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Space-Time adaptive network for origin-destination passenger demand prediction 用于预测始发站乘客需求的时空自适应网络
IF 7.6 1区 工程技术 Q1 TRANSPORTATION SCIENCE & TECHNOLOGY Pub Date : 2024-09-05 DOI: 10.1016/j.trc.2024.104842

Short-term origin–destination passenger demand prediction involves modeling spatial and temporal characteristics of urban traffic, such as periodicity in demand rate and directionality in flow path. Meanwhile, spatial and temporal heterogeneities often lead to constantly evolving dynamics in in passenger demand, e.g., passengers may exhibit different mobility patterns at different periods or in different regions. Many models fail to capture these heterogeneities and adjust parameters adaptively, leading to suboptimal prediction results. In this paper, we propose a novel space–time adaptive network (STAN) to address these issues. Spatially, an edge-based backbone with a global receptive field is devised. Edge embeddings directly represent pair-wise relations between regions, preserving more fine-grained information and directional interactions. The backbone adaptively updates edge embeddings by fusing static and dynamic information from origin and destination regions, enabling the model to learn intricate spatial relations from simple input data (i.e., basic relation graphs and historical OD matrices). Temporally, a prompter mechanism is proposed to inject temporal information into model parameters, making them time-dependent. The parameter values exhibit periodicity and continuity for all periods, meanwhile, they can be adjusted for each specific period. It makes the model time-aware and enables it to identify similar periods and differentiate dissimilar ones during training. Extensive experiments are conducted on two real-world datasets (i.e., ten-month taxi trips in New York and one-month ride-hailing trips in Ningbo), and the results demonstrate that our model outperforms baseline models and automatically learns certain spatial and temporal semantics. With its simple yet highly scalable structure, our model proves beneficial for implementations and can assist related tasks such as driver-passenger matching and surge pricing.

短期出发地-目的地乘客需求预测涉及城市交通的时空特征建模,如需求率的周期性和流动路径的方向性。同时,时空异质性往往会导致乘客需求的动态不断变化,例如,乘客在不同时期或不同地区可能会表现出不同的流动模式。许多模型无法捕捉这些异质性并自适应地调整参数,导致预测结果不理想。在本文中,我们提出了一种新型时空自适应网络(STAN)来解决这些问题。在空间上,我们设计了一个具有全局感受野的基于边缘的骨干网络。边缘嵌入直接表示区域之间的配对关系,保留了更精细的信息和方向性交互。骨干网通过融合来源地和目的地区域的静态和动态信息,自适应地更新边缘嵌入,使模型能够从简单的输入数据(即基本关系图和历史 OD 矩阵)中学习复杂的空间关系。在时间方面,提出了一种提示机制,将时间信息注入模型参数,使其与时间相关。参数值在所有时期都表现出周期性和连续性,同时可以针对每个特定时期进行调整。这使得模型具有时间感知能力,并能在训练过程中识别相似的时段和区分不同的时段。我们在两个真实世界的数据集(即纽约为期十个月的出租车行程和宁波为期一个月的打车行程)上进行了广泛的实验,结果表明我们的模型优于基线模型,并能自动学习某些空间和时间语义。我们的模型结构简单,但具有很强的可扩展性,因此有利于实施,并能帮助完成司机与乘客匹配和激增定价等相关任务。
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引用次数: 0
Roadside LiDAR placement for cooperative traffic detection by a novel chance constrained stochastic simulation optimization approach 通过一种新颖的机会约束随机模拟优化方法为合作交通探测布置路边激光雷达
IF 7.6 1区 工程技术 Q1 TRANSPORTATION SCIENCE & TECHNOLOGY Pub Date : 2024-09-04 DOI: 10.1016/j.trc.2024.104838

Light Detection and Ranging (LiDAR) plays a pivotal role in localization, thereby meeting the imperative to accurately discern vehicle positions and road states for enhanced services in Intelligent Transportation Systems (ITS). As the cooperative perception among multiple LiDARs is necessitated by localization applications spanning extensive road networks, the strategic placement of LiDARs significantly impacts localization outcomes. This research proposes a chance constrained stochastic simulation-based optimization (SO) model for Roadside LiDAR (RSL) placement to maximize the expected value of mean Average Precision (mAP) subject to a budgeted number of RSLs and a chance constraint of ensuring a specific recall value under traffic uncertainties. Importantly, the assessment of a specific RSL placement plan employs a data-driven deep learning approach based on a high-fidelity co-simulator, which is inherently characterized by black-box nature, high computational costs and stochasticity. To address these challenges, a novel Gaussian Process Regression-based Approximate Knowledge Gradient (GPR-AKG) sampling algorithm is designed. In numerical experiments on a bi-directional eight-lane highway, the RSL placement plan optimized by GPR-AKG attains an impressive mAP of 0.829 while ensuring compliance with the chance constraint, and outperforms empirically designed alternatives. The cooperative vehicle detection and tracking under the optimized plan can effectively address false alarms and missed detections caused by heavy vehicle occlusions, and generate highly complete and smooth vehicle trajectories. Meanwhile, the analyses of detection coverage and average effective work duration validate the reasonability of prioritizing the center-mounted RSLs in the optimized plan. The balance analysis of mAP and the number of deployed RSLs confirms the scientific validity of deploying 20 RSLs in the optimized plan. In conclusion, the GPR-AKG algorithm exhibits promise in resolving chance constrained stochastic SO problems marked by black-box evaluations, high computational costs, high dimensions, stochasticity, and diverse decision variable types, offering potential applicability across various engineering domains.

光探测与测距(LiDAR)在定位中发挥着举足轻重的作用,从而满足了准确辨别车辆位置和道路状态以增强智能交通系统(ITS)服务的迫切需要。由于跨越广阔道路网络的定位应用需要多个激光雷达之间的协同感知,因此激光雷达的战略布局对定位结果有重大影响。本研究针对路边激光雷达(RSL)的布置提出了一种基于随机模拟的机会约束优化(SO)模型,在预算的 RSL 数量和确保交通不确定性下特定召回值的机会约束条件下,最大化平均精度(mAP)的预期值。重要的是,对特定 RSL 布置计划的评估采用了基于高保真协同模拟器的数据驱动深度学习方法,该方法本身具有黑箱性、高计算成本和随机性等特点。为了应对这些挑战,我们设计了一种新颖的基于高斯过程回归的近似知识梯度(GPR-AKG)采样算法。在一条双向八车道高速公路上进行的数值实验中,GPR-AKG 优化的 RSL 布置方案达到了令人印象深刻的 0.829 mAP,同时确保符合偶然性约束,并优于根据经验设计的替代方案。优化方案下的协同车辆检测和跟踪能有效解决因车辆严重遮挡造成的误报和漏检问题,并生成高度完整和平滑的车辆轨迹。同时,检测覆盖率和平均有效工作时间的分析验证了优化方案中优先考虑中置 RSL 的合理性。对 mAP 和部署 RSL 数量的平衡分析证实了在优化方案中部署 20 个 RSL 的科学性。总之,GPR-AKG 算法在解决具有黑箱评估、高计算成本、高维度、随机性和多种决策变量类型等特点的偶然受限随机 SO 问题方面展现出了良好的前景,为各种工程领域提供了潜在的适用性。
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引用次数: 0
Modeling lane changes using parallel learning 利用并行学习建立变道模型
IF 7.6 1区 工程技术 Q1 TRANSPORTATION SCIENCE & TECHNOLOGY Pub Date : 2024-09-04 DOI: 10.1016/j.trc.2024.104841

This paper introduces an innovative approach to model the lane-change (LC) process of vehicles by employing parallel learning, seamlessly integrating conventional physical or behavioral models with data-driven counterparts. The LC process is divided into two distinct steps: the LC decision and the LC implementation, each independently modeled. For the LC decision model, a utility-based model is embedded into a neural network. Simultaneously, the LC implementation model incorporates a conventional car-following model, replicating the behavior of the new follower of the lane-changer, within the training process of a long-short-term memory model. Empirical trajectory data collected from unmanned aerial vehicles, which provides detailed information on the vehicles’ lane-changing process, serves as the basis for training and testing the proposed models. Additionally, data from a different site is employed to assess model transferability. Results demonstrate that the proposed models adeptly predict both LC decisions and implementations, outperforming baseline physical and behavioral models, as well as pure data-driven models, in terms of prediction accuracy and transferability. These findings highlight the significant potential of these models in improving the precision of microscopic traffic simulators.

本文介绍了一种创新方法,通过采用并行学习,将传统的物理或行为模型与数据驱动的对应模型无缝集成,对车辆的变道(LC)过程进行建模。变道过程分为两个不同的步骤:变道决策和变道执行,每个步骤都独立建模。在低功耗决策模型中,一个基于效用的模型被嵌入到神经网络中。同时,LC 实施模型在长短期记忆模型的训练过程中加入了传统的汽车跟随模型,复制了新的换道跟随者的行为。从无人驾驶飞行器收集的经验轨迹数据提供了有关车辆变道过程的详细信息,可作为训练和测试拟议模型的基础。此外,还采用了来自不同地点的数据来评估模型的可移植性。结果表明,所提出的模型能够很好地预测变道决策和实施情况,在预测准确性和可移植性方面优于基线物理和行为模型以及纯数据驱动模型。这些发现凸显了这些模型在提高微观交通模拟器精度方面的巨大潜力。
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引用次数: 0
A network equilibrium model for integrated shared mobility services with ride-pooling 具有拼车功能的综合共享交通服务网络均衡模型
IF 7.6 1区 工程技术 Q1 TRANSPORTATION SCIENCE & TECHNOLOGY Pub Date : 2024-09-04 DOI: 10.1016/j.trc.2024.104837

With the growing popularity of transportation network companies (TNC), there remains a gap in network equilibrium models that adequately address the emergence of ride-pooling service that pools two orders into one trip. This challenge arises from the need to enumerate all possible combinations of origin–destination (OD) pooling and sequencing. This paper proposes a network equilibrium framework that integrates ride-hailing platforms’ decision on vehicle dispatching and driver–passenger matching on congested road networks. To facilitate the representation of vehicle and passenger OD flows and ride-pooling options, a layered OD graph is created encompassing ride-sourcing and ride-pooling services over OD nodes. To capture road congestion, a connection between the layered OD graph and road networks is established where the vehicle flows on the OD graph form source demands on road networks. Numerical examples are performed on a toy example and the Sioux Fall network to demonstrate our model and algorithm. The proposed equilibrium framework can efficiently assist policymakers and urban planners to evaluate the impact of TNCs on traffic congestion.

随着运输网络公司(TNC)的日益普及,在网络均衡模型方面仍存在空白,无法充分解决将两个订单合并为一个行程的拼车服务的出现。这一挑战源于需要列举所有可能的出发地-目的地(OD)拼车和排序组合。本文提出了一个网络均衡框架,将打车平台在拥堵道路网络上的车辆调度决策和司机乘客匹配决策整合在一起。为便于表示车辆和乘客的 OD 流量以及合乘选择,本文创建了一个分层 OD 图,其中包括 OD 节点上的合乘服务和合乘服务。为了捕捉道路拥堵情况,在分层 OD 图和道路网络之间建立了连接,OD 图上的车辆流构成了道路网络的源需求。我们以一个玩具示例和苏克斯瀑布网络为例,演示了我们的模型和算法。所提出的平衡框架可以有效地帮助政策制定者和城市规划者评估跨国公司对交通拥堵的影响。
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引用次数: 0
Quantifying the vibrancy of streets: Large-scale pedestrian density estimation with dashcam data 量化街道的活力:利用行车记录仪数据估算大规模行人密度
IF 7.6 1区 工程技术 Q1 TRANSPORTATION SCIENCE & TECHNOLOGY Pub Date : 2024-09-03 DOI: 10.1016/j.trc.2024.104840

This paper proposes a new methodology for measuring street-level pedestrian density that combines the strengths of image-based observations with the scalability of drive-by sensing. Despite its importance, existing methods for measuring pedestrian activity have several limitations, including high costs, limited coverage, and privacy concerns. To overcome these issues, our approach exploits operation logs generated by dashboard cameras of moving vehicles to estimate pedestrian density for each street, which is validated with data from approximately 3,000 taxis operating in central Tokyo. We produce vibrancy maps for 292 station areas in central Tokyo by leveraging machine learning to estimate pedestrian density in streets where measurement data is scarce. We also evaluate the reliability and coverage of the measurement and illustrate how the measured pedestrian density data can be utilized for assessing the validity of walkability measures. The paper concludes that this approach could provide valuable data to inform urban planning and city operations.

本文提出了一种测量街道行人密度的新方法,该方法结合了基于图像观测的优势和驾车感应的可扩展性。尽管行人活动非常重要,但现有的行人活动测量方法存在一些局限性,包括成本高、覆盖范围有限和隐私问题。为了克服这些问题,我们的方法利用行驶车辆仪表盘摄像头生成的运行日志来估算每条街道的行人密度,并通过东京市中心约 3000 辆出租车的数据进行验证。通过利用机器学习估算测量数据稀缺的街道的行人密度,我们绘制了东京市中心 292 个车站区域的活力地图。我们还评估了测量的可靠性和覆盖范围,并说明了如何利用测量的行人密度数据来评估步行能力测量的有效性。本文的结论是,这种方法可以为城市规划和城市运营提供有价值的数据。
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引用次数: 0
Optimal decentralized signal control for platooning in connected vehicle networks 互联车辆网络排车的最优分散信号控制
IF 7.6 1区 工程技术 Q1 TRANSPORTATION SCIENCE & TECHNOLOGY Pub Date : 2024-09-02 DOI: 10.1016/j.trc.2024.104832

In the last decade, pressure-based schemes such as Back Pressure and Max Weight algorithms have been widely researched and applied for traffic signal control due to their simplicity and proven throughput maximization. In such algorithms, the next chosen signal phase at an intersection in a road network is the one with the highest measured weight, representing the pressure of traffic movements at the intersection, determined based on a single characteristic of the traffic flow or vehicles’ state at that intersection. This paper develops a new optimal Max Weight control mechanism to enhance the network throughput and reduce vehicle delays in a network using a concept of platooning enabled by Connected Vehicles (CVs). To this end, we propose a new proven optimal Max Weight control scheme where the weight consists of several features including the platoon delay, as well as the speed and position of vehicles within the platoon. To the best of our knowledge, this work is the first to propose a platoon pressure-based concept considering multiple configurable attributes in formulating the pressure. Furthermore, we provide a rigorous stability proof that ensures the throughput optimality of the proposed control scheme. In addition, we also develop a machine learning procedure in this paper to optimize the weighting parameter of each attribute contributing to the total pressure enabling its seamless deployment in practice. A number of simulation results demonstrate the feasibility of the learning procedure and show that our Max Weight platoon pressure-based scheme outperforms the state-of-the-art and well-known existing pressure-based algorithms.

在过去十年中,基于压力的方案,如背压算法和最大权重算法,因其简单易行且能实现吞吐量最大化而被广泛研究和应用于交通信号控制。在这些算法中,道路网络中交叉口的下一个信号相位是根据该交叉口交通流或车辆状态的单一特征确定的、代表该交叉口交通流压力的最高测量权重。本文开发了一种新的最优最大权重控制机制,利用车联网(CV)带来的排队概念,提高网络吞吐量并减少网络中的车辆延误。为此,我们提出了一种新的经过验证的最优最大权重控制方案,该方案的权重由多个特征组成,包括排线延迟以及排线内车辆的速度和位置。据我们所知,这是首次提出基于排压力的概念,在制定压力时考虑了多种可配置属性。此外,我们还提供了严格的稳定性证明,以确保所提控制方案的吞吐量最优。此外,我们还在本文中开发了一种机器学习程序,用于优化对总压力有贡献的各属性的权重参数,使其能够在实践中无缝部署。大量仿真结果证明了学习程序的可行性,并表明我们基于最大权重排压力的方案优于最先进和著名的现有基于压力的算法。
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引用次数: 0
Decentralized human-like control strategy of mixed-flow multi-vehicle interactions at uncontrolled intersections: A game-theoretic approach 非受控交叉路口多车混流互动的分散式类人控制策略:博弈论方法
IF 7.6 1区 工程技术 Q1 TRANSPORTATION SCIENCE & TECHNOLOGY Pub Date : 2024-09-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.trc.2024.104835

A critical challenge that future autonomous driving systems face is improving the ability to cope with complex real-world interaction scenarios such as uncontrolled intersections. In the near future, a mixed traffic flow of human-driven vehicles (HDVs) and connected autonomous vehicles (CAVs) will coexist in transport networks, which motivates us to explore the interaction between HDVs and CAVs to improve traffic efficiency and safety. To help CAVs better interact with HDVs and adapt to the mixed-flow environment, we propose a human-like decentralized control strategy for CAVs. First, a game-theoretic framework is proposed to model multi-vehicle interactions (including HDV-CAV, CAV-CAV interactions) in the mixed-flow environment. The existence of solutions is proven to ensure the feasibility of the proposed game-theoretic model. Next, a driving style recognition algorithm is embedded into the proposed model to help CAVs understand and predict human drivers’ actions. The proposed model is calibrated via a real-world dataset and used to simulate traffic in several testing scenarios. Real-world vehicle trajectories are used to verify the accuracy of generated vehicle trajectories in simulations. Experimental results indicate that 1) CAVs can take more reasonable actions to determine whether to yield while ensuring safety when competing for the right of way with HDVs using the proposed method compared with conservative driving strategies, 2) a higher penetration rate of CAVs can significantly enhance travel efficiency and lower collision risk at uncontrolled intersections.

未来自动驾驶系统面临的一个关键挑战是提高应对复杂的真实世界交互场景(如失控交叉路口)的能力。在不久的将来,由人类驾驶的车辆(HDV)和联网自动驾驶车辆(CAV)组成的混合交通流将在交通网络中共存,这促使我们探索 HDV 和 CAV 之间的交互,以提高交通效率和安全性。为了帮助 CAV 更好地与 HDV 互动并适应混流环境,我们为 CAV 提出了一种类似人类的分散控制策略。首先,我们提出了一个博弈论框架来模拟混流环境中的多车互动(包括 HDV-CAV、CAV-CAV 互动)。证明了解决方案的存在,从而确保了所提出的博弈论模型的可行性。接下来,在所提出的模型中嵌入了驾驶风格识别算法,以帮助 CAV 理解和预测人类驾驶员的行为。通过真实世界的数据集对所提出的模型进行校准,并在多个测试场景中模拟交通。真实世界的车辆轨迹被用来验证模拟生成的车辆轨迹的准确性。实验结果表明:1)与保守的驾驶策略相比,CAV 在与 HDV 争夺路权时,使用所提出的方法可以采取更合理的行动来决定是否让路,同时确保安全;2)CAV 的普及率越高,就越能显著提高出行效率,降低在不受控制的交叉路口发生碰撞的风险。
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引用次数: 0
On the impact of co-optimizing station locations, trip assignment, and charging schedules for electric buses 共同优化站点位置、行程分配和电动公交车充电时间表的影响
IF 7.6 1区 工程技术 Q1 TRANSPORTATION SCIENCE & TECHNOLOGY Pub Date : 2024-08-30 DOI: 10.1016/j.trc.2024.104839

As many public transportation systems around the world transition to electric buses, the planning and operation of fleets can be improved via tailored decision-support tools. In this work, we study the impact of jointly locating charging facilities, assigning electric buses to trips, and determining when and where to charge the buses. We propose a mixed integer linear program that co-optimizes planning and operational decisions jointly and an iterated local search heuristic to solve large-scale instances. Herein, we use a concurrent scheduler algorithm to generate an initial feasible solution, which serves as a starting point for our iterated local search algorithm. In the sequential case, we first optimize trip assignments and charging locations. Charging schedules are then determined after fixing the optimal decisions from the first level. The joint model, on the other hand, integrates charge scheduling within the local search procedure. The solution quality of the joint and sequential iterated local search models are compared for multiple real-world bus transit networks. Our results demonstrate that joint models can help further improve operating costs by 14.1% and lower total costs by about 4.1% on average compared with sequential models. In addition, energy consumption costs and contracted power capacity costs have been reduced significantly due to our integrated planning approach.

随着全球许多公共交通系统向电动公交车过渡,通过量身定制的决策支持工具可以改善车队的规划和运营。在这项工作中,我们研究了共同确定充电设施位置、将电动公交车分配到各个班次以及确定何时何地为公交车充电的影响。我们提出了一种混合整数线性程序,可共同优化规划和运营决策,并提出了一种迭代局部搜索启发式来解决大规模实例。在此,我们使用并发调度算法生成一个初始可行解,作为我们迭代局部搜索算法的起点。在顺序情况下,我们首先优化行程分配和充电位置。然后,在确定第一层的最优决策后,再确定充电时间表。另一方面,联合模型将充电调度整合到局部搜索程序中。我们比较了联合模型和顺序迭代局部搜索模型在多个实际公交网络中的求解质量。结果表明,与顺序模型相比,联合模型有助于进一步提高运营成本 14.1%,总成本平均降低约 4.1%。此外,由于采用了综合规划方法,能耗成本和合同电力容量成本也大幅降低。
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引用次数: 0
Modelling reservation strategies for managing peak-hour stranding on an oversaturated metro line 超饱和地铁线路高峰时段滞留管理的预约策略建模
IF 7.6 1区 工程技术 Q1 TRANSPORTATION SCIENCE & TECHNOLOGY Pub Date : 2024-08-28 DOI: 10.1016/j.trc.2024.104819

Metro is the main travel model for urban commuters in many metropolises around the world. During peak hours, large numbers of passengers pour into metro stations for rail services, but some are unable to board the trains in time and left stranded on the platform or even queuing outside the stations. The trip reservation (TR) strategy, where passengers preplan their trips and reserve their entry time to the stations. This paper develops an entry reservation strategy (ERS) to optimize the commuter flow during peak hours, and construct a multi-objective passenger flow joint optimization model based on many-to-many passenger demand to minimize the total trip cost of passengers at reservation station and the number of stranded passengers at intermediate stations. The passenger flow optimization problem is formulated as a mixed-integer non-linear programming (MINLP) model. We design an iterative sequential search algorithm combined with the GUROBI solver to obtain the parameters of the optimal ERS and the passenger flow distribution in the metro system after disaggregated reformulation of the complex constraints of the model. We also demonstrate the accuracy and effectiveness of the proposed method with two experiments – an illustrative example and a large-scale case study of Beijing Metro. The results of Beijing Metro experiment show that the joint optimization model with entry reservation strategy (JO-ERS) reduces the number of stranded passengers by 88.46 % compared with the original passenger flow from the AFC.

在世界许多大都市,地铁是城市通勤者的主要出行方式。在高峰时段,大量乘客涌入地铁站乘车,但有些乘客无法及时上车,滞留在站台上,甚至在站外排队等候。乘客通过行程预约(TR)策略,预先规划行程,预约进站时间。本文开发了一种进站预约策略(ERS)来优化高峰时段的通勤客流,并构建了一个基于多对多客流需求的多目标客流联合优化模型,以最小化乘客在预约站的总出行成本和在中间站的滞留乘客数量。客流优化问题被表述为一个混合整数非线性编程(MINLP)模型。我们设计了一种结合 GUROBI 求解器的迭代顺序搜索算法,在对模型的复杂约束条件进行分解重构后,可获得最优 ERS 的参数和地铁系统的客流分布。我们还通过两个实验--示例和北京地铁的大规模案例研究--证明了所提方法的准确性和有效性。北京地铁的实验结果表明,采用入口预约策略的联合优化模型(JO-ERS)与来自 AFC 的原始客流相比,滞留乘客数量减少了 88.46%。
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引用次数: 0
Distributional equity impacts of automated vehicles: A disaggregated approach 自动驾驶汽车对分配公平的影响:分类方法
IF 7.6 1区 工程技术 Q1 TRANSPORTATION SCIENCE & TECHNOLOGY Pub Date : 2024-08-28 DOI: 10.1016/j.trc.2024.104828

Better understanding of the equity impacts of automated vehicles (AV) is needed to design equitable deployment plans for AV technology. The goal of this study was to develop and demonstrate a modeling framework to support distributional equity assessments of AV systems prior to their wide adoption. This modeling framework takes a disaggregated approach that integrates agent-based simulation, diverse transportation outcomes, and equity analyses. The framework uses individual-level data to capture detailed disparities in transportation outcomes, applies a state-of-the-art multi-agent traffic simulation model (MATSim) to simulate privately-owned and shared AVs simultaneously, and considers distributional equity from multiple perspectives. To test and demonstrate the framework, a case study was conducted for the Tampa Bay region. Five scenarios were considered with different AV market shares and integration strategies based on scenario planning by the U.S. Federal Highway Administration. Results reveal that high AV penetration rates were required for substantial reductions in inequality. The introduction of AVs led to a more even distribution of accessibility, but slightly more uneven distribution of traditional mobility and affordability. Impacts of disparities in outcomes for disadvantaged groups were mixed. These results suggest that AVs will likely perpetuate existing inequity in the transportation system as long as its fundamental structure remains the same as today. Results highlight the importance of planning and design strategies that directly address the distributional impacts to ensure that AV technology is deployed equitably.

需要更好地了解自动驾驶汽车(AV)对公平的影响,以便为自动驾驶汽车技术设计公平的部署计划。本研究的目标是开发并演示一个建模框架,以支持在广泛采用自动驾驶汽车系统之前对其进行分配公平性评估。该建模框架采用了一种分类方法,将基于代理的模拟、不同的交通结果和公平分析融为一体。该框架使用个人层面的数据来捕捉交通结果中的详细差异,应用最先进的多代理交通模拟模型(MATSim)来同时模拟私人拥有和共享的自动驾驶汽车,并从多个角度考虑分配公平问题。为了测试和展示该框架,对坦帕湾地区进行了案例研究。根据美国联邦公路管理局的情景规划,考虑了五种不同的自动驾驶汽车市场份额和整合策略。研究结果表明,要大幅减少不平等现象,需要较高的自动驾驶汽车渗透率。引入自动驾驶汽车后,无障碍交通的分布更加均匀,但传统交通和可负担性的分布略显不均。对弱势群体结果差异的影响不一。这些结果表明,只要交通系统的基本结构与今天相同,那么自动驾驶汽车很可能会延续交通系统中现有的不公平现象。这些结果凸显了规划和设计策略的重要性,这些策略可以直接解决分配方面的影响,以确保公平地部署自动驾驶汽车技术。
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引用次数: 0
期刊
Transportation Research Part C-Emerging Technologies
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