Pub Date : 2024-08-07DOI: 10.1007/s12053-024-10248-3
Magdalena Radulescu, Javier Cifuentes-Faura, Kamel Si Mohammed, Hind Alofaysan
Taking into account the contributions of economic performance (GDP), urbanization (URB), industrial structure (IND), and renewable energy consumption (REC), this paper examines the impact of green technology innovation (GTE), energy efficiency (EF), and environmental regulation (ER) on CO2 emissions in Chinese provinces from 2010 to 2020. Using the GMM method for the initial estimation, the MMQR as 2nd generation test for robustness and innovative panel causality presented by the JKS test, we have found: 1) a one percent boom in GDP is linked with a 0.08% upward push in CO2 emissions throughout 30 provinces in China. 2) the renewable energy and energy efficiency data seems to effectively decrease CO2 emissions, with a more pronounced impact observed at the upper quantile. 3) The environmental policy is limited across all quantiles. The study examines novel implications regarding sustainable development and carbon neutrality objectives.
{"title":"Energy efficiency and environmental regulations for mitigating carbon emissions in Chinese Provinces","authors":"Magdalena Radulescu, Javier Cifuentes-Faura, Kamel Si Mohammed, Hind Alofaysan","doi":"10.1007/s12053-024-10248-3","DOIUrl":"10.1007/s12053-024-10248-3","url":null,"abstract":"<div><p>Taking into account the contributions of economic performance (GDP), urbanization (URB), industrial structure (IND), and renewable energy consumption (REC), this paper examines the impact of green technology innovation (GTE), energy efficiency (EF), and environmental regulation (ER) on CO2 emissions in Chinese provinces from 2010 to 2020. Using the GMM method for the initial estimation, the MMQR as 2nd generation test for robustness and innovative panel causality presented by the JKS test, we have found: 1) a one percent boom in GDP is linked with a 0.08% upward push in CO<sub>2</sub> emissions throughout 30 provinces in China. 2) the renewable energy and energy efficiency data seems to effectively decrease CO<sub>2</sub> emissions, with a more pronounced impact observed at the upper quantile. 3) The environmental policy is limited across all quantiles. The study examines novel implications regarding sustainable development and carbon neutrality objectives.</p></div>","PeriodicalId":537,"journal":{"name":"Energy Efficiency","volume":"17 6","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":3.2,"publicationDate":"2024-08-07","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://link.springer.com/content/pdf/10.1007/s12053-024-10248-3.pdf","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"141947258","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":4,"RegionCategory":"工程技术","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Pub Date : 2024-07-29DOI: 10.1007/s12053-024-10247-4
Dennis Nientimp, Fleur Goedkoop, Andreas Flache, Jacob Dijkstra
This perspective paper argues how a social network approach can contribute to creating a more comprehensive picture of how individual and community characteristics influence participation in community energy initiatives (CEIs). We argue how social network theory and methods for social network analysis can be utilized to better understand participation. Further, we show how this can potentially aid the implementation of interventions aimed at attracting more participants with more diverse socio-demographic backgrounds. Importantly, we argue that the structure of community social networks connecting (potential) participants could importantly influence whether and how individual and community properties affect CEI participation. Our aim is conveying the social network approach to the field of community energy researchers and stakeholders who might not be familiar with it. We discuss empirical evidence on the effect of network characteristics on CEI participation and the connection between research on CEIs and adjacent fields as a foundation for our claims. We also illustrate how a social network approach might help to overcome biased participation and low participation numbers, by providing social scientists with a tool to give empirically grounded advice to CEIs. We conclude by looking at avenues for future research and discuss how the context of CEIs might yield new theoretical insights and hypotheses.
本视角论文论证了社会网络方法如何有助于更全面地了解个人和社区特征如何影响对社区能源倡议(CEIs)的参与。我们论证了如何利用社会网络理论和社会网络分析方法来更好地了解参与情况。此外,我们还展示了这如何能够帮助实施干预措施,吸引更多具有更多样化社会人口背景的参与者。重要的是,我们认为连接(潜在)参与者的社区社会网络结构会对个人和社区属性是否以及如何影响 CEI 参与产生重要影响。我们的目的是向社区能源研究人员和利益相关者传达社会网络方法,因为他们可能还不熟悉这种方法。我们讨论了网络特征对社区能源倡议参与影响的经验证据,以及社区能源倡议研究与邻近领域研究之间的联系,以此作为我们主张的基础。我们还说明了社会网络方法如何通过为社会科学家提供一种工具,为 CEI 提供基于经验的建议,从而帮助克服参与偏差和参与人数少的问题。最后,我们将展望未来研究的途径,并讨论如何在中欧倡议的背景下提出新的理论见解和假设。
{"title":"A social network approach to community energy initiative participation","authors":"Dennis Nientimp, Fleur Goedkoop, Andreas Flache, Jacob Dijkstra","doi":"10.1007/s12053-024-10247-4","DOIUrl":"10.1007/s12053-024-10247-4","url":null,"abstract":"<div><p>This perspective paper argues how a <i>social network approach</i> can contribute to creating a more comprehensive picture of how individual and community characteristics influence participation in <i>community energy initiatives</i> (CEIs). We argue how social network theory and methods for social network analysis can be utilized to better understand participation. Further, we show how this can potentially aid the implementation of interventions aimed at attracting more participants with more diverse socio-demographic backgrounds. Importantly, we argue that the <i>structure</i> of community social networks connecting (potential) participants could importantly influence whether and how individual and community properties affect CEI participation. Our aim is conveying the social network approach to the field of community energy researchers and stakeholders who might not be familiar with it. We discuss empirical evidence on the effect of network characteristics on CEI participation and the connection between research on CEIs and adjacent fields as a foundation for our claims. We also illustrate how a social network approach might help to overcome biased participation and low participation numbers, by providing social scientists with a tool to give empirically grounded advice to CEIs. We conclude by looking at avenues for future research and discuss how the context of CEIs might yield new theoretical insights and hypotheses.</p></div>","PeriodicalId":537,"journal":{"name":"Energy Efficiency","volume":"17 6","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":3.2,"publicationDate":"2024-07-29","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://link.springer.com/content/pdf/10.1007/s12053-024-10247-4.pdf","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"141869886","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":4,"RegionCategory":"工程技术","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Pub Date : 2024-07-24DOI: 10.1007/s12053-024-10245-6
Zhen Shangguan, Xinyi Wei, Hao Peng, Qing Cheng
As long-distance flights increase, the widespread use of electric heating for hot water in domestic civil aircraft will pose a challenge to the aircraft's energy systems. Moreover, the aircraft environmental control system operates under variable environmental conditions during aircraft take-off, leading to changes in system performance and outlet parameters. In this paper, mathematical models of the new aircraft environmental control system are established during aircraft take-off, and the main factors affecting the performance of systems are discussed. Results show that hot water with an average temperature of 61 °C can be provided by the new system during aircraft take-off. In the new multi-functional system, the bleed air supply volume during aircraft take-off is less than that of the conventional system, and the system energy loss is also less. When the aircraft just takes off, the condenser accounts for the most significant portion of the system exergy loss. However, the exergy loss in the secondary heat exchanger is the largest, as the aircraft altitude increases. Compared with the conventional system, the exergy efficiency of the new system is 8.85% higher at a 4-5 km level flight, and it’s 3.21% higher at a 9-10 km level flight.
随着长途飞行的增加,国内民用飞机热水电加热的广泛使用将对飞机的能源系统提出挑战。此外,飞机起飞过程中,飞机环境控制系统在多变的环境条件下运行,导致系统性能和出口参数发生变化。本文建立了飞机起飞过程中新型飞机环境控制系统的数学模型,并讨论了影响系统性能的主要因素。结果表明,新系统可在飞机起飞时提供平均温度为 61 °C 的热水。在新的多功能系统中,飞机起飞时的排气量小于传统系统,系统能量损失也较小。飞机刚起飞时,冷凝器占系统能量损失的最大部分。然而,随着飞机高度的增加,二级热交换器的能量损失最大。与传统系统相比,新系统的放能效率在 4-5 千米高度飞行时提高了 8.85%,在 9-10 千米高度飞行时提高了 3.21%。
{"title":"Performance analysis of a new multifunctional aircraft environmental control system under variable operating conditions","authors":"Zhen Shangguan, Xinyi Wei, Hao Peng, Qing Cheng","doi":"10.1007/s12053-024-10245-6","DOIUrl":"10.1007/s12053-024-10245-6","url":null,"abstract":"<div><p>As long-distance flights increase, the widespread use of electric heating for hot water in domestic civil aircraft will pose a challenge to the aircraft's energy systems. Moreover, the aircraft environmental control system operates under variable environmental conditions during aircraft take-off, leading to changes in system performance and outlet parameters. In this paper, mathematical models of the new aircraft environmental control system are established during aircraft take-off, and the main factors affecting the performance of systems are discussed. Results show that hot water with an average temperature of 61 °C can be provided by the new system during aircraft take-off. In the new multi-functional system, the bleed air supply volume during aircraft take-off is less than that of the conventional system, and the system energy loss is also less. When the aircraft just takes off, the condenser accounts for the most significant portion of the system exergy loss. However, the exergy loss in the secondary heat exchanger is the largest, as the aircraft altitude increases. Compared with the conventional system, the exergy efficiency of the new system is 8.85% higher at a 4-5 km level flight, and it’s 3.21% higher at a 9-10 km level flight.</p></div>","PeriodicalId":537,"journal":{"name":"Energy Efficiency","volume":"17 6","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":3.2,"publicationDate":"2024-07-24","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"141778743","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":4,"RegionCategory":"工程技术","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Pub Date : 2024-07-19DOI: 10.1007/s12053-024-10242-9
Marco Sorrentino, Nicola Franzese, Alena Trifirò
Carbon-footprint reduction of key industrial buildings is addressed, by proposing methodologies for continuously monitoring telecommunication (TLC) central offices (COs). Main aim is classifying sites according to their efficiency and reliability, via the diagnosis of anomalous electricity consumptions. Such a goal is achieved through the definition of new key performance indicators (KPIs) based on TLC and cooling energy demand, improving the outcomes of pre-existing methods. While the reliability index and index of cluster reliability are specifically proposed to evaluate and physically assess the impact of climate control (CLC, i.e., the parasitic quota) electricity consumption with respect to the TLC one, the here introduced coefficient of variation of telecommunication energy allows for a more solid evaluation of energy measurements reliability. Another target of this study is to extend the afore-mentioned KPIs-based analysis to multi-annual periods of monitoring, thus allowing successfully meeting the currently in-force ISO 50001 standard. Specific central offices were then selected and analyzed to verify the results physical meaning. The method was proven effective in classifying central offices belonging to climate-homogenous fleets, according to the reliability level estimated over a triannual timeframe. Positive impacts in terms of attainable energy saving through improved thermal management, as well as methodology extendibility to other industrial sectors are finally presented and discussed.
通过提出持续监测电信(TLC)中央办公室(CO)的方法,减少关键工业建筑的碳足迹。主要目的是通过诊断异常耗电量,根据其效率和可靠性对站点进行分类。这一目标是通过定义基于 TLC 和冷却能源需求的新关键性能指标(KPI)来实现的,从而改进现有方法的结果。可靠性指数和集群可靠性指数是专门为评估和实际评估气候控制(CLC,即寄生配额)耗电量对 TLC 的影响而提出的,而这里引入的电信能源变异系数则可以更可靠地评估能源测量的可靠性。本研究的另一个目标是将上述基于关键绩效指标的分析扩展到多年监测期,从而成功达到当前有效的 ISO 50001 标准。然后,选择了特定的中央办事处进行分析,以验证结果的实际意义。事实证明,这种方法可以根据三年期的可靠性估算,有效地对属于气候匀质车队的中央办事处进行分类。最后,介绍并讨论了通过改进热管理实现节能的积极影响,以及该方法在其他工业部门的可扩展性。
{"title":"Development and experimental assessment of a multi-annual energy monitoring tool to support energy intelligence and management in telecommunication industry","authors":"Marco Sorrentino, Nicola Franzese, Alena Trifirò","doi":"10.1007/s12053-024-10242-9","DOIUrl":"10.1007/s12053-024-10242-9","url":null,"abstract":"<div><p>Carbon-footprint reduction of key industrial buildings is addressed, by proposing methodologies for continuously monitoring telecommunication (TLC) central offices (COs). Main aim is classifying sites according to their efficiency and reliability, via the diagnosis of anomalous electricity consumptions. Such a goal is achieved through the definition of new key performance indicators (KPIs) based on TLC and cooling energy demand, improving the outcomes of pre-existing methods. While the reliability index and index of cluster reliability are specifically proposed to evaluate and physically assess the impact of climate control (CLC, i.e., the parasitic quota) electricity consumption with respect to the TLC one, the here introduced coefficient of variation of telecommunication energy allows for a more solid evaluation of energy measurements reliability. Another target of this study is to extend the afore-mentioned KPIs-based analysis to multi-annual periods of monitoring, thus allowing successfully meeting the currently in-force ISO 50001 standard. Specific central offices were then selected and analyzed to verify the results physical meaning. The method was proven effective in classifying central offices belonging to climate-homogenous fleets, according to the reliability level estimated over a triannual timeframe. Positive impacts in terms of attainable energy saving through improved thermal management, as well as methodology extendibility to other industrial sectors are finally presented and discussed.</p></div>","PeriodicalId":537,"journal":{"name":"Energy Efficiency","volume":"17 6","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":3.2,"publicationDate":"2024-07-19","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://link.springer.com/content/pdf/10.1007/s12053-024-10242-9.pdf","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"141746149","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":4,"RegionCategory":"工程技术","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Pub Date : 2024-07-17DOI: 10.1007/s12053-024-10244-7
Alex C. Newkirk, Nichole Hanus, Christopher T. Payne
It was last estimated in 2016 that data centers (DCs) comprise approximately 2% of total US electricity consumption. However, this estimate is currently being updated to account for the massive increase in computing needs due to streaming, cryptocurrency, and artificial intelligence (AI). To prevent energy consumption that tracks with increasing computing needs, it is imperative we identify energy efficiency strategies and investments beyond the low-hanging fruit solutions. In a two-phased research approach, we ask: What non-technical barriers still impede energy efficiency (EE) practices and investments in the data center sector, and what can be done to overcome these barriers? In particular, we are focused on social and organizational barriers to EE. In Phase I, we performed a literature review and found that technical solutions are abundant in the literature, but fail to address the top-down cultural shifts that need to take place in order to adapt new energy efficiency strategies. In Phase II, reported here, we interviewed 16 data center operators/experts to ground-truth our literature findings. Our interview protocols focus on three aspects of DC decision-making: procurement practices, metrics and monitoring, and perceived barriers to energy efficiency. We find that vendors are the key drivers of procurement decisions, advanced efficiency metrics are facility-specific, and there is convergence in the design of advanced facilities due to the heat density of parallelized infrastructure. Our ultimate goals for our research are to design DC decarbonization policies that target organizational structure, empower individual staff, and foster a supportive external market.
{"title":"Expert and operator perspectives on barriers to energy efficiency in data centers","authors":"Alex C. Newkirk, Nichole Hanus, Christopher T. Payne","doi":"10.1007/s12053-024-10244-7","DOIUrl":"10.1007/s12053-024-10244-7","url":null,"abstract":"<div><p>It was last estimated in 2016 that data centers (DCs) comprise approximately 2% of total US electricity consumption. However, this estimate is currently being updated to account for the massive increase in computing needs due to streaming, cryptocurrency, and artificial intelligence (AI). To prevent energy consumption that tracks with increasing computing needs, it is imperative we identify energy efficiency strategies and investments beyond the low-hanging fruit solutions. In a two-phased research approach, we ask: What non-technical barriers still impede energy efficiency (EE) practices and investments in the data center sector, and what can be done to overcome these barriers? In particular, we are focused on social and organizational barriers to EE. In Phase I, we performed a literature review and found that technical solutions are abundant in the literature, but fail to address the top-down cultural shifts that need to take place in order to adapt new energy efficiency strategies. In Phase II, reported here, we interviewed 16 data center operators/experts to ground-truth our literature findings. Our interview protocols focus on three aspects of DC decision-making: procurement practices, metrics and monitoring, and perceived barriers to energy efficiency. We find that vendors are the key drivers of procurement decisions, advanced efficiency metrics are facility-specific, and there is convergence in the design of advanced facilities due to the heat density of parallelized infrastructure. Our ultimate goals for our research are to design DC decarbonization policies that target organizational structure, empower individual staff, and foster a supportive external market.</p></div>","PeriodicalId":537,"journal":{"name":"Energy Efficiency","volume":"17 6","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":3.2,"publicationDate":"2024-07-17","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://link.springer.com/content/pdf/10.1007/s12053-024-10244-7.pdf","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"141720363","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":4,"RegionCategory":"工程技术","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Pub Date : 2024-07-15DOI: 10.1007/s12053-024-10243-8
Mirjana Radovanović, Sanja Filipović, Goran Šimić
Efficient use of energy and other resources, as the basic postulates of the circular economy, is a prerequisite for the green transition to more sustainable cities in the future. The main scientific goal of the paper is the development of a new approach to city governance when it comes to the inefficient use of energy, predominantly fossil fuels, mainly in developing and poor countries. Energy efficiency problems faced by these countries require the introduction of urgent, applicable, and realistically achievable solutions. A prerequisite for adequate analysis and modeling of energy efficiency performance, measures, policies, outcomes, and impacts is the introduction and functioning of the big data management system, which should begin with data mining. On the other hand, adequate data collection has been neglected in many of these countries. The study shows a way to reduce this gap, but in accordance with realistic and limited possibilities for countries with less favorable conditions. In that respect, a conceptual model for the Analytical Service for facilitating energy efficiency in city governance was developed and presented as a driver that can enable cities to manage energy more efficiently. The model is based on an interdisciplinary approach and on the needs of cities in the Republic of Serbia. However, it is designed to allow upgrading in accordance with the capabilities and resources of cities, primarily applicable in developing and poor countries.
{"title":"Facilitating circularity in city governance in the Republic of Serbia: a novel approach to modeling of energy efficiency big data mining","authors":"Mirjana Radovanović, Sanja Filipović, Goran Šimić","doi":"10.1007/s12053-024-10243-8","DOIUrl":"10.1007/s12053-024-10243-8","url":null,"abstract":"<div><p>Efficient use of energy and other resources, as the basic postulates of the circular economy, is a prerequisite for the green transition to more sustainable cities in the future. The main scientific goal of the paper is the development of a new approach to city governance when it comes to the inefficient use of energy, predominantly fossil fuels, mainly in developing and poor countries. Energy efficiency problems faced by these countries require the introduction of urgent, applicable, and realistically achievable solutions. A prerequisite for adequate analysis and modeling of energy efficiency performance, measures, policies, outcomes, and impacts is the introduction and functioning of the big data management system, which should begin with data mining. On the other hand, adequate data collection has been neglected in many of these countries. The study shows a way to reduce this gap, but in accordance with realistic and limited possibilities for countries with less favorable conditions. In that respect, a conceptual model for the <b><i>Analytical Service for facilitating energy efficiency in city governance</i></b> was developed and presented as a driver that can enable cities to manage energy more efficiently. The model is based on an interdisciplinary approach and on the needs of cities in the Republic of Serbia. However, it is designed to allow upgrading in accordance with the capabilities and resources of cities, primarily applicable in developing and poor countries.</p></div>","PeriodicalId":537,"journal":{"name":"Energy Efficiency","volume":"17 6","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":3.2,"publicationDate":"2024-07-15","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://link.springer.com/content/pdf/10.1007/s12053-024-10243-8.pdf","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"141647200","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":4,"RegionCategory":"工程技术","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Pub Date : 2024-07-05DOI: 10.1007/s12053-024-10239-4
David Orțan
Using a panel of Romanian firms in the manufacturing sector between 2010 and 2019, this paper assesses the impact of utility costs (electricity, gas, water and waste) increases on the economic performance of firms (in terms of employment, exports and productivity). By means of static (fixed effects) and dynamic (GMM) specifications, it finds a relatively moderate, yet negative impact in the case of all variables, under a variety of specifications. Energy costs seem to have a larger contemporaneous effect, which suggests that firms might in the longer-run switch to less energy intensive production processes. Moreover, the more energy intensive sectors are generally also the most impacted in terms of employment and productivity.
{"title":"The impact of higher utility costs on firm performance in the manufacturing sector: the case of an emerging economy","authors":"David Orțan","doi":"10.1007/s12053-024-10239-4","DOIUrl":"10.1007/s12053-024-10239-4","url":null,"abstract":"<div><p>Using a panel of Romanian firms in the manufacturing sector between 2010 and 2019, this paper assesses the impact of utility costs (electricity, gas, water and waste) increases on the economic performance of firms (in terms of employment, exports and productivity). By means of static (fixed effects) and dynamic (GMM) specifications, it finds a relatively moderate, yet negative impact in the case of all variables, under a variety of specifications. Energy costs seem to have a larger contemporaneous effect, which suggests that firms might in the longer-run switch to less energy intensive production processes. Moreover, the more energy intensive sectors are generally also the most impacted in terms of employment and productivity.</p></div>","PeriodicalId":537,"journal":{"name":"Energy Efficiency","volume":"17 6","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":3.2,"publicationDate":"2024-07-05","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"141547417","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":4,"RegionCategory":"工程技术","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Pub Date : 2024-07-03DOI: 10.1007/s12053-024-10236-7
Andrew Jarvis, Carey W King
In this paper we re-examine the relationship between global Gross Domestic Product (GDP), Primary Energy Use (PEU) and Economic Energy Efficiency (EEE) to explore how investment in energy efficiency causes rebound in energy use at the global scale. Assuming GDP is a measure of final useful work, we construct and fit a biophysics-inspired nonlinear dynamic model to global GDP, PEU and EEE data from 1900—2018 and use it to estimate how energy efficiency investments relate to output growth and hence economy-wide rebound effects. We illustrate the effects of future deployment of enhanced energy efficiency investments using two scenarios through to 2100. The first maximizes GDP growth, requiring energy efficiency investment to rise ~ twofold. Here there is no decrease in PEU growth because economy-wide rebound effects dominate. The second scenario minimizes PEU growth by increasing energy efficiency investment ~ 3.5 fold. Here PEU and GDP growth are near fully decoupled and rebound effects are minimal, although this results in a long run, zero output growth regime. We argue it is this latter regime that is compatible with the deployment of enhanced energy efficiency to meet climate objectives. However, while output growth maximising regimes prevail, efficiency-led pledges on energy use and emissions reduction appear at risk of failure at the global scale.
在本文中,我们重新审视了全球国内生产总值(GDP)、一次能源使用量(PEU)和经济能源效率(EEE)之间的关系,以探讨能效投资如何在全球范围内导致能源使用量的反弹。假定 GDP 是衡量最终有用功的指标,我们构建了一个受生物物理学启发的非线性动态模型,并将其与 1900-2018 年的全球 GDP、PEU 和 EEE 数据进行拟合,从而估算出能效投资与产出增长的关系,进而估算出整个经济的反弹效应。我们使用两种情景来说明未来至 2100 年加强能效投资部署的效果。第一种方案使 GDP 增长最大化,要求能效投资增长 ~ 两倍。由于整个经济的反弹效应占主导地位,因此 PEU 的增长不会下降。第二种方案通过将能效投资增加约 3.5 倍,将 PEU 增长降至最低。在这种情况下,PEU 和 GDP 增长接近完全脱钩,反弹效应最小,尽管这会导致长期的零产出增长。我们认为,后一种机制与提高能效以实现气候目标的部署是相容的。然而,在产出增长最大化机制盛行的同时,以效率为主导的能源使用和减排承诺在全球范围内似乎面临失败的风险。
{"title":"Economy-wide rebound and the returns on investment in energy efficiency","authors":"Andrew Jarvis, Carey W King","doi":"10.1007/s12053-024-10236-7","DOIUrl":"10.1007/s12053-024-10236-7","url":null,"abstract":"<div><p>In this paper we re-examine the relationship between global Gross Domestic Product (GDP), Primary Energy Use (PEU) and Economic Energy Efficiency (EEE) to explore how investment in energy efficiency causes rebound in energy use at the global scale. Assuming GDP is a measure of final useful work, we construct and fit a biophysics-inspired nonlinear dynamic model to global GDP, PEU and EEE data from 1900—2018 and use it to estimate how energy efficiency investments relate to output growth and hence economy-wide rebound effects. We illustrate the effects of future deployment of enhanced energy efficiency investments using two scenarios through to 2100. The first maximizes GDP growth, requiring energy efficiency investment to rise ~ twofold. Here there is no decrease in PEU growth because economy-wide rebound effects dominate. The second scenario minimizes PEU growth by increasing energy efficiency investment ~ 3.5 fold. Here PEU and GDP growth are near fully decoupled and rebound effects are minimal, although this results in a long run, zero output growth regime. We argue it is this latter regime that is compatible with the deployment of enhanced energy efficiency to meet climate objectives. However, while output growth maximising regimes prevail, efficiency-led pledges on energy use and emissions reduction appear at risk of failure at the global scale.</p></div>","PeriodicalId":537,"journal":{"name":"Energy Efficiency","volume":"17 6","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":3.2,"publicationDate":"2024-07-03","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://link.springer.com/content/pdf/10.1007/s12053-024-10236-7.pdf","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"141547418","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":4,"RegionCategory":"工程技术","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Pub Date : 2024-07-02DOI: 10.1007/s12053-024-10241-w
Mercedes Burguillo, Pedro Juez-Martel
In the context of the energy transition policy that came into force in Spain in 2019, it is necessary for households progressively to substitute dirty energy heating sources with clean ones. This means replacing energy heating carriers that use carbon energy sources with others that use electricity, that is the cleaner energy source, specifically in Spain where electricity mainly comes from renewable sources. This replacement must be based on the use of modern and efficient electric heating appliances. This can involve a substantial economic effort for certain households, that are already vulnerable. This paper proposes a multinomial model to determine which variables explain households’ energy heating sources use and applies this model to microdata, from the Spanish Household Budget Survey, for 2016-2019. Results show that it is likely that energy-poor households use gasoil or coal and electricity for heating. It is also more probable that households living in rural areas and older buildings use these sources. Households renting their dwelling and living in warm regions are more likely to use electricity, whereas those living in cold regions, urban areas, with woman heads are more likely to use gas. Households owning the dwelling, with older heads and residing in larger houses are more likely to use gasoil or solid fuels. From these results, implications are derived to inform public policy regarding just energy transition.
{"title":"Just energy heating transitions: lessons from characteristics of households using different heating sources","authors":"Mercedes Burguillo, Pedro Juez-Martel","doi":"10.1007/s12053-024-10241-w","DOIUrl":"10.1007/s12053-024-10241-w","url":null,"abstract":"<div><p>In the context of the energy transition policy that came into force in Spain in 2019, it is necessary for households progressively to substitute dirty energy heating sources with clean ones. This means replacing energy heating carriers that use carbon energy sources with others that use electricity, that is the cleaner energy source, specifically in Spain where electricity mainly comes from renewable sources. This replacement must be based on the use of modern and efficient electric heating appliances. This can involve a substantial economic effort for certain households, that are already vulnerable. This paper proposes a multinomial model to determine which variables explain households’ energy heating sources use and applies this model to microdata, from the Spanish Household Budget Survey, for 2016-2019. Results show that it is likely that energy-poor households use gasoil or coal and electricity for heating. It is also more probable that households living in rural areas and older buildings use these sources. Households renting their dwelling and living in warm regions are more likely to use electricity, whereas those living in cold regions, urban areas, with woman heads are more likely to use gas. Households owning the dwelling, with older heads and residing in larger houses are more likely to use gasoil or solid fuels. From these results, implications are derived to inform public policy regarding just energy transition.</p></div>","PeriodicalId":537,"journal":{"name":"Energy Efficiency","volume":"17 6","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":3.2,"publicationDate":"2024-07-02","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"141502230","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":4,"RegionCategory":"工程技术","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Pub Date : 2024-07-02DOI: 10.1007/s12053-024-10238-5
S. Raguvaran, S. Anandamurugan
The efficiency of energy utilization in autonomous electric vehicles greatly impacts their longitudinal motion control. However, the complexity of driving scenes poses challenges to this control. This study introduces a hybrid approach that combines the improved coot optimization algorithm with adaptive reinforcement equilibrium learning to enhance both energy efficiency and speed control in autonomous electric vehicles. The primary innovation lies in optimizing and managing the powertrain efficiency operating point distribution to increase energy utilization efficiency. In the first phase, the improved coot optimization handles vehicle energy utilization efficiency by optimizing operational point transfers. The system normalizes motor torque and velocity to maximize efficiency within constrained conditions. Subsequently, in the second phase, adaptive reinforcement equilibrium learning effectively predicts vehicle speed control on irregular pathways. The proposed technique is implemented on the PYTHON platform to evaluate performance. The analysis also investigates two specific operating conditions: New European Driving Cycle (NEDC) and World Light-Duty Vehicle Test Cycle (WLTC). The findings demonstrate that the proposed strategy effectively optimizes vehicle powertrain efficiency operating point distribution, resulting in improved energy consumption outcomes. The energy utilization efficiency of the proposed approach is 90%, 93%, 95%, 96%, and 98.4%, respectively, at time 100 s, 200 s, 300 s, 400 s, and 500 s.
{"title":"Enhancement of energy utilization efficiency and speed control of autonomous electric vehicles (AEVs): A hybrid approach","authors":"S. Raguvaran, S. Anandamurugan","doi":"10.1007/s12053-024-10238-5","DOIUrl":"10.1007/s12053-024-10238-5","url":null,"abstract":"<div><p>The efficiency of energy utilization in autonomous electric vehicles greatly impacts their longitudinal motion control. However, the complexity of driving scenes poses challenges to this control. This study introduces a hybrid approach that combines the improved coot optimization algorithm with adaptive reinforcement equilibrium learning to enhance both energy efficiency and speed control in autonomous electric vehicles. The primary innovation lies in optimizing and managing the powertrain efficiency operating point distribution to increase energy utilization efficiency. In the first phase, the improved coot optimization handles vehicle energy utilization efficiency by optimizing operational point transfers. The system normalizes motor torque and velocity to maximize efficiency within constrained conditions. Subsequently, in the second phase, adaptive reinforcement equilibrium learning effectively predicts vehicle speed control on irregular pathways. The proposed technique is implemented on the PYTHON platform to evaluate performance. The analysis also investigates two specific operating conditions: New European Driving Cycle (NEDC) and World Light-Duty Vehicle Test Cycle (WLTC). The findings demonstrate that the proposed strategy effectively optimizes vehicle powertrain efficiency operating point distribution, resulting in improved energy consumption outcomes. The energy utilization efficiency of the proposed approach is 90%, 93%, 95%, 96%, and 98.4%, respectively, at time 100 s, 200 s, 300 s, 400 s, and 500 s.</p></div>","PeriodicalId":537,"journal":{"name":"Energy Efficiency","volume":"17 6","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":3.2,"publicationDate":"2024-07-02","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"141522376","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":4,"RegionCategory":"工程技术","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}