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Real-time identification of cooperative perception necessity in road traffic scenarios 道路交通场景中协同感知必要性的实时识别
IF 7.6 1区 工程技术 Q1 TRANSPORTATION SCIENCE & TECHNOLOGY Pub Date : 2026-02-03 DOI: 10.1016/j.trc.2026.105547
Chengyuan Ma , Hangyu Li , Keke Long , Hang Zhou , Zhaohui Liang , Pei Li , Hongkai Yu , Xiaopeng Li
Cooperative perception (CP) has shown great potential in enhancing traffic safety with Vehicle-to-Everything (V2X) communications. However, its substantial communication burden makes resource-efficient CP crucial, especially when a single vehicle’s intelligence with adequate perception is sufficient to handle most traffic scenarios. Therefore, to reduce the resource consumption of CP, it is essential to identify the traffic conditions under which CP should be applied. This paper addresses this issue by identifying the necessity of CP among road users, and evaluating whether their sensory information is adequate for ensuring traffic safety. We propose a practical framework to assess CP necessity by leveraging bird’s-eye view data from roadside cameras. The framework begins with video-based object localization and tracking to identify the position and movement of each road user. Next, we use a stochastic motion prediction model to analyze the collision risks between pairs of road users. Simultaneously, pairwise perception analysis is used to assess the probability of one road user perceiving another, determining if a road user falls within a blind spot. Road users with both collision risk and potential perception blind spots are identified as requiring CP. Field tests are conducted using real-world scenarios at two complex intersections in Madison, WI, which include a diverse range of road users, such as various vehicles and vulnerable pedestrians and cyclists. The results demonstrate that the proposed framework can effectively identify the safety-challenging scenarios that require CP in complex traffic environments. With only 0.1% of situations in our field test requiring CP, implementing the proposed framework can save a significant amount of communication bandwidth and computational costs while ensuring the same level of safety. Our code and data will be made available upon the acceptance of this paper.
协同感知(CP)在车辆与万物(V2X)通信中显示出巨大的潜力,可以提高交通安全。然而,其巨大的通信负担使得资源高效的CP至关重要,特别是当单个车辆具有足够感知能力的智能足以处理大多数交通场景时。因此,为了减少CP的资源消耗,确定应用CP的交通条件是至关重要的。本文通过识别道路使用者CP的必要性,并评估他们的感官信息是否足以确保交通安全来解决这个问题。我们提出了一个实用的框架,通过利用路边摄像头的鸟瞰数据来评估CP的必要性。该框架从基于视频的对象定位和跟踪开始,以识别每个道路使用者的位置和运动。接下来,我们使用随机运动预测模型来分析道路使用者对之间的碰撞风险。同时,两两感知分析用于评估一个道路使用者感知另一个道路使用者的概率,确定道路使用者是否处于盲点内。同时存在碰撞风险和潜在感知盲点的道路使用者被确定为需要CP。在威斯康辛州麦迪逊的两个复杂十字路口,使用真实场景进行了现场测试,其中包括各种各样的道路使用者,如各种车辆、脆弱的行人和骑自行车的人。结果表明,该框架能够有效识别复杂交通环境中需要CP的安全挑战场景。在我们的现场测试中,只有0.1%的情况需要CP,实施提议的框架可以节省大量的通信带宽和计算成本,同时确保相同的安全水平。我们的代码和数据将在本文被接受后提供。
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引用次数: 0
Corrigendum to “A line planning approach with passenger assignment considering cross-line operations and flexible train composition for a metro network” [Transp. Res. Part C: Emerg. Technol. 183 (2026) 105489] “考虑地铁网络跨线运营和灵活列车组成的乘客分配的线路规划方法”的勘误表。C部分:紧急情况科技。183 (2026)105489]
IF 8.3 1区 工程技术 Q1 TRANSPORTATION SCIENCE & TECHNOLOGY Pub Date : 2026-02-02 DOI: 10.1016/j.trc.2026.105544
Zhikai Wang, Andrea D’Ariano, Shuai Su, Tao Tang, Boyi Su
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引用次数: 0
Corrigendum to “The VCG pricing policy with unit reserve prices for ride-sourcing is 3 4 -incentive compatibility” [Transp. Res. Part C: Emerg. Technol. 171 (2025) 104991] “以单位保留价格为乘车资源的VCG定价政策是34 -激励兼容”的勘误表[运输。C部分:紧急情况科技。171 (2025)104991]
IF 8.3 1区 工程技术 Q1 TRANSPORTATION SCIENCE & TECHNOLOGY Pub Date : 2026-02-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.trc.2026.105543
Ruijie Li, Haiyuan Chen, Xiaobo Liu, Kenan Zhang
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引用次数: 0
Vertical federated learning for transport mode detection using multi-modality data 使用多模态数据进行传输模式检测的垂直联合学习
IF 8.3 1区 工程技术 Q1 TRANSPORTATION SCIENCE & TECHNOLOGY Pub Date : 2026-02-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.trc.2026.105546
Ningkang Yang, Ramandeep Singh, Oleksandr Shtykalo, Iuliia Yamnenko, Constantinos Antoniou
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引用次数: 0
NeuralMOVES: A lightweight and microscopic vehicle emission estimation model based on reverse engineering and surrogate learning NeuralMOVES:一种基于逆向工程和代理学习的轻型微观车辆排放估计模型
IF 7.6 1区 工程技术 Q1 TRANSPORTATION SCIENCE & TECHNOLOGY Pub Date : 2026-01-31 DOI: 10.1016/j.trc.2026.105530
Edgar Ramirez-Sanchez , Catherine Tang , Yaosheng Xu , Nrithya Renganathan , Vindula Jayawardana , Zhengbing He , Cathy Wu
The transportation sector accounts for nearly one-quarter of global greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions. Emerging technologies-such as eco-driving, connected vehicle control, and others-offer significant potential for emission reduction; however, officially validated, yet optimization-ready emission models are essential for guiding their design, deployment, and evaluation. The U.S. EPA’ Motor Vehicle Emission Simulator (MOVES) is the validated regulatory and industry standard for vehicle emissions in the U.S. Yet, its complexity, macroscopic focus, and high computational demands make it unsuitable and incompatible with control and optimization applications, and burdensome even for traditional analyses. Furthermore, its reliance on location-specific inputs limits its applicability beyond the U.S. As a result, researchers often resort to alternative models, leading to emission estimates that are neither comparable nor officially validated. To address this gap, we introduce NeuralMOVES, an open-source, lightweight surrogate model for CO2 emissions with near-MOVES fidelity. NeuralMOVES transforms MOVES from a multi-software system requiring specialized expertise and hours of computation into a 2.4 MB Python package that runs in milliseconds and integrates seamlessly into optimization frameworks. Developed by reverse-engineering MOVES through over 200 million batch queries to generate a comprehensive microscopic emission dataset (MOVES_RE, 9.89 GB), NeuralMOVES uses machine learning to compress this dataset by over 4,000× while enabling continuous, differentiable, and real-time emission estimation. An extensive validation shows a mean absolute percentage error of 6.013% across over two million test scenarios, each representing a complete driving trajectory evaluated under specific environmental and vehicle conditions. We demonstrate NeuralMOVES in a dynamic eco-driving case study, showing that it integrates seamlessly into optimization pipelines, leads to different trajectories than alternative models, and captures parameter sensitivities that alternative models overlook. NeuralMOVES enables regulatory-grade, microscopic emission modeling for emerging transportation technologies worldwide and is available at: https://github.com/edgar-rs/neuralMOVES.
交通运输部门占全球温室气体排放量的近四分之一。新兴技术——如生态驾驶、联网车辆控制等——为减排提供了巨大的潜力;然而,官方验证的、可优化的排放模型对于指导它们的设计、部署和评估至关重要。美国环保署的汽车排放模拟器(move)是美国经过验证的汽车排放监管和行业标准,但其复杂性、宏观关注点和高计算需求使其不适合和不兼容控制和优化应用,即使是传统的分析也很繁琐。此外,它对特定地点输入的依赖限制了其在美国以外地区的适用性。因此,研究人员经常求助于其他模型,导致排放估算既不具有可比性,也无法得到官方验证。为了解决这一差距,我们引入了NeuralMOVES,这是一种开源、轻量级的二氧化碳排放替代模型,具有接近moves的保真度。NeuralMOVES将MOVES从需要专业知识和数小时计算的多软件系统转换为2.4 MB的Python包,该包以毫秒为单位运行,并无缝集成到优化框架中。通过对MOVES进行逆向工程,通过超过2亿个批量查询生成一个全面的微观排放数据集(MOVES_RE, 9.89 GB), NeuralMOVES使用机器学习将该数据集压缩4000倍以上,同时实现连续、可微和实时的排放估计。广泛的验证表明,在超过200万个测试场景中,平均绝对百分比误差为6.013%,每个测试场景都代表了在特定环境和车辆条件下评估的完整驾驶轨迹。我们在一个动态生态驾驶案例研究中展示了NeuralMOVES,表明它可以无缝集成到优化管道中,产生与替代模型不同的轨迹,并捕捉到替代模型忽略的参数敏感性。NeuralMOVES为全球新兴运输技术提供监管级微观排放模型,可在https://github.com/edgar-rs/neuralMOVES上获得。
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引用次数: 0
An integrated deep reinforcement learning-linear control strategy for longitudinal control of connected and automated vehicles 网联自动车辆纵向控制的综合深度强化学习-线性控制策略
IF 7.6 1区 工程技术 Q1 TRANSPORTATION SCIENCE & TECHNOLOGY Pub Date : 2026-01-31 DOI: 10.1016/j.trc.2026.105541
Ziwei Yi , Min Xu , Shuaian Wang
String stability is important to maintain the longitudinal control of connected and automated vehicles (CAVs). It prevents the amplification of the perturbations as they propagate through the platoon. A variety of methods based on the deep reinforcement learning (DRL) approach have been proposed for longitudinal control of CAVs, which show excellent performance. However, none of those methods consider string stability on theoretical grounds due to the lack of explicit mathematical models in the DRL approach. To address this problem, we integrate a novel linear controller in a DRL framework for longitudinal control of CAVs, referred to integrated DRL-linear control (IDL) strategy. It can guarantee string stability while striking a good balance among various benefits, including vehicle safety, comfort, and efficiency. We employ the twin delay depth deterministic policy gradient (TD3) algorithm, a promosing DRL, in the proposed framework for decision. Numerical simulation results demonstrate that the proposed approach ensures theoretical string stability while significantly enhancing vehicle safety, comfort, and efficiency compared to human-driven vehicles (HDVs) and a model-based cooperative adaptive cruise control (CACC) strategy. It also outperforms the deep deterministic policy gradient (DDPG) and pure TD3 strategies in terms of safety, comfort, and string stability. These results indicate that the proposed IDL strategy not only benefits from the advantages of the linear controller in analyzing theoretical string stability conditions but also retains the advantage of the DRL approach in terms of optimizing the trade-off between multiple benefits.
管柱的稳定性对于联网自动驾驶车辆(cav)的纵向控制至关重要。它可以防止扰动在队列中传播时放大。在深度强化学习(DRL)方法的基础上,提出了多种自动驾驶汽车纵向控制方法,并取得了良好的效果。然而,由于在DRL方法中缺乏明确的数学模型,这些方法都没有从理论上考虑弦的稳定性。为了解决这个问题,我们在DRL框架中集成了一种新的线性控制器,用于cav的纵向控制,称为集成DRL-线性控制(IDL)策略。它可以保证管柱的稳定性,同时在车辆安全性、舒适性和效率等各种效益之间取得良好的平衡。在提出的决策框架中,我们采用了双延迟深度确定性策略梯度(TD3)算法,这是一种促进DRL的算法。数值模拟结果表明,与人类驾驶车辆(HDVs)和基于模型的协同自适应巡航控制(CACC)策略相比,该方法在保证理论管柱稳定性的同时,显著提高了车辆的安全性、舒适性和效率。在安全性、舒适性和管柱稳定性方面,它也优于深度确定性策略梯度(DDPG)和纯TD3策略。这些结果表明,所提出的IDL策略不仅在分析理论弦稳定性条件方面受益于线性控制器的优势,而且在优化多个优势之间的权衡方面保留了DRL方法的优势。
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引用次数: 0
Resilient multi-agent reinforcement learning for centralised tactical conflict resolution under uncertain perturbations and non-cooperative traffic in urban air mobility 城市空中交通中不确定扰动和非合作交通下集中战术冲突解决的弹性多智能体强化学习
IF 7.6 1区 工程技术 Q1 TRANSPORTATION SCIENCE & TECHNOLOGY Pub Date : 2026-01-30 DOI: 10.1016/j.trc.2026.105542
Rodolphe Fremond , Yan Xu , Junjie Zhao , Antonios Tsourdos , Gokhan Inalhan
This research investigates tactical conflict resolution for Unmanned Aircraft Systems (UAS) and Urban Air Mobility (UAM) operations under degraded conditions and in the presence of non-cooperative UAS/UAM and manned Commercial Air Transportation and General Aviation (CAT/GA) intruders. The study adopts a centralised safety-net approach within UAS Traffic Management (UTM) architectures, envisioning ground-based conflict resolution services. We propose a set of Tactical Conflict Resolution Solvers (TCRS), each built upon a Multi-Agent Reinforcement Learning (MARL) core using a shared-policy transformer architecture and executed in a decentralised manner. To assess resilience of TCRS variants, we introduce domain-specific perturbations, including positioning noise, communication loss, and sensor-related defects. The TCRS operates with partial decision-making ability in non-cooperative traffic environments, while the perturbation model increases realism by simulating varying degrees of information availability. Results show that the perturbation-trained models achieve substantial safety gains compared with the baseline TCRS trained in ideal conditions. The most resilient variant; trained under multi-perturbation exposure and evaluated in non-cooperative environments, achieves a threefold reduction in critical safety violations compared with the baseline and remains robust under mixed cooperative/non-cooperative traffic with static intent. It exhibits a modest vulnerability under fully homogeneous non-cooperative scenarios with dynamic intent. Simulations involving concurrent CAT/GA and UAS operations further indicate that integrating UAS operations within the existing airspace classification remains hazardous for ground-based tactical conflict resolution when constrained by short look-ahead horizons and insufficient time to react.
本研究探讨了无人机系统(UAS)和城市空中机动(UAM)在退化条件下以及存在非合作的UAS/UAM和载人商业航空运输和通用航空(CAT/GA)入侵者的战术冲突解决方案。该研究在UAS交通管理(UTM)架构中采用了集中的安全网络方法,设想了基于地面的冲突解决服务。我们提出了一组战术冲突解决器(TCRS),每个TCRS都建立在使用共享策略转换器架构的多智能体强化学习(MARL)核心上,并以分散的方式执行。为了评估TCRS变体的弹性,我们引入了特定域的扰动,包括定位噪声、通信损失和传感器相关缺陷。TCRS在非合作交通环境下具有部分决策能力,而微扰模型通过模拟不同程度的信息可用性来提高真实感。结果表明,与理想条件下训练的基线TCRS相比,摄动训练模型获得了显著的安全性增益。最有弹性的变种;在多扰动暴露下进行训练并在非合作环境中进行评估,与基线相比,实现了严重安全违规的三倍减少,并且在具有静态意图的混合合作/非合作交通下保持鲁棒性。它在具有动态意图的完全同构非合作场景下表现出适度的脆弱性。涉及同时进行CAT/GA和UAS作战的模拟进一步表明,在现有空域分类中整合UAS作战,当受到短期前瞻性视野和反应时间不足的限制时,对地面战术冲突解决仍然是危险的。
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引用次数: 0
From voice to safety: Language AI powered pilot-ATC communication understanding for airport surface movement collision risk assessment 从语音到安全:语言人工智能驱动的飞行员-空管通信理解,用于机场地面运动碰撞风险评估
IF 7.6 1区 工程技术 Q1 TRANSPORTATION SCIENCE & TECHNOLOGY Pub Date : 2026-01-29 DOI: 10.1016/j.trc.2026.105540
Yutian Pang, Andrew Paul Kendall, Alex Porcayo, Mariah Barsotti, Anahita Jain, John-Paul Clarke
<div><div>Surface movement collision risk is critical for airport safety. These models play a vital role in identifying and mitigating potential hazards during airport ground operations by providing warnings of near-miss incidents, thereby reducing the risk of accidents that could jeopardize human lives and financial assets. However, existing models, developed decades ago, have not fully integrated recent advancements in machine intelligence, where incorporating additional functionalities presents promising opportunities for improved risk assessment. This work provides a feasible solution to the existing airport surface safety monitoring capabilities (i.e., Airport Surface Surveillance Capability (ASSC)), namely language AI-based voice communication understanding for collision risk assessment. The proposed framework consists of two major parts, (a) rule-enhanced Named Entity Recognition (NER); (b) surface collision risk modeling. NER module generates information tables by processing voice communication transcripts, which serve as references for producing potential taxi plans and calculating the surface movement collision risk. We first collect and annotate our dataset based on open-sourced video recordings and safety investigation reports. Additionally, we refer to FAA Order JO 7110.65W and FAA Order JO 7340.2N to get the list of heuristic rules and phase contractions of communication between the pilot and the Air Traffic Controller (ATCo). Then, we propose the novel ATC Rule-Enhanced NER method, which integrates the heuristic rules into the model training and inference stages, resulting in a hybrid rule-based NER model. We show the effectiveness of this hybrid approach by comparing different setups with different token-level embedding models. For the risk modeling, we adopt the node-link airport layout graph from NASA FACET and model the aircraft taxi speed at each link as a log-normal distribution and derive the total taxi time distribution. Then, we propose a spatiotemporal formulation of the risk probability of two aircraft moving across potential collision nodes during ground movement. Furthermore, we propose the real-time implementation of such a method to obtain the lead time, with a comparison with a Petri-Net based method. We show the effectiveness of our approach through case studies, (a) the Haneda airport runway collision accident happened in January 2024; (b) the KATL taxiway collision happened in September 2024; (c) the Tenerife airport disaster in March 1977. We show that, by understanding the pilot-ATC communication transcripts and analyzing surface movement patterns, the proposed model estimates the surface movement collision probability within machine processing time, thus enabling proactive measures to possible collisions at a certain node, which improves airport safety. A study on validating the log-normal assumption of aircraft taxi speed distributions is also given. We provide the link to code and data repository <span><span
地面运动碰撞风险对机场安全至关重要。这些模型在识别和减轻机场地面运行过程中的潜在危险方面发挥着至关重要的作用,通过提供险些发生事故的警告,从而降低可能危及人类生命和金融资产的事故风险。然而,几十年前开发的现有模型并没有完全集成机器智能的最新进展,在机器智能中加入额外的功能为改进风险评估提供了有希望的机会。本工作为现有机场地面安全监控能力(即机场地面监控能力(airport surface Surveillance Capability, ASSC))提供了一种可行的解决方案,即基于语言人工智能的碰撞风险评估语音通信理解。该框架包括两个主要部分:(a)规则增强的命名实体识别(NER);(b)地面碰撞风险建模。NER模块通过处理语音通信记录生成信息表,作为制定潜在滑行计划和计算地面运动碰撞风险的参考。我们首先根据开源视频记录和安全调查报告收集和注释我们的数据集。此外,我们参考FAA命令JO 7110.65W和FAA命令JO 7340.2N,获得飞行员和空中交通管制员(ATCo)之间通信的启发式规则和相位收缩列表。然后,我们提出了一种新的ATC规则增强的NER方法,该方法将启发式规则集成到模型训练和推理阶段,形成了基于规则的混合NER模型。我们通过比较不同的设置和不同的令牌级嵌入模型来展示这种混合方法的有效性。对于风险建模,我们采用NASA FACET的节点链路机场布局图,将飞机在每个链路上的滑行速度建模为对数正态分布,并推导出总滑行时间分布。然后,我们提出了两架飞机在地面运动过程中穿越潜在碰撞节点的风险概率的时空公式。此外,我们还提出了该方法的实时实现,并与基于Petri-Net的方法进行了比较。我们通过案例研究证明了我们方法的有效性,(a) 2024年1月发生的羽田机场跑道碰撞事故;(b) KATL滑行道碰撞发生在2024年9月;(c) 1977年3月的特内里费机场灾难。研究表明,通过理解飞行员与空管的通信记录和分析地面运动模式,该模型估计了机器处理时间内地面运动碰撞的概率,从而能够在某个节点上对可能发生的碰撞采取主动措施,从而提高了机场的安全性。对飞机滑行速度分布的对数正态假设的验证进行了研究。我们在这里提供代码和数据存储库的链接。
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引用次数: 0
Dynamic charging optimization for electric buses under photovoltaic-storage-grid energy supply mode 光伏-储能-电网供电模式下电动客车动态充电优化
IF 7.6 1区 工程技术 Q1 TRANSPORTATION SCIENCE & TECHNOLOGY Pub Date : 2026-01-29 DOI: 10.1016/j.trc.2026.105539
Yuting Ji , Yiming Bie , Dongfang Ma
With the growing emphasis on sustainable transportation, the photovoltaic-storage-grid energy supply (PSG-ES) mode has been adopted in electric bus (EB) systems, showing promising performance and strong potential. However, environmental uncertainties cause random fluctuations in both solar output and energy demand, posing challenges to stable system operation. Most existing studies use static or low-frequency dynamic models based on day-ahead forecasts. These methods struggle to adapt to real-time changes, limiting the economic and environmental benefits of the PSG-ES mode. To address this issue, we propose a minute-level dynamic charging scheduling method for multi-route EB systems under the PSG-ES mode. The problem is formulated as a Markov Decision Process, with a penalty function and an action correction mechanism introduced to handle complex operational constraints. To improve learning and adaptability, we develop a deep reinforcement learning algorithm, featuring multi-head networks and composite experience replay to address distribution shifts and policy conflicts. Experiments using real-world EB data show that the proposed method effectively manages supply–demand uncertainties and generates more cost-efficient and environmentally sustainable charging plans. Compared to static scheduling with day-ahead forecasts, it reduces charging costs by 7.48% and carbon emissions by 2.99%.
随着人们对可持续交通的日益重视,光伏-储能-电网能源供应(PSG-ES)模式已被应用于电动客车系统,表现出良好的性能和强大的潜力。然而,环境的不确定性导致太阳能输出和能源需求的随机波动,给系统的稳定运行带来了挑战。大多数现有的研究使用基于日前预测的静态或低频动态模型。这些方法难以适应实时变化,限制了PSG-ES模式的经济和环境效益。针对这一问题,本文提出了一种基于PSG-ES模式的多路由EB系统分钟级动态充电调度方法。该问题被表述为一个马尔可夫决策过程,并引入惩罚函数和动作纠正机制来处理复杂的操作约束。为了提高学习和适应性,我们开发了一种深度强化学习算法,该算法采用多头网络和复合经验重放来解决分布变化和策略冲突。实验表明,该方法有效地管理了供需不确定性,并产生了更具成本效益和环境可持续性的充电计划。与具有日前预测的静态调度相比,充电成本降低7.48%,碳排放降低2.99%。
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引用次数: 0
Dual-RSRAE: Enhancing ship inspection operations through dual robust subspace recovery auto-encoder in port state control 双rsrae:通过港口国控制中的双鲁棒子空间恢复自编码器加强船舶检验操作
IF 7.6 1区 工程技术 Q1 TRANSPORTATION SCIENCE & TECHNOLOGY Pub Date : 2026-01-28 DOI: 10.1016/j.trc.2026.105537
Jiongchao Jin , Xiaowei Gao , Xiuju Fu , Zheng Qin , Tao Cheng , Ran Yan
Maritime transportation serves as the backbone of global trade, carrying more than 80% of the world’s cargo by volume. Ensuring shipping safety is a top priority for the maritime industry. To uphold safety standards, Port State Control (PSC) inspections, established by the International Maritime Organization (IMO), are conducted by national ports to verify that foreign visiting ships comply with international and local regulations and are adequately manned. Given the limited inspection resources at ports and the need to avoid excessive inspections that could disrupt the fast turnover of the maritime supply chain, accurately predicting a ship’s inspection in PSC, particularly the deficiency and detention conditions, is crucial for improving the reasonability of the ship inspection process. However, the existing models usually treat detention and deficiency prediction tasks separately, while advanced models such as deep learning are seldom developed for prediction. To address these limitations, we propose Dual-RSRAE, a novel multi-task Dual Robust Subspace Recovery Layer-based auto-encoder for ship risk prediction. This approach integrates the prediction of deficiencies and detentions within a unified, end-to-end pipeline, making it the first attempt to explore the inherent connections between these tasks. Our evaluation, conducted on 31,707 real PSC inspection records from the Asia-Pacific region, demonstrates that Dual-RSRAE outperforms state-of-the-art methods, achieving at least an 13% improvement in detention prediction and a 12% improvement in deficiency prediction accuracy.
海上运输是全球贸易的支柱,占全球货物运输量的80%以上。确保航运安全是海运业的头等大事。为维护安全标准,由国际海事组织(海事组织)设立的港口国监督(PSC)检查由国家港口进行,以核实外国访问船舶是否遵守国际和当地法规,并配备充足的人员。由于港口的检验资源有限,而且需要避免过多的检查,以免扰乱海上供应链的快速周转,因此准确预测船舶在PSC中的检验情况,特别是不足和滞留情况,对于提高船舶检验过程的合理性至关重要。然而,现有模型通常将滞留和缺失预测任务分开处理,而深度学习等高级模型很少用于预测。为了解决这些限制,我们提出了一种新的多任务双鲁棒子空间恢复层自编码器Dual- rsrae,用于船舶风险预测。这种方法在统一的端到端管道中集成了缺陷和滞留的预测,使其成为探索这些任务之间内在联系的第一次尝试。我们对来自亚太地区的31,707份真实PSC检查记录进行了评估,结果表明,Dual-RSRAE优于最先进的方法,在滞留预测方面至少提高了13%,在缺陷预测精度方面提高了12%。
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