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Comparison of phenological weather indices based statistical, machine learning and hybrid models for soybean yield forecasting in Uttarakhand 基于统计、机器学习和混合模型的北方阿坎德邦大豆产量预测的气象指标比较
Q3 Agricultural and Biological Sciences Pub Date : 2023-08-31 DOI: 10.54386/jam.v25i3.2232
Yunish Khan, Vinod Kumar, P. Setiya, Anurag Satpathi
Early information exchange regarding predicted crop production could play a role in lowering the danger of food insecurity. In this study total six multivariate models were developed using past time series yield data and weather indices viz. SMLR, PCA-SMLR, ANN, PCA-ANN, SMLR-ANN and PCA-SMLR-ANN for three major soybean producing districts of Uttarakhand viz. Almora, Udham Singh Nagar and Uttarkashi. Further analysis was done by fixing 80% of the data for calibration and the remaining dataset for validation to predict soybean yield. Phenology wise average values were computed using the daily weather data. These average values are subsequently employed in the computation of both weighted and unweighted weather indices. The PCA-SMLR-ANN, SMLR-ANN and PCA-ANN models were found to be the best soybean yield predictor model for Almora, Udham Singh Nagar and Uttarkashi districts, respectively. The overall ranking based on the performances of the models for all locations can be given as: SMLR-ANN > PCA-ANN > PCA-SMLR-ANN ≈ ANN > PCA-SMLR > SMLR. The study results indicated that hybrid models outperformed the individual models well for all the study regions.
早期交换有关作物产量预测的信息可以在降低粮食不安全的危险方面发挥作用。本研究利用过去的时间序列产量数据和天气指数,即SMLR、PCA-SMLR、ANN、PCA-ANN、SMLR-ANN和PCA-SMLR-ANN,针对北阿坎德邦的三个主要大豆产区,即Almora、Udham Singh Nagar和Uttarkashi,建立了6个多变量模型。进一步的分析是通过固定80%的数据进行校准,剩余的数据集进行验证,以预测大豆产量。利用每日天气资料计算物候平均值。这些平均值随后被用于计算加权和未加权的天气指数。PCA-SMLR-ANN、SMLR-ANN和PCA-ANN模型分别是Almora、Udham Singh Nagar和Uttarkashi地区大豆产量的最佳预测模型。基于各位置模型性能的总体排名为:SMLR-ANN > PCA-ANN > PCA-SMLR-ANN≈ANN > PCA-SMLR > SMLR。研究结果表明,混合模型在各研究区域均优于单个模型。
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引用次数: 0
Estimation of actual evapotranspiration using the simplified-surface energy balance index model on an irrigated agricultural farm 基于简化地表能量平衡指数模型的灌溉农田实际蒸散量估算
Q3 Agricultural and Biological Sciences Pub Date : 2023-08-31 DOI: 10.54386/jam.v25i3.2254
T. Ghosh, DEBASHIS CHAKRABORTY, BAPPA DAS, VINAY K. SEHGAL, DEBASHISH ROY, RAJKUMAR DHAKAR, KOUSHIK BAG
Evapotranspiration (ET) plays a crucial role in the energy and water balance of agricultural ecosystems and is a vital component of the hydrological cycle. Efficient irrigation water management relies on accurate spatiotemporal coverage of crop ET across a farm. Thanks to the availability of multi-temporal high-resolution satellite datasets and remote sensing-based surface energy balance models, near-real-time estimation of ET is now possible. This study utilized Landsat 8/9 data to estimate ET using the simplified surface energy balance index (S-SEBI) model, which was then compared to eddy covariance measurements over a semi-arid agricultural farm in New Delhi, India during the post-monsoon periods of 2021-22 and 2022-23. The S-SEBI model predicted daily ET from Landsat 8/9 data with an average correlation coefficient and RMSE of 0.89 and 0.79 mm/day, respectively. The spatiotemporal map was also used to evaluate the model's performance, and it could accurately differentiate between ET over dryland crops and well-irrigated wheat fields on the farm. Despite underestimating ET (0.51 mm/day) during the initial growing season (Nov-Dec) and overestimating it (0.73 mm/day) during mid-season (Feb-Mar), the S-SEBI model can still be an operational tool for mapping ET with high accuracy and sufficient variation across pixels, making it an ideal option for incorporating into irrigation scheduling.
蒸发蒸腾量在农业生态系统的能量和水分平衡中起着至关重要的作用,是水文循环的重要组成部分。高效的灌溉水管理依赖于农场作物ET的准确时空覆盖。由于有了多时相高分辨率卫星数据集和基于遥感的地表能量平衡模型,现在可以对ET进行近实时估计。本研究利用陆地卫星8/9数据,使用简化的地表能量平衡指数(S-SEBI)模型估计ET,然后将其与2021-22年和2022-23年后季风时期印度新德里半干旱农业农场的涡度协方差测量值进行比较。S-SEBI模型根据Landsat 8/9数据预测了每日ET,平均相关系数和RMSE分别为0.89和0.79 mm/天。时空图也被用于评估该模型的性能,它可以准确区分旱地作物和农田灌溉良好的麦田上的ET。尽管在最初的生长季节(11月至12月)低估了ET(0.51毫米/天),在季中(2月至3月)高估了ET(0.73毫米/天。
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引用次数: 0
Interactive effect of tillage, residue, nitrogen, and irrigation management on yield, radiation productivity and water productivity of winter wheat in semi-arid climate 半干旱气候下耕作、秸秆、氮素和灌溉管理对冬小麦产量、辐射生产力和水分生产力的交互作用
Q3 Agricultural and Biological Sciences Pub Date : 2023-08-31 DOI: 10.54386/jam.v25i3.2240
SUJAN ADAK, KALIKINKAR BANDYOPADHYAY, R.N. SAHOO, PRAMEELA KRISHNAN, V.K. SEHGAL, S. NARESH KUMAR, S.P. DATTA, A. SARANGI, R.S. BANA, NANDITA MANDAL, PRIYA BHATTACHARYA, MD YEASIN
Water, nutrients, and energy are the three main inputs in agricultural production and recently there has been a drop in the factor productivity of these inputs because of their improper management and deterioration of soil health. To maximize agricultural productivity while lowering strain on natural resources, the best synergistic combinations of tillage, residue, nitrogen, and water management should be identified for improving resource use efficiency of wheat. Hence, an attempt has been made to evaluate the impact of contrasting tillage, crop residue mulch, nitrogen, and irrigation interaction on yield, radiation productivity (RP), and water productivity (WP) of wheat in a split-factorial design. Results showed that wheat yield was higher under no-tillage (4.8%) than that of conventional tillage. Crop residue mulch (CRM) and higher nitrogen application enhanced RP, WP, and yield of wheat; although RP increased with increase in nitrogen application up to 100% recommended dose of nitrogen (RDN). CRM significantly reduced the seasonal evapotranspiration (6.0‒7.2%) as compared to residue removal treatment. Deficit irrigation enhanced the WP while it lowered the crop yield significantly. Therefore, wheat can be grown under no-tillage, CRM, 100% RDN with deficit irrigation to obtain higher WP but with full irrigation to obtain higher yield, and RP in the semiarid climate of India.
水、养分和能源是农业生产的三大主要投入,最近由于管理不当和土壤健康恶化,这些投入的要素生产率有所下降。为了在降低自然资源压力的同时最大限度地提高农业生产力,应确定耕作、残留物、氮和水管理的最佳协同组合,以提高小麦的资源利用效率。因此,在一个分因子设计中,试图评估对比耕作、作物残留物覆盖、氮和灌溉相互作用对小麦产量、辐射生产力(RP)和水分生产力(WP)的影响。结果表明,免耕小麦产量(4.8%)高于常规耕作。秸秆覆盖(CRM)和高氮施用提高了小麦的RP、WP和产量;尽管RP随着氮施用量的增加而增加,最高可达100%的推荐氮剂量(RDN)。与除渣处理相比,CRM显著降低了季节性蒸散量(6.0-7.2%)。亏缺灌溉提高了WP,但显著降低了作物产量。因此,在印度半干旱气候条件下,小麦可以在免耕、CRM、100%RDN和亏缺灌溉条件下种植,以获得更高的WP,但在全灌溉条件下可获得更高产量。
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引用次数: 0
Effect of abiotic factors on pathotypes causing yellow and brown rust in wheat 非生物因子对小麦黄锈病和褐锈病病原菌的影响
Q3 Agricultural and Biological Sciences Pub Date : 2023-08-31 DOI: 10.54386/jam.v25i3.2140
S. Anand, S. Sandhu, P. S. Tak
An attempt was made to determine the most favourable abiotic factors influencing germination of urediniospores of different pathotypes of Puccinia species. The causal organism of rusts in wheat is Puccinia spp. Five pathotypes of Puccinia striiformis (46S119, 78S84, 110S84, 110S119, 238S119) causal organism of yellow rust and two pathotypes of Puccinia triticina (77-5 and 77-9) causal organism of brown rust in wheat were obtained from Department of Plant Pathology, Punjab Agricultural University, Ludhiana. The data related to spore germination on agar slides was analysed and the levels of urediniospores germination at different temperatures (5,10,15 and 20oC) and pH (5,6,7 and 8) for each pathotype was compared using analysis of variance. The most appropriate temperature and pH were later used to conduct an experiment to study effect of different light intensities (500, 750,1000 and 1250 lux) on spore germination of all the pathotypes under study. The data showed that on agar, 15°C was proved as most suitable for urediniospore germination for Puccinia striiformis. Mean per cent spore germination was highest over the temperature range 15°C (43.55%) for Pst pathoypes and dropped significantly at 10°C (37.97%), 20°C (29.66%) and 5°C (21.04%). Mean urediniospore germination for Puccinia triticina was highest at 20°C (43.89%) followed by 15°C (39.44%), 10°C (30.43) and 5°C (27.39% ). Experimental results revealed that per cent spore germination was better under pH 7 followed by 6, 5 and 8 for all the pathotypes considered for study. The highest urediniospore germination was observed for 1250 lux (46.54%) followed by 1000 lux (41.29%), 750 lux (38.42%) and 500 lux (27.60%).
试图确定影响不同致病类型Puccinia种脲孢子萌发的最有利的非生物因素。小麦锈病的病原菌为Puccinia spp.从卢迪亚纳旁遮普邦农业大学植物病理学系获得了黄锈的五种致病型(46S119、78S84、110S84、110 S119、238S119)病原菌和小麦褐锈的两种致病型小麦Puccinio triticina(77-5和77-9)病原菌。分析了琼脂载玻片上孢子萌发的相关数据,并使用方差分析比较了不同温度(5、10、15和20℃)和pH(5、6、7和8)下每种病理类型的脲孢子萌发水平。随后使用最合适的温度和pH进行实验,以研究不同光照强度(500、7501000和1250lux)对所研究的所有病理类型的孢子萌发的影响。结果表明,在琼脂培养基上,15°C最适合条锈菌的孢子萌发。Pst病型的平均孢子发芽率在15°C(43.55%)的温度范围内最高,在10°C(37.97%)、20°C(29.66%)和5°C(21.04%)时显著下降。小麦Puccinia triticina的平均urediniospore发芽率在20°C时最高(43.89%),其次是15°C,39.44%,10°C,30.43%和5°C。实验结果表明,在pH为7的条件下,孢子发芽率更好,其次是6、5和8。在1250勒克斯(46.54%)下观察到最高的脲孢子萌发,其次是1000勒克斯(41.29%)、750勒克斯(38.42%)和500勒克斯(27.60%)。
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引用次数: 0
Response of stress irrigation management on chlorophyll content, water potential, PAR and canopy temperature in tomato (Lycopersicum Esculentum Mill.) 胁迫灌溉管理对番茄叶绿素含量、水势、PAR和冠层温度的响应
Q3 Agricultural and Biological Sciences Pub Date : 2023-08-31 DOI: 10.54386/jam.v25i3.2172
K. Chavan, P. Bodake
 This study was conducted to investigate the response of stress irrigation management on chlorophyll content, water potential, photosynthetically active radiation (PAR) and canopy temperature in tomato during summer season. The main plot treatments consist of  three drying cycles that is 7, 11 and 15 days and sub treatments include four irrigation levels viz.,60, 80, 100, and 120 % ETC. The control treatments i.e. drip irrigation with 100% ETC on every two alternate days.  The results showed that the 7 days drying cycle showed maximum chlorophyll content, absorbed PAR and leaf water potential followed by 11 days drying cycle. Among the drip irrigation levels, the maximum drip irrigation levels 120 % ETC exhibited significantly maximum chlorophyll content, absorbed PAR and leaf water potential. However, it was at par with 100 % ETC and further 80 % ETC drip irrigation level also showed significant at 90 and 120 DAT. While in the case of difference between canopy and air temperature (Tc-Ta) less negative values were noted by 7 days drying cycle and 120% ETC drip irrigation level.
研究了胁迫灌溉管理对夏季番茄叶绿素含量、水势、光合有效辐射(PAR)和冠层温度的影响。主要地块处理包括3个干燥周期,即7、11和15天,次处理包括4个灌溉水平,即60、80、100和120%等。对照处理为每隔两天用100% ETC滴灌。结果表明:叶片叶绿素含量、PAR吸收量和叶片水势在7 d的干燥周期内最高,11 d的干燥周期次之;在不同滴灌水平下,最大滴灌水平为120% ETC时,叶绿素含量、PAR吸收和叶片水势均达到最大。然而,与100% ETC水平相当,进一步80% ETC滴灌水平在90和120 DAT也显示出显著性。而在冠层与气温(Tc-Ta)差异的情况下,7 d的干燥周期和120% ETC的滴灌水平均出现较少的负值。
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引用次数: 0
Development of groundnut yield forecasting models in relation to weather parameters in Andhra Pradesh, India 印度安得拉邦与天气参数相关的花生产量预报模型的发展
Q3 Agricultural and Biological Sciences Pub Date : 2023-08-31 DOI: 10.54386/jam.v25i3.2194
K. N. R. Kumar, Anurag Satpathi, M. Reddy, P. Setiya, A. Nain
Groundnut is a key oilseed crop in the world and India is one of the largest groundnuts producing country in terms of area and yield. Keeping that in view, five models were developed for five districts of Andhra Pradesh to forecast the groundnut yield viz., Stepwise Multiple Linear Regression (SMLR), Ridge regression, Least Absolute Shrinkage and Selection Operator (LASSO), Elastic Net (ELNET) and Artificial Neural Network (ANN). The historical data on the weather parameters are obtained from NASA POWER web portal and groundnut yields for these districts of the state during both Kharif and Rabi seasons obtained through Season and Crop Report, Government of Andhra Pradesh for the period, 2001 to 2020. In total 30 weather indices were generated through five weather variables. The assessment of models was done by fixing 75 % of the data for calibration and left 25 % data for validation. The findings inferred that based on the values of R2, RMSE, nRMSE and EF, Ridge regression, ELNET and ANN models showed better performance for Ananthapur, Chittoor and Kadapa districts and SMLR and LASSO models showed better performance for Kurnool and Nellore districts during both Kharif and Rabi seasons at calibration and validation stages.
花生是世界上一种重要的油料作物,就面积和产量而言,印度是最大的花生生产国之一。有鉴于此,为安得拉邦的五个地区开发了五个花生产量预测模型,即逐步多元线性回归(SMLR)、岭回归、最小绝对收缩和选择算子(LASSO)、弹性网络(ELNET)和人工神经网络(ANN)。天气参数的历史数据来自NASA POWER门户网站,以及通过安得拉邦政府季节和作物报告获得的2001年至2020年期间该邦Kharif和Rabi季节这些地区的花生产量。通过五个天气变量总共生成了30个天气指数。模型的评估是通过固定75%的数据进行校准,并留下25%的数据进行验证。研究结果推断,基于R2、RMSE、nRMSE和EF的值,在校准和验证阶段,Ridge回归、ELNET和ANN模型在Ananthapur、Chittoor和Kadapa地区表现出更好的性能,而SMLR和LASSO模型在Kharif和Rabi季节在Kurnool和Nellore地区表现出更好的性能。
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引用次数: 0
Co-elevation of atmospheric CO2 and temperature affect instantaneous and intrinsic water use efficiency of rice varieties 大气CO2和温度的共同升高影响水稻品种的瞬时和内在水分利用效率
Q3 Agricultural and Biological Sciences Pub Date : 2023-08-31 DOI: 10.54386/jam.v25i3.2243
PARTHA PRATIM MAITY, B. Chakrabarti, A. Bhatia, S N KUMAR, T. Purakayastha, D. Chakraborty, S. Adak, Arpit Sharma, S. Kannojiya
Greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions from anthropogenic activities are the most significant drivers of climate change, which has both direct and indirect effects on crop production. The study was conducted during the kharif season for two years inside the Open Top Chamber (OTC) at the Genetic-H field of ICAR-Indian Agriculture Research Institute (IARI) to quantify the effect of elevated CO2 and temperature on water use efficiency of rice varieties. There were two different CO2 concentrations i.e. ambient (410 ppm) and elevated (550 ± 25 ppm) and also two different temperature levels i.e. ambient and elevated (+2.5-2.9°C). Results suggested that warming caused more accumulated GDD in rice and which negatively affected the duration of both the varieties. In elevated CO2 plus high temperature interaction treatment net photosynthesis rate was more than that of chamber control. Stomatal conductance and transpiration rate reduced with co-elevation of CO2 and temperature. Co-elevation of CO2 and temperature, has also improved WUE (both instantaneous and intrinsic) through enhanced carbon assimilation and reduced stomatal conductance, thus, reducing the amount of water lost through transpiration, eventually improving WUE of the crop.
人为活动产生的温室气体排放是气候变化的最重要驱动因素,对作物生产有直接和间接影响。这项研究在哈里夫季节在ICAR印度农业研究所(IARI)Genetic-H田地的开放式试验室(OTC)内进行了两年,以量化二氧化碳和温度升高对水稻品种水分利用效率的影响。有两种不同的CO2浓度,即环境(410ppm)和升高(550±25ppm),以及两种不同温度水平,即环境和升高(+2.5-2.9°C)。结果表明,变暖导致水稻积累更多的GDD,并对两个品种的持续时间产生负面影响。在高CO2加高温交互作用处理中,净光合作用速率高于室内对照。气孔导度和蒸腾速率随CO2和温度的升高而降低。CO2和温度的共同升高也通过增强碳同化和降低气孔导度提高了WUE(瞬时和内在),从而减少了蒸腾损失的水量,最终提高了作物的WUE。
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引用次数: 0
Population dynamics of aphid and their natural enemies in mustard based on meteorological parameters using principal component analysis 基于气象参数的芥菜蚜虫及其天敌种群动态分析
Q3 Agricultural and Biological Sciences Pub Date : 2023-08-31 DOI: 10.54386/jam.v25i3.2209
RAJ VEER YADAV, VIPIN KUMAR, RANI SAXENA
An experiment was conducted at the research farm of the Rajasthan Agricultural Research Institute, Durgapura, Jaipur, during Rabi, 2020–21 and 2021–22, to study the impact of meteorological parameters on the populations of the aphid, Lipaphis erysimi (Kalt) it’s associated natural enemies coccinellids, Coccinella septempunctata and syrphid flies, Xanthogramma scutellariae. The correlation coefficients with the pooled data, showed a substantial negative correlation of aphid population with temperature (r = -0.466 and -0.582*) as well as with average relative humidity (r =0.489*). C. septempunctata and X. scutellariae had positive significant correlations with L. erysimi (r = 0.965* and 0.988* respectively). The most significant variables for aphid populations, according to PC1 and PC2 (initial components of principal component analysis), are biotic factors and weather parameters.
2020–21年和2021–22年拉比期间,在斋浦尔Durgapura拉贾斯坦邦农业研究所的研究农场进行了一项实验,以研究气象参数对蚜虫种群的影响,该蚜虫是与之相关的天敌——红唇蚜(Kalt),它的天敌是球虫、七斑球虫和同食蝇——黄芩黄原菌。与合并数据的相关系数显示,蚜虫种群与温度(r=-0.466和-0.582*)和平均相对湿度(r=0.489*)呈显著负相关。根据PC1和PC2(主成分分析的初始成分),蚜虫种群的最重要变量是生物因素和天气参数。
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引用次数: 0
Assessing future precipitation and temperature changes for the Kesinga Basin, India according to CORDEX-WAS climate projections 根据CORDEX-WAS气候预测评估印度Kesinga盆地未来的降水量和温度变化
Q3 Agricultural and Biological Sciences Pub Date : 2023-08-31 DOI: 10.54386/jam.v25i3.2228
Pereli Chinna Vani, B.C. SAHOO, J.C. PAUL, A.P. Sahu, A.K.B. MOHAPATRA
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引用次数: 0
Heat wave characterization and its impact on carbon and water vapour fluxes over sugarcane-based agroecosystem 甘蔗农业生态系统的热浪特征及其对碳和水蒸气通量的影响
Q3 Agricultural and Biological Sciences Pub Date : 2023-08-31 DOI: 10.54386/jam.v25i3.2239
Shweta Pokhariyal, N. R. Patel, A. Danodia, R. Singh
Global climate change expected to exacerbate the temperature extremes and intensity of heat waves in recent decades. The terrestrial biosphere plays a crucial role in absorbing carbon from the atmosphere. Therefore, understanding how terrestrial ecosystems respond to extreme temperatures is essential for predicting land-surface feedbacks in a changing climate. In light of this, a study was conducted to assess the effects of 2022 heat wave [March-May (MAM)] on carbon and water vapour fluxes. This study utilized the measurements obtained from the eddy covariance tower mounted within the sugarcane agroecosystem. The study period (MAM) was characterized into three events: Heat wave event 1 (HE1), Heat wave event 2 (HE2), Non heat wave event (NHE). The variation in carbon and water vapour fluxes, along with meteorological variables, during these events in 2020 and 2022 was further analysed. Our findings indicate that the heat wave caused a decrease in net ecosystem exchange (NEE), leading to an increase in atmospheric CO2 concentration during HE1, HE2 compared to NHE. In HE1, maximum NEE in 2020 and 2022 was -19.15 µmol m-2 s-1 and -13.21 µmol m-2 s-1, respectively. Furthermore, the heat wave events led to a decrease in latent heat flux (LE) and sensible heat flux (H), with changes of up to 5% in LE and 57% in H compared to the same period in 2020. These results highlight the significant impact of the heatwave on both carbon and energy fluxes. Overall, the present study provides a valuable reference for further climate change analysis, specifically focusing on both carbon and energy fluxes within sugarcane ecosystem. 
全球气候变化预计将加剧近几十年来的极端温度和热浪强度。陆地生物圈在吸收大气中的碳方面发挥着至关重要的作用。因此,了解陆地生态系统对极端温度的反应对于预测气候变化中的地表反馈至关重要。有鉴于此,进行了一项研究,以评估2022年热浪【三月至五月(MAM)】对碳和水蒸气通量的影响。本研究利用了安装在甘蔗农业生态系统内的涡流协方差塔的测量结果。研究期间(MAM)分为三个事件:热浪事件1(HE1)、热浪事件2(HE2)和非热浪事件(NHE)。进一步分析了2020年和2022年这些事件期间碳和水蒸气通量的变化以及气象变量。我们的研究结果表明,与NHE相比,热浪导致净生态系统交换(NEE)减少,导致HE1、HE2期间大气CO2浓度增加。在HE1中,2020年和2022年的最大NEE分别为-19.15µmol m-2 s-1和-13.21µmol m-1。此外,热浪事件导致潜热通量(LE)和显热通量(H)下降,与2020年同期相比,LE和H的变化分别高达5%和57%。这些结果突出了热浪对碳通量和能量通量的重大影响。总的来说,本研究为进一步的气候变化分析提供了宝贵的参考,特别是关注甘蔗生态系统内的碳和能量通量。
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引用次数: 0
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Journal of Agrometeorology
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