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Towards multi-scalar transition management? Insights from four transition arenas in Norway’s port sector 迈向多标量转换管理?来自挪威港口部门四个转型领域的见解
IF 6.1 2区 经济学 Q1 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES Pub Date : 2025-10-13 DOI: 10.1016/j.eist.2025.101061
Bård Torvetjønn Haugland , Susanne Jørgensen , Kristin Ystmark Bjerkan , Lillian Hansen , Marianne Ryghaug , Simen Rostad Sæther , Timo von Wirth , Mari Wardeberg
Transition management has been applied at organisational, local, regional, and national scales. However, transition management methodology only treats scale in passing. Drawing upon experiences from four transition arenas in Norway’s port sector – three local, one national – the article describes how arena outputs differed between local and national arenas. Outputs from the national arena were significantly less specific than in the local arenas. The article provides three partial, interlinked explanations for this disparity: arena composition, arena sequencing, and process facilitation. Proceeding from the challenges experienced in the national arena, the article provides suggestions towards a model of transition management which explicitly links local and national transition arenas. This linkage serves to ground otherwise abstract discussions in local contexts while expanding the type and range of actions that can result from a national-level transition arena, thus enhancing transition management’s ability to influence multi-scalar transition dynamics.
转型管理已经应用于组织、地方、区域和国家层面。然而,产品化管理方法只是敷衍地对待规模。根据挪威港口部门的四个过渡领域(三个地方,一个国家)的经验,文章描述了地方和国家领域之间的不同。国家领域的产出远不如地方领域的产出具体。本文为这种差异提供了三个部分的、相互关联的解释:竞技场组成、竞技场排序和过程简化。本文从国家转型面临的挑战出发,提出了建立一个明确地将地方和国家转型联系起来的转型管理模式的建议。这种联系有助于在地方背景下进行抽象的讨论,同时扩大国家一级过渡舞台可能产生的行动的类型和范围,从而增强过渡管理影响多标量过渡动态的能力。
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引用次数: 0
How public policy and public salience interact with the energy transition: The case of commercial-scale battery storage adoption 公共政策和公众知名度如何与能源转型相互作用:以商业规模的电池存储采用为例
IF 6.1 2区 经济学 Q1 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES Pub Date : 2025-09-30 DOI: 10.1016/j.eist.2025.101056
Steffen Simon Bettin , Michael Thomas Dorsch
This article analyzes potential policy drivers affecting the adoption of commercial-scale battery storage (CSBS) technologies across high-income countries within the context of the energy transition from 1992-2018 with panel econometric methods. We first estimate a standard technology diffusion model and then investigate various factors that could “shift” the diffusion curves. The first main set of results suggests a positive relationship between public salience and CSBS adoption. The second set of results investigates how latent energy market reactions may influence CSBS adoption. Those results show, surprisingly, no relation or a weak negative relation between the structure of the energy mix and CSBS adoption. The third set of results investigates the effect of public policies: targeted vis-à-vis broad innovation policies. Here, the results indicate a relationship between higher RD&D expenditures for electricity storage and greater rates of CSBS adoption.
本文采用面板计量经济学方法,分析了在1992-2018年能源转型背景下,影响高收入国家采用商业规模电池储能(CSBS)技术的潜在政策驱动因素。我们首先估计了一个标准的技术扩散模型,然后研究了可能“移动”扩散曲线的各种因素。第一组主要结果表明,公众知名度与CSBS采用之间存在正相关关系。第二组结果调查了潜在能源市场反应如何影响CSBS的采用。这些结果表明,令人惊讶的是,能源结构与CSBS采用之间没有关系或微弱的负相关关系。第三组结果调查了公共政策的效果:目标vs -à-vis广泛的创新政策。在这里,结果表明电力存储的更高研发支出与更高的CSBS采用率之间存在关系。
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引用次数: 0
The changing role of the state: two governance models of China’s low-carbon energy transitions 国家角色的转变:中国低碳能源转型的两种治理模式
IF 6.1 2区 经济学 Q1 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES Pub Date : 2025-09-26 DOI: 10.1016/j.eist.2025.101057
Kejia Yang , Kaidong Feng
The paper examines the changing role of the state in sustainability transitions by exploring how governance structures co-evolve with different transition pathways. Using the case of China’s green energy transitions, we compare two distinct governance structures that have emerged in two Chinese provinces. The analysis challenges the dominant narrative that China’s transitions are exclusively state-led, demonstrating that divergent governance structures can emerge at the subnational level. Specifically, we identify two models: one that adheres to a centralised power system, referred to as the developmental state model; the other departs from the existing model by building more distributed energy systems driven by a wide range of actors, referred to as ‘distributed governance structures’. While it remains uncertain whether these two models will complement or compete each other in the future, they represent two divergent transition pathways that could shape China’s future low-carbon development.
本文通过探讨治理结构如何与不同的转型路径共同演变,考察了国家在可持续性转型中的角色变化。以中国的绿色能源转型为例,我们比较了中国两个省份出现的两种截然不同的治理结构。该分析挑战了中国转型完全由国家主导的主流说法,表明不同的治理结构可以在地方层面出现。具体来说,我们确定了两种模式:一种是坚持中央集权的电力系统,被称为发展型国家模式;另一种是通过构建由广泛的参与者驱动的更多分布式能源系统来脱离现有的模型,称为“分布式治理结构”。虽然这两种模式在未来是互补还是竞争还不确定,但它们代表了两种不同的转型路径,可能会影响中国未来的低碳发展。
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引用次数: 0
Energising the Polis? Analysing transition challenges to energy communities in Greece 振兴城邦?分析希腊能源行业面临的转型挑战
IF 6.1 2区 经济学 Q1 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES Pub Date : 2025-09-18 DOI: 10.1016/j.eist.2025.101055
Konstantinos Pantazis , Henner Busch
The transition to a more decentralised energy system, by diversifying energy supply, and expanding renewable energy, is a declared EU objective as is evident from the Clean Energy for All Package. The EU has identified Energy Communities as one of the organisational forms that can facilitate this transition. Greece is a critical case within Europe. Research indicates that Energy Communities could help address energy poverty, drive decarbonisation of the energy sector, and contribute to rural development by tapping into the great potential for renewable energy generation in the country. Despite this high potential, Energy Communities are far less widespread in Greece than in many other EU countries. We investigate the policy challenges Energy Communities encounter in Greece. We base our analysis on policy scoping and interviews. We find challenges in all five domains of policy: Directionality, Demand Articulation, Experimentation, Policy Learning & Coordination and Justice. We find that the concept of Energy Communities is oftentimes co-opted by commercial players. Further, a lack of a coherent vision for Energy Communities in Greece and failing policy coordination inhibit a policy mix that can help a just rollout of the concept, leading to a situation where Energy Communities do not deliver the anticipated community benefits.
通过能源供应多样化和扩大可再生能源,向更加分散化的能源体系过渡,是欧盟宣布的目标,这一点从《全民清洁能源一揽子计划》(Clean energy for All Package)中可见一斑。欧盟已经将能源共同体确定为能够促进这一转变的组织形式之一。希腊是欧洲内部的一个关键问题。研究表明,能源社区可以帮助解决能源贫困问题,推动能源部门的脱碳,并通过挖掘该国可再生能源发电的巨大潜力来促进农村发展。尽管潜力巨大,但与许多其他欧盟国家相比,能源社区在希腊的普及程度要低得多。我们调查了能源社区在希腊遇到的政策挑战。我们的分析基于政策范围和访谈。我们在政策的所有五个领域都发现了挑战:方向性、需求表达、实验、政策学习与协调以及正义。我们发现能源社区的概念经常被商业参与者所采用。此外,希腊能源社区缺乏一致的愿景,政策协调不力,阻碍了有助于公平推广这一概念的政策组合,导致能源社区无法实现预期的社区效益。
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引用次数: 0
Driving the change: How do personal factors and socio-economic context influence electric vehicles adoption across Europe? 推动变革:个人因素和社会经济背景如何影响欧洲电动汽车的采用?
IF 6.1 2区 经济学 Q1 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES Pub Date : 2025-09-11 DOI: 10.1016/j.eist.2025.101044
Valerio Schiaroli , Luca Fraccascia
This paper investigates the determinants influencing consumer adoption of battery electric vehicles (BEVs) across three European markets characterized by distinct socio-economic contexts and varying levels of EV market maturity. We develop a theoretical model based on Theory of Planned Behavior. A survey was conducted involving 737 consumers in Germany, Italy, and Norway. The data was analyzed using structural equation modeling, multigroup analysis, and Kruskal-Wallis’s test. The findings indicate that hedonic motivations, ascription of responsibility, subjective norms, and direct experience significantly enhance consumers' willingness to purchase BEVs. Conversely, range anxiety and environmental concerns negatively affect purchase intentions. Significant differences in consumer perceptions of BEVs and the effect of behavioral determinants across the three countries are highlighted. This research contributes to the literature on sustainable mobility adoption and proposes several avenues for future investigation. The findings can inform the development of marketing strategies and policy interventions to foster EV adoption in Europe.
本文研究了影响消费者采用纯电动汽车(bev)的因素,这些因素在三个欧洲市场具有不同的社会经济背景和不同的电动汽车市场成熟度。我们建立了一个基于计划行为理论的理论模型。对德国、意大利和挪威的737名消费者进行了调查。采用结构方程模型、多组分析和Kruskal-Wallis检验对数据进行分析。研究发现,享乐动机、责任归属、主观规范和直接体验显著增强了消费者购买纯电动汽车的意愿。相反,里程焦虑和环境担忧对购买意愿产生负向影响。报告强调了三个国家消费者对纯电动汽车认知的显著差异以及行为决定因素的影响。本研究对可持续交通采用的文献做出了贡献,并提出了未来研究的几个途径。研究结果可以为营销策略的制定和政策干预提供信息,以促进欧洲电动汽车的采用。
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引用次数: 0
Public clients creating lead markets for innovation towards sustainability transitions: Market-shaping in the Swedish construction sector 公共客户为可持续转型的创新创造领先市场:瑞典建筑行业的市场塑造
IF 6.1 2区 经济学 Q1 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES Pub Date : 2025-09-06 DOI: 10.1016/j.eist.2025.101046
Per Erik Eriksson, Johan Larsson, Erika Hedgren, Cecilia Christopher
Public demand is emphasized as a major driving force for environmental innovation addressing societal transitions. In 2007, the European Commission adopted the ‘lead market initiative’ to tackle grand societal challenges across several industrial sectors, of which construction has the greatest sustainability impact. To study how public clients can create lead markets for environmental innovation in construction, we build on recent advancements emphasizing market-shaping strategies as critical for societal transitions. The paper investigates how public construction clients proactively use and combine market-shaping strategies to create lead markets for environmental innovations. Our empirical findings, from a multiple-case study of three public construction clients in Sweden, illustrate how the clients use and combine a broad range of market-shaping strategies related to seven groups of lead market advantages. We contribute to theory by cross-fertilizing market-shaping and lead market literatures and showing how market-shaping strategies interplay in achieving combinatory effects, which incentivize creation of lead markets for environmental innovation towards sustainability transitions.
公众需求被强调为解决社会转型的环境创新的主要驱动力。2007年,欧盟委员会通过了“主导市场倡议”,以应对几个工业部门的重大社会挑战,其中建筑业对可持续发展的影响最大。为了研究公共客户如何为建筑环境创新创造领先市场,我们以最近的进展为基础,强调市场塑造战略对社会转型至关重要。本文研究了公共建筑客户如何主动使用并结合市场塑造策略来创造环境创新的领先市场。通过对瑞典三家公共建筑客户的多案例研究,我们的实证发现说明了客户如何使用和结合与七组领先市场优势相关的广泛的市场塑造策略。我们对市场塑造和主导市场文献进行了交叉分析,并展示了市场塑造策略如何在实现组合效应中相互作用,从而激励主导市场的创建,以实现可持续转型的环境创新。
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引用次数: 0
Configurations of leverage points for the deliberate acceleration of ideal-type transition pathways in the EU food system 配置杠杆点,有意加速欧盟食品系统的理想型转型途径
IF 6.1 2区 经济学 Q1 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES Pub Date : 2025-09-05 DOI: 10.1016/j.eist.2025.101041
Tom Kiel , Jeroen J.L. Candel , Erik Mathijs , Robbert Biesbroek
The complexity of the EU food system poses a significant challenge to the transition towards sustainable and healthy food consumption, as interdependent factors reproduce stable social structures that resist change. The concept of leverage points (LPs) helps identify strategic intervention points to stimulate system change. However, focusing on individual LPs often entails trade-offs between transformative feasibility and depth. Moreover, existing LP approaches tend to overlook the long-term co-evolution of interrelated social structures. To address this gap, we connect LP categories to mechanisms that accelerate progress along four transition pathways that predict potential future dynamics. We apply this synthesized framework to expert focus group data, demonstrating how specific LP configurations can deliberately accelerate system transitions. Taking innovations as entry points, we identify LP configurations that support the upscaling and spreading of these innovations throughout the system. Our findings suggest that blending deep and shallow LPs may help to overcome system inertia. Nonetheless, multiple, co-existing transition pathways across diverse subsystems may be required to fully confront the scale and urgency of sustainability and health challenges in the EU food system.
欧盟食品系统的复杂性对向可持续和健康食品消费的过渡提出了重大挑战,因为相互依存的因素再现了抵制变化的稳定社会结构。杠杆点(lp)的概念有助于确定刺激系统变革的战略干预点。然而,专注于个别有限合伙人往往需要在变革的可行性和深度之间进行权衡。此外,现有的LP方法往往忽略了相互关联的社会结构的长期共同进化。为了解决这一差距,我们将LP类别与加速进展的机制联系起来,这些机制沿着四条过渡途径预测潜在的未来动态。我们将这一综合框架应用于专家焦点小组数据,展示了特定LP配置如何有意加速系统转换。以创新为切入点,我们确定了支持这些创新在整个系统中升级和传播的LP配置。我们的研究结果表明,混合深层和浅层LPs可能有助于克服系统惯性。尽管如此,为了充分应对欧盟食品系统中可持续性和健康挑战的规模和紧迫性,可能需要跨不同子系统的多种共存的过渡途径。
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引用次数: 0
Chasing the sun: How does policy-induced local demand promote the spatio-temporal evolution of China’s solar photovoltaic industry 追逐太阳:政策引导的地方需求如何促进中国太阳能光伏产业的时空演变
IF 6.1 2区 经济学 Q1 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES Pub Date : 2025-09-05 DOI: 10.1016/j.eist.2025.101045
Enyi Mu , Shengjun Zhu , Hantian Sheng , Canfei He
In evolutionary economic geography, local demand drives industrial evolution by unlocking windows of opportunity for latecomer regional transitions. Focusing on China’s solar photovoltaic (PV) industry’s recovery from post-2012 anti-dumping/countervailing duty (AD/CVD) shocks, this study examines how private (enterprise) and public (government) demand reshape Chinese PV firm dynamic patterns. Using quadrant analysis, bivariate visualization and Poisson regression models, this study finds that regions with strong energy-intensive manufacturing bases and PV-industry chain connectivity attract significantly more firms, demonstrating the critical role of private demand. While enterprise-demand dominated pre-crisis dynamics, government procurement emerges as a key driver post-crisis, particularly reinforcing local self-demand under China’s fiscal decentralization framework. This research contributes to demand-side evolutionary theory by uncovering how institutional mechanisms balance market expansion with local protectionism. These findings offer actionable insights for renewable energy policies, highlighting the need to align public procurement with private demand to foster sustainable industrial transitions.
在演化经济地理学中,本地需求通过打开后发区域转型的机会窗口来推动产业演化。本研究着眼于2012年后中国太阳能光伏产业从反倾销/反补贴(AD/CVD)冲击中复苏的过程,探讨了私营(企业)和公共(政府)需求如何重塑中国光伏企业的动态模式。利用象限分析、二元可视化和泊松回归模型,研究发现能源密集型制造业基础强、光伏产业链连通性强的地区对企业的吸引力显著增加,证明了私人需求的关键作用。虽然企业需求主导了危机前的动态,但政府采购成为危机后的关键驱动因素,特别是在中国财政分权框架下加强了地方自我需求。该研究通过揭示制度机制如何平衡市场扩张与地方保护主义,为需求侧进化理论做出了贡献。这些研究结果为可再生能源政策提供了可行的见解,强调了将公共采购与私人需求相结合以促进可持续产业转型的必要性。
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引用次数: 0
Building local sustainability: Identifying critical transformative capacities 建立地方可持续性:确定关键的变革能力
IF 6.1 2区 经济学 Q1 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES Pub Date : 2025-09-03 DOI: 10.1016/j.eist.2025.101043
Hege Hofstad , Trond Vedeld , Håvard Haarstad
This article advances the conceptual understanding of transformative capacity among local sustainability actors. It constructs and empirically explores a conceptual framework that allows for a more nuanced, contextual understanding of how public, private and civic actors at the urban scale co-creatively build capacity for sustainability transformation. We start by combining emergent sections of sustainability transitions and collaborative governance literatures into a theoretical framework a) defining unique political-institutional transformation contexts and b) characterizing their situated capacity potential. The theoretical framework is further explored through comparison of 12 local government-led, market-led and civil society-led transformative initiatives at the local scale. This theoretical-empirical exploration enables us to tease out two sets of critical capacities. First, four contextual capacities; ideational, institutional, adaptive and experimental capacity. Second, two foundational capacities; holistic leadership and co-creation. They are summarized in a ‘Butterfly model of transformative capacity for sustainability’ offering a platform upon which to build new and more nuanced understanding of needed transformative capacities. In conclusion, we argue that the increasingly turbulent local, national and international context calls for even stronger leadership and co-creation capacities to dynamically adapt, innovate and transform to uphold and further develop key sustainability goals and purposes.
本文提出了对地方可持续发展行动者的变革能力的概念理解。它构建并实证地探索了一个概念框架,该框架允许对城市规模的公共、私人和公民行为体如何共同创造性地建设可持续性转型的能力有更细致入微的背景理解。我们首先将可持续性转型的新兴部分和协作治理文献结合到一个理论框架中:a)定义独特的政治-制度转型背景;b)描述其所处的能力潜力。通过对12个地方政府主导、市场主导和公民社会主导的地方尺度变革举措的比较,进一步探讨了理论框架。这种理论-实证探索使我们能够梳理出两套关键能力。第一,四种语境能力;理念、体制、适应和实验能力。二是两大基础能力;全面领导和共同创造。它们被总结为“可持续转型能力的蝴蝶模型”,提供了一个平台,在这个平台上,人们可以对所需的转型能力建立新的、更细致的理解。总之,我们认为,日益动荡的地方、国家和国际环境需要更强大的领导和共同创造能力,以动态适应、创新和转型,以维护和进一步发展关键的可持续发展目标和宗旨。
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引用次数: 0
Ontological (in)security and sustainability transitions: A theoretical perspective and future research prospects 安全与可持续性的本体论转换:理论视角与未来研究展望
IF 6.1 2区 经济学 Q1 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES Pub Date : 2025-09-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.eist.2025.101042
Timo von Wirth
This perspective presents the concept of ontological (in)security as an analytical lens to better understand implications of destabilization in sustainability transitions. As an essential human condition, ontological security functions as a firewall against destabilizing dynamics. It is a distinct type of security that connects individual and collective units of analysis and has not been addressed in the context of sustainability transitions. Building upon Anthony Giddens’ definition of ontological security as a sense of stability achieved through the establishment of collective routines and self-narratives, this work aims to unveil novel perspectives for transition theory by explaining underlying mechanisms of actors’ dispositions towards fundamental change and uncertainty in transitions. The previously ignored interactions between transitions and ontological security provide explanations for agents’ emotive responses and phenomena described as transition repercussions. This perspective offers (i) a foundational set of definitions of ontological security and insecurity based on a systematic literature review, (ii) a conceptual heuristic illustrating the relational interactions between transitions and ontological (in)security, and (iii) future directions for transition research to further harness the explanatory potential of ontological (in)security.
这种观点提出了本体论(内)安全的概念,作为一个分析镜头,以更好地理解可持续性转型中不稳定的影响。作为一种基本的人类条件,本体论安全起着抵御不稳定动态的防火墙的作用。它是一种独特的安全类型,连接了个人和集体的分析单元,在可持续性过渡的背景下尚未得到解决。在安东尼·吉登斯(Anthony Giddens)将本体论安全定义为通过建立集体惯例和自我叙述实现的稳定感的基础上,本研究旨在通过解释行为者对基本变化的倾向和过渡中的不确定性的潜在机制,揭示过渡理论的新视角。先前被忽视的过渡与本体安全之间的相互作用为主体的情绪反应和被描述为过渡反响的现象提供了解释。这一观点提供了(i)基于系统文献综述的本体论安全和不安全的基本定义,(ii)说明过渡与本体论安全之间关系相互作用的概念启发式,以及(iii)过渡研究的未来方向,以进一步利用本体论安全的解释潜力。
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引用次数: 0
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Environmental Innovation and Societal Transitions
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