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A nonparametric random effects model for the valuation of forest recreation services: An application to forest sites in Tuscany, Italy 森林娱乐服务估值的非参数随机效应模型:意大利托斯卡纳森林遗址的应用
IF 3.2 3区 经济学 Q2 AGRICULTURAL ECONOMICS & POLICY Pub Date : 2024-02-02 DOI: 10.1111/1467-8489.12557
Andrea Pellegrini, Ginevra Virginia Lombardi, Riccardo Scarpa, John M. Rose

This study assesses individuals' preferences for the use of forest sites for recreational purposes by means of the logit-mixed logit (LML) model. The appeal of the LML is that the analyst does not need to assume any specific functional form for the mixing distributions of random preferences. The empirical analysis generates a data-driven nonparametric representation of individuals' preference heterogeneity. We apply this approach to data collected using an unlabelled discrete choice experiment (DCE), consisting of three recreational options, two of which are in two hypothetical forest sites. Forest destinations are described by means of six attributes: forest type, signposting, hiking time, access to rivers or lakes, wildlife watch hides for visitors and cost of access. The empirical findings reveal that the signpost for each trail is the attribute for which respondents are on average willing to pay the most (6.565€). Further evidence suggests that respondents have strong positive preferences for those forest sites that offer amenities such as wildlife watching hides and access to rivers or lakes. Finally, the histograms derived from the semi-parametric LML estimation reveal multimodality of random taste amongst respondents for different hypothetical forest sites.

本研究通过 logit-ixed logit(LML)模型评估了个人对使用林地进行休闲娱乐的偏好。LML 的魅力在于,分析者无需为随机偏好的混合分布假设任何特定的函数形式。通过实证分析,可以得出个人偏好异质性的非参数数据。我们将这种方法应用于通过无标签离散选择实验(DCE)收集的数据,该实验由三个娱乐选项组成,其中两个选项位于两个假设的森林地点。森林目的地由六个属性来描述:森林类型、路标、徒步时间、通往河流或湖泊的途径、供游客观赏野生动物的藏身处以及进入成本。实证研究结果显示,每条路径的路标是受访者平均愿意支付最多费用(6.565 欧元)的属性。更多的证据表明,受访者对那些提供野生动物观察小屋和通往河流或湖泊等便利设施的森林景点有着强烈的积极偏好。最后,半参数 LML 估算得出的直方图显示了受访者对不同假设森林地点的随机品味的多模态性。
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引用次数: 0
Does simultaneous adoption of drought-tolerant maize varieties and organic fertiliser affect productivity and welfare outcomes? Evidence from rural Nigeria 同时采用耐旱玉米品种和有机肥料会影响生产力和福利结果吗?尼日利亚农村的证据
IF 3.2 3区 经济学 Q2 AGRICULTURAL ECONOMICS & POLICY Pub Date : 2024-01-30 DOI: 10.1111/1467-8489.12550
Zainab Oyetunde-Usman, Apurba Shee, Tahirou Abdoulaye

The promotion of improved maize varieties and chemical fertilisers underscores many policy approaches addressing multiple production risks such as poor soil fertility and drought. However, the unsustainable use of chemical fertilisers has important implications for soil degradation. The synergies between improved maize varieties and sustainable land use management practices such as the use of organic fertilisers (e.g., manure) are poorly documented, despite the role of manure in enhancing soil organic matter. Employing nationally representative household survey data in Nigeria, this study utilises multivalued inverse probability weighted regression adjustment, entropy balancing and a multinomial endogenous switching regression model to determine the effects of the adoption of drought-tolerant maize varieties (DTMVs) and organic fertiliser on farm households' productivity, per capita total expenditure and per capita food expenditure. Controlling for farm households' observables and unobservables, the estimation results of the average treatment effects show that the highest pay-off on productivity and welfare outcomes is achieved when DTMVs and manure are jointly adopted. Also, wealth indicators, access to loans and access to extension services significantly influenced individual and combinatory packages of DTMVs and manure application adoption. This study underlines the significance of the joint adoption of DTMVs and manure application on rural farmers' productivity and welfare and a substantial contribution to achieving sustainable agricultural practices.

改良玉米品种和化肥的推广强调了许多应对土壤肥力差和干旱等多重生产风险的政策方针。然而,不可持续地使用化肥对土壤退化有重要影响。改良玉米品种与使用有机肥料(如粪肥)等可持续土地利用管理方法之间的协同作用鲜有记载,尽管粪肥在提高土壤有机质方面发挥着作用。本研究采用尼日利亚具有全国代表性的家庭调查数据,利用多值反概率加权回归调整、熵平衡和多项式内生转换回归模型,确定采用耐旱玉米品种(DTMVs)和有机肥料对农户生产率、人均总支出和人均食品支出的影响。在控制了农户的可观测变量和不可观测变量后,平均处理效应的估计结果表明,共同采用耐旱玉米品种和有机肥料对生产率和福利结果的回报率最高。此外,财富指标、获得贷款的机会和获得推广服务的机会也对单独和组合采用 DTMVs 和施肥有显著影响。本研究强调了联合采用 DTMVs 和施肥对农村农民生产率和福利的重要意义,以及对实现可持续农业实践的重大贡献。
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引用次数: 0
The role of hired labour on technical efficiency in an expanding dairy sector: The case of Ireland 在不断扩大的乳制品行业中,雇佣劳动力对技术效率的影响:爱尔兰案例
IF 3.2 3区 经济学 Q2 AGRICULTURAL ECONOMICS & POLICY Pub Date : 2024-01-19 DOI: 10.1111/1467-8489.12553
Luis Garcia-Covarrubias, Doris Läpple, Emma Dillon, Fiona Thorne

The 2015 EU milk quota abolition initiated considerable expansion in the dairy sector. This expansion has increased the demand for additional labour in some EU countries, most significantly in Ireland. This paper explores the role of hired labour on Irish dairy farms' technical efficiency (TE). We use a detailed farm-level panel data set of a representative sample from 2000 to 2018. To estimate transient, persistent, and overall TE over time, we apply a 4-component stochastic frontier model. Our findings show significant variation in TE scores over the period. We also control for endogeneity to obtain marginal effects of hired labour on TE. The results reveal that hired labour has a significant yet small, positive effect on farms' TE. Our findings suggest that the effect of hired labour on TE is larger for small and medium-sized farms. This effect is larger when herd size increases.

2015 年欧盟取消牛奶配额后,乳制品行业开始大幅扩张。这种扩张增加了一些欧盟国家对额外劳动力的需求,其中以爱尔兰最为显著。本文探讨了雇佣劳动力对爱尔兰奶牛场技术效率(TE)的作用。我们使用了 2000 年至 2018 年具有代表性样本的详细农场级面板数据集。为了估算随时间变化的瞬时技术效率、持续技术效率和总体技术效率,我们采用了一个由 4 个部分组成的随机前沿模型。我们的研究结果表明,在此期间,TE 分数变化很大。我们还对内生性进行了控制,以获得雇佣劳动对 TE 的边际效应。结果显示,雇佣劳动力对农场的 TE 有显著但微小的积极影响。我们的研究结果表明,对中小型农场而言,雇佣劳动力对 TE 的影响更大。当牧群规模扩大时,这种影响更大。
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引用次数: 0
A pound for information or a penny for cure: Farmers' economic decisions on testing and treatment of livestock diseases 一英镑买信息还是一便士买治疗?农民对牲畜疾病检测和治疗的经济决策
IF 3.2 3区 经济学 Q2 AGRICULTURAL ECONOMICS & POLICY Pub Date : 2024-01-15 DOI: 10.1111/1467-8489.12552
Abenezer Zeleke Aklilu, Katarina Elofsson, Peter Halvarsson, Petter Kjellander, Johan Höglund

Livestock productivity and profitability are threatened by livestock diseases. In this study, we examine farmers' revealed preferences for testing and treating gastrointestinal parasites in sheep in Sweden, taking into account the sequential structure of these decisions. We control for preventive measures, as well as the potential impact of wildlife–livestock disease transmission on farmers' decisions. A zero-inflated ordered probit model is used to estimate the determinants of farmers' decisions, and we cross-validate the robustness of the results to alternative model assumptions. Results from the regressions are used to calculate the consequences of these choices for farmers' profits. The results show that treatment decisions are informed by faecal testing, while both testing and treatment are influenced by the grazing practices, the size of the operation and access to information. Contrary to expectations from the conceptual framework, preventive management practices are positively correlated with treatment. Farmers take multiple risk factors into account when deciding on testing, but we do not find that the same factors affect the outcome of treatment. The economic impacts are small and suggest that treatment without prior testing is more profitable for the farmer than informed treatment. If widespread treatment increases drug resistance, this could motivate policies that encourage testing.

牲畜疾病威胁着牲畜的生产力和盈利能力。在本研究中,我们考察了瑞典农民在检测和治疗绵羊胃肠道寄生虫方面的显性偏好,并考虑了这些决策的顺序结构。我们对预防措施以及野生动物-牲畜疾病传播对农民决策的潜在影响进行了控制。我们使用了零膨胀有序概率模型来估计农民决策的决定因素,并交叉验证了结果对其他模型假设的稳健性。回归结果用于计算这些选择对农民利润的影响。结果表明,粪便检测为治疗决策提供了信息,而检测和治疗都受到放牧方式、经营规模和信息获取途径的影响。与概念框架的预期相反,预防性管理措施与治疗呈正相关。农民在决定检测时会考虑多种风险因素,但我们没有发现同样的因素会影响治疗结果。经济影响较小,表明对农民来说,不进行事先检测的治疗比知情治疗更有利可图。如果广泛的治疗会增加抗药性,这将促使制定鼓励检测的政策。
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引用次数: 0
Estimating non-market values of protecting groundwater in a constrained environment 估算在受限环境中保护地下水的非市场价值
IF 3.2 3区 经济学 Q2 AGRICULTURAL ECONOMICS & POLICY Pub Date : 2024-01-15 DOI: 10.1111/1467-8489.12551
Le Lan, Md Sayed Iftekhar, Steven Schilizzi, James Fogarty

In groundwater-constrained areas, reallocating groundwater away from agriculture to achieve environmental outcomes has become a popular top-down regulatory approach. However, little attention has been paid to understanding public preferences for such policies. Using a choice experiment, we explore community preferences for different components of a groundwater allocation management program affecting agriculture in a severely water-constrained but highly groundwater-dependent environment, Western Australia. We find strong community preferences for a substantial reallocation away from agriculture, with compensation based on ecological benefits, regular monitoring through meters and a medium-level penalty for those that over-extract. The estimated non-market value to implement a groundwater management program comprising the preferred structure is up to AU$61 million per year. This result demonstrates the value of considering community preferences when designing groundwater management policies.

在地下水紧张的地区,为取得环境成果而从农业中重新分配地下水已成为一种流行的自上而下的监管方法。然而,人们很少关注公众对此类政策的偏好。通过选择实验,我们探讨了在西澳大利亚这个水资源严重紧张但高度依赖地下水的环境中,社区对影响农业的地下水分配管理计划不同组成部分的偏好。我们发现,社区强烈倾向于从农业领域大量重新分配地下水,根据生态效益进行补偿,通过水表进行定期监测,并对过度开采者进行中等程度的惩罚。据估计,实施包含首选结构的地下水管理计划的非市场价值高达每年 6100 万澳元。这一结果证明了在设计地下水管理政策时考虑社区偏好的价值。
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引用次数: 0
J. Brian Hardaker (1935–2023) 布莱恩-哈代克(1935-2023)
IF 3.2 3区 经济学 Q2 AGRICULTURAL ECONOMICS & POLICY Pub Date : 2024-01-02 DOI: 10.1111/1467-8489.12547
Jock R. Anderson
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引用次数: 0
The amenity value of constructed wetlands 人工湿地的美化价值
IF 3.2 3区 经济学 Q2 AGRICULTURAL ECONOMICS & POLICY Pub Date : 2023-12-26 DOI: 10.1111/1467-8489.12549
Mario A. Fernandez, Gonzalo Sanchez, Paul Thorsnes

Natural wetlands in urbanised areas provide practical services, including flood control and amenity values such as views, wildlife habitat and recreational opportunities. But cities also construct wetlands to improve flood control and ecosystem services, the value of which might change property prices. This paper reports analyses of property prices that provide estimates of wetlands' localised amenity values in Auckland, New Zealand's largest city. A major challenge is that the selection of sites for wetlands’ construction is not random; amenity value is potentially confounded by property and neighbourhood characteristics that vary across space and over time. We use a combination of repeat-sales models, difference-in-differences and matching models to control for unobserved heterogeneity in property and neighbourhood characteristics. The results indicate that local benefit from constructed wetlands ranges from about 5% to 9% depending on the location of the property in areas adjacent to the wetlands or in a larger catchment of interest. Our results have a causal interpretation if the selection criteria are applied uniformly across Auckland and are valuable in assessing the benefits of constructed wetlands.

城市化地区的自然湿地可提供实际服务,包括防洪和美化环境的价值,如景观、野生动物栖息地和休闲机会。但城市也会建造湿地来改善防洪和生态系统服务,其价值可能会改变房地产价格。本文报告了对新西兰最大城市奥克兰的房地产价格进行的分析,这些分析提供了对湿地的局部舒适价值的估计。一个主要的挑战是湿地建设的选址不是随机的;随着时间和空间的变化,美化价值可能会受到物业和社区特征的影响。我们结合使用了重复销售模型、差分模型和匹配模型,以控制物业和社区特征中未观察到的异质性。结果表明,根据房产所处的湿地邻近地区或更大的相关集水区的位置,当地从人工湿地中受益的比例约为 5% 至 9%。如果在整个奥克兰统一采用选择标准,我们的结果将具有因果关系解释,并对评估建造湿地的效益具有重要价值。
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引用次数: 0
The effect of income distribution on diet-related environmental footprints: Evidence from urban China 收入分配对与饮食相关的环境足迹的影响:来自中国城市的证据
IF 3.2 3区 经济学 Q2 AGRICULTURAL ECONOMICS & POLICY Pub Date : 2023-12-18 DOI: 10.1111/1467-8489.12548
Jiao Chen, Yanjun Ren, Thomas Glauben, Lei Li

Given that income disparity is expanding and diet-related environmental footprints are increasing in urban China, this study aims to investigate the heterogeneity in these footprints across various income classes and examine the effect of income distribution on the total environmental footprints. Based on the quadratic almost ideal demand system model and taking into consideration the problems of endogeneity of food expenditure and zero expenditure, we estimate the income elasticities for 10 food categories across seven income classes and project the diet-related environmental footprints under seven scenarios for various strategies of the income distribution. The results show that per capita diet-related environmental footprints are greater for higher income classes than for lower income classes, as the former consume more animal-based food. Compared with high-income classes, income growth favouring low-income classes results in a rather significant increase in diet-related environmental footprints. With further economic growth, the lowest income group makes the greatest contribution to the increase in diet-related environmental footprints. Thus, policymakers should promote a more sustainable diet on the road to alleviating income inequality to ensure sustainable environmental development.

鉴于中国城市收入差距不断扩大,与饮食相关的环境足迹不断增加,本研究旨在调查这些足迹在不同收入阶层中的异质性,并研究收入分配对总环境足迹的影响。基于二次近似理想需求系统模型,并考虑到食品支出的内生性和零支出问题,我们估算了七个收入阶层中 10 种食品的收入弹性,并预测了不同收入分配策略下七种情景下与饮食相关的环境足迹。结果显示,高收入阶层的人均饮食相关环境足迹大于低收入阶层,因为前者消费更多的动物性食物。与高收入阶层相比,有利于低收入阶层的收入增长会导致与饮食相关的环境足迹显著增加。随着经济的进一步增长,最低收入阶层对与饮食相关的环境足迹增加的贡献最大。因此,决策者应在缓解收入不平等的道路上促进更可持续的饮食,以确保环境的可持续发展。
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引用次数: 0
Calamitous weather, yield risk and mitigation effect of harvest mechanisation: Evidence from China's winter wheat 灾害性天气、产量风险和收获机械化的缓解效应:来自中国冬小麦的证据
IF 3.2 3区 经济学 Q2 AGRICULTURAL ECONOMICS & POLICY Pub Date : 2023-12-18 DOI: 10.1111/1467-8489.12545
Teng Wang, Fujin Yi, Ximing Wu, Huilin Liu, Yu Yvette Zhang

Stable agricultural production has been substantially challenged by increasingly frequent calamitous weather conditions. For winter wheat, continuous precipitation during the harvest season is particularly detrimental. This study utilises a county-level panel dataset of agricultural production in China for the period of 1998–2016 to evaluate the impact of continuous precipitation on the downside risk of winter wheat yield. Results show that continuous precipitation during the harvest season remarkably increases the downside risk of winter wheat yield. At the same time, the progressive adoption of harvest machinery in recent decades has effectively mitigated the downside risk of winter wheat yield driven by continuous precipitation. The mitigation effects of harvest mechanisation are more pronounced for plain areas with better-developed transportation infrastructure.

日益频繁的灾害性天气给稳定的农业生产带来了巨大挑战。对于冬小麦来说,收获季节的连续降水尤其不利。本研究利用 1998-2016 年期间中国农业生产的县级面板数据集,评估连续降水对冬小麦产量下行风险的影响。结果表明,收获季节的连续降水显著增加了冬小麦产量的下行风险。与此同时,近几十年来收获机械的逐步采用有效缓解了连续降水对冬小麦产量的下行风险。对于交通基础设施较发达的平原地区,收获机械化的缓解效果更为明显。
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引用次数: 0
The economic impacts of a hypothetical foot and mouth disease outbreak in Australia 假设澳大利亚爆发口蹄疫的经济影响
IF 3.2 3区 经济学 Q2 AGRICULTURAL ECONOMICS & POLICY Pub Date : 2023-12-07 DOI: 10.1111/1467-8489.12546
Glyn Wittwer

This study uses a multicountry, dynamic, quarterly CGE model, GlobeTERM, to estimate the economic impacts of a hypothetical foot and mouth disease outbreak in Australia. The national welfare losses arising from the outbreak depend mostly on the duration of trade sanctions by importers of Australian animal products. If an outbreak is contained within several months, and trade sanctions are dropped within a year of the outbreak, the net present value of Australia's welfare losses may be around AUS$10 billion. If all importers restore Australian access within a year, other than China–Hong Kong, which delays by 5 years, welfare losses are around AUS$21 billion. In a less likely scenario, in which trade sanctions persist in all trading partners for 5 years after the disease has been eradicated, contrary to international guidelines, welfare losses may exceed AUS$85 billion. Trading partners also suffer welfare losses due to trade sanctions. These losses are large enough to imply, from a global perspective, that a shift towards vaccinate-to-live policies combined with global efforts to eradicate the disease may be cost-effective.

本研究使用多国动态季度CGE模型GlobeTERM来估计假设澳大利亚口蹄疫爆发的经济影响。疫情造成的国家福利损失主要取决于澳大利亚动物产品进口商贸易制裁的持续时间。如果疫情在几个月内得到控制,并在疫情爆发后一年内取消贸易制裁,澳大利亚福利损失的净现值可能在100亿澳元左右。如果所有进口商在一年内恢复澳大利亚的准入,除了中国-香港延迟5年,福利损失约为210亿澳元。在一种不太可能发生的情况下,即与国际准则相反,在根除该病后,所有贸易伙伴的贸易制裁仍持续5年,福利损失可能超过850亿澳元。贸易伙伴国也因贸易制裁而蒙受福利损失。从全球的角度来看,这些损失足够大,表明转向“从接种到存活”的政策与全球根除该疾病的努力相结合可能具有成本效益。
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引用次数: 0
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Australian Journal of Agricultural and Resource Economics
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