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The least squares method in estimating the accuracy of surface air temperature projections based on ensembles of regional climate models 基于区域气候模式集合估算地表气温预估精度的最小二乘方法
IF 0.5 Q4 GEOCHEMISTRY & GEOPHYSICS Pub Date : 2023-01-30 DOI: 10.24028/gj.v44i5.272326
S.V. Krakovskа, L. Palamarchuk, Ye.L. Аzarov, А.Yu. Chyharеvа, Т.М. Shpytаl
The study is devoted to the search for the optimal methodical approach for bias correction of surface air temperature from real climatic indicators for the territory of Ukraine, obtained in the projections of ensembles of regional climate models (RCM) based on the use of regression analysis, namely the least squares method (LSM) with various options of its application. The procedure included: searching for weight coefficients of linear regression equations to minimize the deviation of the forecast from the observations for each model and each grid node of the 10 RCM for two climatic periods 1961—1990 and 1991—2010; obtaining, on the basis of equations with established coefficients, the averaged errors of ensembles of models for various variants of LSM application; and determining the limits of the application of such methodical approaches to the formation of an optimal ensemble. Among all options for using forecasting functions, it was found that the most accurate was the option of applying LSM to differences (shifts) in values between periods when one uses monthly values of the climate indicator. In general, the use of monthly values showed the best approximation of the model data to the observation data used from the E-OBS database. It was found that in a certain period the approximation of the LSM is significantly better than the average, but the advantage is lost if the obtained weighting factors are used in another period. For further use, the proposed approach can be modernized in the direction of more detailed clustering in time and space, which will allow adjusting the model data even closer to the observed ones. However, our results make us doubt the feasibility of applying such an approach to the forecast of climate fields, since they are not stationary and can significantly transform over time. In this case, arithmetic averaging and averaging of shifts or the delta method remain the optimal choice for forming a prognostic ensemble of RCM.
该研究致力于寻找从乌克兰领土的实际气候指标中获得的地表气温偏差校正的最佳方法,该方法是基于使用回归分析的区域气候模式(RCM)的预测集合中获得的,即最小二乘法(LSM)及其应用的各种选择。程序包括:寻找线性回归方程的权重系数,以最小化1961—1990年和1991—2010年两个气候期每个模式和10 RCM每个网格节点的预报与观测值的偏差;根据已建立的系数方程,得到LSM应用的各种变量的模型集的平均误差;并确定应用这种系统方法来形成最佳集合的限制。在使用预测函数的所有选项中,发现当使用气候指标的月值时,最准确的是将LSM应用于不同时期之间值的差异(移位)。一般来说,使用月值显示模式数据与E-OBS数据库中使用的观测数据的最佳近似。结果表明,在一定时期内,LSM的逼近性明显优于平均值,但如果将所得的加权因子用于另一个时期,这种优势就会丧失。为了进一步使用,所提出的方法可以在时间和空间上进行更详细的聚类,这将允许调整模型数据更接近观察到的数据。然而,我们的结果使我们怀疑将这种方法应用于气候场预测的可行性,因为它们不是固定的,并且可以随时间发生显著变化。在这种情况下,算术平均和移位平均或delta方法仍然是形成RCM预测集合的最佳选择。
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引用次数: 0
Geophysical data interpretation technologies in the study and exploration of oil-and-gas deposits 油气藏研究与勘探中的地球物理数据解释技术
IF 0.5 Q4 GEOCHEMISTRY & GEOPHYSICS Pub Date : 2023-01-30 DOI: 10.24028/gj.v44i5.272329
T. Mikheeva, O.P. Lapina, T.M. Kyshman-Lavanova, T. I. Prychepiy
The article presents the results of scientific research on the creation of computer technology for the interpretation of geophysical field data in the exploration of oil-and-gas deposits of Ukraine. The theoretical, informational, technological and methodical foundations for increasing the efficiency of geological exploration work due to the in-depth extraction of information from geological and geophysical data based on their complex interpretation within the framework of new mathematical models have been developed. Three-dimensional gravity and magnetometric modeling can be directed to the detection of densification zones and the tracing of tectonic disturbances in the consolidated crust, without which the existence of hydrocarbon transportation channels is impossible. The practical application of examples of quantitative interpretation of three-component magnetic survey data is given, which will significantly help in the detection and localization of hydrocarbon deposits. Development and expansion of the software complex for the interpretation of magnetotelluric data based on the use of impedance-type boundary conditions. The technique is intended for visualization of MTS data at the stage of qualitative interpretation in parallel with the method of the impedance tensor and Wiese vectors. The absolute advantage of this approach is its independence from the condition of a plane incident wave and the use of all six components of the electromagnetic field (including the Z component of the electric component of the MT field). The integration of statistical and deterministic methods during the inversion of geophysical data will increase the re-liability of the obtained geological results. The relevance and importance of the results presented in the work is determined by the conceptual novelty of methods and tools for forecasting new promising areas, as well as the reassessment of reserves of known deposits.
本文介绍了在乌克兰油气勘探中创建计算机技术解释地球物理场数据的科学研究结果。由于在新的数学模型框架内,根据地质和地球物理数据的复杂解释,从地质和地球物理学数据中深入提取信息,从而为提高地质勘探工作的效率奠定了理论、信息、技术和方法基础。三维重力和磁力建模可以用于探测致密化带和追踪固结地壳中的构造扰动,没有这些扰动,碳氢化合物输送通道就不可能存在。文中给出了三分量磁测资料定量解释实例,对油气藏的探测和定位具有重要意义。开发和扩展基于阻抗型边界条件的大地电磁数据解释软件复合体。该技术旨在与阻抗张量和Wiese矢量方法并行,在定性解释阶段对MTS数据进行可视化。这种方法的绝对优点是它独立于平面入射波的条件,并且使用电磁场的所有六个分量(包括MT场的电分量的Z分量)。在地球物理数据反演过程中,统计方法和确定性方法的结合将增加所获得地质结果的可靠性。这项工作中提出的结果的相关性和重要性取决于预测新的有前景地区的方法和工具的概念新颖性,以及对已知矿床储量的重新评估。
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引用次数: 0
Three-dimensional geoelectrical model of the central part of the Zvizdal-Zaliska and Brusyliv fault zones of the Ukrainian Shield 乌克兰地盾Zvizdal-Zaliska和Brusyliv断层带中部的三维地电模型
IF 0.5 Q4 GEOCHEMISTRY & GEOPHYSICS Pub Date : 2023-01-30 DOI: 10.24028/gj.v44i5.272325
T. Burakhovych, V. Ilienko, A. Kushnir
To study the deep structure of the geoelectrically complex junction zone of three megablocks of the western part of the Ukrainian Shield (Volyn', Podil, and Ros'), a three-dimensional model of the central part of the Zvizdal-Zaliska and Brusyliv fault zones was created. It is based on modern experimental observations of the Earth's natural low-frequency electromagnetic field in a wide range of periods. Synchronous experimental data of deep magnetotelluric sounding and magnetovariational profiling, obtained by the Institutes of the National Academy of Sciences of Ukraine in 2009—2019, were analyzed. The main issues of the geoelectrical modeling methodology using the Mtd3fwd software complex were considered, such as model elements, stages, alternative models, examples of calculations and comparison of observations, errors, etc. The constructed model analysis showed that of the large number of near-surface anomalies with low resistivity (5 to 100 Ohm · m), most sink to 500 m and only a few reach a depth of 1 km and are followed up to 11 km. It was established that there are connections between conductivity and structural features of the Zvizdal-Zaliska, Brusyliv, Nemyriv fault zones, the Samgorod fault and the Kocheriv synclinorium. Most of the isolated conductors appear in a mosaic pattern along the extended fault zones and form interspersed chains of high and low resistivity. Regional anomalies were confirmed and detailed both in the deep part of the crust and in the upper mantle; part of the Zvizdal-Zaliska fault zone appeared at depths of 15—30 km as a contact zone of abnormally high and low resistivities. Anomalies are confined to elongated zones of metasomatization and graphitized rock areas, some of the surface anomalies correspond to areas of the weathering crust. Most of the anomalies coincide with ore occurrences, ore-bearing fields and mineral deposits. The conducted geological-geoelectrical analysis of the model made it possible for the first time to identify two promising areas for further study that meet the geoelectrical criteria for the mineral search: along the Zvizdal-Zaliska fault zone between the Samgorod and Unava faults; along the Samgorod fault in the area of its intersection with the Kocheriv and Taboriv faults.
为了研究乌克兰地盾西部三个巨型区块(Volyn’、Podil和Ros’)地电复杂连接带的深层结构,建立了Zvizdal-Zaliska和Brusyliv断层带中部的三维模型。它基于对地球自然低频电磁场在大范围内的现代实验观测。分析了乌克兰国家科学院研究院2009-2019年获得的深大地电磁测深和变分磁剖面的同步实验数据。考虑了使用Mtd3fwd软件复合体的地电建模方法的主要问题,如模型元素、阶段、替代模型、计算示例以及观测值的比较、误差等。构建的模型分析表明,在大量低电阻率(5至100欧姆·米)的近地表异常中,大多数下沉到500米,只有少数达到1公里的深度,然后延伸到11公里。已经确定Zvizdal-Zaliska、Brusyliv、Nemyriv断层带、Samgorod断层和Kocheriv向斜的导电性和结构特征之间存在联系。大多数隔离导体沿着延伸的断层带呈马赛克图案,并形成高电阻率和低电阻率的穿插链。在地壳深部和上地幔都确认并详细说明了区域异常;Zvizdal-Zaliska断层带的一部分出现在15-30km深处,是电阻率异常高和异常低的接触带。异常仅限于交代作用和石墨化岩石区域的细长区域,一些表面异常与风化壳区域相对应。大多数异常与矿点、含矿区和矿床相吻合。对该模型进行的地质地电分析首次确定了两个有希望进行进一步研究的区域,这两个区域符合矿物搜索的地电标准:沿桑戈罗德断层和乌纳瓦断层之间的Zvizdal-Zaliska断层带;沿着Samgorod断层与Kocheriv和Taboriv断层相交的区域。
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引用次数: 1
The precision of the migration image of the depth section on the seismometry observations on northwestern Black Sea shelf 黑海西北陆架地震观测深度剖面偏移图像的精度
IF 0.5 Q4 GEOCHEMISTRY & GEOPHYSICS Pub Date : 2023-01-30 DOI: 10.24028/gj.v44i5.272324
O. Verpakhovska, V. Kobolev, V. Pylypenko
For many years, the Institute of geophysics has been developing original versions of the finite-difference migration and wavefield modeling techniques for a valid reproduction of the geological cross-section. The modeling provides a practical test of the accuracy of the reproduction of various geological structure features on a migration result and a way to define, in the observed field, the waves which can be used to produce a migration image of the geologic environment efficiently. In 2013, the Institute conducted a marine seismic investigation with reflection CDP (Common Deep Point) profiles on the continental slope of the NW part of the Black Sea. The registered wavefields were processed using full-wave finite-difference post-stack migration. The efficiency and validity of the processing methods for various geological structures were evaluated with the help of finite-difference modeling of the wavefield based on solving the wave equation on a grid with a seven-point pattern. The study validates the precision of marine seismic data processing using full-wave finite-difference post-stack migration with the help of wavefield modeling.
多年来,地球物理研究所一直在开发有限差分偏移和波场建模技术的原始版本,以有效再现地质剖面。该建模提供了对各种地质结构特征在偏移结果上的再现准确性的实际测试,以及在观测场中定义可用于有效生成地质环境偏移图像的波的方法。2013年,该研究所在黑海西北部的大陆坡进行了一次海洋地震调查,采用反射CDP(Common Deep Point)剖面。使用全波有限差分叠后偏移处理配准的波场。基于在具有七点模式的网格上求解波动方程,借助波场的有限差分建模,评估了各种地质结构的处理方法的效率和有效性。该研究在波场建模的帮助下验证了利用全波有限差分叠后偏移处理海洋地震数据的精度。
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引用次数: 0
Estimation of tendencies, homogeneity and stationarity of air temperature at the Ukrainian Antarctic Akademik Vernadsky station during 1951—2020 1951-2020年乌克兰南极维尔纳德斯基科考站气温趋势、均匀性和平稳性的估计
IF 0.5 Q4 GEOCHEMISTRY & GEOPHYSICS Pub Date : 2022-09-25 DOI: 10.24028/gj.v44i4.264848
L. Gorbachova, B. Khrystiuk, V. Shpyg, D. Pishniak
In this paper results of the complex analysis of surface air temperature tendencies investigations at the Ukrainian Antarctic Akademik Vernadsky station are represented. Antarctica is a region that has a high rate of surface air temperature increase. The Antarctic Peninsula has experienced particularly fast warming, which has the highest temperature rise in the Southern Hemisphere. Therefore, in Antarctica, the study of surface air temperature change is important. The Ukrainian Antarctic Akademik Vernadsky station is located on Galindez Island near the Antarctic Peninsula. Investigation of the surface air temperature is especially relevant to the Akademik Vernadsky station, because it has difficult conditions for its formation. The research goal is the estimation of tendencies, homogeneity and stationarity of the annual and mean monthly values of surface air temperature at the Ukrainian Antarctic Akademik Vernadsky station based on a combined approach with the use of several statistical and graphical methods. The use of various statistical methods that differ in characteristics (sensitivity to the law of distribution, autocorrelation, etc.) allows obtaining more reliable estimates. Graphic methods give an opportunity to analyze the tendencies over time and its change periods, the cyclical fluctuations and their characteristics (phases of increase and decrease, their duration, synchronicity, in-phase). Therefore, 4 statistical tests (standard normal Alexandersson test, Buishand test, Pettitt test, von Neumann relation) and 2 graphical methods (mass curve and residual mass curve) were used in the study. At the Ukrainian Antarctic Akademik Vernadsky station, the observation series of the mean annual air temperature are quasi-homogeneous and quasi-stationary, as it has only a cooling phase and a warming phase of long-term cyclical fluctuations, which are also unfinished. The transition from the cooling phase to the warming phase took place in 1982. Tendencies in mean monthly air temperatures are similar to tendencies in mean annual temperatures. The differences are only for some months, namely, for the period from September to December.
本文介绍了乌克兰南极Akademik Vernadsky站地表气温趋势调查的复杂分析结果。南极洲是一个地表气温上升率很高的地区。南极半岛经历了特别快的变暖,是南半球升温幅度最大的地区。因此,在南极洲,研究地表气温变化具有重要意义。乌克兰南极Akademik Vernadsky站位于南极半岛附近的加林德斯岛。地表空气温度的调查与Akademik Vernadsky站特别相关,因为它的形成条件很困难。研究目标是基于多种统计和图形方法的组合方法,估计乌克兰南极Akademik Vernadsky站地表气温年平均值和月平均值的趋势、均匀性和平稳性。使用特性不同的各种统计方法(对分布定律的敏感性、自相关等)可以获得更可靠的估计。图形方法提供了一个机会来分析随时间变化的趋势及其变化周期、周期性波动及其特征(增加和减少的阶段、持续时间、同步性、同相)。因此,本研究采用了4种统计检验方法(标准正态亚历山大检验、布伊桑检验、佩蒂特检验、冯-诺依曼关系)和2种图解方法(质量曲线和残差质量曲线)。在乌克兰南极Akademik Vernadsky站,年平均气温的观测序列是准均匀和准平稳的,因为它只有长期周期波动的冷却阶段和变暖阶段,这两个阶段也尚未完成。从冷却阶段到升温阶段的过渡发生在1982年。月平均气温趋势与年平均气温趋势相似。这种差异只存在几个月,即9月至12月期间。
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引用次数: 3
Geophysical research in the pre-Carpathian hydrosphere situation for the environmental civil protection purposes 用于环境民事保护目的的前喀尔巴阡水圈状况的地球物理研究
IF 0.5 Q4 GEOCHEMISTRY & GEOPHYSICS Pub Date : 2022-09-25 DOI: 10.24028/gj.v44i4.264847
Y. Starodub, V. Karabyn, A. Havrys, V. Kovalchuk, A. Rogulia, S. Yemelyanenko
Object of research is to develop and carry out a methodology investigation of the regional ecological changes in the Pre-Carpathian hydro-lithosphere in a state of emergency caused by flooding. Method involves obtaining the results by integrating experimental field-path studies and theoretical model research, laboratory scientific comparison, the analysis and synthesis of final results. The studied model is the flooding in the Carpathian region east of the Carpathian arc in Ukraine, flooding parts of Pre-Carpathians Lviv region — industrially and recreationally important regions: Stebnyk, Borislav and Drohobych cities. Scientific novelty: the article aims to develop a method for an integrated approach to study of the territory in the question of flooding through a combined interpretation of geophysical, geological, and chemical data when considering a strategically important Pre-Carpathian region. The theoretical and practical significance of the results obtained is substantiating the feasibility and possibility of the complex application of geophysical-geological and chemical data for the practical interpretation of geoinformation data. Results will be of use to applied research in geophysics and ecology and contribute to improving of the ecological situation in selected regions. Obtained results contribute to the development of geoinformation technologies for complex geophysical-geological and chemical research in the environmental safety of territories in the event of emergencies.
研究的目的是开发和开展喀尔巴阡前水系岩石圈在洪水紧急状态下区域生态变化的方法学研究。方法是将实验现场路径研究与理论模型研究、实验室科学比较、最终结果的分析与综合相结合,得出结果。研究的模型是喀尔巴阡山脉以东的乌克兰喀尔巴阡地区的洪水,洪水淹没了喀尔巴阡山脉前利沃夫地区的部分地区——工业和娱乐的重要地区:斯特布尼克、鲍里斯拉夫和德罗霍比奇城市。科学新颖性:本文旨在开发一种综合方法,通过对地球物理、地质和化学数据的综合解释,在考虑具有重要战略意义的前喀尔巴阡地区时,研究洪水问题中的领土。研究结果的理论意义和现实意义在于,论证了物化资料综合应用于地质信息资料实际解释的可行性和可能性。研究结果将用于地球物理学和生态学的应用研究,并有助于改善选定地区的生态状况。所取得的成果有助于发展地质信息技术,以便在紧急情况下进行复杂的地球物理-地质和化学研究,以确保领土的环境安全。
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引用次数: 1
Peculiarities of the present structure of the Bug granulite complex developed within the Middle Bug area and its partitioning into series and suits 中布格麻粒岩杂岩现今构造的特殊性及其划分为系列和套
IF 0.5 Q4 GEOCHEMISTRY & GEOPHYSICS Pub Date : 2022-09-25 DOI: 10.24028/gj.v44i4.264839
O. Gintov, O. Usenko
The Gaivoron-Zavalie site and the Golovanevsk suture zone (GSZ) of the Bug mining region (BMR) in the Middle Bug region have been a «testing ground» for studying the structure and stratigraphy of the Early Precambrian complexes of the USh for many years. In the article, using their example, the Early Precambrian part of the Correlation Chronostratigraphic Scheme of the USh (CCS USh) and the issues arising around its discussion and the need for changes have been considered here. The main problem is to find out series, formations and rock strata in the CCS of USh, which is quite debatable. It has been shown that some rock strata (leucogranulite formation and Zelenolevadov rock strata, a significant part of the Koshar-Alexandrov suite) refer to the formation-genetic series of quartz-feldspar metasomatites, in particular, to the structural-formation association of metasomatites of zones of regional faults and they are not stratigenic. According to isotope-geochronological data, the bereznin rock strata is not Archean and therefore does not belong to the Dniester-Bug series. The layering, banding and gneissovity of the enderbite-gneiss complex of the Gaivoron-Zavalie section are associated with its intersection of a dense network of fault zones and therefore this area refers to the area of development of highly dispersed metamorphic tectonites, rather than the stratigene rock strata, which some researchers try to call the «Salkovska Formation». The association of the iron-ore strata of the Bug mining region into the Pavlov rock strata of the Archean Dniester-Bug series is not correct, because the present overlapped section of such rock strata has been studied in the Moldovian structure in the GSZ structure, and it refers to the Bug series. However, the genesis of iron-ore rocks is disputable, so the authors consider it undesirable to include them in the CCS of the Ukrainian shield. The genesis of graphitic gneisses and quartzites of the Khaschevato-Zavaliev suite is also disputable, which leads to the conclusion that it should be excluded from the CCS of the Ukrainian shield. With the exclusion of the Zelenolevadov, Bereznin, and Pavlov strata from the Dniester-Bug Series, only the strata of hyperstene and dipyroxene plagiogneisses and crystalline schists, called as Tyvrovka, remains in it. Its stratotype becomes the stratotype of the entire series, so the stratum “Tyvrov rock strata” can also be removed from the series. The authors conclude that the division of the Bug granulite complex into suites and rock strata is impractible. When considering the division of the Bug granulite complex into series, it is shown that the concept “series” as set forth in the Stratigraphic Code of Ukraine, although it does not take into account the features of formation of the Archean series, however does not contradict them. Therefore, separation of the Dniester-Bug and Bug series of different composition and age is quite natural. Contrary to the opinions of some rese
多年来,中布格矿区(BMR)的Gaivoron-Zavalie遗址和Golovanevsk缝合带(GSZ)一直是研究USh早前寒武纪复合体结构和地层的“试验场”。本文以他们为例,讨论了USh (CCS USh)对比年代地层方案的早前寒武纪部分及其讨论中出现的问题和变化的必要性。主要的问题是如何在USh的CCS中找到系列、地层和岩层,这是一个颇有争议的问题。研究表明,部分地层(科沙-亚历山德罗夫套的重要组成部分白麻粒岩组和泽列诺列瓦多夫组)是石英-长石交代岩的形成-成因系列,特别是区域断裂带交代岩的构造-形成组合,它们不是成地层的。根据同位素年代学资料,别列兹宁地层不属于太古代,因此不属于涅斯特-布格系列。Gaivoron-Zavalie剖面的片麻岩杂岩的分层、带状和片麻岩性与其密集的断裂带网络相交有关,因此该区域指的是高度分散的变质构造岩的发育区域,而不是一些研究人员试图称之为“Salkovska组”的层状岩层。将布格矿区的铁矿地层与太古代德涅斯特-布格系列的巴甫洛夫岩层联系在一起是不正确的,因为在GSZ构造的Moldovian构造中已经研究过这种岩层的目前重叠剖面,它指的是布格系列。然而,铁矿岩石的成因是有争议的,因此作者认为不希望将它们包括在乌克兰地盾的CCS中。Khaschevato-Zavaliev套石墨片麻岩和石英岩的成因也存在争议,因此应将其排除在乌克兰地盾的CCS之外。除涅斯特-布格系列中的泽列诺列瓦多夫地层、别列兹宁地层和巴甫洛夫地层外,只剩下高辉岩、二辉岩斜长岩和结晶片岩地层,称为特洛夫卡。其层型成为整个系列的层型,因此地层“Tyvrov岩层”也可以从该系列中剔除。作者认为,将布格麻粒岩杂岩划分为套和岩层是不可行的。在考虑巴格麻粒岩杂岩的系列划分时,表明乌克兰地层法典中提出的“系列”概念虽然没有考虑太古宙系列的形成特征,但并不矛盾。因此,将不同成分、不同年龄的小虫与小虫系列分离是很自然的。与一些研究人员认为中侏罗盆地沉积-火山成因岩是连续成藏的观点相反,本文认为盖沃龙-扎瓦利和GSZ的碎屑锆石年龄分布异常与全球年龄分布异常相对应,反映了一个世界性的地壳形成过程,在这个过程中,相对平静的构造制度与构造活化时期交替发生。在此期间,岩浆和交代作用以及沉积-火山作用都被激活。从Dniester-Bug和Bug系列岩石的锆石铪同位素组成研究资料显示,它们的形成年龄可能相差600 ~ 700 Ma。本文还讨论了研究区发育的布格麻粒岩杂岩的成因和重排问题。
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引用次数: 0
Study of the interrelation between the geneseses and reservoir properties of productive series deposits in Pirallahi field on the basis of oil-field geophysical data 基于油田地球物理资料的皮拉拉希油田生产性系列矿床成因与储层物性相互关系研究
IF 0.5 Q4 GEOCHEMISTRY & GEOPHYSICS Pub Date : 2022-09-25 DOI: 10.24028/gj.v44i4.264849
K. Kerimova, N.E. Aliyev
Petrophysical properties of reservoir rocks are also influenced by a certain relationship between the lithological-mineralogical composition of rocks and the reservoir properties. For this reason, the study of the relationship between the genesis of Productive Series deposits and reservoir properties provides a basis for predicting the regularity of distribution of sand particles throughout the field and making some judgments about the development of porous and permeability zones. This, in turn, is of more scientific and practical importance while identifying variation of reservoir properties of rocks in sedimentary cover. The paper offers a rational approach that determines the relationship between the genetic origin of sedimentary rocks and their reservoir properties and expounds on the study results. As a research area, we chose «Qirmakiustu clay», «Qirmakiustu sand», Qirmaki and Qirmakialty series of Productive Series sediments studied in sections of conventional X1, X2, X3, X4, and X5 well sections located on one profile of Pirallahifield and their sedimentation environment and facies origin have been studied in more detail. In the section of well under the study, the average value of effective porosity (Kav.p.), average thicknesses of sandy and clayey layers (Hav.cl., Hav.sand), and the relative thickness of sand bodies (Hrel.sand) were calculated for intervals at which the facies of flow, bar, and beach plain origin were identified. The curves of these parameters’ variation across the profile were drawn. At the same time, the curves of thicknesses of flow, bar, and beach plain origin facies were drawn for the interval identified for each well section. These curves were compared and analyzed separately for each facies. A study of the sedimentation environment and genesis of sedimentation and a comparative analysis of lithofacial and reservoir properties may be important for accurately evaluating oil and gas presence in the study area.
储集岩的岩石物性也受岩石岩性矿物组成与储集物性之间的一定关系的影响。因此,研究生产系列矿床成因与储层物性的关系,为预测整个油田的砂粒分布规律和对孔渗带的发育做出一定的判断提供了依据。这对识别沉积盖层岩石储层物性变化具有重要的科学意义和实际意义。提出了确定沉积岩成因与储层物性关系的合理方法,并对研究结果进行了阐述。作为研究区域,我们选择了位于Pirallahifield同一剖面的常规X1、X2、X3、X4和X5井段研究了“Qirmakiustu粘土”、“Qirmakiustu砂”、“Qirmakiustu系列生产系列沉积物”,并对其沉积环境和相源进行了详细的研究。在研究井段中,有效孔隙度平均值(kv .p.)、砂质层和粘土层平均厚度(h .cl.)在确定流相、坝相和滩平原成因的区间内,计算了砂体(Hrel.sand)的相对厚度。绘制了这些参数在剖面上的变化曲线。同时绘制了各井段确定的层段流相、坝相、滩平原源相厚度曲线。这些曲线分别对每个相进行了比较和分析。研究沉积环境和沉积成因,对比分析岩面物性和储层物性,对准确评价研究区油气存在具有重要意义。
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引用次数: 4
SARS-CoV-2 virus spreading in depending of the Earth’s magnetic field 严重急性呼吸系统综合征冠状病毒2型病毒的传播取决于地球磁场
IF 0.5 Q4 GEOCHEMISTRY & GEOPHYSICS Pub Date : 2022-09-25 DOI: 10.24028/gj.v44i4.264842
M. Orlyuk, A. Romenets
The paper presents the results of a study on the possible relationship between the spread of SARS-CoV-2 virus and the Earth’s magnetic field based on an analysis of digital data for 95 countries. Article is based on the statistic data of geomagnetic field and coronavirus disease parameters, which allows, in our opinion, to obtain reliable results of their interpretation, which are as follows: The dependence of the spatial expansion of the SARS-CoV-2 virus on the value of modular values of the induction of the Earth’s main magnetic field BIGRF is established. The maximum number of diseases occurs in countries located in regions with reduced (25.0—30.0 mkT) and increased (48.0—55.0 nT) values. The SARS-CoV-2 virus expansion of the dynamics of the geomagnetic field over the past 70 years dependence is established. Maximum diseases number refers to areas with maximum changes, in the direction of decrease (up to –6500 nT) and increase 2500 nT). Comparison of SARS-CoV-2 disease expansion dynamics with Кр-geomagnetic field perturbation index — shows the practical absence of such connection. The ratio of the maximum daily growth of diseases to the minimums of external geomagnetic activity detected. This ratio may be due to the intensity of galactic cosmic radiation increase during this period. The connection between the SARS-CoV-2 disease process dynamics and solar activity is shown, namely: the beginning of a pandemic is due to the superposition of minima of 11 (between 24 and 25) and 110 (120?) solar activity annual cycles. The increase of diseases number correlates well with the increase of the 25th cycle solar activity. The Spanish pandemic was characterized by a similar ratio, which arose about 110 years ago between 14—15 cycles and took place during the 15th cycle of solar activity growth phase.
本文介绍了对95个国家的数字数据进行分析后得出的新冠病毒(SARS-CoV-2)传播与地球磁场可能存在的关系的研究结果。文章基于地磁场和冠状病毒疾病参数的统计数据,我们认为可以获得可靠的解释结果,如下:建立了SARS-CoV-2病毒的空间扩展对地球主磁场BIGRF感应模值的依赖关系。疾病数量最多的国家位于数值减少(25.0-30.0 nT)和增加(48.0-55.0 nT)的区域。SARS-CoV-2病毒扩张动态对过去70年地磁场的依赖性得以确立。最大病害数指变化最大的区域,呈减少方向(可达-6500 nT)和增加2500 nT)。SARS-CoV-2疾病扩展动力学与Кр-geomagnetic场摄动指数的比较表明,实际上不存在这种联系。疾病的最大日增长与检测到的外部地磁活动的最小值之比。这一比例可能是由于在此期间银河宇宙辐射强度的增加。显示了SARS-CoV-2疾病过程动力学与太阳活动之间的联系,即:大流行的开始是由于11个(24至25之间)和110个(120?)太阳活动年周期的最小值的叠加。疾病数量的增加与太阳活动第25周期的增加有很好的相关性。西班牙大流行的特点是类似的比率,大约110年前在14-15个周期之间出现,发生在太阳活动增长阶段的第15个周期。
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引用次数: 0
The influence of partial deforestation on moisture regime: sums of precipitation and total soil moisture content for the territory of Ukraine based on data of numerical experiment LUMIP 部分森林砍伐对水分状况的影响:基于LUMIP数值试验数据的乌克兰境内降水和土壤总含水量总和
IF 0.5 Q4 GEOCHEMISTRY & GEOPHYSICS Pub Date : 2022-09-25 DOI: 10.24028/gj.v44i4.264844
L. Pysarenko, S. Krakovska
The paper is dedicated to the impact of partial deforestation on sums of precipitation and part/fraction or sums of precipitation intercepted by the canopy; total soil moisture content under condition of minimal anthropogenic influence for the territory of Ukraine. In this work used data from the Land Use Model Intercomparison Project (LUMIP), which is based on Global Climate Models (GCMs). The purpose of LUMIP is to reveal patterns of changes of climate characteristics due to gradual global deforestation with a trend approximately 1 % every year and its replacement on grass or pastures for period 1850—1899. This time span is considered as the pre-industrial. The next period, 1900—1929 is without changes in forest cover. For estimation of impacts of partial deforestation the methods of anomalies over the first 20-year period (1850—1869) was used with further application of 5-year running mean of climatic characteristics to smooth their interannual variability. Coefficients of linear correlation between running mean anomalies of specific characteristic and the percentage of forest cover in grid cells with averaging over latitudinal zones, linear trends and differences were estimated. Overally estimations have shown that the global partial deforestation doesn’t impact directly on of monthly total precipitation in the middle latitudes, particularly, in Ukraine. But gradual forest reduction decreases part or fraction of precipitation intercepted by the canopy in both cold and warm seasons with average trend up to –2,6....–1,5 %/10 years in latitudinal zones in specific grids, where forest cover was reduced. The maximal decline was up to –14.5 % in grids as the difference between the 50-year period of partial deforestation and the next 30-year period. Such an effect will causemore precipitation reaching the ground and most likely will influence surface runoff. Found, that it causes the increase in total soil moisture content with trend 0.1—4.9 %/10 years depending on month and climate model, but with most significant changes during summer and autumn seasons. Thus, the analysis of LUMIP data for Ukraine has revealed that the partial deforestation caused the decrease of fraction part/fraction of precipitation intercepted by the canopy. Most GCMs demonstrated that this reduction provoked the increase of total soil moisture content and also can cause changes in hydrological regime and provoke higher flood frequency and other related hydrometeorological hazards in the forest part of Ukraine.
本文致力于研究部分森林砍伐对降水总量和部分/部分或被林冠拦截的降水总量的影响;乌克兰领土在人为影响最小的情况下的土壤总含水量。在这项工作中使用了基于全球气候模式(GCMs)的土地利用模式比对项目(LUMIP)的数据。LUMIP的目的是揭示1850-1899年期间由于全球逐渐毁林(每年约1%的趋势)和草地或牧场的替代而导致的气候特征变化模式。这段时间被认为是前工业化时期。下一个时期,1900-1929,森林覆盖没有变化。为估算部分毁林的影响,采用了前20年(1850-1869)的距平方法,并进一步应用了气候特征的5年运行平均值,以平滑其年际变率。估算了特定特征运行平均距平与各纬带森林覆盖率百分比的线性相关系数、线性趋势和差异。总体估计表明,全球部分森林砍伐对中纬度地区的月总降水量没有直接影响,特别是在乌克兰。但在冷暖季节,森林的逐渐减少会使冠层截留的降水减少部分或部分,平均趋势可达- 2,6....在森林覆盖减少的特定网格的纬向带中,每10年减少- 1.5%。在网格中,部分森林砍伐的50年周期与未来30年周期的差异最大,降幅高达- 14.5%。这种影响将导致更多的降水到达地面,并极有可能影响地表径流。结果表明,不同月份和气候模式下,土壤总含水量的增加趋势为0.1 ~ 4.9% /10年,但夏季和秋季变化最为显著。因此,对乌克兰LUMIP数据的分析表明,部分森林砍伐导致林冠截留降水的部分/部分减少。大多数gcm表明,这种减少引起了土壤总含水量的增加,也可能引起水文状况的变化,并在乌克兰森林地区引发更高的洪水频率和其他相关的水文气象灾害。
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引用次数: 1
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Geofizicheskiy Zhurnal-Geophysical Journal
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