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Can Interlinked Credit and Insurance Contracts Boost Farmers' Adoption of Improved Rice Varieties? Field Experimental Evidence from China 相互关联的信贷和保险合同能促进农民采用改良水稻品种吗?来自中国的田间实验证据
IF 2.6 3区 经济学 Q2 AGRICULTURAL ECONOMICS & POLICY Pub Date : 2025-06-22 DOI: 10.1111/1467-8489.70002
Haixia Wu, Yan Ge, Jianping Li

Based on microdata from field experiments collected in Hunan and Sichuan Provinces, this study employs the probit model and mediating effect model in field experiments to evaluate the impact of interlinked credit and insurance contracts (ICIC) on farmers' adoption of improved rice varieties. The results show that ICIC has a significantly positive impact on farmers' adoption of improved rice varieties. It can promote the adoption of improved rice varieties by alleviating farmers' risk aversion and credit constraint, which account for 18.01% and 21.03% of the total effect of ICIC on farmers' adoption of rice varieties, respectively. To an extent, the ICIC's effect on farmers' adoption of improved rice varieties is influenced by household income and motivation for planting rice. This interplay between collateral and the characteristic of credit–insurance interlinkage has direct and essential implications for the design of programmes to simultaneously enhance the adoption of innovative agricultural technologies. Meanwhile, this research provides microfoundations and policy recommendations for household technological adoption in rural China and provides insights on how the government can formulate relevant policies to promote innovative technological extension.

本研究基于湖南和四川两省田间试验的微观数据,采用probit模型和中介效应模型,在田间试验中评估了信用保险联约(ICIC)对农民采用水稻良种的影响。结果表明,ICIC对农民采用改良水稻品种具有显著的正向影响。通过缓解农民的风险规避和信用约束来促进改良水稻品种的采用,分别占ICIC对农民采用水稻品种总效应的18.01%和21.03%。在一定程度上,ICIC对农民采用改良水稻品种的影响受到家庭收入和种植水稻动机的影响。抵押品与信贷保险相互联系的特点之间的这种相互作用,对同时加强采用创新农业技术的方案的设计具有直接和重要的影响。同时,本研究为中国农村家庭技术采用提供了微观基础和政策建议,并为政府如何制定相关政策促进创新技术推广提供了见解。
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引用次数: 0
The Exposure of Australia's Housing Stock to Climate Risks 澳大利亚住房存量面临的气候风险
IF 2.6 3区 经济学 Q2 AGRICULTURAL ECONOMICS & POLICY Pub Date : 2025-06-20 DOI: 10.1111/1467-8489.70037
Trinh Le, Daniel Melser, Ummul Ruthbah

Climate change has significantly influenced the intensity and frequency of extreme weather events impacting the globe, including Australia. This has implications for various sectors, including the housing market. Utilising postcode-level climate risk data—including for cyclones, floods, heatwaves, water stress, and wildfires—and data from the 2006, 2011, 2016, and 2021 censuses, we examine the susceptibility of Australia's stock to such hazards. Our investigation focuses on three main questions. First, we try to understand how the exposure of the housing sector to different climate hazards is dispersed geographically and how the vulnerability to extreme weather events evolved over time. Second, we investigate the extent to which the location of new homes throughout this period has raised or lowered the vulnerability of the housing stock. Third, we outline the historical trajectory of the housing sector's climate susceptibility and use our data to estimate how this is likely to evolve out to 2100. Our analysis reveals that the Australian housing stock displays pronounced susceptibility to water stress, moderate vulnerability to wildfires, and slight susceptibility to floods, cyclones and heatwaves. Furthermore, our findings indicate that growth in the Australian housing stock shows a negative correlation with the risk posed by heatwaves and the anticipated shifts in wildfire risk, whereas it exhibits no discernible association with other hazards.

气候变化极大地影响了影响全球(包括澳大利亚)的极端天气事件的强度和频率。这对包括房地产市场在内的各个领域都有影响。利用邮政编码级别的气候风险数据,包括飓风、洪水、热浪、水资源压力和野火,以及2006年、2011年、2016年和2021年的人口普查数据,我们研究了澳大利亚种群对这些灾害的易感性。我们的调查主要集中在三个问题上。首先,我们试图了解住房部门对不同气候灾害的暴露在地理上是如何分散的,以及对极端天气事件的脆弱性如何随着时间的推移而演变。其次,我们调查了这一时期新房的位置在多大程度上提高或降低了住房存量的脆弱性。第三,我们概述了住房行业气候敏感性的历史轨迹,并使用我们的数据来估计到2100年这可能会如何演变。我们的分析表明,澳大利亚的住房存量对水资源压力的敏感性明显,对野火的脆弱性中等,对洪水、旋风和热浪的敏感性轻微。此外,我们的研究结果表明,澳大利亚住房存量的增长与热浪带来的风险和野火风险的预期变化呈负相关,而与其他危害没有明显的关联。
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引用次数: 0
The Sources of Slow Declines in Agricultural Nutrient Leakage: Evidence From Sweden 农业养分流失缓慢下降的原因:来自瑞典的证据
IF 2.6 3区 经济学 Q2 AGRICULTURAL ECONOMICS & POLICY Pub Date : 2025-06-19 DOI: 10.1111/1467-8489.70035
Julia Wahtra, Holger Johnsson

We apply index decomposition methods to decompose nitrogen and phosphorus leakage trends from Swedish arable land. The results show considerable heterogeneity; changes in nutrient pollution coefficients (kg leakage/SEK of crop value produced) and crop rotations caused leakage to increase in some areas and decrease in others. Crucially, we find only modest pollution-decreasing technique effects, mainly driven by increased yields rather than reductions in per-hectare nutrient leakage. We argue that lax regulation of agricultural pollutants is one determining factor behind these results. Despite an increased focus on environmental considerations in agricultural policy, the cost of emitting has remained low.

本文应用指数分解方法对瑞典耕地氮磷泄漏趋势进行了分解。结果显示出相当大的异质性;养分污染系数(kg渗漏/SEK作物产值)和作物轮作的变化导致部分地区渗漏增加,部分地区渗漏减少。至关重要的是,我们发现减少污染的技术效果不大,主要是由产量的增加而不是每公顷养分泄漏的减少所驱动的。我们认为,对农业污染物的宽松监管是这些结果背后的一个决定性因素。尽管农业政策更加注重环境方面的考虑,但排放的成本仍然很低。
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引用次数: 0
Is There a ‘Price’ to Pay for Agricultural TFP Measurement? Limitations of the Distance Function Approach 农业全要素生产率的测量是否需要付出“代价”?距离函数法的局限性
IF 2.6 3区 经济学 Q2 AGRICULTURAL ECONOMICS & POLICY Pub Date : 2025-06-17 DOI: 10.1111/1467-8489.70033
Xinpeng Xu, Yu Sheng, Eldon Ball

Cross-country comparisons of agricultural total factor productivity (TFP) diverge markedly depending on method: superlative indices (e.g., Törnqvist) leverage price and quantity data, while quantity-only indices (e.g., Malmquist) rely solely on quantities, yielding inconsistent estimates. We theoretically demonstrate that this disparity stems from measurement errors in the quantity-only approach's implicit shadow prices, which deviate substantially from market prices employed by superlative methods, introducing noise and bias. Utilising a novel, cross-country consistent dataset of agricultural production accounts for the United States, Canada and Australia (1961–2006), we empirically affirm that the superlative index consistently outperforms its quantity-only counterpart in accuracy and aggregation stability across scales. This superiority, rooted in price data's capacity to reflect economic realities (e.g., input cost shifts), underscores the critical need for comprehensive price information in international productivity assessments. Our findings offer actionable guidance for agricultural economists and policymakers prioritising robust TFP metrics.

农业全要素生产率(TFP)的跨国比较因方法不同而存在显著差异:最高级指数(如Törnqvist)利用价格和数量数据,而仅依赖数量的指数(如Malmquist)仅依赖数量,得出的估计结果不一致。我们从理论上证明,这种差异源于仅量方法的隐性影子价格的测量误差,它与最高级方法所采用的市场价格存在很大偏差,从而引入了噪声和偏差。利用美国、加拿大和澳大利亚(1961-2006)的一个新的、跨国一致的农业生产数据集,我们从经验上证实,最高指数在跨尺度的准确性和聚合稳定性方面始终优于其数量对应。这种优势源于价格数据能够反映经济现实(例如投入成本变动),强调了在国际生产力评估中极为需要全面的价格资料。我们的研究结果为农业经济学家和政策制定者优先考虑健全的全要素生产率指标提供了可操作的指导。
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引用次数: 0
Consumer Demand for Sustainably Produced Shrimp 消费者对可持续生产虾的需求
IF 2.6 3区 经济学 Q2 AGRICULTURAL ECONOMICS & POLICY Pub Date : 2025-06-16 DOI: 10.1111/1467-8489.70039
Bui Bich Xuan, Erlend Dancke Sandorf, Quach Thi Khanh Ngoc, Truong Ngoc Phong

Global fish consumption has increased substantially over the past six decades, with aquaculture surpassing wild catches in 2022. This growth has raised concerns about environmental sustainability and food safety, prompting the use of eco-labels to inform consumers about sustainable practices. This study employed a discrete-continuous choice experiment method to investigate consumer demand for sustainably produced shrimp in Vietnam, focusing on the influence of eco-labels on purchase decisions. The results indicate a positive demand for farmed shrimp, with a stronger preference for sustainably produced shrimp compared to conventionally produced shrimp. Among various certifications, shrimp labelled with the national certification logo (VietGAP) exhibited the highest consumer demand, likely due to greater familiarity. However, the study also reveals generally low consumer awareness and understanding of sustainability labels. Socio-demographic factors significantly affect shrimp purchasing. Men purchase shrimp less frequently but in larger quantities, particularly unlabelled shrimp; university-educated consumers are less likely to purchase farmed shrimp, except for the eco-friendly Naturland-labelled option; and higher income correlates with increasing shrimp consumption and lower price sensitivity. These findings suggest a viable market for sustainably produced shrimp in Vietnam, which could be further expanded by enhancing consumer education about sustainability logos. Consequently, consumer education and information campaigns about sustainability labels could play a crucial role in promoting sustainable aquaculture practices and increasing demand for eco-labelled products, thereby facilitating the transition to sustainable aquaculture production in Vietnam.

过去60年来,全球鱼类消费量大幅增加,2022年水产养殖捕捞量超过野生捕捞量。这种增长引起了人们对环境可持续性和食品安全的关注,促使人们使用生态标签来告知消费者可持续发展的做法。本研究采用离散-连续选择实验方法调查越南消费者对可持续生产虾的需求,重点研究生态标签对购买决策的影响。结果表明,对养殖虾的需求是积极的,与传统生产的虾相比,人们更喜欢可持续生产的虾。在各种认证中,贴有国家认证标志(VietGAP)的虾表现出最高的消费者需求,可能是由于对其更熟悉。然而,该研究也揭示了消费者对可持续标签的认识和理解普遍较低。社会人口因素显著影响虾的购买。男性购买虾的频率较低,但数量较大,尤其是没有标签的虾;受过大学教育的消费者不太可能购买养殖虾,除了环保的naturland标记的选择;高收入与虾消费增加和价格敏感性降低相关。这些发现表明,越南可持续生产的虾有一个可行的市场,可以通过加强对消费者的可持续标志教育来进一步扩大这个市场。因此,关于可持续标签的消费者教育和宣传活动可在促进可持续水产养殖做法和增加对生态标签产品的需求方面发挥关键作用,从而促进越南向可持续水产养殖生产过渡。
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引用次数: 0
Determinants of Agricultural Fires: An Aggregative Games Approach 农业火灾的决定因素:聚合博弈方法
IF 2.6 3区 经济学 Q2 AGRICULTURAL ECONOMICS & POLICY Pub Date : 2025-06-16 DOI: 10.1111/1467-8489.70032
Wilfredo L. Maldonado, Jessica A. Barbosa

The effects of deforestation caused by land fires used by farmers (especially smallholders) are twofold. From the individual (farmer) perspective, these burnings contribute to land preparation and improve fertility. On the other hand, at an aggregate level, these practices harm air and water quality, degrade the environment and as a consequence negatively impact land productivity. In this work, we present an aggregative game framework that incorporates these effects, enabling us to analyse how variations in fire costs and the number of farmers—key determinants of agricultural fires—affect the total deforested area. We also demonstrate the pervasive cross-effect of fines imposed on a farmer (or group of farmers) on the burning decisions of others. Additionally, we prove the existence of an inverted U-shaped relationship between fines applied for land fires and total sector production, which allows us to identify an optimal fine value that maximises total output. Finally, using data from Brazilian research institutes, we test the sign and magnitude of the impacts of these determinants on aggregate deforestation in Brazil's Legal Amazon for the period 2008–2021.

农民(尤其是小农)使用的土地火灾造成的森林砍伐的影响是双重的。从个人(农民)的角度来看,这些焚烧有助于土地整理和提高肥力。另一方面,总的来说,这些做法损害空气和水质,使环境退化,从而对土地生产力产生不利影响。在这项工作中,我们提出了一个整合这些影响的综合博弈框架,使我们能够分析火灾成本和农民数量的变化(农业火灾的关键决定因素)如何影响总森林砍伐面积。我们还证明了对一个农民(或一群农民)施加的罚款对其他人的焚烧决定的普遍交叉效应。此外,我们证明了适用于土地火灾的罚款与部门总产量之间存在倒u型关系,这使我们能够确定使总产量最大化的最佳罚款值。最后,利用巴西研究机构的数据,我们测试了2008-2021年期间这些决定因素对巴西合法亚马逊地区森林砍伐总量影响的迹象和程度。
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引用次数: 0
Ronald Roy (‘Roley’) Piggott (1945–2014) 罗纳德·罗伊·皮戈特(1945-2014)
IF 2.6 3区 经济学 Q2 AGRICULTURAL ECONOMICS & POLICY Pub Date : 2025-06-10 DOI: 10.1111/1467-8489.70040
Garry Griffith, Vic Wright
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引用次数: 0
Local Economic Impacts of an Unconventional Energy Boom: A Long-Term Evaluation 非常规能源繁荣对地方经济的影响:一项长期评估
IF 2.6 3区 经济学 Q2 AGRICULTURAL ECONOMICS & POLICY Pub Date : 2025-06-10 DOI: 10.1111/1467-8489.70031
David A. Fleming-Muñoz, Lavinia Poruschi

The extensive development of the onshore gas industry in Southern Queensland over the past two decades has been an unprecedented event in Australia, positioning the country as a global leader in natural gas exports. This boom has also profoundly reshaped the economic landscapes of extraction regions, particularly across the Surat and Bowen Basins. Contributing to the limited literature on its socioeconomic impacts, this paper examines the industry's long-term effects by analysing economic data from 2011 to 2021 and comparing it with trends from the preceding decade. While the initial gas boom (2001–2011) drove income growth and employment, our findings indicate that economic benefits in the following decade have been lower. Mining employment declined as operations became less labour-intensive, while income growth in extraction regions has not been particularly better than in other regions in the state. Additionally, we find no significant spillover effects on other sectors, underscoring constraints on broader economic diversification. Agriculture, particularly in the Surat Basin, has remained persistently less significant to local economies than pre-boom levels, with a lower capacity to generate employment. Understanding these trade-offs is essential, as regional prosperity hinges on the ability of non-extractive industries and communities to adapt post-boom. Long-term evaluations such as this are critical to tracking regional economic transitions and assessing the lasting impacts of industry development, informing policy strategies that balance economic benefits with environmental and social costs.

在过去的二十年里,南昆士兰陆上天然气工业的广泛发展是澳大利亚前所未有的事件,使该国成为全球天然气出口的领导者。这种繁荣也深刻地重塑了开采地区的经济格局,特别是在苏拉特盆地和鲍文盆地。由于关于其社会经济影响的文献有限,本文通过分析2011年至2021年的经济数据,并将其与前十年的趋势进行比较,研究了该行业的长期影响。虽然最初的天然气繁荣(2001-2011)推动了收入增长和就业,但我们的研究结果表明,在接下来的十年中,经济效益有所降低。由于采矿作业的劳动密集程度降低,采矿业的就业人数下降,而采掘地区的收入增长并没有特别好于该州的其他地区。此外,我们发现对其他部门没有显著的溢出效应,这强调了对更广泛的经济多元化的限制。农业,特别是在苏拉特盆地,对当地经济的重要性一直低于繁荣前的水平,创造就业的能力也较低。了解这些权衡是至关重要的,因为地区繁荣取决于非采掘业和社区适应后繁荣的能力。诸如此类的长期评估对于跟踪区域经济转型和评估行业发展的持久影响,为平衡经济效益与环境和社会成本的政策战略提供信息至关重要。
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引用次数: 0
Understanding Farmers' Policy Preferences for Solar-Powered Irrigation Systems in Karnataka, India: A Choice Experiment Approach 了解印度卡纳塔克邦农民对太阳能灌溉系统的政策偏好:一个选择实验方法
IF 2.6 3区 经济学 Q2 AGRICULTURAL ECONOMICS & POLICY Pub Date : 2025-06-08 DOI: 10.1111/1467-8489.70024
Aditya Korekallu Srinivasa, Dagmar Mithöfer

Solar-Powered Irrigation Systems (SPIS) are an important component of India's effort towards sustainable energy transition and are promoted with financial support under the PM-KUSUM program. In spite of the promise and the policy push, adoption of SPIS has been low. In this paper, we use a Discrete Choice Experiment (DCE) to evaluate the policy attributes in the promotion of SPIS. We selected five attributes of SPIS: cost of the pump; terms of the loan; grid connection; service provision (repair services); and multiple uses of energy (generated from solar panels) with different levels for each attribute. D-efficient, non-zero prior design was used to design the choice combinations used in the study. The data was collected from 500 farmers randomly chosen from 31 villages across Mysore district, Karnataka, India, and analysed using the random parameter logit model. For a nuanced interpretation and contextualisation of the results, we conducted follow-up qualitative interviews. The results highlight that farmer preferences, indicated by the highest part worth, are for a loan with a longer repayment period (WTP of US$ 1905), followed by guaranteed service provision for 10 years (WTP of US$ 1498). Given that SPIS is a new technology with high initial investment, easing liquidity constraints and assuring farmers of guaranteed repair services are strong incentives to adopt it. These findings can be incorporated into existing policies so that they align well with farmers' preferences.

太阳能灌溉系统(SPIS)是印度向可持续能源转型努力的重要组成部分,并在PM-KUSUM计划的财政支持下得到推广。尽管有了承诺和政策推动,SPIS的采用率一直很低。在本文中,我们使用离散选择实验(DCE)来评估促进SPIS的策略属性。我们选择了SPIS的五个属性:泵的成本;贷款条款;电网连接;提供服务(维修服务);能源(由太阳能电池板产生)的多种用途,每个属性都有不同的级别。采用d -有效的非零先验设计来设计研究中使用的选择组合。数据是从印度卡纳塔克邦迈索尔地区31个村庄随机抽取的500名农民中收集的,并使用随机参数logit模型进行分析。为了对结果进行细致入微的解释和背景化,我们进行了后续定性访谈。结果突出表明,农民的偏好(由最高部分值表示)是还款期较长的贷款(WTP为1905美元),其次是保证提供10年的服务(WTP为1498美元)。鉴于SPIS是一项初始投资高的新技术,缓解流动性限制和向农民保证维修服务是采用它的强烈动机。这些发现可以纳入现有政策,使其与农民的偏好保持一致。
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引用次数: 0
The Right Tree in the Right Place: Why Are Urban Tree Targets in Australia Harder Than They Seem? 正确的树在正确的地方:为什么澳大利亚的城市树木目标比看起来更难?
IF 2.6 3区 经济学 Q2 AGRICULTURAL ECONOMICS & POLICY Pub Date : 2025-06-05 DOI: 10.1111/1467-8489.70038
Sorada Tapsuwan

Urban trees are universally praised for their cooling effects, biodiversity benefits and contributions to human well-being. Yet, despite widespread enthusiasm about greener cities, tree-planting initiatives in Australia often encounter surprising resistance. Residents who advocate for more urban canopy might baulk when a tree is planted outside their own home because of concerns for fallen leaves, root damage, blocked views or losing a parking space. At a policy level, the challenge is even greater: ensuring trees are planted in the right locations, thrive in changing climates and do not create unforeseen economic or environmental trade-offs. In this article, I will discuss the challenges of achieving urban tree canopy targets, including the economic, environmental and social trade-offs that city planners must navigate.

JEL Classification: Q57, Q23, R52

城市树木因其降温效果、生物多样性效益和对人类福祉的贡献而受到普遍赞誉。然而,尽管人们普遍对绿色城市充满热情,但澳大利亚的植树计划经常遇到令人惊讶的阻力。提倡在城市中种植更多树冠的居民可能会因为担心落叶、树根受损、遮挡视野或失去停车位而在自己家外种植一棵树时犹豫不决。在政策层面,挑战甚至更大:确保树木种植在正确的地点,在不断变化的气候中茁壮成长,并且不会造成不可预见的经济或环境权衡。在这篇文章中,我将讨论实现城市树冠目标的挑战,包括城市规划者必须驾驭的经济、环境和社会权衡。JEL分类:Q57、Q23、R52
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引用次数: 0
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Australian Journal of Agricultural and Resource Economics
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