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Demography and Per Head Income of the Russian Regions 俄罗斯地区的人口统计和人均收入
IF 2.4 3区 工程技术 Q3 OPERATIONS RESEARCH & MANAGEMENT SCIENCE Pub Date : 2022-01-01 DOI: 10.14530/se.2022.1.125-147
B. Alekhin
Theories of economic growth and empirical studies suggest a negative effect of population growth on economic growth. This study examines the link between the two variables in 82 subjects of the Russian Federation over 2002–2019. Descriptive statistics show that Russia reaped a demographic dividend and is now paying a demographic tax. General theoretical framework for empirical analysis was drawn from the neoclassical growth theory, and panel data econometrics suggested the appropriate empirical methodology. The pooled mean group estimator was applied to an autoregressive distributed lags model based on the Solow model. We found a statistically significate negative long-term dependence (in growth terms) of per capita income on population, total fertility rate and dependence ratio. Also, three auxiliary hypotheses were tested. First: population growth variables that emphasize the relative growth of the young/dependent population (ages 0–14 years) should show a more adverse effect on economic growth than measures of growth in the total or working-age populations. Second: the partial association between population growth and economic growth will be more positive when the regression controls for investment (the resource-dilution effect). Third: the effect of population growth on economic growth is more adverse in developing countries (regions) because of greater resource-dilution and resource diversion effects, as well as poorer policy environments. These hypotheses are not rejected
经济增长理论和实证研究表明,人口增长对经济增长具有负向影响。本研究考察了2002年至2019年期间俄罗斯联邦82名受试者中这两个变量之间的联系。描述性统计数据显示,俄罗斯获得了人口红利,现在正在缴纳人口税。新古典增长理论为实证分析提供了一般理论框架,面板数据计量经济学提出了合适的实证方法。在索洛模型的基础上,将混合均值群估计应用于自回归分布滞后模型。我们发现人均收入对人口、总生育率和依赖比的长期负依赖(以增长而言)具有统计学意义。同时,对三个辅助假设进行了检验。第一:强调年轻/受抚养人口(0-14岁)相对增长的人口增长变量对经济增长的不利影响应大于总人口或工作年龄人口增长的指标。第二,当回归控制了投资(资源稀释效应)后,人口增长与经济增长之间的部分关联更为正。第三,人口增长对经济增长的影响在发展中国家(地区)更为不利,因为发展中国家(地区)的资源稀释和资源分流效应更大,政策环境也更差。这些假设并没有被否定
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引用次数: 0
Spatial Small-Worlds 空间小世界
IF 2.4 3区 工程技术 Q3 OPERATIONS RESEARCH & MANAGEMENT SCIENCE Pub Date : 2022-01-01 DOI: 10.1007/978-3-030-94106-2_12
M. Barthelemy
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引用次数: 0
Simplicity and Entropy 简单性和熵
IF 2.4 3区 工程技术 Q3 OPERATIONS RESEARCH & MANAGEMENT SCIENCE Pub Date : 2022-01-01 DOI: 10.1007/978-3-319-20565-6_5
M. Barthelemy
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引用次数: 0
ICO and IPO Markets: An Overview and Prospects ICO和IPO市场:概述和展望
IF 2.4 3区 工程技术 Q3 OPERATIONS RESEARCH & MANAGEMENT SCIENCE Pub Date : 2022-01-01 DOI: 10.14530/se.2022.4.036-067
M. Abrekov, Andrey Vlasov
The purpose of this work is to study the investment capital markets by analysing the IPO and ICO procedures, identifying the main trends, leading sectors and comparing their volumes. The methodological basis was a retrospective analysis of the development of various forms of investment attraction (IPO and ICO). The main research methods were deduction, induction, synthesis and logical analysis. This article examined the main trends taking place in the IPO and ICO markets; key types of used blockchain platforms were identified; the leading countries and sectors in terms of the amount of funds raised are presented. The ICO market showed high growth rates in 2013–2018, but did not reach volumes comparable to the IPO market. Most of the projects that used the ICO (digital token issuance) procedures chose the Ethereum blockchain system as a platform, implemented projects in the fintech and IT industries, infrastructure development and decentralized applications (DApps). The leading states, residents, which have carried out the largest number of ICO procedures, are the USA, Singapore, United Kingdom and Hong Kong. In the IPO market, the largest volume of funds was attracted by projects from such sectors as finance, consumer services, oil and gas, industry and healthcare. The US remains the main platform chosen by companies for IPOs. The US is followed by the UK, China and Hong Kong
这项工作的目的是通过分析IPO和ICO程序来研究投资资本市场,确定主要趋势,领先行业并比较其数量。方法基础是对各种形式的投资吸引(IPO和ICO)的发展进行回顾性分析。主要的研究方法有演绎法、归纳法、综合法和逻辑分析法。本文考察了IPO和ICO市场的主要趋势;确定了使用的区块链平台的关键类型;介绍了筹集资金数额方面的主要国家和部门。2013-2018年,ICO市场呈现高速增长,但没有达到与IPO市场相当的规模。大多数使用ICO(数字代币发行)程序的项目选择以太坊区块链系统作为平台,在金融科技和IT行业,基础设施开发和分散应用程序(DApps)中实施项目。执行ICO程序数量最多的主要国家和居民是美国、新加坡、英国和香港。在IPO市场上,吸引资金最多的是金融、消费服务、油气、工业和医疗等行业的项目。美国仍是企业选择的主要ipo平台。排在美国之后的是英国、中国内地和香港
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引用次数: 0
The Thorny Path Eastwards: Breakthroughs Which Turn Into Dead-End 向东的荆棘之路:通往死胡同的突破
IF 2.4 3区 工程技术 Q3 OPERATIONS RESEARCH & MANAGEMENT SCIENCE Pub Date : 2022-01-01 DOI: 10.14530/se.2022.3.007-016
P. Minakir
The long period of the development of the Soviet and then the Russian Far East has demonstrated a striking pattern of repetitive periods of optimism and pessimism about the possibility of socio-economic development of the region, a pattern as striking as the regular repetition of tools and goals, efforts of the region itself and the national political and economic system in this field. The last decade has passed and is still passing under the sign of a new stage of state regulatory efforts for the development of the region. The next stage in summing up the results and determining the scope and structure of further efforts in this direction was the next VII Eastern Economic Forum in Vladivostok. It has been concluded that, as demonstrated once again at the forum, despite enormous administrative efforts, vigorous institutional reform, and mobilization of public finances, it has not been possible to achieve noticeable results in the field of transforming the quality of life and economy in the Far East for almost 10 years. It has been shown that it is possible to change the situation in the field of resource provision of correct goal-setting only after overcoming fundamental limitations, which primarily include the already mentioned problem of the territorial scale of the object of regulation and the recognition of the need for an ideological transition from growth management to quality change management
苏联和随后的俄罗斯远东地区的长期发展表明了一种惊人的模式,即对该地区社会经济发展的可能性反复出现乐观和悲观的时期,这种模式与该地区本身的工具和目标以及国家政治和经济制度在这一领域的努力的定期重复一样引人注目。过去的十年已经过去,并且仍在过去,这标志着国家为该地区的发展而进行的监管努力进入了一个新阶段。总结成果和确定这方面进一步努力的范围和结构的下一阶段是在符拉迪沃斯托克举行的下一届第七届东方经济论坛。人们得出的结论是,正如在论坛上再次表明的那样,尽管作出了巨大的行政努力,进行了有力的体制改革,并调动了公共财政,但在近10年来,在改变远东的生活质量和经济方面未能取得显著的成果。事实表明,只有在克服了基本限制之后,才有可能改变正确目标设定的资源提供领域的情况,这些限制主要包括已经提到的监管对象的领土规模问题,以及认识到需要从增长管理向质量变化管理进行思想转变
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引用次数: 0
The Resource Concentration in Moscow: Impact on the Economy of the Central Federal District 莫斯科资源集中:对中央联邦区经济的影响
IF 2.4 3区 工程技术 Q3 OPERATIONS RESEARCH & MANAGEMENT SCIENCE Pub Date : 2022-01-01 DOI: 10.14530/se.2022.3.115-140
P. Druzhinin
The article discusses the development of the economy of the regions of the Central Federal District (CFD) in 1998–2020. There are three sectors – Moscow, the Moscow region and the remaining 16 regions. The economic development of these sectors and the impact of resource concentration to the Moscow agglomeration are analyzed. The periphery of the CFD is losing human capital of the highest quality, which decreases the opportunities for its economic development. The purpose of the article is to give a comparative analysis of the economic development of Moscow and other regions of the Central Federal District in 1998–2020. It also examines how the development efficiency of the other 16 regions of the CFD is changing against the background of the outflow of young people to Moscow, the reasons for the change in the growth rates and efficiency of the development of the Moscow economy are being clarified as well. The analysis of the graphs of indicators made it possible to distinguish two periods – before and after the 2008–2009 crisis. We analise influence of selected sectors and structural shifts on the dynamics of labor productivity of the CFD economy, using the methods of economic statistics. Production functions were constructed and the impact of investments on the economic growth rates of the three selected sectors was assessed. During the first period, the Moscow agglomeration was developing successfully, its socio-economic indicators were growing rapidly, and its development efficiency was high. The concentration of resources contributed to faster and more efficient growth of the CFD economy. After the crisis, the migration of the population to the Moscow agglomeration and the concentration of investments has continued, but the growth of the Moscow economy has stopped, and the efficiency of development has decreased sharply. The development of the economy of the third sector of the CFD, which is losing resources, has noticeably slowed down, and efficiency has somewhat decreased. The concentration of resources in Moscow has begun to affect the growth rates of the CFD economy negatively
本文讨论了1998-2020年中央联邦区各地区的经济发展情况。有三个部门-莫斯科,莫斯科地区和其余16个地区。分析了这些部门的经济发展以及资源集中对莫斯科城市群的影响。CFD外围地区正在流失最优质的人力资本,这减少了其经济发展的机会。本文的目的是对1998-2020年莫斯科和中央联邦区其他地区的经济发展进行比较分析。分析了在年轻人向莫斯科流动的背景下,CFD其他16个地区的发展效率是如何变化的,并阐明了莫斯科经济发展增长率和效率变化的原因。对指标图表的分析使得区分2008-2009年危机前后两个时期成为可能。我们运用经济统计学的方法,分析了选定行业和结构变化对CFD经济劳动生产率动态的影响。构建了生产函数,并评价了投资对选定的三个部门的经济增长率的影响。第一阶段,莫斯科城市群发展顺利,社会经济指标增长较快,发展效率较高;资源的集中促进了CFD经济更快、更高效的增长。危机过后,人口向莫斯科集聚的迁移和投资的集中仍在继续,但莫斯科经济的增长已经停止,发展效率急剧下降。CFD第三部门经济发展明显放缓,资源流失严重,效率有所下降。资源在莫斯科的集中已经开始对差价合约经济的增长率产生负面影响
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引用次数: 1
Opportunities and Challenges of Development of Energy Cooperation of the Northeast Asia Countries Under the Condotions of Political Instability and Energy Transition 政治不稳定与能源转型条件下东北亚国家能源合作发展的机遇与挑战
IF 2.4 3区 工程技术 Q3 OPERATIONS RESEARCH & MANAGEMENT SCIENCE Pub Date : 2022-01-01 DOI: 10.14530/se.2022.3.194-196
O. Dyomina
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引用次数: 0
World Money in Time and Space: A Blow to the Dollar or a Blow by the Dollar? 时间和空间中的世界货币:对美元的打击还是美元的打击?
IF 2.4 3区 工程技术 Q3 OPERATIONS RESEARCH & MANAGEMENT SCIENCE Pub Date : 2022-01-01 DOI: 10.14530/se.2022.1.007-033
P. Minakir, D. Izotov
Theoretical and practical aspects of the problem of functioning of the world’s means of payment and accumulation are discussed. It is shown that the US dollar is one of the specific forms of world money along with other ‘dominant’ currencies due to its function as a reliable asset for other countries, requiring for the issuing country exceptionally strong national institutions and confidence in this national currency, the American currency is also the universal equivalent in international settlements and the world’s means of payment, accumulation and medium of circulation. It is determined that the Russian ruble is ‘commodity’ currency but not the ‘dominant’ currency, and its share in international settlements is almost imperceptible. It is shown that, other things being equal, the American currency will continue to flow into Russia, since the export of Russian raw materials is traded on the world market mainly in dollars. It was revealed that the strategy for de-dollarization of the Russian economy did not contribute to the displacement of the dollar from payments for exports from Russia, with a noticeable increase in the share of the euro in payments. It was found that the transition in Russia’s settlements from China to national currencies was not carried out, and the EAEU countries remained the only ruble zone in settlements for Russia. It is shown that Russia’s attempt to switch to settlements exclusively in rubles is tantamount to creating an exclusive money circulation system for a small country, which, within the framework of the ‘dominant’ currencies paradigm, shows its limitations. The risks for the Russian economy as a result of its isolation from the system of international settlements in dollars and euros are formulated as part of the current sanctions by developed countries
讨论了世界支付和积累手段运作问题的理论和实践方面。它表明,美元是世界货币的一种特殊形式,以及其他“主导”货币,因为它作为其他国家的可靠资产的功能,要求发行国特别强大的国家机构和对这种本国货币的信心,美元也是国际结算和世界支付手段、积累和流通媒介中的普遍等价物。它确定俄罗斯卢布是“商品”货币,但不是“主导”货币,它在国际结算中的份额几乎是微不足道的。它表明,在其他条件相同的情况下,美元将继续流入俄罗斯,因为俄罗斯出口的原材料主要以美元在世界市场上进行交易。据透露,俄罗斯经济的去美元化战略并没有使美元从俄罗斯的出口支付中被取代,欧元在支付中的份额明显增加。研究发现,俄罗斯的结算没有进行从中国向本国货币的过渡,EAEU国家仍然是俄罗斯结算中唯一的卢布区。文章表明,俄罗斯试图转向完全以卢布结算的做法,无异于为一个小国创造一种专属的货币流通体系,在“主导”货币范式的框架内,这种体系显示出其局限性。由于孤立于美元和欧元国际结算体系之外,俄罗斯经济面临的风险是发达国家目前制裁的一部分
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引用次数: 4
New Formats of Interaction of Investment Cooperation between Russia and Turkey in Modern Economic Conditions 现代经济条件下俄土投资合作互动的新形式
IF 2.4 3区 工程技术 Q3 OPERATIONS RESEARCH & MANAGEMENT SCIENCE Pub Date : 2022-01-01 DOI: 10.14530/se.2022.3.168-193
Husan Umarov
The deterioration of Russia’s trade and economic relations with international partners due to the aggravation of the geopolitical situation in Ukraine increases the importance of diversification of key sectors of the Russian economy. Russia’s search for new strategic partners increases the pace of cooperation with the Republic of Turkey. The subject of the study is the study of the advantages of the Russian-Turkish strategic partnership, the basis of which is mutual interest in building up economic and geopolitical potential. The key objectives of the study will be to study the current investment climate, the stages of implementation of investment cooperation between Russia and Turkey in various sectors of the economy, analysis of the dynamics of foreign direct investment, mutual investment, trade turnover, exports and imports between the countries. Such research methods as observation, comparative analysis, generalization, historical method will be used in the work. The author will refer to the materials of Russian and foreign experts in the field of international economics, finance, investment deposits, statistical data on export, import, mutual turnover, foreign direct investment (FDI) between Russia and Turkey, obtained from the reporting documents of the Turkish Statistical Institute (TurkStat), the World Bank (The World Bank), the United Nations (UN), the Turkish Construction Union (Turkish Construction Union). The main result of the study will be the structuring of factors affecting the dynamics of bilateral investment cooperation. The results of the study can be useful to representatives of business organizations, business owners and managers, specialists in the field of economics and finance. Formulating the main conclusions of the study, the author notes the priority of mutually beneficial Russian-Turkish partnership on key economic issues
由于乌克兰地缘政治局势的恶化,俄罗斯与国际伙伴的贸易和经济关系恶化,这增加了俄罗斯经济关键部门多样化的重要性。俄罗斯寻找新的战略伙伴加快了与土耳其共和国合作的步伐。该研究的主题是研究俄土战略伙伴关系的优势,其基础是建立经济和地缘政治潜力的共同利益。该研究的主要目标是研究当前的投资环境,俄罗斯和土耳其在各个经济部门实施投资合作的阶段,分析两国之间外国直接投资,相互投资,贸易额,进出口的动态。本研究将采用观察法、比较分析法、概括法、历史法等研究方法。作者将参考国际经济、金融、投资存款领域的俄罗斯和外国专家的资料,俄罗斯和土耳其之间的出口、进口、相互营业额、外国直接投资(FDI)的统计数据,这些数据来自土耳其统计研究所(TurkStat)、世界银行(The World Bank)、联合国(UN)、土耳其建筑联盟(Turkish Construction Union)的报告文件。研究的主要结果将是影响双边投资合作动态的因素的结构。这项研究的结果对商业组织的代表、企业主和管理者、经济和金融领域的专家都是有用的。作者在阐述研究的主要结论时指出,在关键经济问题上,俄土建立互利伙伴关系是优先事项
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引用次数: 0
Tessellations of the Plane 平面的镶嵌
IF 2.4 3区 工程技术 Q3 OPERATIONS RESEARCH & MANAGEMENT SCIENCE Pub Date : 2022-01-01 DOI: 10.1007/978-3-319-20565-6_8
M. Barthelemy
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引用次数: 0
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Networks & Spatial Economics
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