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How can green finance drive wind power growth: evidence from a semiparametric model 绿色金融如何推动风电增长:来自半参数模型的证据
IF 4 4区 工程技术 Q3 ENERGY & FUELS Pub Date : 2025-09-16 DOI: 10.1007/s12053-025-10374-6
Bin Xu, Renjing Xu

Wind power is the fastest-growing renewable energy source and presents huge development prospects. Most existing literature employs linear methods to investigate wind power, often overlooking the nonlinear relationships among economic variables. Unlike previous studies, this article employs a novel semiparametric model to investigate the nonlinear impact and mechanism of green finance on wind power. Empirical results show that green finance exerts a positive U-shaped effect on wind power, suggesting that the driving role of green finance in wind power is gradually becoming prominent over time. Heterogeneity analysis shows that green finance generates an inverted U-shaped impact on wind power in the eastern region, while its impact in the central and western regions presents an N-shaped and a positive U-shaped impact, respectively. From the perspective of production scale, green finance produces a positive U-shaped impact on wind power with medium to low production, and an M-shaped impact on wind power with high output. Mechanism analysis shows that green technology innovation yields a positive U-shaped impact on wind power, while foreign direct investment generates an inverted U-shaped impact on wind power. In addition, the empirical results also show that economic growth, environmental regulations, urbanization, and fossil fuel prices have a push impact on wind power, while power prices and fiscal decentralization have a constraining effect. The policy recommendations derived from the research findings can provide policy references for the formulation of new financial and industrial policies.

风电是发展最快的可再生能源,具有巨大的发展前景。现有文献大多采用线性方法研究风电,往往忽略了经济变量之间的非线性关系。与以往的研究不同,本文采用了一种新颖的半参数模型来研究绿色金融对风电的非线性影响及其机理。实证结果表明,绿色金融对风电产生了正u型效应,说明随着时间的推移,绿色金融对风电的带动作用逐渐凸显。异质性分析表明,绿色金融对东部地区风电的影响呈倒u型,对中部和西部地区的影响分别呈n型和正u型。从生产规模来看,绿色金融对中低产量的风电产生正u型影响,对高产量的风电产生m型影响。机制分析表明,绿色技术创新对风电产生正u型影响,外商直接投资对风电产生倒u型影响。此外,实证结果还表明,经济增长、环境法规、城市化和化石燃料价格对风电具有推动作用,电价和财政分权对风电具有约束作用。研究结果得出的政策建议可以为新的金融政策和产业政策的制定提供政策参考。
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引用次数: 0
Carbon abatement costs and digital revolution: An empirical analysis of manufacturing industry 碳减排成本与数字革命:基于制造业的实证分析
IF 4 4区 工程技术 Q3 ENERGY & FUELS Pub Date : 2025-09-15 DOI: 10.1007/s12053-025-10373-7
Changxin Yu, Yuening Wang, Tomas Baležentis, Xue-Li Chen

This study examines China’s carbon abatement costs and the role of digital technology, using provincial panel data from 2000 to 2021. By distinguishing between clean and non-clean energy inputs, we find that the estimated carbon abatement cost significantly exceeds prevailing market trading prices and follows a U-shaped temporal pattern—declining initially and then rising steadily. Our analysis shows that digital technology positively influences carbon abatement costs, primarily through improvements in energy efficiency. This effect varies regionally, with the strongest impacts observed in Central China—an unexpected finding given the conventional emphasis on coastal regions. These insights have important policy implications: (1) carbon pricing mechanisms should be reformed to more accurately reflect the true social cost of emissions; (2) the adoption of clean energy must be accelerated to reduce disparities in abatement costs; and (3) targeted digital investments, particularly in inland provinces, can enhance the effectiveness of emissions reduction strategies. By integrating energy-source differentiation with the dynamics of digital transformation, this study offers a more refined framework for evaluating carbon abatement costs and highlights the need for regionally tailored policies to achieve China’s 2060 carbon neutrality goal.

本研究利用2000年至2021年的省级面板数据,考察了中国的碳减排成本和数字技术的作用。通过对清洁能源和非清洁能源投入的区分,我们发现碳减排成本的估算值明显超过现行市场交易价格,并遵循先下降后稳步上升的u型时间模式。我们的分析表明,数字技术主要通过提高能源效率对碳减排成本产生积极影响。这种影响因地区而异,在中国中部观察到的影响最大——这是一个意想不到的发现,因为传统的重点是沿海地区。这些见解具有重要的政策意义:(1)碳定价机制应进行改革,以更准确地反映排放的真实社会成本;(2)必须加快采用清洁能源,以缩小减排成本的差异;(3)有针对性的数字投资,特别是在内陆省份,可以提高减排战略的有效性。通过整合能源差异与数字化转型的动态,本研究提供了一个更精细的碳减排成本评估框架,并强调了实现中国2060年碳中和目标的区域定制政策的必要性。
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引用次数: 0
ChronoFuse-TCN: A progressive temporal convolutional network for multi-scale and spatiotemporal load disaggregation 基于时序卷积神经网络的多尺度时空负荷分解
IF 4 4区 工程技术 Q3 ENERGY & FUELS Pub Date : 2025-09-11 DOI: 10.1007/s12053-025-10369-3
Shuangyuan Wang, Ao Wang, Yurong Zhang, Huaiqi Xue, Zhiyuan Yao

To address the limitations of existing Non-Intrusive Load Monitoring (NILM) methods in capturing the multi-scale variability and spatiotemporal dependencies of appliance power consumption, this paper proposes a novel progressive temporal convolutional architecture, ChronoFuse-TCN. The proposed model adopts a multi-stage feature extraction strategy to progressively enhances its ability to represent and interpret appliance-level load patterns. By combining dynamic multi-scale modeling, long-range temporal context encoding, and spatiotemporal attention mechanisms, the proposed approach enables more effective separation of overlapping and dynamic power signals. Furthermore, cross-stage feature integration is employed to enrich the hierarchical representation of load features. Experimental results on the UK-DALE dataset show that ChronoFuse-TCN achieves significantly lower disaggregation error compared to state-of-the-art baselines, demonstrating its effectiveness and generalization capability in complex NILM scenarios.

为了解决现有非侵入式负载监测(NILM)方法在捕获家电功耗的多尺度变异性和时空依赖性方面的局限性,本文提出了一种新的渐进式时间卷积架构ChronoFuse-TCN。该模型采用多阶段特征提取策略,逐步增强其表示和解释设备级负载模式的能力。该方法结合动态多尺度建模、远程时间上下文编码和时空注意机制,能够更有效地分离重叠和动态功率信号。此外,采用跨阶段特征集成,丰富了负载特征的层次表示。在UK-DALE数据集上的实验结果表明,与最先进的基线相比,ChronoFuse-TCN的解聚误差显著降低,证明了其在复杂NILM场景下的有效性和泛化能力。
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引用次数: 0
Regional integration and sustainability: enterprise energy efficiency in the China-ASEAN free trade area 区域一体化与可持续性:中国-东盟自由贸易区企业能源效率研究
IF 4 4区 工程技术 Q3 ENERGY & FUELS Pub Date : 2025-09-10 DOI: 10.1007/s12053-025-10361-x
Xu Ting, Muhammad Imran , Chen Mo, Xiao Wu, Muhammad Kamran Khan

This study examines the impact of trade liberalization on the transformation of energy consumption among Chinese industrial enterprises, with implications for sustainable economic growth, environmental protection, and energy efficiency. Employing a Difference-in-Differences (DID) approach, we analyze panel data from China’s Industrial Enterprise and Pollution Emission Databases to assess the effects of trade liberalization. To explore underlying mechanisms, we incorporate mediation analysis to disentangle scale and technique effects. Our findings indicate that trade liberalization significantly promotes energy consumption transition by enhancing energy efficiency, primarily through technological upgrading and economies of scale. The regional heterogeneity analysis finds that enterprises in the eastern region, coastal areas, and transportation hubs benefit more from trade liberalization. Industry-level analysis reveals that technology-intensive enterprises and low-energy-consumption industry respond more positively, reflecting higher absorptive capacities for foreign technologies and stronger incentives for innovation. Firm ownership also plays a key role. Individual and corporate enterprises exhibit more substantial responses than state-owned and foreign enterprises, highlighting the importance of managerial flexibility and market-driven incentives in adopting energy-efficient practices. Large enterprises are better able than small and medium-sized enterprises to improve energy efficiency in response to trade liberalization. Overall, the study offers robust evidence that trade liberalization can serve as a catalyst for green industrial upgrading in emerging economies. The results provide actionable insights for policymakers aiming to align trade and environmental objectives in China’s next phase of sustainable development.

本研究探讨贸易自由化对中国工业企业能源消费转型的影响,以及对可持续经济增长、环境保护和能源效率的启示。本文采用差分法分析了中国工业企业和污染排放数据库的面板数据,以评估贸易自由化的影响。为了探索潜在的机制,我们结合中介分析来解开规模和技术效应。研究结果表明,贸易自由化主要通过技术升级和规模经济来提高能源效率,从而显著促进能源消费转型。区域异质性分析发现,东部地区、沿海地区和交通枢纽地区的企业从贸易自由化中获益更多。行业层面的分析表明,技术密集型企业和低能耗行业的响应更为积极,反映出对外国技术的吸收能力更高,创新激励更强。企业所有权也起着关键作用。个人企业和公司企业的反应比国有企业和外国企业更大,突出了管理灵活性和市场驱动的奖励在采用节能做法方面的重要性。大型企业比中小型企业更有能力提高能源效率,以应对贸易自由化。总体而言,该研究提供了强有力的证据,证明贸易自由化可以作为新兴经济体绿色产业升级的催化剂。研究结果为决策者在中国下一阶段的可持续发展中协调贸易和环境目标提供了可行的见解。
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引用次数: 0
Evaluating the implementation of energy efficiency measures from article 8 and the path to article 11 compliance 评估第8条能效措施的执行情况以及实现第11条的途径
IF 4 4区 工程技术 Q3 ENERGY & FUELS Pub Date : 2025-09-09 DOI: 10.1007/s12053-025-10364-8
Chiara Martini, Claudia Toro, Carlos Herce, Enrico Biele, Marcello Salvio

Energy audits (EAs) and Energy Management Systems (EnMS) are crucial instruments for companies to identify and implement energy efficiency measures (EEMs), thereby contributing to the EU’s climate and energy objectives. The updated Energy Efficiency Directive (EU/2023/1791) strengthens the role of these tools and introduces new provisions under Art. 11. Among these, the directive establishes specific consumption thresholds, requiring the adoption of EnMS for businesses with high energy usage and mandating EAs for other energy-intensive entities. Companies subject to EAs must develop annual implementation plans to systematically adopt the EEMs identified. This paper investigates how EEMs have been implemented under Art. 8 of the Energy Efficiency Directive (2012/27/EU) in ten European countries and explores how existing practices can inform the upcoming obligations introduced by Art. 11 of the revised Directive (EU/2023/1791). The primary aim is to assess the effectiveness of national data collection systems, evaluation methods, and policy tools in supporting the adoption of EEMs by companies. To this end, in 2024, national experts from ten EU member states responded to a targeted questionnaire focused on methodologies and practices related to the implementation of EEMs under the obligations of Art. 8. The study identifies current data availability and transparency practices, evaluates existing indicators and the role of EA guidelines, implementation plans, and facilitating factors. Good practices in the 10 European countries under analysis are also identified and described. Findings show significant variation in how countries collect and publish data, with some demonstrating advanced practices such as centralised databases or audit follow-up requirements. The paper identifies a set of good practices and emphasises the value of stronger coordination and more standardised approaches, particularly in view of the new obligations under Art. 11. By providing insights into current framework, the paper aims to support policymakers and energy agencies in enhancing the effectiveness of EAs and EnMS in driving the implementation of EEMs, thereby contributing to improved energy policy outcomes across Europe.

能源审计(EAs)和能源管理系统(EnMS)是企业识别和实施能源效率措施(eem)的关键工具,从而为欧盟的气候和能源目标做出贡献。更新后的能效指令(EU/2023/1791)加强了这些工具的作用,并在第11条下引入了新的规定。其中,该指令规定了具体的消费门槛,要求高能耗企业采用能源管理体系,并要求其他能源密集型企业采用能源管理体系。受环境管理制度约束的公司必须制定年度实施计划,系统地采用已确定的环境管理制度。本文调查了能源效率指令(2012/27/EU)第8条在10个欧洲国家中的实施情况,并探讨了现有做法如何为修订后的指令(EU/2023/1791)第11条引入的即将到来的义务提供信息。主要目的是评估国家数据收集系统、评估方法和政策工具在支持企业采用电子环境管理系统方面的有效性。为此,在2024年,来自10个欧盟成员国的国家专家回答了一份有针对性的调查问卷,重点关注与第8条义务下实施eem相关的方法和实践。该研究确定了当前的数据可用性和透明度实践,评估了现有的指标和EA指导方针、实施计划和促进因素的作用。还确定和描述了所分析的10个欧洲国家的良好做法。调查结果显示,各国收集和发布数据的方式存在显著差异,一些国家展示了集中数据库或审计后续要求等先进做法。该文件确定了一套良好做法,并强调加强协调和更标准化方法的价值,特别是考虑到第11条规定的新义务。通过提供对当前框架的见解,本文旨在支持政策制定者和能源机构提高能源管理体系和能源管理体系在推动能源管理体系实施方面的有效性,从而为改善整个欧洲的能源政策成果做出贡献。
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引用次数: 0
Understanding the development of Dutch residential energy use in the context of the energy efficiency directive: Combining top-down and bottom-up analysis 在能效指令的背景下理解荷兰住宅能源使用的发展:结合自上而下和自下而上的分析
IF 4 4区 工程技术 Q3 ENERGY & FUELS Pub Date : 2025-09-09 DOI: 10.1007/s12053-025-10360-y
Robert Harmsen

A diverse set of policy instruments targets residential energy use, including building codes, energy performance standards, labels, energy taxes, and subsidies. While bottom-up evaluations suggest these instruments achieve energy savings, top-down evaluations do not always confirm the same results. This discrepancy arises because bottom-up evaluations often rely on assumption-based deemed savings, while top-down analyses may obscure savings due to structural dynamics that cannot be easily isolated. To bridge this gap and better understand the impact of energy efficiency policies within broader energy consumption trends, this study analyses Dutch residential energy use from 2020 to 2023 within the framework of the EU Energy Efficiency Directive (EED). The EED caps total final energy use with an energy efficiency target (Article 4) while imposing an end-use energy savings obligation (Article 8), either by establishing an energy efficiency obligation scheme (Article 9) or by adopting alternative policy measures (Article 10). Our analysis covers two years affected by COVID-19 (2020 and 2021) and two years of elevated energy prices (2022 and 2023). Using chained additive index decomposition analysis, we assess the Article 4 efficiency target top-down by quantifying key drivers: volume, structural, and efficiency effects. We then synthesize the results of 2020 and 2022 with the bottom-up figures reported under the Article 8 energy savings obligation, isolating the loss of energy savings due to the COVID-19 lockdowns and the energy savings from behavioural changes triggered by the energy price shock. Our findings show that bottom-up and top-down evaluations complement each other. Bottom-up analysis helps disentangling efficiency effects in top-down evaluations, while top-down analysis contextualizes bottom-up policy impacts and can potentially be used for consistency checks. Combining these approaches can provide a clearer assessment of the contribution of (combined) energy efficiency policies to climate goals.

一系列针对住宅能源使用的政策工具,包括建筑规范、能源绩效标准、标签、能源税和补贴。虽然自下而上的评估表明这些工具实现了能源节约,但自上而下的评估并不总是确认相同的结果。这种差异的产生是因为自下而上的评估通常依赖于基于假设的预期节约,而自上而下的分析可能会模糊由于结构动态而无法轻易分离的节约。为了弥合这一差距,更好地了解能源效率政策在更广泛的能源消费趋势中的影响,本研究在欧盟能源效率指令(EED)的框架内分析了2020年至2023年荷兰住宅能源使用情况。《能源效率法》以能效目标(第4条)为最终能源使用总量设定上限,同时通过建立能效义务计划(第9条)或采取替代政策措施(第10条),实施最终用户节能义务(第8条)。我们的分析涵盖了受COVID-19影响的两年(2020年和2021年)和能源价格上涨的两年(2022年和2023年)。利用链式可加指数分解分析,我们通过量化关键驱动因素:数量、结构和效率效应,自上而下评估了第四条的效率目标。然后,我们将2020年和2022年的结果与根据第8条节能义务报告的自下而上的数字综合起来,将COVID-19封锁造成的节能损失和能源价格冲击引发的行为变化带来的节能损失分离出来。我们的研究结果表明,自下而上和自上而下的评估是相辅相成的。自底向上分析有助于理清自顶向下评估中的效率影响,而自顶向下分析将自底向上策略影响置于上下文中,并可能用于一致性检查。将这些方法结合起来,可以更清晰地评估(综合)能源效率政策对气候目标的贡献。
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引用次数: 0
From compliance to impact: evaluating energy efficiency measures in Portugal and Italy 从合规到影响:评估葡萄牙和意大利的能效措施
IF 4 4区 工程技术 Q3 ENERGY & FUELS Pub Date : 2025-09-04 DOI: 10.1007/s12053-025-10363-9
Claudia Toro, Chiara Martini, Carlos Herce, Paulo Calau, Ana Cardoso, Enrico Biele, Marcello Salvio, Isabel Pereira

Data collection and analysis on the implementation of energy efficiency measures (EEMs) under Article 8 of the Energy Efficiency Directive (EED) vary widely across European countries. This paper focuses on the management and enforcement of Energy Audits (EAs) obligation, and the associated EEMs information, in Portugal and Italy, two countries with distinct approaches. Specifically, the study delves into the Portuguese SGCIE (Sistema de Gestão dos Consumos Intensivos de Energia), and the implementation of the Italian Legislative Decree 102/2014 along with Ministerial Decree 256/2024 (Decreto Energivori). In Portugal, SGCIE plays a pivotal role in monitoring energy-intensive installations, mainly from the industrial sector, fostering the adoption of EEMs through a mandatory framework. This paper investigates how SGCIE collects data from EAs, enforces the implementation of EEMs, and tracks energy savings, contributing to national and EU energy efficiency goals. Similarly, the study delves into the Italian framework, analysing EAs obligations governance and EEMs data managing, particularly for energy-intensive industries. Emphasis is placed on the effectiveness of these mechanisms in gathering and utilizing information on EEMs. This analysis highlights the strengths of each system, underscoring key differences in how Portugal and Italy have transposed Art. 8 EED obligations into national law. The findings show that both countries have developed robust digital systems to collect and analyse EEMs data, offering valuable insights into energy consumption trends and policy impacts. These approaches improve data quality, support company-level energy management, and provide a foundation to meet the more stringent requirements of the revised EED (EU/2023/1791).

根据能源效率指令(EED)第8条,关于能源效率措施(EEMs)实施的数据收集和分析在欧洲各国差别很大。本文主要关注葡萄牙和意大利这两个采用不同方法的国家的能源审计(EAs)义务的管理和执行,以及相关的EEMs信息。具体而言,该研究深入研究了葡萄牙的SGCIE (Sistema de gesto dos consumerintensive de Energia),以及意大利第102/2014号法令和第256/2024号部长法令(Decreto Energivori)的实施情况。在葡萄牙,SGCIE在监测能源密集型设施(主要来自工业部门)方面发挥着关键作用,通过强制性框架促进eem的采用。本文研究了SGCIE如何从环境管理系统收集数据,强制实施环境管理系统,并跟踪能源节约,为国家和欧盟的能源效率目标做出贡献。同样,该研究深入研究了意大利的框架,分析了ea义务治理和EEMs数据管理,特别是能源密集型行业。重点是这些机制在收集和利用电子医疗保健信息方面的有效性。这一分析突出了每个体系的优势,强调了葡萄牙和意大利在如何将第8条EED义务转化为国家法律方面的关键差异。研究结果表明,两国都开发了强大的数字系统来收集和分析电力市场数据,为能源消费趋势和政策影响提供了有价值的见解。这些方法提高了数据质量,支持公司层面的能源管理,并为满足修订后的EED (EU/2023/1791)更严格的要求提供了基础。
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引用次数: 0
Industrial energy use, efficiency, and savings: methods for quantitative analysis 工业能源使用、效率和节约:定量分析方法
IF 4 4区 工程技术 Q3 ENERGY & FUELS Pub Date : 2025-09-03 DOI: 10.1007/s12053-025-10367-5
Janita Andrijevskaja, Anna Volkova

Evaluating energy efficiency (EE) in the manufacturing sector at the national level is analytically challenging due to the sector's heterogeneity and the limitations of commonly used indicators. Despite manufacturing’s central role in industrial decarbonization, there is no comprehensive overview of the quantitative methods used to assess its EE. This study addresses this gap by systematically reviewing 110 peer-reviewed studies published between 2005 and 2024, focusing on the evolution, application, and reliability of ratio-based indicators, decomposition techniques (Index and Structural Decomposition Analysis), frontier methods (Data Envelopment and Stochastic Frontier Analysis), and econometric approaches. The review reveals a strong preference for econometric analysis, followed by ratio indicators and index decomposition, while frontier and structural decomposition techniques remain underused. We identify four key challenges that can affect the robustness of EE assessments: definition inconsistencies in conceptualizing EE, data limitations affecting disaggregation and comparability, potential misalignment between methods and data, and interpretation challenges when translating findings into policy insights. Our systematic assessment indicates that most studies fall short of good methodological practices, with ratio-based methods performing strongest overall, suggesting that robust EE assessment requires (a) methods aligned with specific contexts, (b) sufficiently disaggregated data, and (c) awareness of methodological limitations. This review offers a framework for addressing methodological challenges in manufacturing EE analysis, improving the reliability of information available to policymakers for effective EE interventions.

由于制造业的异质性和常用指标的局限性,在国家层面上评估制造业的能源效率(EE)在分析上具有挑战性。尽管制造业在工业脱碳中发挥着核心作用,但目前还没有对用于评估其EE的定量方法进行全面概述。本研究通过系统回顾2005年至2024年间发表的110篇同行评议研究来解决这一差距,重点关注基于比率的指标、分解技术(指数和结构分解分析)、前沿方法(数据包络和随机前沿分析)和计量经济学方法的演变、应用和可靠性。回顾显示,计量经济分析的强烈偏好,其次是比率指标和指数分解,而前沿和结构分解技术仍未得到充分利用。我们确定了可能影响情感表达评估稳健性的四个关键挑战:情感表达概念化中的定义不一致,影响分类和可比性的数据限制,方法和数据之间潜在的不一致,以及将研究结果转化为政策见解时的解释挑战。我们的系统评估表明,大多数研究缺乏良好的方法实践,基于比率的方法总体上表现最好,这表明可靠的情感表达评估需要(a)与特定背景一致的方法,(b)充分分解的数据,以及(c)对方法局限性的认识。这篇综述提供了一个框架,以解决制造EE分析中的方法论挑战,提高决策者有效的EE干预信息的可靠性。
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引用次数: 0
The environmental and economic ımpacts of eco-design on energy efficiency and carbon footprint reduction in pump manufacturing: a case study 环境和经济ımpacts对泵制造中能源效率和碳足迹减少的生态设计:一个案例研究
IF 4 4区 工程技术 Q3 ENERGY & FUELS Pub Date : 2025-08-23 DOI: 10.1007/s12053-025-10370-w
Mahnaz Gümrükçüoğlu Yiğit, Merve Balta

This article emphasizes the crucial role of measuring corporate carbon footprints and the associated economic benefits. Through an in-depth case analysis of a major facility, the study thoroughly examines the transformative impact of eco-design applications in pump manufacturing. By analyzing the implementation of EU 547/2012 (EU547) and EU 547/2012 EPA (EU-EPA) regulations, the study demonstrates significant achievements in carbon emission and energy efficiency improvement. The organization's commitment to environmental responsibility has resulted in significant carbon footprint reduction through the use of eco-design pumps. These sustainability measures contributed to a 4.8% reduction in total carbon emissions originating from pump usage, further highlighting broader environmental benefits. The article provides practical insights and quantitative evidence for organizations striving to balance ecological responsibility and economic sustainability by emphasizing the significance of sustainable design in the industrial sector. Furthermore, the study explores the financial dimensions of sustainability, showcasing how even modest investments can yield substantial returns. Under a hypothetical scenario where all pumps sold are eco-designed, potential savings of 1,092,437 USD are projected.

本文强调了衡量企业碳足迹和相关经济效益的关键作用。通过对一个大型设施的深入案例分析,该研究彻底考察了生态设计应用在泵制造中的变革性影响。通过分析欧盟547/2012 (EU547)和欧盟547/2012 EPA (EU-EPA)法规的实施情况,研究表明在碳排放和能源效率提高方面取得了显著成果。通过使用生态设计泵,该组织对环境责任的承诺导致了显著的碳足迹减少。这些可持续性措施有助于减少泵使用产生的总碳排放量4.8%,进一步突出了更广泛的环境效益。本文通过强调可持续设计在工业部门的重要性,为努力平衡生态责任和经济可持续性的组织提供了实践见解和定量证据。此外,该研究还探讨了可持续性的财务维度,展示了即使是适度的投资也能产生可观的回报。假设所有销售的泵都采用生态设计,预计可节省1,092,437美元。
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引用次数: 0
Understanding thermal comfort using self-reporting and interpretable machine learning 使用自我报告和可解释性机器学习来理解热舒适
IF 4 4区 工程技术 Q3 ENERGY & FUELS Pub Date : 2025-08-22 DOI: 10.1007/s12053-025-10371-9
Nitant Upasani, Olivia Guerra-Santin, Masi Mohammadi, Mazyar Seraj, Frans Joosstens

Standard thermal comfort models often fail to capture individual thermal sensations and offer limited interpretability for practical use. This study presents a building-specific, occupant-centric approach that combines self-reported comfort data with interpretable machine learning. The methodology is demonstrated through a case study involving self-reporting campaigns conducted during summer and winter seasons, accompanied by the development of a random forest regression (RFR) model. We employ three IML techniques namely Partial Dependence Plots (PDPs), SHAP values, and surrogate models to enhance the understanding of this RFR model. These interpretative tools facilitate a deeper understanding of the factors influencing thermal comfort, enabling targeted interventions for energy savings and improved occupant satisfaction. While the methodology offers a replicable framework for occupant-centric building control systems, it acknowledges limitations such as reliance on subjective self-reporting and the exclusion of architectural features. This research emphasizes the importance of integrating interpretable machine learning techniques to balance accuracy and usability, laying the groundwork for energy-efficient and occupant-focused indoor environmental management.

标准的热舒适模型往往不能捕捉个人的热感觉,并提供有限的可解释性用于实际使用。本研究提出了一种以建筑为中心、以乘员为中心的方法,将自我报告的舒适度数据与可解释的机器学习相结合。该方法通过一个案例研究进行了演示,该案例研究涉及在夏季和冬季进行的自我报告活动,同时开发了随机森林回归(RFR)模型。我们采用了三种IML技术,即部分依赖图(pdp)、SHAP值和代理模型来增强对该RFR模型的理解。这些解释工具有助于更深入地了解影响热舒适的因素,从而实现节能和提高居住者满意度的有针对性的干预。虽然该方法为以乘员为中心的建筑控制系统提供了一个可复制的框架,但它也承认其局限性,例如依赖于主观自我报告和排除建筑特征。这项研究强调了整合可解释的机器学习技术以平衡准确性和可用性的重要性,为节能和以乘员为中心的室内环境管理奠定了基础。
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引用次数: 0
期刊
Energy Efficiency
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