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A new path for assisted dying in Europe: France's middle way. 欧洲辅助死亡的新道路:法国的中间道路。
IF 13 Q1 HEALTH CARE SCIENCES & SERVICES Pub Date : 2026-02-05 eCollection Date: 2026-02-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.lanepe.2026.101617
The Lancet Regional Health-Europe
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引用次数: 0
SARS-CoV-2 reinfections and subsequent risk of hospital-diagnosed post-acute sequelae in Denmark (2020–2022): a nationwide cohort study 丹麦(2020-2022年)SARS-CoV-2再感染和医院诊断的急性后后遗症的后续风险:一项全国性队列研究
IF 13 Q1 HEALTH CARE SCIENCES & SERVICES Pub Date : 2026-01-31 DOI: 10.1016/j.lanepe.2026.101601
Mark P. Khurana , Mathilde Marie Brünnich Sloth , Neil Scheidwasser , Jacob Curran-Sebastian , Christian Morgenstern , Nicolas Banholzer , David Thein , Laust H. Mortensen , Morten Rasmussen , Pikka Jokelainen , Frederik Trier Møller , Marc Stegger , Tyra G. Krause , Ewan Cameron , David A. Duchêne , Alexandros Katsiferis , Samir Bhatt

Background

Post-acute sequelae of COVID-19 (PASC), or long COVID, are a public health concern. While most recover from SARS-CoV-2 infections within weeks, some experience persistent symptoms. Here, we quantified the association between repeated SARS-CoV-2 infections and the risk of hospital-diagnosed PASC.

Methods

We conducted a nationwide register-based cohort study of all adults in Denmark (≥18 years) with at least one SARS-CoV-2 PCR or antigen test between April 1, 2020, and December 31, 2022. Participants were followed from first test until long COVID diagnosis (ICD-10: B948A), death, emigration, three SARS-CoV-2 infections, or end of study. Risk of long COVID diagnosis was estimated at three timepoints after study entry (180 days, 1 year, 2 years) and the outcomes were assessed during the 180 days after each timepoint. Cause-specific Cox models treated death as a competing risk, with number of infections and vaccination status as time-varying covariates. Absolute risks and differences were estimated using G-computation. Analyses were stratified by sex, income, and vaccination status. Secondary analyses assessed fatigue and headache (ICD-10), excluding individuals with prior diagnoses.

Findings

Of 4,418,544 individuals, 6942 (0.16%) were diagnosed with long COVID. The absolute risk of a diagnosis increased following reinfection (0.73% [95% CI 0.69–0.77] after one infection vs. 1.16% [1.05–1.30] after two infections at 180 days), but differences were small and decreased over time. Risks following reinfection were similar across sex and income strata. Absolute risk decreased with prior vaccinations. Secondary analyses showed no increased risk of fatigue or headache after primary infection. A small increase in fatigue risk was observed after reinfection at 1 year (RD 0.03% [0.01–0.05]), but not for headache.

Interpretation

Reinfection increases long COVID risk; however, the absolute increase after reinfection is smaller than that observed after a primary infection. Vaccination offers substantial protection against long COVID.

Funding

Danish National Research Foundation (DNRF).
COVID-19急性后后遗症(PASC)或长冠状病毒是一个公共卫生问题。虽然大多数人在几周内从SARS-CoV-2感染中康复,但有些人会出现持续的症状。在这里,我们量化了反复感染SARS-CoV-2与医院诊断的PASC风险之间的关系。方法:我们在2020年4月1日至2022年12月31日期间对丹麦所有(≥18岁)至少进行过一次SARS-CoV-2 PCR或抗原检测的成年人进行了一项全国性的基于登记册的队列研究。参与者从第一次测试开始,直到长时间的COVID诊断(ICD-10: B948A)、死亡、移民、三次SARS-CoV-2感染或研究结束。在研究开始后的三个时间点(180天、1年、2年)评估长期COVID诊断的风险,并在每个时间点后的180天内评估结果。病因特异性Cox模型将死亡视为竞争风险,感染数量和疫苗接种状态作为时变协变量。使用g计算估计绝对风险和差异。分析按性别、收入和疫苗接种状况进行分层。二次分析评估疲劳和头痛(ICD-10),排除有既往诊断的个体。在4418544例中,6942例(0.16%)被诊断为长冠状病毒。再次感染后诊断的绝对风险增加(一次感染后0.73% [95% CI 0.69-0.77], 180天两次感染后1.16%[1.05-1.30]),但差异很小,随着时间的推移而下降。再感染后的风险在性别和收入阶层之间相似。绝对风险降低与先前接种疫苗。二次分析显示,初次感染后疲劳或头痛的风险没有增加。1年后再次感染后,疲劳风险略有增加(RD为0.03%[0.01-0.05]),但头痛风险没有增加。再次感染增加长期COVID风险;然而,再感染后的绝对增加比初次感染后观察到的要小。疫苗接种可有效预防长期COVID。丹麦国家研究基金会(DNRF)。
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引用次数: 0
Prevalence of vaccine hesitancy in Italy: a cross-sectional study 意大利疫苗犹豫的流行:一项横断面研究
IF 13 Q1 HEALTH CARE SCIENCES & SERVICES Pub Date : 2026-01-31 DOI: 10.1016/j.lanepe.2026.101603
Giuseppina Lo Moro , Fabrizio Bert , Giovanna Elisa Calabrò , Mauro Giovanni Carta , Giulia Cossu , Corrado De Vito , Manuela Martella , Azzurra Massimi , Anna Odone , Paolo Ragusa , Giacomo Pietro Vigezzi , Walter Ricciardi , Roberta Siliquini

Background

Vaccine hesitancy (VH) remains a global threat, exacerbated by socio-political uncertainty. We aimed primarily to estimate VH prevalence in Italy, identifying the most susceptible subgroups, and secondarily to assess whether these patterns varied across VH dimensions.

Methods

Cross-sectional survey (web/telephone) among adults in Italy (September 2024–March 2025). The sample (n = 52,094) was nationally representative by age, gender, education, area, municipality size. The primary outcome was VH (score ≥25, adult Vaccine Hesitancy Scale, aVHS). The secondary outcomes were aVHS subscales “Lack of trust” and “Risk perception”. Post-stratification weighting for age, area, and municipality size was applied.

Findings

VH prevalence was 46.09% (95% CI: 45.65–46.53%). Multivariable models showed several associations with VH, e.g., gender, sexual orientation, ethnicity, health literacy, political and religious orientation, personal experiences, and vaccination support from community figures. Among many subgroups significant after multiple-comparison correction, the strongest differences in VH predicted probability (PP) were estimated among individuals using complementary/alternative medicine (PP = 58.5%), right-aligned (PP = 47.0%) or politically unaffiliated participants (PP = 48.4%), individuals with middle school education (PP = 48.3%), people aged 60–74 (PP = 49.0%), and participants uncertain about healthcare workers' pro-vaccination support (PP = 52.8%). While some groups, e.g., individuals with chronic conditions, inadequate health literacy, or religious participants reported higher perceived risk, others, e.g., non-binary respondents, showed higher lack of trust.

Interpretation

This study highlighted the importance of granular data to inform inclusive strategies. Key figures and politics emerged as relevant, deserving further exploration. Future research should evaluate tailored interventions for identified at-risk groups.

Funding

NextGenerationEU funding within the Italian Ministry of University and Research PNRR Extended Partnership initiative on Emerging Infectious Diseases.
疫苗犹豫(VH)仍然是一个全球性威胁,社会政治不确定性加剧了这一威胁。我们的主要目的是估计意大利的VH患病率,确定最易感的亚群,其次评估这些模式是否在VH维度上有所不同。方法意大利成年人横断面调查(网络/电话)(2024年9月- 2025年3月)。样本(n = 52,094)在年龄、性别、教育程度、地区和直辖市规模方面具有全国代表性。主要结局为VH(成人疫苗犹豫量表评分≥25分)。次要结果为aVHS量表“信任缺失”和“风险感知”。分层后对年龄、面积和市政规模进行加权。发现svh患病率为46.09% (95% CI: 45.65-46.53%)。多变量模型显示了与VH的若干关联,例如,性别、性取向、种族、卫生素养、政治和宗教取向、个人经历以及社区人士的疫苗接种支持。在许多经多重比较校正后显著的亚组中,使用补充/替代医学的个体(PP = 58.5%)、右倾(PP = 47.0%)或无政治关联的参与者(PP = 48.4%)、受过中学教育的个体(PP = 48.3%)、60-74岁的人群(PP = 49.0%)和不确定医护人员是否支持接种疫苗的参与者(PP = 52.8%)之间的VH预测概率(PP)差异最大。虽然一些群体,如慢性病患者、卫生知识不足或宗教参与者报告了更高的感知风险,但其他群体,如非二元受访者,表现出更高的信任缺失。本研究强调了细粒度数据对包容性策略的重要性。关键人物和政治的相关性显现出来,值得进一步探讨。未来的研究应该评估针对确定的高危人群的量身定制的干预措施。资助下一代意大利大学和研究部PNRR新发传染病扩展伙伴关系倡议内的欧盟资助。
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引用次数: 0
30-day postoperative mortality and the effects of hospital preparedness during the COVID-19 pandemic: a pooled analysis of prospective international cohort studies COVID-19大流行期间30天术后死亡率和医院防范措施的影响:前瞻性国际队列研究的汇总分析
IF 13 Q1 HEALTH CARE SCIENCES & SERVICES Pub Date : 2026-01-29 DOI: 10.1016/j.lanepe.2025.101566

Background

Surgical services were poorly prepared for the COVID-19 pandemic, leading to widescale disruption to elective activity. This study aimed to identify actionable priorities to strengthen pandemic preparedness of surgical and hospital systems.

Methods

This study pooled data from three international, prospective cohort studies including patients who had a positive SARS-CoV-2 test result in the seven days before or within 30 days after surgery. Patients were included across four pandemic time periods: Period 1 (January–May 2020), Period 2 (June–July 2020), Period 3 (October 2020), and Period 4 (December–March 2022). The primary outcome measure was 30-day postoperative mortality. Hierarchical logistic regression models were developed to explore association between pandemic periods (primary analysis) and hospital-level preparedness (secondary analysis) on 30-day postoperative mortality. Hospital preparedness was classified in to poorly-, moderately-, and highly-prepared tertiles based on Surgical Preparedness Index (SPI) score.

Findings

A total of 31,751 patients were included from 1589 hospitals and 102 countries. From Period 1 through to Period 4 there was a decrease in the proportion of patients aged ≥70 years and with ASA grades 3–5.30-day postoperative mortality fell from Period 1 (18.4% [1378/7502]), Period 2 (9.9% [219/2234], adjusted odds ratio (aOR) 0.65, 95% confidence interval (CI) 0.53–0.78), Period 3 (10.5% [246/2427], aOR 0.60, 95% CI 0.50–0.71), through to Period 4 (5.8% [1132/19,588], aOR 0.33, 95% CI 0.30–0.37). During Period 4, SARS-CoV-2 vaccinated patients had lower mortality compared to unvaccinated patients (4.9% [603/12,361] versus 7.4% [529/7178], aOR 0.49, 95% CI 0.42–0.57). Compared to poorly-prepared hospitals (11.2% [1019/9071]), moderately-prepared (9.4% [857/9071], aOR 0.84, 95% CI 0.75–0.94) and highly-prepared hospitals (5.8% [530/9071], aOR 0.70, 95% CI 0.62–0.80) had lower mortality.

Interpretation

Postoperative mortality decreased over the course of the COVID-19 pandemic and was lower in better prepared hospitals. Hospitals are critical national infrastructure and strengthening their preparedness by developing formal pandemic plans, establishing patient and procedure prioritisation protocols, and ring-fencing surgical beds would ensure safer surgical care during future pandemics.

Funding

National Institute for Health and Care Research, United Kingdom.
外科服务部门对COVID-19大流行准备不足,导致选择性活动大面积中断。本研究旨在确定可采取行动的优先事项,以加强外科和医院系统的大流行防范。方法本研究汇集了三项国际前瞻性队列研究的数据,这些研究包括术前7天或术后30天内SARS-CoV-2检测结果阳性的患者。患者被纳入四个大流行时期:第一阶段(2020年1月至5月)、第二阶段(2020年6月至7月)、第三阶段(2020年10月)和第四阶段(2022年12月至3月)。主要结局指标为术后30天死亡率。建立了层次逻辑回归模型,探讨大流行时期(初级分析)和医院层面的防范(二级分析)与术后30天死亡率之间的关系。根据手术准备指数(SPI)评分,将医院准备分为低准备、中等准备和高度准备。来自102个国家1589家医院的31751名患者被纳入研究。从第1期到第4期,年龄≥70岁、ASA等级为3 - 5.30天的患者术后死亡率从第1期(18.4%[1378/7502])、第2期(9.9%[219/2234],调整优势比(aOR) 0.65, 95%可信区间(CI) 0.53-0.78)、第3期(10.5% [246/2427],aOR 0.60, 95% CI 0.50-0.71)到第4期(5.8% [1132/ 19588],aOR 0.33, 95% CI 0.30-0.37)下降。在第4期,接种SARS-CoV-2疫苗的患者死亡率低于未接种疫苗的患者(4.9%[603/12,361]对7.4% [529/7178],aOR 0.49, 95% CI 0.42-0.57)。与准备不足的医院(11.2%[1019/9071])相比,准备适度的医院(9.4% [857/9071],aOR 0.84, 95% CI 0.75 ~ 0.94)和准备充分的医院(5.8% [5.3 /9071],aOR 0.70, 95% CI 0.62 ~ 0.80)的死亡率较低。在COVID-19大流行期间,术后死亡率有所下降,在准备较好的医院中死亡率更低。医院是至关重要的国家基础设施,通过制定正式的大流行计划、建立病人和手术优先次序协议以及围篱手术床来加强医院的防范,将确保在未来大流行期间更安全的手术护理。英国国家卫生和保健研究所。
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引用次数: 0
Prenatal maternal depression and child behavioural and developmental outcomes: an individual participant data meta-analysis in 76,514 children from the EU Child Cohort Network 产前母亲抑郁与儿童行为和发育结局:来自欧盟儿童队列网络的76514名儿童的个体参与者数据荟萃分析
IF 13 Q1 HEALTH CARE SCIENCES & SERVICES Pub Date : 2026-01-29 DOI: 10.1016/j.lanepe.2026.101595
Adriana P.C. Hermans , Demetris Avraam , Isabel K. Schuurmans , Ana G. Soares , Marius Lahti-Pulkkinen , Polina Girchenko , Tanja G.M. Vrijkotte , Susanne R. de Rooij , Ahmed Elhakeem , Judith van der Waerden , Barbara Heude , Chloé Vainqueur , Tiffany C. Yang , Rachael W. Cheung , Dan Lewer , Katrine Strandberg-Larsen , Tim Cadman , Maja Popovic , Francesca Candelora , Jari Lahti , Hanan El Marroun

Background

Prenatal maternal depression affects an estimated one in five women, with implications not only for the mother but also for the child, associating negatively with offspring mental health and cognition. This study aimed to investigate multiple outcomes within the same set of participants from multiple cohorts, explore sex-specific differences in associations, and examine of the role of timing of maternal depression.

Methods

We performed large-scale individual participant data analyses with a sample size of up to 76,514 participants to investigate prospective associations between prenatal maternal depression and eight offspring behavioural and developmental outcomes, leveraging harmonised data from seven European birth cohorts. Cohort-specific estimates were combined using random-effects meta-analysis. Potential sex differences and the role of pre-pregnancy and postnatal depression in the associations were examined.

Findings

Prenatal maternal depression was associated with higher internalising, externalising, attention deficit hyperactivity disorder, and autism spectrum disorder symptoms (6.61–10.90 increased percentile scores). Associations were similar between males and females, largely independent of pre-pregnancy depression, and partially mediated by postnatal maternal depression. Continuous prenatal depressive symptoms were associated with all eight offspring outcomes.

Interpretation

These findings emphasise the importance of prenatal maternal depression as a key developmental risk factor. Future work should consider how best to support mental health during pregnancy and children exposed to prenatal depression. Our results contribute to the growing evidence underscoring the need for early intervention and tailored support for those experiencing depression during pregnancy.

Funding

HappyMums Project, funded by the European Union (Grant Agreement n.101057390).
据估计,五分之一的女性患有产前抑郁症,不仅对母亲有影响,对孩子也有影响,并与后代的心理健康和认知产生负面影响。本研究旨在调查来自多个队列的同一组参与者的多个结果,探讨相关性的性别差异,并检查产妇抑郁时间的作用。方法:我们进行了大规模的个体参与者数据分析,样本量高达76514名参与者,利用来自7个欧洲出生队列的统一数据,调查产前母亲抑郁与8个后代行为和发育结局之间的前瞻性关联。使用随机效应荟萃分析合并特定队列的估计。潜在的性别差异和孕前和产后抑郁在这些关联中的作用进行了研究。发现产前母亲抑郁与较高的内在化、外在化、注意缺陷多动障碍和自闭症谱系障碍症状相关(增加6.61-10.90百分位分数)。男性和女性之间的关联相似,在很大程度上独立于孕前抑郁,部分由产后母亲抑郁介导。持续的产前抑郁症状与所有八种后代结局相关。这些发现强调了产前母亲抑郁作为一个关键的发育风险因素的重要性。未来的工作应考虑如何最好地支持怀孕期间和暴露于产前抑郁症的儿童的心理健康。我们的研究结果为越来越多的证据提供了帮助,这些证据强调了对怀孕期间抑郁症患者进行早期干预和量身定制的支持的必要性。快乐妈妈项目,由欧盟资助(资助协议号:101057390)。
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引用次数: 0
Short-term effects of cannabis legalisation in Germany on driving under the influence of cannabis: a difference-in-differences analysis using Austria as a control 德国大麻合法化对大麻影响下驾驶的短期影响:以奥地利为对照的差异中差异分析
IF 13 Q1 HEALTH CARE SCIENCES & SERVICES Pub Date : 2026-01-23 DOI: 10.1016/j.lanepe.2026.101593
Anna Schranz , Anja Knoche-Becker , Moritz Rosenkranz , Uwe Verthein , Jakob Manthey

Background

In April 2024, Germany legalised adult cannabis possession and cultivation, and in August 2024 established legal THC-limits for driving. This study aimed to examine short-term impacts on (1) cannabis use and (2) driving under the influence of cannabis (DUIC), and (3) investigates the extent of DUIC involving cannabis combined with alcohol or other drugs (DUIC(+)).

Methods

Data came from two cross-sectional population surveys in Germany and Austria (control) before (t0: Nov–Dec 2023) and after legalisation (t1: Nov 2024–Jan 2025). We assessed 12-month cannabis use among adults aged 18–64 (Germany: nt0 = 6670, nt1 = 9692; Austria: nt0 = 2132, nt1 = 2102) and DUIC among at least monthly cannabis users (excluding medical use; Germany: nt0 = 393, nt1 = 589; Austria: nt0 = 86, nt1 = 92) using a difference-in-differences (DiD) approach. For t1, we compared the proportion of DUIC(+) and cannabis-only DUIC(−) episodes among all DUIC episodes by use frequency.

Findings

In Germany, cannabis use rose from 12·1% to 14·4%, but this trend did not significantly differ from Austria (DiD-effect: OR = 1·18, 95% CI 0·95–1·48, p = 0·141, weighted). Among at least monthly users, DUIC decreased slightly from 28·5% to 26·8% (unweighted), with no significant difference compared with Austria (DiD-effect: aOR = 0·68, 95% CI 0·27–1·68, p = 0·408). Results held across sensitivity analyses including additional confounders and negative controls. At t1, DUIC(+) accounted for 21·5% of episodes. DUIC(−) was most common among daily users, DUIC(+) among weekly users.

Interpretation

Eight months after legalisation, no significant short-term effects on cannabis use or DUIC were observed. DUIC(+), associated with higher traffic risk, was most common among weekly users. A comprehensive evaluation of the cannabis reform requires further monitoring of DUIC and traffic data.

Funding

Federal Highway and Transport Research Institute (FE 82.0816/2023).
2024年4月,德国将成人大麻持有和种植合法化,并于2024年8月建立了合法的驾驶四氢大麻酚限制。本研究旨在研究对(1)大麻使用和(2)大麻影响下驾驶(DUIC)的短期影响,以及(3)调查涉及大麻与酒精或其他药物混合的DUIC的程度(DUIC(+))。方法数据来自合法化前(2023年11月- 12月)和合法化后(2024年11月- 2025年1月)在德国和奥地利(对照)进行的两次横断面人口调查。我们使用差异中的差异(DiD)方法评估了18-64岁成年人12个月的大麻使用情况(德国:nt0 = 6670, nt1 = 9692;奥地利:nt0 = 2132, nt1 = 2102)和至少每月大麻使用者(不包括医疗使用;德国:nt0 = 393, nt1 = 589;奥地利:nt0 = 86, nt1 = 92)的DUIC。对于t1,我们按使用频率比较了DUIC(+)和大麻纯DUIC(−)发作在所有DUIC发作中的比例。在德国,大麻使用率从12.1%上升到14.4%,但这一趋势与奥地利没有显著差异(did -effect: OR = 1.18, 95% CI 0.95 - 1.48, p = 0.141,加权)。在至少一个月的使用者中,DUIC从28.5%略微下降到26.8%(未加权),与奥地利相比无显著差异(did效应:aOR = 0.68, 95% CI 0.27 - 1.68, p = 0.408)。包括额外混杂因素和阴性对照在内的敏感性分析结果一致。t1时,DUIC(+)占21.5%。DUIC(−)在每日用户中最常见,DUIC(+)在每周用户中最常见。合法化8个月后,没有观察到对大麻使用或DUIC的显着短期影响。DUIC(+)与更高的流量风险相关,在每周用户中最常见。对大麻改革的全面评估需要进一步监测DUIC和交通数据。联邦公路和运输研究所(FE 82.0816/2023)。
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引用次数: 0
European Code Against Cancer 5th edition: 14 ways you can help prevent cancer 欧洲抗癌守则第5版:14种预防癌症的方法
IF 13 Q1 HEALTH CARE SCIENCES & SERVICES Pub Date : 2026-01-23 DOI: 10.1016/j.lanepe.2026.101592
Carolina Espina , David Ritchie , Elio Riboli , Hans Kromhout , Silvia Franceschi , Iris Lansdorp-Vogelaar , Theresa M. Marteau , Ioanna Bakogianni , Nadia Vilahur , Catherina J. Alberts , Urska Ivanus , Ariadna Feliu , Erica D'Souza , Hajo Zeeb , Giota Mitrou , Tit Albreht , Joakim Dillner , Jérôme Foucaud , Marta Manczuk , Jose María Martin-Moreno , Joachim Schüz
Despite the growing cancer burden in the European Union, public awareness of effective prevention is low. In response, Europe's Beating Cancer Plan has supported the development of the 5th edition of the European Code Against Cancer (ECAC5). Using a transparent, stepwise decision-making process, around 80 experts reviewed the latest scientific evidence on cancer prevention and used modern communication strategies to update the previous edition. An innovation in ECAC5 is the inclusion of population-level recommendations, aiming to structurally influence the systems that shape individual choices and improve environmental conditions to which all citizens are involuntarily exposed. ECAC5 includes 14 actionable, evidence-based recommendations for individuals to reduce their cancer risk alongside their respective policy recommendations. All are presented through equity lens, with attention to co-benefits for preventing other non-communicable diseases and tailoring messages to diverse audiences. Clear evidence-based statements on cancer risks factors and effective preventive interventions will empower citizens to make healthier choices, call policymakers to act, foster public support for effective policies, and contribute to more effective cancer prevention.
尽管欧盟的癌症负担日益加重,但公众对有效预防的认识很低。作为回应,欧洲战胜癌症计划支持制定了第5版欧洲抗癌法典(ECAC5)。通过透明、逐步的决策过程,约80名专家审查了有关癌症预防的最新科学证据,并使用现代沟通策略更新了上一版。ECAC5的一项创新是纳入了人口层面的建议,旨在从结构上影响影响个人选择的制度,并改善所有公民不由自主地面临的环境条件。ECAC5包括14项可操作的、基于证据的建议,以帮助个人降低癌症风险,以及各自的政策建议。所有这些都是从公平角度提出的,注意预防其他非传染性疾病的共同利益,并针对不同的受众量身定制信息。关于癌症风险因素和有效预防干预措施的明确循证声明将使公民能够做出更健康的选择,呼吁决策者采取行动,促进公众对有效政策的支持,并促进更有效的癌症预防。
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引用次数: 0
20 Years of EU health values (2006–2026): four proposals for the future 欧盟健康价值二十年(2006-2026年):面向未来的四项建议
IF 13 Q1 HEALTH CARE SCIENCES & SERVICES Pub Date : 2026-01-23 DOI: 10.1016/j.lanepe.2026.101589
Markus Frischhut , Barbara Prainsack , Tamara Hervey , Anniek de Ruijter , Tomislav Sokol , Nick Guldemond , Joaquin Cayon-De las Cuevas , André den Exter , Nick Fahy , Guerino Massimo Oscar Fares
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引用次数: 0
Air temperature and all-cause emergency hospital admissions in people with and without diabetes in Germany (2005–2022): a time-series analysis 2005-2022年德国糖尿病患者和非糖尿病患者的气温和全因急诊住院率:时间序列分析
IF 13 Q1 HEALTH CARE SCIENCES & SERVICES Pub Date : 2026-01-23 DOI: 10.1016/j.lanepe.2026.101591
Thaddäus Tönnies , Marielle Wirth , Katharina Piedboeuf-Potyka , Oliver Kuss

Background

People with diabetes may be more vulnerable to temperature extremes due to impaired thermoregulation and higher prevalence of comorbidities, but evidence is limited. We aimed to compare short-term effects of extreme heat and cold on all-cause emergency hospital admissions in Germany among people with and without diabetes.

Methods

We applied space- and time-stratified conditional quasi-Poisson regression with distributed lag non-linear models (up to 21 days) to estimate short-term effects of daily average temperature. We chose the reference temperature (20 °C) such that it approximates the minimum morbidity temperature in most subgroups. Analyses were stratified by sex, age, and diabetes status using data from all emergency hospital admissions in Germany, 2005–2022 (N = 132,243,083) at the level of 400 administrative districts, enabling an ecological study.

Findings

Both heat and cold increased hospital admissions. Heat-related relative risks (RR) were broadly similar between people with and without diabetes. Considering all ages, heat-related RRs (95% confidence interval) were 1.03 (1.03–1.04), 1.07 (1.00–1.13), and 1.02 (1.01–1.03) in males without, with type 1, and with type 2 diabetes. Age-specific RRs for heat and cold were similar between people without and with type 2 diabetes but higher for type 1 diabetes in some subgroups; e.g. cold-related RRs were 1.13 (1.12–1.15) and 1.51 (1.14–2.01) in men aged ≥80 years without and with type 1 diabetes.

Interpretation

Contrary to prior hypotheses, diabetes was not associated with greater vulnerability. This may reflect good healthcare access and increased awareness of heat and cold-related risks among people with diabetes. Nevertheless, given the higher baseline risk of hospital admission in diabetes, similar RR may still translate into larger absolute effects of extreme temperatures. Hence, clinical practice and policies aimed at mitigating temperature-related effects should continue to consider diabetes as a potential vulnerability factor.

Funding

None.
背景:由于体温调节功能受损和合并症患病率较高,糖尿病患者可能更容易受到极端温度的影响,但证据有限。我们的目的是比较极热和极冷对德国糖尿病患者和非糖尿病患者全因急诊入院的短期影响。方法采用空间和时间分层条件拟泊松回归和分布滞后非线性模型(最长21天)来估计日平均气温的短期影响。我们选择参考温度(20°C),使其接近大多数亚组的最低发病温度。利用2005-2022年德国400个行政区的所有急诊入院数据(N = 132,243,083),按性别、年龄和糖尿病状况对分析进行分层,从而进行生态学研究。研究发现,炎热和寒冷都会增加住院人数。与热相关的相对风险(RR)在糖尿病患者和非糖尿病患者之间大致相似。考虑到所有年龄段,无糖尿病、1型糖尿病和2型糖尿病男性的热相关危险度(95%置信区间)分别为1.03(1.03 - 1.04)、1.07(1.00-1.13)和1.02(1.01-1.03)。无2型糖尿病和患有2型糖尿病的人对冷热的年龄特异性rr相似,但在某些亚组中,1型糖尿病的年龄特异性rr更高;例如,年龄≥80岁、无1型糖尿病和有1型糖尿病的男性与感冒相关的rr分别为1.13(1.12-1.15)和1.51(1.14-2.01)。与先前的假设相反,糖尿病与更大的脆弱性无关。这可能反映了糖尿病患者获得良好的医疗保健机会以及对热和冷相关风险的认识提高。然而,考虑到糖尿病患者住院的基线风险较高,类似的RR仍可能转化为极端温度更大的绝对影响。因此,旨在减轻温度相关影响的临床实践和政策应继续将糖尿病视为潜在的脆弱性因素。
{"title":"Air temperature and all-cause emergency hospital admissions in people with and without diabetes in Germany (2005–2022): a time-series analysis","authors":"Thaddäus Tönnies ,&nbsp;Marielle Wirth ,&nbsp;Katharina Piedboeuf-Potyka ,&nbsp;Oliver Kuss","doi":"10.1016/j.lanepe.2026.101591","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.lanepe.2026.101591","url":null,"abstract":"<div><h3>Background</h3><div>People with diabetes may be more vulnerable to temperature extremes due to impaired thermoregulation and higher prevalence of comorbidities, but evidence is limited. We aimed to compare short-term effects of extreme heat and cold on all-cause emergency hospital admissions in Germany among people with and without diabetes.</div></div><div><h3>Methods</h3><div>We applied space- and time-stratified conditional quasi-Poisson regression with distributed lag non-linear models (up to 21 days) to estimate short-term effects of daily average temperature. We chose the reference temperature (20 °C) such that it approximates the minimum morbidity temperature in most subgroups. Analyses were stratified by sex, age, and diabetes status using data from all emergency hospital admissions in Germany, 2005–2022 (N = 132,243,083) at the level of 400 administrative districts, enabling an ecological study.</div></div><div><h3>Findings</h3><div>Both heat and cold increased hospital admissions. Heat-related relative risks (RR) were broadly similar between people with and without diabetes. Considering all ages, heat-related RRs (95% confidence interval) were 1.03 (1.03–1.04), 1.07 (1.00–1.13), and 1.02 (1.01–1.03) in males without, with type 1, and with type 2 diabetes. Age-specific RRs for heat and cold were similar between people without and with type 2 diabetes but higher for type 1 diabetes in some subgroups; e.g. cold-related RRs were 1.13 (1.12–1.15) and 1.51 (1.14–2.01) in men aged ≥80 years without and with type 1 diabetes.</div></div><div><h3>Interpretation</h3><div>Contrary to prior hypotheses, diabetes was not associated with greater vulnerability. This may reflect good healthcare access and increased awareness of heat and cold-related risks among people with diabetes. Nevertheless, given the higher baseline risk of hospital admission in diabetes, similar RR may still translate into larger absolute effects of extreme temperatures. Hence, clinical practice and policies aimed at mitigating temperature-related effects should continue to consider diabetes as a potential vulnerability factor.</div></div><div><h3>Funding</h3><div>None.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":53223,"journal":{"name":"Lancet Regional Health-Europe","volume":"63 ","pages":"Article 101591"},"PeriodicalIF":13.0,"publicationDate":"2026-01-23","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"146023192","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Comorbidities, medication use, and overall survival in eight cancers: a multinational cohort study of 1.7 million patients across Europe 8种癌症的合并症、药物使用和总生存率:一项欧洲170万患者的跨国队列研究
IF 13 Q1 HEALTH CARE SCIENCES & SERVICES Pub Date : 2026-01-22 DOI: 10.1016/j.lanepe.2025.101585
Irene López-Sánchez , Anna Palomar-Cros , Ravinder Claire , Laura Pérez-Crespo , Agustina Giuliodori , Ian Koblbauer , Jeremy Dietz , Jamie Elvidge , James Koh , Asieh Golozar , Juan Manuel Ramirez-Anguita , Angela Leis , Miguel-Angel Mayer , Nicola Symmers , Mahéva Vallet , Colin McLean , Peter S. Hall , Mees Mosseveld , Katia Verhamme , Espen Enerly , Danielle Newby

Background

Real-world evidence provides valuable insights into cancer burden, presentation, and care variations. Through a large-scale federated approach, this study aims to explore patient characteristics and overall survival for eight cancers using data from 11 electronic health records and cancer registries from eight European countries, mapped to the Observational Medical Outcomes Partnership Common Data Model (OMOP-CDM).

Methods

Patients aged 18 years or older with a primary cancer diagnosis between 2000 and 2019 were included. Patients were followed from cancer diagnosis until death, database exit, or study end. Mortality data was sourced from linked national or subnational death registries for most databases. Patient characteristics, including comorbidities, and medication use, were summarised. Age-standardised overall survival (OS) at one, five, and ten years were calculated using the Kaplan–Meier method and stratified by cancer type, age group and sex.

Findings

There were 1,796,278 eligible cancer patients included with most diagnoses in individuals aged 60–79 years. Top comorbidities and medications were relatively consistent across databases, with certain variations observed by cancer type, possibly indicative of early cancer signs and risk factors. For instance, anaemia was frequent in colorectal (9% [HUS]–23% [IMASIS]; 791/8395–730/3141 individuals) and stomach cancers (10% [HUS]–34% [IMASIS]; 130/1277–225/670), while chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (18% [SIDIAP]–34% [HUVM], 5310/29,009–1039/3063) and pneumonia (5% [CPRD GOLD]–33% [UTARTU], 1904/34,990–1001/3063) were common in lung cancer patients. Breast and prostate cancers had the highest one, five and ten-year overall survival, with 5-year OS ranging from 76% [ECi]–85% [IMASIS] and 75% [HUVM]–83% [SIDIAP], respectively. Pancreatic cancer showed the lowest survival ranging from 3% [NCR]–25% [IMASIS] 5-year OS. Variations in cancer survival estimates were observed across data sources and countries.

Interpretation

Federated analysis of diverse European real-world databases, standardised to OMOP-CDM, offer a valuable benchmark for future cancer research, particularly in understanding prodromes and risk factors, often recorded in routinely collected healthcare data prior to cancer onset.

Funding

The European Health Data & Evidence Network has received funding from the Innovative Medicines Initiative 2 Joint Undertaking (JU) under grant agreement No 806968. The JU receives support from the European Union’s Horizon 2020 research and innovation programme and the European Federation of Pharmaceutical Industries and Associations partners.
现实世界的证据为癌症负担、表现和护理变化提供了有价值的见解。通过大规模的联合方法,本研究旨在利用来自8个欧洲国家的11个电子健康记录和癌症登记处的数据,探索8种癌症的患者特征和总体生存率,并将其映射到观察性医疗结果伙伴关系公共数据模型(OMOP-CDM)。方法纳入2000年至2019年期间年龄在18岁及以上、原发癌症诊断的患者。患者从癌症诊断到死亡、数据库退出或研究结束被跟踪。死亡率数据来自大多数数据库中相互关联的国家或次国家死亡登记处。总结了患者特征,包括合并症和药物使用情况。使用Kaplan-Meier方法计算1年、5年和10年的年龄标准化总生存率(OS),并按癌症类型、年龄组和性别分层。研究结果:共有1,796,278名符合条件的癌症患者,其中大多数诊断年龄在60-79岁之间。最主要的合并症和药物在数据库中相对一致,根据癌症类型观察到某些变化,可能表明早期癌症迹象和风险因素。例如,贫血常见于结直肠癌(9% [HUS] -23% [IMASIS]; 791/ 8995 - 730/3141)和胃癌(10% [HUS] -34% [IMASIS]; 130/1277-225/670),而慢性阻塞性肺疾病(18% [SIDIAP] -34% [HUVM], 5310/ 29009 - 1039/3063)和肺炎(5% [CPRD GOLD] -33% [UTARTU], 1994 /34,990 - 1001/3063)在肺癌患者中很常见。乳腺癌和前列腺癌的1年、5年和10年总生存率最高,5年OS分别为76% [ECi] -85% [IMASIS]和75% [HUVM] -83% [SIDIAP]。胰腺癌的5年生存率最低,为3% [NCR] -25% [IMASIS]。在不同的数据来源和国家中观察到癌症生存估计的差异。对多种欧洲真实世界数据库的联合分析,标准化为OMOP-CDM,为未来的癌症研究提供了有价值的基准,特别是在了解前驱症状和风险因素方面,通常记录在癌症发病前的常规收集的医疗保健数据中。欧洲健康数据和证据网络已经获得了创新药物倡议2联合事业(JU)的资助,赠款协议号为806968。JU得到了欧盟“地平线2020”研究和创新计划以及欧洲制药工业和协会联合会合作伙伴的支持。
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引用次数: 0
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Lancet Regional Health-Europe
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