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Modeling electricity consumption from sugarcane bagasse in Brazil: 2013 to 2021 巴西甘蔗渣发电量模型:2013 年至 2021 年
IF 4.9 3区 环境科学与生态学 Q2 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES Pub Date : 2024-09-09 DOI: 10.1007/s10668-024-05351-5
Luís Oscar Silva Martins, Vinícius de Araújo Mendes, Marcelo Santana Silva, Luciano Sérgio Hocevar, Ednildo Andrade Torres

Biomass represents 9% of the installed electricity generation capacity in Brazil. If only sugarcane bagasse is considered, it represents 7.5% of the country’s electricity supply. Thus, seeking a broader economic vision, the main objective of this research is to analyze the behavior of electricity consumption generated through sugarcane bagasse in Brazil, from 2013 to 2021. To do this, it used a model in dynamic panel using as independent variables the price of electricity, per capita income, sugarcane production, price of ethanol (competing product), total electricity consumption in each state and the level of rainfall. The analysis sought to capture differences in bioelectricity consumption between states considered richer and poorer. After confirming the indication of the absence of a unit root in bioelectricity consumption, the model was estimated using the generalized first difference moment method (FD GMM), which was more robust to the data. The results suggest that the consumption of sugar-energy electricity has been decreasing, on average, 0.82% per year in the period analyzed. However, the research also showed that the increase in electricity prices had a positive effect on the consumption of sugar-alcohol bioelectricity, offsetting the effect of the downward trend in recent years. From a regional point of view, the research also showed a downward trend in consumption for the states considered more developed and a slight upward trend for the poorest regions. This implies that price and income, analyzed together, point to the existence of a systematic effect between income levels on the price elasticity of demand for electricity from sugarcane. The finding is important for those responsible for conducting energy policy as it indicates that different income levels between regions must be taken into account when proposing public policies to contain or encourage electricity consumption from renewable sources.

生物质能占巴西发电装机容量的 9%。如果只考虑甘蔗渣,则占全国电力供应的 7.5%。因此,为了寻求更广阔的经济前景,本研究的主要目标是分析 2013 年至 2021 年巴西甘蔗渣发电的电力消费行为。为此,研究使用了一个动态面板模型,将电价、人均收入、甘蔗产量、乙醇(竞争产品)价格、各州总用电量和降雨量作为自变量。分析试图捕捉较富裕州和较贫穷州之间生物电力消费的差异。在确认生物电力消费不存在单位根的迹象后,使用对数据更稳健的广义一阶差分矩法(FD GMM)对模型进行了估计。结果表明,在分析期间,糖能发电的消费量平均每年下降 0.82%。不过,研究也表明,电价的上涨对糖酒生物电力的消费产生了积极影响,抵消了近年来下降趋势的影响。从地区角度看,研究还显示,被认为较发达的州的消费量呈下降趋势,而最贫困地区的消费量则略有上升。这意味着,价格和收入综合分析表明,收入水平对甘蔗电力需求的价格弹性存在系统性影响。这一发现对能源政策的制定者非常重要,因为它表明,在提出公共政策以控制或鼓励使用可再生能源发电时,必须考虑到不同地区的不同收入水平。
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引用次数: 0
Exploring agroforestry and food security in Latin America: a systematic review 探索拉丁美洲的农林业和粮食安全:系统审查
IF 4.9 3区 环境科学与生态学 Q2 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES Pub Date : 2024-09-09 DOI: 10.1007/s10668-024-05352-4
Carlos Enrique Villanueva-González, Karina Nicole Pérez-Olmos, Manuel Sabino Mollinedo, Bohdan Lojka

This study conducts a comprehensive systematic review of agroforestry, a practice that combines crops with perennial woody plants, emphasizing its potential contribution to food security and socioeconomic development, especially in the context of the impacts of climate change in Latin America. The research focuses on understanding why agroforestry systems represent a significant opportunity to strengthen the food security of small-scale producers in the region. The review involved a meticulous search in electronic databases such as Scopus, Web of Science, and Google Scholar, prioritizing books, scientific articles, and reports from international congresses published between 2011 and 2022. Initially, 136 sources related to agroforestry and food security were identified, but after applying inclusion and exclusion criteria, 49 relevant documents were selected. The attention is directed towards critical aspects, such as the impact on biodiversity, the relationship to climate change, and the importance of traditional knowledge. Ecological services, agroecological practices, and land use planning are explored. The study highlights the dynamic nature of agroforestry in the Latin American landscape and the conclusion suggests an opportunity to address pressing challenges through concrete strategies, recognizing the transformative potential of agroecological practices. A call to action is issued, emphasizing the need to translate ideas into tangible actions, with recommendations to implement specific policies harnessing agroforestry. This call is based on the evidence from the systematic review, and it seeks to drive a significant change in addressing critical issues in Latin America, aiming to promote environmental sustainability, food security, and resilience to climate change.

农林业是一种将农作物与多年生木本植物相结合的做法,本研究对农林业进行了全面系统的综述,强调农林业对粮食安全和社会经济发展的潜在贡献,尤其是在拉丁美洲气候变化影响的背景下。研究重点是了解为什么农林系统是加强该地区小规模生产者粮食安全的重要机会。这项研究在 Scopus、Web of Science 和 Google Scholar 等电子数据库中进行了细致的检索,优先检索 2011 年至 2022 年间出版的书籍、科学文章和国际大会报告。最初确定了 136 个与农林业和粮食安全相关的资料来源,但在应用纳入和排除标准后,选出了 49 个相关文件。重点关注关键方面,如对生物多样性的影响、与气候变化的关系以及传统知识的重要性。研究还探讨了生态服务、生态农业实践和土地利用规划。研究强调了农林业在拉丁美洲景观中的动态性质,并在结论中提出了通过具体战略应对紧迫挑战的机会,同时认识到生态农业实践的变革潜力。报告发出了行动呼吁,强调有必要将想法转化为实际行动,并建议实施利用农林业的具体政策。该呼吁以系统性审查的证据为基础,旨在推动拉丁美洲在解决关键问题方面发生重大变化,以促进环境可持续性、粮食安全和抵御气候变化的能力。
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引用次数: 0
Empowering agriculture and food industry supply chains: a comprehensive study on blockchain technology enablers 赋能农业和食品行业供应链:关于区块链技术推动因素的综合研究
IF 4.9 3区 环境科学与生态学 Q2 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES Pub Date : 2024-09-09 DOI: 10.1007/s10668-024-05315-9
Shraddha Agrawal, Sanjiv Kumar Tiwari, Ritesh Kumar Singh

The revolutionary impact of Blockchain Technology is undeniable, transforming industries globally with its ability to reduce costs, shorten processing times, and eliminate intermediaries. It is reshaping industries by establishing trust and transparency through its immutable and traceable nature, leading to a paradigm shift in supply chain management operations. So, driven by the need to eliminate inefficiencies, this technology is gaining strong traction in the agricultural and food industries to streamline its operation. However, a comprehensive understanding of the factors enabling Blockchain Technology is essential for its effective implementation in this industry. The prime focus of the present work is to identify and prioritize Blockchain Technology enablers that can mitigate the challenges associated with the agriculture and food industries. In this regard, this study presents a novel Intuitionistic Fuzzy Grey Relational Analysis (IF-GRA) method for assessing the enablers of Blockchain Technology. The study identified Traceability as the most vital factor with a grey relational grade value of 0.987, followed by Smart Contracts (0.9302), Transparency (0.9238), and Real-Time Connectivity (0.8037). Further, this research also provides essential insights for agricultural and food industries contemplating the integration of Blockchain Technology.

区块链技术的革命性影响毋庸置疑,它能够降低成本、缩短处理时间并消除中间环节,从而改变全球各行各业。区块链技术通过其不可篡改和可追溯的特性建立信任和透明度,从而重塑各行各业,带来供应链管理运营模式的转变。因此,在消除低效的需求驱动下,这项技术在农业和食品行业中正获得强大的吸引力,以简化其运作。然而,要在该行业有效实施区块链技术,必须全面了解促成该技术的各种因素。本研究的主要重点是确定区块链技术的有利因素,并对其进行优先排序,以减轻与农业和食品行业相关的挑战。为此,本研究提出了一种新颖的直觉模糊灰色关系分析(IF-GRA)方法,用于评估区块链技术的推动因素。研究发现,可追溯性是最重要的因素,其灰色关系等级值为 0.987,其次是智能合约(0.9302)、透明度(0.9238)和实时连接性(0.8037)。此外,本研究还为考虑整合区块链技术的农业和食品行业提供了重要见解。
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引用次数: 0
A comparative study of MIM model with a novel hyperbolic cosine and conventional distance-dependent dispersion models 带有新型双曲余弦的 MIM 模型与传统距离相关色散模型的比较研究
IF 4.9 3区 环境科学与生态学 Q2 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES Pub Date : 2024-09-07 DOI: 10.1007/s10668-024-05388-6
Snigdha Pandey, Pramod Kumar Sharma, Akhilesh Paswan

The present study proposes a novel hyperbolic cosine distance-dependent dispersion model and is implemented in a mobile-immobile (MIM) model. Dual-porosity media is also termed MIM (mobile-immobile) regions. The pollutants are intended to drift through two adjacent homogeneous zones. An advective–dispersive equation governs mobile regions of the porous media. However, immobile regions are controlled by diffusive flux. The dispersivity as a measure of location determines the dispersion coefficient’s scale dependence. Though linear and exponential dispersivity functions were devised and implemented a few decades ago, in which the exponential distance-dependent dispersion model could provide comparatively satisfactory results, that, too, could not make a stronger correlation with the laboratory results. The linear and exponential dispersion models showed over-predicted data with insignificant skewness and tailing effects. Therefore, the present study further explores the distance-reliant dispersion model by introducing a novel hyperbolic cosine distance-reliant dispersion formulation. The transport model is discretized using a substantially implicit finite-difference-based Crank–Nicolson technique, and Thomas’ approach is applied to solve the output set of simultaneous algebraic problems. The present model is verified with the experimental data, and sensitivity analyses have been performed to look into how model parameters affect the model’s output. The present study reveals that contaminants move faster when using a scale-dependent dispersion model. Sensitivity analyses have revealed that an increase in the mobile regions and distribution of contaminants with the soil matrices reduces the breakthrough profiles. The reduced breakthrough profiles culminate retarded transport of contaminants in the soil media.

本研究提出了一种新颖的双曲余弦距离相关弥散模型,并将其应用于移动-非移动(MIM)模型中。双孔隙介质也被称为 MIM(移动-非移动)区域。污染物会在两个相邻的均质区域漂移。多孔介质的移动区域受平流扩散方程控制。然而,非流动区域则由扩散通量控制。作为位置度量的分散性决定了分散系数的尺度依赖性。虽然几十年前就设计并实施了线性和指数分散函数,其中与距离相关的指数分散模型可以提供相对令人满意的结果,但也无法与实验室结果建立更强的相关性。线性离散模型和指数离散模型对数据的预测过高,偏度和尾部效应不明显。因此,本研究通过引入一种新的双曲余弦距离离散模型,进一步探索了距离离散模型。利用基于 Crank-Nicolson 技术的隐式有限差分法对传输模型进行离散化,并采用托马斯方法解决输出的一组同步代数问题。本模型与实验数据进行了验证,并进行了敏感性分析,以了解模型参数对模型输出结果的影响。本研究显示,当使用与尺度相关的弥散模型时,污染物的移动速度更快。敏感性分析表明,移动区域的增加以及污染物在土壤基质中的分布会减少突破剖面。突破曲线的减小导致污染物在土壤介质中的迁移速度减慢。
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引用次数: 0
Study on the measurement and prediction of the ecological structure for water efficiency in China: from the perspective of “production-living-ecological” function 中国用水效率生态结构的测量与预测研究:从 "生产-生活-生态 "功能的视角出发
IF 4.9 3区 环境科学与生态学 Q2 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES Pub Date : 2024-09-07 DOI: 10.1007/s10668-024-05389-5
Yan Tang, Yunpei Cheng, Shan Gao, Xinzhi Wang

Countries are experiencing rapid social development under globalization, and it is a challenge to increase water efficiency and improve the ecological environment. This paper investigates the spatial and temporal changes of water efficiency in production-living-ecological function, which can help to improve the ecological environment and realize sustainable development. In this paper, Data Envelopment Analysis (DEA) is used to select evaluation indicators. The spatial directional distribution was analyzed using Standard Deviation Ellipse (SDE). The trend of spatial directional distribution was explored by choosing BP neural network model. The results show that: (1) There is a “stock-flow” link in the ecological structure of water resources. (2) The overall water efficiency of the production-living-ecological function indicates an oversupply. The main form is the exchange between ecological and production function. (3) Projections show that water used decreases from northeast to southwest and water efficiency increases from northeast to southwest. The production function occupies a large amount of water use. This paper establishes the theoretical framework of ecological structure of water efficiency and excavates the complex relationship and changing characteristics of production-life-ecological function and water efficiency. It provides a new perspective for the sustainable development of global water resources.

全球化背景下,各国社会发展迅速,如何提高用水效率、改善生态环境成为一项挑战。本文研究生产-生活-生态功能区用水效率的时空变化,有助于改善生态环境,实现可持续发展。本文采用数据包络分析法(DEA)选取评价指标。利用标准差椭圆(SDE)对空间方向分布进行分析。选择 BP 神经网络模型探讨了空间方向分布的趋势。结果表明(1) 水资源生态结构存在 "存量-流量 "联系。(2) 生产-生活-生态函数的总体水效率表明供大于求。主要形式是生态功能与生产功能之间的交换。(3) 预测结果表明,用水量从东北向西南递减,用水效率从东北向西南递增。生产函数占用了大量用水。本文建立了用水效率的生态结构理论框架,挖掘了生产-生活-生态功能与用水效率的复杂关系和变化特征。为全球水资源的可持续发展提供了新的视角。
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引用次数: 0
Essential livelihood recovery interventions (LRIs) for urban development-induced rural displacement and resettlement in India: a Delphi technique 针对印度城市发展引发的农村流离失所和重新安置问题的基本生计恢复干预措施(LRIs):德尔菲技术
IF 4.9 3区 环境科学与生态学 Q2 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES Pub Date : 2024-09-06 DOI: 10.1007/s10668-024-05371-1
Ishkiran Singh, Soumi Muhuri

Livelihood recovery, a well-researched issue while a natural disaster, has often been overlooked in the case of other man-made disasters, such as displacement and resettlement caused by urban development projects. Although government institutions/organizations initiated various interventions to combat the externalities of such projects and make the affected people more resilient, a holistic approach is lacking. This study attempts to identify livelihood recovery interventions (LRIs) based on different mechanisms of livelihood resilience for the people affected by urban development projects. Following a literature review and field visit, an initial list of seventy-three LRIs under fifteen mechanisms was prepared. Then, a panel of experts from India was invited to participate in a Delphi technique to check the interventions’ applicability and determine additional context-specific interventions to attain livelihood resilience in the Indian context. The results show that maximum interventions related to (i) empowering the people in rural areas, especially for their active participation in the implementation of the development project; (ii) additional facilities to reduce outmigration; (iii) long-term strategies by the government to achieve sustainability are the most relevant, as gained the consensus with aggregate preference 90%, in three rounds of Delphi. These results highlight the directions for policy-makers and planners in designing and managing livelihood recovering activities to achieve livelihood resilience.

在自然灾害中,生计恢复是一个经过深入研究的问题,但在其他人为灾害中,如城市发展项目造成的流离失所和重新安置,生计恢复往往被忽视。尽管政府机构/组织发起了各种干预措施,以消除此类项目的外部影响,并提高受影响人群的抗灾能力,但仍缺乏整体性方法。本研究试图根据不同的生计恢复机制,为受城市发展项目影响的人们确定生计恢复干预措施(LRIs)。经过文献综述和实地考察,初步拟定了 15 种机制下的 73 项生计恢复干预措施。然后,邀请印度的一个专家小组参与德尔菲技术,检查干预措施的适用性,并确定更多针对具体情况的干预措施,以实现印度的生计复原力。结果表明,在三轮德尔菲法中,与以下方面相关的干预措施最为重要:(i) 增强农村地区人民的能力,特别是让他们积极参与发展项目的实施;(ii) 提供更多设施以减少人口向外迁移;(iii) 政府采取长期战略以实现可持续性。这些结果为政策制定者和规划者设计和管理生计恢复活动以实现生计复原力指明了方向。
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引用次数: 0
Scanning & sustainability: the role of QR codes in environmental consciousness of apparel consumption 扫描与可持续性:二维码在服装消费的环保意识中的作用
IF 4.9 3区 环境科学与生态学 Q2 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES Pub Date : 2024-09-06 DOI: 10.1007/s10668-024-05379-7
Eleanor L. Kutschera, Tara L. Crowell

This study explores the impact that QR codes may play in individual’s sustainable apparel consumption. Data from 250 on-line surveys provided valuable information regarding consumers’ use of QR codes and more sustainable purchases. Results indicate that QR codes are currently under-utilized in the apparel industry but have the potential to generate more environmentally conscious purchases. Also, that while the cost of the item is the most influential factor in purchasing sustainable garments, other factors such as how, where, and what it is made of are in the middle, along with the company’s story/inspiration for creation have an impact. Participants indicated that they believe the use of QR codes would make them more informed and empowered consumers, and they would be more likely to make purchases that are better for the environment. Participants’ qualitative responses provide useful incentives that could increase their future sustainable purchases. Role of QR Codes in Environmental Consciousness of Apparel Consumption.

本研究探讨了二维码对个人可持续服装消费的影响。来自 250 份在线调查的数据提供了有关消费者使用二维码和更多可持续消费的宝贵信息。结果表明,二维码目前在服装行业的使用率还很低,但却有可能产生更多具有环保意识的购买行为。此外,虽然物品的成本是购买可持续服装的最大影响因素,但其他因素,如服装的制作方式、地点和材质,以及公司的故事/创作灵感也会产生影响。参与者表示,他们相信二维码的使用将使他们成为更知情、更有能力的消费者,他们也更有可能购买对环境更有利的产品。参与者的定性回答提供了有用的激励措施,可以增加他们未来的可持续消费。二维码在服装消费环保意识中的作用。
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引用次数: 0
ESG performance, dual green innovation and corporate value—based on empirical evidence of listed companies in China 基于中国上市公司实证的ESG绩效、绿色双创与企业价值
IF 4.9 3区 环境科学与生态学 Q2 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES Pub Date : 2024-09-06 DOI: 10.1007/s10668-024-05394-8
Yuxiang Zheng, Qingqing Feng

ESG (environmental, social, and corporate governance) is a crucial initiative for achieving the long-term objectives of the second century. It is a vital requirement for advancing sustainable development and achieving the dual-carbon objective. Additionally, ESG serves as a significant catalyst for transforming and upgrading the economic structure, as well as promoting the development of the national economy. This study utilizes data from 14,873 enterprises listed in Shanghai and Shenzhen A-shares between 2017 and 2022 to uncover the role of ESG on corporate value. The analysis employs a double fixed-effects model with a specific focus on the corporate value perspective. The findings indicate that the performance of ESG factors can enhance the overall value of a corporation and multiple rigorous tests have been conducted to validate this discovery. Enhancing ESG performance improves the value of a company by fostering innovation in both ecological and sustainable practices. Moreover, dual green innovation mediates relationship between ESG and firm value, with exploratory green innovation playing a more prominent role. Firms in decline have the greatest ESG influence in terms of the heterogeneity in ESG’s ability to increase firm value. During the decline phase, green innovation pioneering plays a crucial role, while exploitative innovation during the maturity phase has the most substantial effect on these companies.

ESG(环境、社会和公司治理)是实现第二个世纪长期目标的关键举措。它是推进可持续发展和实现双碳目标的重要条件。此外,ESG 还是经济结构转型升级和促进国民经济发展的重要催化剂。本研究利用2017年至2022年间沪深A股14873家上市企业的数据,揭示ESG对企业价值的作用。分析采用双固定效应模型,特别关注企业价值视角。研究结果表明,环境、社会和公司治理因素的表现可以提升企业的整体价值,并通过多种严格的测试验证了这一发现。提高环境、社会和治理绩效可以促进生态和可持续实践的创新,从而提高公司价值。此外,双重绿色创新在环境、社会和公司价值之间起到中介作用,而探索性绿色创新的作用更为突出。从环境、社会和公司治理提高公司价值能力的异质性来看,处于衰退期的公司受环境、社会和公司治理的影响最大。在衰退期,开拓性绿色创新发挥了关键作用,而在成熟期,探索性创新对这些公司的影响最大。
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引用次数: 0
A city of circular economy: advancement of cost-effective methods for resolving conflicts of investment in urban resilience 循环经济城市:推进具有成本效益的方法,解决城市复原力方面的投资冲突
IF 4.9 3区 环境科学与生态学 Q2 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES Pub Date : 2024-09-06 DOI: 10.1007/s10668-024-05289-8
Yasser ElSayed Fouda, Deena Mohamed ElKhazendar

In recent years, losses associated with disasters have increased considerably. Cities are hubs of economic growth, fueling their national economies. The resilience of this growth is at risk, however, from unplanned-for shocks and ongoing stresses, facing increasing environmental, social, and economic challenges. Various literature reviews have revealed the importance of urban resilience, but most have failed to address cost-effective methods for implementing resilience in urban conflicts. Finding new innovative approaches, that are the cheapest and the easiest to implement, to overcome the challenges, are limited. Investors are struggling with a range of obstacles when it comes to investing in resilience. To help in closing the implementation gap, a comprehensive framework of sustainable approaches emphasizing the notion of circular economy is developed across a range of spatial scales throughout its phases of emergency and risk management cycle. The main aim is to enable adaptation and the development of cost-effective solutions in response to future challenges and thus encourage investments in resilient cities. A cost benefit analysis, applied to a hypothetical city, is developed for each innovative approach at different spatial levels. The proposed analysis has proven that innovative approaches are cost effective, as their net economic benefit exceeds their upfront cost. Besides that, they tend to reduce a variety of disaster losses and emphasize the notion of circular economy. In overall, the framework analysis has revealed its ability to act as a protective dome to govern, manage, and finance sustainable low-cost approaches in any new urban formation.

近年来,与灾害相关的损失大幅增加。城市是经济增长的枢纽,推动着国家经济的发展。然而,这种增长的韧性正面临着计划外冲击和持续压力的威胁,面临着日益严峻的环境、社会和经济挑战。各种文献综述揭示了城市抗灾能力的重要性,但大多数文献都没有涉及在城市冲突中实施抗灾能力的成本效益方法。为克服挑战而寻找最便宜、最容易实施的创新方法的工作十分有限。投资者在投资抗灾能力方面遇到了一系列障碍。为了帮助缩小实施方面的差距,我们制定了一个强调循环经济概念的可持续方法综合框架,贯穿应急和风险管理周期的各个阶段,涵盖一系列空间尺度。其主要目的是使人们能够适应未来的挑战,并制定具有成本效益的解决方案,从而鼓励对具有抗灾能力的城市进行投资。针对不同空间尺度上的每种创新方法,对一个假设城市进行了成本效益分析。分析结果表明,创新方法具有成本效益,因为其净经济效益超过了前期成本。此外,这些方法还能减少各种灾害损失,并强调循环经济的概念。总体而言,该框架分析表明,它有能力作为一个保护性穹顶,在任何新的城市形态中治理、管理和资助可持续的低成本方法。
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引用次数: 0
The impact of urbanization, energy consumption, industrialization on carbon emissions in SAARC countries: a policy recommendations to achieve sustainable development goals 南亚区域合作联盟国家城市化、能源消耗和工业化对碳排放的影响:实现可持续发展目标的政策建议
IF 4.9 3区 环境科学与生态学 Q2 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES Pub Date : 2024-09-05 DOI: 10.1007/s10668-024-05365-z
Hamza Akram, Jinchao Li, Waqas Ahmad Watto

This research delves into the inter-relations between urbanization, industrialization, energy consumption, and carbon dioxide emissions (CO2) in SAARC countries, and emphasizes their impacts on the sustainable development goals (SDGs). As the regional importance grows because of the fast urban and industrial development accompanied by the high energy consumption, such analysis becomes of great significance in the of environment and policy planning for the SAARC region. Technically, the study uses advanced econometric approaches, including the Cross-Sectional Autoregressive Distributed Lag (CS-ARDL) model, and if it is necessary, second-generation unit roots and cointegration tests may be used as well. The process is what helps you have a good look at the long-term relationships and dynamics among the variables in mind. The main results demonstrate that CO2 emissions from urbanization and industrialization are much higher, so there is a compelling reason to look for ways to make our urban and industrial policies more sustainable. Inversely, power consumption, especially from fossil fuels, becomes a major emissions contributor, implied by the fact of transitioning to renewable energy sources. Among the effects of population growth, natural resource rent, and electrification on emissions mitigation, several policy intervention domains seem promising. To achieve sustainable development goals for SAARC countries, the member nations must collaborate on sustainable practices in urban planning, energy consumption, and industrial activities. The research is focused on renewable energy integration and sustainable urban planning; therefore, the research provides essential knowledge for policymakers to design strategies that are supposed to minimize negative impacts on the environment but also bring economic growth. Such findings and recommendations are the keys that are going to help in shaping the environmental policy and the strategic growth of the SAARC region while ensuring harmony between environmental and economic development.

本研究深入探讨了南亚区域合作联盟(SAARC)国家的城市化、工业化、能源消耗和二氧化碳排放(CO2)之间的相互关系,并强调了它们对可持续发展目标(SDGs)的影响。由于城市和工业的快速发展伴随着高能耗,其区域重要性与日俱增,因此此类分析对南盟地区的环境和政策规划具有重要意义。在技术上,本研究采用了先进的计量经济学方法,包括跨部门自回归分布滞后(CS-ARDL)模型,如有必要,还可使用第二代单位根和协整检验。这一过程可以帮助您很好地了解变量之间的长期关系和动态变化。主要结果表明,城市化和工业化产生的二氧化碳排放量要高得多,因此,我们有充分的理由寻求使我们的城市和工业政策更具可持续性的方法。相反,电力消耗,尤其是化石燃料的消耗,成为主要的排放源,这也是向可再生能源过渡的原因。在人口增长、自然资源租金和电气化对减排的影响中,有几个政策干预领域似乎很有前景。为了实现南亚区域合作联盟国家的可持续发展目标,各成员国必须在城市规划、能源消耗和工业活动的可持续实践方面开展合作。本研究的重点是可再生能源整合和可持续城市规划;因此,本研究为政策制定者提供了必要的知识,帮助他们设计既能最大限度地减少对环境的负面影响,又能带来经济增长的战略。这些研究结果和建议是帮助南盟地区制定环境政策和战略增长的关键,同时确保环境与经济发展之间的和谐。
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Environment, Development and Sustainability
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