-averaging quantity. Then we numerically demonstrate that 〈Vx(G)〉≈n[1−exp(−〈k〉] , for all α, where Vx(G) is the number of nonisolated vertices of G. Finally, we explore the spectral properties of G(n,α,ℓ0) by the use of adjacency matrices represented by diluted random matrix ensembles; a non-Hermitian and a Hermitian one. We find that ⟨k⟩ is a good scaling parameter of spectral and eigenvector properties of G mainly for large α.
在这项工作中,我们分析了一个有向随机几何图模型的结构和谱性质:给定n个均匀独立分布在单位正方形上的顶点,如果它们的距离小于连接半径,则在两个顶点之间设置有向边ℓ , 其是从Pareto分布中随机抽取的。这种Pareto分布的特征是幂律衰减α及其支持的下界ℓ0;因此图依赖于三个参数G(n,ℓ0)。通过增加ℓ0,对于固定的(n,α),模型从孤立顶点(ℓ0≈0)来完成图(ℓ0=2)。我们首先提出了平均度⟨k(G)⟩的现象学表达式,该表达式对α > 3,当k是自平均量时。然后我们数值证明了对于所有的α,〈Vx(G)〉≈n[1−exp(-〈k〉],其中Vx(G)是G的非孤立顶点的数目。最后,我们探索了G(n,ℓ0)通过使用由稀释的随机矩阵集合表示的邻接矩阵;一个非隐士和一个隐士。我们发现,对于大α,k是G的谱和特征向量性质的一个很好的标度参数。
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引用次数: 1
Formation of trade networks by economies of scale and product differentiation 通过规模经济和产品差异化形成贸易网络
IF 2.7 Q1 MATHEMATICS, INTERDISCIPLINARY APPLICATIONS Pub Date : 2022-12-06 DOI: 10.1088/2632-072X/acc91f
Chengyuan Han, Malte Schröder, D. Witthaut, Philipp C. Böttcher
Understanding the structure and formation of networks is a central topic in complexity science. Economic networks are formed by decisions of individual agents and thus not properly described by established random graph models. In this article, we establish a model for the emergence of trade networks that is based on rational decisions of individual agents. The model incorporates key drivers for the emergence of trade, comparative advantage and economic scale effects, but also the heterogeneity of agents and the transportation or transaction costs. Numerical simulations show three macroscopically different regimes of the emerging trade networks. Depending on the specific transportation costs and the heterogeneity of individual preferences, we find centralized production with a star-like trade network, distributed production with all-to-all trading or local production and no trade. Using methods from statistical mechanics, we provide an analytic theory of the transitions between these regimes and estimates for critical parameters values.
理解网络的结构和形成是复杂性科学的核心课题。经济网络是由个体主体的决策形成的,因此不能通过建立的随机图模型来正确描述。在本文中,我们建立了一个基于个体代理人理性决策的贸易网络出现模型。该模型包含了贸易、比较优势和经济规模效应出现的关键驱动因素,但也包含了代理人的异质性以及运输或交易成本。数值模拟显示了新兴贸易网络的三种宏观上不同的制度。根据具体的运输成本和个人偏好的异质性,我们发现集中生产具有星形贸易网络,分布式生产具有所有到所有的贸易或本地生产而没有贸易。使用统计力学的方法,我们提供了这些状态之间转换的分析理论和临界参数值的估计。
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引用次数: 0
Outlier mining in high-dimensional data using the Jensen–Shannon divergence and graph structure analysis 基于Jensen–Shannon散度和图结构分析的高维数据异常点挖掘
IF 2.7 Q1 MATHEMATICS, INTERDISCIPLINARY APPLICATIONS Pub Date : 2022-12-06 DOI: 10.1088/2632-072X/aca94a
Alex S O Toledo, Riccardo Silini, L. Carpi, C. Masoller
Reliable anomaly/outlier detection algorithms have practical applications in many fields. For instance, anomaly detection allows to filter and clean the data used to train machine learning algorithms, improving their performance. However, outlier mining is challenging when the data is high-dimensional, and different approaches have been proposed for different types of data (temporal, spatial, network, etc). Here we propose a methodology to mine outliers in generic datasets in which it is possible to define a meaningful distance between elements of the dataset. The methodology is based on defining a fully connected, undirected graph, where the nodes are the elements of the dataset and the links have weights that are the distances between the nodes. Outlier scores are defined by analyzing the structure of the graph, in particular, by using the Jensen–Shannon (JS) divergence to compare the distributions of weights of different nodes. We demonstrate the method using a publicly available database of credit-card transactions, where some of the transactions are labeled as frauds. We compare with the performance obtained when using Euclidean distances and graph percolation, and show that the JS divergence leads to performance improvement, but increases the computational cost.
可靠的异常/异常点检测算法在许多领域都有实际应用。例如,异常检测可以过滤和清理用于训练机器学习算法的数据,从而提高其性能。然而,当数据是高维的时,异常值挖掘是具有挑战性的,并且已经针对不同类型的数据(时间、空间、网络等)提出了不同的方法。在这里,我们提出了一种在通用数据集中挖掘异常值的方法,其中可以定义数据集元素之间的有意义的距离。该方法基于定义一个完全连接的无向图,其中节点是数据集的元素,链接的权重是节点之间的距离。异常值分数是通过分析图的结构来定义的,特别是通过使用Jensen–Shannon(JS)散度来比较不同节点的权重分布。我们使用公开的信用卡交易数据库演示了该方法,其中一些交易被标记为欺诈。我们将其与使用欧几里得距离和图渗滤时获得的性能进行了比较,并表明JS发散导致了性能的提高,但增加了计算成本。
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引用次数: 1
Thoughts on complex systems: an interview with Giorgio Parisi 对复杂系统的思考:对乔治·帕里西的采访
IF 2.7 Q1 MATHEMATICS, INTERDISCIPLINARY APPLICATIONS Pub Date : 2022-12-01 DOI: 10.1088/2632-072X/ac9171
G. Parisi
The Nobel Laureate Giorgio Parisi is interviewed by JPhys Complexity Editor-in-Chief, Ginestra Bianconi, on themes related to the 2021 Nobel Prize in Physics awarded to him for research on complex systems.
诺贝尔奖获得者Giorgio Parisi接受了JPhys复杂性主编Ginestra Bianconi的采访,主题与他因研究复杂系统而获得的2021年诺贝尔物理学奖有关。
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引用次数: 1
Autorrelation and cross-relation of graphs and networks 图和网络的自关系和相互关系
IF 2.7 Q1 MATHEMATICS, INTERDISCIPLINARY APPLICATIONS Pub Date : 2022-12-01 DOI: 10.1088/2632-072X/aca57c
L. da Fontoura Costa
The concepts of auto- and cross-correlation play a key role in several areas, including signal processing and analysis, pattern recognition, multivariate statistics, as well as physics in general, as these operations underlie several real-world structures and dynamics. In the present work, the concept of multiset similarity, more specifically the coincidence similarity index, is used as the basis for defining operations between a same network, or two distinct networks, which will be respectively called autorrelation and cross-relation. In analogous manner to the autocorrelation and cross-correlation counterparts, which are defined in terms of inner products between signals, the two operations suggested here allow the comparison of the similarity of nodes and graphs respectively to successive displacements along the neighborhoods of each of the constituent nodes, which therefore plays a role that is analogue to the lag in the class correlation. In addition to presenting these approaches, this work also illustrates their potential respectively to applications for the characterization of several model-theoretic and real world networks, providing a comprehensive description of the specific properties of each analyzed structure. The possibility of analyzing the obtained individual autorrelation signatures in terms of their respective coincidence similarity networks is also addressed and illustrated.
自相关和相互关联的概念在几个领域发挥着关键作用,包括信号处理和分析,模式识别,多元统计,以及一般的物理学,因为这些操作是几个现实世界结构和动力学的基础。在本工作中,多集相似度的概念,更具体地说是巧合相似度指标,被用作定义同一网络或两个不同网络之间的操作的基础,这些操作将分别称为自关联和交叉关联。以类似于自相关和相互相关对应的方式(根据信号之间的内积定义),这里建议的两种操作允许将节点和图的相似性分别与每个组成节点的相邻区域的连续位移进行比较,因此,这在类相关中起着类似于滞后的作用。除了介绍这些方法之外,这项工作还分别说明了它们在几个模型理论和现实世界网络表征方面的应用潜力,并提供了每个分析结构的具体属性的全面描述。本文还讨论并说明了用各自的符合相似网络来分析得到的单个自相关签名的可能性。
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引用次数: 3
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Journal of Physics Complexity
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