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Increased risk of cardiopulmonary mortality during hot weather: well-designed health impact assessments to inform heat adaptation strategies 炎热天气下心肺死亡风险增加:精心设计的健康影响评估为热适应战略提供信息
IF 13.6 Q1 HEALTH CARE SCIENCES & SERVICES Pub Date : 2024-11-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.lanepe.2024.101065
Zhiwei Xu
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引用次数: 0
Why is alcohol so normalised in Europe? 为什么酒精在欧洲如此正常化?
IF 13.6 Q1 HEALTH CARE SCIENCES & SERVICES Pub Date : 2024-11-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.lanepe.2024.101119
The Lancet Regional Health – Europe
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引用次数: 0
Development of a prognostic model to predict 90-day mortality in hospitalised cancer patients (PROMISE tool): a prospective observational study 开发预测住院癌症患者 90 天死亡率的预后模型(PROMISE 工具):前瞻性观察研究
IF 13.6 Q1 HEALTH CARE SCIENCES & SERVICES Pub Date : 2024-11-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.lanepe.2024.101063
Oriol Mirallas , Berta Martin-Cullell , Víctor Navarro , Kreina Sharela Vega , Jordi Recuero-Borau , Diego Gómez-Puerto , Daniel López-Valbuena , Clara Salva de Torres , Laura Andurell , Anna Pedrola , Roger Berché , Fiorella Palmas , José María Ucha , Guillermo Villacampa , Alejandra Rezqallah , Judit Sanz-Beltran , Rafael Bach , Sergio Bueno , Cristina Viaplana , Gaspar Molina , Joan Carles

Background

Prognostic factors for ambulatory oncology patients have been described, including Eastern Cooperative Oncology Group (ECOG), tumor stage and malnutrition. However, there is no firm evidence on which variables best predict mortality in hospitalized patients receiving active systemic treatment. Our main goal was to develop a predictive model for 90-day mortality upon admission.

Methods

Between 2020 and 2022, we prospectively collected data from three sites for cancer patients with hospitalizations. Those with metastatic disease receiving systemic therapy in the 6 months before unplanned admission were eligible to this study. The least absolute shrinkage and selection operator (LASSO) method was used to select the most relevant factors to predict 90-day mortality at admission. A multivariable logistic regression was fitted to create the PROgnostic Score for Hospitalized Cancer Patients (PROMISE) score. The score was developed in a single-center training cohort and externally validated.

Findings

Of 1658 hospitalized patients, 1009 met eligibility criteria. Baseline demographics, patient and disease characteristics were similar across cohorts. Lung cancer was the most common tumor type in both cohorts. Factors associated with higher 90-day mortality included worse ECOG, stable/progressive disease, low levels of albumin, increased absolute neutrophil count, and high lactate dehydrogenase. The c-index after bootstrap correction was 0.79 (95% CI, 0.75–0.82) and 0.74 (95% CI, 0.68–0.80) in the training and validation cohorts, respectively. A web tool (https://promise.vhio.net/) was developed to facilitate the clinical deployment of the model.

Interpretation

The PROMISE tool demonstrated high performance for identifying metastatic cancer patients who are alive 90 days after an unplanned hospitalization. This will facilitate healthcare providers with rational clinical decisions and care planning after discharge.

Funding

Merck S.L.U., Spain.
背景已经描述了非住院肿瘤患者的诊断因素,包括东部合作肿瘤学组(ECOG)、肿瘤分期和营养不良。然而,目前还没有确凿证据表明哪些变量最能预测接受积极系统治疗的住院患者的死亡率。我们的主要目标是建立一个入院后 90 天死亡率的预测模型。方法在 2020 年至 2022 年期间,我们从三个地点前瞻性地收集了住院癌症患者的数据。计划外入院前 6 个月内接受过系统治疗的转移性疾病患者有资格参与本研究。我们采用最小绝对收缩和选择算子(LASSO)方法来选择预测入院时 90 天死亡率的最相关因素。通过多变量逻辑回归,得出了住院癌症患者预后评分(PROMISE)。在 1658 名住院患者中,有 1009 人符合资格标准。不同队列的基线人口统计学特征、患者特征和疾病特征相似。肺癌是两个队列中最常见的肿瘤类型。与 90 天死亡率较高相关的因素包括 ECOG 较差、病情稳定/进展、白蛋白水平较低、绝对中性粒细胞计数增加以及乳酸脱氢酶较高。经过引导校正后,训练队列和验证队列的 c 指数分别为 0.79(95% CI,0.75-0.82)和 0.74(95% CI,0.68-0.80)。为方便临床应用该模型,我们还开发了一个网络工具(https://promise.vhio.net/)。释义PROMISE工具在识别意外住院90天后仍存活的转移性癌症患者方面表现出色。这将有助于医疗服务提供者在患者出院后做出合理的临床决策和护理计划。
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引用次数: 0
Liver transplantation for critically ill patients with acute on chronic liver failure: a prospective national programme of waitlist prioritisation 为急性和慢性肝功能衰竭的重症患者进行肝移植:一项前瞻性的全国候补名单优先排序计划
IF 13.6 Q1 HEALTH CARE SCIENCES & SERVICES Pub Date : 2024-11-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.lanepe.2024.101067
William Bernal , Rhiannon Taylor , Ian A. Rowe , Abhishek Chauhan , Matthew J. Armstrong , Michael E.D. Allison , Gwilym Webb , Tasneem Pirani , Joanna Moore , Laura Burke , Steven Masson , David Cressy , Brian J. Hogan , Rachel Westbrook , Rajiv Jalan , Kenneth J. Simpson , John Isaac , Douglas Thorburn

Background

Acute on Chronic Liver Failure (ACLF) complicates chronic liver disease (CLD) combining rapidly progressive hepatic with extra-hepatic multiple organ failure and high short-term mortality. Effective therapeutic options are very limited, and liver transplantation (LT) seldom utilised through concerns of high recipient mortality and resource use. Retrospective reports suggest recent outcomes may have improved, but use of LT for ACLF has not been prospectively assessed.

Methods

A prospective programme of prioritised liver graft allocation for selected recipients with ACLF through registration on a new national tier, initiated in May 2021 in all 7 United Kingdom LT centres. Candidates were selected by centre multidisciplinary teams, with inclusion criteria mandating cirrhotic CLD with ACLF requiring critical care (CC) organ support and expected 1-month mortality >50%. Exclusion criteria included age ≥60 years, previous LT, comorbidity or substance misuse profile precluding elective LT. A pilot 50 registrations were planned, with pre-specified futility criteria of a 1-year post-LT survival of 60%.

Findings

Fifty-two patients were registered on the ACLF tier, median (IQR) age 46 (39–52) years, ACLF grade 3 (3–3) and Model for End-stage Liver Disease (MELD) 39 (35–40). At registration 32 (62%) required mechanical ventilation, 44 (85%) vasopressors and 46 (89%) renal replacement. Forty-two (81%) underwent LT 2 (2–5) days after registration: 10 (19%) did not. All non-transplanted died at median 7 (4–13) days after registration (p < 0.0001 vs. LT). Post-LT follow-up was 212 (119–530) days and patient survival 81% (95% CI 66–91): 28-, 90-day and 1-year survival after registration 93%, 86% and 77%. Median length of CC and hospital stay in LT recipients was 16 (8–28) and 35 (23–54) days respectively.

Interpretation

We report the first prospective national series of prioritised liver transplantation for critically ill patients with ACLF. For selected recipients LT is a practical and highly effective treatment option where no other similarly effective interventions exist.

Funding

There was no funding for the study.
背景急性慢性肝衰竭(ACLF)是慢性肝病(CLD)的并发症,它结合了快速进展的肝脏和肝外多器官衰竭,短期死亡率高。有效的治疗方案非常有限,而肝移植(LT)由于受体死亡率高和资源使用量大而很少使用。回顾性报告显示,近期的治疗效果可能有所改善,但尚未对ACLF的LT使用情况进行前瞻性评估。方法2021年5月,英国所有7家LT中心启动了一项前瞻性计划,通过在新的国家层级注册,为选定的ACLF受者优先分配肝脏移植物。候选者由中心多学科团队筛选,纳入标准为肝硬化CLD伴ACLF,需要重症监护(CC)器官支持,预计1个月死亡率为50%。排除标准包括年龄≥60岁、曾接受过LT治疗、合并症或药物滥用情况排除了选择性LT治疗。研究结果52名患者在ACLF层级登记,中位(IQR)年龄为46(39-52)岁,ACLF等级为3(3-3)级,终末期肝病模型(MELD)为39(35-40)级。登记时,32 人(62%)需要机械通气,44 人(85%)需要血管加压,46 人(89%)需要肾脏替代。42人(81%)在登记后2(2-5)天接受了LT治疗:10人(19%)没有接受移植。所有非移植患者均在登记后中位 7 (4-13) 天死亡(与 LT 相比,P < 0.0001)。LT后随访212(119-530)天,患者存活率为81%(95% CI 66-91):登记后28天、90天和1年的存活率分别为93%、86%和77%。LT受者的CC和住院时间中位数分别为16天(8-28天)和35天(23-54天)。在没有其他类似有效干预措施的情况下,对于选定的受者而言,LT是一种实用、高效的治疗选择。
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引用次数: 0
Nutri-score and cardiovascular risk: new insights from the EPIC cohorts 营养评分与心血管风险:EPIC 队列的新见解
IF 13.6 Q1 HEALTH CARE SCIENCES & SERVICES Pub Date : 2024-11-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.lanepe.2024.101059
Andrea Poli, Franca Marangoni
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引用次数: 0
European Society for Medical Oncology (ESMO) congress 2024 欧洲肿瘤内科学会(ESMO)2024 年大会
IF 13.6 Q1 HEALTH CARE SCIENCES & SERVICES Pub Date : 2024-11-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.lanepe.2024.101087
Daniela Marín-Hernández, Ivana Nedic
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引用次数: 0
Solidarity and trust in European Union health governance: three ways forward 欧洲联盟卫生治理中的团结与信任:三条前进之路
IF 13.6 Q1 HEALTH CARE SCIENCES & SERVICES Pub Date : 2024-11-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.lanepe.2024.101047
Anniek de Ruijter , Tamara Hervey , Barbara Prainsack
Trust and solidarity are centrally important to the functioning of healthcare systems, and for societal resilience and stability more broadly. The European Union is increasingly shaping governance and norms that affect trust and solidarity in health—a process that has intensified with the announcement of the ‘European Health Union’ in response to the COVID-19 pandemic. In this context, how can the EU ensure solidarity in health while generating public trust as a pre-condition for solidaristic institutions? We propose three strategies to reach this goal. First, both at national and European levels, institutions and mechanisms of solidarity should be strengthened. Second, the Union should boost the resilience and stability of national healthcare systems through mechanisms of risk-sharing. Third, the Union should mandate or encourage its member countries to enhance prevention and other public health policies to strengthen pre-distribution, aimed to ensure a more equal baseline of public health before inequalities arise.
信任和团结对于医疗保健系统的运作以及更广泛意义上的社会复原力和稳定性至关重要。欧盟正在越来越多地制定影响医疗卫生领域信任和团结的治理和规范--这一进程随着为应对 COVID-19 大流行病而宣布成立 "欧洲卫生联盟 "而得到加强。在这种情况下,欧盟如何才能确保卫生领域的团结,同时产生公众信任,将其作为团结机构的先决条件?为实现这一目标,我们提出了三项战略。首先,应在国家和欧洲层面加强团结机构和机制。其次,欧盟应通过风险分担机制增强国家医疗保健系统的复原力和稳定性。第三,欧盟应授权或鼓励其成员国加强预防和其他公共卫生政策,以加强预分配,目的是在不平等出现之前确保更平等的公共卫生基线。
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引用次数: 0
Referral, monitoring, and factors associated with non-referral of chronic kidney disease in Germany: a nationwide, retrospective cohort study. 转诊、监测和与德国慢性肾脏疾病非转诊相关的因素:一项全国性的回顾性队列研究
IF 13.6 Q1 HEALTH CARE SCIENCES & SERVICES Pub Date : 2024-10-31 eCollection Date: 2024-12-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.lanepe.2024.101111
Friedrich A von Samson-Himmelstjerna, Edgar Steiger, Benedikt Kolbrink, Hauke S Wülfrath, Thomas Czihal, Roland Schmitt, Dominik von Stillfried, Kevin Schulte

Background: Chronic kidney disease (CKD) is one of the most significant drivers of the global burden of disease and an increasing public health issue. Adequate monitoring and referral of high-risk patients to nephrologists are associated with improved management of CKD. We aimed to assess nephrology referral rates, monitoring of kidney function, and factors associated with failure to refer in Germany.

Methods: We retrospectively analyzed ambulatory claims data of 73,675,956 German patients who were covered by statutory health care in 2022, building a cohort of 1,301,122 patients who had at least two diagnoses of CKD stage 3-5 within the calendar year. In our analysis, we focused particularly on patients with CKD stage 4.

Findings: We identified 207,043 patients with CKD stage 4, of which 134,143/207,043 (64.8%) received nephrologist treatment in 2022. The median age of the cohort was 82 years. Failure to quantify proteinuria occurred in 61,991/72,900 (85.0%) non-referred patients compared to 51,382/134,143 (38.3%) referred patients. In a mixed logistic regression model, referral was less likely for women (odds ratio [OR] 0.72, 95% confidence interval [CI] 0.71-0.74), higher age (OR per year 0.97, CI 0.96-0.97), nursing home inhabitants (OR 0.63, CI 0.61-0.65), and those with certain comorbidities. Regional factors (deprivation, population density, nephrologist density) were not associated with referral.

Interpretation: A substantial proportion of patients with late-stage CKD are not receiving guideline-recommended kidney care in the German health care system, with disparities driven primarily by individual patient factors rather than geographical barriers.

Funding: This study was funded by the University Hospital Schleswig-Holstein and the Central Research Institute of Ambulatory Health Care in Germany.

背景:慢性肾脏疾病(CKD)是全球疾病负担最重要的驱动因素之一,也是一个日益严重的公共卫生问题。适当的监测和高危患者转诊给肾病专家与CKD管理的改善有关。我们的目的是评估德国肾脏病转诊率、肾功能监测以及与转诊失败相关的因素。方法:我们回顾性分析了73,675,956名德国患者的门诊索赔数据,这些患者在2022年被法定医疗保健覆盖,建立了一个1,301,122名患者的队列,这些患者在日历年内至少有两次诊断为CKD 3-5期。在我们的分析中,我们特别关注CKD 4期患者。研究结果:我们确定了207,043例CKD 4期患者,其中134,143/207,043(64.8%)在2022年接受了肾病专家治疗。该队列的中位年龄为82岁。61991 /72,900(85.0%)非转诊患者出现蛋白尿量化失败,而51,382/134,143(38.3%)转诊患者出现蛋白尿量化失败。在混合logistic回归模型中,女性(比值比[OR] 0.72, 95%可信区间[CI] 0.71-0.74)、较高年龄(OR每年0.97,CI 0.96-0.97)、养老院居民(OR 0.63, CI 0.61-0.65)和有某些合并症的患者转诊的可能性较小。地区因素(贫困、人口密度、肾病专家密度)与转诊无关。解释:在德国的卫生保健系统中,有相当大比例的晚期CKD患者没有接受指南推荐的肾脏护理,差异主要是由患者个体因素而不是地理障碍驱动的。资助:本研究由石勒苏益格-荷尔斯泰因大学医院和德国流动卫生保健中央研究所资助。
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引用次数: 0
Corrigendum to “Impact of COVID-19 on total excess mortality and geographic disparities in Europe, 2020–2023: a spatio-temporal analysis” The Lancet Regional Health – Europe, Vol 44, 100996 COVID-19 对 2020-2023 年欧洲超额总死亡率和地域差异的影响:时空分析 "的更正,《柳叶刀区域健康--欧洲》,第 44 卷,第 100996 期。
IF 13.6 Q1 HEALTH CARE SCIENCES & SERVICES Pub Date : 2024-10-30 DOI: 10.1016/j.lanepe.2024.101117
Margherita Pizzato , Alberto Giovanni Gerli , Carlo La Vecchia , Gianfranco Alicandro
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引用次数: 0
The importance of understanding pelvic inflammatory disease as a polymicrobial infection - authors’ reply 将盆腔炎视为多微生物感染的重要性--作者的回复
IF 13.6 Q1 HEALTH CARE SCIENCES & SERVICES Pub Date : 2024-10-30 DOI: 10.1016/j.lanepe.2024.101116
Zoïe W. Alexiou , Bernice M. Hoenderboom , Christian J.P.A. Hoebe , Nicole H.T.M. Dukers-Muijrers , Hannelore M. Götz , Marianne A.B. van der Sande , Henry J.C. de Vries , Janneke E. den Hartog , Servaas A. Morré , Birgit H.B. van Benthem
{"title":"The importance of understanding pelvic inflammatory disease as a polymicrobial infection - authors’ reply","authors":"Zoïe W. Alexiou ,&nbsp;Bernice M. Hoenderboom ,&nbsp;Christian J.P.A. Hoebe ,&nbsp;Nicole H.T.M. Dukers-Muijrers ,&nbsp;Hannelore M. Götz ,&nbsp;Marianne A.B. van der Sande ,&nbsp;Henry J.C. de Vries ,&nbsp;Janneke E. den Hartog ,&nbsp;Servaas A. Morré ,&nbsp;Birgit H.B. van Benthem","doi":"10.1016/j.lanepe.2024.101116","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.lanepe.2024.101116","url":null,"abstract":"","PeriodicalId":53223,"journal":{"name":"Lancet Regional Health-Europe","volume":"47 ","pages":"Article 101116"},"PeriodicalIF":13.6,"publicationDate":"2024-10-30","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"142552519","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
期刊
Lancet Regional Health-Europe
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