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Optimizing the ground intra-city express delivery network: An integrated multiple centrality assessment, multi-criteria decision-making, and multi-objective integer programming model 优化地面市内快递网络:综合多重中心性评估、多标准决策和多目标整数编程模型
IF 2.8 3区 工程技术 Q3 TRANSPORTATION Pub Date : 2024-07-03 DOI: 10.1080/15472450.2022.2157211

Optimization of an intra-city express delivery network from three to two levels is of great interest to suppliers and customers for reducing costs and improving service efficiency. One feasible solution is to identify critical nodes in the three-level network and upgrade them as transshipment facilities in the two-level one. However, traditional optimization models seldom combine empirical business data, composite metrics, and objective evaluation rules. We proposed an approach integrating empirical data, multi-criteria decision-making methods based on the real-world application of the SF Express Chengdu branch. We also developed a mathematical optimization model using statistical and operations management techniques combined with logistics expertise for a location decision. First, the appropriateness of each service point as a candidate transshipment facility is evaluated from internal and external perspectives by applying multiple centrality assessment from complex network theory and fuzzy Technique for Order Preference by Similarity to an Ideal Solution, respectively. Second, 16 candidate transshipment facilities are selected by combining these two ways. Then, a multi-objective integer programming model is built to obtain the optimal number, locations of transshipment facilities, and the corresponding service points covered by each transshipment facility. Using this multi-methodologic approach, we show that the optimized two-level network is economically feasible and simply applicable, with the total cost and average delivery time reduced by 18.41% and 6 h, respectively. This article is of practical significance and provides an important reference for optimizing ground express service networks for other large cities.

优化市内快递网络,将其从三级降为两级,对供应商和客户降低成本和提高服务效率都具有重大意义。一个可行的解决方案是确定三级网络中的关键节点,并将其升级为二级网络中的转运设施。然而,传统的优化模型很少将经验业务数据、综合指标和客观评价规则结合起来。我们根据顺丰速运成都分公司的实际应用情况,提出了一种将经验数据、多标准决策方法相结合的方法。我们还利用统计和运营管理技术,结合物流专业知识,建立了一个数学优化模型,用于选址决策。首先,通过应用复杂网络理论中的多重中心性评估和与理想解相似性排序偏好模糊技术,分别从内部和外部角度评估了每个服务点作为候选转运设施的适当性。其次,结合这两种方法选出 16 个候选转运设施。然后,建立一个多目标整数编程模型,以获得最佳转运设施的数量、位置以及每个转运设施所覆盖的相应服务点。利用这种多方法,我们证明了优化后的两级网络在经济上是可行的,而且简单适用,总成本和平均交货时间分别降低了 18.41% 和 6 h。本文具有重要的现实意义,为其他大城市优化地面快递服务网络提供了重要参考。
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引用次数: 0
Proactive congestion management via data-driven methods and connected vehicle-based microsimulation 通过数据驱动方法和基于互联车辆的微观模拟进行积极的拥堵管理
IF 2.8 3区 工程技术 Q3 TRANSPORTATION Pub Date : 2024-07-03 DOI: 10.1080/15472450.2022.2140047

Traffic congestion is a phenomenon that has been extensively explored by researchers due to its impact on reliability and safety. This research is focused on proactively detecting and mitigating congestion on freeways by fuzing conventional traffic data obtained from radar and loop detectors with newer sources, such as Bluetooth and connected vehicles (CV). Data-driven and signal-processing techniques are explored to develop algorithms that use near- or real-time traffic measurements to predict the onset and intensity level of traffic congestion. The developed algorithm can be applied to both conventional and low penetration CV-based datasets to identify four types of congestion, that is, normal, recurring, other non-recurring, and incident. This research also demonstrates the advantage of using CV-based travel time estimates to calibrate microsimulation models over fixed point-based derivations of travel time from spot speeds. Finally, a set of mitigation strategies consisting of speed harmonization and dynamic rerouting are implemented in the calibrated simulation network to demonstrate their effectiveness in proactively reducing recurring and non-recurring congestion. The final derived algorithm is effective in proactively predicting the onset of congestion and its intensity level, with an overall mean prediction error of 30.2%. A limitation to the algorithm’s methodology is that it cannot disentangle the type of congestion when two or more are occurring simultaneously and only predicts/classifies the anticipated highest level. However, this does not impair the user’s ability to readily deploy appropriate mitigation strategies to alleviate the predicted intensity of congestion.

由于交通拥堵对可靠性和安全性的影响,研究人员对这一现象进行了广泛的探讨。本研究的重点是通过将从雷达和环路探测器获得的传统交通数据与蓝牙和联网车辆(CV)等新数据源融合,主动检测和缓解高速公路上的拥堵现象。我们探索了数据驱动和信号处理技术,以开发使用近距离或实时交通测量来预测交通拥堵开始和严重程度的算法。所开发的算法可应用于基于 CV 的传统数据集和低渗透率数据集,以识别四种拥堵类型,即正常拥堵、经常性拥堵、其他非经常性拥堵和事故拥堵。这项研究还证明了使用基于 CV 的旅行时间估算来校准微观模拟模型的优势,而不是根据定点速度推导旅行时间。最后,在校准后的模拟网络中实施了一套由速度协调和动态改道组成的缓解策略,以证明其在主动减少经常性和非经常性拥堵方面的有效性。最终得出的算法能有效地主动预测拥堵的发生及其强度,总体平均预测误差为 30.2%。该算法方法的一个局限是,当同时发生两种或两种以上拥堵时,它无法区分拥堵类型,只能预测/分类预计的最高级别。不过,这并不影响用户随时部署适当的缓解策略,以减轻预测的拥堵强度。
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引用次数: 0
Fusion attention mechanism bidirectional LSTM for short-term traffic flow prediction 用于短期交通流预测的融合注意力机制双向 LSTM
IF 2.8 3区 工程技术 Q3 TRANSPORTATION Pub Date : 2024-07-03 DOI: 10.1080/15472450.2022.2142049

Short term forecasting is essential and challenging in time series data analysis for traffic flow research. A novel deep learning architecture on short-term traffic flow prediction was presented in this work. In conventional model-driven prediction method, a critical deviation in prediction accuracy was occurred in face of large fluctuations in traffic flow, while machine and deep learning-based approaches performed well in accuracy study than conventional regression-based models. Moreover, a fusion attention mechanism bidirectional long short-term memory model (ATT-BiLSTM) was proposed due to its bidirectional LSTM (BiLSTM) and attention mechanism units. The model not only dealt with forward and backward dependencies in time series data, but also integrated the attention mechanism to improve the ability on key information representation. The BiLSTM layer was exploited to capture bidirectional temporal and spatial features dependencies from historical data. The proposed model was also trained and validated using freeway toll datasets from Humen Bridge. The results showed that compared with ARIMA and SVR models, the indicators of the proposed model have been significantly improved. The ablation experiments were conducted to evaluate the role of the attention mechanism module. Compared with BiLSTM, CNN and 1DCNN-ATT-BiLSTM models, the MAE, RMSE and MAPE indexes of proposed model were reduced by 0.6–5.9%, 1.6–4.7% and 0.6–22.8%, respectively. More accurate predictions were obtained by the proposed model. The research results are of great significance to improve the level of traffic management.

在交通流研究的时间序列数据分析中,短期预测是必不可少的,也是极具挑战性的。本研究提出了一种新颖的短期交通流预测深度学习架构。在传统的模型驱动预测方法中,面对交通流量的大幅波动,预测精度会出现临界偏差,而基于机器学习和深度学习的方法在精度研究中表现优于传统的回归模型。此外,由于双向 LSTM(BiLSTM)和注意力机制单元,一种融合注意力机制的双向长短期记忆模型(ATT-BiLSTM)被提出。该模型不仅处理了时间序列数据中的前向和后向依赖关系,还融合了注意力机制,提高了关键信息的表征能力。BiLSTM 层被用来捕捉历史数据中的双向时空特征依赖。此外,还使用虎门大桥的高速公路收费数据集对所提出的模型进行了训练和验证。结果表明,与 ARIMA 模型和 SVR 模型相比,所提模型的各项指标均有明显改善。为评估注意力机制模块的作用,进行了消融实验。与 BiLSTM、CNN 和 1DCNN-ATT-BiLSTM 模型相比,拟议模型的 MAE、RMSE 和 MAPE 指标分别降低了 0.6-5.9%、1.6-4.7% 和 0.6-22.8%。拟议模型获得了更准确的预测结果。这些研究成果对提高交通管理水平具有重要意义。
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引用次数: 0
Modeling the impact of COVID-19 on transportation at later stage of the pandemic: A case study of Utah 模拟 COVID-19 在大流行后期对运输的影响:犹他州案例研究
IF 2.8 3区 工程技术 Q3 TRANSPORTATION Pub Date : 2024-07-03 DOI: 10.1080/15472450.2022.2157212

The global COVID-19 pandemic has had a great impact on transportation across the United States. However, there is a lack of studies investigating the pandemic’s impact on vehicular traffic at the later stage of the pandemic. Therefore, this paper studies the change of freeway traffic patterns in two metropolitan counties in the State of Utah at the latter stage of the pandemic. We found that with the relaxation of travel restriction and the COVID vaccine, vehicular traffic has recovered to equaling, if not exceeding, pre-pandemic levels. Truck traffic is higher than the pre-pandemic level due to the growth of online shopping and on-demand delivery. To help responsive agencies to prepare for the near-future traffic pattern, a traffic prediction model based on an innovative approach integrating machine learning with graph theory is proposed. The evaluation shows that the proposed prediction model has a desirable performance. The mean absolute percentage prediction error is between 0.38% and 1.74% for different jurisdictions. On average, the modal outperforms the traditional long short-term memory model by 31.20% in terms of root mean squared prediction error.

全球 COVID-19 大流行对美国各地的交通产生了巨大影响。然而,目前还缺乏对大流行后期对车辆交通影响的研究。因此,本文研究了大流行后期犹他州两个大都市县高速公路交通模式的变化。我们发现,随着旅行限制的放宽和 COVID 疫苗的接种,车辆交通量已恢复到甚至超过大流行前的水平。由于网上购物和按需送货的增长,卡车交通量高于疫情发生前的水平。为了帮助应对机构为近期的交通模式做好准备,本文提出了一种基于机器学习与图论相结合的创新方法的交通预测模型。评估结果表明,所提出的预测模型具有理想的性能。不同辖区的平均绝对百分比预测误差介于 0.38% 和 1.74% 之间。平均而言,就均方根预测误差而言,该模型比传统的长短期记忆模型高出 31.20%。
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引用次数: 0
Lane change for self-driving in highly dense traffic using motion based uncertainty propagation 利用基于运动的不确定性传播,在高密度交通中实现自动驾驶车道变更
IF 2.8 3区 工程技术 Q3 TRANSPORTATION Pub Date : 2024-07-03 DOI: 10.1080/15472450.2022.2137795

This paper presents a design of lane change decision and control algorithm in highly dense traffic situation for self-driving vehicles using motion-based adaptive uncertainty propagation and Stochastic Model Predictive Control (SMPC). Essential ideas of the proposed algorithm are introduced; i) an optimal motion in a current situation with multiple criteria decision making (MCDM), ii) four steps to change lane successfully in the dense traffic situation which is modeled as a simple acceleration model based on real driving data, iii) motion-based adaptive uncertainty propagation to consider a model error. The proposed algorithm has been evaluated via simulation studies in MATLAB/Simulink and CARSIM. The simulation results show the effectiveness of the proposed algorithm and its performance for changing lane in the highly-dense traffic situation.

本文利用基于运动的自适应不确定性传播和随机模型预测控制(SMPC),为自动驾驶汽车设计了在高密度交通状况下的变道决策和控制算法。本文介绍了所提算法的基本思想:i) 多准则决策(MCDM)下的当前情况下的最优运动;ii) 在密集交通情况下成功变道的四个步骤(基于真实驾驶数据的简单加速模型);iii) 基于运动的自适应不确定性传播,以考虑模型误差。通过在 MATLAB/Simulink 和 CARSIM 中进行仿真研究,对所提出的算法进行了评估。仿真结果表明了所提算法的有效性及其在高密度交通情况下变换车道的性能。
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引用次数: 0
Driver stress levels detection system using hyperparameter optimization 利用超参数优化的驾驶员压力水平检测系统
IF 2.8 3区 工程技术 Q3 TRANSPORTATION Pub Date : 2024-07-03 DOI: 10.1080/15472450.2022.2140046

Stress and driving are a dangerous combination which can lead to crashes, as evidenced by the large number of road traffic crashes that involve stress. Therefore, it is essential to build a practical system that can classify driver stress level with high accuracy. However, the performance of such a system depends on hyperparameter optimization choices such as data segmentation (windowing hyperparameters). The configuration setting of hyperparameters, which has an enormous impact on the system performance, are typically hand-tuned while evaluating the algorithm. This tuning process is time consuming and there are also no generic optimal values for hyperparameters values. In this work, we propose a meta-heuristic approach to support automated hyperparameter optimization and provide a real-time driver stress detection system. This is the first systematic study of optimizing windowing hyperparameters based on Electrocardiogram (ECG) signal in the domain of driving safety. Our approach is to propose a framework based on Particle Swarm Optimization algorithm (PSO) to select an optimal/near optimal windowing hyperparameters values. The performance of the proposed framework is evaluated on two datasets: a public dataset (DRIVEDB dataset) and our collected dataset using an advanced simulator. DRIVEDB dataset was collected in a real-time driving scenario and our dataset was collected using an advanced driving simulator in the control environment. We demonstrate that optimizing the windowing hyperparameters yields significant improvement in terms of accuracy. The most accurate built model applied to the public dataset and our dataset, based on the selected windowing hyperparameters, achieved 92.12% and 77.78% accuracy, respectively.

压力和驾驶是一种危险的组合,可能导致交通事故,大量涉及压力的道路交通事故就是证明。因此,建立一个能对驾驶员压力水平进行高精度分类的实用系统至关重要。然而,这种系统的性能取决于超参数的优化选择,如数据分割(开窗超参数)。超参数的配置设置对系统性能影响巨大,通常需要在评估算法时进行手动调整。这种调整过程非常耗时,而且超参数值也没有通用的最优值。在这项工作中,我们提出了一种元启发式方法来支持自动超参数优化,并提供一个实时驾驶员压力检测系统。这是首次在驾驶安全领域对基于心电图(ECG)信号的窗口化超参数进行优化的系统性研究。我们的方法是提出一个基于粒子群优化算法(PSO)的框架,以选择最佳/近似最佳窗口超参数值。我们在两个数据集上评估了拟议框架的性能:一个公共数据集(DRIVEDB 数据集)和我们使用高级模拟器收集的数据集。DRIVEDB 数据集是在实时驾驶场景中收集的,而我们的数据集是在控制环境中使用高级驾驶模拟器收集的。我们证明,优化窗口超参数可显著提高准确性。根据所选的窗口化超参数,应用于公共数据集和我们的数据集的最准确模型分别达到了 92.12% 和 77.78% 的准确率。
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引用次数: 0
Empirical study of a cooperative longitudinal control for merging maneuvers considering courtesy and mixed autonomy 考虑礼让和混合自主的并线机动合作纵向控制实证研究
IF 2.8 3区 工程技术 Q3 TRANSPORTATION Pub Date : 2024-07-03 DOI: 10.1080/15472450.2023.2174802

This study focuses on how to improve the merge control prior to lane reduction points due to either accidents or constructions. A Cooperative longitudinal Control for Merging maneuvers (CCM) strategy based on Automated Vehicles (AV) is proposed considering cooperation among vehicles, courtesy, and the coexistence of AV and Human-Driven Vehicles (HDV). CCM introduces a modified/generalized Cooperative Adaptive Cruise Control (CACC) for vehicle longitudinal control prior to lane reduction points. It also takes courtesy into account to ensure that AV behave responsibly and ethically. CCM is evaluated using microscopic traffic simulation and compared with no control and CACC merge strategies. The results show that CCM consistently generates the lowest delays and highest throughputs approaching the theoretical capacity. Its safety benefits are also found to be significant based on vehicle trajectories and density maps. CCM mainly requires vehicles to have automated longitudinal (such as Adaptive Cruise Control (ACC)) and lane-changing control, which are already commercially available on some vehicles. Also, it does not need 100% AV penetration, presenting itself as a promising solution for improving traffic operations in lane reduction transition areas such as highway work zones.

本研究的重点是如何在因事故或施工而导致车道减少之前改进并线控制。考虑到车辆之间的合作、礼让以及自动驾驶车辆和人工驾驶车辆(HDV)的共存,提出了一种基于自动驾驶车辆(AV)的并线机动纵向合作控制(CCM)策略。CCM 引入了改进/通用的合作自适应巡航控制系统(CACC),用于在车道缩减点之前对车辆进行纵向控制。它还考虑到了礼让问题,以确保自动驾驶汽车的行为负责任并符合道德规范。通过微观交通模拟对 CCM 进行了评估,并与无控制和 CACC 合并策略进行了比较。结果表明,CCM 始终能产生最低的延迟和最高的吞吐量,接近理论容量。根据车辆轨迹和密度图,还发现其安全效益显著。CCM 主要要求车辆具有自动纵向控制(如自适应巡航控制(ACC))和变道控制,而这些功能在一些车辆上已经商用。此外,它不需要 100%的自动驾驶普及率,因此是改善高速公路工作区等车道减少过渡区域交通运行的一种有前途的解决方案。
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引用次数: 0
Analysis of spatial interactions among shared e-scooters, shared bikes, and public transit 共享电动滑板车、共享自行车和公共交通之间的空间互动分析
IF 2.8 3区 工程技术 Q3 TRANSPORTATION Pub Date : 2024-07-03 DOI: 10.1080/15472450.2023.2174803

Shared bikes, shared e-scooters, and public transit make up most public transportation modes in big cities. Their combination can provide a convenient, efficient, and flexible multi-modal transportation service. Despite the obvious similarity among them, differences exist in the roles that they play in a multi-modal transportation system. A case study in the City of Austin, where shared bikes, shared e-scooters, and public transit coexist, is used to explore their unique characteristics and how they spatially complement or compete with each other. The results show that public transit has more pronounced characteristics related to commuting than shared micromobility modes do, and that shared bikes are more likely to be used for commuting compared to shared e-scooters. Interestingly, the results suggest that there is spatial segregation between where shared bikes complement public transit and shared e-scooters complement public transit, i.e., only one shared mode complements public transit at a given area.

共享单车、共享电动滑板车和公共交通构成了大城市的大部分公共交通模式。它们的组合可以提供便捷、高效、灵活的多模式交通服务。尽管它们之间有明显的相似性,但在多模式交通系统中发挥的作用却存在差异。在奥斯汀市,共享单车、共享电动滑板车和公共交通共存,本研究通过一个案例来探讨它们的独特性以及它们在空间上是如何互补或竞争的。结果表明,与共享微型交通模式相比,公共交通在通勤方面具有更明显的特征,而与共享电动滑板车相比,共享自行车更有可能用于通勤。有趣的是,结果表明,共享单车与公共交通互补的地方和共享电动滑板车与公共交通互补的地方之间存在空间隔离,即在特定区域只有一种共享模式与公共交通互补。
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引用次数: 0
Multi-lane’s control performance differentiation on traffic efficiency under the lane-level dynamic coordination strategy 车道级动态协调策略下的多车道控制性能差异对交通效率的影响
IF 2.8 3区 工程技术 Q3 TRANSPORTATION Pub Date : 2024-07-03 DOI: 10.1080/15472450.2022.2157213

Under the context of rapid development of the Internet of vehicles and vehicle-road collaboration system, active traffic management (ATM) becoming the mainstream means of road traffic control and developing toward refinement. In this paper, to study the high-precision lane-level dynamic induction control strategy in different scenarios, based on the NaSch model of cellular automata and combined with the characteristics of the failure section area, a fuzzy lane-changing bypass vehicle-following model considering lane-changing pressure in multi-lane failure scenarios was built. The simulation results show that (i) if the lane failure occurs on the middle lane, the lane should be induced in advance, and the induced lane change effect is the best at about 100 m. When the lane failure occurs in the left lane and right lane, the prompt is best at about 250 m. (ii) The induced distance should be based on actual traffic conditions, free combination of different early warning distances between 100 and 300 m can save about 20–30 s congestion time. (iii) The lane-level dynamic coordinated guidance control measures can effectively improve the road traffic efficiency compared with the static unified control measures, improve the traffic efficiency of road performance, and alleviate traffic congestion time. The conclusion of this paper can provide some reference for dynamic active control management and achieve higher accuracy of traffic flow lane-level control.

在车联网和车路协同系统快速发展的背景下,主动交通管理(ATM)成为道路交通控制的主流手段,并向精细化方向发展。本文为研究不同场景下的高精度车道级动态诱导控制策略,基于蜂窝自动机的 NaSch 模型,结合故障路段区域特点,建立了考虑多车道故障场景下变道压力的模糊变道绕行车辆跟随模型。仿真结果表明:(i) 如果车道故障发生在中间车道,应提前诱导变道,在 100 m 左右诱导变道效果最佳;当车道故障发生在左侧车道和右侧车道时,在 250 m 左右提示效果最佳;(ii) 诱导距离应根据实际交通状况而定,100 至 300 m 之间不同预警距离的自由组合可节省约 20-30 s 的拥堵时间。(三)车道级动态协调引导控制措施与静态统一控制措施相比,能有效提高道路通行效率,改善道路的通行效能,缓解交通拥堵时间。本文的结论可为动态主动控制管理提供一定的参考,实现更高精度的交通流车道级控制。
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引用次数: 0
Resilience assessment and enhancement of urban road networks subject to traffic accidents: a network-scale optimization strategy 受交通事故影响的城市路网复原力评估与提升:网络规模优化战略
IF 2.8 3区 工程技术 Q3 TRANSPORTATION Pub Date : 2024-07-03 DOI: 10.1080/15472450.2022.2141119

This study is aimed at investigating the resilience degradation caused by traffic accidents and developing relevant resilience optimization strategies. A two-stage accident resilience triangle framework was proposed by comparing the differences between natural disasters and traffic accidents. To maximize system resilience, a network-wide traffic signal optimization model was presented. Spillback constraints and equilibrium constraints were established to enhance the capacity of urban-road networks to minimize congestion escalation, in addition to rapid recovery. A two-level algorithm based on greedy strategy and gradient descent was designed to solve the proposed non-linear programming model. In the experiment, a virtual road network was constructed based on the Simulation of Urban Mobility (SUMO) platform for validation and sensitivity analysis. The experimental results revealed that: (1) Compared to the traditional resilience framework, the proposed two-stage accident resilience framework can more reasonably describe the change mechanism of road network resilience under disturbance. (2) The proposed resilience-based traffic signal optimization model improved the system resilience under different conditions of traffic demand, accident severity, and rescue time in terms of the maximum performance degradation and recovery time. Precisely, the resilience loss is reduced by a maximum of 1.4%. Finally, the proposed model was further implemented with field data. The resilience improvement was significant during the evening rush hour. The results of this study contribute toward transportation resilience research and accident rescue strategies with respect to traffic management and control.

本研究旨在调查交通事故导致的复原力下降,并制定相关的复原力优化策略。通过比较自然灾害与交通事故之间的差异,提出了两阶段事故弹性三角框架。为了最大限度地提高系统恢复能力,提出了一个全网交通信号优化模型。建立了回溢约束和平衡约束,以提高城市道路网络的容量,从而在快速恢复的同时最大限度地减少拥堵升级。设计了一种基于贪婪策略和梯度下降的两级算法来求解所提出的非线性编程模型。在实验中,基于城市交通仿真(SUMO)平台构建了一个虚拟路网进行验证和敏感性分析。实验结果表明(1)与传统的恢复力框架相比,所提出的两阶段事故恢复力框架能更合理地描述干扰下路网恢复力的变化机制。(2)所提出的基于恢复力的交通信号优化模型在不同交通需求、事故严重程度和救援时间条件下,从最大性能衰减和恢复时间两个方面改善了系统的恢复力。确切地说,弹性损失最大减少了 1.4%。最后,利用现场数据进一步实施了所提出的模型。在晚高峰时段,恢复能力的提高非常明显。本研究的结果有助于交通管理和控制方面的交通恢复力研究和事故救援策略。
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引用次数: 0
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Journal of Intelligent Transportation Systems
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