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Day-ahead photovoltaic power forecasting with multi-source temporal-feature convolutional networks 基于多源时间特征卷积网络的日前光伏发电预测
Q2 Energy Pub Date : 2025-05-16 DOI: 10.1186/s42162-025-00531-7
Ziming Ouyang, Zhaohui Li, Xiangdong Chen

Photovoltaic (PV) power forecasting technology enhances the absorption capacity of renewable energy. However, the PV power generation process is highly sensitive to fluctuations in weather conditions, making accurate forecasting challenging. In this paper, we propose a composite data augmentation method and a model that can effectively utilize the augmented data. The PV power generation process has a fluctuating nature over time, so an augmented sample set with temporal correlation was created. This was achieved by reconstructing meteorological features and screening measurements similar to historical meteorological conditions. To improve the feature extraction capability for multi-source heterogeneous data and the temporal modeling capability for fine-grained periods, a multi-source temporal-feature convolutional networks (MSTFCN) model is proposed. MSTFCN employs parallel convolution to capture local temporal patterns and improves global feature representation via a channel attention mechanism. Based on this, redundant information is suppressed by a cascading channel compression approach, and a temporal segmentation strategy is applied to model fine-grained temporal features. We conducted experiments on two publicly available datasets, and the results demonstrate that the proposed data augmentation method effectively improves the forecasting performance of the deep learning model. Moreover, MSTFCN achieves higher forecasting accuracy and exhibits stronger environmental adaptability than the compared models.

光伏发电功率预测技术提高了可再生能源的吸收能力。然而,光伏发电过程对天气条件的波动非常敏感,这使得准确的预测具有挑战性。本文提出了一种复合数据增强方法和一种能有效利用增强数据的模型。光伏发电过程具有随时间波动的特性,因此建立了具有时间相关性的增广样本集。这是通过重建气象特征和筛选与历史气象条件相似的测量来实现的。为了提高多源异构数据的特征提取能力和细粒度周期的时间建模能力,提出了一种多源时间特征卷积网络(MSTFCN)模型。MSTFCN采用并行卷积捕获局部时间模式,并通过通道关注机制改进全局特征表示。在此基础上,采用级联信道压缩方法抑制冗余信息,并采用时间分割策略对细粒度时间特征进行建模。我们在两个公开可用的数据集上进行了实验,结果表明所提出的数据增强方法有效地提高了深度学习模型的预测性能。与比较模型相比,MSTFCN具有更高的预测精度和更强的环境适应性。
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引用次数: 0
Power grid energy storage system planning method based on optimized butterfly algorithm
Q2 Energy Pub Date : 2025-05-13 DOI: 10.1186/s42162-025-00528-2
Xiang Yin, Xiaojun Zhang, Fuhai Cui

In response to the power supply security of power grid system caused by a large number of clean energy connected to the distribution network, based on the grid side energy storage investors, the butterfly optimization algorithm is improved by combining the dynamic switching probability coordination algorithm and the dynamic Gaussian mutation strategy. A Distributed Energy Storage System (DESS) planning for power grid is constructed. The results showed that the research model had high stability and convergence accuracy, which was superior to comparison algorithms. When two DESS power stations were connected to nodes 4 and 32, with rated powers of 1.63 MW and 1.78 MW, and rated capacities of 5.71 MWh and 7.33 MWh, the annual benefits of capacity decision, location decision, and system were 783,000 RMB, 394,400 RMB, and 388,600 RMB, respectively. This showed that the research method could help operators obtain the maximum equal life return and meet their investment expectations. Before connecting to DESS, the overall voltage deviation of each typical state decreased by 5.28 p.u., 5.79 p.u., 2.84 p.u., and 2.37 p.u., and the overall active power loss of the daily power grid decreased by 1.41 MW, 1.83 MW, 1.79 MW, and 1.68 MW, respectively, indicating significant optimization effects. The research results indicate that the proposed solution can improve the overall stability and economy of the power grid, with strong applicability. This is of great significance for leveraging the supportive role of energy storage in safe operation and promoting the large-scale application of energy storage systems.

针对大量清洁能源接入配电网造成的电网系统供电安全问题,基于电网侧储能投资者,结合动态切换概率协调算法和动态高斯突变策略对蝶形优化算法进行了改进。构建了电网分布式储能系统(DESS)规划。结果表明,研究模型具有较高的稳定性和收敛精度,优于比较算法。当节点4和节点32分别接入两台DESS电站,额定功率分别为1.63 MW和1.78 MW,额定容量分别为5.71 MWh和7.33 MWh时,容量决策、选址决策和系统年效益分别为78.3万元、39.44万元和38.86万元。这表明,研究方法可以帮助经营者获得最大的等寿命收益,满足其投资预期。在接入DESS前,各典型状态的总体电压偏差分别降低了5.28、5.79、2.84、2.37 p.u,日电网的总体有功损耗分别降低了1.41、1.83、1.79、1.68 MW,优化效果显著。研究结果表明,该方案能够提高电网的整体稳定性和经济性,具有较强的适用性。这对于发挥储能对安全运行的支撑作用,促进储能系统的大规模应用具有重要意义。
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引用次数: 0
A case study on the calculation of carbon emissions over the entire life cycle of commercial office buildings based on measured data
Q2 Energy Pub Date : 2025-05-13 DOI: 10.1186/s42162-025-00527-3
Meijiu Zhao, Xiaochun Zhao

Against the backdrop of the “dual carbon” strategy, building carbon emissions have been incorporated into the construction review process. Currently, the calculation and accounting of carbon emissions throughout the entire building lifecycle have become a hot and challenging issue in the field of building carbon emissions. Commercial office buildings, due to their large scale, high energy consumption, and significant carbon emission base, have become a key area for energy conservation and carbon reduction in public buildings. According to the building lifecycle carbon emission assessment system, the lifecycle of commercial office buildings can be divided into four stages: production of building materials, construction, operation and maintenance, and dismantling and recycling. This study takes an existing commercial office building in Beijing, China, as a case study, and based on data from energy audit reports, calculates the carbon emissions of each lifecycle stage using national standards and relevant software, and discusses the factors affecting building carbon emissions. At the same time, a comparative analysis of the differences between Chinese and Western national standards is conducted. Ultimately, strategies to reduce building carbon emissions are proposed. This study is of reference value for the precise calculation of carbon emissions throughout the lifecycle of commercial office buildings.

在“双碳”战略背景下,建筑碳排放已被纳入建筑审查过程。目前,建筑全生命周期碳排放的计算和核算已成为建筑碳排放领域的热点和挑战性问题。商业写字楼因其规模大、能耗高、碳排放基数大,已成为公共建筑节能减碳的重点领域。根据建筑全生命周期碳排放评估体系,商业写字楼的全生命周期可分为建材生产、施工、运营维护、拆解回收四个阶段。本研究以中国北京某既有商业办公楼为研究案例,基于能源审计报告数据,运用国家标准和相关软件计算其各生命周期阶段的碳排放量,并探讨影响建筑碳排放的因素。同时,对中西方国家标准的差异进行了比较分析。最后,提出了减少建筑碳排放的策略。本研究对商业办公楼全生命周期碳排放量的精确计算具有参考价值。
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引用次数: 0
Optimizing energy flow in advanced microgrids: a prediction-independent two-stage hybrid system approach 优化先进微电网的能量流:一种独立于预测的两阶段混合系统方法
Q2 Energy Pub Date : 2025-05-12 DOI: 10.1186/s42162-025-00523-7
Mohamad Javad Mohamadi, Mohammad Tolou Askari, Mahmoud Samiei Moghaddam, Vahid Ghods

This paper presents a two-stage optimization framework for long-term energy management in microgrids, aiming to efficiently integrate various energy sources, storage systems, and consumption elements while addressing uncertainties in load demand and renewable generation. The framework consists of an offline optimization stage and an online optimization stage, each with distinct roles to balance long-term planning and real-time adaptability. In the offline stage, a robust two-stage mixed-integer linear programming (MILP) model is used to set annual targets for the state of charge (SoC) of energy storage systems. This stage applies a min-max-min approach to optimize for worst-case scenarios, establishing a cost-effective and reliable baseline plan that reduces dependency on conventional power sources and minimizes load deficits. The online stage, on the other hand, employs a new online convex optimization model that dynamically adjusts energy storage and dispatch decisions based on real-time data, allowing the microgrid to respond flexibly to fluctuations in demand and renewable generation. Simulation results using the Elia and North China datasets demonstrate the effectiveness of this two-stage approach. Offline optimization achieved up to 25% cost savings and reduced unmet demand by up to 99%, providing a stable foundation for efficient energy management. The online optimization stage further improved system responsiveness, minimizing reliance on backup generators and enhancing load reliability. This combined framework offers a comprehensive solution for optimizing microgrid performance, balancing predictive planning with real-time adaptability in complex, variable energy environments.

本文提出了一个两阶段的微电网长期能源管理优化框架,旨在有效整合各种能源、存储系统和消费要素,同时解决负荷需求和可再生能源发电的不确定性。该框架包括离线优化阶段和在线优化阶段,每个阶段都有不同的角色,以平衡长期规划和实时适应性。在离线阶段,采用鲁棒的两阶段混合整数线性规划(MILP)模型对储能系统的荷电状态(SoC)设定年度目标。该阶段采用最小-最大-最小方法对最坏情况进行优化,建立一个具有成本效益和可靠的基线计划,以减少对传统电源的依赖,并最大限度地减少负载赤字。另一方面,在线阶段采用一种新的在线凸优化模型,根据实时数据动态调整储能和调度决策,使微电网能够灵活应对需求波动和可再生能源发电。利用Elia和华北数据集的模拟结果证明了这种两阶段方法的有效性。离线优化实现了高达25%的成本节约,并减少了高达99%的未满足需求,为高效能源管理提供了稳定的基础。在线优化阶段进一步提高了系统响应能力,最大限度地减少了对备用发电机的依赖,提高了负载可靠性。这种组合框架为优化微电网性能提供了全面的解决方案,在复杂多变的能源环境中平衡预测规划和实时适应性。
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引用次数: 0
Hybrid energy storage device based on multi-port transformer and direct current bus connection 基于多端口变压器和直流母线连接的混合储能装置
Q2 Energy Pub Date : 2025-05-08 DOI: 10.1186/s42162-025-00520-w
Xiu Zheng, Haixu Chen, Jiyang Zhang, Xiaohe Zhao, Dantong Wang

In the context of energy management during digital transformation, traditional energy storage devices face challenges in multi-source coordination and efficient management. The key issue for system optimization is how to stabilize the management of multiple energy storage units. To address this, the study innovatively proposes a Hybrid Energy Storage System integrating a Multi-Port Transformer and Direct Current Bus. By constructing multi-port control factors, the system achieves coordinated optimization of the energy storage units, through dynamic adjustment of multi-port control factors and energy conversion matrices, the system can flexibly allocate power output from various energy storage units according to load demands, ensuring stable system operation. Experimental results in a microgrid system show that the integrated control system has a response time of 2.3 ms under 80% load, significantly outperforming the Proportional Integral Control (8.7 ms) and during the energy storage unit switching process, the voltage fluctuation rate is only 0.8% with a switching time of just 1.8 ms, and system stability reaching 98.5%. Under high-load conditions, the energy conversion efficiency is 96.8%, and the power distribution error is only 1.2%. Compared to traditional energy storage devices, the initial investment cost of this device is reduced by 7.4%, and the annual maintenance cost is reduced by 21.7%. These results indicate that the improved hybrid energy storage device not only possesses excellent energy management capabilities but also significantly reduces operational costs and environmental impact. The study provides an efficient technical solution for managing complex energy systems, which is of great significance for promoting smart grid construction and achieving green, low-carbon goals.

在数字化转型的能源管理背景下,传统储能设备面临着多源协调和高效管理的挑战。系统优化的关键问题是如何稳定地管理多个储能单元。为了解决这个问题,本研究创新性地提出了一种集成多端口变压器和直流母线的混合储能系统。通过构建多端口控制因子,系统实现了对储能单元的协同优化,通过对多端口控制因子和能量转换矩阵的动态调整,系统可以根据负载需求灵活分配各储能单元的输出功率,保证系统稳定运行。在微电网系统中的实验结果表明,集成控制系统在80%负荷下的响应时间为2.3 ms,显著优于比例积分控制(8.7 ms),在储能单元切换过程中,电压波动率仅为0.8%,切换时间仅为1.8 ms,系统稳定性达到98.5%。在高负荷工况下,能量转换效率为96.8%,配电误差仅为1.2%。与传统储能设备相比,该设备初始投资成本降低7.4%,年维护成本降低21.7%。这些结果表明,改进后的混合储能装置不仅具有出色的能量管理能力,而且显著降低了运行成本和环境影响。本研究为复杂能源系统的管理提供了一种高效的技术解决方案,对推动智能电网建设,实现绿色低碳目标具有重要意义。
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引用次数: 0
The relationship between economic growth and carbon emissions based on the combination of graph neural network and wavelet transform 基于图神经网络与小波变换相结合的经济增长与碳排放关系研究
Q2 Energy Pub Date : 2025-05-08 DOI: 10.1186/s42162-025-00521-9
Sen Wang

The purpose of this study is to explore the impact of dynamic adaptation of corporate innovation culture and market demand on corporate sustainable development and the differences in corporate types and regions. The research sample covers 150 listed companies and 100 non-listed companies in eight industries and three economic regions: the eastern coastal area, the rise of central China, and the development of the western region from 2015 to 2020. The theoretical framework is constructed using the system dynamics model, and the empirical methods of multivariate regression analysis such as ordinary least squares, fixed effect model, and instrumental variable method are used for research. The main findings include that there is a significant positive synergistic relationship between corporate innovation culture and market demand, and there are differences in development models among enterprises of different types and regions. These results have important policy implications and can provide reference for the National Development and Reform Commission, the Ministry of Industry and Information Technology and other relevant departments to formulate policies such as industrial guidance and innovation incentives, help enterprises achieve sustainable development, and enhance the competitiveness of the national industry.

本研究旨在探讨企业创新文化和市场需求的动态适应对企业可持续发展的影响,以及企业类型和地区的差异。研究样本涵盖了2015 - 2020年东部沿海地区、中部崛起地区和西部大开发地区三大经济区、八大行业的150家上市公司和100家非上市公司。运用系统动力学模型构建理论框架,运用普通最小二乘、固定效应模型、工具变量法等多元回归分析的实证方法进行研究。研究的主要发现包括:企业创新文化与市场需求之间存在显著的正协同关系,不同类型、不同地区的企业在发展模式上存在差异。研究结果具有重要的政策意义,可为国家发改委、工业和信息化部等相关部门制定产业引导、创新激励等政策,帮助企业实现可持续发展,提升民族产业竞争力提供参考。
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引用次数: 0
Machine learning applications in energy systems: current trends, challenges, and research directions 机器学习在能源系统中的应用:当前趋势、挑战和研究方向
Q2 Energy Pub Date : 2025-05-07 DOI: 10.1186/s42162-025-00524-6
Saad Aslam, Pyi Phyo Aung, Ahmad Sahban Rafsanjani, Anwar P. P. Abdul Majeed

The paradigm shift towards Smart Grids, Smart Buildings, Smart Monitoring, and Operation has driven researchers to propose innovative solutions for designing and maintaining energy systems. Although the integration of Renewable Energy Sources (RES) supports sustainability goals, it also introduces vulnerabilities to unpredictable challenges such as grid stability, energy storage requirements, and infrastructure modernization. Machine Learning (ML) has emerged as a transformative tool to address these challenges, offering opportunities to enhance energy efficiency, and system design in alignment with Sustainable Development Goals (SDGs). The emphasis on these goals necessitates the study of new system designs that prioritize energy efficiency. Building on its proven success, researchers are increasingly adopting ML-driven approaches to accelerate advances in energy systems. This work presents a detailed review of current ML-driven research trends in energy systems, outlines the associated challenges, and provides potential research directions and recommendations. Unlike the existing literature, which focuses primarily on ML applications in the RES domain, this study offers a holistic perspective on ML-driven approaches across various aspects of energy systems, including energy policy and sustainability. It aims to serve as a comprehensive resource, bridging the gap between research advancements and practical implementations in energy systems through ML-driven innovation.

向智能电网、智能建筑、智能监控和运营的范式转变促使研究人员提出了设计和维护能源系统的创新解决方案。尽管可再生能源(RES)的整合支持可持续发展目标,但它也引入了不可预测挑战的脆弱性,如电网稳定性、储能需求和基础设施现代化。机器学习(ML)已成为应对这些挑战的变革性工具,为提高能源效率和系统设计提供了与可持续发展目标(sdg)保持一致的机会。强调这些目标需要研究优先考虑能源效率的新系统设计。在其成功的基础上,研究人员越来越多地采用机器学习驱动的方法来加速能源系统的进步。这项工作详细回顾了当前能源系统中机器学习驱动的研究趋势,概述了相关的挑战,并提供了潜在的研究方向和建议。与现有文献主要关注机器学习在可再生能源领域的应用不同,本研究提供了一个全面的视角,探讨了能源系统各个方面的机器学习驱动方法,包括能源政策和可持续性。它旨在作为一个全面的资源,通过机器学习驱动的创新,弥合研究进展和能源系统实际实施之间的差距。
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引用次数: 0
Correction: Research on building energy consumption prediction algorithm based on customized deep learning model 更正:基于定制深度学习模型的建筑能耗预测算法研究
Q2 Energy Pub Date : 2025-05-01 DOI: 10.1186/s42162-025-00509-5
Zheng Liang, Junjie Chen
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引用次数: 0
Integrating BIM with Lean Principles for Enhanced Decision-making: Optimizing Insulation Material Selection in Sustainable Construction Project 整合BIM与精益原则增强决策:可持续建设项目保温材料选择优化
Q2 Energy Pub Date : 2025-05-01 DOI: 10.1186/s42162-025-00518-4
Karim El Mounla, Djaoued Beladjine, Karim Beddiar

This study addresses the construction sector’s growing need for improved decision-making and reduced carbon emissions by integrating Lean principles into Building Information Modeling (BIM). A decision-support tool was developed using Python and RStudio to enhance stakeholder efficiency, reduce errors, and streamline communication. The tool combines Set-Based Design, Choosing By Advantages, and Big Room methods with Industry Foundation Classes (IFC) data to automatically generate and evaluate insulation options based on multi-criteria analysis. To test its adaptability and effectiveness, the tool was applied to two real-world case studies in different regions of France with distinct climatic conditions and project objectives. The first case study involved a mixed-use building in Rennes, where the objective was to enhance energy performance. The selected insulation material reduced heating needs by 13%, annual CO2 emissions by 14%, and insulation costs by 45% over a 50-year period. The second case study focused on a residential building in Orléans, where the goal was to improve both energy efficiency and environmental impact. The tool achieved a 6% reduction in primary energy consumption, a 40% decrease in carbon footprint per (m^2) and a 6% reduction in annual CO2 emissions. The tool’s ability to adapt to different building types and climatic conditions confirms its accuracy and reliability in optimizing energy performance and reducing environmental impact and project costs. This research provides a scalable tool for enhancing decision-making efficiency and improving building energy performance, environmental impact, and cost-effectiveness in construction projects.

本研究通过将精益原则整合到建筑信息模型(BIM)中,解决了建筑行业对改进决策和减少碳排放的日益增长的需求。使用Python和RStudio开发了一个决策支持工具,以提高利益相关者的效率,减少错误,并简化沟通。该工具将基于集的设计、优势选择和大房间方法与行业基础类(IFC)数据相结合,根据多标准分析自动生成和评估隔热选项。为了测试其适应性和有效性,该工具被应用于法国不同地区的两个现实案例研究,这些地区具有不同的气候条件和项目目标。第一个案例研究涉及雷恩的一座混合用途建筑,其目标是提高能源性能。选用的保温材料减少了13%的供热需求%, annual CO2 emissions by 14%, and insulation costs by 45% over a 50-year period. The second case study focused on a residential building in Orléans, where the goal was to improve both energy efficiency and environmental impact. The tool achieved a 6% reduction in primary energy consumption, a 40% decrease in carbon footprint per (m^2) and a 6% reduction in annual CO2 emissions. The tool’s ability to adapt to different building types and climatic conditions confirms its accuracy and reliability in optimizing energy performance and reducing environmental impact and project costs. This research provides a scalable tool for enhancing decision-making efficiency and improving building energy performance, environmental impact, and cost-effectiveness in construction projects.
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引用次数: 0
Fuzzy logic-based automatic voltage regulator integrated adaptive vehicle-to-grid controller for ancillary services support 基于模糊逻辑的自动调压器集成自适应车网控制器辅助服务支持
Q2 Energy Pub Date : 2025-05-01 DOI: 10.1186/s42162-025-00515-7
Hemant Kumar, Abdul Gafoor Shaik, Ravi Yadav

Electric vehicles (EVs) are revolutionizing transportation, utilizing batteries as mobile energy storage to mitigate carbon emissions and fossil fuel depletion. Power utilities are increasingly employing EVs with dynamic energy storage for ancillary services such as frequency and voltage regulation. Additionally, EVs are utilized for dynamic damping services, where grid-connected EVs help mitigate frequency oscillations in weak grid conditions. This work presents a novel modified automatic voltage regulator (AVR)-integrated fuzzy logic-based control of EVs, incorporating a feedforward term to enhance damping services. A finely tuned AVR in a conventional generation improves synchronizing and damping torque for frequency oscillations. In this work, a modified AVR control loop is designed, combining the battery characteristics with linear controllers to generate additional damping vectors for frequency oscillations. Furthermore, an intelligent rule-based fuzzy logic (FL) controller is developed to replicate the traditional virtual synchronous control, enhancing the overall inertia and damping response. The proposed approach is validated using a modified IEEE 14-bus system under different case studies, such as load changes, EV variability, and integrated system dynamics. The results demonstrate superior performance over conventional droop control, achieving reduction in steady-state error, peak overshoot, and settling time. The comparative analysis validates the robustness and stability of the proposed control technique, marking a significant advancement in ancillary service support.

电动汽车(ev)正在彻底改变交通运输,利用电池作为移动能源存储来减少碳排放和化石燃料的消耗。电力公司越来越多地采用具有动态储能功能的电动汽车来提供频率和电压调节等辅助服务。此外,电动汽车还可用于动态阻尼服务,其中并网电动汽车有助于减轻弱电网条件下的频率振荡。本文提出了一种新的改进的自动电压调节器(AVR)-集成模糊逻辑的电动汽车控制,结合前馈项来增强阻尼服务。传统一代的精细调谐AVR改善了频率振荡的同步和阻尼扭矩。在这项工作中,设计了一个改进的AVR控制回路,将电池特性与线性控制器相结合,为频率振荡产生额外的阻尼矢量。在此基础上,设计了一种基于规则的智能模糊控制器(FL),复制了传统的虚拟同步控制,提高了整体惯性和阻尼响应。采用改进的IEEE 14总线系统,对负载变化、EV可变性和集成系统动力学等不同的案例进行了验证。结果表明,与传统的下垂控制相比,该方法性能优越,可以减少稳态误差、峰值超调和稳定时间。对比分析验证了所提出的控制技术的鲁棒性和稳定性,标志着辅助服务支持的重大进步。
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引用次数: 0
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Energy Informatics
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