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Economic growth in Greece: Medium-term trends and future prospects 希腊经济增长:中期趋势和未来前景
Q3 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2013-01-01 DOI: 10.3233/JEM-130371
S. Papaioannou
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引用次数: 0
A methodological review of the Greek Annual Industrial Survey 希腊年度工业调查的方法回顾
Q3 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2013-01-01 DOI: 10.3233/JEM-130369
A. Tsakanikas, Michail Vassiliadis
This paper is a comprehensive examination of the methodological evolution of the Annual Industrial Survey from its initiation in 1958 until 2010. Emphasis is given to the compliance of the survey with international methodological standards and to its conformity to relevant widely stipulated and accepted regulations. The existing literature using AIS data highlights its contribution to studies in several fields of economic research, going beyond those concerning the manufacturing sector, as well as to policy making.
本文对《年度产业调查》从1958年开始到2010年的方法论演变进行了全面考察。重点在于调查是否符合国际方法标准,是否符合广泛规定和接受的有关条例。使用AIS数据的现有文献突出了它对几个经济研究领域的研究的贡献,超出了与制造业有关的领域,以及政策制定。
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引用次数: 3
PPPs for SDRs? Some theoretical observations on how to normalise, capture the dynamics, and extend the application of, global purchasing power parities 用购买力平价换取特别提款权?关于如何使全球购买力平价正常化、捕捉动态并扩大应用范围的一些理论观察
Q3 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2013-01-01 DOI: 10.3233/JEM-130373
U. Reich
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引用次数: 5
Correction for variations in capacity utilization in the measurement of productivity growth: A non-parametric approach 生产率增长测量中产能利用率变化的校正:一种非参数方法
Q3 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2013-01-01 DOI: 10.3233/JEM-130380
Wulong Gu, Weimin Wang
The multifactor productivity growth estimate published by statistical agencies should be corrected for the effect of the short run variations in capacity utilization for such estimate to be a measure of technological progress. But such correction is not normally made as the rate of capacity utilization is often not observed. This paper develops a nonparametric approach for adjusting multifactor productive growth measure for variation in capacity utilization over time. In the approach developed here, the capital utilization measure is derived from the economic theory of production and is estimated by comparing the ex-post return with the ex-ante expected return on capital. The approach offers a practical solution that can be used by statistical agencies to adjust for capacity utilization in their multifactor productivity growth measure. The nonparametric approach is implemented using the data for the manufacturing sector from the Canadian Productivity Program of Statistics Canada, and is found to correct for the bias from the variation in capacity utilization in that sector.
统计机构公布的多因素生产率增长估计值应加以修正,以消除产能利用率短期变化的影响,使这种估计值成为技术进步的衡量标准。但是,由于产能利用率通常不被观察到,因此通常不会进行这种修正。本文发展了一种非参数方法来调整多要素生产增长指标,以适应产能利用率随时间的变化。在这里开发的方法中,资本利用度量来源于生产的经济理论,并通过比较事后回报与事前资本预期回报来估计。该方法提供了一个实用的解决方案,统计机构可以使用它来调整其多因素生产率增长指标中的产能利用率。非参数方法使用来自加拿大统计局的加拿大生产力计划的制造业数据来实现,并且发现可以纠正该部门产能利用率变化的偏差。
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引用次数: 4
Dynamic aspects of the underground economy in Greece 希腊地下经济的动态方面
Q3 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2013-01-01 DOI: 10.3233/JEM-130366
J. Yfantopoulos
The size and trends of the Greek underground economy are examined over the period of 1958 to 2011. Estimates vary according to the method used and the time period under investigation. Overall, more than one quarter to one third of Greek economic activities have been either unrecorded or hidden from official statistics. Tax evasion, labour market rigidities, lack of competition and over-regulation are among the contributing factors. The underground economy is often viewed as a serious obstacle to economic growth. However, the empirical results are ambiguous. Dynamic models are explored to examine the relationship between the underground economy and economic growth. In the short run, one percentage point increase in the rate of economic growth would reduce the underground economy by 0.13, and in the long run by 1.26. The Greek Government is currently introducing structural reforms pursuing fiscal consolidation, transparency and e-governance strategies to combat tax evasion, and monitoring strategies in the statistical system to produce valid and reliable data sets.
希腊地下经济的规模和趋势在1958年至2011年期间进行了检查。根据所使用的方法和调查的时间,估计会有所不同。总的来说,超过四分之一到三分之一的希腊经济活动要么没有记录,要么被官方统计数据掩盖。逃税、劳动力市场僵化、缺乏竞争和过度监管都是造成这种现象的因素。地下经济通常被视为经济增长的严重障碍。然而,实证结果是模棱两可的。探讨了地下经济与经济增长之间的动态模型。从短期来看,经济增长率每提高1个百分点,地下经济就会减少0.13%,从长期来看,地下经济将减少1.26%。希腊政府目前正在推行结构性改革,推行财政整顿、透明度和电子政务战略,以打击逃税行为,并在统计系统中监测战略,以产生有效和可靠的数据集。
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引用次数: 3
The Herfindahl-Hirschman Index as a decision guide to business concentration: A statistical exploration 赫芬达尔-赫希曼指数作为企业集中度决策指南的统计探索
Q3 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2013-01-01 DOI: 10.3233/JEM-130379
G. Djolov
This article examines whether the Herfindahl-Hirschman Index (HHI) is a reliable decision-making tool of business concentration. The statistical properties of the index are considered in order to facilitate an improved statistical decision-making with the index. A misinformed application of the HHI as to its statistical characteristics has encouraged questionable uses and applications of the index. It has also limited its potential uses. Understanding the statistical nature of the HHI reveals that there is more to this index than known heretofore.
本文考察了赫芬达尔-赫希曼指数(HHI)是否为企业集中度的可靠决策工具。考虑了该指数的统计特性,以便改进该指数的统计决策。对卫生保健指数统计特征的误用助长了对该指数的可疑使用和应用。它也限制了它的潜在用途。了解HHI的统计性质揭示了这个指数比迄今为止所知的更多。
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引用次数: 16
An analysis of Greek external sector statistics and their application in academic research and economic policy making 希腊对外部门统计分析及其在学术研究和经济政策制定中的应用
Q3 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2013-01-01 DOI: 10.3233/JEM-130368
Nancy Theofilakou, Y. Stournaras
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引用次数: 3
Identification and statistical inference using matched March CPS data, with an application to U.S. poverty dynamics 使用匹配的三月CPS数据进行识别和统计推断,并应用于美国贫困动态
Q3 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2013-01-01 DOI: 10.3233/JEM-130372
S. Feng
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引用次数: 2
Are Greek government deficit and debt statistics reliable 希腊政府的赤字和债务统计数据可靠吗
Q3 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2013-01-01 DOI: 10.3233/JEM-130367
J. Loizides
The aim of this paper is to analyze the statistical properties of the Greek government deficit and debt figures compiled and reported to the European Commission since 1994 for the period 1991 to 2012. On the basis of successive revisions in reported data, it assesses the reliability of budgetary statistics and derives a number of reliability indicators. According to the standard deviations of revisions between the first outturn and final data, Greece have reported the least reliable deficit figures and have had the largest dispersion of revisions. The paper has also shown that data on the yearly changes in debt have been less reliable than those on the deficit. Whatever the cause of these findings, we believe that they create problems for users of the data.
本文的目的是分析自1994年以来编制并向欧盟委员会报告的1991年至2012年期间希腊政府赤字和债务数据的统计特性。在连续订正报告数据的基础上,它评估预算统计数字的可靠性,并得出若干可靠性指标。根据首次结果与最终数据之间修正的标准差,希腊报告的赤字数据最不可靠,修正的偏差也最大。这篇论文还表明,债务年度变化的数据一直不如赤字数据可靠。无论这些发现的原因是什么,我们认为它们给数据的用户带来了问题。
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引用次数: 6
An improved measure of inter-industry pay differentials 改进行业间薪酬差异的衡量标准
Q3 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2013-01-01 DOI: 10.3233/JEM-130378
M. Gittleman, B. Pierce
The measurement of inter-industry pay differentials and the resulting use of this information to assess the empirical relevance of different labor market theories have been hampered by the fact that measures of total compensation – as opposed to just wages and salaries – are not available in the datasets traditionally used. We improve upon past measures of inter-industry pay differentials by being the first, to our knowledge, to incorporate microdata on nonwage compensation. Such compensation can easily exceed 40 to 50 percent of wages and thus its inclusion may either diminish or amplify measured industry pay differences. Using the Employer Costs for Employee Compensation (ECEC) data produced by the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics, we find that the inclusion of benefits increases industry dispersion by 16 percent when no controls are included and by an even greater 30 percent when controls are included.
行业间薪酬差异的测量以及由此产生的利用这些信息来评估不同劳动力市场理论的经验相关性的工作受到了这样一个事实的阻碍,即在传统使用的数据集中无法获得总薪酬(而不仅仅是工资和薪水)的测量。据我们所知,我们首次将非工资薪酬的微观数据纳入其中,从而改进了过去衡量行业间薪酬差异的方法。这种补偿很容易超过工资的40%至50%,因此,将其纳入可能会缩小或扩大衡量的行业薪酬差异。利用美国劳工统计局提供的雇员补偿雇主成本(ECEC)数据,我们发现,当不包括控制措施时,福利的纳入使行业分散性增加了16%,当包括控制措施时,行业分散性增加了30%。
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引用次数: 6
期刊
Journal of Economic and Social Measurement
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