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Neural networks for estimating Macro Asset Pricing model in football clubs 足球俱乐部宏观资产定价模型的神经网络估计
Q1 Economics, Econometrics and Finance Pub Date : 2023-05-31 DOI: 10.1002/isaf.1532
David Alaminos, Ignacio Esteban, M. Belén Salas

The recent crisis caused by COVID-19 directly affected consumption habits and the stability sof financial markets. In particular, the football industry has been hit hard by this pandemic and therefore has more volatile stock prices. Given this new scenario, further research is needed to accurately estimate the value of the shares of football clubs. In this paper, we estimate an asset pricing model in football clubs with different compositions of risk nature using non-linear techniques of artificial neural networks. Usually, asset pricing models have been estimated with linear methods such as ordinary least squares. Our results show a precision higher than 90% for all the estimated models, which far exceeds those shown by linear methods in the previous literature. We find that the residual represents about 40% of the variance of the price-dividend ratio. Long-term risks follow in importance, and above all, the habit component and its behaviour in the face of changes. The importance of the residual component exists due to a low correlation between the asset price and consumer behaviour, but to a much lesser extent than that shown in previous studies. The estimation carried out with artificial neural networks, both the Deep Learning methods and especially the Quantum Neural Network, opens up new possibilities to estimate more efficiently the pricing of financial assets in the football industry.

最近新冠肺炎引发的危机直接影响了消费习惯和金融市场的稳定。特别是,足球行业受到疫情的严重打击,因此股价波动更大。在这种新的情况下,需要进一步的研究来准确估计足球俱乐部的股份价值。在本文中,我们使用人工神经网络的非线性技术来估计具有不同风险性质组成的足球俱乐部的资产定价模型。通常,资产定价模型是用普通最小二乘法等线性方法估计的。我们的结果显示,所有估计模型的精度都高于90%,远远超过了以前文献中线性方法所显示的精度。我们发现,残差代表了价格股息率方差的40%左右。长期风险的重要性随之而来,最重要的是,习惯成分及其在面对变化时的行为。剩余部分的重要性是由于资产价格和消费者行为之间的相关性较低而存在的,但其程度远低于之前的研究。使用人工神经网络进行的估计,包括深度学习方法,特别是量子神经网络,为更有效地估计足球行业金融资产的定价开辟了新的可能性。
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引用次数: 0
Challenges of using RPA in auditing: A socio-technical systems approach 在审计中使用RPA的挑战:一种社会技术系统方法
Q1 Economics, Econometrics and Finance Pub Date : 2023-05-25 DOI: 10.1002/isaf.1537
Laila Dahabiyeh, Omar Mowafi

The use of Robotic Process Automation (RPA) is rapidly growing in the professional services sector such as auditing. Despite the great benefits RPA can offer, RPA failure rates are still high. In this research, we draw on socio-technical systems theory to examine the challenges of using RPA in the various phases of auditing and how auditors address these challenges. By interviewing experienced partners and auditors in auditing firms and technology companies, we show that challenges arise when there is a lack of fit between the technical requirements of the RPA tool (technical subsystem) and the skills and knowledge of the auditors and clients (social subsystem). We discuss our findings and provide valuable practical implications and opportunities for future research.

机器人过程自动化(RPA)在审计等专业服务领域的使用正在迅速增长。尽管RPA可以提供巨大的好处,但RPA的失败率仍然很高。在这项研究中,我们利用社会技术系统理论来研究在审计的各个阶段使用RPA的挑战,以及审计师如何应对这些挑战。通过采访审计公司和科技公司中经验丰富的合作伙伴和审计师,我们发现,当RPA工具的技术要求(技术子系统)与审计师和客户的技能和知识(社会子系统)不匹配时,就会出现挑战。我们讨论了我们的发现,并为未来的研究提供了宝贵的实际意义和机会。
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引用次数: 0
An analysis of three chatbots: BlenderBot, ChatGPT and LaMDA 三个聊天机器人的分析:BlenderBot、ChatGPT和LaMDA
Q1 Economics, Econometrics and Finance Pub Date : 2023-03-30 DOI: 10.1002/isaf.1531
Daniel E. O'Leary

Google, Facebook, OpenAI, and others have released access to versions of language chatbots that they have developed. These chatbots have been trained on massive amounts of text using neural networks for language processing. Using an approach similar to security penetration testing, this paper investigates and compares three different chatbots, assessing potential strengths and limitations of these systems. The paper presents several findings, including a comparison of those systems across answers to common questions, an analysis of the use of names and activities to guide discussion in two systems, an analysis of the extent of differences in responses arising from “regeneration” of a question, the determination of a weakness in a system of knowing “who” invented something, development of a potential new subfield, sensitive topic classifiers, and an analysis of some of the implications of these findings. As part of this analysis, I find emerging topics in chatbots, such as “topic stalemate” and the use of sensitive topic classifiers.

谷歌、脸书、OpenAI和其他公司已经发布了他们开发的语言聊天机器人版本的访问权限。这些聊天机器人已经使用神经网络对大量文本进行了语言处理训练。本文采用类似于安全渗透测试的方法,调查并比较了三种不同的聊天机器人,评估了这些系统的潜在优势和局限性。这篇论文提出了一些发现,包括对常见问题答案的比较,对两个系统中使用名称和活动来指导讨论的分析,对问题“再生”引起的回答差异程度的分析,确定知道“谁”发明了什么的系统中的弱点,开发一个潜在的新子领域,敏感主题分类器,并分析这些发现的一些含义。作为分析的一部分,我在聊天机器人中发现了新出现的话题,比如“话题僵局”和敏感话题分类器的使用。
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引用次数: 8
Predicting base station return on investment in the telecommunications industry: Machine-learning approaches 预测基站在电信行业的投资回报率:机器学习方法
Q1 Economics, Econometrics and Finance Pub Date : 2023-03-07 DOI: 10.1002/isaf.1530
Cihan Şahin

Investment in the right location ensures sustainable competition. In the telecommunication sector, the number of base stations (BSs) is one of the most significant investment parameters. When a potential BS is subject to be selected, practitioners will first consider investing in a BS where the return on investment (ROI) is highest. Therefore, the quantifiable objectives are distinctly defined, as it makes sense to choose maximizing features that raise per unit investment. This study provides a solution to evaluate the best BS installation alternative with machine-learning approaches as well as to estimate ROI value by changing the properties that affect the ROI value. For this purpose, the estimation performance of logistic regression, random forest, and XGBoost methods are compared and further strengthened by random forest hyperparameter optimization to provide the best performance. The model, with a success rate of 98.7% according to the F-score, showed that it was a robust algorithm. The three most essential features for the ROI value are determined to be voice traffic, data traffic, and frequency cost. These parameters enable a review of the prediction results of telecommunications managers and planning specialists responsible for BS investment.

在合适的地点进行投资可确保可持续竞争。在电信行业,基站的数量是最重要的投资参数之一。当选择潜在的BS时,从业者将首先考虑投资于投资回报率(ROI)最高的BS。因此,可量化的目标是明确定义的,因为选择最大限度地提高单位投资的特征是有意义的。本研究提供了一种解决方案,可以通过机器学习方法评估最佳BS安装方案,并通过改变影响ROI值的属性来估计ROI值。为此,对逻辑回归、随机森林和XGBoost方法的估计性能进行了比较,并通过随机森林超参数优化进一步加强,以提供最佳性能。根据F评分,该模型的成功率为98.7%,表明它是一个稳健的算法。ROI值的三个最基本的特征被确定为语音流量、数据流量和频率成本。这些参数使得能够审查负责BS投资的电信经理和规划专家的预测结果。
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引用次数: 0
Using Google Trends to track the global interest in International Financial Reporting Standards: Evidence from big data 利用谷歌趋势追踪全球对《国际财务报告准则》的兴趣:来自大数据的证据
Q1 Economics, Econometrics and Finance Pub Date : 2023-02-11 DOI: 10.1002/isaf.1529
Yuqian Zhang

This study proposes a novel method for identifying international accounting differences under International Financial Reporting Standards (IFRS). Using Google Trends data extracted between January 2014 and August 2022, it creates an index, the Global IFRS/IAS Search Index (GISI), which comprises the search activities of 121 jurisdictions for 45 IFRS accounting standards. To assess its relative validity, I classify Nobes' (1983) 14 jurisdictions in addition to 20 OECD countries. The cluster analysis demonstrates that the GISI is a viable alternative for analyzing international differences under IFRS. The results indicate that incorporating big data could be beneficial for examining global accounting issues.

A judgmental international classification of financial reporting practices

本研究提出了一种根据国际财务报告准则(IFRS)识别国际会计差异的新方法。利用2014年1月至2022年8月期间提取的谷歌趋势数据,它创建了一个指数,即全球IFRS/IAS搜索指数(GISI),该指数包括121个司法管辖区对45项IFRS会计准则的搜索活动。为了评估其相对有效性,我对Nobes(1983)的14个司法管辖区以及20个经合组织国家进行了分类。聚类分析表明,GISI是根据IFRS分析国际差异的可行替代方案。研究结果表明,纳入大数据可能有利于审查全球会计问题。对财务报告实践的评判性国际分类
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引用次数: 1
Hedging role of stablecoins 稳定币的套期保值作用
Q1 Economics, Econometrics and Finance Pub Date : 2023-02-01 DOI: 10.1002/isaf.1528
Yosuke Kakinuma

Wild price fluctuations of cryptocurrencies make it difficult for investors to maintain stable asset values. This study investigates the hedging properties of US dollar (USD)-pegged stablecoins against bitcoin returns. We analyzed the hedging abilities of the three largest stablecoins—namely, Tether, USD Coin, and Binance USD—using the dynamic conditional correlation–generalized autoregressive conditional heteroskedasticity, dummy variable regression, vector autoregression, and impulse response functions. We found that stablecoins are generally negatively correlated with bitcoin returns, indicating that they can be effective hedging instruments against high-volatility crypto assets. Among the stablecoins, Binance USD offers the largest risk reduction, and Tether was a weak safe haven during the COVID-19 crisis period. Crypto investors can diversify their portfolios by holding stablecoins.

加密货币价格的剧烈波动使投资者难以维持稳定的资产价值。本研究调查了与美元挂钩的稳定币对比特币回报的套期保值特性。我们使用动态条件相关性——广义自回归条件异方差、伪变量回归、向量自回归和脉冲响应函数,分析了三种最大稳定币——Tether、USD Coin和Binance USD——的对冲能力。我们发现,稳定币通常与比特币回报呈负相关,这表明它们可以成为对抗高波动加密资产的有效对冲工具。在稳定币中,币安美元提供了最大的风险降低,而Tether在新冠肺炎危机期间是一个疲软的避风港。加密货币投资者可以通过持有稳定币来分散投资组合。
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引用次数: 1
How the quality of initial coin offering white papers influences fundraising: Using security token offerings white papers as a benchmark 首次代币发行白皮书的质量如何影响筹款:以安全代币发行白皮书为基准
Q1 Economics, Econometrics and Finance Pub Date : 2023-01-04 DOI: 10.1002/isaf.1527
Shih-Chu Chou, Zhe-An Li, Tawei Wang, Ju-Chun Yen

In recent years, many initial coin offerings (ICOs) scams have been reported, attracting attention to this relatively new and unregulated ICO market, which lacks disclosure requirements and therefore suffers from intensifying problems of information asymmetry inherent in crowdfunding. As a prospectus-type document, an ICO white paper serves as a major means of voluntary disclosure practices adopted by ventures seeking external financing. Given the importance of an ICO white paper and the difficulty of assessing its quality, we propose to benchmark it against white paper content for security token offerings (STOs)—a more regulated ICO subset. Using the similarity of ICO white papers with STO white papers to proxy for disclosure quality, we document that the ICO campaigns that have white papers more similar to STO white papers are more likely to raise funding successfully. Our findings provide implications for policymakers, ICO fundraisers, and investors on the importance of white paper quality.

近年来,许多首次代币发行(ICO)骗局被报道,这引起了人们对这个相对较新且不受监管的ICO市场的关注,该市场缺乏披露要求,因此众筹中固有的信息不对称问题日益严重。作为招股说明书类型的文件,ICO白皮书是寻求外部融资的企业采用的自愿披露做法的主要手段。鉴于ICO白皮书的重要性和评估其质量的困难,我们建议将其与安全代币产品(STO)白皮书内容进行比较,STO是一个更受监管的ICO子集。利用ICO白皮书与STO白皮书的相似性来代表披露质量,我们记录了具有与STO白纸更相似的白皮书的ICO活动更有可能成功筹集资金。我们的研究结果为决策者、ICO筹款人和投资者提供了白皮书质量重要性的启示。
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引用次数: 0
Digitization, digitalization, and digital transformation in accounting, electronic commerce, and supply chains 会计、电子商务和供应链的数字化、数字化和数字化转型
Q1 Economics, Econometrics and Finance Pub Date : 2022-12-15 DOI: 10.1002/isaf.1524
Daniel E. O'Leary

This paper provides some basic definitions associated with digital transformation in organizations and applies those definitions to accounting, electronic commerce, and supply chains. I also drill down on the dimensions associated with digital transformation, including digital everywhere, integration (across applications and with customers and partners), and the need to reengineer processes. I examine several examples of processes ranging from digitization to digital transformation. I also examine the role of people in digitally transformed organizations and some technologies that are important to continued evolution of digitally transformed organizations. Further, we explore a number of scenarios of digital transformation. Finally, these investigations result in the determination of a number of emerging research issues.

本文提供了一些与组织数字化转型相关的基本定义,并将这些定义应用于会计、电子商务和供应链。我还深入研究了与数字化转型相关的维度,包括数字化无处不在、集成(跨应用程序以及与客户和合作伙伴的集成)以及重新设计流程的必要性。我研究了从数字化到数字化转型的几个过程示例。我还研究了人们在数字化转型组织中的作用,以及一些对数字化转型组织的持续发展很重要的技术。此外,我们还探讨了数字化转型的一些场景。最后,这些调查确定了一些新出现的研究问题。
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引用次数: 2
Increasing the utility of performance audit reports: Using textual analytics tools to improve government reporting 提高绩效审计报告的效用:使用文本分析工具改进政府报告
Q1 Economics, Econometrics and Finance Pub Date : 2022-12-07 DOI: 10.1002/isaf.1526
Huijue Kelly Duan, Hanxin Hu, Yangin (Ben) Yoon, Miklos Vasarhelyi

This study conducts a pilot test analyzing reports from New York, New Jersey, and California and uses textual analytics to reengineer government performance audit reporting. It advocates a performance audit database that can facilitate easier access and extract relevant information from lengthy reports in a timely manner. The study presents a framework to identify the commonalities and differences in terminologies used by sampled states, evaluates and extracts relevant content from the reports according to Generally Accepted Government Auditing Standards requirements, and constructs a taxonomy specific to government performance audits. Furthermore, this study investigates the disclosure quality by examining linguistic and similarity features, such as report length, specificity, readability, comprehensibility, and content similarity. This paper raises attention to a key legislative task that requires reporting reforms.

本研究对来自纽约、新泽西和加利福尼亚的报告进行了试点测试,并使用文本分析来重新设计政府绩效审计报告。它提倡建立一个绩效审计数据库,以便于更容易地访问和及时从冗长的报告中提取相关信息。该研究提出了一个框架,以识别抽样国家使用的术语的共性和差异,根据公认的政府审计标准要求评估和提取报告中的相关内容,并构建了一个针对政府绩效审计的分类。此外,本研究通过考察语言和相似性特征,如报告长度、特异性、可读性、可理解性和内容相似性来调查披露质量。本文引起了对一项需要报告改革的关键立法任务的关注。
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引用次数: 0
Constructing a personalized recommender system for life insurance products with machine-learning techniques 利用机器学习技术构建个性化寿险产品推荐系统
Q1 Economics, Econometrics and Finance Pub Date : 2022-11-28 DOI: 10.1002/isaf.1523
Hyeongwoo Kong, Wonje Yun, Weonyoung Joo, Ju-Hyun Kim, Kyoung-Kuk Kim, Il-Chul Moon, Woo Chang Kim

The collaborative filtering (CF) recommendation algorithm predicts the purchases of specific users based on their characteristics and purchase history. This study empirically analyzes the possibility of applying CF to the insurance industry using real customer data from South Korea. Using three different CF models, we examined the relevance of applying the CF model to insurance products under various situations by comparing them with logistic-regression-based recommendation models. Through experiments, we empirically show that CF models apply to the insurance industry, especially when customer purchase information is added to the model.

协同过滤(CF)推荐算法基于特定用户的特征和购买历史来预测其购买行为。本研究利用韩国真实客户数据,实证分析了CF应用于保险业的可能性。使用三种不同的CF模型,我们通过将CF模型与基于逻辑回归的推荐模型进行比较,检验了在各种情况下将CF模型应用于保险产品的相关性。通过实验,我们实证地证明了CF模型适用于保险行业,特别是当客户购买信息加入到模型中时。
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引用次数: 2
期刊
Intelligent Systems in Accounting, Finance and Management
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