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Correction to: Deformation, seismicity, and monitoring response preceding and during the 2022 Fagradalsfjall eruption, Iceland 修正:2022年冰岛Fagradalsfjall火山喷发前和期间的形变、地震活动和监测响应
2区 地球科学 Q1 GEOSCIENCES, MULTIDISCIPLINARY Pub Date : 2023-11-11 DOI: 10.1007/s00445-023-01689-2
Michelle Parks, Freysteinn Sigmundsson, Vincent Drouin, Ásta R. Hjartardóttir, Halldór Geirsson, Andrew Hooper, Kristín S. Vogfjörd, Benedikt G. Ófeigsson, Sigrún Hreinsdóttir, Esther H. Jensen, Páll Einarsson, Sara Barsotti, Hildur M. Fridriksdóttir
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引用次数: 0
Complex paths of magma propagation at Fernandina (Galápagos): The coexistence of circumferential and radial dike intrusion during the January 2020 eruption Fernandina岩浆传播的复杂路径(Galápagos):在2020年1月喷发期间,周向和径向岩脉侵入共存
2区 地球科学 Q1 GEOSCIENCES, MULTIDISCIPLINARY Pub Date : 2023-11-09 DOI: 10.1007/s00445-023-01688-3
Federico Galetto
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引用次数: 0
Historical accounts provide insight on the geological evolution of the 20th century eruptions at Santorini volcano, Greece 历史记载为20世纪希腊圣托里尼火山喷发的地质演化提供了洞见
2区 地球科学 Q1 GEOSCIENCES, MULTIDISCIPLINARY Pub Date : 2023-11-04 DOI: 10.1007/s00445-023-01681-w
Kyriaki Drymoni, John Browning, Panagiotis Pomonis, Andreas Magganas
Abstract The 20th century eruptions of the Santorini volcano in Greece are the most recent activity of the volcano’s long lifespan. While the different eruptions taking place between 1925 and 1950 have traditionally been considered to exhibit similar eruptive styles, aspects of their evolution and precise information related to the individual eruption dynamics were poorly constrained. This study collates field reports and historical accounts, mainly from the Greek national scientific committee, which was assigned to study the volcanic activity in Nea Kameni Island with recent field campaigns. This analysis provides further insight into these eruptions and attempts to unravel the timing and style of explosive and effusive episodes that took place. Reconstruction of the recent geological evolution and of the eruptive history allow a more complete description of the eruption dynamics and associated unrest. These include fumarolic behaviour, explosion intensity, direction and volume of the lava flows, eruption duration, vent morphological changes (such as craters, domes, and horseshoe ramparts), textural characteristics and lava morphologies, as well as surface fracturing. Specific features related to first-hand accounts of the eruptions and associated products, in conjunction with our in situ post-eruptive geological study, allow an improved reconstruction of activity, both prior to and during the historical eruptions, which contributes to understanding the development of the eruption and enhances the forecast of potential future eruptions from patterns of precursory activity.
20世纪希腊圣托里尼火山的喷发是这座火山漫长的生命周期中最近的一次活动。虽然传统上认为1925年至1950年间发生的不同喷发表现出相似的喷发风格,但它们的演化方面和与个别喷发动力学有关的精确信息却很少得到约束。本研究整理了主要来自希腊国家科学委员会的实地报告和历史记录,该委员会被指派通过最近的实地活动研究Nea Kameni岛的火山活动。这一分析提供了对这些喷发的进一步了解,并试图解开爆发和喷涌事件发生的时间和风格。对近期地质演化和喷发历史的重建,可以更完整地描述喷发动力学和相关的动荡。这些特征包括火山喷发行为、爆炸强度、熔岩流的方向和体积、喷发持续时间、火山口形态变化(如陨石坑、圆顶和马蹄形堡垒)、结构特征和熔岩形态,以及地表破裂。与火山爆发和相关产物的第一手资料相关的具体特征,结合我们在现场进行的火山爆发后地质研究,可以更好地重建火山爆发之前和期间的活动,这有助于了解火山爆发的发展,并根据前兆活动的模式增强对未来潜在火山爆发的预测。
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引用次数: 0
Quantifying uncertainty in probabilistic volcanic ash hazard forecasts, with an application to weather pattern based wind field sampling 量化概率火山灰灾害预报中的不确定性,并应用于基于天气模式的风场采样
2区 地球科学 Q1 GEOSCIENCES, MULTIDISCIPLINARY Pub Date : 2023-10-31 DOI: 10.1007/s00445-023-01664-x
Jeremy Phillips, Shannon Williams, Anthony Lee, Susanna Jenkins
Abstract Probabilistic forecasting of volcanic ash dispersion involves simulating an ensemble of realistic event scenarios to estimate the probability of a particular hazard threshold being exceeded. Although the number of samples that make up the ensemble, how they are chosen, and the desired threshold all set the uncertainty of (or confidence in) the estimated exceedance probability, current practice does not quantify and communicate the uncertainty in ensemble predictions. In this study, we use standard statistical methods to estimate the variance in probabilistic ensembles and use this measure of uncertainty to assess different sampling strategies for the wind field, using the example of volcanic ash transport from a representative explosive eruption in Iceland. For stochastic (random) sampling of the wind field, we show how the variance is reduced with increasing ensemble size and how the variance depends on the desired hazard threshold and the proximity of a target site to the volcanic source. We demonstrate how estimated variances can be used to compare different ensemble designs, by comparing stochastic forecasts with forecasts obtained from a stratified sampling approach using a set of 29 Northern European weather regimes, known as Grosswetterlagen (GWL). Sampling wind fields from within the GWL regimes reduces the number of samples needed to achieve the same variance as compared to conventional stochastic sampling. Our results show that uncertainty in volcanic ash dispersion forecasts can be straightforwardly calculated and communicated, and highlight the need for the volcanic ash forecasting community and operational end-users to jointly choose acceptable levels of variance for ash forecasts in the future.
火山灰扩散的概率预测包括模拟一系列现实事件情景,以估计超过特定危险阈值的概率。尽管组成集合的样本数量,它们的选择方式,以及期望的阈值都设置了估计超出概率的不确定性(或置信度),但当前的实践并没有量化和传达集合预测中的不确定性。在本研究中,我们使用标准统计方法来估计概率集合的方差,并使用这种不确定性度量来评估风场的不同采样策略,并以冰岛一次具有代表性的爆炸喷发的火山灰运输为例。对于风场的随机抽样,我们展示了方差如何随着集合规模的增加而减小,以及方差如何取决于期望的危险阈值和目标地点与火山源的接近程度。我们通过比较随机预报和分层抽样方法获得的预报,展示了如何使用估计方差来比较不同的集合设计,这些方法使用一组29个北欧天气制度,称为格罗斯维特拉根(GWL)。与传统的随机抽样相比,从GWL范围内采样风场减少了实现相同方差所需的样本数量。我们的研究结果表明,火山灰分散预测的不确定性可以直接计算和沟通,并突出了火山灰预测界和业务最终用户共同选择可接受的方差水平的必要性。
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引用次数: 0
Cohesional behaviours in pyroclastic material and the implications for deposit architecture 火山碎屑物质的内聚行为及其对矿床结构的影响
2区 地球科学 Q1 GEOSCIENCES, MULTIDISCIPLINARY Pub Date : 2023-10-27 DOI: 10.1007/s00445-023-01682-9
Nemi Walding, Rebecca Williams, Pete Rowley, Natasha Dowey
Abstract Pyroclastic density currents (PDCs) are hazardous, multiphase currents of heterogeneous volcanic material and gas. Moisture (as liquid or gas) can enter a PDC through external (e.g., interaction with bodies of water) or internal (e.g., initial eruptive activity style) processes, and the presence of moisture can be recorded within distinct deposit layers. We use analogue experiments to explore the behaviour of pyroclastic material with increasing addition of moisture from 0.00–10.00% wt. Our results show that (1) the cohesivity of pyroclastic material changes with the addition of small amounts of moisture, (2) small increases in moisture content change the material properties from a free-flowing material to a non-flowable material, (3) changes in moisture can affect the formation of gas escape structures and fluidisation profiles in pyroclastic material, (4) gas flow through a deposit can lead to a moisture profile and resulting mechanical heterogeneity within the deposit and (5) where gas escape structure growth is hindered by cohesivity driven by moisture, pressure can increase and release in an explosive fashion. This work highlights how a suite of varied gas escape morphologies can form within pyroclastic deposits resulting from moisture content heterogeneity, explaining variation in gas escape structures as well as providing a potential mechanism for secondary explosions.
火山碎屑密度流(PDCs)是一种危险的多相非均质火山物质和气体流。水分(液体或气体)可以通过外部(例如与水体的相互作用)或内部(例如初始喷发活动类型)过程进入PDC,并且可以在不同的沉积层中记录水分的存在。我们使用模拟实验来探索从0.00% - 10.00% wt增加水分时火山碎屑材料的行为。我们的结果表明:(1)加入少量水分会改变火山碎屑材料的凝聚力,(2)少量增加水分会改变材料的性质,从自由流动的材料变成不流动的材料。(3)水分的变化会影响火山碎屑物质中气体逸出结构和流化剖面的形成;(4)气体流经沉积物会导致沉积物中的水分剖面和机械不均一性;(5)当水分驱动的黏性阻碍了气体逸出结构的生长时,压力会增加并以爆炸性的方式释放。这项工作强调了一套不同的气体逸出形态是如何在火山碎屑沉积物中形成的,这是由水分含量的非均质性引起的,解释了气体逸出结构的变化,并提供了二次爆炸的潜在机制。
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引用次数: 0
A reassessment of the sulfur, chlorine and fluorine atmospheric loading during the 1815 Tambora eruption 对1815年坦博拉火山喷发期间大气中硫、氯和氟含量的重新评估
2区 地球科学 Q1 GEOSCIENCES, MULTIDISCIPLINARY Pub Date : 2023-10-25 DOI: 10.1007/s00445-023-01683-8
Manon Pouget, Yves Moussallam, Estelle F. Rose-Koga, Haraldur Sigurdsson
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引用次数: 1
Shallow storage, fragmentation depth, and eruption velocity of the 7.05 Ma Rattlesnake Tuff as indicated by breadcrust bubble ash morphology 面包壳泡灰形态表征了7.05 Ma响尾蛇凝灰岩的浅储层、破碎深度和喷发速度
2区 地球科学 Q1 GEOSCIENCES, MULTIDISCIPLINARY Pub Date : 2023-10-25 DOI: 10.1007/s00445-023-01677-6
Benjamin J. Andrews, Steve L. Quane
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引用次数: 0
Surface fractures generated during the 2021 Reykjanes oblique rifting event (SW Iceland) 2021年Reykjanes斜裂事件(冰岛西南部)期间产生的地表裂缝
2区 地球科学 Q1 GEOSCIENCES, MULTIDISCIPLINARY Pub Date : 2023-10-21 DOI: 10.1007/s00445-023-01666-9
Simon Bufféral, Elisabetta Panza, Stefano Mannini, Ásta Rut Hjartardóttir, Adriano Nobile, Nils Gies, Birgir Vilhelm Óskarsson, Joël Ruch
Abstract We use a comprehensive dataset of field observations, high spatial resolution drone orthomosaics and digital terrain models (DTMs) to map, quantify and characterize the extensive ground fracturing related to the 2021 seismo-tectonic and volcanic activity in the Reykjanes Peninsula (Iceland). The dataset, spans an area of about 30 km $$^2$$ 2 , where we map nearly 20 000 ground cracks with metric to decametric lengths and centimetric extensional offsets, revealing a dominant dextral shear, in agreement with published seismic data. Although striking in a direction similar to the volcanic systems in the Reykjanes Peninsula (N030–040), most fractures appear as en-échelon structures globally aligned along N-S-striking fault zones up to 3–4 km long. By examining the timing of ground fracturing through repeated field observations, seismic data and InSAR images, we associate a fracture zone with most earthquakes of M $$_omega ge 5.0$$ ω 5.0 that occurred in the month preceding the March 2021 Fagradalsfjall eruption. We describe three preexisting N-S fault zones, with fault segments that were reactivated up to three times during the pre-eruptive seismic activity, while the magma intrusion did not trigger graben-related ground fractures typically observed during magmatic injections. Our depiction of a system dominated by strike-slip tectonic features helps in understanding the geometry and bookshelf-mode of tectonic activity along a diffuse and highly oblique extensional plate boundary. Evidence of transient fracturing is typically quickly lost because of erosion or lava flow burial, highlighting a potential under-representation of diffuse fracturing when studying old tectonic and volcanic systems.
利用野外观测数据、高空间分辨率无人机正测图和数字地形模型(dtm)的综合数据集,对冰岛雷克雅内斯半岛2021年地震构造和火山活动相关的大面积地面压裂进行了制图、量化和表征。该数据集的面积约为30公里$$^2$$ 2,我们在其中绘制了近2万个地面裂缝,长度为公制至十公制,伸展偏移量为厘米制,揭示了一个主要的右向剪切,与已公布的地震数据一致。虽然断裂的方向与雷克雅内斯半岛(N030-040)的火山系统相似,但大多数断裂在全球范围内呈现出沿南北走向的断裂带排列的网状结构,最长可达3-4公里。通过重复的现场观测、地震数据和InSAR图像来检查地面破裂的时间,我们将裂缝带与发生在2021年3月Fagradalsfjall火山喷发前一个月的大多数M $$_omega ge 5.0$$ ω≥5.0级地震联系起来。我们描述了三个先前存在的N-S断裂带,其中断裂带在爆发前地震活动期间被重新激活了三次,而岩浆侵入并没有引发岩浆注入期间通常观察到的与地堑相关的地面裂缝。我们对一个以走滑构造特征为主导的系统的描述,有助于理解沿扩散和高度斜向伸展板块边界的构造活动的几何形状和书架模式。瞬态压裂的证据通常会因为侵蚀或熔岩流掩埋而迅速消失,这凸显了在研究古老的构造和火山系统时,弥漫性压裂的潜在代表性不足。
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引用次数: 0
Experimental sintering of crystal-rich rhyolitic ash at high fluid pressures with implications for degassing of magma 高流体压力下富晶流纹岩灰的实验烧结及其对岩浆脱气的影响
2区 地球科学 Q1 GEOSCIENCES, MULTIDISCIPLINARY Pub Date : 2023-10-13 DOI: 10.1007/s00445-023-01678-5
Rachel Blandon, James E. Gardner, Fabian B. Wadsworth, Edward W. Llewellin, Jérémie Vasseur
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引用次数: 0
Fragmentation behavior of young pyroclasts from Mt. Pelée, Martinique 马提尼克佩尔萨伊山年轻火山碎屑的破碎行为
2区 地球科学 Q1 GEOSCIENCES, MULTIDISCIPLINARY Pub Date : 2023-10-06 DOI: 10.1007/s00445-023-01676-7
Mila Huebsch, Ulrich Kueppers, Guillaume Carazzo, Corrado Cimarelli, Kai-Uwe Hess, Adrian Hornby, Anne-Marie Lejeune, Audrey Michaud-Dubuy, Diego Perugini, Daniel Weller, Michael J. Heap, Donald B. Dingwell
Abstract The stratovolcano Mt. Pelée, Martinique, exhibits eruptive styles ranging from dome formation to sustained, highly violent explosive activity. Historical eruptions have produced lava domes and pyroclastic density currents, collectively termed Peléan activity. In pre-colonial times, several Plinian eruptions took place. Here, we explore physical controls on the proportions of fine particles produced—i.e., the fragmentation efficiency—during primary fragmentation. Samples were collected from ignimbrites from the 1929–1932 and 1902–1905 Peléan eruptions and the P1 (1300 CE), P2 (280 CE), and P3 (79 CE) Plinian eruptions. All samples are andesitic in bulk composition and contain a rhyolitic groundmass glass. The Peléan materials are more crystalline and less porous than their Plinian counterparts, a consequence of more extensive outgassing during dome formation. Representative blocks were cored and experimentally fragmented following rapid decompression (> 1 GPa·s −1 from initial pressure between 5 and 20 MPa). Dry sieving allowed for determining grain size distributions, from which the fractal dimensions, D f , were calculated as a quantification of fragmentation efficiency. Our results indicate different behaviors for Peléan and Plinian samples. While fragmentation efficiency is positively correlated with applied potential energy for Peléan samples, this relationship is not observed for the Plinian samples, possibly due to syn-fragmentation gas escape above a certain porosity. The rapid decompression experiments were designed to minimize secondary fragmentation by shear along the walls or impact while preserving the entirety of produced materials. Thus, our experimental grainsize data are physically linked to sample textures and overpressure. By comparison with natural pyroclastic products—commonly incompletely preserved—we can approach quantitatively constraining the energetic conditions underlying individual eruptions.
马提尼克岛的层状火山佩尔萨梅火山呈现出从圆顶形成到持续的、高度剧烈的爆发活动的喷发风格。历史上的火山喷发产生了熔岩穹丘和火山碎屑密度流,统称为pelsaman活动。在前殖民时期,发生了几次普林尼火山喷发。在这里,我们探讨了对产生的细颗粒比例的物理控制。表示主分片期间的分片效率。从1929-1932年和1902-1905年pelsaman火山喷发和P1(公元1300年)、P2(公元280年)和P3(公元79年)Plinian火山喷发的火成岩中收集样本。所有的样品都是安山岩的大块组成,并含有流纹岩的底物玻璃。pelsaman材料比Plinian材料更结晶,更少多孔,这是在圆顶形成过程中更广泛的除气的结果。代表性块在快速减压后取芯并实验性破碎(>1 GPa·s−1从初始压力在5和20 MPa之间)。干筛允许确定粒度分布,从分形维数,df,计算作为破碎效率的量化。我们的结果表明pelsaman和Plinian样本的行为不同。pelsaman样品的破碎效率与应用势能呈正相关,而Plinian样品则没有观察到这种关系,可能是由于在一定孔隙度以上的同步破碎气体逸出。快速减压实验旨在最大限度地减少沿壁剪切或冲击造成的二次破碎,同时保持生产材料的完整性。因此,我们的实验粒度数据与样品纹理和超压有物理联系。通过与通常保存不完整的天然火山碎屑产物进行比较,我们可以定量地限制单个火山喷发背后的能量条件。
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引用次数: 0
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Bulletin of Volcanology
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