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Estimating the productivity of US agriculture: The Fisher total factor productivity index for time series data with unknown prices 估算美国农业的生产率:针对未知价格时间序列数据的费雪全要素生产率指数
IF 2.6 3区 经济学 Q2 AGRICULTURAL ECONOMICS & POLICY Pub Date : 2024-05-10 DOI: 10.1111/1467-8489.12565
Thanh Ngo, David Tripe, Duc Khuong Nguyen

In this paper, we propose a straightforward way to estimate the Fisher ideal total factor productivity (TFP) index (FI) in cases where price information is unavailable, using ‘shadow prices’ derived from data envelopment analysis (DEA). A Monte Carlo experiment shows that the shadow price Fisher ideal TFP index (SPFI) can effectively estimate the ‘true’ FI with relatively small (and stable) errors. The empirical application to the US agriculture sector (1948–2017) further suggests that the SPFI is a (superior) alternative to the traditional Malmquist DEA, especially in dealing with unbalanced panel or time series data when price data are unknown.

在本文中,我们提出了一种在无法获得价格信息的情况下,利用数据包络分析(DEA)得出的 "影子价格 "估算费雪理想全要素生产率指数(FI)的直接方法。蒙特卡罗实验表明,影子价格费雪理想全要素生产率指数(SPFI)能有效估算 "真实 "全要素生产率指数,且误差相对较小(且稳定)。对美国农业部门(1948-2017 年)的实证应用进一步表明,SPFI 是传统 Malmquist DEA 的(更优)替代方案,尤其是在处理价格数据未知的非平衡面板数据或时间序列数据时。
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引用次数: 0
Why trade matters—How policy shapes who eats what where and how it is produced 贸易为何重要--政策如何决定谁在哪里吃什么以及如何生产
IF 2.6 3区 经济学 Q2 AGRICULTURAL ECONOMICS & POLICY Pub Date : 2024-04-25 DOI: 10.1111/1467-8489.12566
Jenny Gordon

Rising uncertainty due to climate change and the failure of globalisation to improve security is threatening trade. As trade matters for prosperity, and ultimately security, policy makers need to resist protectionist responses to perceived security risks.

气候变化和全球化未能改善安全状况所导致的不确定性上升正在威胁着贸易。由于贸易关系到繁荣,并最终关系到安全,政策制定者需要抵制保护主义,以应对感知到的安全风险。
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引用次数: 0
The impact of ocean warming on selected commercial fisheries in New Zealand 海洋变暖对新西兰部分商业渔业的影响
IF 2.6 3区 经济学 Q2 AGRICULTURAL ECONOMICS & POLICY Pub Date : 2024-04-15 DOI: 10.1111/1467-8489.12564
Hanny John Mediodia, Ilan Noy, Viktoria Kahui

Warming oceans affect the growth, reproduction and location of fish species. Using a bioeconomic framework, we estimate the relationship between sea surface temperature (SST) and the catch of de facto open-access commercial fisheries of flatfish, trevally and jack mackerel in New Zealand. Assuming either a logarithmic or quadratic relationship between the SST and the carrying capacity of the fish stock, we consider three fishing methods (bottom trawl, set net and midwater trawl) and two measures of effort (count and duration). We show that ocean warming results in an increase in catch for all species if we assume a logarithmic relationship, with the highest marginal product of SST (MPSST) for jack mackerel caught using midwater trawl. The highest marginal revenue product (computed by the MPSST, current price and fished area) is found for flatfish caught by set net. However, when assuming a quadratic relationship, there is a threshold above which catch starts to decrease, with the maximum catch of species ranging between 10 and 12.2°C. These results also vary spatially, with higher values of MPSST observed in areas closer to the South Pole. Our findings are relevant for any review of fisheries management systems in response to ocean warming.

海洋变暖会影响鱼类的生长、繁殖和位置。我们利用生物经济学框架,估算了海面温度(SST)与新西兰事实上开放的比目鱼、鲹鱼和竹筴鱼商业捕捞渔获量之间的关系。假设海表温度与鱼类种群的承载能力之间存在对数或二次关系,我们考虑了三种捕捞方法(底拖网、定置网和中层拖网)和两种努力量测量方法(计数和持续时间)。我们的研究表明,如果假设两者之间存在对数关系,海洋变暖会导致所有鱼种的渔获量增加,使用中层拖网捕捞的竹荚鱼的海温边际收益()最高。使用定置网捕捞的比目鱼的边际收益乘积最高(根据海流状态、当前价格和捕捞区域计算)。然而,在假设二次关系时,存在一个阈值,超过该阈值渔获量开始下降,最大渔获量在 10 至 12.2°C 之间。这些结果在空间上也存在差异,在靠近南极的地区观测到的 MPSST 值更高。我们的研究结果对于审查应对海洋变暖的渔业管理系统具有重要意义。
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引用次数: 0
Beyond anthropocentrism in agricultural and resource economics 超越农业和资源经济学中的人类中心主义
IF 2.6 3区 经济学 Q2 AGRICULTURAL ECONOMICS & POLICY Pub Date : 2024-03-18 DOI: 10.1111/1467-8489.12560
Romain Espinosa, Nicolas Treich

We argue that it is both possible and timely to relax the assumption of anthropocentrism in agricultural and resource economics. We advocate for the incorporation of sentientist principles by including the welfare of sentient animals within the social welfare function. To exemplify this non-anthropocentric stance, we build on our recent works that incorporate the intrinsic value of farmed animals into food production and consumption. By recognising the externalities affecting animals, we justify the implementation of specific policies, such as a meat tax, which redistributes welfare from consumers and producers to farmed animals. Furthermore, we delve into the quantitative assessment of animal welfare and demonstrate its application to food policy, revealing the substantial economic and welfare impacts at stake. Expanding on our earlier model, we also emphasize the importance of introducing a ‘sentience premium’ within species conservation policies. This additional consideration ensures that the conservation efforts appropriately account for the intrinsic value of sentient beings living in the wild.

我们认为,放宽农业和资源经济学中的人类中心主义假设既是可能的,也是及时的。我们主张将有生命的动物的福利纳入社会福利函数,从而纳入有生命的原则。为了体现这种非人类中心主义立场,我们在近期工作的基础上,将养殖动物的内在价值纳入食品生产和消费。通过认识到影响动物的外部因素,我们证明了实施肉类税等具体政策的合理性,这些政策将消费者和生产者的福利重新分配给了养殖动物。此外,我们还深入研究了动物福利的定量评估,并展示了其在食品政策中的应用,揭示了其中蕴含的巨大经济和福利影响。在早期模型的基础上,我们还强调了在物种保护政策中引入 "智商溢价 "的重要性。这一额外的考虑因素可确保保护工作适当考虑到生活在野外的有知觉生物的内在价值。
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引用次数: 0
Options on temporary water allocation rights and their pricing 临时水资源分配权及其定价方案
IF 3.2 3区 经济学 Q1 Agricultural and Biological Sciences Pub Date : 2024-03-14 DOI: 10.1111/1467-8489.12562
Geoff Lee, Wenfeng Dong, Zili Zhu

This paper presents a methodology for defining the spot price of temporary water allocation rights for trading zones within the water market in the southern Murray–Darling Basin situated in Australia. The historical spot price is then used to calibrate a stochastic process depicting the dynamics of the water price, allowing the computation of prices of options on the underlying water price with the aim of producing reference prices to catalyse an options trading market. The most suitable stochastic model representing the water price dynamics is selected through comparing the option prices generated from four different models. Using the selected stochastic model, the most liquid trading zone in the Murray–Darling Basin water market (Zone 7) is used to demonstrate how the methodologies developed in the paper are used to calibrate the log-mean stochastic model representing the stochastic spot price dynamics and compute prices for call and put options on the underlying water spot prices. Sensitivities of the water options prices to market input data can be calculated from the formulae provided in the paper. The results presented in this work can serve as a reference tool by industry practitioners and the farming community in using options for effective risk management of water resources.

本文介绍了一种确定澳大利亚墨累-达令盆地南部水市场交易区临时水分配权现货价 格的方法。然后利用历史现货价格对描述水价动态的随机过程进行校准,从而计算出相关水价的期权价格,目的是为期权交易市场提供参考价格。通过比较四个不同模型生成的期权价格,选出了最适合代表水价动态的随机模型。使用选定的随机模型,以墨累-达令盆地水市场中流动性最强的交易区(7 区)为例,演示了如何使用本文中开发的方法来校准代表随机现货价格动态的对数均值随机模型,并计算相关水现货价格的看涨和看跌期权价格。根据本文提供的公式可以计算出水期权价格对市场输入数据的敏感性。本研究的结果可作为行业从业者和农业界使用期权对水资源进行有效风险管理的参考工具。
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引用次数: 0
Insights into preferences for irrigation pumps in West Bengal: An application of best-worst-scaling 对西孟加拉邦灌溉水泵偏好的洞察:最佳-最差比例的应用
IF 3.2 3区 经济学 Q1 Agricultural and Biological Sciences Pub Date : 2024-03-14 DOI: 10.1111/1467-8489.12563
Sophie Lountain, Bethany Cooper, Lin Crase, Michael Burton, Daniel Rigby

This paper presents an analysis of the heterogeneous preferences of farmers towards groundwater pump technologies. The research uses primary field data drawn from West Bengal, India, where the progressive feminisation of agriculture has been well-documented. We employ a paired comparison technique to explore how gender impacts the preferences towards different attributes of pumping technology. Our findings illustrate that preferences for irrigation pump attributes vary significantly between farmer groups, and policies that put technologies in the hands of some groups versus others could have significantly different impacts on how pumps are ultimately used.

本文分析了农民对地下水水泵技术的不同偏好。研究使用了来自印度西孟加拉邦的原始实地数据,该地区农业逐步女性化的情况已得到充分证明。我们采用配对比较技术来探讨性别如何影响对抽水技术不同属性的偏好。我们的研究结果表明,不同农民群体对灌溉水泵属性的偏好存在显著差异,而将技术交到某些群体和其他群体手中的政策可能会对水泵的最终使用方式产生显著不同的影响。
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引用次数: 0
Investigating revealed preferences for urban waterway conditions: A hedonic property valuation study 调查城市水道条件的显性偏好:保值型财产估值研究
IF 3.2 3区 经济学 Q1 Agricultural and Biological Sciences Pub Date : 2024-03-11 DOI: 10.1111/1467-8489.12561
Buyani Thomy, Mark Morrison, Roderick Duncan, Rosalind H. Bark, Kevin J. Boyle, Phillip J. Birtles

This study examines the impact of urban waterway conditions on property market prices. In general, similar revealed preference studies typically focus on identifying the value associated with changes in attributes such as riparian vegetation or water quality. Using an index that classifies waterways based on the vegetation and channel conditions, we analyse both attributes. Our spatial hedonic property price model findings indicate that buyers are willing to pay premiums ranging from 2.7% to 8.5%, depending on vegetation and channel conditions. However, when the proximity to the waterway is accounted for, we found that properties adjacent to the highest-ranked vegetation and channel conditions attract a higher premium of 12.8%. Overall, the implicit marginal effects for the distance–condition interaction variables indicate that for lower-ranked waterway conditions, there is a relative aversion to being adjacent to waterways. The results suggest that there are significant gains to be realised from removing concrete-lined channels and replacing them with stones for banks, or re-creating unmodified channels, even if there is only limited scope for increasing vegetation.

本研究探讨了城市水道条件对房地产市场价格的影响。一般来说,类似的显现偏好研究通常侧重于确定与河岸植被或水质等属性变化相关的价值。我们使用一种根据植被和河道状况对河道进行分类的指数,对这两种属性进行分析。我们的空间享乐主义房地产价格模型的研究结果表明,根据植被和河道条件的不同,购房者愿意支付 2.7% 至 8.5% 的溢价。然而,当考虑到与水道的邻近程度时,我们发现邻近最高等级植被和水道条件的房产所吸引的溢价率更高,达到 12.8%。总体而言,距离-条件交互变量的隐含边际效应表明,对于排名较低的水道条件,人们相对厌恶毗邻水道。结果表明,即使增加植被的空间有限,但拆除混凝土衬砌的河道并用石头代替河岸,或重新修建未经改造的河道,都会带来巨大收益。
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引用次数: 0
New evidence of the driving forces behind Brazil's agricultural TFP growth—A stochastic frontier analysis with climatic variables and land suitability index 巴西农业全要素生产率增长背后驱动力的新证据--利用气候变量和土地适宜性指数进行的随机前沿分析
IF 3.2 3区 经济学 Q1 Agricultural and Biological Sciences Pub Date : 2024-03-03 DOI: 10.1111/1467-8489.12558
Humberto Francisco Silva Spolador, André Felipe Danelon

Using panel data from 510 Brazilian micro-regions in three census years (1995, 2006 and 2017), this study presents a productivity decomposition for the Brazilian agricultural sector using stochastic production frontier methods that account for the effects of rainfall, temperature and the land suitability index. We also calculated the total factor productivity (TFP) index and decomposed it into technical efficiency, technological change, scale efficiency and environmental efficiency. This article thus provides a new and more realistic assessment of recent Brazilian agricultural productivity growth. In recent decades, Brazilian agriculture has become widely known for presenting fast productivity growth; however, our results suggest that a lower TFP growth rate than previous estimates (1.96% per annum) and the overall effects of climate change could potentially compromise Brazilian agricultural TFP growth in the long run. Our findings might thus generate insights for agricultural and regional policies to increase efficiency in the sector and promote sustainable agricultural development in Brazil, which will contribute to the sector's competitiveness in international markets, the country's social and economic welfare, and environmental conservancy.

本研究利用巴西 510 个微型地区在三个普查年份(1995 年、2006 年和 2017 年)的面板数据,采用随机生产前沿方法对巴西农业部门的生产率进行了分解,其中考虑了降雨量、温度和土地适宜性指数的影响。我们还计算了全要素生产率(TFP)指数,并将其分解为技术效率、技术变革、规模效率和环境效率。因此,本文对近期巴西农业生产率的增长进行了新的、更切合实际的评估。近几十年来,巴西农业因生产率快速增长而广为人知;然而,我们的研究结果表明,全要素生产率增长率低于以往的估计值(年均 1.96%)以及气候变化的总体影响可能会损害巴西农业全要素生产率的长期增长。因此,我们的研究结果可能会为农业和地区政策提供启示,以提高巴西农业部门的效率,促进农业的可持续发展,这将有助于提高该部门在国际市场上的竞争力、国家的社会和经济福利以及环境保护。
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引用次数: 0
An integrated assessment model of the impacts of agricultural intensification: Trade-offs between economic benefits and water quality under uncertainty 农业集约化影响的综合评估模型:不确定情况下经济效益与水质之间的权衡
IF 3.2 3区 经济学 Q1 Agricultural and Biological Sciences Pub Date : 2024-02-12 DOI: 10.1111/1467-8489.12555
Augusto Souto, Miguel Carriquiry, Francisco Rosas

We integrate a model that simulates biophysical processes in soils and water with spatial and temporal heterogeneity at the basin scale with an economic model of decisions under uncertainty, to simultaneously evaluate the economic and environmental effects of farming practices and land uses that characterise agricultural intensification. The introduction of uncertainty allows the evaluation of economic impacts both due to changes in average profits and in their volatility. Through our model integration, we endogenously tackle the trade-offs between economic benefits and environmental outcomes, in terms of nutrient levels in water. Results show that a sizable increase in economic benefits from supplemental irrigation comes from lower risk premiums. Medium-to-high increments of fertiliser rates in irrigated crops are dominated in terms of economic benefits by low fertiliser rate increments. We find that water quality deteriorates with intensive farming practices. However, the magnitude of the trade-offs between economic benefits and water quality is mixed and depends on the nutrient and level of risk aversion considered. The ability of our model to quantify and document the mentioned effects is a relevant input to inform the decision-making process of agricultural and environmental authorities, often characterised by competing and opposing objectives.

我们将模拟流域尺度上具有时空异质性的土壤和水的生物物理过程的模型与不确定性条件下的决策经济模型相结合,以同时评估农业集约化的耕作方式和土地使用对经济和环境的影响。通过引入不确定性,可以评估平均利润及其波动性变化对经济的影响。通过模型整合,我们内生地解决了经济效益与环境结果之间的权衡问题,即水中的营养水平。结果表明,补充灌溉带来的经济效益的大幅增长来自于较低的风险溢价。就经济效益而言,灌溉作物的中高肥料增量比低肥料增量更有优势。我们发现,水质会随着集约化耕作方式而恶化。然而,经济效益与水质之间的权衡程度不一,取决于所考虑的营养元素和风险规避水平。我们的模型能够量化和记录上述影响,为农业和环境部门的决策过程提供了相关信息。
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引用次数: 0
Purchasing habits, age effects and Chinese consumers' willingness to pay for chilled pork: Evidence from a random Nth-price auction experiment 购买习惯、年龄效应和中国消费者对冰鲜猪肉的支付意愿:来自随机 N 次价格拍卖实验的证据
IF 3.2 3区 经济学 Q1 Agricultural and Biological Sciences Pub Date : 2024-02-02 DOI: 10.1111/1467-8489.12556
Zhen Yan, Fei Han, Holly Wang, Yun Shen, Jiehong Zhou

As concerns over African swine fever (ASF) in China continue, measures have been taken to regulate the inter-provincial transport of live hogs, yet entrenched non-chilled fresh pork consumption habits make it challenging to expand the chilled pork in the market. To address this issue, our study employed multiple rounds of random Nth-price auction experiments to measure participants' quality perceptions of, and willingness to pay (WTP) for chilled pork under different packaging, storage temperature and duration labels. By comparing the results with physicochemical lab testing outcomes, we confirmed the existence of a quality perception bias among the participants. Notably, consumers who regularly consume chilled meat demonstrated a higher average WTP, while consumers born in the 1980s exhibited significantly higher bids. Furthermore, access to emerging purchase channels positively influences consumer WTP for chilled meat, particularly through branded product purchasing experiences. Consequently, it is recommended that the public sector takes steps to balance the distribution of pork production capacity and supports the development of cold chain transportation technology to meet the growing demand for high-quality chilled pork, especially from younger consumers.

由于中国对非洲猪瘟(ASF)的担忧仍在持续,已采取措施规范生猪跨省运输,但根深蒂固的非冰鲜猪肉消费习惯使扩大冰鲜猪肉市场面临挑战。为了解决这个问题,我们的研究采用了多轮随机第 N 次价格拍卖实验来测量参与者对不同包装、储存温度和时间标签下冰鲜猪肉的质量感知和支付意愿(WTP)。通过将结果与理化实验室检测结果进行比较,我们证实了参与者存在质量认知偏差。值得注意的是,经常食用冷鲜肉的消费者的平均 WTP 值更高,而出生于 20 世纪 80 年代的消费者的出价明显更高。此外,新兴购买渠道对消费者购买冰鲜肉的 WTP 有积极影响,特别是通过品牌产品购买经验。因此,建议公共部门采取措施平衡猪肉生产能力的分布,并支持冷链运输技术的发展,以满足对高品质冷藏猪肉日益增长的需求,尤其是年轻消费者的需求。
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引用次数: 0
期刊
Australian Journal of Agricultural and Resource Economics
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