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Simplified measurement and verification combined with quality assurance instruments: a more practical and accessible method for M&V of energy savings 简化的测量和验证与质量保证仪器相结合:更实用、更易获得的节能测量和验证方法
IF 3.2 4区 工程技术 Q3 ENERGY & FUELS Pub Date : 2024-04-11 DOI: 10.1007/s12053-024-10195-z
Jan W. Bleyl, M. Robertson, S. Mitchell, P. Thollander

Energy efficiency (EE) is our “first fuel” and an essential resource in reaching climate goals, reducing dependence on fossil fuels, increasing security of supply, and many other “Multiple Benefits.” However, by their nature, savings are intangible. Demand-side EE measures are typically decentralized, heterogeneous, and small-scale opportunities. The difficulties in measurement and verification (M&V) of “Negawatts” are an important and often overlooked barrier to their greater application.

M&V is a prerequisite to assess the performance of any energy, water, or CO2-saving measure, and to quantify the savings into physical and monetary units for reporting, re-financing, GHG accounting, or other purposes. However, in practice, M&V is often perceived (particularly by clients) as cumbersome, incomprehensible, and costly.

In the broader context, energy cost savings alone are often not a sufficiently strong project driver because they lack strategic relevance for decision makers. As “Multiple Benefits” of EE become better understood, the value of quantifying savings to a high degree of accuracy may be declining, creating opportunities for more flexible M&V standards.

As a new methodology, this conceptual paper proposes to combine simplified M&V (sM&V) for individual EE measures with quality assurance instruments (QAIs) to verify functionality. This “sM&V + QAI” approach is less cumbersome, less costly, and easier to comprehend than standard M&V approaches, particularly by clients, financiers, and other non-M&V experts. It has been reviewed by international experts and successfully tested and evaluated in the field. Multiple case studies are reported to verify its practical feasibility.

能源效率(EE)是我们的 "第一燃料",也是实现气候目标、减少对化石燃料的依赖、提高供应安全和许多其他 "多重效益 "的重要资源。然而,就其本质而言,节约是无形的。需求方节能措施通常是分散的、异质的和小规模的。负瓦特 "在测量和验证(M&V)方面的困难是其更广泛应用的一个重要障碍,但却经常被忽视。测量和验证是评估任何节能、节水或减少二氧化碳排放措施的性能的前提条件,也是将节省的能源量化为物理和货币单位以用于报告、再融资、温室气体核算或其他目的的前提条件。然而,在实践中,M&V 通常被认为(尤其是客户)是繁琐、难以理解和成本高昂的。在更广泛的背景下,仅靠节约能源成本往往不足以推动项目的发展,因为对决策者而言,节约能源成本缺乏战略意义。随着人们对 EE 的 "多重效益 "有了更深入的了解,高度精确地量化节能效果的价值可能会下降,这就为制定更灵活的 M&V 标准创造了机会。作为一种新方法,本概念性文件建议将单项节能措施的简化 M&V (sM&V) 与质量保证工具 (QAI) 结合起来,以验证其功能。与标准 M&V 方法相比,这种 "sM&V + QAI "方法更简便、成本更低、更易于理解,特别是对于客户、金融家和其他非 M&V 专家而言。它已经过国际专家的审查,并在实地进行了成功的测试和评估。报告中的多个案例研究验证了其实际可行性。
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引用次数: 0
A technical-economic analysis of integrating vine prunings energy conversion systems for CHP production in local wineries 当地葡萄酒厂整合葡萄枝条能源转换系统用于热电联产的技术经济分析
IF 3.2 4区 工程技术 Q3 ENERGY & FUELS Pub Date : 2024-04-09 DOI: 10.1007/s12053-024-10214-z
Nicoló Morselli, Marco Puglia, Gerardo Capozzolo, Giulio Allesina, Alberto Muscio, Paolo Tartarini, Simone Pedrazzi

This study proposes the energy conversion of vine prunings to supply energy to local wineries, with a focus on the Riunite & CIV branch winery located in Carpi (Modena, Italy), exploring the possibility of generating both electricity and heat through biomass gasification. A Matlab-Simulink model is used to evaluate the energy savings that can be achieved when an energy storage system is coupled with the combined heat and power generation system. Within this context, the results showed that it is possible to save (approx )30% of the electricity and (approx )60% of the thermal energy demanded by the winery. However, the economic viability of the project is hindered by high investment and operation costs. DPB is strongly affected by the cost of biomass and the energy prices, resulting in a profitable investment for electricity prices higher than 0.30 (div>)0.57 €/kWh according to the different scenarios investigated.

本研究提出将葡萄树修剪下来的枝条进行能源转换,为当地酒厂提供能源,重点是位于意大利摩德纳卡尔皮的 Riunite & CIV 分酒厂,探索通过生物质气化发电和供热的可能性。Matlab-Simulink 模型用于评估将储能系统与热电联产系统结合使用时可实现的节能效果。在这种情况下,结果表明可以节省酒厂所需的 30% 的电能和 60% 的热能。然而,高昂的投资和运营成本阻碍了该项目的经济可行性。DPB受生物质成本和能源价格的影响很大,根据不同的调查方案,电价高于0.30(div>)0.57欧元/千瓦时的情况下,投资是有利可图的。
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引用次数: 0
Electrification, regulation and electricity access backlogs: regional development and border discontinuities across African power pools 电气化、监管和电力供应积压:非洲电力联营的区域发展和边界不连续性
IF 3.2 4区 工程技术 Q3 ENERGY & FUELS Pub Date : 2024-04-02 DOI: 10.1007/s12053-024-10200-5
Stefano Mainardi

Faced with decaying networks, poor revenue collections, and substantial sunk costs and operating losses, over the last two decades, many developing countries have embarked on electricity sector reforms. This analysis examines factors driving the lack of household access to electricity in sub-Saharan Africa, including poor basic infrastructure, inadequate incentives in public service policies, geophysical barriers, and constraints in institutional environment. Based on cross-region panel datasets from Demographic and Health Surveys of 31 African countries between 2003 and 2018, a general-to-specific model selection procedure is applied to parametric regressions, with special attention to border discontinuities between power trading agreements and related border region effects. The chosen specifications are replicated in beta-function generalised linear models and kernel regressions, which specifically account for upper and lower bounds in the dependent variable. The econometric results turn out to be fairly robust to different estimation methods and data panels and suggest that sector restructuring and regional power integration initiatives have contributed to reducing the percentage shares of households without electricity access. However, remoteness from agglomeration economies of major urban centres and lack of substantive improvements in the grid and off-grid networks between neighbouring power trading pools have left many regions lagging behind, particularly in Central Africa. Programmes of poverty alleviation, including electricity services, should be more carefully targeted by strengthening local infrastructure development, access to modern energy, and cross-border integration within and between African regional power pools.

摘要 过去二十年来,许多发展中国家面临着电网老化、税收不佳、沉没成本和运营亏损严重等问题,纷纷着手进行电力部门改革。本文分析了导致撒哈拉以南非洲地区家庭用电不足的因素,包括基础设施薄弱、公共服务政策激励不足、地球物理障碍以及制度环境制约。基于 2003 年至 2018 年间 31 个非洲国家人口与健康调查的跨区域面板数据集,对参数回归采用了从一般到特定的模型选择程序,并特别关注电力交易协议之间的边界不连续性以及相关的边界区域效应。所选规格在贝塔函数广义线性模型和核回归中得到复制,这些模型特别考虑了因变量的上限和下限。计量经济学结果对不同的估计方法和数据面板都相当稳健,表明部门重组和区域电力一体化举措有助于降低无电家庭的比例。然而,由于远离主要城市中心的聚集经济区,以及相邻电力交易池之间的电网和离网网络缺乏实质性改善,许多地区,尤其是中部非洲地区落在后面。减贫计划,包括电力服务,应通过加强地方基础设施建设、现代能源的获取以及非洲区域电力交易池内部和之间的跨境一体化,更有针对性地开展。
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引用次数: 0
Policy persistence vis-à-vis a crisis: the curious case of Slovak energy policy after the Russian invasion of Ukraine 面对危机坚持政策:俄罗斯入侵乌克兰后斯洛伐克能源政策的奇特案例
IF 3.2 4区 工程技术 Q3 ENERGY & FUELS Pub Date : 2024-04-02 DOI: 10.1007/s12053-024-10216-x
Matúš Mišík, Veronika Oravcová

The Russian invasion of Ukraine that started on 24 February 2022 has had a dramatic impact on the energy policy of the European Union and its member states. Nonetheless, not all EU members have radically overhauled their energy sectors and policies. Looking at the period between February 2022 and December 2023, this paper argues that Slovakia’s energy sector has remained unchanged in comparison to developments within the EU and beyond. Slovakia has continued to purchase natural gas from Russia, having negotiated an exemption from the EU sanctions on Russian oil, and gas consumption decreased only minimally in the winter of 2022/2023. Furthermore, it maintained at best a lukewarm position on renewable energy sources and even struggled to implement those energy efficiency measures that were included in the post-pandemic recovery plans. Slovakia also did not reconsider its coal phase-out deadline of 2023 and its (already very supportive) nuclear policy. We explain this policy persistence with the help of a revised lock-in concept which, in the case of Slovakia, is mostly connected to nuclear energy (ʻnuclear lock-in’), which locks out alternative energy sources, especially renewables.

摘要 2022 年 2 月 24 日开始的俄罗斯入侵乌克兰对欧盟及其成员国的能源政策产生了巨大影响。然而,并非所有欧盟成员国都对其能源部门和政策进行了彻底改革。从 2022 年 2 月至 2023 年 12 月这段时间来看,本文认为,与欧盟内外的发展相比,斯洛伐克的能源行业保持不变。斯洛伐克通过谈判豁免了欧盟对俄罗斯石油的制裁,继续从俄罗斯购买天然气。此外,斯洛伐克在可再生能源方面充其量也只是保持冷淡的立场,甚至在实施疫后恢复计划中包含的能效措施方面也是步履维艰。斯洛伐克也没有重新考虑其 2023 年的煤炭淘汰期限及其(已经非常支持的)核政策。我们借助修订后的 "锁定"(lock-in)概念来解释这种政策的坚持。在斯洛伐克,"锁定"(lock-in)概念主要与核能有关,它锁定了替代能源,尤其是可再生能源。
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引用次数: 0
Forecasting smart home electricity consumption using VMD-Bi-GRU 利用 VMD-Bi-GRU 预测智能家居用电量
IF 3.2 4区 工程技术 Q3 ENERGY & FUELS Pub Date : 2024-04-02 DOI: 10.1007/s12053-024-10205-0
Ismael Jrhilifa, Hamid Ouadi, Abdelilah Jilbab, Nada Mounir

Due to its important role in smart grids, power system management, and smart buildings, energy consumption forecasting has gained a lot of interest in recent years, further achieving energy efficiency objectives, decreasing CO(_2) emissions, and reducing energy bill. Because of the nonlinear and non-smooth characteristics of residential building electricity consumption time series data, developing an accurate energy consumption model is a crucial task. To solve this constraint, this research proposes a short-term, hybrid model that combines variational mode decomposition and Bi-GRU with the aim to predict household energy consumption forecasting of the next 24 hours with a time granularity of 15 minutes. The VMD algorithm in this model decomposes the power consumption time series into distinct signals called IMFs, and the Bi-GRU is used to predict each IMF separately. To produce the final prediction output, the prediction results of each model are summed and rebuilt. The conclusive findings indicate that the forecasting model based on VMD-BI-GRU demonstrates exceptional performance, with a mean squared error of 0.0038 KW, a mean absolute error of 0.046 KW, a mean absolute percentage error of 0.11%, and a notably high R(^2) score of 0.98. These results collectively signify its precision as a prediction model.

由于能耗预测在智能电网、电力系统管理和智能建筑中的重要作用,近年来,能耗预测在进一步实现能效目标、减少二氧化碳排放和降低能源费用方面受到了广泛关注。由于住宅建筑能耗时间序列数据具有非线性和非光滑的特点,因此建立精确的能耗模型是一项至关重要的任务。为解决这一制约因素,本研究提出了一种短期混合模型,该模型结合了变模分解和 Bi-GRU 方法,旨在预测未来 24 小时的家庭能源消耗预测,时间粒度为 15 分钟。该模型中的 VMD 算法将耗电量时间序列分解为不同的信号(称为 IMF),Bi-GRU 用于分别预测每个 IMF。为了得出最终预测结果,对每个模型的预测结果进行加总和重建。研究结果表明,基于 VMD-BI-GRU 的预测模型表现优异,平均平方误差为 0.0038 KW,平均绝对误差为 0.046 KW,平均绝对百分比误差为 0.11%,R(^2)得分高达 0.98。这些结果共同表明了它作为预测模型的精确性。
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引用次数: 0
Energy efficiency of buildings in Central and Eastern Europe: room for improvement 中欧和东欧建筑物的能源效率:改进空间
IF 3.2 4区 工程技术 Q3 ENERGY & FUELS Pub Date : 2024-03-28 DOI: 10.1007/s12053-024-10215-y
Matúš Mišík, Veronika Oravcová, Radka Vicenová

Following the invasion of Ukraine and the associated energy policy tensions with Russia, the EU began looking at how it could replace Russian energy sources. One of the proposed solutions is to decrease energy consumption. Buildings have been the principal target, owing to their high energy usage – especially of natural gas, which the EU is particularly keen on reducing. This literature review article summarises existing knowledge on the potential energy savings that can be made through energy efficiency improvements to existing buildings in Central and Eastern Europe. The countries in this region share common traits due to their Communist past and associated legacy of poor energy efficiency, both generally and in buildings in particular. At the same time, Central and Eastern Europe contains a range of geographical and climatic regions, and so, the findings of this paper are applicable to other regions. This bibliometric analysis identifies three main areas (insulation, heating source and policy) in which the academic literature has identified potential for energy efficiency improvements to buildings. On the basis of these findings, this paper looks at the policy implications for reducing energy consumption in buildings and thus helps the EU to become less dependent on energy supplies from Russia.

乌克兰入侵以及与俄罗斯相关的能源政策紧张局势之后,欧盟开始研究如何取代俄罗斯的能源来源。建议的解决方案之一是减少能源消耗。建筑物是主要目标,因为其能源使用量高,特别是天然气,欧盟尤其希望减少天然气的使用量。这篇文献综述文章总结了中欧和东欧地区通过提高现有建筑的能源效率来实现潜在节能的现有知识。该地区的国家有着共同的特点,因为它们都有着共产主义的过去,以及与之相关的能源效率低下的历史遗留问题,尤其是在建筑方面。同时,中欧和东欧包含一系列地理和气候区域,因此本文的研究结果也适用于其他地区。这项文献计量分析确定了三个主要领域(隔热、热源和政策),在这些领域中,学术文献发现了提高建筑能效的潜力。在这些发现的基础上,本文探讨了降低建筑能耗的政策影响,从而帮助欧盟减少对俄罗斯能源供应的依赖。
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引用次数: 0
A demand response strategy for air compressors network with optimal production and energy utilisation 优化生产和能源利用的空气压缩机网络需求响应战略
IF 3.2 4区 工程技术 Q3 ENERGY & FUELS Pub Date : 2024-03-25 DOI: 10.1007/s12053-024-10218-9
Nur Izyan Zulkafli, Mohamad Asyraf Mohamed Jelas, Mohamad Fani Sulaima, Mohamad Firdaus Sukri, Musthafah Mohd Tahir, Dawid P. Hanak, Georgios M. Kopanos

This study proposes a novel approach that integrates demand response strategy with operational scheduling to investigate the process flexibility in the operational performance under time-sensitive electricity tariffs and to provide cost-benefit analysis to industrial consumers. The proposed approach focused on implementing a demand response strategy with integrated process flexibilities at the supply side, storage and demand side in a case study of scheduling for an industrial network of compressors for Time of Use and Enhanced Time of Use energy tariff. The optimisation framework was developed as a mixed-integer linear programming model. The implementation of the demand response strategy resulted in a total cost reduction of between 5 and 13%. Furthermore, a considerable cost saving was shown to be achievable for the Enhanced Time of Use energy tariff since it offers an extensive off-peak time zone during the night hours and on the weekend. It is concluded that the study highlights the operational performance goal of achieving cost savings by implementing a demand response strategy for energy industries.

Graphical Abstract

本研究提出了一种将需求响应策略与运行调度相结合的新方法,以研究在时间敏感型电价下运行性能的过程灵活性,并为工业消费者提供成本效益分析。所提出的方法侧重于在使用时间和增强使用时间电价的压缩机工业网络调度案例研究中,在供应方、存储方和需求方实施具有综合流程灵活性的需求响应策略。优化框架是作为混合整数线性规划模型开发的。实施需求响应策略后,总成本降低了 5% 至 13%。此外,由于 "强化使用时间 "能源费率在夜间和周末提供了广泛的非高峰时段,因此可以实现相当可观的成本节约。总之,该研究强调了通过实施能源行业需求响应战略来实现成本节约的运营绩效目标。
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引用次数: 0
Social norms, pro-environmental identity, and finances: what motivates households to participate in energy efficiency programs? 社会规范、环保认同和资金:是什么促使家庭参与能效项目?
IF 3.2 4区 工程技术 Q3 ENERGY & FUELS Pub Date : 2024-03-23 DOI: 10.1007/s12053-024-10211-2
Adam Mayer, Ellison Carter

Municipal governments, often in collaboration with utilities, have implemented a range of energy efficiency programs to encourage homeowners and businesses to adopt energy efficiency upgrades. Energy efficiency holds promise to reduce energy consumption, reduce greenhouse gas emissions, improve public health, and reduce energy bills. However, these programs often suffer from poor participation and have typically had limited success. In this analysis, we use novel data to understand the relationship between social norms, pro-environmental identity, and household finances to understand program participation and retrofit decision-making. We find that the variables that predict retrofit decision-making do not explain a household’s initial decision to contact an energy efficiency program. We suggest that the processes that drive households to contact energy efficiency programs—a necessary first step in improving energy efficiency—are different from the processes that explain why households decide to upgrade their homes.

摘要 市政当局通常与公用事业部门合作,实施一系列能效计划,鼓励房主和企业进行能效升级。能源效率有望降低能源消耗、减少温室气体排放、改善公众健康和减少能源账单。然而,这些项目的参与度往往不高,而且通常成效有限。在本分析中,我们利用新颖的数据来了解社会规范、环保认同和家庭经济之间的关系,从而理解项目参与和改造决策。我们发现,预测改造决策的变量并不能解释一个家庭最初决定联系能效项目的原因。我们认为,促使家庭联系能效项目的过程--提高能效的必要第一步--不同于解释家庭为何决定改造其住宅的过程。
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引用次数: 0
The corporate environmental and financial performance nexus: a comparison of corporations in China and Japan 企业环境与财务绩效的关系:中日企业比较
IF 3.2 4区 工程技术 Q3 ENERGY & FUELS Pub Date : 2024-03-22 DOI: 10.1007/s12053-024-10212-1
Wu Chu Chin, Rajah Rasiah, Fumitaka Furuoka

Following the initiatives of the United Nations Framework Convention for Climate Change (UNFCCC) and especially since the Paris Agreement of 2015, corporate environmental performance has become a critical component of corporate financial performance. Particularly, stakeholder pressure has driven environmental and financial inclusion targeted at raising corporate performance. Hence, this paper examines the link between corporations’ environmental performance (CEP) and corporations’ financial performance (CFP) using annual panel data from 130 corporations from China and 166 corporations annually over the years from 2010 to 2018. The empirical results from the FMOLS and ARDL tests show that corporations’ good emission preventive practices translate into improved financial performance in Japan but not in China, which is a reflection of the advanced earlier development of environmental governance in the former and the latecomer status of the latter. Nevertheless, environmental disclosure raises corporate financial performance in both China and Japan in the long run but CSR strategy is negatively correlated with corporate financial performance. Also, while the Dumitrescu Hurlin causality test shows that there is significant bidirectional causality between CEP and CFP in the Japan sample, this relationship is weak in the China sample. While the results confirm actions by Japan and China to strengthen corporate environmental governance, the initiatives in China should be quickened to enhance the relationship between CEP and CFP.

在《联合国气候变化框架公约》(UNFCCC)提出倡议后,特别是自 2015 年《巴黎协定》签署以来,企业环境绩效已成为企业财务绩效的重要组成部分。特别是,利益相关者的压力推动了以提高企业绩效为目标的环境和金融包容性。因此,本文利用中国 130 家企业和 166 家企业 2010 年至 2018 年的年度面板数据,研究了企业环境绩效(CEP)与企业财务绩效(CFP)之间的联系。FMOLS和ARDL检验的实证结果表明,在日本,企业良好的排放预防实践转化为财务绩效的提高,而在中国却没有,这反映了前者环境治理发展较早,而后者环境治理发展较晚。尽管如此,中国和日本的环境信息披露在长期内都会提高企业财务绩效,但企业社会责任战略与企业财务绩效呈负相关。此外,Dumitrescu Hurlin 因果关系检验表明,在日本样本中,CEP 与 CFP 之间存在显著的双向因果关系,但在中国样本中,这种关系很弱。虽然研究结果证实了日本和中国在加强企业环境治理方面所采取的行动,但中国应加快行动步伐,以加强 CEP 与 CFP 之间的关系。
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引用次数: 0
Thermal modeling of an office environment with variable volume air condition system using zonal method for control system applications 采用分区法对带有变风量空调系统的办公环境进行热建模,以便于控制系统应用
IF 3.2 4区 工程技术 Q3 ENERGY & FUELS Pub Date : 2024-03-21 DOI: 10.1007/s12053-024-10196-y
Mahdi Rastegar-Moghadam, Yadollah Farzaneh, Seyed Mohammad Yasoubi

Appropriate thermal modeling is the first step in controlling thermal comfort and reducing energy consumption. In this article, the thermal modeling of an office room with a variable air volume (VAV) system is considered. Various thermal modeling methods are reviewed, and finally, the zonal method is selected. The main advantage of the selected method is its simple formulation but still accurate results. Furthermore, the output equations are in the state-space forms which are suitable for control applications. The thermal model is obtained by considering the airflow patterns in the office room. One of the key features of the obtained model is its applicability to winter as well as summer conditions. DesignBuilder software is also used to validate the thermal model. Results indicate the accuracy of the obtained thermal model in all weather conditions.

适当的热建模是控制热舒适度和降低能耗的第一步。本文考虑了采用变风量(VAV)系统的办公房间的热建模问题。对各种热建模方法进行了综述,最后选择了分区法。所选方法的主要优点是表述简单,但结果仍然精确。此外,输出方程为状态空间形式,适合控制应用。热模型是通过考虑办公室内的气流模式获得的。所获模型的主要特点之一是适用于冬季和夏季条件。DesignBuilder 软件也用于验证热模型。结果表明,所获得的热模型在所有天气条件下都非常准确。
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引用次数: 0
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Energy Efficiency
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