首页 > 最新文献

Hydrology Research最新文献

英文 中文
Applicability of the HBV model to a human-influenced catchment in northern China HBV模型在中国北方人类影响流域的适用性
IF 2.7 4区 环境科学与生态学 Q2 Environmental Science Pub Date : 2023-01-18 DOI: 10.2166/nh.2023.092
Yueyang Wang, Yanjun Wang, Yan Wang, Chenxi Li, Q. Ju, Junliang Jin, Xiyuan Deng, Gaoxia Sun, Z. Bao
The Hydrologiska Byrans VattenbalansavdeIning (HBV) model is a catchment hydrological model that has been widely applied to hundreds of catchments worldwide. Taking the Nanjuma River Basin which is located in a semi-arid climate zone and has been highly regulated by human activities, as a case, the applicability of the HBV model to the basin was investigated. Results show that (1) due to environmental change, recorded stream flow of the Nanjuma River presented a significant decreasing trend, and the relationship between runoff and precipitation was changed as well, with the correlation coefficient decreasing from 0.58 in the natural period of 1961–1979 to 0.01 in a highly regulated period of 2000–2018. (2) The HBV model performs well on daily and monthly discharge simulation for the natural period with the Nash–Sutcliffe efficiency (NSE) coefficients in calibration and validation periods of 0.63 and 0.81 for daily discharge simulation. (3) The HBV model's applicability would like to decrease when the Nanjuma River Basin was moderately and intensively regulated by human activities. The daily-scale NSEs in moderate-disturbance and intensive-disturbance phases are 0.42 and −0.3, which means the HBV model almost lost its capacity in capturing hydrological features for a highly regulated catchment.
Hydroiska-Byrans-VattebalansavedeIning(HBV)模型是一种流域水文模型,已广泛应用于全球数百个流域。以地处半干旱气候区、受人类活动高度调控的南拒马河流域为例,探讨了HBV模型在该流域的适用性。结果表明:(1)由于环境变化,南拒马河记录流量呈显著下降趋势,径流量与降水量的关系也发生了变化,相关系数从1961~1979年自然期的0.58下降到2000~2018年高度调控期的0.01。(2) HBV模型在自然期的日和月出院模拟中表现良好,校准和验证期的Nash–Sutcliffe效率(NSE)系数分别为0.63和0.81。(3) 当南拒马河流域受到人类活动的中度和高度调节时,HBV模型的适用性将降低。中度扰动和强烈扰动阶段的日尺度NSE分别为0.42和-0.3,这意味着HBV模型几乎失去了捕捉高度调节集水区水文特征的能力。
{"title":"Applicability of the HBV model to a human-influenced catchment in northern China","authors":"Yueyang Wang, Yanjun Wang, Yan Wang, Chenxi Li, Q. Ju, Junliang Jin, Xiyuan Deng, Gaoxia Sun, Z. Bao","doi":"10.2166/nh.2023.092","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.2166/nh.2023.092","url":null,"abstract":"\u0000 The Hydrologiska Byrans VattenbalansavdeIning (HBV) model is a catchment hydrological model that has been widely applied to hundreds of catchments worldwide. Taking the Nanjuma River Basin which is located in a semi-arid climate zone and has been highly regulated by human activities, as a case, the applicability of the HBV model to the basin was investigated. Results show that (1) due to environmental change, recorded stream flow of the Nanjuma River presented a significant decreasing trend, and the relationship between runoff and precipitation was changed as well, with the correlation coefficient decreasing from 0.58 in the natural period of 1961–1979 to 0.01 in a highly regulated period of 2000–2018. (2) The HBV model performs well on daily and monthly discharge simulation for the natural period with the Nash–Sutcliffe efficiency (NSE) coefficients in calibration and validation periods of 0.63 and 0.81 for daily discharge simulation. (3) The HBV model's applicability would like to decrease when the Nanjuma River Basin was moderately and intensively regulated by human activities. The daily-scale NSEs in moderate-disturbance and intensive-disturbance phases are 0.42 and −0.3, which means the HBV model almost lost its capacity in capturing hydrological features for a highly regulated catchment.","PeriodicalId":55040,"journal":{"name":"Hydrology Research","volume":" ","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":2.7,"publicationDate":"2023-01-18","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"43660539","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":4,"RegionCategory":"环境科学与生态学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Hydrological drought in two largest river-connecting lakes in the middle reaches of the Yangtze River, China 中国长江中游两个最大的连河湖的水文干旱
IF 2.7 4区 环境科学与生态学 Q2 Environmental Science Pub Date : 2023-01-10 DOI: 10.2166/nh.2023.110
Xianghu Li, Xu-chun Ye, Z. Li, Dan Zhang
Poyang and Dongting Lakes are two important river-connecting lakes with a complicated water system pattern in the middle reaches of the Yangtze River, China. Recently, extreme drought events occurred frequently in the two lakes. This study analyzed the characteristics and differences of hydrological droughts in Poyang and Dongting Lakes during the period of 1964–2016 and explored the correlation between drought and large-scale climate indices. The results showed that the hydrological droughts of Poyang and Dongting Lakes became increasingly serious. Especially after 2003, both lakes entered the dry season earlier and the intensity of drought was increased. The hydrological drought of Poyang Lake was more serious than that of Dongting Lake in spring (16.40%) and winter (14.26%), while the autumn drought in Dongting Lake (32.46%) was severer than that in Poyang Lake (27.65%). The spring droughts in the two lakes were significantly associated with droughts in their local catchments with the joint probabilities of 10.84 and 9.52%, while the autumn droughts were consistent with the hydrological droughts of the Yangtze River with large joint probabilities (26.39 and 27.76%). The changes in large-scale climate indices more significantly affected the drought in Poyang Lake than that in Dongting Lake, especially in autumn and winter.
鄱阳湖和洞庭湖是中国长江中游两个重要的连河湖泊,水系格局复杂。近年来,两湖极端干旱事件频繁发生。分析了1964-2016年鄱阳湖和洞庭湖水文干旱的特征及差异,探讨了干旱与大尺度气候指标的相关性。结果表明,鄱阳湖和洞庭湖水文干旱日益严重。特别是2003年以后,两湖进入旱季时间提前,干旱强度增大。春季(16.40%)和冬季(14.26%)鄱阳湖水文干旱严重程度高于洞庭湖,秋季(32.46%)旱情严重程度高于鄱阳湖(27.65%)。两湖春季干旱与当地流域干旱的联合概率分别为10.84和9.52%,秋季干旱与长江水文干旱的联合概率较大(分别为26.39和27.76%)。大尺度气候指数的变化对鄱阳湖旱情的影响大于洞庭湖,尤其是秋冬季。
{"title":"Hydrological drought in two largest river-connecting lakes in the middle reaches of the Yangtze River, China","authors":"Xianghu Li, Xu-chun Ye, Z. Li, Dan Zhang","doi":"10.2166/nh.2023.110","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.2166/nh.2023.110","url":null,"abstract":"\u0000 Poyang and Dongting Lakes are two important river-connecting lakes with a complicated water system pattern in the middle reaches of the Yangtze River, China. Recently, extreme drought events occurred frequently in the two lakes. This study analyzed the characteristics and differences of hydrological droughts in Poyang and Dongting Lakes during the period of 1964–2016 and explored the correlation between drought and large-scale climate indices. The results showed that the hydrological droughts of Poyang and Dongting Lakes became increasingly serious. Especially after 2003, both lakes entered the dry season earlier and the intensity of drought was increased. The hydrological drought of Poyang Lake was more serious than that of Dongting Lake in spring (16.40%) and winter (14.26%), while the autumn drought in Dongting Lake (32.46%) was severer than that in Poyang Lake (27.65%). The spring droughts in the two lakes were significantly associated with droughts in their local catchments with the joint probabilities of 10.84 and 9.52%, while the autumn droughts were consistent with the hydrological droughts of the Yangtze River with large joint probabilities (26.39 and 27.76%). The changes in large-scale climate indices more significantly affected the drought in Poyang Lake than that in Dongting Lake, especially in autumn and winter.","PeriodicalId":55040,"journal":{"name":"Hydrology Research","volume":" ","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":2.7,"publicationDate":"2023-01-10","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"42937178","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":4,"RegionCategory":"环境科学与生态学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 4
Analysis of the climate change impact on the spatiotemporal drought in the Gaza region of the southeastern Mediterranean 气候变化对地中海东南部加沙地区时空干旱的影响分析
IF 2.7 4区 环境科学与生态学 Q2 Environmental Science Pub Date : 2022-12-31 DOI: 10.2166/nh.2022.083
Alaeddinne Eljamassi, Hassan Al-Najjar, Mahmoud Abdel latif, Ashraf Dweikat, Maher Aljamal
The southeast Mediterranean region of the Gaza Strip is showing traces of evolving drought patterns driven by the impacts of climate change. The analysis of rainfall data at eight meteorological stations for a period extending over 48 years from 1974 to 2021 shows obvious variations in the spatiotemporal distribution of the rainfall over the Gaza Strip. The total monthly rainfall trend analysis for the wet months indicates a decreasing trend during February, March, April, and November with a ratio ranging between −16 and −62% and an increasing trend of about 35 and 141% through October at each of the meteorological stations. However, January shows an increasing trend of about 1–27% at all meteorological stations except Nussirat where a decline of about −7% is recorded while December refers to an increasing trend by about 5–27% in the north area of Gaza and declining trend of −2 to −17% over the southern region of the Gaza Strip. The drought analysis using the SPI indicator refers to a significant development of drought during the years 1990, 1999, 2010, and 2014 in the Gaza Strip with a major incident of occurrence where specifically, the monthly drought in term.
加沙地带地中海东南部地区显示出气候变化影响下干旱模式不断演变的痕迹。对1974年至2021年48年期间八个气象站的降雨数据进行的分析显示,加沙地带降雨量的时空分布存在明显变化。丰水月份的月总降雨量趋势分析表明,在2月、3月、4月和11月期间,每个气象站的降雨量呈下降趋势,比例在−16%至−62%之间,到10月,降雨量呈上升趋势,约为35%至141%。然而,除Nussirat外,所有气象站的1月都显示出约1-27%的增长趋势,Nussirats的下降率约为−7%,而12月则是指加沙北部地区的增长趋势约为5-27%,加沙地带南部地区的下降趋势为−2%至−17%。使用SPI指标的干旱分析指的是1990年、1999年、2010年和2014年加沙地带干旱的显著发展,发生了重大事件,特别是每月的干旱。
{"title":"Analysis of the climate change impact on the spatiotemporal drought in the Gaza region of the southeastern Mediterranean","authors":"Alaeddinne Eljamassi, Hassan Al-Najjar, Mahmoud Abdel latif, Ashraf Dweikat, Maher Aljamal","doi":"10.2166/nh.2022.083","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.2166/nh.2022.083","url":null,"abstract":"\u0000 The southeast Mediterranean region of the Gaza Strip is showing traces of evolving drought patterns driven by the impacts of climate change. The analysis of rainfall data at eight meteorological stations for a period extending over 48 years from 1974 to 2021 shows obvious variations in the spatiotemporal distribution of the rainfall over the Gaza Strip. The total monthly rainfall trend analysis for the wet months indicates a decreasing trend during February, March, April, and November with a ratio ranging between −16 and −62% and an increasing trend of about 35 and 141% through October at each of the meteorological stations. However, January shows an increasing trend of about 1–27% at all meteorological stations except Nussirat where a decline of about −7% is recorded while December refers to an increasing trend by about 5–27% in the north area of Gaza and declining trend of −2 to −17% over the southern region of the Gaza Strip. The drought analysis using the SPI indicator refers to a significant development of drought during the years 1990, 1999, 2010, and 2014 in the Gaza Strip with a major incident of occurrence where specifically, the monthly drought in term.","PeriodicalId":55040,"journal":{"name":"Hydrology Research","volume":" ","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":2.7,"publicationDate":"2022-12-31","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"42287872","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":4,"RegionCategory":"环境科学与生态学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Sustainable planning of multipurpose hydropower reservoirs with environmental impacts in a simulation–optimization framework 考虑环境影响的多用途水电水库可持续规划模拟优化框架
IF 2.7 4区 环境科学与生态学 Q2 Environmental Science Pub Date : 2022-12-30 DOI: 10.2166/nh.2022.084
A. Hatamkhani, A. Moridi, T. Randhir
Hydropower projects involve enormous investments that require an efficient cost–benefit framework and optimization model for proper development. Dams and hydropower plants have many impacts on the environment. These environmental impacts are often not included in the economic calculations and planning of the projects, which leads to the loss of natural resources. The primary purpose of this research is to incorporate environmental impacts into optimization and decision-making. A comprehensive simulation–optimization model is developed to optimize hydropower decisions. The positive and negative values of environmental impacts are incorporated into an economic objective function under different scenarios, and optimal design was done for each scenario. The results show that considering environmental economics affects the multipurpose hydropower project's NPV and decision outcomes. Considering environmental impacts compared to not considering them has reduced NPV of the project by 13.9%. The results emphasize the importance of including these impacts to achieve sustainable development and management.
水电项目涉及巨大的投资,需要一个有效的成本效益框架和优化模型来进行适当的开发。水坝和水电站对环境有许多影响。这些环境影响往往不包括在项目的经济计算和规划中,这导致了自然资源的损失。本研究的主要目的是将环境影响纳入优化和决策中。开发了一个综合模拟-优化模型来优化水电决策。将环境影响的正值和负值纳入不同情景下的经济目标函数,并对每个情景进行优化设计。结果表明,考虑环境经济因素会影响多用途水电项目的净现值和决策结果。与不考虑环境影响相比,考虑环境影响使项目的净现值降低了13.9%。结果强调了包括这些影响对实现可持续发展和管理的重要性。
{"title":"Sustainable planning of multipurpose hydropower reservoirs with environmental impacts in a simulation–optimization framework","authors":"A. Hatamkhani, A. Moridi, T. Randhir","doi":"10.2166/nh.2022.084","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.2166/nh.2022.084","url":null,"abstract":"\u0000 Hydropower projects involve enormous investments that require an efficient cost–benefit framework and optimization model for proper development. Dams and hydropower plants have many impacts on the environment. These environmental impacts are often not included in the economic calculations and planning of the projects, which leads to the loss of natural resources. The primary purpose of this research is to incorporate environmental impacts into optimization and decision-making. A comprehensive simulation–optimization model is developed to optimize hydropower decisions. The positive and negative values of environmental impacts are incorporated into an economic objective function under different scenarios, and optimal design was done for each scenario. The results show that considering environmental economics affects the multipurpose hydropower project's NPV and decision outcomes. Considering environmental impacts compared to not considering them has reduced NPV of the project by 13.9%. The results emphasize the importance of including these impacts to achieve sustainable development and management.","PeriodicalId":55040,"journal":{"name":"Hydrology Research","volume":" ","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":2.7,"publicationDate":"2022-12-30","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"44673689","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":4,"RegionCategory":"环境科学与生态学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 1
Quantifying the impact of climate change and human activities on the eco-hydrological regimes of the Weihe River Basin, Northwest China 量化气候变化和人类活动对渭河流域生态水文状况的影响
IF 2.7 4区 环境科学与生态学 Q2 Environmental Science Pub Date : 2022-12-23 DOI: 10.2166/nh.2022.194
Shanhu Jiang, Yating Liu, Menghao Wang, Yongwei Zhu, Hao Cui, Shu-Li Du, Chong-yu Xu
Climate change and anthropogenic interventions have obviously altered the eco-hydrological regimes. A quantitative evaluation and attribution of the eco-hydrological alterations are urgently required. In this study, we evaluated the various attributions of eco-hydrological regimes in the Weihe River Basin (WRB). Firstly, the trends and change-point analysis of hydrological elements were examined, and the natural streamflow was reproduced based on the variable infiltration capacity model. Then, the most ecologically relevant hydrological indicators (ERHIs) were selected and combined with the eco-deficit and eco-surplus indicators to assess the degree of eco-hydrological regime alterations. Finally, the relative contributions to eco-hydrological alterations were quantified using the ‘simulated–observed comparison’ method. The results showed that (1) the streamflow of the WRB exhibited significant decreasing trends (p < 0.01), and a significant change point (p < 0.01) of the streamflow series was identified in 1990. (2) Seven representative indicators of hydrological alteration were selected as ERHIs. (3) During the human-induced period (1991–2017), human activities were the dominant factors in the eco-hydrological alterations as well as the variations of the ERHI indexes and the eco-deficit and eco-surplus metrics. Overall, the proposed framework may improve the understanding of the driving forces of eco-hydrological regime alterations under a changing environment.
气候变化和人为干预明显改变了生态水文状况。迫切需要对生态水文变化进行定量评估和归因。在本研究中,我们评估了渭河流域生态水文状况的各种属性。首先,考察了水文要素的变化趋势和变化点分析,并基于变入渗能力模型再现了自然流量。然后,选择最具生态相关性的水文指标(ERHI),并将其与生态赤字和生态盈余指标相结合,以评估生态水文状况的变化程度。最后,使用“模拟-观测比较”方法对生态水文变化的相对贡献进行了量化。结果表明:(1)WRB的流量呈显著下降趋势(p<0.01),1990年确定了流量序列的显著变化点(p<0.01)。(2) 选取7个具有代表性的水文变化指标作为ERHI。(3) 在人类诱发时期(1991-2017),人类活动是生态水文变化的主导因素,也是ERHI指数、生态赤字和生态盈余指标变化的主导因子。总的来说,拟议的框架可以提高对环境变化下生态水文状况变化驱动力的理解。
{"title":"Quantifying the impact of climate change and human activities on the eco-hydrological regimes of the Weihe River Basin, Northwest China","authors":"Shanhu Jiang, Yating Liu, Menghao Wang, Yongwei Zhu, Hao Cui, Shu-Li Du, Chong-yu Xu","doi":"10.2166/nh.2022.194","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.2166/nh.2022.194","url":null,"abstract":"\u0000 Climate change and anthropogenic interventions have obviously altered the eco-hydrological regimes. A quantitative evaluation and attribution of the eco-hydrological alterations are urgently required. In this study, we evaluated the various attributions of eco-hydrological regimes in the Weihe River Basin (WRB). Firstly, the trends and change-point analysis of hydrological elements were examined, and the natural streamflow was reproduced based on the variable infiltration capacity model. Then, the most ecologically relevant hydrological indicators (ERHIs) were selected and combined with the eco-deficit and eco-surplus indicators to assess the degree of eco-hydrological regime alterations. Finally, the relative contributions to eco-hydrological alterations were quantified using the ‘simulated–observed comparison’ method. The results showed that (1) the streamflow of the WRB exhibited significant decreasing trends (p < 0.01), and a significant change point (p < 0.01) of the streamflow series was identified in 1990. (2) Seven representative indicators of hydrological alteration were selected as ERHIs. (3) During the human-induced period (1991–2017), human activities were the dominant factors in the eco-hydrological alterations as well as the variations of the ERHI indexes and the eco-deficit and eco-surplus metrics. Overall, the proposed framework may improve the understanding of the driving forces of eco-hydrological regime alterations under a changing environment.","PeriodicalId":55040,"journal":{"name":"Hydrology Research","volume":" ","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":2.7,"publicationDate":"2022-12-23","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"43619327","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":4,"RegionCategory":"环境科学与生态学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 5
Surface-groundwater exchange between a wetland, sandur, and lava field in southeastern Iceland 冰岛东南部湿地、沙都尔和熔岩场之间的地表地下水交换
IF 2.7 4区 环境科学与生态学 Q2 Environmental Science Pub Date : 2022-12-20 DOI: 10.2166/nh.2022.079
Aiesha Aggarwal, K. Young
In May 2019, over 50 springs were identified at a sandur-lava field–wetland complex in Southeast Iceland and a subset was selected for further investigation including monitoring water levels, discharge, and water chemistry. Between May and September 2019, springs at the study site had relatively stable water levels and temperatures (4–5 °C), although heavy rains (>10 mm) corresponded with increased water levels and/or temperatures at some springs. Together, the water level, temperature, and stable isotope data suggest that the springs at the study site are fed by older groundwater from an aquifer that is recharged by precipitation. Spikes in water level indicated that at least one spring at the edge of the sandur also received floodwater and shallow subsurface flows from the glacial-fed Brunná River. One wetland spring was further monitored over the water year (October 2019 to October 2020). Like other springs, water levels and temperatures remained relatively stable, fluctuating with inputs of precipitation. Longer-term studies will be needed to gain an improved understanding of seasonal spring vulnerability to climate change and their role in the functioning of a coastal wetland in Southeast Iceland.
2019年5月,在冰岛东南部的一个桑杜尔-熔岩场-湿地复合体中发现了50多个泉水,并选择了一个子集进行进一步调查,包括监测水位、流量和水化学。2019年5月至9月期间,研究地点的泉水水位和温度相对稳定(4-5°C),尽管暴雨(10 - 10毫米)与一些泉水的水位和/或温度升高相对应。总之,水位、温度和稳定同位素数据表明,研究地点的泉水是由降水补充的含水层中较老的地下水提供的。水位的峰值表明,沙砾边缘至少有一个泉水也接收了来自冰川的布伦纳河的洪水和浅层地下水流。在水年(2019年10月至2020年10月)期间对一个湿地泉进行了进一步监测。像其他泉水一样,水位和温度保持相对稳定,随着降水的输入而波动。需要进行更长期的研究,以更好地了解季节性春季对气候变化的脆弱性及其在冰岛东南部沿海湿地功能中的作用。
{"title":"Surface-groundwater exchange between a wetland, sandur, and lava field in southeastern Iceland","authors":"Aiesha Aggarwal, K. Young","doi":"10.2166/nh.2022.079","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.2166/nh.2022.079","url":null,"abstract":"\u0000 In May 2019, over 50 springs were identified at a sandur-lava field–wetland complex in Southeast Iceland and a subset was selected for further investigation including monitoring water levels, discharge, and water chemistry. Between May and September 2019, springs at the study site had relatively stable water levels and temperatures (4–5 °C), although heavy rains (>10 mm) corresponded with increased water levels and/or temperatures at some springs. Together, the water level, temperature, and stable isotope data suggest that the springs at the study site are fed by older groundwater from an aquifer that is recharged by precipitation. Spikes in water level indicated that at least one spring at the edge of the sandur also received floodwater and shallow subsurface flows from the glacial-fed Brunná River. One wetland spring was further monitored over the water year (October 2019 to October 2020). Like other springs, water levels and temperatures remained relatively stable, fluctuating with inputs of precipitation. Longer-term studies will be needed to gain an improved understanding of seasonal spring vulnerability to climate change and their role in the functioning of a coastal wetland in Southeast Iceland.","PeriodicalId":55040,"journal":{"name":"Hydrology Research","volume":" ","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":2.7,"publicationDate":"2022-12-20","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"41984188","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":4,"RegionCategory":"环境科学与生态学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Quantifying the contribution of uncertainty sources of artificial neural network models using ANOVA for reservoir power generation 利用方差分析量化水库发电人工神经网络模型不确定性来源的贡献
IF 2.7 4区 环境科学与生态学 Q2 Environmental Science Pub Date : 2022-12-10 DOI: 10.2166/nh.2022.052
Wenhang Jiang, Jiu-fu Liu, Anbang Peng, Guodong Liu, Rong Zhang
There are many sources of uncertainty in reservoir operation. The presence of these uncertainties might lead to operation risks, which directly affect the comprehensive benefit of reservoirs. This study developed a simple framework to quantify the uncertainty contribution arising from the inputs, model structures, model parameters, and their interaction in the reservoirs. We established a deterministic reservoir operations model with the intention of maximizing power generation, and the scheduling results with the inputs and optimal output datasets were used for data-driven models – artificial neural networks (ANNs). The time period, inflow, storage, and inflow in the last period were chosen as input, integrating with ANN models of different structures and parameters, to produce an ensemble of 10-day forecasts of power generation. The analysis of variance (ANOVA) method was applied to quantify the contribution of the uncertainty sources. The results demonstrated that the inputs were the predominating source of uncertainty in the reservoir operation, especially from May to October. In addition, the uncertainty caused by the interactions between the three sources of uncertainty was more considerable than that of the model structure or parameter in November–April, and the uncertainty contributions of the model structure or parameter were relatively marginal.
在油藏生产中存在许多不确定因素。这些不确定性的存在可能会导致运行风险,直接影响到水库的综合效益。本研究开发了一个简单的框架来量化由输入、模型结构、模型参数及其在储层中的相互作用引起的不确定性贡献。建立了以发电量最大化为目标的确定性水库调度模型,并将输入和最优输出数据集的调度结果用于数据驱动模型-人工神经网络(ann)。选取时间段、入库量、库存量和上一时段入库量作为输入,结合不同结构和参数的人工神经网络模型,生成10天发电量预测集合。采用方差分析(ANOVA)方法量化不确定性源的贡献。结果表明,在5 ~ 10月期间,输入量是水库运行不确定性的主要来源。另外,在11 - 4月,三种不确定性源相互作用导致的不确定性比模型结构或参数的不确定性贡献更大,模型结构或参数的不确定性贡献相对较小。
{"title":"Quantifying the contribution of uncertainty sources of artificial neural network models using ANOVA for reservoir power generation","authors":"Wenhang Jiang, Jiu-fu Liu, Anbang Peng, Guodong Liu, Rong Zhang","doi":"10.2166/nh.2022.052","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.2166/nh.2022.052","url":null,"abstract":"\u0000 There are many sources of uncertainty in reservoir operation. The presence of these uncertainties might lead to operation risks, which directly affect the comprehensive benefit of reservoirs. This study developed a simple framework to quantify the uncertainty contribution arising from the inputs, model structures, model parameters, and their interaction in the reservoirs. We established a deterministic reservoir operations model with the intention of maximizing power generation, and the scheduling results with the inputs and optimal output datasets were used for data-driven models – artificial neural networks (ANNs). The time period, inflow, storage, and inflow in the last period were chosen as input, integrating with ANN models of different structures and parameters, to produce an ensemble of 10-day forecasts of power generation. The analysis of variance (ANOVA) method was applied to quantify the contribution of the uncertainty sources. The results demonstrated that the inputs were the predominating source of uncertainty in the reservoir operation, especially from May to October. In addition, the uncertainty caused by the interactions between the three sources of uncertainty was more considerable than that of the model structure or parameter in November–April, and the uncertainty contributions of the model structure or parameter were relatively marginal.","PeriodicalId":55040,"journal":{"name":"Hydrology Research","volume":" ","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":2.7,"publicationDate":"2022-12-10","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"47133399","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":4,"RegionCategory":"环境科学与生态学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 1
Causes of continuous and short-term hypoxia in rivers entering the sea: a case of Minjiang River in Fujian Province 入海河流持续短期缺氧的成因——以福建省闽江为例
IF 2.7 4区 环境科学与生态学 Q2 Environmental Science Pub Date : 2022-12-09 DOI: 10.2166/nh.2022.095
Peng Zhang, Bin Wang, Yishu Wang, Y. Pang, Chengchun Shi, Rongrong Xie
In the last 10 years, the Minjiang River, which is the longest river in the Fujian Province in Southeast China, has been facing a downward trend of dissolved oxygen (DO) and a frequent occurrence of hypoxia. In this study, the development of the continuous and short-term presence of low DO was investigated by using the water age concept and average DO consumption concept based on a three-dimensional Environmental Fluid Dynamics Code in the Minjiang River. The results revealed that the spatial distribution of DO was affected by temperature, runoff, pollution emission, tidal advection, and hypoxic water discharge from the reservoir bottom. The continuous low DO in the water of the North Channel occurred frequently when the enough pollutants were aerobically decomposed faster than the rate of oxygen reaeration during the high temperature and low river discharge period. In addition, the water age and reaeration time decreased with a rapid increase in the water flow from the Shuikou dam when the reservoir capacity was released via drainage. The results of this study provide scientific insights on the mechanism involved in the occurrence of hypoxia and suggest countermeasures for addressing hypoxic problems in estuaries.
闽江是中国东南部福建省最长的河流,近10年来,其溶解氧呈下降趋势,缺氧现象频发。在本研究中,基于三维环境流体动力学代码,利用水年龄概念和平均DO消耗概念,研究了低DO在岷江中持续和短期存在的发展。结果表明,DO的空间分布受温度、径流量、污染排放、潮汐平流和库底缺氧排水的影响。在高温低流量时期,当足够多的污染物以快于氧气复氧速率的速度进行有氧分解时,北航道水体中经常出现持续的低DO。此外,当通过排水释放水库容量时,水口大坝的水流量迅速增加,水龄和复氧时间也随之减少。这项研究的结果为缺氧发生的机制提供了科学的见解,并为解决河口缺氧问题提出了对策。
{"title":"Causes of continuous and short-term hypoxia in rivers entering the sea: a case of Minjiang River in Fujian Province","authors":"Peng Zhang, Bin Wang, Yishu Wang, Y. Pang, Chengchun Shi, Rongrong Xie","doi":"10.2166/nh.2022.095","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.2166/nh.2022.095","url":null,"abstract":"\u0000 In the last 10 years, the Minjiang River, which is the longest river in the Fujian Province in Southeast China, has been facing a downward trend of dissolved oxygen (DO) and a frequent occurrence of hypoxia. In this study, the development of the continuous and short-term presence of low DO was investigated by using the water age concept and average DO consumption concept based on a three-dimensional Environmental Fluid Dynamics Code in the Minjiang River. The results revealed that the spatial distribution of DO was affected by temperature, runoff, pollution emission, tidal advection, and hypoxic water discharge from the reservoir bottom. The continuous low DO in the water of the North Channel occurred frequently when the enough pollutants were aerobically decomposed faster than the rate of oxygen reaeration during the high temperature and low river discharge period. In addition, the water age and reaeration time decreased with a rapid increase in the water flow from the Shuikou dam when the reservoir capacity was released via drainage. The results of this study provide scientific insights on the mechanism involved in the occurrence of hypoxia and suggest countermeasures for addressing hypoxic problems in estuaries.","PeriodicalId":55040,"journal":{"name":"Hydrology Research","volume":" ","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":2.7,"publicationDate":"2022-12-09","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"43769684","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":4,"RegionCategory":"环境科学与生态学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 1
Lijiang flood characteristics and implication of karst storage through Muskingum flood routing via HEC-HMS, S. China 丽江洪水特征及其在HEC-HMS中喀斯特蓄水的意义
IF 2.7 4区 环境科学与生态学 Q2 Environmental Science Pub Date : 2022-12-07 DOI: 10.2166/nh.2022.060
S. Rad, Dai Junfeng, Xu Jingxuan, Li Zitao, Pan Linyan, Zepeng Wan, Liao-Fan Lin
We analyzed the characteristics of three main karstic/non-karst reaches of the Lijiang River in south China to uncover the causes behind different flood behaviors by providing a better understanding of the flood formation process. Having 63 years of rainfall-runoff data and applying the Hydrologic Engineering Canter's Hydrologic Modeling System (HEC-HMS) flood forecasting model, the geo/hydrological features were investigated. The available reservoir capacity of karts (ARCK) was included in the model through soil moisture accounting loss data to assess the impact of this variable. In particular, the expected instantaneous peak discharge rates and times were found largely imbalanced with generated unit hydrographs. Moreover, there were significant gaps among the floods’ features in different subbasins in terms of required peak modifications (i.e., two to four times bigger for midstream and upstream subbasins, respectively), which were mainly associated with the unique karst structure and the initial condition due to various ARCK in rainy/dry seasons. Besides, notable dissimilarities between the wedge and prism storage volumes and the hydrograph's wave traveling/receding time were observed owing to the geomorphological conditions. Although the contribution rates of drivers in karst flood formation cannot be quantitatively modeled, however, based on our results the ARCK emerged to play a substantial role on the forecasted results compared.
通过对丽江3个主要喀斯特/非喀斯特河段的特征分析,揭示了不同洪水行为背后的原因,从而更好地理解洪水的形成过程。利用63年的降雨径流数据,应用水文工程中心的水文模拟系统(HEC-HMS)洪水预报模型,研究了该流域的地质水文特征。通过土壤水分核算损失数据,将卡丁车有效库容(ARCK)纳入模型,评估该变量的影响。特别是,发现预期的瞬时峰值放电率和时间与生成的单位水文曲线在很大程度上不平衡。此外,不同子流域的洪水特征在所需的峰值修正量上存在显著差异(中游和上游子流域的峰值修正量分别为2 ~ 4倍),这主要与独特的喀斯特结构和雨季/旱季不同ARCK的初始条件有关。此外,由于地形条件的影响,楔形和棱柱的蓄水量和水流线的行/退时间也存在显著差异。虽然驱动因素对喀斯特洪水形成的贡献率无法定量建模,但基于我们的研究结果,ARCK在预测结果中发挥了重要作用。
{"title":"Lijiang flood characteristics and implication of karst storage through Muskingum flood routing via HEC-HMS, S. China","authors":"S. Rad, Dai Junfeng, Xu Jingxuan, Li Zitao, Pan Linyan, Zepeng Wan, Liao-Fan Lin","doi":"10.2166/nh.2022.060","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.2166/nh.2022.060","url":null,"abstract":"\u0000 We analyzed the characteristics of three main karstic/non-karst reaches of the Lijiang River in south China to uncover the causes behind different flood behaviors by providing a better understanding of the flood formation process. Having 63 years of rainfall-runoff data and applying the Hydrologic Engineering Canter's Hydrologic Modeling System (HEC-HMS) flood forecasting model, the geo/hydrological features were investigated. The available reservoir capacity of karts (ARCK) was included in the model through soil moisture accounting loss data to assess the impact of this variable. In particular, the expected instantaneous peak discharge rates and times were found largely imbalanced with generated unit hydrographs. Moreover, there were significant gaps among the floods’ features in different subbasins in terms of required peak modifications (i.e., two to four times bigger for midstream and upstream subbasins, respectively), which were mainly associated with the unique karst structure and the initial condition due to various ARCK in rainy/dry seasons. Besides, notable dissimilarities between the wedge and prism storage volumes and the hydrograph's wave traveling/receding time were observed owing to the geomorphological conditions. Although the contribution rates of drivers in karst flood formation cannot be quantitatively modeled, however, based on our results the ARCK emerged to play a substantial role on the forecasted results compared.","PeriodicalId":55040,"journal":{"name":"Hydrology Research","volume":" ","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":2.7,"publicationDate":"2022-12-07","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"43328275","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":4,"RegionCategory":"环境科学与生态学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 3
Improvement of springtime streamflow prediction using a snow hydrology model aided with USDA SNOTEL and in-situ snowpit observations 美国农业部SNOTEL和现场雪坑观测辅助下积雪水文模型对春季水流预报的改进
IF 2.7 4区 环境科学与生态学 Q2 Environmental Science Pub Date : 2022-12-01 DOI: 10.2166/nh.2022.180
D. Kang, Kyung-Seon Lee, Edward J. Kim
Estimating the streamflow driven by snowmelt in rugged mountain watersheds is difficult. Challenges are associated with the limited observations of hydrologic and meteorological datasets and inadequate implementation of the snow hydrology models. This study aims to improve streamflow prediction during the snowmelt season using a snow hydrology model aided by field observations. When the point-based weather forcing data and in-situ snowpit measurements exist in or near a small-scale (2–3 km2) watershed, the hydrologic model demonstrated an improved streamflow prediction during the snowmelt period. A snow hydrology model was applied to the Senator Beck Basin (SBB) in Colorado to improve the streamflow prediction. A temperature index method was implemented in the hydrological model to accommodate the snowmelt routine, which releases water as a multiplication factor for a grid temperature surplus above the melting point. The temperature index was adjusted using in-situ snowpit observations collected in the SBB by the NASA SnowEx Year-1 campaign in February 2017. Using the determined temperature index and weather forcing data from the nearby USDA snow observation telemetry station, the Nash-Sutcliffe Efficiency of the simulated streamflow was elucidated with a value of 0.88 against the observed streamflow during April 1–22, 2017.
在崎岖的山地流域,估算融雪驱动的流量是很困难的。挑战与水文和气象数据集的有限观测以及积雪水文模型的不充分实施有关。本研究旨在利用野外观测辅助下的雪水文模型改进融雪季节的流量预测。当基于点的天气强迫数据和现场雪坑测量数据存在于小尺度(2 ~ 3 km2)流域内或附近时,该水文模型对融雪期的流量预测效果较好。将雪水文模型应用于科罗拉多州参议员贝克盆地(SBB),以改进径流预测。在水文模型中实现了温度指数方法,以适应融雪过程,将水作为熔点以上网格温度盈余的乘法因子释放。温度指数是根据2017年2月NASA SnowEx Year-1活动在SBB收集的现场雪坑观测数据进行调整的。利用美国农业部积雪观测遥测站确定的温度指数和天气强迫数据,对2017年4月1日至22日的实测流量进行了Nash-Sutcliffe效率模拟,其值为0.88。
{"title":"Improvement of springtime streamflow prediction using a snow hydrology model aided with USDA SNOTEL and in-situ snowpit observations","authors":"D. Kang, Kyung-Seon Lee, Edward J. Kim","doi":"10.2166/nh.2022.180","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.2166/nh.2022.180","url":null,"abstract":"\u0000 Estimating the streamflow driven by snowmelt in rugged mountain watersheds is difficult. Challenges are associated with the limited observations of hydrologic and meteorological datasets and inadequate implementation of the snow hydrology models. This study aims to improve streamflow prediction during the snowmelt season using a snow hydrology model aided by field observations. When the point-based weather forcing data and in-situ snowpit measurements exist in or near a small-scale (2–3 km2) watershed, the hydrologic model demonstrated an improved streamflow prediction during the snowmelt period. A snow hydrology model was applied to the Senator Beck Basin (SBB) in Colorado to improve the streamflow prediction. A temperature index method was implemented in the hydrological model to accommodate the snowmelt routine, which releases water as a multiplication factor for a grid temperature surplus above the melting point. The temperature index was adjusted using in-situ snowpit observations collected in the SBB by the NASA SnowEx Year-1 campaign in February 2017. Using the determined temperature index and weather forcing data from the nearby USDA snow observation telemetry station, the Nash-Sutcliffe Efficiency of the simulated streamflow was elucidated with a value of 0.88 against the observed streamflow during April 1–22, 2017.","PeriodicalId":55040,"journal":{"name":"Hydrology Research","volume":" ","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":2.7,"publicationDate":"2022-12-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"46837535","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":4,"RegionCategory":"环境科学与生态学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
期刊
Hydrology Research
全部 Acc. Chem. Res. ACS Applied Bio Materials ACS Appl. Electron. Mater. ACS Appl. Energy Mater. ACS Appl. Mater. Interfaces ACS Appl. Nano Mater. ACS Appl. Polym. Mater. ACS BIOMATER-SCI ENG ACS Catal. ACS Cent. Sci. ACS Chem. Biol. ACS Chemical Health & Safety ACS Chem. Neurosci. ACS Comb. Sci. ACS Earth Space Chem. ACS Energy Lett. ACS Infect. Dis. ACS Macro Lett. ACS Mater. Lett. ACS Med. Chem. Lett. ACS Nano ACS Omega ACS Photonics ACS Sens. ACS Sustainable Chem. Eng. ACS Synth. Biol. Anal. Chem. BIOCHEMISTRY-US Bioconjugate Chem. BIOMACROMOLECULES Chem. Res. Toxicol. Chem. Rev. Chem. Mater. CRYST GROWTH DES ENERG FUEL Environ. Sci. Technol. Environ. Sci. Technol. Lett. Eur. J. Inorg. Chem. IND ENG CHEM RES Inorg. Chem. J. Agric. Food. Chem. J. Chem. Eng. Data J. Chem. Educ. J. Chem. Inf. Model. J. Chem. Theory Comput. J. Med. Chem. J. Nat. Prod. J PROTEOME RES J. Am. Chem. Soc. LANGMUIR MACROMOLECULES Mol. Pharmaceutics Nano Lett. Org. Lett. ORG PROCESS RES DEV ORGANOMETALLICS J. Org. Chem. J. Phys. Chem. J. Phys. Chem. A J. Phys. Chem. B J. Phys. Chem. C J. Phys. Chem. Lett. Analyst Anal. Methods Biomater. Sci. Catal. Sci. Technol. Chem. Commun. Chem. Soc. Rev. CHEM EDUC RES PRACT CRYSTENGCOMM Dalton Trans. Energy Environ. Sci. ENVIRON SCI-NANO ENVIRON SCI-PROC IMP ENVIRON SCI-WAT RES Faraday Discuss. Food Funct. Green Chem. Inorg. Chem. Front. Integr. Biol. J. Anal. At. Spectrom. J. Mater. Chem. A J. Mater. Chem. B J. Mater. Chem. C Lab Chip Mater. Chem. Front. Mater. Horiz. MEDCHEMCOMM Metallomics Mol. Biosyst. Mol. Syst. Des. Eng. Nanoscale Nanoscale Horiz. Nat. Prod. Rep. New J. Chem. Org. Biomol. Chem. Org. Chem. Front. PHOTOCH PHOTOBIO SCI PCCP Polym. Chem.
×
引用
GB/T 7714-2015
复制
MLA
复制
APA
复制
导出至
BibTeX EndNote RefMan NoteFirst NoteExpress
×
0
微信
客服QQ
Book学术公众号 扫码关注我们
反馈
×
意见反馈
请填写您的意见或建议
请填写您的手机或邮箱
×
提示
您的信息不完整,为了账户安全,请先补充。
现在去补充
×
提示
您因"违规操作"
具体请查看互助需知
我知道了
×
提示
现在去查看 取消
×
提示
确定
Book学术官方微信
Book学术文献互助
Book学术文献互助群
群 号:481959085
Book学术
文献互助 智能选刊 最新文献 互助须知 联系我们:info@booksci.cn
Book学术提供免费学术资源搜索服务,方便国内外学者检索中英文文献。致力于提供最便捷和优质的服务体验。
Copyright © 2023 Book学术 All rights reserved.
ghs 京公网安备 11010802042870号 京ICP备2023020795号-1