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Diagnosing and Handling Common Violations of Missing at Random. 诊断和处理随机失踪的常见违规行为。
IF 2.9 2区 心理学 Q1 MATHEMATICS, INTERDISCIPLINARY APPLICATIONS Pub Date : 2023-12-01 Epub Date: 2023-01-04 DOI: 10.1007/s11336-022-09896-0
Feng Ji, Sophia Rabe-Hesketh, Anders Skrondal

Ignorable likelihood (IL) approaches are often used to handle missing data when estimating a multivariate model, such as a structural equation model. In this case, the likelihood is based on all available data, and no model is specified for the missing data mechanism. Inference proceeds via maximum likelihood or Bayesian methods, including multiple imputation without auxiliary variables. Such IL approaches are valid under a missing at random (MAR) assumption. Rabe-Hesketh and Skrondal (Ignoring non-ignorable missingness. Presidential Address at the International Meeting of the Psychometric Society, Beijing, China, 2015; Psychometrika, 2023) consider a violation of MAR where a variable A can affect missingness of another variable B also when A is not observed. They show that this case can be handled by discarding more data before proceeding with IL approaches. This data-deletion approach is similar to the sequential estimation of Mohan et al. (in: Advances in neural information processing systems, 2013) based on their ordered factorization theorem but is preferable for parametric models. Which kind of data-deletion or ordered factorization to employ depends on the nature of the MAR violation. In this article, we therefore propose two diagnostic tests, a likelihood-ratio test for a heteroscedastic regression model and a kernel conditional independence test. We also develop a test-based estimator that first uses diagnostic tests to determine which MAR violation appears to be present and then proceeds with the corresponding data-deletion estimator. Simulations show that the test-based estimator outperforms IL when the missing data problem is severe and performs similarly otherwise.

在估计多变量模型(如结构方程模型)时,通常使用可忽略似然(IL)方法来处理缺失数据。在这种情况下,可能性基于所有可用数据,并且没有为缺失的数据机制指定模型。推理通过极大似然或贝叶斯方法进行,包括无辅助变量的多重插值。这种IL方法在随机缺失(MAR)假设下是有效的。拉贝-赫斯基和斯克朗达尔(忽略不可忽视的缺失。在心理测量学会国际会议上的主席致辞,北京,中国,2015;Psychometrika, 2023)考虑违反MAR的情况,即当a未被观察到时,变量a也可能影响另一个变量B的缺失。他们表明,这种情况可以通过在继续使用IL方法之前丢弃更多数据来处理。这种数据删除方法类似于Mohan等人基于有序分解定理的顺序估计(参见:Advances in neural information processing systems, 2013),但更适合参数模型。采用哪种类型的数据删除或有序分解取决于违反MAR的性质。因此,在本文中,我们提出了两个诊断检验,一个异方差回归模型的似然比检验和一个核条件独立性检验。我们还开发了一个基于测试的估计器,它首先使用诊断测试来确定存在哪些MAR违规,然后使用相应的数据删除估计器。仿真表明,当缺失数据问题严重时,基于测试的估计器优于IL,而在其他情况下,其性能相似。
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引用次数: 0
Three Psychometric-Model-Based Option-Scored Multiple Choice Item Design Principles that Enhance Instruction by Improving Quiz Diagnostic Classification of Knowledge Attributes. 三个基于心理测量模型的选项计分选择题设计原则:通过改进知识属性测验诊断分类来加强教学。
IF 2.9 2区 心理学 Q1 MATHEMATICS, INTERDISCIPLINARY APPLICATIONS Pub Date : 2023-12-01 Epub Date: 2022-12-13 DOI: 10.1007/s11336-022-09885-3
William Stout, Robert Henson, Lou DiBello

Three IRT diagnostic-classification-modeling (DCM)-based multiple choice (MC) item design principles are stated that improve classroom quiz student diagnostic classification. Using proven-optimal maximum likelihood-based student classification, example items demonstrate that adherence to these item design principles increases attribute (skills and especially misconceptions) correct classification rates (CCRs). Simple formulas compute these needed item CCRs. By use of these psychometrically driven item design principles, hopefully enough attributes can be accurately diagnosed by necessarily short MC-item-based quizzes to be widely instructionally useful. These results should then stimulate increased use of well-designed MC item quizzes that target accurately diagnosing skills/misconceptions, thereby enhancing classroom learning.

提出了三个基于IRT诊断-分类-建模(DCM)的多项选择题设计原则,以提高课堂测验学生的诊断分类。使用经过验证的基于最大似然的最优学生分类,示例项目表明,遵守这些项目设计原则可以提高属性(技能,特别是误解)正确分类率(CCRs)。简单的公式计算这些所需的项目ccr。通过使用这些心理测量驱动的道具设计原则,我们希望能够通过基于mc道具的简短测试准确地诊断出足够多的属性,从而具有广泛的指导意义。这些结果应该刺激更多地使用设计良好的MC项目测验,以准确诊断技能/误解为目标,从而提高课堂学习。
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引用次数: 0
Maximum Augmented Empirical Likelihood Estimation of Categorical Marginal Models for Large Sparse Contingency Tables. 大型稀疏列联表范畴边际模型的最大增广经验似然估计。
IF 2.9 2区 心理学 Q1 MATHEMATICS, INTERDISCIPLINARY APPLICATIONS Pub Date : 2023-12-01 Epub Date: 2023-09-26 DOI: 10.1007/s11336-023-09932-7
L Andries van der Ark, Wicher P Bergsma, Letty Koopman

Categorical marginal models (CMMs) are flexible tools for modelling dependent or clustered categorical data, when the dependencies themselves are not of interest. A major limitation of maximum likelihood (ML) estimation of CMMs is that the size of the contingency table increases exponentially with the number of variables, so even for a moderate number of variables, say between 10 and 20, ML estimation can become computationally infeasible. An alternative method, which retains the optimal asymptotic efficiency of ML, is maximum empirical likelihood (MEL) estimation. However, we show that MEL tends to break down for large, sparse contingency tables. As a solution, we propose a new method, which we call maximum augmented empirical likelihood (MAEL) estimation and which involves augmentation of the empirical likelihood support with a number of well-chosen cells. Simulation results show good finite sample performance for very large contingency tables.

分类边际模型(CMM)是一种灵活的工具,用于在不关心依赖关系本身时对依赖或聚类的分类数据进行建模。CMM的最大似然(ML)估计的一个主要限制是列联表的大小随着变量的数量呈指数级增加,因此即使对于中等数量的变量,例如10到20之间,ML估计在计算上也可能变得不可行。另一种方法是最大经验似然(MEL)估计,它保留了ML的最优渐近效率。然而,我们展示了MEL倾向于分解大型稀疏列联表。作为一种解决方案,我们提出了一种新的方法,我们称之为最大增强经验似然(MAEL)估计,该方法涉及用许多精心选择的单元来增强经验似然支持。仿真结果表明,对于非常大的列联表,有限样本具有良好的性能。
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引用次数: 0
A two-step estimator for multilevel latent class analysis with covariates. 含协变量的多水平潜在类分析的两步估计。
IF 2.9 2区 心理学 Q1 MATHEMATICS, INTERDISCIPLINARY APPLICATIONS Pub Date : 2023-12-01 Epub Date: 2023-08-06 DOI: 10.1007/s11336-023-09929-2
Roberto Di Mari, Zsuzsa Bakk, Jennifer Oser, Jouni Kuha

We propose a two-step estimator for multilevel latent class analysis (LCA) with covariates. The measurement model for observed items is estimated in its first step, and in the second step covariates are added in the model, keeping the measurement model parameters fixed. We discuss model identification, and derive an Expectation Maximization algorithm for efficient implementation of the estimator. By means of an extensive simulation study we show that (1) this approach performs similarly to existing stepwise estimators for multilevel LCA but with much reduced computing time, and (2) it yields approximately unbiased parameter estimates with a negligible loss of efficiency compared to the one-step estimator. The proposal is illustrated with a cross-national analysis of predictors of citizenship norms.

我们提出了一种具有协变量的多水平潜在类分析(LCA)的两步估计器。第一步对观测项目的测量模型进行估计,第二步在模型中加入协变量,保持测量模型参数不变。我们讨论了模型辨识,并推导了一种期望最大化算法来有效地实现估计器。通过广泛的模拟研究,我们表明:(1)这种方法与现有的多级LCA逐步估计器相似,但计算时间大大减少,(2)与一步估计器相比,它产生近似无偏的参数估计,效率损失可以忽略不计。该提案通过对公民规范预测因素的跨国分析加以说明。
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引用次数: 0
How Social Networks Influence Human Behavior: An Integrated Latent Space Approach for Differential Social Influence. 社会网络如何影响人类行为:差异社会影响的综合潜在空间方法。
IF 2.9 2区 心理学 Q1 MATHEMATICS, INTERDISCIPLINARY APPLICATIONS Pub Date : 2023-12-01 Epub Date: 2023-09-23 DOI: 10.1007/s11336-023-09934-5
Jina Park, Ick Hoon Jin, Minjeong Jeon

How social networks influence human behavior has been an interesting topic in applied research. Existing methods often utilized scale-level behavioral data (e.g., total number of positive responses) to estimate the influence of a social network on human behavior. This study proposes a novel approach to studying social influence that utilizes item-level behavioral measures. Under the latent space modeling framework, we integrate the two latent spaces for respondents' social network data and item-level behavior measures into a single space we call 'interaction map'. The interaction map visualizes the association between the latent homophily among respondents and their item-level behaviors, revealing differential social influence effects across item-level behaviors. We also measure overall social influence by assessing the impact of the interaction map. We evaluate the properties of the proposed approach via extensive simulation studies and demonstrate the proposed approach with a real data in the context of studying how students' friendship network influences their participation in school activities.

社交网络如何影响人类行为一直是应用研究中的一个有趣话题。现有的方法通常利用量表水平的行为数据(例如,积极反应的总数)来估计社交网络对人类行为的影响。本研究提出了一种利用项目层面的行为测量来研究社会影响的新方法。在潜在空间建模框架下,我们将受访者的社交网络数据和项目级行为测量的两个潜在空间整合到一个单独的空间中,我们称之为“互动地图”。互动图可视化了受访者潜在的同质性与其项目层面行为之间的关联,揭示了项目层面行为的不同社会影响效应。我们还通过评估互动图的影响来衡量整体社会影响。我们通过广泛的模拟研究评估了所提出方法的性质,并在研究学生的友谊网络如何影响他们参与学校活动的背景下,用真实数据证明了所提出的方法。
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引用次数: 0
A General Theorem and Proof for the Identification of Composed CFA Models. 组合CFA模型辨识的一个一般定理和证明。
IF 2.9 2区 心理学 Q1 MATHEMATICS, INTERDISCIPLINARY APPLICATIONS Pub Date : 2023-12-01 Epub Date: 2023-09-19 DOI: 10.1007/s11336-023-09933-6
R Maximilian Bee, Tobias Koch, Michael Eid

In this article, we present a general theorem and proof for the global identification of composed CFA models. They consist of identified submodels that are related only through covariances between their respective latent factors. Composed CFA models are frequently used in the analysis of multimethod data, longitudinal data, or multidimensional psychometric data. Firstly, our theorem enables researchers to reduce the problem of identifying the composed model to the problem of identifying the submodels and verifying the conditions given by our theorem. Secondly, we show that composed CFA models are globally identified if the primary models are reduced models such as the CT-C[Formula: see text] model or similar types of models. In contrast, composed CFA models that include non-reduced primary models can be globally underidentified for certain types of cross-model covariance assumptions. We discuss necessary and sufficient conditions for the global identification of arbitrary composed CFA models and provide a Python code to check the identification status for an illustrative example. The code we provide can be easily adapted to more complex models.

本文给出了组合CFA模型全局辨识的一个一般定理和证明。它们由已识别的子模型组成,这些子模型仅通过其各自潜在因素之间的协变量而相关。组合的CFA模型经常用于分析多方法数据、纵向数据或多维心理测量数据。首先,我们的定理使研究人员能够将识别组合模型的问题简化为识别子模型并验证我们的定理给出的条件的问题。其次,我们表明,如果主要模型是简化模型,如CT-C[公式:见正文]模型或类似类型的模型,则组合的CFA模型是全局识别的。相反,对于某些类型的跨模型协方差假设,包括非约简主模型的组合CFA模型可能在全局上被低估。我们讨论了任意组合CFA模型全局识别的充要条件,并提供了一个Python代码来检查识别状态。我们提供的代码可以很容易地适应更复杂的模型。
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引用次数: 0
Estimating and Using Block Information in the Thurstonian IRT Model. Thurstonian IRT模型中块信息的估计与利用。
IF 2.9 2区 心理学 Q1 MATHEMATICS, INTERDISCIPLINARY APPLICATIONS Pub Date : 2023-12-01 Epub Date: 2023-08-28 DOI: 10.1007/s11336-023-09931-8
Susanne Frick

Multidimensional forced-choice (MFC) tests are increasing in popularity but their construction is complex. The Thurstonian item response model (Thurstonian IRT model) is most often used to score MFC tests that contain dominance items. Currently, in a frequentist framework, information about the latent traits in the Thurstonian IRT model is computed for binary outcomes of pairwise comparisons, but this approach neglects stochastic dependencies. In this manuscript, it is shown how to estimate Fisher information on the block level. A simulation study showed that the observed and expected standard errors based on the block information were similarly accurate. When local dependencies for block sizes [Formula: see text] were neglected, the standard errors were underestimated, except with the maximum a posteriori estimator. It is shown how the multidimensional block information can be summarized for test construction. A simulation study and an empirical application showed small differences between the block information summaries depending on the outcome considered. Thus, block information can aid the construction of reliable MFC tests.

多维强迫选择(MFC)测试越来越受欢迎,但其结构复杂。Thurstonian项目反应模型(Thurstonian IRT模型)最常用于对包含优势项的MFC测试进行评分。目前,在频率论框架中,关于thurston IRT模型中潜在特征的信息是为两两比较的二进制结果计算的,但这种方法忽略了随机依赖性。在这个手稿中,它显示了如何估计费雪信息在块水平。仿真研究表明,基于块信息的观测标准误差和期望标准误差具有相似的准确性。当忽略块大小的局部依赖关系[公式:见文本]时,标准误差被低估,除了最大的后验估计器。它展示了多维块信息如何被总结用于测试构建。模拟研究和经验应用表明,根据所考虑的结果,块信息摘要之间存在微小差异。因此,块信息可以帮助构建可靠的MFC测试。
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引用次数: 0
Dynamic Response Strategies: Accounting for Response Process Heterogeneity in IRTree Decision Nodes. 动态响应策略:考虑IRTree决策节点的响应过程异质性。
IF 2.9 2区 心理学 Q1 MATHEMATICS, INTERDISCIPLINARY APPLICATIONS Pub Date : 2023-12-01 Epub Date: 2023-02-06 DOI: 10.1007/s11336-023-09901-0
Viola Merhof, Thorsten Meiser

It is essential to control self-reported trait measurements for response style effects to ensure a valid interpretation of estimates. Traditional psychometric models facilitating such control consider item responses as the result of two kinds of response processes-based on the substantive trait, or based on response styles-and they assume that both of these processes have a constant influence across the items of a questionnaire. However, this homogeneity over items is not always given, for instance, if the respondents' motivation declines throughout the questionnaire so that heuristic responding driven by response styles may gradually take over from cognitively effortful trait-based responding. The present study proposes two dynamic IRTree models, which account for systematic continuous changes and additional random fluctuations of response strategies, by defining item position-dependent trait and response style effects. Simulation analyses demonstrate that the proposed models accurately capture dynamic trajectories of response processes, as well as reliably detect the absence of dynamics, that is, identify constant response strategies. The continuous version of the dynamic model formalizes the underlying response strategies in a parsimonious way and is highly suitable as a cognitive model for investigating response strategy changes over items. The extended model with random fluctuations of strategies can adapt more closely to the item-specific effects of different response processes and thus is a well-fitting model with high flexibility. By using an empirical data set, the benefits of the proposed dynamic approaches over traditional IRTree models are illustrated under realistic conditions.

控制自我报告的特质测量对反应风格的影响是至关重要的,以确保对估计的有效解释。促进这种控制的传统心理测量模型认为项目反应是两种反应过程的结果——基于实质性特征或基于反应风格——他们假设这两种过程对问卷的项目都有恒定的影响。然而,这种项目的同质性并不总是给定的,例如,如果被调查者的动机在整个问卷中下降,那么由反应风格驱动的启发式反应可能会逐渐取代认知努力的基于特征的反应。本研究提出了两个动态IRTree模型,通过定义项目位置依赖特质和反应风格效应,来解释反应策略的系统连续变化和额外的随机波动。仿真分析表明,所提出的模型能够准确地捕捉响应过程的动态轨迹,并可靠地检测出动态缺失,即识别出恒定的响应策略。动态模型的连续版本以一种简洁的方式形式化了潜在的响应策略,并且非常适合作为研究响应策略随项目变化的认知模型。策略随机波动的扩展模型更能适应不同反应过程的项目特异性效应,是一种具有较高灵活性的拟合良好模型。通过使用一个经验数据集,在现实条件下说明了所提出的动态方法比传统的IRTree模型的优点。
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引用次数: 0
Joint Latent Space Model for Social Networks with Multivariate Attributes. 多元属性社会网络的联合潜在空间模型。
IF 2.9 2区 心理学 Q1 MATHEMATICS, INTERDISCIPLINARY APPLICATIONS Pub Date : 2023-12-01 Epub Date: 2023-08-24 DOI: 10.1007/s11336-023-09926-5
Selena Wang, Subhadeep Paul, Paul De Boeck

In social, behavioral and economic sciences, researchers are interested in modeling a social network among a group of individuals, along with their attributes. The attributes can be responses to survey questionnaires and are often high dimensional. We propose a joint latent space model (JLSM) that summarizes information from the social network and the multivariate attributes in a person-attribute joint latent space. We develop a variational Bayesian expectation-maximization estimation algorithm to estimate the attribute and person locations in the joint latent space. This methodology allows for effective integration, informative visualization and prediction of social networks and attributes. Using JLSM, we explore the French financial elites based on their social networks and their career, political views and social status. We observe a division in the social circles of the French elites in accordance with the differences in their attributes. We analyze user networks and behaviors in multimodal social media systems like YouTube. A R package "jlsm" is developed to fit the models proposed in this paper and is publicly available from the CRAN repository https://cran.r-project.org/web/packages/jlsm/jlsm.pdf .

在社会科学、行为科学和经济科学中,研究人员感兴趣的是在一群个体之间建立一个社会网络模型,以及他们的属性。属性可以是对调查问卷的响应,并且通常是高维的。我们提出了一个联合潜在空间模型(JLSM),该模型将来自社会网络和多元属性的信息汇总到一个人-属性联合潜在空间中。我们开发了一种变分贝叶斯期望最大化估计算法来估计联合潜在空间中的属性和人的位置。这种方法允许对社会网络和属性进行有效的集成、信息可视化和预测。使用JLSM,我们根据法国金融精英的社交网络、职业、政治观点和社会地位对他们进行了研究。我们观察到,法国精英阶层的社交圈根据其属性的不同而出现了分化。我们分析了像YouTube这样的多模式社交媒体系统中的用户网络和行为。开发了一个R包“jlsm”来适应本文中提出的模型,并且可以从CRAN存储库https://cran.r-project.org/web/packages/jlsm/jlsm.pdf公开获得。
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引用次数: 0
A Mixed Stochastic Approximation EM (MSAEM) Algorithm for the Estimation of the Four-Parameter Normal Ogive Model. 一种用于估计四参数正态Ogive模型的混合随机逼近EM (MSAEM)算法。
IF 2.9 2区 心理学 Q1 MATHEMATICS, INTERDISCIPLINARY APPLICATIONS Pub Date : 2023-12-01 Epub Date: 2022-06-01 DOI: 10.1007/s11336-022-09870-w
Xiangbin Meng, Gongjun Xu

In recent years, the four-parameter model (4PM) has received increasing attention in item response theory. The purpose of this article is to provide more efficient and more reliable computational tools for fitting the 4PM. In particular, this article focuses on the four-parameter normal ogive model (4PNO) model and develops efficient stochastic approximation expectation maximization (SAEM) algorithms to compute the marginalized maximum a posteriori estimator. First, a data augmentation scheme is used for the 4PNO model, which makes the complete data model be an exponential family, and then, a basic SAEM algorithm is developed for the 4PNO model. Second, to overcome the drawback of the SAEM algorithm, we develop an improved SAEM algorithm for the 4PNO model, which is called the mixed SAEM (MSAEM). Results from simulation studies demonstrate that: (1) the MSAEM provides more accurate or comparable estimates as compared with the other estimation methods, while computationally more efficient; (2) the MSAEM is more robust to the choices of initial values and the priors for item parameters, which is a valuable property for practice use. Finally, a real data set is analyzed to show the good performance of the proposed methods.

近年来,四参数模型(4PM)在项目反应理论中越来越受到关注。本文的目的是提供更有效和更可靠的计算工具来拟合4PM。本文重点研究了四参数正态给出模型(4PNO)模型,并开发了有效的随机逼近期望最大化(SAEM)算法来计算边缘极大值后验估计量。首先对4PNO模型采用数据扩充方案,使完整的数据模型成为指数族,然后对4PNO模型开发了基本的SAEM算法。其次,为了克服SAEM算法的缺点,我们针对4PNO模型开发了一种改进的SAEM算法,称为混合SAEM (MSAEM)。仿真研究结果表明:(1)与其他估计方法相比,MSAEM提供了更准确或可比较的估计,同时计算效率更高;(2) MSAEM对项目参数的初始值和先验值的选择具有较强的鲁棒性,具有一定的实用价值。最后,通过对一个实际数据集的分析,验证了所提方法的良好性能。
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引用次数: 0
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Psychometrika
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